Independent external validation of nomograms for predicting risk of low-trauma fracture and hip fracture

Background

A set of nomograms based on the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study predicts the five- and ten-year absolute risk of fracture using age, bone mineral density and history of falls and low-trauma fracture. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of these nomograms among participants in the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study.

Methods

We included participants aged 55–95 years for whom bone mineral density measurement data and at least one year of follow-up data were available. Self-reported incident fractures were identified by yearly postal questionnaire or interview (years 3, 5 and 10). We included low-trauma fractures before year 10, except those of the skull, face, hands, ankles and feet. We used a Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Among 4152 women, there were 583 fractures, with a mean follow-up time of 8.6 years. Among 1606 men, there were 116 fractures, with a mean follow-up time of 8.3 years. Increasing age, lower bone mineral density, prior fracture and prior falls were associated with increased risk of fracture. For low-trauma fractures, the concordance between predicted risk and fracture events (Harrell C) was 0.69 among women and 0.70 among men. For hip fractures, the concordance was 0.80 among women and 0.85 among men. The observed fracture risk was similar to the predicted risk in all quintiles of risk except the highest quintile of women, where it was lower. The net reclassification index (19.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.3% to 32.2%), favours the Dubbo nomogram over the current Canadian guidelines for men.

Interpretation

The published nomograms provide good fracture-risk discrimination in a representative sample of the Canadian population.Current recommendations for the treatment of osteoporosis are in transition. The T-score-based definition of osteoporosis and osteopenia by the expert committee of the World Health Organization on bone mineral density has been used in many guidelines to set intervention thresholds for treatment. However, studies have consistently reported that the highest number of fractures in a given population occurs in those with osteopenic or normal bone mineral density.^1,2 In fact, the National Osteoporosis Foundation has singled out people with osteopenic bone mineral density as a population in which assessment for fracture risk is merited.³Nevertheless, appropriate prevention and treatment strategies for such people are uncertain.⁴ Recent developments include the assessment of absolute fracture risk based on bone mineral density and other risk factors. Current Canadian methodology determines categorical risk based on age, sex, T-score, fracture history and glucocorticoid use.⁵ These criteria were derived from Swedish data, but have been assessed and validated in a cohort of Manitoba women.⁶ Newer nomograms based on the Australian cohort of the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study⁷ are now available for the calculation of low-trauma hip fracture⁸ and any fracture.⁹ These nomograms provide continuous estimates for five- and 10-year absolute fracture risk in both men and women (available at http://fractureriskcalculator.com). The use of factors in addition to bone mineral density may provide a better assessment of fracture risk for people who are near the T-score thresholds and facilitate decisions regarding therapeutic intervention.A key step in the development of any prediction model is the assessment of its validity.¹⁰ The aim of our study was to assess the performance of the Australian-derived nomogram among community-dwelling Canadians aged 55–95 years old. The first part of this assessment was a comparison of the nomogram model using the same variables, but using data from a Canadian population — participants in the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (www.camos.org). The second part involved computing the calibration and discrimination of the nomogram in a Canadian cohort. The final part was comparison of the new assessments with the existing Canadian risk classification system.     

Best practices in dengue surveillance: a report from the Asia-Pacific and Americas Dengue Prevention Boards

Background

Dengue fever is a virus infection that is spread by the Aedes aegypti mosquito and can cause severe disease especially in children. Dengue fever is a major problem in tropical and sub-tropical regions of the world.

Methodology/Principal Findings

We invited dengue experts from around the world to attend meetings to discuss dengue surveillance. We reviewed literature, heard detailed reports on surveillance programs, and shared expert opinions.

Results

Presentations by 22 countries were heard during the 2.5 day meetings. We describe the best methods of surveillance in general, the stakeholders in dengue surveillance, and the steps from mosquito bite to reporting of a dengue case to explore how best to carry out dengue surveillance. We also provide details and a comparison of the dengue surveillance programs by the presenting countries.

