A mixed model method to predict QTL-cluster effects using trait and marker information in a multi-group population.

In this study, a mixed model method using trait phenotype and marker information was developed for genetic evaluation of animals in a crossbred population originated from several founder genetic groups. The situation in which a cluster of QTLs is located in a particular chromosome region and is marked by two flanking markers is considered. With this method, the conditional expectation of the identity-by-descent proportion for the QTL-cluster marked and the genetic variances and covariances, given genetic group and marker information, are properly taken into account. The structure of segregation variance used in this method is different from that in the case of a single QTL marked. The current method provides best linear unbiased estimation of the relevant fixed effects and best linear unbiased prediction of the additive effects for the QTL-cluster marked and of the additive effects of the remaining polygenes. A small numerical example is given to illustrate the current prediction procedure.     

A recursive procedure to compute the gametic relationship matrix and its inverse for marked QTL clusters

Recently, a variety of mixed linear models have been proposed for marker-assisted prediction of the effects of quantitative trait loci (QTLs) in outbred populations of animals. One of them addresses the effects of a cluster of linked QTLs, or those of a particular chromosomal segment, marked by DNA marker(s) and requires that the inverse of the corresponding gametic relationship matrix whose elements are the conditional expected values of the identity-by-descent (IBD) proportions between gametes for individuals be evaluated. Here, for a model of this type, utilizing the property of the IBD set and using the information on the joint gametogenesis processes at the flanking marker loci, we present a recursive method to systematically calculate the elements of the gametic relationship matrix and its inverse. A numerical example is given to illustrate the proposed computing procedure.     

The genetic variance for multiple linked quantitative trait loci conditional on marker information in a crossed population

In the prediction of genetic values and quantitative trait loci (QTLs) mapping via the mixed model method incorporating marker information in animal populations, it is important to model the genetic variance for individuals with an arbitrary pedigree structure. In this study, for a crossed population originated from different genetic groups such as breeds or outbred strains, the variance of additive genetic values for multiple linked QTLs that are contained in a chromosome segment, especially the segregation variance, is investigated assuming the use of marker data. The variance for a finite number of QTLs in one chromosomal segment is first examined for the crossed population with the general pedigree. Then, applying the concept of the expectation of identity-by-descent proportion, an approximation to the mean of the conditional probabilities for the linked QTLs over all loci is obtained, and using it an expression for the variance in the case of an infinite number of linked QTLs marked by flanking markers is derived. It appears that the approach presented can be useful in the segment mapping using, and in the genetic evaluation of, crosses with general pedigrees in the population of concern. The calculation of the segregation variance through the current approach is illustrated numerically, using a small data-set.     

A comparison of interval mapping procedures including the QTL-cluster mapping

Using the deterministic sampling, patterns of the log-likelihood surfaces expected in some interval mapping procedures for estimating the position of, and the effect for, QTL(s) were investigated for the situations where a single QTL or closely linked QTLs are contained in a chromosome segment bracketed with two markers. The mapping procedures compared were the conventional, likelihood-based interval mapping (IM), the regression interval mapping (RIM), and the QTL-cluster mapping (CM) in which the conditional probabilities of transmission of the whole segment marked by the flanking markers were taken into consideration. The half-sib design was used here, and several cases of the true genetic model were considered, differing in the number of QTLs contained in the marker interval, the linkage phase for the sire, and the magnitude of the QTL(s) effect. For the true genetic models where a single QTL or closely linked QTLs being in coupling phase are contained in the interval, with (R)IM, clear global maxima of the log-likelihood were observed within the range of the marker interval. It was shown that the estimates of the QTL(s) effect at the marked segment level are expected to be unbiased. On the other hand, in a setting where the linkage phase for the linked QTLs located in the interval was different from coupling and repulsion, there was found a ridge along the interval for the log-likelihood surface with (R)IM, indicating the dependency between the estimates of the position of, and the effect for, the putative QTL. For this case, it was found that the position of the putative QTL could be estimated as that of one of the flanking markers, and the estimate of the QTL effect be biased. In contrast, it was revealed that CM is expected to provide the unbiased estimate of the QTL(s)-effect at the segment level for any case of the true genetic models considered here. If the aim is for marker-assisted selection rather than mapping closely linked QTLs individually, then the CM approach is considered to be useful.     

