S-phase fraction determined on fine needle aspirates is an independent prognostic factor in breast cancer – a multivariate study of 770 patients

Background: The prognostic significance of DNA ploidy and the S-phase fraction (SPF) have been extensively studied in breast cancer, but their clinical utility remains controversial. The type of tumour material can substantially influence flow cytometric DNA measurements. Material obtained by fine needle aspiration (FNA) biopsy is very suitable for flow cytometric DNA analysis because it contains a low proportion of non-tumour cells and less debris than tissue samples. Methods: The prognostic significance of DNA ploidy and SPF, determined on FNA samples, was analysed in 770 breast cancer patients, diagnosed between 1992 and 1997. DNA ploidy and SPF were determined at the time of diagnosis as part of the diagnostic work-up. The median follow-up was 90 months. Survival analysis included overall cancer specific survival (OS), disease free survival (DFS) and survival after recurrence (SAR). Other variables included in survival analyses were age, histological grade, histological type, lymph node status and tumour size. Disease free interval and the site of recurrence were also included in SAR analysis. Results: DNA ploidy and SPF correlated with tumour type, size, lymph node involvement and, especially, tumour grade. In a univariate analysis, both aneuploidy and high SPF were associated with shorter OS, DFS and SAR, but only SPF retained its independent prognostic significance in multivariate analyses. Independent prognostic variables for OS were node status, histological grade, SPF and tumour size. Node status, histological grade and SPF were independent predictors of DFS, while the site of recurrence, SPF, histological grade, disease free interval and age were independent predictors of SAR. Conclusions: DNA ploidy and SPF can be efficiently and routinely determined on FNA samples. High SPF is independently associated with a worse clinical outcome of patients with breast cancer. Although SPF and histological grade share prognostic information to some degree, SPF provides additional, less subjective prognostic information. The prognostic value of SPF determined on FNA samples could be even more relevant in neoadjuvant settings and for patients not amenable for surgical treatment, when histological grade cannot be assessed.     

Time since childbirth and prognosis in primary breast cancer: population based study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether time since birth of last child was of prognostic importance in women with primary breast cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study based on a population based database of breast cancer diagnoses with detailed information on tumour characteristics, treatment regimens, reproductive factors, and vital status. SETTING: Denmark. SUBJECTS: 5652 women with primary breast cancer aged 45 years or less at the time of diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 5 and 10 year survival; relative risk of dying. RESULTS: Women diagnosed in the first 2 years after last childbirth had a crude 5 year survival of 58.7% and 10 year survival of 46.1% compared with 78.4% and 66.0% for women whose last childbirth was more than 2 years before their diagnosis. After adjustment for age, reproductive factors, and stage of disease (tumour size, axillary nodal status, and histological grading), a diagnosis sooner than 2 years since last childbirth was significantly associated with a poor survival (relative risk 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.24 to 2.02) compared with women who gave birth more than 5 years previously. Further analyses showed that the effect was not modified by age at diagnosis, tumour size, and nodal status. CONCLUSIONS: A diagnosis of breast cancer less than 2 years after having given birth is associated with a particularly poor survival irrespective of the stage of disease at debut. Therefore, a recent pregnancy should be regarded as a negative prognostic factor and should be considered in counselling these patients and in the decisions regarding adjuvant treatment.     

Serum exosomal lncRNA XIST is a potential non-invasive biomarker to diagnose recurrence of triple-negative breast cancer

Exosomal lncRNAs secreted by cancer cells can serve as potential biomarkers in the diagnosis and prognosis of various tumours. Here, we are committed to explore the diagnostic and prognostic value of serum exosomal XIST secreted by tumour cells to predict recurrence in patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Significant increments in XIST and exo-XIST from tumour tissues and blood serum were found in reoccurring TNBC patients by comparison with non-recurrences. Levels of serum exo-XIST were only significantly increased in TNBC recurrence and no association with other clinicopathological parameters. Additionally, serum exo-XIST levels could be served as an assessment of change in the load of triple-negative breast cancer. Expressions of exo-XIST were markedly decreased after resection of the primary breast tumours and obviously elevated at the time of recurrence. Finally, an obvious association was identified between serum exo-XIST levels and a poorer overall survival (OS) in TNBC patients. Levels of serum exo-XIST may serve as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker to predict the recurrent TNBC-loading status.     

