<Emphasis Type="Italic">Salamandra salamandra</Emphasis> (Amphibia: Caudata: Salamandridae) in Portugal: not all black and yellow

The fire salamander complex is quite diverse in the Iberian Peninsula where nine subspecies of Salamandra salamandra are currently recognized. Here, we analysed the geographical distribution of the subspecies S. s. gallaica and S. s. crespoi using partial sequences of the mitochondrial cytochrome b gene of 168 individuals from 12 locations in Portugal. Our results support the existence of a deep lineage divergence between the two subspecies, with non-overlapping geographical distributions except in two contact zones: one in Sesimbra on the western coast, and another in Alcoutim on the southeastern border with Spain. Moreover, S. s. crespoi displays signs of gene flow among the sampled locations whereas S. s. gallaica shows evidence of some restriction to gene flow. Present-day genetic make-up of S. s. gallaica and S. s. crespoi is a result of past historical events, fine-tuned by contemporary Iberian geoclimate. Humid mountain areas were found to harbour increased genetic diversity possibly acting as past refugia during drier interglacial periods. To analyse wider geographical patterns and lineage splitting events within S. salamandra we performed a Bayesian dating analysis completing our data set with previously published sequences. The observed divergences were associated to successive biogeographic scenarios, and to other Iberian species showing similar trends.     

The evolutionary history and taxonomic reevaluation of the Japanese coral snake,Sinomicrurus japonicus (Serpentes,Elapidae), endemic to the Ryukyu Archipelago,Japan, by use of molecular and morphological analyses

Sinomicrurus japonicus has a conspicuous colour pattern of longitudinal black stripes and transverse sets of black and white bands with an orange‐reddish background colour. The pattern varies markedly among island populations, and thus, three subspecies have been recognized. We conducted molecular phylogenetic analyses on the island populations to clarify the evolutionary trajectory of such colour patterns and reevaluate the current classification accordingly. The results indicated relatively deep allopatric divergences within S. j. boettgeri, paraphyly of S. j. boettgeri against other two subspecies, and two independent derivations of S. j. takarai from boettgeri‐like ancestors. Detailed morphological analyses revealed that variations in the boettgeri and takarai forms were more or less continuous and that differences between the two takarai populations were very small. From these results, we propose synonymizing S. j. takarai with S. j. boettgeri. Morphological differences between the genetically most distant populations of S. j. boettgeri were also small, whereas the japonicus form was distinct from the remainder. Considering the possible evolution of S. j. japonicus through peripheral isolation, we propose retention of these two subspecies. This study provides a basis for future work on the adaptive significance of geographic variation in the colour pattern of S. japonicus.     

Morphological convergence and molecular divergence: the taxonomic status of Sceloporus serrifer (squamata,phrynosomatidae) subspecies

Martínez‐Méndez, N., Mejía, O., Rocha‐Gómez, A. & Méndez‐De La Cruz, F. R. (2012) Morphological convergence and molecular divergence: the taxonomic status of Sceloporus serrifer (squamata, phrynosomatidae) subspecies. —Zoologica Scripta, 41, 97–108. The systematics of the subspecies included in Sceloporus serrifer has undergone several taxonomic and nomenclatural rearrangements. This species previously comprised two recognized subspecies, Sceloporus serrifer serrifer and Sceloporus serrifer prezygus, which inhabit contrasting habitats. In this study, we re‐evaluate the taxonomic status of both subspecies using molecular and morphological evidence. Sceloporus serrifer serrifer was recovered as a paraphyletic group, whereas S. s. prezygus was recovered as a polyphyletic group. The molecular results indicate the existence of two independent lineages that diverged at least 1.29 Myr, with the populations currently recognized as S. s. prezygus from the Cuchumatanes Mountains representing a secondary invasion of S. s. serrifer from the lowlands. The lack of meristic differences among the highland populations of different species suggests convergence in similar environments achieved by two different lineages.     

