Dead or gone? Bayesian inference on mortality for the dispersing sex

Estimates of age‐specific mortality are regularly used in ecology, evolution, and conservation research. However, estimating mortality of the dispersing sex, in species where one sex undergoes natal dispersal, is difficult. This is because it is often unclear whether members of the dispersing sex that disappear from monitored areas have died or dispersed. Here, we develop an extension of a multievent model that imputes dispersal state (i.e., died or dispersed) for uncertain records of the dispersing sex as a latent state and estimates age‐specific mortality and dispersal parameters in a Bayesian hierarchical framework. To check the performance of our model, we first conduct a simulation study. We then apply our model to a long‐term data set of African lions. Using these data, we further study how well our model estimates mortality of the dispersing sex by incrementally reducing the level of uncertainty in the records of male lions. We achieve this by taking advantage of an expert's indication on the likely fate of each missing male (i.e., likely died or dispersed). We find that our model produces accurate mortality estimates for simulated data of varying sample sizes and proportions of uncertain male records. From the empirical study, we learned that our model provides similar mortality estimates for different levels of uncertainty in records. However, a sensitivity of the mortality estimates to varying uncertainty is, as can be expected, detectable. We conclude that our model provides a solution to the challenge of estimating mortality of the dispersing sex in species with data deficiency due to natal dispersal. Given the utility of sex‐specific mortality estimates in biological and conservation research, and the virtual ubiquity of sex‐biased dispersal, our model will be useful to a wide variety of applications.     

Long-term numerical changes and regulation in a river stock of European eel Anguilla anguilla

1. The objective was to explore the regulatory mechanisms underlying the numerical dynamics of a river stock of European eel Anguilla anguilla based on a purely observational study. We used a 21-year data set on the Rio Esva (Asturias, northwestern Spain) stock of eels, encompassing eel density at an estuary site and at nine sites distributed among three tributaries selected to differ in the distance from the tidal limit and fishery data on glass eels from the nearby Rio Nalón estuary.
2. The abundance of glass eels and estuarine and in-stream densities declined simultaneously over a 15-year period. However, following a historical minimum in the abundance of glass eels around the year 2000, the density continued to decline in the estuary whereas density in the streams began an increase that has continued to the present.
3. In-stream cohort mortality rate ( Z ) varied from 0.0016 day⁻¹ to only 0.0003 day⁻¹ (on an annual basis from 0.57 to 0.099 year⁻¹). The negative effects of intra-cohort and inter-cohort densities on mortality rate emphasized the responses of the riverine stock to compensatory density-dependence. As a consequence, the number of eels surviving to commence the silvering stage was similar in magnitude in the strongest and weakest cohorts.
4. These results suggest that, even if the low abundance of glass eels persists, in-stream density may increase towards a stable value regulated by in-stream density-dependence.     

Sex allocation in response to paternal attractiveness in the zebra finch

Females mated to attractive males are predicted to produce male-biasedbroods. Previous studies on zebra finches, Taeniopygia guttata,in which colored leg rings were used to alter male attractiveness,support this hypothesis. However, because molecular sexing techniqueswere not available, it was not known when during developmentthis bias arose. Also, because both attractive (red-ringed)and unattractive (green-ringed) males were within the same aviary,assortative mating between treatments may have confounded theresults. Using two different experimental designs, we testedwhether the sex ratio of zebra finch eggs and chicks differedin response to paternal ring color whilst controlling for assortativemating between treatments. In the aviary experiment, birds couldinteract socially, but all males in an aviary had the same legring color. In the cage experiment, each female was randomlyassigned a red- or green-ringed mate, thus also eliminatingassortative mating within treatments. Offspring were sexed basedon plumage or using a molecular method. The sex ratio at layingdid not differ between treatments in either the aviary (n =313 eggs) or cage (n = 151 eggs) experiments, suggesting thatfemale zebra finches do not manipulate the primary sex ratioin response to their mate's ring color. However, in the cageexperiment we found greater male embryonic mortality in theattractive group, which resulted in a female-biased sex ratioat sexual maturity, that is, in the opposite direction to thatfound in previous studies. Possible explanations for the disparitybetween our results and those of previous studies are considered.     

Sex expression,sex change and fruiting habit in anAcer rufinerve population

Three hundred and thirty-eight plants ofAcer rufinerve Sieb. et Zucc. were monitored in a secondary deciduous forest for 5 years in terms of their sex expression and fruiting habit. Two types of flowers, functionally male and female, were recognized. The adult population consisted of constant males, inconstants and constant females. Constant males, plants that bore exclusively male flowers throughout the study period, accounted for 87% of the adult population. Thirty-four inconstant plants (11%) changed their sex in various ways. Constant females which accounted for only 2% of the population, were significantly smaller plants than the other two morphs, and suffered greater mortality. Fruit set was consistent and generally high for plants bearing female flowers. Thirteen juvenile plants out of 17 began reproduction during the 5 years, and all became male. For inconstant plants, fluctuation in sex expression tended to be more frequent and/or greater in magnitude for smaller plants. However, there was no evidence of the directional sex transition predicted by the size advantage hypothesis. Plant health and the successional stage of the stand should be taken into account as well as resource allocation problems to explain the proximate mechanisms of sex expression.     

