International Commission for Protection Against Environmental Mutagens and Carcinogens. ICPEMC Working Paper No. 3. The concept of negativity in experimental carcinogenesis

The problems that arise in the interpretation of experimental data on chemical carcinogenesis are addressed. In particular, the difficulties in demonstrating negative results are shown to present problems in delineating carcinogens from noncarcinogens. The use of the virtually safe dose estimated under the assumption of low dose linearity is shown to lead to potentially anomalous results if used indiscriminately in bioassays in which no statistically significant increase in tumor occurrence is induced. It is suggested that there is a need to establish an operational definition of negativity in carcinogenesis, with the realization that this definition may be revised in light of new information. The establishment of negativity in aligning data from positive and negative experiments and in considering possible thresholds is also discussed.     

Origin of scalp far-field N18 of SSEPs in response to median nerve stimulation

To identify the origin of scalp-recorded far-field negativity of short-latency somatosensory evoked potentials to median nerve stimulation (designated N18), direct records were made from the thalamus and ventricular system during 4 stereotaxic and 3 posterior fossa operations.In the thalamus a negative potential with almost the same latency as the scalp N18 was restricted to the Vim nucleus, but there was a large positive potential in the VC nucleus and medial lemniscus. Vim negativity increased in amplitude when high frequency stimulation was given to the median nerve, indicative of a facilitation effect. In contrast, the amplitude of scalp N18 decreased at high frequency stimulus.Direct recordings made through the medulla oblongata to the mid-brain showed a negative potential with gradually increasing latency. Above the upper pons, there was stationary negativity with no latency shift. The similarity between this negative potential and N18 is shown by their having the same latency and same response to the amplitude reduction and latency prolongation produced by high frequency stimulus.Our data suggest that scalp N18 comes from brain-stem activity between the upper pons and the mid-brain rather than from the thalamus.     

Neural Correlates of Processing Negative and Sexually Arousing Pictures

Recent work has questioned whether the negativity bias is a distinct component of affective picture processing. The current study was designed to determine whether there are different neural correlates of processing positive and negative pictures using event-related brain potentials. The early posterior negativity and late positive potential were greatest in amplitude for erotic pictures. Partial Least Squares analysis revealed one latent variable that distinguished erotic pictures from neutral and positive pictures and another that differentiated negative pictures from neutral and positive pictures. The effects of orienting task on the neural correlates of processing negative and erotic pictures indicate that affective picture processing is sensitive to both stimulus-driven, and attentional or decision processes. The current data, together with other recent findings from our laboratory, lead to the suggestion that there are distinct neural correlates of processing negative and positive stimuli during affective picture processing.     

Incorporation of biological information in cancer risk assessment: Example — Vinyl chloride

Vinyl chloride (VC) is used as an example to demonstrate how biological information can be incorporated into quantitative risk assessment. The information included is the pharmacokinetics of VC in animals and humans and the data-generated hypothesis that VC primarily affects the initiation stage of the multistage carcinogenesis. The emphasis in this paper is on the improvement of risk assessment methodology rather than the risk assessment of VC per se.Sufficient data are available to construct physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models for both animals and humans. These models are used to calculate the metabolized dose corresponding to exposure scenarios in animals and in humans.On the basis of the data on liver angiosarcomas and carcinomas in rats, the cancer risk per unit of metabolized dose is comparable, irrespective of routes (oral or inhalation) of exposure. The tumor response from an intermittent/partial lifetime exposure is shown to be consistent with that from a lifetime exposure when VC is assumed to affect the first (initiation) stage of the multistage carcinogenic process. Furthermore, the risk estimates calculated on the basis of animal data are shown to be consistent with the human experience.     

Utilizing Cause-of-Death Information to Estimate Conditional Probabilities of Disease and Death

Conditional probabilities that do not require the assumption of independence among competing risks for identifiability are proposed for the analysis of carcinogenesis bioassay data as a reasonable adjustment for deaths or other removals due to competing risks. These conditional probabilities permit consideration of one type of tumor at a time, but in such a way that inferences are relevant to actual experimental conditions under which other diseases and causes of death are present and operating. The importance of assigning cause of death in bioassays is demonstrated by the fact that it allows the definition and identification of functions useful in the interpretation of carcinogenesis data, without requiring that a disease of interest be independent from competing risks. However, one proposed conditional probability does require sacrifice data for its identifiability.     