Conclusions/Significance

The experts provided recommendations for achieving the best possible data from dengue surveillance accepting the realities of the real world (e.g., limited funding and staff). Their recommendations included: (1) Every dengue endemic country should make reporting of dengue cases to the government mandatory; (2) electronic reporting systems should be developed and used; (3) at minimum dengue surveillance data should include incidence, hospitalization rates, deaths by age group; (4) additional studies should be completed to check the sensitivity of the system; (5) laboratories should share expertise and data; (6) tests that identify dengue virus should be used in patients with fever for four days or less and antibody tests should be used after day 4 to diagnose dengue; and (7) early detection and prediction of dengue outbreaks should be goals for national surveillance systems.     

Screening of APOB gene mutations in subjects with clinical diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolemia

Monogenic hypercholesterolemia is a group of lipid disorders, most of which have autosomal dominant transmission. Familial defective apoB (FDB) resulting from mutations in the APOB gene is a well-recognized cause of autosomal dominant monogenic hypercholesterolemia (ADMH). However, the frequency of FDB among patients with ADMH is not well established. The aim of our research was to screen for mutations responsible for FDB in subjects with a clinical diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolemia. We studied 408 patients from the Spanish Register of Familial Hypercholesterolemia, proportionally distributed among all Spanish regions. Abnormal SSCP patterns of the APOB gene were checked by DNA sequencing and restriction analysis. Three out of the 408 patients were carriers of the R3500Q mutation, and 2 subjects were carriers of the silent T3552T mutation; in both of these patients functional mutations in the LDL receptor gene were found. We conclude that FDB is not a common cause of ADMH in Spain; the R3500Q mutation is the only mutation in APOB causing FDB, and the LDL receptor binding domain of APOB is highly conserved in the studied sample.     

植物的遗传转化及其应用(英文)

近年来,植物遗传转化研究有了长足的发展。已经达到能够通过简单的遗传控制手段研究具有新表现型的植物,甚至达到进入商业化的程度。这些手段包括植物生物学的主要研究技术以及植物组织培养和树种改良的一些实用方法。尽管采用农瘤杆菌和鸟枪法等技术的植物遗传转化系统已经得到了广泛的应用,但是在如何开发具有能够得到控制表达的转基因高产植物方面,在如何使所得到的转基因植物远离遗传危害等方面,目前的转化系统遇到了极大的技术挑战。已经提出了各种各样的方法用于将新基因稳定地导入120多种不同植物的核基因组。本文将讨论这些遗传转化系统所需的生物学要求和实际应用方面的需求、基因转化和转基因表达的研究策略、遗传转化植物的鉴定以及转基因植物与大众的认可。本文将分为七个部分加以讨论:一、导言;二 、基因转化到细胞里的方法;三、植物遗传转化策略;四、植物遗传转化的鉴定;五、植物遗传转化的实际应用;六、转基因植物与环境;七、未来植物遗传转化的需求与发展方向。     

Evidence of Subclinical mtDNA Alterations in HIV-Infected Pregnant Women Receiving Combination Antiretroviral Therapy Compared to HIV-Negative Pregnant Women

Introduction

Combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) can effectively prevent vertical transmission of HIV but there is potential risk of adverse maternal, foetal or infant effects. Specifically, the effect of cART use during pregnancy on mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) content in HIV-positive (HIV+) women is unclear. We sought to characterize subclinical alterations in peripheral blood mtDNA levels in cART-treated HIV+ women during pregnancy and the postpartum period.

Methods

This prospective longitudinal observational cohort study enrolled both HIV+ and HIV-negative (HIV-) pregnant women. Clinical data and blood samples were collected at three time points in pregnancy (13-<23 weeks, 23-<30 weeks, 30–40 weeks), and at delivery and six weeks post-partum in HIV+ women. Peripheral blood mtDNA to nuclear DNA (nDNA) ratio was measured by qPCR.

Results

Over a four year period, 63 HIV+ and 42 HIV- women were enrolled. HIV+ women showed significantly lower mtDNA/nDNA ratios compared to HIV- women during pregnancy (p = 0.003), after controlling for platelet count and repeated measurements using a multivariable mixed-effects model. Ethnicity, gestational age (GA) and substance use were also significantly associated with mtDNA/nDNA ratio (p≤0.02). Among HIV+ women, higher CD4 nadir was associated with higher mtDNA/nDNA ratios (p<0.0001), and these ratio were significantly lower during pregnancy compared to the postpartum period (p<0.0001).

