Short term increase in risk of breast cancer after full term pregnancy.

To determine whether there is a short term increase in the risk of breast cancer after a full term birth data from two hospital based, case-control studies in Italy were pooled. Analysis was restricted to women aged under 50 with two or more children (573 women with cancer and 570 controls). A relative risk for breast cancer of 2.66 was seen in women who had given birth during the three years preceding the interview compared with women whose last birth had occurred 10 or more years before, after adjustment for age, age at first birth, and parity. The relative risk slowly decreased for women who had last given birth three to 10 years before. Multivariate analyses confirmed the protective effect of an early age at first birth and the age dependent effect of parity on the risk of breast cancer--that is, a direct relation below age 40 and an inverse one in older women. These data provide epidemiological evidence that a full term birth is followed by a transient increase in the risk of breast cancer, which for some time contrasts with and overcomes the long term protection of pregnancy at an early age. They therefore confirm predictions from animal studies and theoretical models that pregnancy prevents the early stages of breast carcinogenesis but promotes the late stages of the process.     

Reproductive events and family history as risk factors for breast cancer in northern Alberta.

Reproductive events and family history as risk factors for breast cancer in northern Alberta were investigated with the use of data from a computerized population-based registry. Women aged 30 to 79 years attending diagnostic breast clinics at the Cross Cancer Institute from 1971 through 1975 constituted the two study groups; 1232 women had diagnosed breast cancer (malignant disease group) and 602 women were clinically free of all types of breast disease (control group). An increased relative risk of breast cancer was found in women with a family history of breast cancer, those who gave birth to their first term infant at age 30 years or older, those in whom more than 15 years elapsed between menarche and that birth, and those with a late natural menopause. There was a decreased risk, relative to nulliparity, in the postmenopausal women who first gave birth to a term infant 5 years or less after menarche. Artificial menopause (bilateral oophorectomy), parity and age at menarche had no apparent effect on the risk. The pattern of risk factors in northern Alberta differed from that reported for other geographic areas, including other provinces of Canada, thus emphasizing the need for local studies in the planning of screening programs.     

Randomised trial of high doses of stilboestrol and ethisterone in pregnancy: long-term follow-up of mothers.

In 1950 a trial was set up to evaluate the effects of large doses of stilboestrol and ethisterone on rates of fetal loss in pregnant diabetic women. Eighty women were allocated at random to receive the hormonal treatment and 76 to receive inactive tablets of identical appearance. At follow-up 27 years later, information was obtained about 97% of the women, all but four being traced. All respondents were unaware of who had received hormones. The overall mortality was 4.5 times that of women of comparable age in England and Wales, most deaths being from complications of diabetes. More tumours, mainly benign, of the reproductive tract were reported in the hormone-exposed than the non-exposed group (14 (18%) and two (3%) respectively). Four cases of malignant breast disease were reported in the hormone-exposed women and none in the non-exposed. These findings support other evidence linking oestrogen treatment and breast cancer and suggesting that the latent period before the tumour becomes clinically apparent may be 15 years or longer.     

Parity and breast cancer: evidence of a dual effect.

Epidemiological studies have shown that early first pregnancy reduces the risk of developing breast cancer, which indicates that initiation of the disease occurs at an early age. Thus the subclinical lesion of breast cancer might already be present in the breast before childbearing begins and the growth of any such focus might be modified by the endocrine changes of pregnancy. To test this hypothesis the relation between parity and age at presentation was studied in 341 unselected patients with breast cancer presenting to a single clinic. The mean age at presentation was 5.2 years lower in parous than nulliparous women (p < 0.001) and fell with increasing parity. It is concluded that reproductive history influences not only the risk of breast cancer but also the latent interval of a proportion of breast carcinomas.     

Risk factors for breast cancer in women biopsied for benign breast disease: A nested case-control study

Aim: Women with a history of benign breast disease are at increased risk of subsequent breast cancer. However, few studies have examined whether established breast cancer risk factors other than histology are associated with an altered risk of breast cancer in women with benign breast disease. We used a nested case-control design within a large, multi-center cohort of women biopsied for benign breast disease (BBD) to estimate odds ratios for breast cancer in association with exposure to a range of personal and lifestyle factors. Methods: Cases were women biopsied for BBD who subsequently developed breast cancer; controls were individually matched to cases on center and age at diagnosis and were women biopsied for BBD who did not develop breast cancer in the same follow-up interval as that for the cases. After excluding women with prevalent breast cancer, 1357 records (661 case records and 696 records) were available for analysis. We used conditional logistic regression to obtain crude and multivariable-adjusted estimates of the association between specific factors and risk of breast cancer. Results: In multivariable analyses age at first live birth, number of pregnancies, and postmenopausal status were inversely associated with risk of breast cancer. The odds ratio for women with age at first birth <25 years and ≥3 pregnancies, relative to nulliparous women, was 0.49, 95% confidence interval 0.13–0.79, and that for postmenopausal women relative to premenopausal women was 0.60, 95% CI 0.37–0.99. Conclusions: Further study of personal factors influencing the risk of breast cancer in women with BBD may help to identify subgroups of the population at increased risk of invasive disease.     

