A Rational Approach to Estimating the Surgical Demand Elasticity Needed to Guide Manpower Reallocation during Contagious Outbreaks

Background

Emerging infectious diseases continue to pose serious threats to global public health. So far, however, few published study has addressed the need for manpower reallocation needed in hospitals when such a serious contagious outbreak occurs.

Aim

To quantify the demand elasticity of the major surgery types in order to guide future manpower reallocation during contagious outbreaks.

Materials and Methods

Based on a nationwide research database in Taiwan, we extracted the monthly volumes of major surgery types for the period 1998–2003, which covered the SARS period, in order to carry out a time series analysis. The demand elasticity of each surgery type was then estimated by autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) analysis.

Results

During the study period, the surgical volumes of most selected surgery types either increased or remained steady. We categorized these surgery types into low-, moderate- and high-elastic groups according to their demand elasticity. Appendectomy, ‘open reduction of fracture with internal fixation’ and ‘free skin graft’ were in the low demand elasticity group. Transurethral prostatectomy and extracorporeal shockwave lithotripsy (ESWL) were in the high demand elasticity group. The manpower of the departments carrying out the surgeries with low demand elasticity should be maintained during outbreaks. In contrast, departments in charge of surgeries mainly with high demand elasticity, like urology departments, may be in a position to have part of their staff reallocated.

Conclusions

Taking advantage of the demand variation during the SARS period in 2003, we adopted the concept of demand elasticity and used a time series approach to figure out an effective index of demand elasticity for various types of surgery that could be used as a rational reference to carry out manpower reallocation during contagious outbreak situations.     

Tetrahydroindolizinone NK1 antagonists

A new class of potent NK₁ receptor antagonists with a tetrahydroindolizinone core has been identified. This series of compounds demonstrated improved functional activities as compared to previously identified 5,5-fused pyrrolidine lead structures. SAR at the 7-position of the tetrahydroindolizinone core is discussed in detail. A number of compounds displayed high NK₁ receptor occupancy at both 1 h and 24 h in a gerbil foot tapping model. Compound 40 has high NK₁ binding affinity, good selectivity for other NK receptors and promising in vivo properties. It also has clean P₄₅₀ inhibition and hPXR induction profiles.     

Invasion of the Lyme Disease Vector <Emphasis Type="Italic">Ixodes scapularis</Emphasis>: Implications for <Emphasis Type="Italic">Borrelia burgdorferi</Emphasis> Endemicity

Lyme disease risk is increasing in the United States due in part to the spread of blacklegged ticks Ixodes scapularis, the principal vector of the spirochetal pathogen Borrelia burgdorferi. A 5-year study was undertaken to investigate hypothesized coinvasion of I. scapularis and B. burgdorferi in Lower Michigan. We tracked the spatial and temporal dynamics of the tick and spirochete using mammal, bird, and vegetation drag sampling at eight field sites along coastal and inland transects originating in a zone of recent I. scapularis establishment. We document northward invasion of these ticks along Michigan’s west coast during the study period; this pattern was most evident in ticks removed from rodents. B. burgdorferi infection prevalences in I. scapularis sampled from vegetation in the invasion zone were 9.3% and 36.6% in nymphs and adults, respectively, with the majority of infection (95.1%) found at the most endemic site. There was no evidence of I. scapularis invasion along the inland transect; however, low-prevalence B. burgdorferi infection was detected in other tick species and in wildlife at inland sites, and at northern coastal sites in years before the arrival of I. scapularis. These infections suggest that cryptic B. burgdorferi transmission by other vector-competent tick species is occurring in the absence of I. scapularis. Other Borrelia spirochetes, including those that group with B. miyamotoi and B. andersonii, were present at a low prevalence within invading ticks and local wildlife. Reports of Lyme disease have increased significantly in the invasion zone in recent years. This rapid blacklegged tick invasion—measurable within 5 years—in combination with cryptic pathogen maintenance suggests a complex ecology of Lyme disease emergence in which wildlife sentinels can provide an early warning of disease emergence.     

