Comparison of complex modeling strategies for prediction of a binary outcome based on a few,highly correlated predictors

Motivated by a clinical prediction problem, a simulation study was performed to compare different approaches for building risk prediction models. Robust prediction models for hospital survival in patients with acute heart failure were to be derived from three highly correlated blood parameters measured up to four times, with predictive ability having explicit priority over interpretability. Methods that relied only on the original predictors were compared with methods using an expanded predictor space including transformations and interactions. Predictors were simulated as transformations and combinations of multivariate normal variables which were fitted to the partly skewed and bimodally distributed original data in such a way that the simulated data mimicked the original covariate structure. Different penalized versions of logistic regression as well as random forests and generalized additive models were investigated using classical logistic regression as a benchmark. Their performance was assessed based on measures of predictive accuracy, model discrimination, and model calibration. Three different scenarios using different subsets of the original data with different numbers of observations and events per variable were investigated. In the investigated setting, where a risk prediction model should be based on a small set of highly correlated and interconnected predictors, Elastic Net and also Ridge logistic regression showed good performance compared to their competitors, while other methods did not lead to substantial improvements or even performed worse than standard logistic regression. Our work demonstrates how simulation studies that mimic relevant features of a specific data set can support the choice of a good modeling strategy.     

Interactions of 17β-Hydroxysteroid Dehydrogenase Type 10 and Cyclophilin D in Alzheimer's Disease

The nucleus-encoded 17β-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase type 10 (17β-HSD10) regulates cyclophilin D (cypD) in the mitochondrial matrix. CypD regulates opening of mitochondrial permeability transition pores. Both mechanisms may be affected by amyloid β peptides accumulated in mitochondria in Alzheimer's disease (AD). In order to clarify changes occurring in brain mitochondria, we evaluated interactions of both mitochondrial proteins in vitro (by surface plasmon resonance biosensor) and detected levels of various complexes of 17β-HSD10 formed in vivo (by sandwich ELISA) in brain mitochondria isolated from the transgenic animal model of AD (homozygous McGill-R-Thy1-APP rats) and in cerebrospinal fluid samples of AD patients. By surface plasmon resonance biosensor, we observed the interaction of 17β-HSD10 and cypD in a direct real-time manner and determined, for the first time, the kinetic parameters of the interaction (k_a 2.0?×?10⁵ M¹s^?1, k_d 5.8?×?10⁴ s^?1, and K_D 3.5?×?10^–10 M). In McGill-R-Thy1-APP rats compared to controls, levels of 17β-HSD10–cypD complexes were decreased and those of total amyloid β increased. Moreover, the levels of 17β-HSD10–cypD complexes were decreased in cerebrospinal fluid of individuals with AD (in mild cognitive impairment as well as dementia stages) or with Frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) compared to cognitively normal controls (the sensitivity of the complexes to AD dementia was 92.9%, that to FTLD 73.8%, the specificity to AD dementia equaled 91.7% in a comparison with the controls but only 26.2% with FTLD). Our results demonstrate the weakened ability of 17β-HSD10 to regulate cypD in the mitochondrial matrix probably via direct effects of amyloid β. Levels of 17β-HSD10–cypD complexes in cerebrospinal fluid seem to be the very sensitive indicator of mitochondrial dysfunction observed in neurodegeneration but unfortunately not specific to AD pathology. We do not recommend it as the new biomarker of AD.

     

Thermal ecology of two sympatric saxicolous lizards of the genus Phymaturus from the Payunia region (Argentina)

We evaluated the thermal biology of two sympatric saxicolous species of the genus Phymaturus, endemic from the Argentine Payunia region. Taking into account that the distributional range of Phymaturus roigorum (the largest species) is greater than the range of P. payuniae, we evaluated the habitat (type of rocks) used by these species. We recorded body temperature and operative temperatures in different habitats, and we determined the preferred body temperature in the laboratory. We compared the thermal quality of habitats occupied and not occupied by Phymaturus payuniae, and the accuracy and effectiveness of thermoregulation between species.     

Approaches to homozygosity mapping and exome sequencing for the identification of novel types of CDG

In the past decade, the identification of most genes involved in Congenital Disorders of Glycosylation (CDG) (type I) was achieved by a combination of biochemical, cell biological and glycobiological investigations. This has been truly successful for CDG-I, because the candidate genes could be selected on the basis of the homology of the synthetic pathway of the dolichol linked oligosaccharide in human and yeast. On the contrary, only a few CDG-II defects were elucidated, be it that some of the discoveries represent wonderful breakthroughs, like e.g, the identification of the COG defects. In general, many rare genetic defects have been identified by positional cloning. However, only a few types of CDG have effectively been elucidated by linkage analysis and so-called reverse genetics. The reason is that the families were relatively small and could—except for CDG-PMM2—not be pooled for analysis. Hence, a large number of CDG cases has long remained unsolved because the search for the culprit gene was very laborious, due to the heterogeneous phenotype and the myriad of candidate defects. This has changed when homozygosity mapping came of age, because it could be applied to small (consanguineous) families. Many novel CDG genes have been discovered in this way. But the best has yet to come: what we are currently witnessing, is an explosion of novel CDG defects, thanks to exome sequencing: seven novel types were published over a period of only two years. It is expected that exome sequencing will soon become a diagnostic tool, that will continuously uncover new facets of this fascinating group of diseases.     