Risk of breast cancer in relation to the interval since last full term pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE--To examine whether the risk of breast cancer is increased by a recent term pregnancy. DESIGN--Population based case-control study. SETTING--Eight areas in the United States. SUBJECTS--Cases were 2279 multiparous women residents of the eight areas aged 25-49 who were diagnosed as having breast cancer during 1980-2. Controls were 2357 multiparous women selected from the same areas by random digit dialing. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Relative risk of developing breast cancer according to the time interval since last full term pregnancy. RESULTS--The distribution of intervals since the last term pregnancy was similar in cases and controls. Adjusted for age, parity, and age at first term pregnancy, the odds ratios observed for categories of years since the last full term pregnancy were: 0-2 years, odds ratio 1.16 (95% confidence interval 0.84 to 1.59); 3-6 years, odds ratio 1.21 (0.95 to 1.54); 7-9 years, odds ratio 1.04 (0.84 to 1.38); > or = 10 years, odds ratio 1.00 (reference). CONCLUSIONS--Among multiparous women aged 25-49 years there was no association between the risk of breast cancer and the time interval since the last full term pregnancy.     

Retrospective study of reasons for improved survival in patients with breast cancer in east Anglia: earlier diagnosis or better treatment.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the recent fall in mortality from breast cancer in England and Wales, and to determine the relative contributions of improvements in treatment and earlier detection of tumours. DESIGN: Retrospective study of all women with breast cancer registered by the East Anglian cancer registry and diagnosed between 1982 and 1989. SUBJECTS: 3965 patients diagnosed 1982-5 compared with 4665 patients diagnosed 1986-9, in three age groups 0-49, 50-64, > or = 65 years, with information on stage at diagnosis and survival. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Three year relative survival rates by time period, age group, and stage; relative hazard ratios for each time period and age group derived from Cox''s proportional hazards model, adjusted for single year of age and stage. RESULTS: Survival improved in the later time period, although there was little stage specific improvement. The proportion of early stage tumours increased especially in the 50-64 year age group, and adjustment for stage accounted for over half of the improvement in survival in women aged under 65 years. CONCLUSION: Over half of the drop in mortality in women aged under 65 years seems to be attributable to earlier detection of tumours, which has been observed since the mid-1980s. This could have resulted from an increase in breast awareness predating the start of the breast screening programme.     

Prospective breast cancer risk factors prediction in Saudi women

Women's health is affected by breast cancer worldwide and Saudi Arabia (SA) is no exception. Malignancy has enormous consequences for social, psychological and public health. The aim of this study was to examine the risk factors for Saudi women from breast cancer using logistic regression models. In 135 patient cases for different stages of breast cancer was used to study case management, 270 healthy women from King Abd Alla Medical City, Mecca, SA were taken to predict the probability of women developing breast cancer, logistic regression was analyzed taking factors such as age, marital status, family history, parity, age at first full-term pregnancy, menopausal status, body mass index (BMI) and breast feeding. The logistic regression model showed that there are important risk factors (age, marital status, family history, parity, age at first full-term pregnancy, menopausal status, body mass index, and breast feeding) in development of breast cancer. Fewer cases were observed in unmarried women, age ≤30, BMI ≤20. In contrast, more cases were found with women age 41–50 married, BMI > 30, a smaller number of children, not breast feeding, age of first pregnancy ≥30, menopausal status age at 46–50. Based on our data there is role of risk factors in developing breast cancer, less BMI, the increase number of children, breast feeding, which are playing as protective factor for breast cancer.     

Epidemiology of chickenpox in England and Wales, 1967-85

Routine sources of data on chickenpox morbidity and mortality in England and Wales were reviewed for 1967-85. Only two epidemics occurred, one in 1967 and one in 1980, both of which were immediately followed by two to three years of low incidence. The age distribution of the disease appears to be changing, with more cases now being reported in children aged 0-4 years. The number of deaths in adults have, however, increased, particularly those deaths that are associated with pneumonia and immunosuppression. At present in England and Wales more deaths are attributed to chickenpox than to whooping cough and mumps.Widespread use of selective immunisation against chickenpox might be justified in England and Wales, but before routine immunisation of the child population can be considered special surveys to determine the incidence and severity of chickenpox and the effect of the vaccine on the subsequent development of herpes zoster are needed as well as cost-benefit studies of immunisation.     

