Americans' Nanotechnology Risk Perception:

Although proposed nanotechnology applications hold great promise, little is known about the potential associated risks. This lack of clarity on the level of risk associated with nanotechnology has forced people to make decisions about consumption with incomplete information. A national random digit dialing telephone survey (N= 1014) was conducted in the United States to assess knowledge of nanotechnology and perception of risk in August 2006. This investigation looks critically at individuals' responses to questions about the balance of risks and benefits of nanotechnology, both at the outset of the survey and after respondents were given a brief introduction to the potential benefits and risks of the technology. Models were created to characterzise respondents who said they did not know how nanotechnology's risks and benefits balanced in the “preinformation” condition but who, in the postinformation condition, had a different opinion. Respondents who were highly educated, members of the Republican Party, or male were more likely to switch from “don't know” in the preinformation condition to “benefits outweigh risks” in the postinformation condition, whereas respondents who were less educated, members of the Democratic Party, or female were more likely to switch from “don't know” in the preinformation condition to “risks outweigh benefits” in the postinformation condition. This is the first study to our knowledge to develop a significant model of nanotechnology risk perception change, specifically with regard to gender differences. The power of information provision to sway opinions is also supported, highlighting the importance of developing educational efforts targeting vulnerable populations.     

Objective and Perceived Risk Estimates of Travel Modes in the Norwegian Public

The aim of this study was to identify groups of travel mode users, based on objective risk estimates, and examine overall differences in demographic characteristics, perceived risk, worry, perceived control when using travel modes, trust in authorities, and safety motivation. The results were based on a self-completion questionnaire survey about risk perception and travel mode use in a representative sample of the Norwegian public (n = 1864). In addition, aggregate-level data on accidents in transport were used to establish the “objective risk” for various travel modes. The respondents were split into two clusters. The first cluster was characterized by a relatively greater objective risk for accidents related to public travel modes as well as related to being a pedestrian, while the second cluster was characterized by a higher risk level related to motorized private modes of transportation. There was a significant overall difference in the risk estimates among the members of the two clusters. There was also an overall difference in risk perception and other risk-related judgments due to which risk estimate-based cluster the respondents belonged. Associations between objective risk estimates, perceived risk, and worry are discussed in relation to cluster differences in objective risk.     

Public Reactions to Risk Messages Communicating Different Sources of Uncertainty: An Experimental Test

There is an abundant literature on the challenge of integrating uncertainties in experts’ risk assessments, but the evidence on the way they are understood by the public is scarce and mixed. This study aims to better understand the effect of communicating different sources of uncertainty in risk communication. A causal design was employed to test the effect of communicating risk messages varying in type of advisory warning (no risk and suggests no protective measure, or risk and recommends a protective measure) and sources of uncertainty (no uncertainty, divergence between experts, contradictory data, or lack of data) on public reactions. Participants from the general public (N = 434) were randomly assigned to read and react to variants of a fictitious government message discussing the presence of a new micro-organism found in tap water. Multiple analysis of variance showed that to report uncertainty from divergence between experts or from contradictory data reduced the adherence to the message, but not to mention the lack of data. Moreover, the communication of diverse sources of uncertainty did not affect trust in the government when the advisory warning stated there was a risk and recommended a protective measure. These findings have important implications for risk communication.     

Analysis of Determining Factors of the Public's Risk Acceptance Level in China

This work will characterize risk acceptance in China, based on the psychometric paradigm, and explore the determining factors that influence the risk acceptable level to the Chinese public. For this purpose, a survey was conducted including 12 hazards, 10 risk attributes (including risk acceptance), and demographic variables. First, the research attempted to explore Nanjing citizens’ average risk acceptable level for 12 hazards in China. Second, intercorrelation analysis and factor analysis of nine risk attributes were performed to obtain the suitable risk perception factors as independent variables. Three risk perception models of acceptance were constructed, which were named “Environmental risk model,” “Daily risk model,” and “Technical risk model,” that explained 59.0–69.6% of variance separately. In general, the variables of Knowledge, Benefit, and Trust were found to be significant in all models, implying that these variables are the main determining factors. However, in the environmental risk model, the variable of effect was also significant, which means the determining factors would change for different types of hazards. These results could help the Chinese government to improve the communication of risks with the public and make effective mitigation policies to improve people's rational judgment on the acceptability of risks.     