Stressful life experiences and risk of relapse of breast cancer: observational cohort study

ObjectiveTo confirm, using an observational cohort design, the relation between severely stressful life experiences and relapse of breast cancer found in a previous case-control study.DesignProspective follow up for five years of a cohort of women newly diagnosed as having breast cancer, collecting data on stressful life experiences, depression, and biological prognostic factors.SettingNHS breast clinic, London; 1991-9.ParticipantsA consecutive series of women aged under 60 newly diagnosed as having a primary operable breast tumour. 202/222 (91%) eligible women participated in the first life experiences interview. 170 (77%) provided complete interview data either up to 5 years after diagnosis or to recurrence.ResultsWe controlled for biological prognostic factors (lymph node infiltration and tumour histology), and found no increased risk of recurrence in women who had had one or more severely stressful life experiences in the year before diagnosis compared with women who did not (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval 0.58 to 1.74, P=0.99). Women who had had one or more severely stressful life experiences in the 5 years after diagnosis had a lower risk of recurrence (0.52, 0.29 to 0.95, P=0.03) than those who did not.ConclusionThese data do not confirm an earlier finding from a case-control study that severely stressful life experiences increase the risk of recurrence of breast cancer. Differences in case control and prospective methods may explain the contradictory results. We took the prospective study as the more robust, and the results suggest that women with breast cancer need not fear that stressful experiences will precipitate the return of their disease.

What is already known on this topic

Women with apparently similar tumours at the time of presentation with breast cancer differ considerably in their disease-free survival and overall survivalSuch differences in outcome may well be explained by host and environmental factors, which could include psychological and social variablesData on the relation between severely stressful life experiences and cancer progression have been contradictory

What this study adds

Women who have a severely stressful life experience in the year before being diagnosed with breast cancer, or in the five years afterwards, do not seem to be at increased risk of developing a recurrence of the diseaseWomen with breast cancer need not fear that stressful experiences will precipitate the return of their disease.     

Survival after Locoregional Recurrence or Second Primary Breast Cancer: Impact of the Disease-Free Interval

The association between the disease-free interval (DFI) and survival after a locoregional recurrence (LRR) or second primary (SP) breast cancer remains uncertain. The objective of this study is to clarify this association to obtain more information on expected prognosis. Women first diagnosed with early breast cancer between 2003–2006 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. LRRs and SP tumours within five years of first diagnosis were examined. The five-year period was subsequently divided into three equal intervals. Prognostic significance of the DFI on survival after a LRR or SP tumour was determined using Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression analysis. Follow-up was complete until January 1, 2014. A total of 37,278 women was included in the analysis. LRRs or SP tumours were diagnosed in 890 (2,4%) and 897 (2,4%) respectively. Longer DFI was strongly and independently related to an improved survival after a LRR (long versus short: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.48–0.88; medium versus short HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.65–1.01). Other factors related to improved survival after LRR were younger age (<70 years) and surgical removal of the recurrence. No significant association was found between DFI and survival after SP tumours. This is the first study to explore the association between the DFI and survival after recurrence in a nationwide population-based cancer registry. The DFI before a LRR is an independent prognostic factor for survival, with a longer DFI predicting better prognosis.     

Blood group as a prognostic indicator in breast cancer.

A retrospective analysis of 1001 patients with invasive breast cancer showed a difference in survival between patients with different blood groups. Analysis of time from operation to local recurrence and to general recurrence reinforced this finding. The difference between blood groups became increasingly significant after accepted prognostic factors were allowed for. Patients at particularly high risk of early death or general recurrence were those with blood groups B and AB, those with group AB having a greater relative local recurrence rate.     

Prognostic value of apoptosis in breast cancer (pT1-pT2). A TUNEL, p53, bcl-2, bag-1 and Bax immunohistochemical study

Apoptosis or programmed cell death produces cells breaking into several fragments of nuclei, cytoplasm or both nuclei and cytoplasm, known as apoptotic bodies which can be visualized in haematoxylin-eosin staining. Some genes (promoters and suppressors) control this process and certain mutations may induce the expression of abnormal proteins, which can be detected by immunohistochemical staining. Apoptosis can be detected by the TUNEL method either identifying apoptotic bodies or cells at the initial stages of the fragmentation process. We have studied 186 cases of infiltrating ductal breast carcinoma, stages pT1-pT2, and analysed the prognostic significance of tumour recurrence and overall survival of apoptotic index (AI) through univariate and multivariate analysis. We have also studied the immunohistochemical protein expression of apoptosis promoter and suppressors gene (p53, nuclear expression; bcl-2 and Bax, cytoplasm expression; BAG-1, nuclear and cytoplasm expression). The results indicate prognostic significance of p53 and bcl-2 related to patient death and bcl-2 and tumour size to tumour recurrence, bcl-2 acting as a protector factor (apoptotic suppressor) in both situations. On the other hand, we have not found useful prognostic information of AI either to tumour recurrence or overall survival in univariate or multivariate studies. In this study, Bax expression does not provide a new prognostic role in breast carcinoma, although it contrasts to the bcl-2 action and accelerates death.     