Morph‐dependent fitness and directional change of morph frequencies over time in a Dutch population of Common buzzards Buteo buteo

How genetic polymorphisms are maintained in a population is a key question in evolutionary ecology. Previous work on a plumage colour polymorphism in the common buzzard Buteo buteo suggested heterozygote advantage as the mechanism maintaining the co‐existence of three morphs (light, intermediate and dark). We took advantage of 20 years of life‐history data collected in a Dutch population to replicate earlier studies on the relationship between colour morph and fitness in this species. We examined differences between morphs in adult apparent survival, breeding success, annual number of fledglings produced and cumulative reproductive success. We found that cumulative reproductive success differed among morphs, with the intermediate morph having highest fitness. We also found assortative mating for colour morph, whereby assortative pairs were more likely to produce offspring and had longer‐lasting pair bonds than disassortative pairs. Over the 20‐year study period, the proportion of individuals with an intermediate morph increased. This apparent evolutionary change did not just arise from selection on individual phenotypes, but also from fitness benefits of assortative mating. The increased frequency of intermediates might also be due to immigration or drift. We hypothesize that genetic variation is maintained through spatial variation in selection pressures. Further studies should investigate morph‐dependent dispersal behaviour and habitat choice.     

Floral trait differentiation in Anacamptis coriophora: Phenotypic selection on scents,but not on colour

Current divergent selection may promote floral trait differentiation among conspecific populations in flowering plants. However, whether this applies to complex traits such as colour or scents has been little studied, even though these traits often vary within species. In this study, we compared floral colour and odour as well as selective pressures imposed upon these traits among seven populations belonging to three subspecies of the widespread, generalist orchid Anacamptis coriophora. Colour was characterized using calibrated photographs, and scents were sampled using dynamic headspace extraction and analysed using gas chromatography–mass spectrometry. We then quantified phenotypic selection exerted on these traits by regressing fruit set values on floral trait values. We showed that the three studied subspecies were characterized by different floral colour and odour, with one of the two predominant floral volatiles emitted by each subspecies being taxon‐specific. Plant size was positively correlated with fruit set in most populations, whereas we found no apparent link between floral colour and female reproductive success. We detected positive selection on several taxon‐specific compounds in A. coriophora subsp. fragrans, whereas no selection was found on floral volatiles of A. coriophora subsp. coriophora and A. coriophora subsp. martrinii. This study is one of the first to document variation in phenotypic selection exerted on floral scents among conspecific populations. Our results suggest that selection could contribute to ongoing chemical divergence among A. coriophora subspecies.     

Phylogeography of the poison frog Mantella viridis (Amphibia: Mantellidae) reveals chromatic and genetic differentiation across ecotones in northern Madagascar

Mantella viridis is a threatened poison frog species endemic to the ecologically very heterogeneous northern region of Madagascar. The existence of several colour morphs within M. viridis and its very low genetic differentiation to the allopatrically distributed Mantella ebenaui raise questions about the processes driving the differentiation between these poison frog populations and about their taxonomic status. Using a DNA fragment of 476 nucleotides of the mitochondrial cytochrome b gene from 240 individuals of this species complex, we investigated the genetic variability of all known colour morphs of M. viridis, sampling this species throughout its known range, as well as several populations of M. ebenaui. Our genetic results confirm that M. viridis and M. ebenaui are closely related but reveal that no haplotype sharing occurs between these two taxa. Further, our molecular analyses provided evidence for barriers to gene flow among some of the colour morphs. Estimates of overlap of bioclimatic envelopes as assessed by ecological niche modelling also suggest a distinct bioclimatic niche of some of the lineages studied.     

Male–male aggression is unlikely to stabilize a poison frog polymorphism

Phenotypic polymorphism is common in animals, and the maintenance of multiple phenotypes in a population requires forces that act against homogenizing drift and selection. Male–male competition can contribute to the stability of a polymorphism when males compete primarily with males of the same phenotype. In and around a contact zone between red and blue lineages of the poison frog Oophaga pumilio, we used simulated territorial intrusions to test the nonexclusive predictions that males would direct more aggression towards males of (i) their own phenotype and/or (ii) the phenotype that is most common in their population. Males in the monomorphic red and blue populations that flank the contact zone were more aggressive towards simulated intruders that matched the local coloration. However, males in the two polymorphic populations biased aggression towards neither their own colour nor the colour most common in their population. In sympatry, the rarer colour morph gains no advantage via reduced male–male aggression from territorial males in these O. pumilio populations, and so male aggression seems unlikely to stabilize colour polymorphism on its own. More broadly, these results suggest that the potential for divergent male aggression biases to maintain phenotypic diversity depends on the mechanism(s) that generate the biases and the degree to which these mechanisms persist in sympatry.     