Predicting the Future: Review of Public Perception Studies of Nanotechnology

Public perception may have a strong impact on the progress of nanotechnology. A comprehensive risk assessment should therefore take the public into account. This article reviews the social science research examining public perception of nanotechnology. Factors that are important for shaping public perception are described, and applications that could pose acceptance problems are identified. Possibilities and limits of research dealing with future acceptance of nanotechnology are discussed. Implications for industry and science are outlined.     

Divergence between general public's risk perception and environmental risk assessment: A case study of p-xylene projects in China

The growing public opposition to p-xylene (PX) project proposals in China requires understanding the divergence between the general public's risk perception and environmental risk assessment (ERA) results and its implications on its decision-making. In a case study in Fujian Province of China, a questionnaire was designed to investigate the public perception of risks of a proposed PX project, interviews were further conducted in Zhangzhou City and Xiamen City, and the survey results were compared with the ERA results of the proposed PX project. Results indicate that the environmental risk is acceptable according to current technical ERA guidelines and standards, while the public acceptance of the PX project is very low. The underlying factors causing the difference between the general public's risk perception and ERA results were identified from the ERA technical perspective. A better understanding of the risk perception divergence from different disciplinary perspectives is helpful for the public acceptance of these kinds of projects, which are on high demand in China. This study not only highlights the necessity to improve the risk communication but also provides insights on future research of ERA for this kind of large-scale project proposal.     

Understanding Worry About Risks Associated With Thyroid Hormone Therapy: A National Survey of Endocrinologists,Family Physicians,and Geriatricians

ObjectiveThyroid hormone use is widespread, and prior studies have shown that over- and undertreatment with thyroid hormone are common. Our objective was to understand physician worry regarding risks associated with thyroid hormone therapy, specifically overtreatment or undertreatment.MethodsA nationwide survey was administered to physician members of the Endocrine Society, the American Academy of Family Practice, and the American Geriatrics Society. Participants were asked how often they were worried about various risks that may be associated with thyroid hormone over- or undertreatment, that is, cardiovascular complications, bone complications, and poor quality of life due to overtreatment or undertreatment with thyroid hormone. Multivariable regression analyses were conducted to determine physician characteristics associated with each worry.ResultsThe response rate was 63% (359 of 566); of those who responded, 128 (36%) were primary care physicians, 114 (32%) were endocrinologists, and 113 (32%) were geriatricians. Overall, 74 (21%) physicians reported that they frequently or always worried about cardiovascular complications, 74 (21%) about bone complications, 111 (31%) about the poor quality of life due to symptoms from undertreatment with thyroid hormone, and 87 (24%) about the poor quality of life due to symptoms from overtreatment with thyroid hormone. Endocrinologists were more likely to frequently or always worry about the patients' poor quality of life due to symptoms from overtreatment (odds ratio, 2.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-3.93) compared with primary care physicians.ConclusionUp to one third of the physicians frequently or always worried about risks resulting from the thyroid hormone overtreatment or undertreatment. More research is needed across specialties to understand physician perceptions of how thyroid hormone therapy impacts the patients' quality of life.     

Beyond the Hazard: The Role of Beliefs in Health Risk Perception

This article addresses how beliefs about health risks cluster and how these relate to perceptions of risk among Canadians. A principal components analysis conducted on items reflecting various beliefs from the Canadian National Health Risk Perception Survey extracted four underlying dimensions: Cancer Dread, Trust in Regulators, Environmental Concern, and Personal Agency. Factor scores were then used to investigate relationships between belief factors and the perceived health risk of various hazards with gender, education, income, and province of residence as covariates. Environmental and Therapeutic health risk perceptions were significantly higher in respondents with high Cancer Dread and high Environmental Concern, but lower in respondents with high Trust in Regulators. Environmental health risk perceptions were lower in respondents with high Personal Agency, whereas Social health risk perceptions were higher in respondents with high Cancer Dread and Personal Agency. Results suggest that information about health risk–related beliefs can be useful in improving our understanding of the public's perceived risk of health hazards.     

