Elevated Plasma Soluble ST2 Is Associated with Heart Failure Symptoms and Outcome in Aortic Stenosis

B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is often used as a complementary finding in the diagnostic work-up of patients with aortic stenosis (AS). Whether soluble ST2, a new biomarker of cardiac stretch, is associated with symptomatic status and outcome in asymptomatic AS is unknown. sST2 and BNP levels were measured in 86 patients (74±13 years; 59 asymptomatic, 69%) with AS (<1.5 cm²) and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction who were followed-up for 26±16 months. Both BNP and sST2 were associated with NYHA class but sST2 (>23 ng/mL, AUC = 0.68, p<0.01) was more accurate to identify asymptomatic patients or those who developed symptoms during follow-up. sST2 was independently related to left atrial index (p<0.0001) and aortic valve area (p = 0.004; model R² = 0.32). A modest correlation was found with BNP (r = 0.4, p<0.01). During follow-up, 29 asymptomatic patients (34%) developed heart failure symptoms. With multivariable analysis, peak aortic jet velocity (HR = 2.7, p = 0.007) and sST2 level (HR = 1.04, p = 0.03) were independent predictors of cardiovascular events. In AS, sST2 levels could provide complementary information regarding symptomatic status, new onset heart failure symptoms and outcome. It might become a promising biomarker in these patients.     

血清脑钠肽、超敏C反应蛋白、可溶性ST2对阵发性心房颤动患者射频消融术后复发的预测价值研究

摘要 目的：探讨血清脑钠肽（BNP）、超敏C反应蛋白（hs-CRP）、可溶性致瘤抑制素2（sST2）对阵发性心房颤动（AF）患者射频消融（RFA）术后复发的预测价值。方法：选择2016年1月至2020年12月我院收治的接受RFA术治疗的82例阵发性AF患者,术后随访12个月,根据术后是否复发分为复发组（25例）和未复发组（57例）。检测患者血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2水平,收集临床相关资料,采用多因素Logistic回归模型分析影响阵发性AF患者RFA术后复发的因素,采用受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线分析血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2预测阵发性AF患者RFA术后复发的价值。结果：复发组血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2水平高于未复发组（P＜0.05）。血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2水平升高、AF病程增长是影响阵发性AF患者RFA术后复发的危险因素（P＜0.05）。血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2预测阵发性AF患者消融术后复发的曲线下面积分别为0.720、0.694、0.718,联合三者预测阵发性AF患者RFA术后复发的曲线下面积为0.866,高于BNP、hs-CRP、sST2单独预测。结论：阵发性AF患者血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2水平升高是RFA术后复发的危险因素,联合检测血清BNP、hs-CRP、sST2水平有助于预测阵发性AF患者RFA术后复发。     

Circulating Progenitor Cell Count for Cardiovascular Risk Stratification: A Pooled Analysis

Background

Circulating progenitor cells (CPC) contribute to the homeostasis of the vessel wall, and a reduced CPC count predicts cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We tested the hypothesis that CPC count improves cardiovascular risk stratification and that this is modulated by low-grade inflammation.

Methodology/Principal Findings

We pooled data from 4 longitudinal studies, including a total of 1,057 patients having CPC determined and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) collected. We recorded cardiovascular risk factors and high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level. Risk estimates were derived from Cox proportional hazard analyses. CPC count and/or hsCRP level were added to a reference model including age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, prevalent CVD, chronic renal failure (CRF) and medications. The sample was composed of high-risk individuals, as 76.3% had prevalent CVD and 31.6% had CRF. There were 331 (31.3%) incident MACE during an average 1.7±1.1 year follow-up time. CPC count was independently associated with incident MACE even after correction for hsCRP. According to C-statistics, models including CPC yielded a non-significant improvement in accuracy of MACE prediction. However, the integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI) showed better performance of models including CPC compared to the reference model and models including hsCRP in identifying MACE. CPC count also yielded significant net reclassification improvements (NRI) for CV death, non-fatal AMI and other CV events. The effect of CPC was independent of hsCRP, but there was a significant more-than-additive interaction between low CPC count and raised hsCRP level in predicting incident MACE.