Treatment with apolipoprotein A-1 mimetic peptide reduces lupus-like manifestations in a murine lupus model of accelerated atherosclerosis

Introduction

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of L-4F, an apolipoprotein A-1 mimetic peptide, alone or with pravastatin, in apoE^-/-Fas^-/-C57BL/6 mice that spontaneously develop immunoglobulin G (IgG) autoantibodies, glomerulonephritis, osteopenia, and atherosclerotic lesions on a normal chow diet.

Methods

Female mice, starting at eight to nine weeks of age, were treated for 27 weeks with 1) pravastatin, 2) L-4F, 3) L-4F plus pravastatin, or 4) vehicle control, followed by disease phenotype assessment.

Results

In preliminary studies, dysfunctional, proinflammatory high-density lipoproteins (piHDL) were decreased six hours after a single L-4F, but not scrambled L-4F, injection in eight- to nine-week old mice. After 35 weeks, L-4F-treated mice, in the absence/presence of pravastatin, had significantly smaller lymph nodes and glomerular tufts (P_{L, LP} < 0.05), lower serum levels of IgG antibodies to double stranded DNA (dsDNA) (P_L < 0.05) and oxidized phospholipids (oxPLs) (P_{L, LP} < 0.005), and elevated total and vertebral bone mineral density (P_{L, LP} < 0.01) compared to vehicle controls. Although all treatment groups presented larger aortic root lesions compared to vehicle controls, enlarged atheromas in combination treatment mice had significantly less infiltrated CD68⁺ macrophages (P_LP < 0.01), significantly increased mean α-actin stained area (P_LP < 0.05), and significantly lower levels of circulating markers for atherosclerosis progression, CCL19 (P_{L, LP} < 0.0005) and VCAM-1 (P_L < 0.0002).

Conclusions

L-4F treatment, alone or with pravastatin, significantly reduced IgG anti-dsDNA and IgG anti-oxPLs, proteinuria, glomerulonephritis, and osteopenia in a murine lupus model of accelerated atherosclerosis. Despite enlarged aortic lesions, increased smooth muscle content, decreased macrophage infiltration, and decreased pro-atherogenic chemokines in L-4F plus pravastatin treated mice suggest protective mechanisms not only on lupus-like disease, but also on potential plaque remodeling in a murine model of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and accelerated atherosclerosis.     

The Role of Physical Activity in Harm Reduction among Betel Quid Chewers from a Prospective Cohort of 419,378 Individuals

ObjectiveTo assess the benefits of regular exercise in reducing harms associated with betel quid (BQ) chewing.MethodsThe study cohort, 419,378 individuals, participated in a medical screening program between 1994 and 2008, with 38,324 male and 1,495 female chewers, who consumed 5–15 quids of BQ a day. Physical activity of each individual, based on “MET-hour/week”, was classified as “inactive” or “active”, where activity started from a daily 15 minutes/day or more of brisk walking (≥3.75 MET-hour/week). Hazard ratios for mortality and remaining years in life expectancy were calculated.ResultsNearly one fifth (18.7%) of men, but only 0.7% of women were chewers. Chewers had a 10-fold increase in oral cancer risk; and a 2-3-fold increase in mortality from lung, esophagus and liver cancer, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes, with doubling of all-cause mortality. More than half of chewers were physically inactive (59%). Physical activity was beneficial for chewers, with a reduction of all-cause mortality by 19%. Inactive chewers had their lifespan shortened by 6.3 years, compared to non-chewers, but being active, chewers improved their health by gaining 2.5 years. The improvement, however, fell short of offsetting the harms from chewing.ConclusionsChewers had serious health consequences, but being physically active, chewers could mitigate some of these adverse effects, and extend life expectancy by 2.5 years and reduce mortality by one fifth. Encouraging exercise, in addition to quitting chewing, remains the best advice for 1.5 million chewers in Taiwan.     