Effects of blocking developmental cell death on sexually dimorphic calbindin cell groups in the preoptic area and bed nucleus of the stria terminalis

Background

Malignant melanoma is the most deadly form of skin cancer. Female sex is known to have a protective effect on incidence, tumour characteristics, and mortality from melanoma. However, the potentially modifying effect of sex on the prognostic significance of clinicopathological and investigative factors is generally not taken into consideration in biomarker studies. In this study, we compared the sex-specific distribution and prognostic value of established tumour characteristics and Ki67 expression in 255 cases of incident primary melanoma in a prospective, population-based cohort study.

Methods

The study included 255 incident cases of melanoma, 132 females and 123 males, in the Malm? Diet and Cancer Study. Tumours from 226 (88.6%) cases had been assembled in tissue microarrays. Clinicopathological factors and immunohistochemical Ki67 expression were assessed and correlated with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) using Kaplan-Meier analysis, log rank test and univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses, stratified for gender. Effect of gender on melanoma-specific survival (MSS) after first recurrence was also analysed.

Results

Women were significantly younger at diagnosis than men (p?=?0.012). The most common tumour sites were the legs in women (37.5%) and the dorsal trunk in men (37.8%). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that tumour location had no prognostic impact in women, but in men, location to the frontal trunk was significantly associated with a reduced DFS compared with all other locations combined and location to the dorsal trunk was significantly associated with a prolonged OS. High Ki67 expression was significantly associated with a reduced DFS and OS in men but not in women, also when adjusted for other factors. In men, but not in women, ulceration was an independent prognostic factor for both DFS and OS. MSS after first local, regional or distant recurrence was significantly shorter for men than for women.

Conclusions

The results from this study demonstrate that the prognostic value of tumour location, Ki67 expression and ulceration in melanoma differs according to gender. These findings need to be validated in future studies, as they may help improve prognostication in patients with melanoma. Moreover, our findings demonstrate that sex-stratified analyses add valuable information to biomarker studies.     

35 岁以下年轻乳腺癌患者的临床特征及预后因素分析

目的:探讨年轻乳腺癌患者的临床病理特点及影响其预后的相关因素。方法:选取潍坊市人民医院2005年11月至2011年11月收治的年龄不高于35岁的137例年轻乳腺癌患者的临床资料,其中共有116例入组,初步分析年轻乳腺癌患者的临床病理特征及对预后产生的影响。结果:116例患者中位随访时间为46.0个月。3年OS和PFS为94.6%和79.1%。单因素、多因素分析结果显示淋巴结转移情况和Ki67水平与预后的显著相关(P0.05),淋巴结转数目、Ki67水平与预后呈负相关。结论:年轻乳腺癌患者的生物学行为、病理及预后较为特殊。淋巴结转移情况、Ki67水平是影响预后的关键因素。     

Incidence of bone metastases and survival after a diagnosis of bone metastases in breast cancer patients

Background: Bone is the most common metastatic site associated with breast cancer. Using a database of women with breast cancer treated at Guy's Hospital, London 1976–2006 and followed until end 2010, we determined incidence of and survival after bone metastases. Methods: We calculated cumulative incidence of bone metastases considering death without prior bone metastases as a competing risk. Risk of bone metastases was modelled through Cox-regression. Survival after bone metastases diagnosis was calculated using Kaplan–Meier methodology. Results: Of the 7064 women, 589 (22%) developed bone metastases during 8.4 years (mean). Incidence of bone metastases was significantly higher in younger women, tumour size >5 cm, higher tumour grade, lobular carcinoma and ≥four positive nodes, but was not affected by hormone receptor status. Median survival after bone metastases diagnosis was 2.3 years in women with bone-only metastases compared with <1 year in women with visceral and bone metastases. There was a trend for decreased survival for patients who developed visceral metastases early, and proportionately fewer patients in this group. Interpretation: Incidence of bone metastases has decreased but bone metastases remain a highly relevant clinical problem due to the large number of patients being diagnosed with breast cancer.     

