Multi‐model comparison highlights consistency in predicted effect of warming on a semi‐arid shrub

A number of modeling approaches have been developed to predict the impacts of climate change on species distributions, performance, and abundance. The stronger the agreement from models that represent different processes and are based on distinct and independent sources of information, the greater the confidence we can have in their predictions. Evaluating the level of confidence is particularly important when predictions are used to guide conservation or restoration decisions. We used a multi‐model approach to predict climate change impacts on big sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata), the dominant plant species on roughly 43 million hectares in the western United States and a key resource for many endemic wildlife species. To evaluate the climate sensitivity of A. tridentata, we developed four predictive models, two based on empirically derived spatial and temporal relationships, and two that applied mechanistic approaches to simulate sagebrush recruitment and growth. This approach enabled us to produce an aggregate index of climate change vulnerability and uncertainty based on the level of agreement between models. Despite large differences in model structure, predictions of sagebrush response to climate change were largely consistent. Performance, as measured by change in cover, growth, or recruitment, was predicted to decrease at the warmest sites, but increase throughout the cooler portions of sagebrush's range. A sensitivity analysis indicated that sagebrush performance responds more strongly to changes in temperature than precipitation. Most of the uncertainty in model predictions reflected variation among the ecological models, raising questions about the reliability of forecasts based on a single modeling approach. Our results highlight the value of a multi‐model approach in forecasting climate change impacts and uncertainties and should help land managers to maximize the value of conservation investments.     

Oxidative phosphorylation. The relation between the specific binding of trimethlytin and triethyltin to mitochondria and their effects on various mitochondrial functions

1. A binding site (site 1) is present in mitochondria with affinity for trimethyltin and triethyltin adequate for a site to which they could be attached when the processes of energy conservation are inhibited. 2. The quantitative relationships between the binding of trimethyltin and triethyltin to site 1 and their effects on various mitochondrial functions have been examined. 3. ATP synthesis linked to the oxidation of pyruvate, succinate and intramitochondrial substrate, ATP synthesis and oxygen uptake (succinate or pyruvate as substrate) stimulated by uncoupling agents are all inhibited by trimethyltin and triethyltin; when inhibition is less than 50% the ratio (percentage inhibition)/(percentage of binding site 1 complexed) is approx. 10:1. 4. ATP synthesis linked to the oxidation of reduced cytochrome c (ascorbate+NNN'N'-tetramethyl-p-phenylenediamine), ATP hydrolysis and oxygen uptake in the presence of low concentrations of trimethyltin and triethyltin approach zero activity as the proportion of binding site 1 complexed approaches 100%. 5. Possible interpretations of these findings are discussed with reference to published arrangements for coupling of electron transport to ATP synthesis and also to our present knowledge of the chemical and biological specificity of trialkyltin compounds.     

Oxidative phosphorylation. The specific binding of trimethyltin and triethyltin to rat liver mitochondria

1. The binding of trimethyltin and triethyltin to rat liver mitochondria was determined and the results were analysed by the method of Scatchard (1949). 2. One binding site (site 1) has the correct characteristics for the site to which trimethyltin and triethyltin are attached when they inhibit oxidative phosphorylation. For each compound the concentration of site 1 is 0.8nmol/mg of protein and the ratios of their affinity constants are the same as the ratio of the concentrations inhibiting oxidative phosphorylation. 3. Binding site 1 is present in a fraction derived from mitochondria containing only 15% of the original protein. In this preparation ultrasonication rapidly destroyed site 1. 4. Dimethyltin and diethyltin do not prevent binding of triethyltin to rat liver mitochondria, whereas triethyl-lead does. 5. Trimethyltin and triethyltin bind to mitochondria from brown adipose tissue and the results indicate a binding site 1 similar to that in rat liver mitochondria. 6. The advantages and limitations of this approach to the study of inhibitors are discussed.     

The Estimation of Aortic Insufficiency

Thirty patients were investigated to determine the degree of aortic insufficiency present in them, using the test of Braunwald and Morrow in which indicator dye is injected at descending levels in the aorta and regurgitant dye is recorded by oximetry at the right ear. In the presence of aortic insufficiency regurgitant dye was demonstrated from as low as the second lumbar level, while in normal subjects none was demonstrated on injection distal to the fifth thoracic level. In the older patients the level was more proximal than in the younger for similar regurgitant flows. In most patients the test correlated well with the clinical impression of the severity of the lesion. However, tachycardia, bradycardia a reduced forward flow secondary to failure, aortic stenosis, or mitral stenosis or insufficiency will modify the level from which regurgitation occurs. Estimation of forward flow would permit estimation of the percentage regurgitation and allow a more accurate assessment of aortic insufficiency. Preoperative and postoperative estimation permitted objective assessment of successful corrective surgery.     