Conclusions/Significance

In high risk individuals, a reduced CPC count helps identifying more patients at higher risk of MACE over the short term, especially in combination with a raised hsCRP level.     

Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation Is an Independent Factor for Future Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events

Objectives

This study aims to investigate the impact of newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) on future major adverse cardiac events (MACE). AF is the most common form of cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with several other cardiovascular (CV) events. Little is known about whether newly diagnosed AF is an independent factor for future MACE, especially in patients without such a history.

Methods and Results

We evaluated data from the National Health Insurance Research Database, which represented a retrospective cohort of 713,288 adults in Taiwan from 2006 to 2010. Individuals with previous MACE were excluded. Newly diagnosed AF patients were identified by assigning International Classification of Diseases codes. Propensity score matching adjusted for gender, age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidemia. Cox proportional hazard models estimated future MACE ratios. We compared a total of 3,737 patients with newly diagnosed AF and 704,225 patients without. After matching, there was no difference in baseline demographic characteristics in patients across newly diagnosed AF and non-AF groups. The result showed that newly diagnosed AF in multivariate analysis were associated with increased incidents of MACE (hazard ratio: 3.11-3.51 in different models) and mortality. Newly diagnosed AF without other CV risk factors had 8.45 times the risk of developing future MACE than healthy adults. The more associated CV risk factors in addition to AF, the increased rate of future CV events.

Conclusions

Newly diagnosed AF is an independent factor that leads to future CV events after gender, age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidemia matching. AF is associated with a higher mortality rate.     

心力衰竭超声指数联合血清肌钙蛋白I、脑钠肽对老年舒张性心力衰竭患者不良心血管事件的预测价值分析

摘要 目的：研究心力衰竭超声指数（HFEI）联合血清肌钙蛋白I（cTnI）、脑钠肽（BNP）对老年舒张性心力衰竭患者不良心血管事件（MACE）的预测价值。方法：将医院从2018年1月～2019年12月期间收治的80例老年舒张性心力衰竭患者纳入研究。将其按照随访1年结局的差异分作研究组（发生MACE）35例和对照组（未发生MACE）45例。检测并比较两组HFEI以及血清cTnI、BNP水平,同时分析两组基线资料以及心功能指标水平的差异。通过多因素Logistic回归分析明确MACE的相关影响因素,并以受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线分析HFEI以及血清cTnI、BNP联合预测MACE的效能。结果：研究组HFEI以及血清cTnI、BNP水平均高于对照组（均P＜0.05）。研究组年龄和左室舒张末期内径（LVEDd均高于对照组,而左室射血分数（LVEF）、二尖瓣血流频谱E峰和A峰比值（E/A）比值均低于对照组（均P＜0.05）。经多因素Logistic回归分析可得：HFEI以及血清cTnI、BNP水平均是老年舒张性心力衰竭患者MACE的独立危险因素（均OR＞1,P＜0.05）。经ROC曲线分析可得：HFEI以及血清cTnI、BNP联合预测MACE的曲线下面积、灵敏度、特异度、约登指数均高于上述三项指标单独检测。结论：HFEI以及血清cTnI、BNP在预测老年舒张性心力衰竭患者MACE方面的价值较高,值得临床推广应用。     

Combined Biomarker Analysis for Risk of Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) complicating ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) increases subsequent morbidity and mortality. We combined the biomarkers of heart failure (HF; B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] and soluble ST2 [sST2]) and renal injury (NGAL [neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin] and cystatin C) in predicting the development of AKI in patients with STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods and Results