Use of Multiple Genetic Markers in Prediction of Breeding Values

Genotypes at a marker locus give information on transmission of genes from parents to offspring and that information can be used in predicting the individuals' additive genetic value at a linked quantitative trait locus (MQTL). In this paper a recursive method is presented to build the gametic relationship matrix for an autosomal MQTL which requires knowledge on recombination rate between the marker locus and the MQTL linked to it. A method is also presented to obtain the inverse of the gametic relationship matrix. This information can be used in a mixed linear model for simultaneous evaluation of fixed effects, gametic effects at the MQTL and additive genetic effects due to quantitative trait loci unlinked to the marker locus (polygenes). An equivalent model can be written at the animal level using the numerator relationship matrix for the MQTL and a method for obtaining the inverse of this matrix is presented. Information on several unlinked marker loci, each of them linked to a different locus affecting the trait of interest, can be used by including an effect for each MQTL. The number of equations per animal in this case is 2m + 1 where m is the number of MQTL. A method is presented to reduce the number of equations per animal to one by combining information on all MQTL and polygenes into one numerator relationship matrix. It is illustrated how the method can accommodate individuals with partial or no marker information. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the methods presented. Opportunities to use the presented model in constructing genetic maps are discussed.     

The effect of using approximate gametic variance covariance matrices on marker assisted selection by BLUP

Under additive inheritance, the Henderson mixed model equations (HMME) provide an efficient approach to obtaining genetic evaluations by marker assisted best linear unbiased prediction (MABLUP) given pedigree relationships, trait and marker data. For large pedigrees with many missing markers, however, it is not feasible to calculate the exact gametic variance covariance matrix required to construct HMME. The objective of this study was to investigate the consequences of using approximate gametic variance covariance matrices on response to selection by MABLUP. Two methods were used to generate approximate variance covariance matrices. The first method (Method A) completely discards the marker information for individuals with an unknown linkage phase between two flanking markers. The second method (Method B) makes use of the marker information at only the most polymorphic marker locus for individuals with an unknown linkage phase. Data sets were simulated with and without missing marker data for flanking markers with 2, 4, 6, 8 or 12 alleles. Several missing marker data patterns were considered. The genetic variability explained by marked quantitative trait loci (MQTL) was modeled with one or two MQTL of equal effect. Response to selection by MABLUP using Method A or Method B were compared with that obtained by MABLUP using the exact genetic variance covariance matrix, which was estimated using 15 000 samples from the conditional distribution of genotypic values given the observed marker data. For the simulated conditions, the superiority of MABLUP over BLUP based only on pedigree relationships and trait data varied between 0.1% and 13.5% for Method A, between 1.7% and 23.8% for Method B, and between 7.6% and 28.9% for the exact method. The relative performance of the methods under investigation was not affected by the number of MQTL in the model.     

Genetic evaluation by best linear unbiased prediction using marker and trait information in a multibreed population.

Genetic evaluation by best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) requires modeling genetic means, variances, and covariances. This paper presents theory to model means, variances, and covariances in a multibreed population, given marker and breed information, in the presence of gametic disequilibrium between the marker locus (ML) and linked quantitative trait locus (MQTL). Theory and algorithms are presented to construct the matrix of conditional covariances between relatives (Gv) for the MQTL effects in a multibreed population and to obtain the inverse of Gv efficiently. Theory presented here accounts for heterogeneity of variances among pure breeds and for segregation variances between pure breeds. A numerical example was used to illustrate how the theory and algorithms can be used for genetic evaluation by BLUP using marker and trait information in a multibreed population.     

On the efficiency of composite interval mapping in an outbred population

Composite interval mapping (CIM) has been successfully applied to the detection of QTL in experimental animals and plants. However, practical analyses based on CIM have been reported mainly for populations derived from cross between inbred lines. There are few studies on QTL analyses with CIM in outbred populations. To evaluate the applicability of CIM to outbred populations is prerequisite for the fine mapping of QTL in industrial animals such as pig and chicken. Some markers are usually not fully informative in outbred populations. In application of CIM to outbred populations, the influence of inclusion of such uninformative markers used as covariates on the efficiency of CIM should be investigated. In this paper a least-squares method for CIM was formalized in an F(2) population derived by crossing two outbred lines. The efficiencies of CIM were evaluated for outbred populations in comparison with simple interval mapping (SIM) for several cases of marker informativeness using simulations. By incorporating markers linked to a tested position as well as those unlinked, CIM showed a higher efficiency to separate two linked QTL over SIM. The efficiency of dissection was enhanced as the marker informativeness was increased. The power of CIM to detect an isolated QTL was improved by excluding markers linked to a tested position from covariates and higher than SIM regardless of marker informativeness. In conclusion, CIM is a useful procedure for the analysis of QTL in outbred populations even under low marker informativeness.     