Negativity Bias in Dangerous Drivers

The behavioral and cognitive characteristics of dangerous drivers differ significantly from those of safe drivers. However, differences in emotional information processing have seldom been investigated. Previous studies have revealed that drivers with higher anger/anxiety trait scores are more likely to be involved in crashes and that individuals with higher anger traits exhibit stronger negativity biases when processing emotions compared with control groups. However, researchers have not explored the relationship between emotional information processing and driving behavior. In this study, we examined the emotional information processing differences between dangerous drivers and safe drivers. Thirty-eight non-professional drivers were divided into two groups according to the penalty points that they had accrued for traffic violations: 15 drivers with 6 or more points were included in the dangerous driver group, and 23 drivers with 3 or fewer points were included in the safe driver group. The emotional Stroop task was used to measure negativity biases, and both behavioral and electroencephalograph data were recorded. The behavioral results revealed stronger negativity biases in the dangerous drivers than in the safe drivers. The bias score was correlated with self-reported dangerous driving behavior. Drivers with strong negativity biases reported having been involved in mores crashes compared with the less-biased drivers. The event-related potentials (ERPs) revealed that the dangerous drivers exhibited reduced P3 components when responding to negative stimuli, suggesting decreased inhibitory control of information that is task-irrelevant but emotionally salient. The influence of negativity bias provides one possible explanation of the effects of individual differences on dangerous driving behavior and traffic crashes.     

Dose response problems in carcinogenesis.

The estimation of risks from exposure to carcinogens is an important problem from the viewpoint of protection of human health. It also poses some very difficult dose-response problems. Two dose-response models may fit experimental data about equally well and yet predict responses that differ by many orders of magnitude at low doses. Mechanisms of carcinogenesis are not sufficiently understood so that the shape of the dose-response curve at low doses can be satisfactorily predicted. Mathematical theories of carcinogenesis and statistical procedures can be of use with dose-reponse problems such as this and, in addition, can lead to a better understanding of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis. In this paper, mathematical dose-response models of carcinogenesis are considered as well as various proposed dose-response procedures for estimating carcinogenic risks at low doses. Areas are suggested in which further work may be useful. These areas include experimental design problems, statistical procedures for use with time-to-occurrence data, and mathematical models that incorporate such biological features as pharmacokinetics of carcinogens, synergistic effects, DNA repair, susceptible subpopulations, and immune reactions.     

Dose-response and thresholds in mutagenicity studies: a statistical testing approach

The analysis of dose-response relationships is an important objective in toxicology, and one in which both modelling and testing approaches are used. One particular question is whether a threshold exists at low doses. The concept of a pragmatic threshold is used, i.e. low doses with biologically unimportant effects are assumed to be threshold doses. "Biologically unimportant" means, in statistical terms, a lower effect than the effect of the negative control, or at least a just-tolerable margin delta higher than the effect of the negative control. Therefore, threshold doses can be tested in terms of a one-sided hypothesis of equivalence. A new approach is proposed, assuming, at the least, that the low dose is a threshold dose, and the highest dose is superior to the negative control. By analogy to the k-fold rule commonly used in mutagenicity studies, tests on ratio-to-control are used. The a priori definition of the threshold margin is inherently needed. A further approach proposes the analysis of dose-response relationships by means of order-restricted inference (the so-called trend test). A modification of a multiple-contrast test is used, in which only those contrasts are included that are sensitive for no effects at low doses. A further modification treats the complicated, but real, problem of simultaneous existence of a threshold, a monotonic increase, and a downturn effect at high dose(s). A parametric procedure is considered, together with an extension for proportions. The important problem of a priori sample size definition is discussed. The approaches are demonstrated by means of examples based on real data.     