From March 2010 to September 2013, 189 STEMI patients were sequentially enrolled and serum samples were collected at presentation for BNP, sST2, NGAL and cystatin C analysis. 37 patients (19.6%) developed AKI of varying severity within 48 hours of presentation. Univariate analysis showed age, Killip class ≥2, hypertension, white blood cell counts, hemoglobin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, and all the four biomarkers were predictive of AKI. Serum levels of the biomarkers were correlated with risk of AKI and the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) stage and all significantly discriminated AKI (area under the receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve: BNP: 0.86, sST2: 0.74, NGAL: 0.75, cystatin C: 0.73; all P < 0.05). Elevation of ≥2 of the biomarkers higher than the cutoff values derived from the ROC analysis improved AKI risk stratification, regardless of the creatine level (creatinine < 1.24 mg/dL: odds ratio [OR] 11.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.63-77.92, P = 0.014; creatinine ≥ 1.24: OR 15.0, 95% CI 1.23-183.6, P = 0.034).

Conclusions

In this study of STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI, the biomarkers of heart failure (BNP and sST2) and renal injury (NGAL and cystatin C) at presentation were predictive of AKI. High serum levels of the biomarkers were associated with an elevated risk and more advanced stage of AKI. Regardless of the creatinine level, elevation of ≥2 of the biomarkers higher than the cutoff values indicated a further rise in AKI risk. Combined biomarker approach may assist in risk stratification of AKI in patients with STEMI.     

The Associations of Uric Acid,Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients

Aims

To investigate whether uric acid (UA) is an independent predictor of cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients after controlling for recognized CV risk factors.

Methods

A total of 2264 patients on chronic PD were collected from seven centers affiliated with the Socioeconomic Status on the Outcome of Peritoneal Dialysis (SSOP) Study. All demographic and laboratory data were recorded at baseline. Multivariate Cox regression was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of CV and all-cause mortality with adjustments for recognized traditional and uremia-related CV factors.

Results

There were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between patients with (n = 2193) and without (n = 71) UA measured. Each 1 mg/dL of increase in UA was associated with higher all-cause mortality with 1.05(1.00∼1.10) of HR and higher CV mortality with 1.12 (1.05∼1.20) of HR after adjusting for age, gender and center size. The highest gender-specific tertile of UA predicted higher all-cause mortality with 1.23(1.00∼1.52) of HR and higher CV mortality with 1.69 (1.21∼2.38) of HR after adjusting for age, gender and center size. The predictive value of UA was stronger in patients younger than 65 years without CV disease or diabetes at baseline. The prognostic value of UA as both continuous and categorical variable weakened or disappeared after further adjusted for uremia-related and traditional CV risk factors.

Conclusions

The prognostic value of UA in CV and all-cause mortality was weak in PD patients generally, which was confounded by uremia-related and traditional CV risk factors.     

Lipoprotein-Associated Phospholipase A2 Activity Predicts Cardiovascular Events in High Risk Coronary Artery Disease Patients

Objective

Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) is deemed to play a role in atherosclerosis and plaque destabilization as demonstrated in animal models and in prospective clinical studies. However, most of the literature is either focused on high-risk, apparently healthy patients, or is based on cross sectional studies. Therefore, we tested the hypothesis that serum Lp-PLA2 mass and activity are useful for predicting cardiovascular (CV) events over the coronary atherosclerotic burden and conventional risk factors in high-risk coronary artery disease patients.

Methods and Results

In a prospective cohort study of 712 Caucasian patients, who underwent coronary angiography and measurement of both Lp-PLA2 mass and activity at baseline, we determined incident CV events at follow-up after splitting the patients into a high and a low Lp-PLA2 mass and activity groups based on ROC analysis and Youden index. Kaplan-Meier and propensity score matching analysis were used to compare CV event-free survival between groups. Follow-up data were obtained in 75% of the cohort after a median of 7.2 years (range 1–12.7 years) during which 129 (25.5%) CV events were observed. The high Lp-PLA2 activity patients showed worse CV event-free survival (66.7% vs. 79.5%, p = 0.023) and acute coronary syndrome-free survival (75.4% vs. 85.6%, p = 0.04) than those in low Lp-PLA2 group.