Recent Advances in α-Synuclein Functions, Advanced Glycation, and Toxicity: Implications for Parkinson’s Disease

The toxicity of α-synuclein in the neuropathology of Parkinson’s disease which includes its hallmark aggregation has been studied scrupulously in the last decade. Although little is known regarding the normal functions of α-synuclein, its association with membrane phospholipids suggests its potential role in signaling pathways. Following extensive evidences for its nuclear localization, we and others recently demonstrated DNA binding activity of α-synuclein that modulates its conformation as well as aggregation properties. Furthermore, we also underscored the similarities among various amyloidogenic proteins involved in neurodegenerative diseases including amyloid beta peptides and tau. Our more recent studies show that α-synuclein is glycated and glycosylated both in vitro and in neurons, significantly affecting its folding, oligomeric, and DNA binding properties. Glycated α-synuclein causes increased genome damage both via its direct interaction with DNA and by increased generation of reactive oxygen species as glycation byproduct. In this review, we discuss the mechanisms of glycation and other posttranslational modifications of α-synuclein, including phosphorylation and nitration, and their role in neuronal death in Parkinson’s disease.     

Does Physical Contact with a Dog or Person Affect Performance of a Working Memory Task?

ABSTRACT

Working memory (WM) plays a critical role in the execution of a wide variety of cognitive tasks and predicts academic success. This study was designed to compare the impact of the presence of a dog or a person, and physical contact with them, on the performance of a WM task. It also exam- ined whether the impact differed for two dogs, and whether these factors im- pacted arousal during the WM task. College students (n=31, aged 18–23 years) performed a WM task in five counterbalanced conditions; dog-touch, dog-no-touch, person-touch, person-no-touch, and alone. Participants were randomly assigned to one of two dogs; Miniature Poodle (n=16) or Border Collie (n=15). The WM task involved replicating increasingly complicated se- quences of colored lights by touching them on an iPad^®. Linear mixed model analyses revealed there was a significant interaction between collaborator and touch (p=0.05); best WM scores occurred without touch with either the per- son or the dog present, and worst WM scores occurred when the participant was touching a dog. Analyzing WM test during the dog conditions, touch (p=0.027) and dog breed (p=0.042) contributed independently to it; task completion was worse when the poodle was present and better without touch. Physiological measures [heart rate (HR) and heart rate variability] during the ex- periment indicated that the WM task was physiologically arousing (p<0.001) compared with listening, and HR was higher when touching a person than a dog during the task (p<0.046). These results are consistent with facilitation of performance by the presence of an observer. If there is a beneficial effect on cognition from a dog, physical contact with the dog might not be a necessary component. Aspects of the dog (e.g., breed) are also likely factors in WM task performance. This study highlights the importance of situational characteristics in studies evaluating the impact of companion animals.     

LEA Gene Introns: is the Intron of Dehydrin Genes a Characteristic of the Serine-Segment?

Dehydrins, which belong to group 2 LEA proteins, are a family of intrinsically unstructured plant proteins that accumulate during the late stages of embryogenesis and in response to abiotic stresses. We have previously reported that the OpsDHN1 gene, encoding an SK₃-type acidic dehydrin protein from Opuntia streptacantha, contains an intron inserted within the sequence encoding the S-motif. Herein, we present an in silico analysis of intron sequences in dehydrin genes from mono- and dicotyledonous plants that reveals a preference for insertion within the nucleotide sequence encoding the S-motif. Sequence comparison of ten Dhn genes from Arabidopsis thaliana and the orthologous genes in Arabidopsis lyrata revealed that introns maintain considerable sequence identity and conserve the insertion pattern. Furthermore, syntenic regions were identified among eight orthologous genes of A. thaliana and A. lyrata, showing that correlated gene arrangements are conserved between these Arabidopsis species. Our study shows that most SKn-type dehydrins contain one intron that is conserved in phase and location; this intron is linked to the nucleotide sequence that encodes the S-motif.     