Genetic differentiation,hybridization and adaptive divergence in two subspecies of the acorn barnacle Tetraclita japonica in the northwestern Pacific

Two acorn barnacles, Tetraclita japonica japonica and Tetraclita japonica formosana, have been recently reclassified as two subspecies, because they are morphologically similar and genetically indistinguishable in mitochondrial DNA sequences. The two barnacles are distinguishable by parietes colour and exhibit parapatric distributions, coexisting in Japan, where T. j. formosana is very low in abundance. Here we investigated the genetic differentiation between the subspecies using 209 polymorphic amplified fragment length polymorphism markers and 341 individuals from 12 locations. The subspecies are genetically highly differentiated (Φ_CT = 0.267). Bayesian analysis and principal component analysis indicate the presence of hybrids in T. j. formosana samples from Japan. Strong differentiation between the northern and southern populations of T. j. japonica was revealed, and a break between Taiwan and Okinawa was also found in T. j. formosana. The differentiation between the two taxa at individual loci does not deviate from neutral expectation, suggesting that the oceanographic pattern which restricts larval dispersal is a more important factor than divergent selection in maintaining genetic and phenotypic differentiation. The T. j. formosana in Japan are probably recent migrants from Okinawa, and their presence in Japan may represent a poleward range shift driven by global warming. This promotes hybridization and might lead to a breakdown of the boundary between the subspecies. However, both local adaptation and larval dispersal are crucial in determining the population structure within each subspecies. Our study provides new insights into the interplay of local adaptation and dispersal in determining the distribution and genetic structure of intertidal biota and the biogeography of the northwestern Pacific.     

Adaptive basis of geographic variation: genetic,phenotypic and environmental differences among beach mouse populations

A major goal in evolutionary biology is to understand how and why populations differentiate, both genetically and phenotypically, as they invade a novel habitat. A classical example of adaptation is the pale colour of beach mice, relative to their dark mainland ancestors, which colonized the isolated sandy dunes and barrier islands on Florida''s Gulf Coast. However, much less is known about differentiation among the Gulf Coast beach mice, which comprise five subspecies linearly arrayed on Florida''s shoreline. Here, we test the role of selection in maintaining variation among these beach mouse subspecies at multiple levels—phenotype, genotype and the environments they inhabit. While all beach subspecies have light pelage, they differ significantly in colour pattern. These subspecies are also genetically distinct: pair-wise F_st-values range from 0.23 to 0.63 and levels of gene flow are low. However, we did not find a correlation between phenotypic and genetic distance. Instead, we find a significant association between the average ‘lightness’ of each subspecies and the brightness of the substrate it inhabits: the two most genetically divergent subspecies occupy the most similar habitats and have converged on phenotype, whereas the most genetically similar subspecies occupy the most different environments and have divergent phenotypes. Moreover, allelic variation at the pigmentation gene, Mc1r, is statistically correlated with these colour differences but not with variation at other genetic loci. Together, these results suggest that natural selection for camouflage—via changes in Mc1r allele frequency—contributes to pigment differentiation among beach mouse subspecies.     

Differential survival and reproduction in colour forms of Philaenus spumarius give new insights to the study of its balanced polymorphism

1. Colour polymorphisms are common across animals and are often the result of complex selection regimes. Philaenus spumarius (Linnaeus) (Hemiptera, Aphrophoridae) shows a widely studied dorsal colour polymorphism with several described phenotypes whose variation in their occurrence and frequency, as well as their maintenance across time, have been reported. Several selective influences have been suggested to play a role, but the mechanisms underlying the maintenance of this polymorphism are still poorly understood. 2. To explore the adaptive significance of the colour polymorphism of P. spumarius, an experiment was conducted in captivity under semi‐natural conditions to measure survival, reproductive success, and duration of egg maturation. 3. It was found that there was higher longevity, a higher number of oviposition events, and a higher number of eggs laid by trilineatus phenotype females than by typicus and marginellus, supporting previous reports of an increase in trilineatus frequency during the season. The duration of egg maturation did not differ among phenotypes. 4. The higher longevity and fertility of the trilineatus phenotype may compensate, for example, the higher rate of attack by parasitoids and/or higher solar radiation reflectance in this phenotype, which have already been reported in previous studies, constituting a possible mechanism for the maintenance of this polymorphism.     