Conclusions

A high Lp-PLA2 activity implies a worse CV prognosis at long term follow up in high-risk Caucasian patients referred for coronary angiography.     

血清sST2在心力衰竭诊断、预后中的应用价值

心力衰竭(心衰)的发病率正随着人口老龄化的加速而显著上升,目前仍然是一个重大的公共健康问题。尽管近年来在心衰治疗方面取得了显著成效,但患者的生存率依旧很低,预后差,确诊心衰后5年内死亡率高达50%。如果能够对心衰进行快速有效的诊断并按危险程度进行合理分层,将为临床医生制定治疗方案提供重要的参考依据。生物标志物在心衰的诊断、疗效评估及预后判断方面都具有重要的意义。心力衰竭是一种复杂的疾病,涉及多种生理病理过程。心力衰竭时,神经内分泌系统被激活,同时伴随着血容量和心室壁压力增加,心室肌细胞分泌NT-proBNP/BNP,因此,其可作为心衰诊断和预后生物标志物。然而血浆中NT-proBNP/BNP易受到年龄、性别、体型、左室肥大、心动过速、右心室过载、低氧血症、肾脏功能等诸多因素影响。sST2作为一种新型心力衰竭标志物,近年来备受关注,它不仅能够反映心肌纤维化程度并预测是否发生心室重构,且不受年龄、性别、肾功能等因素的影响,同时具有更低的参考变化值和个体指数,更适合用于连续监测和指导治疗,是评价心力衰竭的理想指标之一。文中对近年来sST2在心衰诊断和预后方面的研究进展进行总结归纳,并对其发展...     

Influence of diabetes on natriuretic peptide thresholds in screening for Stage B heart failure

Context: Natriuretic peptide (NP) has been shown to be an effective screening tool to identify patients with Stage B heart failure and to have clinical value in preventing heart failure progression. The impact of associated metabolic confounders on the screening utility of NP needs clarification.

Objective: To assess the impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) on NP screening for asymptomatic Stage B heart failure.

Materials and methods: The study population consisted of 1368 asymptomatic patients with cardiovascular risk factors recruited from general practice as part of the STOP-HF trial. B-type NP (BNP) was quantified at point-of-care.

Results: BNP was found to be as accurate for detecting Stage B heart failure in DM patients compared to non-DM patients (AUC 0.75 [0.71,0.78] and 0.77 [0.72,0.82], respectively). However, different BNP thresholds are required to achieve the same level of diagnostic sensitivity in DM compared with non-DM patients. To achieve 80% sensitivity a difference of 5-ng/L lower is required for patients with DM.

Conclusion: Although a significantly different BNP threshold is detected for patients with DM, the BNP concentration difference is small and unlikely to warrant a clinically different diagnostic threshold.     

Increased Risk for Developing Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Stented Chinese Patients Treated with Dual Antiplatelet Therapy after Concomitant Use of the Proton Pump Inhibitor

Background

Some clinical studies have demonstrated that the proton pump inhibitor (PPI) could decrease clopidogrel platelet response and increase major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in white or black subjects. However, that remains to be determined in Chinese patients. In this study, we sought to determine whether there could be an increased risk for developing MACE after concomitant use of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAT) and a PPI in Chinese patients treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and stenting.

Methods

This study was a 5-year, single-center, retrospective cohort analysis of eligible patients (n = 6188) who received DAT and a PPI concomitantly (defined as PPI users) before discharge and/or 12-month follow-up after discharge as compared with those who received DAT alone (also defined as non-PPI users, n = 1465). The incidence of recurrent MACE, such as myocardial infarction (MI), definite stent thromboses (ST), or cardiovascular death, was compared between the PPI users and non-users.