Parental age, parity and sex ratio in births in England and Wales, 1968-77

Variations in sex ratio with maternal age, paternal age, parity, and time are examined in data on all legitimate births in England and Wales, 1968-1977. Significant linear declines in sex ratio with both increasing parity and increasing paternal age, and a curvilinear relationship with maternal age are found. Results show that 1) before 1955 it seems likely that the sex ratio declined with an increase in maternal age, 2) between 1955 and 1968 there was an unexplained decline in the sex ratio of births to women aged 20-24 and an increase in that of births to women aged 30-34, and 3) there was no significant secular trend in sex ratio during the period 1968-1977. Using data provided by the Registrar General of England and Wales, a weighted multiple regression analysis is applied. Some possible explanations for the changes in sex ratios of births during the years studied are: 1) racial heterogeneity, 2) artificial insemination, 3) the pill, and 4) ovulation induction. Overall, some artifact or combination of artifacts has transformed the regression of sex ratio on maternal age from a monotonic decline to a cubic, or this hypothesis stands in need of modification.     

Prevalence of gallstones and gallbladder disease in Canadian Micmac Indian women.

The prevalence of gallstones and gallbladder disease was studied between October 1973 and June 1976 in Canadian Micmac Indian women aged 15 to 50 years in an inland rural community near Shubenacadie, NS. Of 132 women at risk 98 underwent cholecystography, 6 had a history of cholecystectomy (verified from hospital records) and 3 had cholecystectomy because of cholecystitis during the 3 years of the study. Of the 17 abnormal cholecystograms 10 showed radiolucent gallstones, and repeated studies documented gallstones in 6 of the 7 radiographs on which the gallbladder was not visualized. The prevalence of gallstones was found to be 211/1000, and that of gallbladder disease, 240/1000. The peak prevalence was at 30 to 39 years of age. The women with gallbladder disease were significantly more obese and of greater parity than those without gallbladder disease even when age was controlled. The Micmac Indian women of Nova Scotia appear to be at a much higher risk for the development of cholesterol gallstones and gallbladder disease than Caucasian women in Framingham, Massachusetts.     

Legal abortions among teenagers in Canada, 1974 through 1978.

Between August 1969, when the amendment to the Criminal Code went into effect, and December 1978 about 397 000 legal abortions were performed in hospitals with therapeutic abortion committees in Canada. During the 5-year period 1974-78 abortions in females under 20 years of age accounted for 30.9% of all the legal abortions performed in Canada on Canadian residents, and the abortion rate per 1000 women aged 15 to 19 years increased from 13.6 to 16.3. During 1974-77 the proportion of women in whom the gestation period was more than 12 weeks at the time of abortion was 25.3% for teenagers (females under 20 years of age) but only 14.6% for women aged 20 years or over. In 1976 the teenage abortion rate was lower in Canada (14.5) than in the United States (36.2%), Sweden (28.5), Hungary (26.4), Denmark (26.0), Norway (22.7), Finland (20.3), and England and Wales (15.4).     

Risks and probabilities of breast cancer: short-term versus lifetime probabilities.

OBJECTIVE: To calculate age-specific short-term and lifetime probabilities of breast cancer among a cohort of Canadian women. DESIGN: Double decrement life table. SETTING: Alberta. SUBJECTS: Women with first invasive breast cancers registered with the Alberta Cancer Registry between 1985 and 1987. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Lifetime probability of breast cancer from birth and for women at various ages; short-term (up to 10 years) probability of breast cancer for women at various ages. RESULTS: The lifetime probability of breast cancer is 10.17% at birth and peaks at 10.34% at age 25 years, after which it decreases owing to a decline in the number of years over which breast cancer risk will be experienced. However, the probability of manifesting breast cancer in the next year increases steadily from the age of 30 onward, reaching 0.36% at 85 years. The probability of manifesting the disease within the next 10 years peaks at 2.97% at age 70 and decreases thereafter, again owing to declining probabilities of surviving the interval. CONCLUSIONS: Given that the incidence of breast cancer among Albertan women during the study period was similar to the national average, we conclude that currently more than 1 in 10 women in Canada can expect to have breast cancer at some point during their life. However, risk varies considerably over a woman''s lifetime, with most risk concentrated after age 49. On the basis of the shorter-term age-specific risks that we present, the clinician can put breast cancer risk into perspective for younger women and heighten awareness among women aged 50 years or more.     

Evaluation of a proposed breast cancer screening regimen.