Predation of Alouatta puruensis by Boa constrictor

Reports of successful predator attacks on primates are rare. Primates from all major radiations are particularly susceptible to raptors, carnivores, and snakes. Among New World primates, reports of snake predation are limited to medium- and small-bodied species. Here, we report the first documented case of successful predation of an atelid by a snake—an adult female Purús red howler monkey, Alouatta puruensis, that was subdued by a ca. 2-m-long Boa constrictor in an arboreal setting at a height of 7.5 m above the ground. The victim belonged to a group composed of six individuals (one adult male, two adult females, two juveniles, and one infant) that inhabited a ca. 2.5-ha forest fragment in the State of Rondônia, western Brazilian Amazon. The boa applied the species’ typical hunting behavior of striking and immediately coiling around its prey and then killing it through constriction (probably in less than 5 min), but the entire restraint period lasted 38 min. The attack occurred around noon. The howler was swallowed head-first in 76 min. The only group member to respond to the distress vocalization emitted by the victim was the other adult female, which was closest to the location where the attack occurred. This female ran toward the snake, also vocalizing, and hit it with her hands several times, but the snake did not react and she moved off to a nearby tree from where she watched most of the interaction. The remaining group members stayed resting at a height approximately 15 m above the victim in a nearby tree without showing any overt signs of stress, except for a single whimper vocalization. This event indicates that even large-bodied atelids are vulnerable to predation by large snakes and suggests that B. constrictor may be a more common predator of primates.     

Identification of Kaposi's Sarcoma-Associated Herpesvirus LANA Regions Important for Episome Segregation,Replication, and Persistence

Kaposi''s sarcoma-associated herpesvirus (KSHV) latency-associated nuclear antigen (LANA) is a 1,162-amino-acid protein that mediates the maintenance of episomal viral genomes in latently infected cells. The two central components of episome persistence are DNA replication with each cell division and the segregation of DNA to progeny nuclei. LANA self-associates to bind KSHV terminal-repeat (TR) DNA and to mediate its replication. LANA also simultaneously binds to TR DNA and mitotic chromosomes to mediate the segregation of episomes to daughter nuclei. The N-terminal region of LANA binds histones H2A and H2B to attach to mitotic chromosomes, while the C-terminal region binds TR DNA and also associates with chromosomes. Both the N- and C-terminal regions of LANA are essential for episome persistence. We recently showed that deletion of all internal LANA sequences results in highly deficient episome maintenance. Here we assess independent internal LANA regions for effects on episome persistence. We generated a panel of LANA mutants that included deletions in the large internal repeat region and in the unique internal sequence. All mutants contained the essential N- and C-terminal regions, and as expected, all maintained the ability to associate with mitotic chromosomes in a wild-type fashion and to bind TR DNA, as assessed by electrophoretic mobility shift assays (EMSA). Deletion of the internal regions did not reduce the half-life of LANA. Notably, deletions within either the repeat elements or the unique sequence resulted in deficiencies in DNA replication. However, only the unique internal sequence exerted effects on the ability of LANA to retain green fluorescent protein (GFP) expression from TR-containing episomes deficient in DNA replication, consistent with a role in episome segregation; this region did not independently associate with mitotic chromosomes. All mutants were deficient in episome persistence, and the deficiencies ranged from minor to severe. Mutants deficient in DNA replication that contained deletions within the unique internal sequence had the most-severe deficits. These data suggest that internal LANA regions exert critical roles in LANA-mediated DNA replication, segregation, and episome persistence, likely through interactions with key host cell factors.     

Mucosal Immunization of Lactating Female Rhesus Monkeys with a Transmitted/Founder HIV-1 Envelope Induces Strong Env-Specific IgA Antibody Responses in Breast Milk

We previously demonstrated that vaccination of lactating rhesus monkeys with a DNA prime/vector boost strategy induces strong T-cell responses but limited envelope (Env)-specific humoral responses in breast milk. To improve vaccine-elicited antibody responses in milk, hormone-induced lactating rhesus monkeys were vaccinated with a transmitted/founder (T/F) HIV Env immunogen in a prime-boost strategy modeled after the moderately protective RV144 HIV vaccine. Lactating rhesus monkeys were intramuscularly primed with either recombinant DNA (n = 4) or modified vaccinia virus Ankara (MVA) poxvirus vector (n = 4) expressing the T/F HIV Env C.1086 and then boosted twice intramuscularly with C.1086 gp120 and the adjuvant MF59. The vaccines induced Env-binding IgG and IgA as well as neutralizing and antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC) responses in plasma and milk of most vaccinated animals. Importantly, plasma neutralization titers against clade C HIV variants MW965 (P = 0.03) and CAP45 (P = 0.04) were significantly higher in MVA-primed than in DNA-primed animals. The superior systemic prime-boost regimen was then compared to a mucosal-boost regimen, in which animals were boosted twice intranasally with C.1086 gp120 and the TLR 7/8 agonist R848 following the same systemic prime. While the systemic and mucosal vaccine regimens elicited comparable levels of Env-binding IgG antibodies, mucosal immunization induced significantly stronger Env-binding IgA responses in milk (P = 0.03). However, the mucosal regimen was not as potent at inducing functional IgG responses. This study shows that systemic MVA prime followed by either intranasal or systemic protein boosts can elicit strong humoral responses in breast milk and may be a useful strategy to interrupt postnatal HIV-1 transmission.