Results

PPI users had a significantly higher incidence of the MACE than non-users (13.9% vs. 10.6%; adjusted HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.12 – 1.57, P = 0.007). Stratified analysis revealed that concurrent use of DAT and a PPI was associated with a significantly increased risk for developing ST compared with DAT alone (1% vs. 0.4%; adjusted HR: 2.66, 95% CI: 1.16 – 5.87, P = 0.012). However, there were no significant differences in the risk of MI, cardiovascular death and other adverse events, regardless of combination of clopidogrel and a PPI.

Conclusions

The study further suggests that concomitant use of DAT and a PPI may be associated with an increased risk for developing MACE, in particular definite ST, in Chinese PCI patients after discharge as compared with use of DAT alone.     

Adipose tissue specific CCL18 associates with cardiometabolic diseases in non-obese individuals implicating CD4+ T cells

Prediabetes is common and associated with poor prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndrome and those undergoing revascularization. However, the impact of prediabetes on prognosis in patients with coronary intermediate lesions remains unclear. The objective of the current study is to explore the impact of prediabetes and compare the prognostic value of the different definitions of prediabetes in patients with coronary intermediate lesions. A total of 1532 patients attending Fuwai hospital (Beijing, China), with intermediate angiographic coronary lesions, not undergoing revascularization, were followed-up from 2013 to 2021. Patients were classified as normal glucose tolerance (NGT), prediabetes and diabetes according to various definitions based on HbA1c or admission fasting plasma glucose (FPG). The primary endpoint was defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), the composite endpoint of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and repeated revascularization therapy. Multivariate cox regression model was used to explore the association between categories of abnormal glucose category and MACE risk. The proportion of patients defined as prediabetes ranged from 3.92% to 47.06% depending on the definition used. A total of 197 MACE occurred during a median follow-up time of 6.1 years. Multivariate cox analysis showed that prediabetes according to the International Expert Committee (IEC) guideline (6.0 ≤ HbA1c < 6.5%) was associated with increased risk of MACE compared with NGT (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.705, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.143–2.543) and after confounding adjustment (HR: 1.513, 95%CI 1.005–2.277). Consistently, the best cut-off point of glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) identified based on the Youden’s index was also 6%. Restricted cubic spline analysis delineated a linear positive relationship between baseline HbA1c and MACE risk. Globally, FPG or FPG-based definition of prediabetes was not associated with patients’ outcome. In this cohort of patients with intermediate coronary lesions not undergoing revascularization therapy, prediabetes based on the IEC-HbA1c definition was associated with increased MACE risk compared with NGT, and may assist in identifying high-risk patients who can benefit from early lifestyle intervention.     

Plasma B-type Natriuretic Peptide as a Predictor of Cardiovascular Events in Subjects with Atrial Fibrillation: A Community-Based Study

Objectives

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant public health issue due to its high prevalence in the general population, and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) events including systemic thrombo-embolism, heart failure, and coronary artery disease. The relationship between plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and CV risk in real world AF subjects remains unknown.

Methods

The subject of the study (n = 228; mean age = 69 years) was unselected individuals with AF in a community-based population (n = 15,394; AF prevalence rate = 1.5%). The CV event free rate within each BNP tertile was estimated, and Cox regression analysis was performed to examine the relative risk of the onset of CV events among the tertiles. The prognostic ability of BNP was compared to an established risk score for embolic events (CHADS2 score). In addition, to determine the usefulness of BNP as a predictor in addition to CHADS2 score, we calculated Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) indices.

Results

During the follow-up period 58 subjects experienced CV events (52 per 1,000 person-years). The event-free ratio was significantly lower in the highest tertile (p < 0.02). After adjustment for established CV risk factors, the hazard ratio (HR) of the highest tertile was significantly higher than that of the lowest tertile (HR = 2.38; p < 0.02). The predictive abilities of plasma BNP in terms of sensitivity and specificity for general CV events were comparable to those of CHADS2 score. Adding BNP to the CHADS2 score only model improved the NRI (0.319; p < 0.05) and the IDI (0.046; p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Plasma BNP is a valuable biomarker both singly or in combination with an established scoring system for assessing general CV risk including stroke, heart failure and acute coronary syndrome in real-world AF subjects.     