Cytotoxic T-lymphocyte responses to human papillomavirus type 16 E5 and E7 proteins and HLA-A*0201-restricted T-cell peptides in cervical cancer patients

Previously, we found that human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV-16) E5 protein is a tumor rejection antigen and can induce cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) activity. Therefore, in this study, human leukocyte antigen A*0201 (HLA-A*0201)-restricted human CTL epitopes of HPV-16 E5 protein were identified using a bioinformatics approach, and the abilities of these predicted peptides to induce an immune response in HLA-A*0201 transgenic mice were confirmed by assaying E5-specific CTLs and in vitro-generated CTLs from normal peripheral blood T lymphocytes of HLA-A2-positive human donors. Second, the CTL responses to HLA-A*0201 CTL epitopes (E5 63-71 and E7 11-20) were examined in HPV-16-infected patients with HLA-A2. Third, the effect of HLA-A-type alleles on CTL activities in response to the entire E5 and E7 proteins was examined in cervical cancer patients. E5 and E7 peptides (but not the whole proteins) stimulated E5- and E7-specific CTL recall responses in HPV-16- and HLA-A2-positive cervical cancer patients, and HPV-16 E5 and E7 proteins stimulated na?ve T cells in HPV-16-negative cervical cancer patients with HLA-A11 and -A24 haplotypes. In summary, this is the first demonstration that E5 63-71 is an HLA-A*0201-restricted T-cell epitope of HPV-16 E5.     

Structural basis of a flavivirus recognized by its neutralizing antibody: solution structure of the domain III of the Japanese encephalitis virus envelope protein

The flavivirus envelope protein is the dominant antigen in eliciting neutralizing antibodies and plays an important role in inducing immunologic responses in the infected host. We have determined the solution structure of the major antigenic domain (domain III) of the Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) envelope protein. The JEV domain III forms a beta-barrel type structure composed of six antiparallel beta-strands resembling the immunoglobulin constant domain. We have also identified epitopes of the JEV domain III to its neutralizing antibody by chemical shift perturbation measurements. Site-directed mutagenesis experiments are performed to confirm the NMR results. Our study provides a structural basis for understanding the mechanism of immunologic protection and for rational design of vaccines effective against flaviviruses.     

Furo[3′,2′:3,4]naphtho[1,2-d]imidazole derivatives as potential inhibitors of inflammatory factors in sepsis

Synthesis and anti-inflammatory effects of certain furo[3′,2′:3,4]naphtho[1,2-d]imidazole derivatives 12–18 were studied. These compounds were synthesized from naphtho[1,2-b]furan-4,5-dione (10) which in turn was prepared from the known 2-hydoxy-1,4-naphthoquinone (7) in a one pot reaction. Furo[3′,2′:3,4]naphtho[1,2-d]imidazole (12) was inactive (IC₅₀ value of >30 μM) while its 5-phenyl derivative 13, with an IC₅₀ value of 16.3 and 11.4 μM against lysozyme and β-glucuronidase release, respectively, was comparable to the positive trifluoperazine. The same potency was observed for 5-furan derivative 16 with an IC₅₀ value of 19.5 and 11.3 μM against lysozyme and β-glucuronidase release, respectively. An electron-withdrawing NO₂ substituted on 5-phenyl or 5-furanyl group led to the devoid of activity as in the cases of 14 and 17. Among them, compound 15 exhibited significant inhibitory effects, with an IC₅₀ value of 7.4 and 5.0 μM against lysozyme and β-glucuronidase release, respectively.For the LPS-induced NO production, the phenyl derivatives 12–15 were inactive while the nitrofuran counterparts 17 and 18 suppress LPS-induced NO production significantly, with an IC₅₀ value of 1.5 and 1.3 μM, respectively, which are more active than that of the positive 1400 W. Compounds 16–18 were capable of inhibiting LPS-induced iNOS protein expression at a dose-dependent manner in which compound 18, with an IC₅₀ of 0.52 μM in the inhibition of iNOS expression, is approximately fivefold more potent than that of the positive 1400 W. In the CLP rat animal model, compound 18 was found to be more active than the positive hydrocortisone in the inhibition of the iNOS mRNA expression in rat lung tissue. The sepsis-induced PGE2 production in rat serum decreased 150% by the pretreatment of 18 in a dose of 10 mg/kg.