Advances in Statistical Methods to Map Quantitative Trait Loci in Outbred Populations

Statistical methods to map quantitative trait loci (QTL) in outbred populations are reviewed, extensions and applications to human and plant genetic data are indicated, and areas for further research are identified. Simple and computationally inexpensive methods include (multiple) linear regression of phenotype on marker genotypes and regression of squared phenotypic differences among relative pairs on estimated proportions of identity-by-descent at a locus. These methods are less suited for genetic parameter estimation in outbred populations but allow the determination of test statistic distributions via simulation or data permutation; however, further inferences including confidence intervals of QTL location require the use of Monte Carlo or bootstrap sampling techniques. A method which is intermediate in computational requirements is residual maximum likelihood (REML) with a covariance matrix of random QTL effects conditional on information from multiple linked markers. Testing for the number of QTLs on a chromosome is difficult in a classical framework. The computationally most demanding methods are maximum likelihood and Bayesian analysis, which take account of the distribution of multilocus marker-QTL genotypes on a pedigree and permit investigators to fit different models of variation at the QTL. The Bayesian analysis includes the number of QTLs on a chromosome as an unknown.     

Efficient computation of the inverse of gametic relationship matrix for a marked QTL

Best linear unbiased prediction of genetic merits for a marked quantitative trait locus (QTL) using mixed model methodology includes the inverse of conditional gametic relationship matrix (G^-1) for a marked QTL. When accounting for inbreeding, the conditional gametic relationships between two parents of individuals for a marked QTL are necessary to build G^-1 directly. Up to now, the tabular method and its adaptations have been used to compute these relationships. In the present paper, an indirect method was implemented at the gametic level to compute these few relationships. Simulation results showed that the indirect method can perform faster with significantly less storage requirements than adaptation of the tabular method. The efficiency of the indirect method was mainly due to the use of the sparseness of G^-1. The indirect method can also be applied to construct an approximate G^-1 for populations with incomplete marker data, providing approximate probabilities of descent for QTL alleles for individuals with incomplete marker data.     

Association mapping for pre-harvest sprouting resistance in white winter wheat

Association mapping identified quantitative trait loci (QTLs) and the markers linked to pre-harvest sprouting (PHS) resistance in an elite association mapping panel of white winter wheat comprising 198 genotypes. A total of 1,166 marker loci including DArT and SSR markers representing all 21 chromosomes of wheat were used in the analysis. General and mixed linear models were used to analyze PHS data collected over 4 years. Association analysis identified eight QTLs linked with 13 markers mapped on seven chromosomes. A QTL was detected on each arm of chromosome 2B and one each on chromosome arms 1BS, 2DS, 4AL, 6DL, 7BS and 7DS. All except the QTL on 7BS are located in a location similar to previous reports and, if verified, the QTL on 7BS is likely to be novel. Principal components and the kinship matrix were used to account for the presence of population structure but had only a minor effect on the results. Although, none of the QTLs was highly significant across all environments, a QTL on the long arm of chromosome 4A was detected in three different environments and also using the best linear unbiased predictions over years. Although previous reports have identified this as a major QTL, its effects were minor in our biparental mapping populations. The results of this study highlight the benefits of association mapping and the value of using elite material in association mapping for plant breeding programs.     

A rapid method for computing the inverse of the gametic covariance matrix between relatives for a marked Quantitative Trait Locus

The inverse of the gametic covariance matrix between relatives, G^-1, for a marked quantitative trait locus (QTL) is required in best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) of breeding values if marker data are available on a QTL. A rapid method for computing the inverse of a gametic relationship matrix for a marked QTL without building G itself is presented. The algorithm is particularly useful due to the approach taken in computing inbreeding coefficients by having to compute only few elements of G. Numerical techniques for determining, storing, and computing the required elements of G and the nonzero elements of the inverse are discussed. We show that the subset of G required for computing the inbreeding coefficients and hence the inverse is a tiny proportion of the whole matrix and can be easily stored in computer memory using sparse matrix storage techniques. We also introduce an algorithm to determine the maximum set of nonzero elements that can be found in G^-1 and a strategy to efficiently store and access them. Finally, we demonstrate that the inverse can be efficiently built using the present techniques for very large and inbred populations.     