Is racism the new sectarianism? Negativity towards immigrants and ethnic minorities in Northern Ireland from 2004 to 2015

Negativity towards ethnic minorities is a serious problem in Northern Ireland. Its history of the Troubles around religious identities makes Northern Ireland a special case in Europe. This paper examines negativity towards Muslims, Eastern Europeans and immigrants in Northern Ireland using data from the Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey and the British Social Attitudes Survey. The results from regressions show that anti-immigrant negativity is no more prevalent in Northern Ireland than elsewhere in the UK. However, levels of negativity towards Muslims and Eastern Europeans are significantly higher than in Great Britain and have increased in recent years, particularly among young adults aged 18–24 years, although older cohorts are more intolerant on average. Our regression analyses found strong positive relationships between anti-immigrant negativity, sectarianism and perceived neighbourhood segregation. Higher education, contacts with minority members and (religiously) mixed schooling are negatively related to negativity towards immigrants.     

Mismatch negativity as a characteristic of the distinguishing locating capacity of the human auditory system

Mismatch negativity has been studied under the conditions of dichotic stimulation by deviant stimuli that either changed their azimuth from zero to 4.5°, 13.5°, and 22.5° or moved with small velocities from the head midline to one of the ears. The reference stimuli were located along the head midline. Our experiments have shown that both a discontinuous increase in the azimuth and an increase in the velocity of moving stimuli are accompanied by an increase in the amplitude of mismatch negativity. This process is more pronounced in the cases of (1) an instantaneous change in the deviant azimuth compared to its movement, (2) a longer duration of the deviant sound, (3) action of the deviant in the right hemisphere, and (4) the frontal derivation. The correlations of changes in the mismatch negativity with psychophysical data on the resolution of the human auditory system are considered.     

Model of accelerated carcinogenesis based on proliferative stress and inflammation for doses relevant to radiotherapy

Recent findings demonstrate that accelerated carcinogenesis following liver regeneration is associated with chronic inflammation-induced double-strand DNA breaks in cells, which escaped apoptosis due to proliferative stress. In this work, proliferative stress and inflammation-based carcinogenesis at large dose were included in a cancer induction model considering fractionation. At large dose, tissue injury due to irradiation could be so severe that under the regenerative proliferative stress induced by cell loss, the genomic unstable cells generated during irradiation and/or inflammation escape senescence or apoptosis and reenter the cell cycle, triggering enhanced carcinogenesis. This acceleration—modeled to be proportional to the number of repopulated cells—is only significant, however, when tissue injury is severe and thus proportional to the cell loss in the tissue. The general solutions to the resulting differential equations for carcinoma induction were computed. In case of full repopulation or acute low-dose irradiation, the acceleration term disappears from the equation describing cancer induction. The acceleration term is affecting the dose–response curve for carcinogenesis only at large doses. An example for bladder cancer is shown. An existing model for cancer induction after fractionated radiotherapy which is based on cell mutations was extended here by including the effects of inflammation and proliferative stress, and an additional model parameter was established which describes acceleration. The new acceleration parameter affects the dose–response model only at large dose and is only effective when the tissue is not capable of fully repopulating between dose fractions.     

A stochastic two-stage carcinogenesis model: a new approach to computing the probability of observing tumor in animal bioassays.

A new definition of probability of observing tumor in animal bioassay is developed. It is derived from a two-stage stochastic model for carcinogenesis with time-dependent birth and death rates for cell proliferation. The model takes into account the method of collecting data on preneoplastic and neoplastic lesions. The new definition is appropriate for analyzing the presence or absence of tumors in animal bioassays.     

Temporal analysis of a dose-response relationship: leukemia mortality in atomic bomb survivors

A data analysis that incorporates time dependencies is demonstrated for the dose response of leukemia mortality in the atomic bomb survivors. The time dependencies are initially left unspecified and the data on leukemia mortality--up to the end of 1978--are used to infer them. Several findings based on T65 revised doses (T65DR) are obtained. First, it is shown that the fits to the data of time-dependent L (linear in gamma dose)-Q (quadratic in gamma dose)-L (linear in neutron dose), L-L, and Q-L dose-response models are significantly improved (P less than 0.001) by using the corresponding time-dependent dose-response models. Second, it is shown that the increased risk of leukemia mortality due to gamma irradiation decreases in time while the increased risk due to neutron exposure decreases more slowly, if at all, in time. Consequently, relative biological effectiveness (RBE) of neutrons is shown to increase in time (P = 0.002) and the current definition of RBE as a time-independent quantity is therefore challenged. It is demonstrated with time-dependent models that the L-L model has a poor fit (P = 0.01) to the data for the first 7 years of study, but has an adequate fit for the remaining 21 years. In contrast the Q-L model has an adequate fit for the entire follow-up period (P greater than 0.30).     