North Atlantic minke whale (Balaenoptera acutorostrata) feeding habits and migrations evaluated by stable isotope analysis of baleen

Isotopic analyses of the incrementally growing baleen in Mysticeti have been used to learn about their feeding and movement patterns. Using methods previously applied to Pacific minke whales, stable δ¹⁵N and δ¹³C isotope values were measured along the baleen plates of male and female minke whales from two locations in the Northeast Atlantic. The sample sizes used in this study are comparable to those previously used in the literature, and, although limited in size, the evidence suggests differences in isotopic signatures between whales caught at different locations. Both the δ¹⁵N and δ¹³C data suggest whales at the higher latitude site of Svalbard have a narrower diet than the whales from Lofoten/Vesterålen in Norway. Across all whales, the δ¹⁵N data indicate the whales primarily prey on fish for much of the year, only switching to zooplankton during the spring bloom. The δ¹³C data fail to confirm whether the whales migrate over long distances.     

根施甜菜碱对镍胁迫下小麦幼苗生长生理的影响

以普通小麦品种‘轮选988’为材料,采用溶液培养法,研究了根施不同浓度甜菜碱(1.0、2.0、3.0、4.0、5.0、10.0、15.0、20.0mmol·L~(-1))对镍(100μmol·L~(-1) NiSO_4)胁迫下小麦根系生长的影响,以及4.0mmol·L~(-1)甜菜碱处理镍胁迫幼苗根系相关抗逆生理生化指标的变化。结果表明:(1)与不施加镍对照相比,镍胁迫下小麦幼苗的根长、株高、鲜重和干重分别显著降低了14.7%、11.7%、15.0%和16.7%。(2)与单独镍胁迫处理相比,小麦幼苗的根长、株高、鲜重和干重均随着根施甜菜碱的浓度逐渐增加且呈先升后降的趋势,并以4.0mmol·L~(-1)外源甜菜碱处理效果较佳。(3)与单独镍胁迫处理相比较,在4.0mmol·L~(-1)外源甜菜碱处理下,小麦幼苗根系超氧化物歧化酶(SOD)、过氧化物酶(POD)、过氧化氢酶(CAT)和抗坏血酸过氧化物酶(APX)活性分别升高了284.7%、40.3%、82.9%和20.4%,超氧阴离子自由基(O-·2)含量、过氧化氢(H_2O_2)含量和丙二醛(MDA)含量分别显著降低了50.6%、38.4%和40.6%,可溶性糖含量及游离脯氨酸(Pro)含量分别显著降低了19.2%、45.4%,而根系活力大幅上升了358.0%。研究认为,根施适宜浓度外源甜菜碱可显著增强小麦幼苗根系的抗氧化能力,恢复根系活力,从而有效减弱镍胁迫对小麦幼苗生长的伤害。     

Surface N balances and reactive N loss to the environment from global intensive agricultural production systems for the period 1970-2030

Data for the historical years 1970 and 1995 and the FAO-Agriculture Towards 2030 projection are used to calculate N inputs (N fertilizer, animal manure, biological N fixation and atmospheric deposition) and the N export from the field in harvested crops and grass and grass consumption by grazing animals. In most industrialized countries we see a gradual increase of the overall N recovery of the intensive agricultural production systems over the whole 1970-2030 period. In contrast, low N input systems in many developing countries sustained low crop yields for many years but at the cost of soil fertility by depleting soil nutrient pools. In most developing countries the N recovery will increase in the coming decades by increasing efficiencies of N use in both crop and livestock production systems. The surface balance surplus of N is lost from the agricultural system via different pathways, including NH3 volatilization, denitrification, N2O and NO emissions, and nitrate leaching from the root zone. Global NH3-N emissions from fertilizer and animal manure application and stored manure increased from 18 to 34 Tg·yr-1 between 1970 and 1995, and will further increase to 44 Tg·yr-1 in 2030. Similar developments are seen for N2O-N (2.0 Tg·yr-1 in 1970, 2.7 Tg·yr-1 in 1995 and 3.5 Tg·yr-1 in 2030) and NO-N emissions (1.1 Tg·yr-1 in 1970, 1.5Tg·yr-1 in 1995 and 2.0 Tg·yr-1 in 2030).