Impact of selective genotyping in the training population on accuracy and bias of genomic selection

Estimating marker effects based on routinely generated phenotypic data of breeding programs is a cost-effective strategy to implement genomic selection. Truncation selection in breeding populations, however, could have a strong impact on the accuracy to predict genomic breeding values. The main objective of our study was to investigate the influence of phenotypic selection on the accuracy and bias of genomic selection. We used experimental data of 788 testcross progenies from an elite maize breeding program. The testcross progenies were evaluated in unreplicated field trials in ten environments and fingerprinted with 857 SNP markers. Random regression best linear unbiased prediction method was used in combination with fivefold cross-validation based on genotypic sampling. We observed a substantial loss in the accuracy to predict genomic breeding values in unidirectional selected populations. In contrast, estimating marker effects based on bidirectional selected populations led to only a marginal decrease in the prediction accuracy of genomic breeding values. We concluded that bidirectional selection is a valuable approach to efficiently implement genomic selection in applied plant breeding programs.     

Factors Affecting Accuracy From Genomic Selection in Populations Derived From Multiple Inbred Lines: A Barley Case Study

We compared the accuracies of four genomic-selection prediction methods as affected by marker density, level of linkage disequilibrium (LD), quantitative trait locus (QTL) number, sample size, and level of replication in populations generated from multiple inbred lines. Marker data on 42 two-row spring barley inbred lines were used to simulate high and low LD populations from multiple inbred line crosses: the first included many small full-sib families and the second was derived from five generations of random mating. True breeding values (TBV) were simulated on the basis of 20 or 80 additive QTL. Methods used to derive genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV) were random regression best linear unbiased prediction (RR–BLUP), Bayes-B, a Bayesian shrinkage regression method, and BLUP from a mixed model analysis using a relationship matrix calculated from marker data. Using the best methods, accuracies of GEBV were comparable to accuracies from phenotype for predicting TBV without requiring the time and expense of field evaluation. We identified a trade-off between a method's ability to capture marker-QTL LD vs. marker-based relatedness of individuals. The Bayesian shrinkage regression method primarily captured LD, the BLUP methods captured relationships, while Bayes-B captured both. Under most of the study scenarios, mixed-model analysis using a marker-derived relationship matrix (BLUP) was more accurate than methods that directly estimated marker effects, suggesting that relationship information was more valuable than LD information. When markers were in strong LD with large-effect QTL, or when predictions were made on individuals several generations removed from the training data set, however, the ranking of method performance was reversed and BLUP had the lowest accuracy.     

On the Additive and Dominant Variance and Covariance of Individuals Within the Genomic Selection Scope

Genomic evaluation models can fit additive and dominant SNP effects. Under quantitative genetics theory, additive or “breeding” values of individuals are generated by substitution effects, which involve both “biological” additive and dominant effects of the markers. Dominance deviations include only a portion of the biological dominant effects of the markers. Additive variance includes variation due to the additive and dominant effects of the markers. We describe a matrix of dominant genomic relationships across individuals, D, which is similar to the G matrix used in genomic best linear unbiased prediction. This matrix can be used in a mixed-model context for genomic evaluations or to estimate dominant and additive variances in the population. From the “genotypic” value of individuals, an alternative parameterization defines additive and dominance as the parts attributable to the additive and dominant effect of the markers. This approach underestimates the additive genetic variance and overestimates the dominance variance. Transforming the variances from one model into the other is trivial if the distribution of allelic frequencies is known. We illustrate these results with mouse data (four traits, 1884 mice, and 10,946 markers) and simulated data (2100 individuals and 10,000 markers). Variance components were estimated correctly in the model, considering breeding values and dominance deviations. For the model considering genotypic values, the inclusion of dominant effects biased the estimate of additive variance. Genomic models were more accurate for the estimation of variance components than their pedigree-based counterparts.     

Mapping quantitative trait loci with dominant markers in four-way crosses

 A common problem in mapping quantitative trait loci (QTLs) is that marker data are often incomplete. This includes missing data, dominant markers, and partially informative markers, arising in outbred populations. Here we briefly present an iteratively re-weighted least square method (IRWLS) to incorporate dominant and missing markers for mapping QTLs in four-way crosses under a heterogeneous variance model. The algorithm uses information from all markers in a linkage group to infer the QTL genotype. Monte Carlo simulations indicate that with half dominant markers, QTL detection is almost as efficient as with all co-dominant markers. However, the precision of the estimated QTL parameters generally decreases as more markers become missing or dominant. Notable differences are observed on the standard deviation of the estimated QTL position for varying levels of marker information content. The method is relatively simple so that more complex models including multiple QTLs or fixed effects can be fitted. Finally, the method can be readily extended to QTL mapping in full-sib families. Received: 16 June 1998 / Accepted: 29 September 1998     