Haptoglobin genotype predicts development of coronary artery calcification in a prospective cohort of patients with type 1 diabetes

Background

Soluble ST2, a member of the of the Toll/IL-1 superfamily, is a novel biomarker with exceptional predictive value in heart failure and myocardial infarction- related mortality as well as in acute dyspneic states. Soluble ST2 is considered a decoy receptor of IL 33 that blocks the protective effects of the cytokine in atherosclerosis and cardiac remodeling. In the present study we investigated the differences in the levels of soluble ST2, BNP and hs-CRP between healthy controls and patients with type 2 diabetes with and without left ventricular diastolic dysfunction. A secondary aim was to investigate correlations between sST2 and other biomarkers of type 2 diabetes, such as HbA1c.

Methods

158 volunteers were recruited and underwent a complete Doppler-echocardiographic evaluation of both systolic & diastolic cardiac function. All subjects with ejection fraction < 50% were excluded. The study population was divided in 4 groups as follows: A: 42 healthy controls, B: 18 subjects without diabetes with LVDD, C: 48 patients with type 2 diabetes without LVDD & D: 50 patients with type 2 diabetes & LVDD. ELISA technique was performed to measure sST2 levels. Statistical analysis was performed with Kruskal-Wallis & Mann-Whitney test (continuous variables), chi squared & Fischer exact test (discrete variables), Spearman coefficient (univariate analysis) and step-wise backward method (multivariate analysis).

Results

Patients with type 2 diabetes with (p < 0.001) or without LVDD (p = 0.007) had higher serum ST2 levels compared to healthy controls, state found also for hs-CRP levels but not for the corresponding BNP levels (p = 0.213 & p = 0.207 respectively). Patients with type 2 diabetes & LVDD had higher serum ST2 in relation to diabetic patients without LVDD (p = 0.001). In multivariate analysis HbA1c positively and independently correlated with sST2 levels in both groups of patients with type 2 diabetes.

Conclusions

Patients with type 2 diabetes exhibit higher sST2 levels compared to healthy controls. The presence of LVDD in patients with type 2 diabetes is associated with even higher sST2 levels. A significant correlation between glycemic control and sST2 levels was also revealed.     

Maternal lifestyle factors and risk of neuroblastoma in the offspring: A meta-analysis including Greek NARECHEM-ST primary data

The etiology of childhood neuroblastoma remains largely unknown. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we summarized and quantitatively synthesized published evidence on the association of maternal modifiable lifestyle factors with neuroblastoma risk in the offspring. We searched MEDLINE up to December 31, 2020 for eligible studies assessing the association of maternal smoking, alcohol consumption and nutritional supplementation during pregnancy with childhood (0–14 years) neuroblastoma risk. Random-effects models were run, and summary odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) on the relevant associations were calculated, including estimates derived from primary data (n = 103 cases and n = 103 controls) of the Nationwide Registry for Childhood Hematological Malignancies and Solid Tumors (NARECHEM-ST) case control study (2009–2017) in Greece. Twenty-one eligible studies amounting 5163 cases participating in both case-control and cohort/linkage studies were included in the meta-analysis. Maternal smoking and alcohol consumption were not statistically significantly associated with neuroblastoma risk (summary OR_smoking: 1.08, 95% CI: 0.96–1.22, I² =12.0%, n = 17 studies; summary OR_alcohol: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.82–1.18, I² =0.0%, n = 8 studies). By contrast, maternal vitamin intake during pregnancy was associated with significantly lower neuroblastoma risk (summary OR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.34–0.95, I² =58.9%, n = 4 studies). The results of the largest to-date meta-analysis point to an inverse association between vitamin intake during pregnancy and childhood neuroblastoma risk. Future longitudinal studies are needed to confirm and further specify these associations as to guide preventive efforts on modifiable maternal risk factors of childhood neuroblastoma.     

