Predicting dengue incidence leveraging internet-based data sources. A case study in 20 cities in Brazil

The dengue virus affects millions of people every year worldwide, causing large epidemic outbreaks that disrupt people’s lives and severely strain healthcare systems. In the absence of a reliable vaccine against dengue or an effective treatment to manage the illness in humans, most efforts to combat dengue infections have focused on preventing its vectors, mainly the Aedes aegypti mosquito, from flourishing across the world. These mosquito-control strategies need reliable disease activity surveillance systems to be deployed. Despite significant efforts to estimate dengue incidence using a variety of data sources and methods, little work has been done to understand the relative contribution of the different data sources to improved prediction. Additionally, scholarship on the topic had initially focused on prediction systems at the national- and state-levels, and much remains to be done at the finer spatial resolutions at which health policy interventions often occur. We develop a methodological framework to assess and compare dengue incidence estimates at the city level, and evaluate the performance of a collection of models on 20 different cities in Brazil. The data sources we use towards this end are weekly incidence counts from prior years (seasonal autoregressive terms), weekly-aggregated weather variables, and real-time internet search data. We find that both random forest-based models and LASSO regression-based models effectively leverage these multiple data sources to produce accurate predictions, and that while the performance between them is comparable on average, the former method produces fewer extreme outliers, and can thus be considered more robust. For real-time predictions that assume long delays (6–8 weeks) in the availability of epidemiological data, we find that real-time internet search data are the strongest predictors of dengue incidence, whereas for predictions that assume short delays (1–3 weeks), in which the error rate is halved (as measured by relative RMSE), short-term and seasonal autocorrelation are the dominant predictors. Despite the difficulties inherent to city-level prediction, our framework achieves meaningful and actionable estimates across cities with different demographic, geographic and epidemic characteristics.     

Expression of the high molecular weight fibroblast growth factor-2 isoform of 210 amino acids is associated with modulation of protein kinases C delta and epsilon and ERK activation

The high molecular weight (HMW) fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-2 isoform of 210 amino acids initiated at a CUG start codon possesses a nuclear localization sequence and is not secreted. In contrast, the low molecular weight (LMW) isoform of 155 amino acids initiated at the AUG start codon can be secreted and activates the cell surface FGF receptors. The two isoforms possess different biological properties; however, little is known about the intracrine regulatory mechanisms involved in the biological effects of the HMW FGF-2 isoform. Using pancreatic cells stably transfected with cDNAs leading to the expression of either the HMW FGF-2 (A3 cells) or the LMW form (A5 cells), we provide evidence that the two FGF-2 isoforms differentially modulate PKC levels. The LMW FGF-2 up-regulated the PKC epsilon levels by 1.6-fold; by contrast the HMW isoform down-regulated the level of this PKC isotype by about 3-fold and increased the amount of PKC delta by 1.7-fold. PKC mRNAs were also modified, suggesting that PKC expression was regulated at a pretranslational level. Additionally, expression of different levels of the HMW FGF-2 with an inducible expression system confirmed the role of this isoform on PKC delta and epsilon expressions. Increased activation of ERK-1 and -2 was also observed in cells expressing the HMW FGF-2. By using different PKC inhibitors and a dominant negative PKC delta, it was found that ERK activation was PKC delta-dependent. These data indicate that expression of HMW FGF-2 can modify PKC levels by acting at the intracellular level and that the overexpression of PKC delta induces ERK-1/2 activation. The expression of a dominant negative FGFR1 did not reduce ERK-1/2 activation by the HMW FGF-2, suggesting that ERK activation does not require FGFR activity. The signaling cascade downstream of ERK might be involved in the known mitogenic effect exerted by this FGF-2 isoform.     

Gene amplification and cold adaptation of pepsin in Antarctic fish. A possible strategy for food digestion at low temperature

