Predicting epidemics on directed contact networks

Contact network epidemiology is an approach to modeling the spread of infectious diseases that explicitly considers patterns of person-to-person contacts within a community. Contacts can be asymmetric, with a person more likely to infect one of their contacts than to become infected by that contact. This is true for some sexually transmitted diseases that are more easily caught by women than men during heterosexual encounters; and for severe infectious diseases that cause an average person to seek medical attention and thereby potentially infect health care workers (HCWs) who would not, in turn, have an opportunity to infect that average person. Here we use methods from percolation theory to develop a mathematical framework for predicting disease transmission through semi-directed contact networks in which some contacts are undirected-the probability of transmission is symmetric between individuals-and others are directed-transmission is possible only in one direction. We find that the probability of an epidemic and the expected fraction of a population infected during an epidemic can be different in semi-directed networks, in contrast to the routine assumption that these two quantities are equal. We furthermore demonstrate that these methods more accurately predict the vulnerability of HCWs and the efficacy of various hospital-based containment strategies during outbreaks of severe respiratory diseases.     

Interferon Gamma Release Assay in response to PE35/PPE68 proteins: a promising diagnostic method for diagnosis of latent tuberculosis

Tuberculosis control relies on the identification and preventive treatment of people who are latently infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). PE/PPE proteins have been reported to elicit CD4 and/or CD8 responses either in the form of whole recombinant proteins or as individual peptides. Very few of the PE and PPE proteins have been previously tested for responses in patients with TB and healthy donors. This is the first study to evaluate the Interferon Gamma Release Assay (IGRA) after stimulation with PE35 and PPE68. The antigenspecific levels of IFN-γ following stimulation with QuantiFERON-TB gold in-tube (QFT-G-IT) antigens, and PE35 and PPE68 recombinant proteins were evaluated in 79 children and 102 adults, respectively. Using QFT-G-IT kit, latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) was detected in 26 children (33%) and 41 adults (40%); IGRA following stimulation with PE35 and PPE68 recombinant proteins, was positive, respectively, in 36 (46%) and 32 (40.5%) children, respectively. In addition, 53 adults (52%) had positive results following stimulation with these two proteins. The sensitivity and specificity ofIGRAfollowing stimulation with recombinant PE35 in children were76%and 80%, and following stimulation with recombinant PPE68 in this group, it was 73% and 75%, respectively. Meanwhile, there is no gold standard test for LTBI. Our designed tests using PE35 and PPE68 PE/PPE proteins, two PE/PPE proteins not present in BCG vaccins, which elicit CD4 and/or CD8 responses, might be helpful for rapid diagnosis of TB and improve the detection of LTBI. However, further validation studies to determine the advantage of IGRAs using these proteins, alone or combined, are highly recommended.     

Start codon FokI and intron 8 BsmI variants in the vitamin D receptor gene and susceptibility to colorectal cancer

Epidemiological evidence suggests the protective effect of vitamin D against colorectal cancer (CRC) and the polymorphisms in vitamin D receptor (VDR) gene may influence the development of CRC. In this study the possible association of VDR FokI and BsmI gene polymorphisms with CRC risk was examined. A total of 904 subjects, including 452 cases with CRC and 452 controls were enrolled in this study. All 904 subjects were genotyped for VDR FokI and BsmI gene polymorphisms by PCR-RFLP method. We observed no significant difference in genotype and allele frequencies between the cases with CRC and controls for the both FokI and BsmI polymorphisms either before or after adjustment for confounding factors including age, BMI, sex, and smoking status. Furthermore, no evidence for effect modification of the association VDR gene FokI and BsmI variants and CRC by BMI, sex, or tumor site was observed. In addition, there was no significant difference in genotype and allele frequencies between the normal weight (BMI <25 kg/m²) cases with CRC and overweight/obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m²) cases with CRC for the two SNPs. Our results do not lend support to the hypothesis that VDR gene FokI and BsmI polymorphisms are associated with the risk of CRC. However, further studies are required to confirm this finding.     

Assessment of probiotic potential and anticancer activity of newly isolated vaginal bacterium Lactobacillus plantarum 5BL

Numerous bacteria in and on its external parts protect the human body from harmful threats. This study aimed to investigate the potential beneficial effects of the vaginal ecosystem microbiota. A type of bacteria was isolated from vaginal secretions of adolescent and young adult women, cultured on an appropriate specific culture medium, and then molecularly identified through 16S rDNA gene sequencing. Results of 16S rDNA sequencing revealed that the isolate belongs to the Lactobacillus plantarum species. The isolated strain exhibited probiotic properties such as low pH and high bile salt concentration tolerance, antibiotic susceptibility and antimicrobial activity against some pathogenic bacteria. The anticancer effects of the strain on human cancer cell lines (cervical, HeLa; gastric, AGS; colon, HT‐29; breast, MCF‐7) and on a human normal cell line (human umbilical vein endothelial cells [HUVEC]) were investigated. Toxic side effects were assessed by studying apoptosis in the treated cells. The strain exhibited desirable probiotic properties and remarkable anticancer activity against the tested human cancer cell lines (P ≤ 0.05) with no significant cytotoxic effects on HUVEC normal cells (P ≤ 0.05). Overall, the isolated strain showed favorable potential as a bioactive therapeutic agent. Therefore, this strain should be subjected to the other required tests to prove its suitability for clinical therapeutic application.