2-h postchallenge plasma glucose predicts cardiovascular events in patients with myocardial infarction without known diabetes mellitus

ABSTRACT: Background and Purpose: The incidence of cardiovascular events remains high in patients with myocardial infarction (MI) despite advances in current therapies. New and better methods for identifying patients at high risk of recurrent cardiovascular (CV) events are needed. This study aimed to analyze the predictive value of an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in patients with acute myocardial infarction without known diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: The prospective cohort study consisted of 123 men and women aged between 31-80 years who had suffered a previous MI 3-12 months before the examinations. The exclusion criteria were known diabetes mellitus. Patients were followed up over 6.03 +/- 1.36 years for CV death, recurrent MI, stroke and unstable angina pectoris. A standard OGTT was performed at baseline. RESULTS: 2-h plasma glucose (RR, 1.27, 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.62; P<0.05) and smoking (RR, 3.56, 95% CI, 1.02 to 12.38; P<0.05) proved to be independent predictors of CV events in multivariate statistical analysis after adjustments for age, sex, total cholesterol, and other baseline characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: In this study population, with previous MI and without known DM, 2-h PG and smoking were significant predictors of CV death, recurrent MI, stroke and unstable angina pectoris, independent of baseline characteristics and medical treatment.     

Angiopoietin-2 as a Prognostic Biomarker of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and All-Cause Mortality in Chronic Kidney Disease

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients have higher prevalence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality. Endothelial damage and dysfunction have been regarded as early portents of MACE in CKD patients. Angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) impairs endothelial function and promotes aberrant neovascularization. The aim of the study was to assess the relationship between circulating Ang-2 and MACE or all-cause mortality in a CKD cohort.

Methods

A total of 621 pre-dialysis stage 3–5 CKD patients were enrolled from January 2006 to December 2011 and were followed up till October 2014. Plasma Ang-2 was measured in duplicate using commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA). Clinical outcomes included MACE or all-cause mortality

Results

Of all patients, 122 (19.8%) reached MACE or all-cause mortality. Seventy-two had MACE, 79 died, and 29 had both MACE and all-cause mortality during the follow-up period of 41.5±28.3 months. Ang-2 quintile was divided at 1405.0, 1730.0, 2160.9, and 2829.9 pg/ml. The adjusted HR of MACE or all-cause mortality for every single higher log Ang-2 was 5.69 (95% CI: 2.00–16.20, P = 0.001). The adjusted HR of MACE or all-cause mortality was 2.48 (95% CI: 1.25–4.90) for patients of quintile 5 compared with those of quintile 1. A longitudinal association between MACE or all-cause mortality and stepwise increases in Ang-2 levels was found (P-trend = 0.008).

Conclusions

Ang-2 is an independent predictor of MACE or all-cause mortality in CKD patients. Additional study is necessary in order to explore the mechanism of the association of Ang-2 with adverse outcomes in patients with CKD.     

Soluble ST2 and Interleukin-33 Levels in Coronary Artery Disease: Relation to Disease Activity and Adverse Outcome

Objectives

ST2 is a receptor for interleukin (IL)-33. We investigated an association of soluble ST2 (sST2) and IL-33 serum levels with different clinical stages of coronary artery disease. We assessed the predictive value of sST2 and IL-33 in patients with stable angina, non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

Methods

We included 373 patients of whom 178 had stable angina, 97 had NSTEMI, and 98 had STEMI. Patients were followed for a mean of 43 months. The control group consisted of 65 individuals without significant stenosis on coronary angiography. Serum levels of sST2 and IL-33 were measured by ELISAs.