A Random Model Approach to Interval Mapping of Quantitative Trait Loci

Mapping quantitative trait loci in outbred populations is important because many populations of organisms are noninbred. Unfortunately, information about the genetic architecture of the trait may not be available in outbred populations. Thus, the allelic effects of genes can not be estimated with ease. In addition, under linkage equilibrium, marker genotypes provide no information about the genotype of a QTL (our terminology for a single quantitative trait locus is QTL while multiple loci are referred to as QTLs). To circumvent this problem, an interval mapping procedure based on a random model approach is described. Under a random model, instead of estimating the effects, segregating variances of QTLs are estimated by a maximum likelihood method. Estimation of the variance component of a QTL depends on the proportion of genes identical-by-descent (IBD) shared by relatives at the locus, which is predicted by the IBD of two markers flanking the QTL. The marker IBD shared by two relatives are inferred from the observed marker genotypes. The procedure offers an advantage over the regression interval mapping in terms of high power and small estimation errors and provides flexibility for large sibships, irregular pedigree relationships and incorporation of common environmental and fixed effects.     

The Contribution of Quantitative Trait Loci and Neutral Marker Loci to the Genetic Variances and Covariances among Quantitative Traits in Random Mating Populations

Using Cockerham's approach of orthogonal scales, we develop genetic models for the effect of an arbitrary number of multiallelic quantitative trait loci (QTLs) or neutral marker loci (NMLs) upon any number of quantitative traits. These models allow the unbiased estimation of the contributions of a set of marker loci to the additive and dominance variances and covariances among traits in a random mating population. The method has been applied to an analysis of allozyme and quantitative data from the European oyster. The contribution of a set of marker loci may either be real, when the markers are actually QTLs, or apparent, when they are NMLs that are in linkage disequilibrium with hidden QTLs. Our results show that the additive and dominance variances contributed by a set of NMLs are always minimum estimates of the corresponding variances contributed by the associated QTLs. In contrast, the apparent contribution of the NMLs to the additive and dominance covariances between two traits may be larger than, equal to or lower than the actual contributions of the QTLs. We also derive an expression for the expected variance explained by the correlation between a quantitative trait and multilocus heterozygosity. This correlation explains only a part of the genetic variance contributed by the markers, i.e., in general, a combination of additive and dominance variances and, thus, provides only very limited information relative to the method supplied here.     

Prediction of total genetic value using genome-wide dense marker maps

Recent advances in molecular genetic techniques will make dense marker maps available and genotyping many individuals for these markers feasible. Here we attempted to estimate the effects of approximately 50,000 marker haplotypes simultaneously from a limited number of phenotypic records. A genome of 1000 cM was simulated with a marker spacing of 1 cM. The markers surrounding every 1-cM region were combined into marker haplotypes. Due to finite population size N(e) = 100, the marker haplotypes were in linkage disequilibrium with the QTL located between the markers. Using least squares, all haplotype effects could not be estimated simultaneously. When only the biggest effects were included, they were overestimated and the accuracy of predicting genetic values of the offspring of the recorded animals was only 0.32. Best linear unbiased prediction of haplotype effects assumed equal variances associated to each 1-cM chromosomal segment, which yielded an accuracy of 0.73, although this assumption was far from true. Bayesian methods that assumed a prior distribution of the variance associated with each chromosome segment increased this accuracy to 0.85, even when the prior was not correct. It was concluded that selection on genetic values predicted from markers could substantially increase the rate of genetic gain in animals and plants, especially if combined with reproductive techniques to shorten the generation interval.     

The covariance between relatives conditional on genetic markers

The development of molecular genotyping techniques makes it possible to analyze quantitative traits on the basis of individual loci. With marker information, the classical theory of estimating the genetic covariance between relatives can be reformulated to improve the accuracy of estimation. In this study, an algorithm was derived for computing the conditional covariance between relatives given genetic markers. Procedures for calculating the conditional relationship coefficients for additive, dominance, additive by additive, additive by dominance, dominance by additive and dominance by dominance effects were developed. The relationship coefficients were computed based on conditional QTL allelic transmission probabilities, which were inferred from the marker allelic transmission probabilities. An example data set with pedigree and linked markers was used to demonstrate the methods developed. Although this study dealt with two QTLs coupled with linked markers, the same principle can be readily extended to the situation of multiple QTL. The treatment of missing marker information and unknown linkage phase between markers for calculating the covariance between relatives was discussed.