Cold-adapted organisms have developed a number of adjustments at the molecular level to maintain metabolic functions at low temperatures. Among other features, they can produce enzymes characterized by a high turnover number or a high catalytic efficiency. The present work is aimed at investigating the process of food digestion at low temperature through the study of pepsins in Antarctic notothenioids. For such a purpose, we have cloned and sequenced three forms of pepsin A and a single form of gastricsin from the gastric mucosa of Trematomus bernacchii (rock cod). Phylogenetic analysis has suggested that the three pepsin A isotypes arose from two gene duplication events leading to the most ancestral pepsin A3 and to the most recent forms represented by pepsin A1 and pepsin A2. Molecular modeling has unraveled significant structural differences in these enzymes with respect to their mesophilic counterparts. Hydropathy and flexibility determined on the substrate-binding subsites of Antarctic and mesophilic pepsins have shown for pepsin A2 reduced hydropathy and increased flexibility at the level of the substrate cleft, features typical of cold-adapted enzymes. Northern blot analysis of RNA from rock cod gastric mucosa hybridized with molecular probes designed on specific regions of different pepsin forms has shown that rock cod pepsin genes are expressed at comparable levels. The present results suggest that the Antarctic rock cod adopted two different strategies to accomplish efficient protein digestion at low temperature. One mechanism is the gene duplication that increases enzyme production to compensate for the reduced kinetic efficiency, the other is the expression of a new enzyme provided with features typical of cold-adapted enzymes.     

Identification of an elite sorghum genotype with high <Emphasis Type="Italic">In vitro</Emphasis> performance capacity

Summary The use of plant genetic engineering to augment plant breeding programs is significantly strengthened if novel trait(s) can be introduced directly into elite germplasm. Implementing this technology to sorghum breeding programs has been hampered by the lack of an efficient and transferable protocol that is suitable with elite genotypes. This study was conducted to identify parameters that maximize in vitro culture performance in sorghum targeting a specific elite genotype, C2-97, which possesses enhanced agronomic characteristics. Three different tissue culture media formulations, MS, N6, and M11 were evaluated. M11 medium contains approximately 16% and 85% more total nitrogen and sevenfold and threefold higher levels of potassium phosphate than MS and N6 formulations, respectively. Culture performance of C2-97 across the three media formulations was compared to sorghum genotypes that were previously reported to be amenable to genetic engineering, namely Tx430, P898012. Bwheatland, and C401. Maximum embryogenesis induction was observed on M11 medium for all genotypes tested, with greater than 70% embryogenic calluses occurring on immature embryos derived from the C2-97 genotype cultured on M11 medium.     

Identification and molecular characterization of the RNA polymerase-binding motif of infectious bursal disease virus inner capsid protein VP3

Infectious bursal disease virus (IBDV), a member of the Birnaviridae family, is the causative agent of one of the most important infectious poultry diseases. Major aspects of the molecular biology of IBDV, such as assembly and replication, are as yet poorly understood. We have previously shown that encapsidation of the putative virus-encoded RNA-dependent RNA polymerase VP1 is mediated by its interaction with the inner capsid protein VP3. Here, we report the characterization of the VP1-VP3 interaction. RNase A treatment of VP1- and VP3-containing extracts does not affect the formation of VP1-VP3 complexes, indicating that formation of the complex requires the establishment of protein-protein interactions. The use of a set of VP3 deletion mutants allowed the mapping of the VP1 binding motif of VP3 within a highly charged 16-amino-acid stretch on the C terminus of VP3. This region of VP3 is sufficient to confer VP1 binding activity when fused to an unrelated protein. Furthermore, a peptide corresponding to the VP1 binding region of VP3 specifically inhibits the formation of VP1-VP3 complexes. The presence of Trojan peptides containing the VP1 binding motif in IBDV-infected cells specifically reduces infective virus production, thus showing that formation of VP1-VP3 complexes plays a critical role in IBDV replication.     

Caseinolytic activity of fruit extract from Opuntia ficus-indica on bovine, caprine, and ovine sodium caseinates

The rates and extents of hydrolysis of alpha(S)- and beta-caseins from bovine, caprine, and ovine sodium caseinates produced by an enzymatic extract of the fruit of Opuntia ficus-indica, (L.) Miller were evaluated and compared with those produced by a commercial animal rennet. A mechanistic model based on a pseudo-first-order enzymatic reaction, in the presence of first-order deactivation of the enzyme, was postulated and successfully fitted to the experimental data. The animal rennet exhibited higher enzymatic efficiency than the fruit extract, irrespective of the source (i.e., bovine, caprine, or ovine) and the type (i.e., alpha(S)- or beta-casein) of substrate. The enzymatic efficiency (k(cat)/K(m)) for alpha(S)-casein ranged from 72 to 220 and from 43 to 65 L g(-1) h(-1), and for beta-casein from 242 to 742 and from 55 to 164 L g(-1) h(-1), for the animal rennet and the enzymatic extract of O. ficus-indica, respectively. Finally, it was observed that beta-casein from caprine and ovine caseinates was degraded by O. ficus-indica faster than its alpha(S) counterpart, but the reverse was observed for bovine caseinate.     