Results

sST2 levels were significantly increased in patients with STEMI as compared to patients with NSTEMI and stable angina as well as with controls. IL-33 levels did not differ between the four groups. During follow-up, 37 (10%) patients died and the combined endpoint (all cause death, MI and rehospitalisation for cardiac causes) occurred in 66 (17.6%) patients. sST2 serum levels significantly predicted mortality in the total cohort. When patients were stratified according to their clinical presentation, the highest quintile of sST2 significantly predicted mortality in patients with STEMI, but not with NSTEMI or stable coronary artery disease. sST2 was a significant predictor for the combined endpoint in STEMI patients and in patients with stable angina. Serum levels of IL-33 were not associated with clinical outcome in the total cohort, but the highest quintile of IL-33 predicted mortality in patients with STEMI.

Conclusions

Serum levels of sST2 are increased in patients with acute coronary syndromes as compared to levels in patients with stable coronary artery disease and in individuals without coronary artery disease. sST2 and IL-33 were associated with mortality in patients with STEMI but not in patients with NSTEMI or stable angina.     

The Prognostic Value of Plasma Soluble ST2 in Hospitalized Chinese Patients with Heart Failure

Background

sST2 has been shown to be a risk predictor in heart failure (HF). Our aim was to explore the characteristics and prognostic value of soluble ST2 (sST2) in hospitalized Chinese patients with HF.

Methods and Results

We consecutively enrolled 1528 hospitalized patients with HF. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis were used to assess the prognostic values of sST2. Adverse events were defined as all-cause death and cardiac transplantation. During a median follow-up of 19.1 months, 325 patients experienced adverse events. Compared with patients free of events, sST2 concentrations were significantly higher in patients with events (P<0.001). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses showed sST2 concentrations were significantly associated with adverse events (per 1 log unit, adjusted hazard ratio 1.52, 95% confidence interval: 1.30 to 1.78, P<0.001). An sST2 concentration in the highest quartiles (>55.6 ng/mL) independently predicted events in comparison to the lowest quartile (≤25.2 ng/mL) when adjusted by multivariable model. In ROC analysis, the area under the curve for sST2 was not different from that for NT-proBNP in short and longer term. Over time, sST2 also improved discrimination and reclassification of risk beyond NT-proBNP.

Conclusions

sST2 is a strong independent risk predictor in Chinese patients hospitalized with HF and can significantly provide additional prognostic value to NT-proBNP in risk prediction.     

Identification of a 4‐mRNA metastasis‐related prognostic signature for patients with breast cancer

Metastasis‐related mRNAs have showed great promise as prognostic biomarkers in various types of cancers. Therefore, we attempted to develop a metastasis‐associated gene signature to enhance prognostic prediction of breast cancer (BC) based on gene expression profiling. We firstly screened and identified 56 differentially expressed mRNAs by analysing BC tumour tissues with and without metastasis in the discovery cohort (GSE102484, n = 683). We then found 26 of these differentially expressed genes were associated with metastasis‐free survival (MFS) in the training set (GSE20685, n = 319). A metastasis‐associated gene signature built using a LASSO Cox regression model, which consisted of four mRNAs, can classify patients into high‐ and low‐risk groups in the training cohort. Patients with high‐risk scores in the training cohort had shorter MFS (hazard ratio [HR] 3.89, 95% CI 2.53‐5.98; P < 0.001), disease‐free survival (DFS) (HR 4.69, 2.93‐7.50; P < 0.001) and overall survival (HR 4.06, 2.56‐6.45; P < 0.001) than patients with low‐risk scores. The prognostic accuracy of mRNAs signature was validated in the two independent validation cohorts (GSE21653, n = 248; GSE31448, n = 246). We then developed a nomogram based on the mRNAs signature and clinical‐related risk factors (T stage and N stage) that predicted an individual's risk of disease, which can be assessed by calibration curves. Our study demonstrated that this 4‐mRNA signature might be a reliable and useful prognostic tool for DFS evaluation and will facilitate tailored therapy for BC patients at different risk of disease.