四照花亚属的nrDNA ITS致同进化不完全

四照花亚属(Cornus subg.Syncarpea)隶属于山茱萸科山茱萸属(Cornus),我国该亚属共有5种8亚种。为探讨四照花亚属nrDNA ITS序列的致同进化不完全现象及假基因产生的可能原因,分析了该亚属4种(每种1~2个居群)共21个个体的nrDNA ITS序列。结果表明,这些类群的nrDNA ITS存在多态性,通过分析这些nrDNA ITS克隆序列的G+C含量、5.8S保守基序和二级结构最小自由能,推测其可能存在假基因。系统发育研究结果显示所有nrDNA ITS序列分成5个分支,同一个体的不同拷贝被分别置于两个甚至多个分支中,且不同分支显示了不同种间关系。四照花亚属物种个体内部存在nrDNA ITS不完全致同进化,可能归咎于不完全的世系分选(incomplete lineage sorting)、种间杂交或多倍化等进化事件,从而导致基因组内nrITS区序列出现多态性,同时也导致难以通过外部形态来划分亚属内种间界限。     

Niche Differentiation and its Relationship with Food Abundance and Vegetation Complexity in Four Frugivorous Bat Species in Southern Mexico

Species can co‐exist within a community when their use of limiting resources is differentiated. To test whether differentiation facilitates coexistence, we quantified differences and overlap in habitat use, fruit consumption, morphological characteristics, and the relationship with vegetation structure for two pairs of ecologically similar frugivorous bat species, Carollia sowelli and C. perspicillata, and Artibeus jamaicensis and A. lituratus. In Carollia sowelli and C. perspicillata, differences in body mass and wing aspect ratio were not reflected in differences in fruit or habitat use (diet overlap, 96 percent; habitat overlap, 98 percent). However, the capture rate of Carollia sowelli positively correlated with canopy openness, and that of C. perspicillata positively correlated with tree height. Body mass and wing characteristics of Artibeus species suggested a greater maneuverability for A. jamaicensis. Also, more A. jamaicensis individuals were captured feeding on Ficus spp., while Artibeus lituratus preferred fruits of the early successional tree Cecropia. However, both habitat overlap and diet overlap were higher than by chance (diet overlap, 75 percent; habitat overlap, 92 percent). The co‐existence of the four bat species in the study area may be facilitated by the abundance of the food resources forming part of the diets of both Carollia species, by the morphological differences between the Artibeus species, which allow the differentiation of foraging behavior in relation to fruit consumption, and by the structural characteristics of the vegetation.     

Lack of spermatogenic variation in a polymorphic lizard,Sceloporus aeneus (Squamata: Phrynosomatidae)

Although different mechanisms exist to explain the presence of polymorphism in lizards, one model suggests that multiple morphotypes display the same level of fitness. Three male morphs (grey, yellow and orange) coexist in Sceloporus aeneus, a Mexican endemic oviparous lizard. Using a histological perspective, we test the hypothesis that spermatogenic output does not vary across morphotypes of S. aeneus during its maximum testicular activity. Males of S. aeneus (five grey, five yellow and five orange) were collected in Calimaya, Estado de México, Mexico. Snout-vent length (SVL), testis mass, diameter and epithelial heights for the seminiferous tubules and epididymis, and the number of layers of germ cells did not vary among morphs; moreover, according to principal component analysis, a high overlap among lateral colour morphs exists. Our results suggest strongly that the lateral colour morphs in S. aeneus have the same spermatogenic output, and natural selection may be a stronger driving force than sexual selection within this species. Further studies into other lizard species with multiple morphotypes are required to determine whether the lack of variation in spermatogenic output observed in this endemic lizard is consistent across polymorphic species which will provide a greater understanding of the selective mechanisms acting on an individual’s fitness.     