A possible association between survival time and transfusion in cervical cancer

Some studies suggest that transfusion may be associated with an increased risk of recurrence of and death due to malignant human neoplasms. We examined retrospective data from patients with cervical cancer to see if any association between transfusion of blood at the time of initial treatment and the time interval to recurrence and death could be detected in this cancer. In 130 patients with cervical cancer, seen over a ten-year period at our institution, there was a trend toward earlier recurrence in transfused patients, but this trend did not achieve statistical significance. Death due to cervical cancer recurrence occurred after a median of Death due to cervical cancer recurrence occurred after a median of 12 months in the transfused patients and a median of 68 months in the non-transfused individuals, which was statistically significant. Transfused patients had, on average, more favorable prognostic factors than those not transfused, such as less advanced clinical stage of disease. Analysis using a proportional hazards risk model failed to demonstrate a significant association between transfusion and time to recurrence when other prognostic factors were considered, but a significant association between transfusion and time to cancer-related death (p less than 0.05) was found. While these results cannot be viewed as conclusive due to the small number and heterogeneity of the patients analyzed, our data support the possibility of an association between transfusion and cervical cancer survival. Further studies are warranted to confirm or refute this relationship.     

Prognostic factors affecting disease-free survival rate following surgical resection of primary breast cancer.

In order to identify the prognostic factors that significantly influence the disease-free survival rate after surgical resection of primary breast cancers, we determined tumour and lymph node grades, and immunohistochemical staining for estrogen and progesterone receptors (ER and PR), c-erbB-2, p53, bcl-2, bax and PCNA in 76 patients. Univariate analysis showed that increased grade of tumour and lymph nodes, negative immunostaining for ER, positive immunostaining for c-erbB-2, and a high PCNA index (> or = 30%) negatively influenced the disease-free survival rate, but PR, p53, bcl-2 and bax had no predictive value. Although p53 was not an independent prognostic factor by itself, the combination of p53, bcl-2, and bax proved to correlate with the disease-free survival, with the best prognosis noted in tumours negative for p53 and positive for both bcl-2 and bax, intermediate prognosis in tumours negative for p53 and positive for either bcl-2 or bax and worst prognosis in tumors negative for p53 as well as bcl-2 and bax. Tumour grade correlated positively with PCNA index, while positive staining for ER correlated negatively with tumour grade as well as with PCNA index, although this was statistically insignificant. Immunostaining of breast cancers for bcl-2 correlated negatively with tumour grade and PCNA index. Immunostaining for c-erbB-2 correlated positively with PCNA but not with tumour grade. Immunostaining for p53 tended to correlate positively with PCNA, but not with tumour grade. Immunostaining for PR and bax did not correlate with tumour grade and PCNA index. These results suggest that in addition to tumour size and lymph node involvement, immunostaining for ER, c-erbB-2, and a high PCNA index are important prognostic factors in human breast cancer. Wild-type p53 with preserved bcl-2 and bax gene products is also a favorable prognostic factor indicating breast cancer at an early stage of cancer progression.     

Survival after recurrence of stage I–III breast,colorectal, or lung cancer

BackgroundThe experiences of patients with recurrent cancer are assumed to reflect those of patients with de novo stage IV disease; yet, little is truly known because most registries lack recurrence status. Using two databases with excellent recurrence and death information, we examined determinants of survival duration after recurrence of breast (BC), colorectal (CRC), and lung cancers (LC).MethodsRecurrence status was abstracted from the medical records of patients who participated in the Cancer Care Outcomes Research and Surveillance study and who received care at two Cancer Research Network sites—the Colorado and Northwest regions of Kaiser Permanente. The analysis included 1653 patients who developed recurrence after completing definitive therapy for stages I–III cancer. Multivariable modeling identified independent determinants of survival duration after recurrence, controlling for other factors.ResultsThrough 60 months’ average follow-up, survival after recurrence for BC, CRC, and LC were 28.4, 23.1 and 16.1 months, respectively. Several factors were independently associated with shorter survival for all three cancers, including higher initial stage (III vs. I: BC −9.9 months; CRC −6.9 months; LC −7.4 months; P ≤ 0.01). Factors associated with shorter survival for selected cancers included: distant/regional recurrence for BC and CRC; current/former smoker for LC; high grade for CRC; and <4-year time-to-recurrence for BC.ConclusionsInitial stage predicts survival duration after recurrence, whereas time-to-recurrence usually does not. The impact of biologic characteristics (e.g., grade, hormone-receptor status) on survival duration after recurrence needs further study. Predictors of survival duration after recurrence may help facilitate patient decision-making.     