The Forrest working group on breast cancer screening recommended routine mammography for women in the United Kingdom at ages 50, 53, 56, 59, 62, and 65. Benefits were costed at about 3000 pounds for each life year recovered, but there was no estimate of the cost of each life saved, and the consequent reduction in mortality from breast cancer in the general population of the United Kingdom was not estimated. The present study addressed both of these issues using an interactive computer modelling process. Long term savings were calculated at 900 deaths a year in England and Wales--that is, about 8% of the total deaths from breast cancer--and 9% of life years currently lost. The cost of each death saved from breast cancer was estimated at 39,000 pounds.     

Breast cancer stage at diagnosis and survival among patients with prior breast implants

Longstanding concern exists regarding the potential for women with breast implants to experience delayed detection of breast cancer. Furthermore, survival among cosmetic breast implant patients who subsequently develop breast cancer is a concern. Since 1976, this institution has monitored cancer incidence in a cohort of 3182 women who underwent cosmetic breast augmentation between 1959 and 1981. The distributions of stage at diagnosis and survival of the 37 women who subsequently developed in situ or invasive breast cancer were compared with the observed population distributions. The distribution of stage at diagnosis for cosmetic breast implant patients who subsequently developed breast cancer was virtually identical to that of all breast cancer patients in Los Angeles County who were of the same age and race, and were diagnosed during the same time period. Furthermore, the 5-year survival rate of the 37 patients did not differ from that which would be expected based on rates established by the U.S. National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. These results suggest that cosmetic breast implant patients are not at increased risk of delayed detection of breast cancer, nor do they suffer a poorer prognosis when breast cancer does occur. Although the number of breast cancer patients in this study is small, the results are highly consistent with the existing epidemiologic evidence related to breast cancer detection and survival among breast implant patients. Although breast implant patients should continue appropriate breast cancer screening behavior, there seems to be no cause for alarm.     

Educational Differences in Postmenopausal Breast Cancer – Quantifying Indirect Effects through Health Behaviors,Body Mass Index and Reproductive Patterns

Studying mechanisms underlying social inequality in postmenopausal breast cancer is important in order to develop prevention strategies. Standard methods for investigating indirect effects, by comparing crude models to adjusted, are often biased. We applied a new method enabling the decomposition of the effect of educational level on breast cancer incidence into indirect effects through reproductive patterns (parity and age at first birth), body mass index and health behavior (alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, and hormone therapy use). The study was based on a pooled cohort of 6 studies from the Copenhagen area including 33,562 women (1,733 breast cancer cases) aged 50–70 years at baseline. The crude absolute rate of breast cancer was 399 cases per 100,000 person-years. A high educational level compared to low was associated with 74 (95% CI 22–125) extra breast cancer cases per 100,000 person-years at risk. Of these, 26% (95% CI 14%–69%) could be attributed to alcohol consumption. Similar effects were observed for age at first birth (32%; 95% CI 10%–257%), parity (19%; 95%CI 10%–45%), and hormone therapy use (10%; 95% CI 6%–18%). Educational level modified the effect of physical activity on breast cancer. In conclusion, this analysis suggests that a substantial number of the excess postmenopausal breast cancer events among women with a high educational level compared to a low can be attributed to differences in alcohol consumption, use of hormone therapy, and reproductive patterns. Women of high educational level may be more vulnerable to physical inactivity compared to women of low educational level.     

The Relationship of Body Mass Index to Reproductive Factors in Pre- and Postmenopausal African-American Women With and Without Breast Cancer

To date, there are virtually no existing data on the relationship between obesity, menopausal status, and breast cancer in African-Americans. Therefore, the present study was designed to test the following hypotheses in an African-American population: (1) there exists a positive association between BMI and breast cancer among postmenopausal women; (2) there exists an inverse association between BMI and breast cancer among premenopausal women; and (3) similar associations between BMI and reproductive factors exist for both pre- and postmenopausal breast cancer cases. The study population comprised 357 African-American women (n=193 breast cancer cases; n=164 controls). No significant differences were observed between premenopausal cases and controls for BMI, obesity categories, and reproductive factors. Among the postmenopausal women, the cases had significantly lower weight and BMI levels than the controls. Age at first pregnancy and parity were significantly lower among postmenopausal cases than their controls. No significant associations were revealed between body mass index and breast cancer for pre- and postmenopausal women. In the present study, early age at menarche was the only reproductive factor that was an independent predictor of BMI for both pre- and postmenopausal women, irrespective of breast cancer status. Also, these findings strongly suggest the need to consider reproductive factors, particularly age at menarche, as a covariate of BMI and other obesity-related diseases.