Conclusions

In the context of this study, it was not possible to distinguish between mtDNA effects related to HIV infection versus cART therapy. Nevertheless, while mtDNA levels were relatively stable over time in both groups during pregnancy, they were significantly lower in HIV+ women compared to HIV- women. Although no immediate clinical impact was observed on maternal or infant health, lower maternal mtDNA levels may exert long-term effects on women and children and remain a concern. Improved knowledge of such subclinical alterations is another step toward optimizing the safety and efficacy of cART regimens during pregnancy.     

Prevalence of Dyslipidemia in Urban and Rural India: The ICMR–INDIAB Study

Aim

To study the pattern and prevalence of dyslipidemia in a large representative sample of four selected regions in India.

Methods

Phase I of the Indian Council of Medical Research–India Diabetes (ICMR-INDIAB) study was conducted in a representative population of three states of India [Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Jharkhand] and one Union Territory [Chandigarh], and covered a population of 213 million people using stratified multistage sampling design to recruit individuals ≥20 years of age. All the study subjects (n = 16,607) underwent anthropometric measurements and oral glucose tolerance tests were done using capillary blood (except in self-reported diabetes). In addition, in every 5th subject (n = 2042), a fasting venous sample was collected and assayed for lipids. Dyslipidemia was diagnosed using National Cholesterol Education Programme (NCEP) guidelines.

Results

Of the subjects studied, 13.9% had hypercholesterolemia, 29.5% had hypertriglyceridemia, 72.3% had low HDL-C, 11.8% had high LDL-C levels and 79% had abnormalities in one of the lipid parameters. Regional disparity exists with the highest rates of hypercholesterolemia observed in Tamilnadu (18.3%), highest rates of hypertriglyceridemia in Chandigarh (38.6%), highest rates of low HDL-C in Jharkhand (76.8%) and highest rates of high LDL-C in Tamilnadu (15.8%). Except for low HDL-C and in the state of Maharashtra, in all other states, urban residents had the highest prevalence of lipid abnormalities compared to rural residents. Low HDL-C was the most common lipid abnormality (72.3%) in all the four regions studied; in 44.9% of subjects, it was present as an isolated abnormality. Common significant risk factors for dyslipidemia included obesity, diabetes, and dysglycemia.

Conclusion

The prevalence of dyslipidemia is very high in India, which calls for urgent lifestyle intervention strategies to prevent and manage this important cardiovascular risk factor.     

The "vanishing counting bead" phenomenon: effect on absolute CD34+ cell counting in phosphate-buffered saline-diluted leukapheresis samples

BACKGROUND: Using a single-platform protocol to count absolute CD34+ hematopoietic precursor cell (HPC) levels with different reference microbeads, we recorded occasionally artifactually high CD34+ HPC counts in some leukapheresis bags, whereas dual-platform calculations were always consistent. Abnormal countings were observed only when phosphate-buffered saline (PBS)-diluted leukapheresis samples were vortexed before analysis. A large series of blood samples analyzed similarly for CD34+ and CD4+ absolute counts did not show any sample or vortexing effect. With the volumetric absolute counting cytometer Partec-PAS, lower counts were also observed when different reference beads were vortexed before the instrument checking procedures. The counting abnormality was caused by a drop in microbead concentration (the "vanishing bead phenomenon"). This phenomenon reduced the total and relative bead event number in experimental and routine samples and in calibration procedures. This altered the bead denominator used to calculate absolute CD34+ HPC levels and it also reduced the concentration of standard calibration beads. METHODS: Using the Partec-PAS to measure volumetrically the actual bead concentration, we studied the vanishing bead phenomenon. Different types of counting and reference microbeads were resuspended in media with or without proteins or cells. Replicates were submitted either to gentle manual mixing or to vortexing before counting. RESULTS: Vortex agitation almost invariably induced the vanishing bead phenomenon when beads were resuspended in saline media or when an insufficient protein concentration was present, such as in diluted leukapheresis samples. Different bead types showed various degrees of sensitivity to vortexing. The bead disappearance was not caused by bubble formation or disruption. The addition of small amounts of protein completely prevented the vanishing bead phenomenon. The causative effect of the electrostatic charging of tube induced by vortexing is hypothesized. CONCLUSIONS: Sample suspensions containing counting beads for single-platform analysis must be resuspended in media with protein supplements to prevent the vanishing bead phenomenon and to ensure accurate counting.