Neuroblastoma,Its Natural History and Prognosis: A Study of 487 Cases

The natural history of neuroblastoma and factors affecting survival for this disease were studied in an unselected group of children notified to cancer registries in Britain during 1962-7. The three-year survival rate based on 487 cases was 23%; many of the cases were followed up for more than five years, and this made it possible to calculate long-term survival and recurrence rates. There were only five deaths among 110 cases followed for more than three years, 64 of the survivors having been followed for more than five years. Factors affecting the prognosis included age at diagnosis, site, histological grade at diagnosis, and the sex of the child. The interrelationship between these factors together with their effect on prognosis were analysed, and in particular we attempted to elucidate factors which might explain our observation that girls have a significantly better survival rate than boys. Direct histological evidence and also the analyses of survival and recurrence rates seem to support the suggestion that the likelihood of maturation for this tumour is greater for girls than for boys.     

Prognostic significance of plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 in breast cancer, with special emphasis on locoregional recurrence-free survival

The independent prognostic value of protease uPA and its inhibitor PAI-1 for survival in breast cancer patients is firmly established. However, there is very little data on the prognostic value of serine proteases and their inhibitors for locoregional recurrence in breast cancer. The prognostic value of PAI-1 for local control in a group of 766 patients treated at our institute with either breast conserving treatment or modified radical mastectomy was evaluated. The locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS) of patients with PAI-1 values above the median value was significantly worse than that of patients with PAI-1 values below the median value (log-rank; p=0.0078). In multivariate analysis PAI-1 levels proved to be of independent statistical significance for LRFS (p=0.0401, relative risk 2.28, 95% confidence interval 1.04-5.02). The independent prognostic value of PAI-1 for metastasis-free survival and overall survival was also confirmed. In addition, our data suggest that PAI-1 antigen levels in tumor tissue might be of prognostic value for survival after locoregional recurrence (log-rank; p=0.0618). According to our findings, PAI-1 levels could be used as a biological marker that could facilitate the identifation of patients with a higher risk of local relapse already at the time of primary treatment. These patients should then be offered more aggressive treatment.     

The effect of tumour bed boost on local control after breast conserving surgery. First results of the randomized boost trial of the National Institute of Oncology

PURPOSE: To evaluate the effect of tumour bed boost on local tumour control (LTC) after breast conserving surgery in a prospective study. METHODS: Between 1995 and 1998, 207 women with early invasive breast cancer who underwent conservative operation were treated by 50 Gy irradiation to the whole breast and then randomly assigned to receive either no further radiotherapy (n=103) or a boost to the tumour bed (n=104) with either 16 Gy electron (n=52) or 12-14.25 Gy high dose rate brachytherapy (n=52). RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 4.25 years the crude rate of local recurrence was 6.7% with and 13.6% without boost. The respective rates of tumour bed relapse were 3.8% vs. 10.7%. The 4 year probability of LTC, relapse-free survival and breast cancer-specific survival was 94.2% vs. 85.1% (p=0.1176), 82.3% vs. 67.2% (p=0.0438) and 84.8% vs. 90.9% (p=0.1111), respectively, in favour of the boost group. Systemic treatments had no significant impact on LTC (88.9% with and 89.6% without systemic treatment, p=0.8858). CONCLUSION: Tumour bed boost decreased the incidence of local and tumor bed relapses with a reduction of 50% and 64%, respectively. Relapse-free survival was improved significantly with boost. However, the influence of boost treatment on breast cancer-specific survival should be tested in further studies. In spite of the higher incidence of late radiation side effects in the boost arm, boost dose is strongly recommended for patients at high risk for local recurrence. The final results of the EORTC trial and other ongoing studies will help to clarify the indication of boost dose according to prognostic subgroups.     

Caspase-3 and caspase-6 in ductal breast carcinoma: a descriptive study

Caspases are the main point in the apoptotic process. We have collected some information from 210 cases of Ductal breast cancer (pT1 - pT2) such as tumour size, histological differentiation degree, lymph node status and tumor necrosis in the infiltrating component and we have evaluated the number of apoptotic cells or bodies by TUNEL technique as well as immunohistochemical studies to evaluate the expression of caspase 3 and caspase 6, and proliferation index. Our results show that lymph node status and cell atypism are independent prognostic factors for recurrence and mortality and only tumour size is an independent prognostic factor for recurrence. However, the apoptotic index and the immunohistochemical expression of caspases and cell proliferation index have not turned out to be independent prognostic factors neither for recurrence nor mortality. These results show that classic prognostic factors known until now are the most important factors to predict the evolution of the illness.     