Development of a Relative Ranking Risk Index for Risk Assessment in the Transportation of Liquefied Petroleum Gas in Mexico City's Metropolitan Area

The development of a relative ranking methodology created specifically for the assessment of the risk due transportation of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) in Mexico City is reported. Mexico City has a number of conditions that present specific challenges: Large population, varied geography, large consumption of LPG, and all sorts of vehicles, including those for LPG. Given Mexico's status as “emerging economy,” it is reasonable to assume that the main causes that promote accidents during transportation of LPG are quite different from those in developed countries. This issue was corroborated through information from official sources and from news media. Due to the lack of official data, a systematic collection of information on the media was performed. A relative ranking methodology was developed based on a systematic study to elucidate the main causes of accidents in Mexico and on the results derived from the integrated database from official data and the media. The weighting that made up the Risk Index for Transportation of LPG is based on the same database. A classification guide was created in order to harmonize criteria in the assessment of the parameters of the proposed risk index.     

城市居民对城市近自然园林的态度——以武汉市洪山区为例

近自然园林是一种可持续发展的园林建设理念,市民在多大程度上了解和接受近自然园林理念是决定其能否成功应用于实践的关键.通过半结构访谈式调查,研究了武汉市洪山区市民对园林近自然设计和管理的态度,并探讨受访者社会经济特征及其对近自然园林态度的影响.结果表明:研究区赞同园林近自然设计和管理各项措施的人数比例偏低,支持率分别为10.3%~46.9%和7.4%~34.9%;市民对园林近自然设计的态度主要受受访者年龄的影响,受访者对近自然管理的态度与年龄、受教育程度和所从事职业呈显著的相关性.市民重视绿地视觉效果,欣赏干净、整洁的绿地环境是导致他们对近自然园林支持率偏低的直接原因,是否具备相关生态学知识和较强的环境保护意识是影响市民对近自然园林态度的根本原因.通过建立近自然园林示范基地和加强近自然园林理念及相关生态学知识的宣传等措施可促使大部分市民接受并支持近自然园林建设.     

Developing A Regional Ecological Risk Assessment: A Case Study of a Tasmanian Agricultural Catchment

A regional ecological risk assessment was conducted for the Mountain River catchment in Tasmania, Australia. The Relative Risk Model was used in conjunction with geographic information systems interpretations. Stakeholder values were used to develop assessment endpoints, and regional stressors and habitats were identified. The risk hypotheses expressed in the conceptual model were that agriculture and land clearing for rural residential are producing multiple stressors that have potential for contamination of local waterbodies, eutrophication, changes in hydrology, reduction in the habitat of native flora and fauna, reductions in populations of beneficial insects in agricultural production systems, increased weed competition in pastures, and loss of aesthetic value in residential areas. In the risk analysis the catchment was divided into risk regions based on topography and land use. Stressors were ranked on likelihood of occurrence, while habitats were ranked on percentage land area. Risk characterization showed risks to the maintenance of productive primary industries were highest across all risk regions, followed by maintenance of a good residential environment and maintenance of fish populations. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to show the variability in risk outcomes stemming from uncertainty about stressors and habitats. Outcomes from this assessment provide a basis for planning regional environmental monitoring programs.     

Survey of the howling monkey population at La Pacifica: A seven-year follow-up

We surveyed the howling monkey population at La Pacifica in Costa Rica over a 1-month period in July and August 1991. The survey method consisted of an initial 6-day survey, directly comparable to a 1984 survey, and at least two repeat surveys of all areas to locate all groups and to identify all animals. The initial survey indicated an increase in the number of groups and a decrease in the size of groups from earlier surveys, though the group composition was unchanged. We used the results of initial and repeat surveys to determine population size and composition. We located 30 groups with a total of 370 animals. Twenty-one groups contained animals marked with collars and/or legbands, and four additional groups contained animals with clearly identifiable white markings. Although the population structure has changed over 7 years, it is still within the species-typical range for Alouatta palliata.     

Risk taking during parental care: a test of the harm-to-offspring hypothesis

Amount of risk taking during parental care is often explainedin relation to the reproductive value of the offspring. The"harm-to-offspring hypothesis" focuses on the relative harma period of no parental care can do to the offspring. Accordingto this hypothesis, parents should take greater risks for offspringin poor condition than for offspring in good condition. We manipulatedoffspring condition in the pied flycatcher (Ficedula hypoleuca)and tested the harm-to-offspring hypothesis by exposing parentsto a predator model (a sparrowhawk, Accipiter nisus). Time elapseduntil a parent first entered the nest-box was used as a risk-takingmeasure. Parents spent significantly shorter time until first nestvisit for offspring in poor condition than for offspring ingood condition. Hence, the harm-to-offspring hypothesis wassupported.     