Construction of a derivative of Agrobacterium tumefaciens C58 that does not mutate to tetracycline resistance

Agrobacterium tumefaciens C58 mutates to tetracycline resistance at high frequency, complicating the use of many broad-host-range cloning and binary vectors that code for resistance to this antibiotic as the selection marker. Such mutations are associated with a resistant gene unit, tetC58, that is present in the genome of this strain. By deleting the tetC58 locus, we constructed NTL4, a derivative of C58 that no longer mutates to tetracycline resistance. The deletion had no detectable effect on genetic or physiological traits of NTL4 or on the ability of this strain to transform plants.     

Process development of a recombinant antibody/interleukin-2 fusion protein expressed in protein-free medium by BHK cells

The production, purification and stability of quality (in terms of integrity and glycosylation) of an antibody/interleukin-2 fusion protein with potential application in tumour-targeted therapy expressed in BHK21 cells are described. Consistency of the product throughout time was determined by analysis of glycosylation of the fusion protein using MALDI-TOF mass spectroscopy and HPAEC-PAD combined with product integrity studies by SDS-PAGE and Western blotting. These investigations showed consistent expression in terms of integrity and of three major oligosaccharide structures of the fusion protein after 62 generations. The data obtained at this stage indicated the suitability of the cell line for production purposes. Different approaches for the production of this protein were subsequently carried out. The relative productivity of the recombinant fusion protein and general performance of the cells in two different protein-free medium (PFM) culture systems, continuous chemostat and continuous perfusion using a Centritech centrifuge as a cell retention device, were studied. The results indicate that the chemostat culture resulted in more stable and controllable nutrient environment, which could indicate better product consistency, in accordance with what has been observed under serum-containing conditions, in relation to the perfusion culture. Finally, product obtained from the chemostat culture was analysed and purified. The purification process was optimised with an increase in the overall yield from 38 to 70% being obtained, a significant improvement with important consequences for the implementation of an industrial-scale culture system. In conclusion, it was possible to produce and purify the recombinant antibody/interleukin-2 fusion protein assuring the quality and stability of the product in terms of integrity and glycosylation. Therefore, a candidate production process was established.     

Comparison of pregnancy rates with two estrus synchronization protocols in Italian Mediterranean Buffalo cows

The aim in this study was to compare two estrus synchronization protocols in buffaloes. Animals were divided into two groups: Group A (n=111) received 100 microg GnRH on Day 0, 375 microg PGF(2alpha) on Day 7 and 100 microg GnRH on Day 9 (Ovsynch); Group B (n=117) received an intravaginal drug release device (PRID) containing 1.55 g progesterone and a capsule with 10mg estradiol benzoate for 10 days and were treated with a luteolytic dose of PGF(2alpha) and 1000 IU PMSG at the time of PRID withdrawal. Animals were inseminated twice 18 and 42 h after the second injection of GnRH (Group A) and 60 and 84 h after PGF(2alpha) and PMSG injections (Group B). Progesterone (P(4)) concentrations in milk samples collected 12 and 2 days before treatments were used to determine cyclic and non-cyclic buffaloes, and milk P(4) concentrations 10 days after Artificial insemination (AI) were used as an index of a functional corpus luteum. Cows were palpated per rectum at 40 and 90 days after AI to determine pregnancies. All previously non-cyclic animals in Group B had elevated P(4) (>120 pg/ml milk whey) on Day 10 after AI. Accordingly, a greater (P<0.01) relative percentage of animals with elevated P(4) 10 days after AI were observed in Group B (93.2%) than in Group A (81.1%). However, there was no difference in overall pregnancy rates between the two estrus synchronization protocols (Group A, 36.0%; Group B 28.2%). When only animals with elevated P(4) on Day 10 after AI were considered, pregnancy rate was higher (P<0.05) for animals in Group A (44.4%) than Group B (30.3%). The findings indicated that treatment with PRID can induce ovulation in non-cyclic buffalo cows. However, synchronization of estrus with Ovsynch resulted in a higher pregnancy rate compared with synchronization with PRID, particularly in cyclic buffalo.