Contrasting patterns of polymorphism and selection in bacterial‐sensing toll‐like receptor 4 in two house mouse subspecies

Detailed investigation of variation in genes involved in pathogen recognition is crucial for understanding co‐evolutionary processes between parasites and their hosts. Triggering immediate innate response to invading microbes, Toll‐like receptors (TLRs) belong presently among the best‐studied receptors of vertebrate immunity. TLRs exhibit remarkable interspecific variation and also intraspecific polymorphism is well documented. In humans and laboratory mice, several studies have recently shown that single amino acid substitution may significantly alter receptor function. Unfortunately, data concerning polymorphism in free‐living species are still surprisingly scarce. In this study, we analyzed the polymorphism of Toll‐like receptor 4 (Tlr4) over the Palearctic range of house mouse (Mus musculus). Our results reveal contrasting evolutionary patterns between the two recently (0.5 million years ago) diverged house mouse subspecies: M. m. domesticus (Mmd) and M. m. musculus (Mmm). Comparison with cytochrome b indicates strong directional selection in Mmd Tlr4. Throughout the whole Mmd western Palaearctic region, a single variant of the ligand‐binding region is spread, encoded mainly by one dominant haplotype (71% of Mmd). In contrast, Tlr4 in Mmm is much more polymorphic with several haplotypes at intermediate frequencies. Moreover, we also found clear signals of recombination between two principal haplogroups in Mmm, and we identified eight sites under positive selection in our dataset. Our results suggest that observed differences in Tlr4 diversity may be attributed to contrasting parasite‐mediated selection acting in the two subspecies.     

Molecular phylogeny and divergence time estimation of Cosmodela (Coleoptera: Carabidae: Cicindelinae) tiger beetle species from Southeast Asia

Cosmodela Rivalier, 1961, represents a genus of tiger beetles that currently contains 13 described species widely distributed across Southeast Asia. A phylogenetic analysis based on the mitochondrial DNA fragments 16S and COI and the nuclear marker wingless and a phylogeographic analysis using a COI fragment were carried out on two subspecies of Cosmodela aurulenta (C. a. juxtata and C. a. aurulenta). The results support the hypothesis that these two subspecies are significantly different to be considered as separate species that diverged during the Pleistocene. TAXONDNA analysis was used to investigate the capability of the COI region as a marker for discriminating both entities and to quantify intra‐ and intertaxa genetic variation. The minimum distance between C. aurulenta and C. juxtata was 2.7837%, and no overlap of intra‐ and intertaxa genetic divergence was observed. Both taxa, here considered as valid species, occur in sympatry in the Malay Peninsula, with C. aurulenta most probably originating from the area and C. juxtata a secondary colonizer that expanded southwards from the Asian mainland. Our data infer a continental origin of the Indonesian samples of C. aurulenta, and they most likely dispersed across the land bridges that emerged during glacial maxima to form Sundaland.     

Neural steroid sensitivity and aggression: comparing individuals of two songbird subspecies

Hormones coordinate the expression of complex phenotypes and thus may play important roles in evolutionary processes. When populations diverge in hormone‐mediated phenotypes, differences may arise via changes in circulating hormones, sensitivity to hormones or both. Determining the relative importance of signal and sensitivity requires consideration of both inter‐ and intrapopulation variation in hormone levels, hormone sensitivity and phenotype, but such studies are rare, particularly among closely related taxa. We compared males of two subspecies of the dark‐eyed junco (Junco hyemalis) for territorial aggression and associations among behaviour, circulating testosterone (T), and gene expression of androgen receptor (AR), aromatase (AROM) and oestrogen receptor α in three behaviourally relevant brain regions. Thus, we examined the degree to which evolution may shape behaviour via changes in plasma T as compared with key sex steroid binding/converting molecules. We found that the white‐winged junco (J. h. aikeni) was more aggressive than the smaller, less ornamented Carolina junco (J. h. carolinensis). The subspecies did not differ in circulating testosterone, but did differ significantly in the abundance of AR and AROM mRNA in key areas of the brain. Within populations, both gene expression and circulating T co‐varied significantly with individual differences in aggression. Notably, the differences identified between populations were opposite to those predicted by the patterns among individuals within populations. These findings suggest that hormone–phenotype relationships may evolve via multiple pathways, and that changes that have occurred over evolutionary time do not necessarily reflect standing physiological variation on which current evolutionary processes may act.     