Taste evaluation of potato glycoalkaloids by the Aymara: A case study in human chemical ecology

A chemical ecological model can be the basis for defining testable hypotheses concerning human interactions with plants. Selection by Aymara subsistence cultivators against toxic glycoalkaloids in the ongoing domestication of the Bolivian potato cultigen Solanum X ajanhuiriwas used as a specific case study of human interactions with phytochemicals. In taste perception tests, Aymara subjects were able to discriminate between concentrations of pure glycoalkaloids in solution only above 20 mg/100 ml. Taste panel tests of potato clones indicated that glycoalkaloid levels are important to the Aymara in determining quality only as part of a decision-making process involving two character states: too high or acceptable. Glycoalkaloids in potatoes are regarded as toxic to humans above 20 mg/100 g fresh weight. Among the Aymara, a breakpoint in the curve for glycoalkaloid preference appears to occur between 20–38 mg/100 g. This distinction is evident in the Aymara potato taxonomy which distinguishes bitter (luq'i ch'oke) from nonbitter (ch'oke) potatoes.     

A Bootstrap-Based Covariate Selection Method for Modeling the Risk of Lightning-Induced Fires at a Local Scale: A Case Study in Northwest Spain

In lightning-induced fire risk prediction models, the number of potential predictors is usually high, with some redundancy among them. It is therefore important to select the best subset of predictors that obtain models with the greatest discrimination capacity. With this aim in mind, the logistic generalized linear model was used to estimate lightning-induced fire occurrence using a case study of the province of León (northwest Spain). A bootstrap-based test was used to obtain the optimal number of predictors and to model this optimal number of predictors displaying the largest area under the receiver operating characteristics curve. The results show that of the 16 variables initially considered, only three were necessary to obtain the model with the best discriminatory capacity for estimating lightning-induced fire occurrence. Moreover, this model can be considered equivalent to another nine alternative models with three covariates. Both the optimal and the equivalent models are useful in the spatially explicit assessment of fire risk, the planning and coordination of regional efforts to identify areas at greatest risk, and the design of long-term wildfire management strategies. The methodology used for this case study can be applied to other wildfire risk assessment situations where multiple and interconnected covariates are available.     

Environmental Risk Assessment of Dams by Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Methods: A Case Study of the Polrood Dam,Guilan Province,Iran

A dam's construction always imposes some risks to the environment. In this article, the environmental risks of the Polrood dam, located in a northern province of Iran, during its construction phase, were identified, ranked, and evaluated. The risk factors were initially identified by Delphi questionnaire and then rated using the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). Subsequently, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) was applied to classify the risk factors into four major categories, and Expert Choice software was used to weight them. Based on the obtained results, Physicochemical; Biological; Economic, Social, and Cultural; and Health and Safety risks were rated by the weights of 0.124, 0.080, 0.048, and 0.021, respectively. Among the physicochemical risks, Erosion and Sedimentation weighted 0.061 and 0.047, respectively, were identified as the most serious risks. Among the biological risks, the highest negative impact was assigned to Land Cover with the weight of 0.189. In the third category, the most important risk was Population Displacement, weighted 0.114. Workers’ Falls with the weight of 0.109 was also determined as the highest risk in the last category. A comprehensive risk response plan will be required for dealing with the identified risks and their mitigation.     

Risk assessment of land ecology on a regional scale: Application of the relative risk model to the mining city of Daye,China

The ecological risk assessment of land ecosystems plays a vital role in land environment protection and management in China. To identify the ecological impairment in land ecosystems, risk assessment of regional land ecology was conducted in Daye, a traditional mining city in Central China, using the relative risk model (RRM). The study area was divided into six sub-regions; and the sources, stressors, habitats, and end points of the impairment were identified. A conceptual model was built to represent the ecological interactions among risk components. Results showed the following: (1) The traditional iron–coal mining sub-region and the mineral processing sub-region exhibited high risk. (2) Mining was the largest risk source, followed by solid waste piling and urbanization. (3) Disappearance of habitats was the greatest risk stressor, followed by the accumulation of pollutants and heavy metals. (4) Among the eight identified habitats, the lake habitat was the most likely to be affected. (5) Health threats, soil contamination, and landscape aesthetic dysfunctions appeared to be the end points under the largest risk pressure. Finally, Monte Carlo analysis was used to evaluate the effects of uncertainty on risk model predictions. Our assessment model was proven to be generally valid for regional land ecology risk assessment.