Survival of patients with malignancy-associated effusions

For a better understanding of the prognosis after the onset of a malignancy-associated effusion in patients known or subsequently shown to have cancer, survival time was compared with the findings and the date of the first cytologic diagnosis of an effusion. The number of patients studied was 254; 171 had a pleural and 83 a peritoneal effusion. The average survival time was 25.5 weeks, which was about equal for both sites of effusions. After two years, only 6% of all patients were alive. When the cytologic diagnosis of the effusion was "malignant," only 4% survived after two years; when the cytologic diagnosis was "suspicious for malignancy" and "nonmalignant," these figures were 5% and 7%, respectively. This indicates that a cytologic diagnosis of benign or nonmalignant is not a good indicator of a better prognosis in cancer patients for whom benign causes of the effusion have been excluded. There appeared to be a prognostic relationship between the length of the interval from the initial diagnosis of cancer to the time of examination of the first sample of the effusion: a longer interval was correlated with a better survival. When survival time was viewed in relation to therapy, patients whose pleural effusions were only treated by aspiration were found to have a particularly short average survival (13.9 weeks).     

The Multivariate Prognostic Index and nuclear DNA content are independent prognostic factors in primary breast cancer patients

The predictive value of a previously described Multivariate Prognostic Index (which incorporates weighted values of the mitotic activity index, tumor size, and the axillary lymph node status), and the nuclear DNA content (DNA) was evaluated in 156 patients with primary invasive ductal breast cancer, diagnosed between 1980 and 1983. The results were analysed with respect to the occurrence of distant recurrence and survival of the patients after at least 3 yr of follow-up (range 36-73 months; median 44 months). Known prognostic factors such as lymph node status, tumor size, and the mitotic activity index correlated independently with distant recurrence. Furthermore, in respect to survival, the investigated prognostic factors (except DNA content) were significantly correlated. The results indicate that the predictive value of the Multivariate Prognostic Index (MPI) is stronger (P less than 0.001) than of the nuclear DNA content (P less than 0.005) with respect to distant recurrence. In a Cox multivariate regression analysis DNA ploidy turned out to be an independent prognostic factor once the MPI was selected. Furthermore, in Cox's analysis, DNA ploidy was the fourth selected variable after lymph node status, mitotic activity index, and tumor size in individual parameter analysis. The results of this study indicate that, with respect to breast cancer screening programs, it seems worthwhile to integrate morphometric features, the MPI, and DNA ploidy in a new prognostic model.     

Breast-conservation treatment for early invasive breast cancer: prognostic factors for survival after salvage treatment of local recurrence

The aim of the study was to investigate prognosis of patients who develop an isolated local recurrence (ILR) after conservative surgery (CS) for early-stage invasive breast cancer. Between 1983 and 1987, 415 patients with stage I-II breast cancer were treated with CS. Of these patients, 68 developed an ILR. The mean follow-up time after ILR was 167 months. Cox models taking potential prognostic factors into account were used to estimate the risk of death. On univariate analysis, age (< or =40 vs. >40 years) at first treatment, time to ILR (< or =24 vs. >24 months), type of recurrence (true vs. new primary tumor, NP), and extent of recurrence (operable vs. inoperable) were, but initial tumor stage (pT1 vs. pT2), initial lymph node stage (pN-negative vs. -positive), adjuvant radiotherapy (yes vs. no), type of salvage surgery (wide excision vs. mastectomy), and recurrent tumor grade (1-2 vs. 3) were not significant predictors of post-recurrence survival. On multivariate analysis only time to ILR proved independent predictor of survival (relative risk: 3.2; 95% confidence interval: 1.4-7.3; p = 0.0051), and the age of the patients showed borderline significance (p = 0.0659). The 15-year actuarial rate of cause-specific survival after ILR was 58% for all patients, 60% and 0% for patients with operable or inoperable recurrence, 30% and 71% for patients with age < or =40 or >40 years, 25% and 72% for patients with time to ILR < or =24 or >24 months, 54% and 88% for patients with true recurrence or NP, and 92% for patients with age >40 years with NP, respectively. The rate of second local recurrence after salvage mastectomy or repeated wide excision was 16% and 28%, respectively (p = 0.2265). As a conclusion, many patients with ILR have good prognosis, particularly those with operable recurrence with prolonged time to ILR, or with NP. Salvage mastectomy is not mandatory for all CS patients.