Probability of response models and DNA repair: a statistical-biological approach

This paper develops a simple statistical model, the weighted hazard model, which incorporates the toxicological idea of DNA repair and its role in chemical carcinogenesis. We restrict attention to a small segment of DNA that migrates in and out of the high risk states; it is shown that random hazard functions play an important role in the distributional properties of the time to first detectable tumor. Included in the many shapes of the weighted hazard model is one that has a shape in the low dose region similar to that of the probit model, a model that many toxicologists favor. The analyses of two data sets are presented and interpreted, and suggestions for further research are given.     

Pathogenesis of human cancer]

The multistep aspects of carcinogenesis including initiation and promotion problems in both human and experimental hepatocarcinogenesis are discussed, especially in terms of oncogene and antioncogene changes. It is shown that the H-ras activation may be an event occurring in relatively late phase of carcinogenesis in the mouse systems, and that hepatitis B integration frequently causes host chromosomal rearrangement possibly leading to inactivation of cancer suppressor genes. In addition, significance of endogenously-produced nitrosamines in hepatocarcinogenesis is pointed out.     

Increasing Negativity of Age Stereotypes across 200 Years: Evidence from a Database of 400 Million Words

Scholars argue about whether age stereotypes (beliefs about old people) are becoming more negative or positive over time. No previous study has systematically tested the trend of age stereotypes over more than 20 years, due to lack of suitable data. Our aim was to fill this gap by investigating whether age stereotypes have changed over the last two centuries and, if so, what may be associated with this change. We hypothesized that age stereotypes have increased in negativity due, in part, to the increasing medicalization of aging. This study applied computational linguistics to the recently compiled Corpus of Historical American English (COHA), a database of 400 million words that includes a range of printed sources from 1810 to 2009. After generating a comprehensive list of synonyms for the term elderly for these years from two historical thesauri, we identified 100 collocates (words that co-occurred most frequently with these synonyms) for each of the 20 decades. Inclusion criteria for the collocates were: (1) appeared within four words of the elderly synonym, (2) referred to an old person, and (3) had a stronger association with the elderly synonym than other words appearing in the database for that decade. This yielded 13,100 collocates that were rated for negativity and medicalization. We found that age stereotypes have become more negative in a linear way over 200 years. In 1880, age stereotypes switched from being positive to being negative. In addition, support was found for two potential explanations. Medicalization of aging and the growing proportion of the population over the age of 65 were both significantly associated with the increase in negative age stereotypes. The upward trajectory of age-stereotype negativity makes a case for remedial action on a societal level.     

Iodine metabolism and pathologic processes in the thyroid gland under radioiodine lesions in the regions of goitrous endemia

An existing discrepancy between the prognostic estimations and real thyroid gland sickness rate due to radiation exposure from Chernobyl is an evidence of inaccuracy of radiation doses determination. The estimation of the thyroid cancer risks is based on the assumption that the absorbed dose is uniformly distributed in the organ. But functional asynchronicity specific for iodine metabolism in thyroid may modify a space distribution of the dose. The biochemical features of the contaminated areas including iodine deficit and goitrous endemia usually are not taken into account may influence the second phase of thyroid carcinogenesis that is the promotion due to increased accumulation of some carcinogenic microelements in goitrous thyroid. In the work we consider these problems which can make significant changes in radiation risks estimation.     

