Is Demography Destiny? Application of Machine Learning Techniques to Accurately Predict Population Health Outcomes from a Minimal Demographic Dataset

For years, we have relied on population surveys to keep track of regional public health statistics, including the prevalence of non-communicable diseases. Because of the cost and limitations of such surveys, we often do not have the up-to-date data on health outcomes of a region. In this paper, we examined the feasibility of inferring regional health outcomes from socio-demographic data that are widely available and timely updated through national censuses and community surveys. Using data for 50 American states (excluding Washington DC) from 2007 to 2012, we constructed a machine-learning model to predict the prevalence of six non-communicable disease (NCD) outcomes (four NCDs and two major clinical risk factors), based on population socio-demographic characteristics from the American Community Survey. We found that regional prevalence estimates for non-communicable diseases can be reasonably predicted. The predictions were highly correlated with the observed data, in both the states included in the derivation model (median correlation 0.88) and those excluded from the development for use as a completely separated validation sample (median correlation 0.85), demonstrating that the model had sufficient external validity to make good predictions, based on demographics alone, for areas not included in the model development. This highlights both the utility of this sophisticated approach to model development, and the vital importance of simple socio-demographic characteristics as both indicators and determinants of chronic disease.     

A new look at the renin-angiotensin system--focusing on the vascular system

The renin–angiotensin system (RAS), critically involved in the control of blood pressure and volume homeostasis, is a dual system comprising a circulating component and a local tissue component. The rate limiting enzyme is renin, which in the circulating RAS derives from the kidney to generate Ang II, which in turn regulates cardiovascular function by binding to AT₁ and AT₂ receptors on cardiac, renal and vascular cells. The tissue RAS can operate independently of the circulating RAS and may be activated even when the circulating RAS is suppressed or normal. A functional tissue RAS has been identified in brain, kidney, heart, adipose tissue, hematopoietic tissue, gastrointestinal tract, liver, endocrine system and blood vessels. Whereas angiotensinsinogen, angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE), Ang I and Ang II are synthesized within these tissues, there is still controversy as to whether renin is produced locally or whether it is taken up from the circulation, possibly by the (pro)renin receptor. This is particularly true in the vascular wall, where expression of renin is very low. The exact function of the vascular RAS remains elusive, but may contribute to fine-tuning of vascular tone and arterial structure and may amplify vascular effects of the circulating RAS, particularly in pathological conditions, such as in hypertension, atherosclerosis and diabetes. New concepts relating to the vascular RAS have recently been elucidated including: (1) the presence of functionally active Ang-(1-7)-Mas axis in the vascular system, (2) the importance of the RAS in perivascular adipose tissue and cross talk with vessels, and (3) the contribution to vascular RAS of Ang II derived from immune and inflammatory cells within the vascular wall. The present review highlights recent progress in the RAS field, focusing on the tissue system and particularly on the vascular RAS.     

Numerical Study of an Ultra-Broadband and Wide-Angle Insensitive Perfect Metamaterial Absorber in the UV–NIR Region

Plasmonics - Developing a simple structure using low-cost material that enables both large-scale fabrication and broadband absorption response is highly desirable but very challenging for achieving...     

Identification of lipopolysaccharide binding site on high molecular weight kininogen

Plasma kallikrein kinin system (KKS) activation along with its cellular receptors expression are increased after injury and in patients with septic shock, hypotensive bacteremia and rhesus monkey infected with Salmonella typhimurium. KKS signaling cascade is activated by activated factor XII (FXIIa, Hageman factor)- and prolylcarboxypeptidase (PRCP)-dependent pathways on endothelial cells. Among the many entities that comprise the KKS, high molecular weight kininogen (HK), a bradykinin precursor, is critical in the assembly and activation of this system. HK is primarily expressed in the liver and secreted into the bloodstream. The activation of the KKS influences the permeability of the endothelium by liberating bradykinin (BK) from HK. BK is a potent inflammatory peptide which stimulates constitutive bradykinin B2 and inducible B1 receptors to release nitric oxide and prostacyclin. Regardless of the triggers, PK can only be activated on HK bound to the artificial negatively charged or to cell membrane surfaces. Since LPS has a negatively charged moiety and the ability to induce inflammatory responses in human, we determined the interaction between LPS and HK. HKH19 (HK cell binding site) and heparin inhibited LPS binding to HK with IC₅₀s of 15 nM and 20 μg/ml, respectively. C1-inhibitor and N-acetylglucosamine glycan inhibited LPS binding to HK with IC₅₀s of about 10 μg/ml and 10 mM, respectively. This novel study underscores the implication of HK in infection. We propose that HKH19, heparin, and C1-inhibitor present therapeutic potential for the treatment of sepsis and hypotensive bacteremia.