The influence of host size on sex ratios in the parasitoid Diglyphus begini (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae)

Abstract. 1. Sex ratio in the ectoparasitoid, Diglyphus begini (Ashmead), attacking larvae of the dipterous leafminer Liriomyza trifolii (Burgess) in glasshouse marigolds, is best depicted by a model where sex ratio varies as a function of host size.
2. Male D. begini progeny are produced in hosts significantly smaller in size than those producing female progeny.
3. Female wasps attack and oviposit on the largest leafminer larvae available and whether a host is large or small depends upon the size of the other hosts attacked.
4. Diglyphus begini females adjust the thre:shold size for the change-over in sex allocation relative to the size of hosts attacked; however, the sex ratio is maintained at between 60% and 70% males.
5. The patterns observed in these glasshouse studies are not due to sex-specific differential mortality or superparasitism.     

Population dynamics and density-dependent seasonal mortality indices of the tick Rhipicephalus appendiculatus in eastern and southern Africa

Abstract. Eight sets of previously published data on the seasonal abundance of the tick Rhipicephalus appendiculatus in Burundi, Uganda, Tanzania and Zimbabwe are analysed to yield seasonal mortality indices. Correlations between these indices and abiotic (climatic) and biotic (tick density) variables suggest that it is the stage from females to larvae that is most sensitive to adverse abiotic conditions, specifically low moisture availability. Mortality at the other stages of the tick's life cycle is strongly density-dependent. The precise nature of this density-dependence suggests that it may be caused by acquired resistance to ticks by cattle. Robust correlations between satellite-derived vegetation indices, climatic factors and mortality indices suggest that detailed climatic data, often unavailable, may be replaced by satellite data, now widely available, for use in modelling tick populations.     

Cognitive differences in dream content between Argentine males and females using quantitative content analysis.

This study asked the question, Are there significant content differences between male and female dream reports obtained in seminars conducted in Argentina? Each of the 100 female and 100 male participants contributed one recent dream report during dream seminars held in Argentina between 1990 and 1998. Dream reports were scored using Hall and Van de Castle's System of Content Analysis. Major findings revealed that Argentine males reported significantly more aggressions per character and a higher percentage of dreamers as the aggressor than reported by females. They also reported more dreams with at least one success than reported by females. In contrast, females scored significantly higher on both the Self-Negativity index and the Negative Emotions index compared to males. Although some findings were similar to past studies using American participants, others were unique to this study and may be attributable to the particular sample used, or may suggest actual underlying cultural patterns of contemporary Argentine men and women. Results are discussed in terms of Hall's continuity hypothesis and Domhoff's cognitive model of dreaming. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

The cremasteric neuromuscular complex in male and female grey short-tailed opossums (Monodelphis domestica)

In marsupials, both sexes possess a cremaster muscle, that of the female being attached to the mammary gland and surrounding subcutaneous tissues. In the grey short‐tailed opossum, the muscle in both sexes has a distinct proximal origin from the anterior superior iliac spine. The number of muscle fibres is higher in male than in female opossums on average, but the difference is not statistically significant. Retrograde tracing, achieved by injecting B‐cholera toxin into the muscle, showed that labelled neurons occupied several spinal cord segments, the bulk being in L2–L4. There was no overall sex difference in the number of labelled neurons. It is concluded that cremaster muscles are present in both sexes of the grey short‐tailed opossum Monodelphis domestica, contain approximately equal numbers of fibres, and differ only in their insertion target. Since the motor innervation also shows no dimorphisms in this species, it is concluded that the whole neuromuscular complex is homologous in the two sexes. This is in marked contrast to the situation in adult eutherian mammals where the muscle is possesed by males only, and where the cremasteric nucleus is highly dimorphic in terms of motor neuron numbers.     

A study of Choughs'' vocal repertoire: variability related to individuals, sexes and ages

Summary The calls uttered by Choughs (Pyrrhocorax pyrrhocorax) on Islay (S-W Scotland) were recorded during the breeding season. We analysed the vocal repertoire and the degree of call variation, among and within individuals. Eight structurally different calls were identified in Choughs' vocal repertoire. Significant differences in temporal and frequency variables of calls were found between fledglings and adults, whereas females' and males' calls turned out to differ only in two parameters of the commonest call type (chwee-ow). Despite sex-related differences in this call, partners appeared to utter similar versions of it, which suggests that mate vocal mimicry might occur. A certain degree of individuality, i.e. a greater among than within individuals variability, was found in three call types, but the reverse was found in the commonest call of the species. Accordingly, we hypothesise that this call might promote effective species recognition, whereas the other call types would be involved in individual recognition.

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Das stimmliche Repertoire der Alpenkrähe: individuelle, geschlechtliche und altersabhängige Variabilität

Zusammenfassung Während der Brutzeit 1996 wurde das Rufinventar von Alpenkrähen (Pyrrhocorax pyrrhocorax) auf der Insel Islay (SW Schottland) aufgenommen und hinsichtlich individueller Variation und Unterschieden zwischen verschiedenen Individuen analysiert. Acht grundsätzlich verschiedene Rufe wurden unterschieden. Signifikante Unterschiede bestanden zwischen flüggen Jungvögeln und Altvögeln in der Ruffrequenz und der zeitlichen Abfolge der Rufe. Männchen und Weibchen unterschieden sich dagegen nur geringfügig in dem am häufigsten vorgetragenen Ruf. Ungeachtet dieser geringen sexuellen Unterschiede riefen Paarpartner sehr ähnlich, was als Hinweise auf eine Stimmenmimikrie angesehen wird. In drei Ruftypen fand sich eine gewisse Individualität mit größerer Variablität zwischen verschiedenen als innerhalb eines Rufers, wogegen der häufigste Ruf von allen Individuen sehr ähnlich vorgetragen wurde. Es wird geschlossen, daß dieser Ruf der Arterkennung dient, die anderen dagegen mehr der individuellen Erkennung.