Evidence for and possible mechanisms of non-genotoxic carcinogenesis in the rodent thyroid

Thyroid tumours are a common finding in toxicity tests in rodents. It is known that prolonged administration of antithyroid drugs leads to the development of multiple thyroid tumours, and the role of genotoxic and non-genotoxic mechanisms in this needs definition. The role of drugs with an antithyroid action in thyroid carcinogenesis requires a knowledge of thyroid physiology. This review briefly discusses the anatomy and physiology of the thyroid before concentrating on the cellular pathology of the changes that take place in the transition from a normal to a neoplastic thyroid cell. The malignant cell is characterised by excess growth and invasiveness. The normal thyroid cell does not possess an unlimited growth potential because of a growth-desensitising mechanism (GDM) of the antioncogene type. Spontaneous thyroid carcinogenesis requires three key steps which are presumed to arise by mutation and clonal selection: the loss of the GDM, the acquisition of TSH-independent growth, and the acquisition of invasiveness. The sequence of the cell biological changes involved is not fully understood, but it has been shown that IGF-1 is a necessary co-factor for the growth-stimulating effect of TSH in the normal cell, and that autocrine production of IGF-1 is a feature of spontaneous thyroid adenomas. Another early change that has been shown in both experimental and human thyroid tumours is mutation of one of the ras oncogenes. In carcinogenesis due to the prolonged administration of an agent known to interfere with thyroid hormone metabolism and to induce a high TSH, two rather than three key steps will be required for carcinogenesis, as the development of TSH independent growth will not confer any selective advantage. We have shown that monoclonal lesions induced in this way regress when the goitrogen is withdrawn and therefore retain TSH dependence. The development of the other two key changes--the loss of the GDM and the acquisition of invasiveness--may be due to genotoxic or non-genotoxic mechanisms. They can occur in man in the absence of any known mutagenic agent. In patients with dyshormonogenesis a congenital defect in one of the steps of thyroid hormone synthesis is associated with multiple tumour production. It is reassuring that in these patients, exposed to decades of high TSH levels, benign lesions are common, but malignant thyroid tumours are very rare. The occurrence of thyroid tumours following the use of substances known to interfere with thyroid hormone metabolism does not itself exclude a genotoxic component to the carcinogenesis.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)     

Predicting cancer rates in astronauts from animal carcinogenesis studies and cellular markers

The radiation space environment includes particles such as protons and multiple species of heavy ions, with much of the exposure to these radiations occurring at extremely low average dose-rates. Limitations in databases needed to predict cancer hazards in human beings from such radiations are significant and currently do not provide confidence that such predictions are acceptably precise or accurate. In this article, we outline the need for animal carcinogenesis data based on a more sophisticated understanding of the dose-response relationship for induction of cancer and correlative cellular endpoints by representative space radiations. We stress the need for a model that can interrelate human and animal carcinogenesis data with cellular mechanisms. Using a broad model for dose-response patterns which we term the "subalpha-alpha-omega (SAO) model", we explore examples in the literature for radiation-induced cancer and for radiation-induced cellular events to illustrate the need for data that define the dose-response patterns more precisely over specific dose ranges, with special attention to low dose, low dose-rate exposure. We present data for multiple endpoints in cells, which vary in their radiosensitivity, that also support the proposed model. We have measured induction of complex chromosome aberrations in multiple cell types by two space radiations, Fe-ions and protons, and compared these to photons delivered at high dose-rate or low dose-rate. Our data demonstrate that at least three factors modulate the relative efficacy of Fe-ions compared to photons: (i) intrinsic radiosensitivity of irradiated cells; (ii) dose-rate; and (iii) another unspecified effect perhaps related to reparability of DNA lesions. These factors can produce respectively up to at least 7-, 6- and 3-fold variability. These data demonstrate the need to understand better the role of intrinsic radiosensitivity and dose-rate effects in mammalian cell response to ionizing radiation. Such understanding is critical in extrapolating databases between cellular response, animal carcinogenesis and human carcinogenesis, and we suggest that the SAO model is a useful tool for such extrapolation.     

Duffy-null promoter heterozygosity reduces DARC expression and abrogates adhesion of the P. vivax ligand required for blood-stage infection

The Duffy blood group antigen is an essential receptor for Plasmodium vivax entry into erythrocytes in a process mediated by the parasite ligand, the Duffy binding protein (DBP). Recently, individuals living in a malaria endemic region of Papua New Guinea were identified as heterozygous for a new allele conferring Duffy negativity, which results in 50% less Duffy antigen on their erythrocytes. We demonstrate that DBP adherence to erythrocytes is significantly reduced for erythrocytes from heterozygous individuals who carry one Duffy antigen negativity allele. These data provide evidence that emergence of this new allelic form of Duffy negativity is correlated with resistance against vivax malaria.