Subspecies delineation amid phenotypic,geographic and genetic discordance in a songbird

Understanding the processes that drive divergence within and among species is a long‐standing goal in evolutionary biology. Traditional approaches to assessing differentiation rely on phenotypes to identify intra‐ and interspecific variation, but many species express subtle morphological gradients in which boundaries among forms are unclear. This intraspecific variation may be driven by differential adaptation to local conditions and may thereby reflect the evolutionary potential within a species. Here, we combine genetic and morphological data to evaluate intraspecific variation within the Nelson's (Ammodramus nelsoni) and salt marsh (Ammodramus caudacutus) sparrow complex, a group with populations that span considerable geographic distributions and a habitat gradient. We evaluated genetic structure among and within five putative subspecies of A. nelsoni and A. caudacutus using a reduced‐representation sequencing approach to generate a panel of 1929 SNPs among 69 individuals. Although we detected morphological differences among some groups, individuals sorted along a continuous phenotypic gradient. In contrast, the genetic data identified three distinct clusters corresponding to populations that inhabit coastal salt marsh, interior freshwater marsh and coastal brackish–water marsh habitats. These patterns support the current species‐level recognition but do not match the subspecies‐level taxonomy within each species—a finding which may have important conservation implications. We identified loci exhibiting patterns of elevated divergence among and within these species, indicating a role for local selective pressures in driving patterns of differentiation across the complex. We conclude that this evidence for adaptive variation among subspecies warrants the consideration of evolutionary potential and genetic novelty when identifying conservation units for this group.     

The Mendelian inheritance of rare flesh and shell colour variants in the black‐lipped pearl oyster (Pinctada margaritifera)

Pinctada margaritifera is French Polynesia's most economically important aquaculture species. This pearl oyster has the specific ability to produce cultured pearls with a very wide range of colours, depending on the colour phenotypes of donor oysters used. Its aquaculture is still based on natural spat collection from wild stocks. We investigated three rare colour variants of P. margaritifera – orange flesh, and red and white shell colour phenotypes – in comparison with the wild‐type black flesh and shell commonly found in this species. The study aimed to assess the geographic distribution and genetic basis of these colour variants. Colour frequencies were evaluated during transfer and graft processes of pearl oyster seed captured at collector stations. Among the collection locations studied, Mangareva Island showed the highest rate of the orange flesh phenotype, whereas Takaroa and Takume atolls had relatively high rates of red and white shell phenotypes respectively. Broodstocks were made of these rare colour variants, and crosses were performed to produce first‐ and second‐generation progenies to investigate segregation. The results were consistent with Mendelian ratios and suggest a distinct model with no co‐dominance: (i) a two‐allele model for flesh trait, whereby the orange allele is recessive to the black fleshed type, and (ii) a three‐allele model for shell trait, whereby the black wild‐type allele is dominant to the red coloration, which is dominant to the white shell. Furthermore, the proposed model provides the basis for producing selected donor pearl oyster lines through hatchery propagation.     

Evolutionary history and species diversity of African pouched mice (Rodentia: Nesomyidae: Saccostomus)

We explore diversity of African pouched mice, genus Saccostomus (Rodentia, Nesomyidae), by sampling molecular and morphological variation across their continental‐scale distribution in southern and eastern African savannahs and woodlands. Both mitochondrial (cytochrome b) and nuclear DNA (IRBP, RAG1) as well as skull morphology confirm the distinction between two recognized species, S. campestris and S. mearnsi, with disjunct distribution in the Zambezian and Somali–Maasai bioregions, respectively. Molecular dating suggests the divergence of these taxa occurred in the Early Pliocene, 3.9 Ma before present, whereas the deepest divergences within each of them are only as old as 2.0 Ma for S. mearnsi and 1.4 Ma for S. campestris. Based on cytochrome b phylogeny, we defined five clades (three within S. campestris, two in S. mearnsi) whose species status was considered in the light of nuclear DNA markers and morphology. We conclude that S. campestris group consists of two subspecies S. campestris campestris (Peters, 1846; comprising two cytochrome b clades) and S. campestris mashonae (de Winton, 1897) that are moderately differentiated, albeit distinct in IRBP and skull form. They likely hybridize to a limited extent along the Kafue–Zambezi Rivers. Saccostomus mearnsi group consists of two species, S. mearnsi (Heller, 1910) and S. umbriventer (Miller, 1910), that are markedly differentiated in both nuclear markers and skull form and may possibly co‐occur in south‐western Kenya and north‐eastern Tanzania. Analysis of historical demography suggests both subspecies of S. campestris experienced population expansion dated to the Last Glacial. In the present range of S. campestris group, the distribution modelling suggests a moderate fragmentation of suitable habitats during the last glacial cycle, whereas in the range of S. mearnsi group it predicts substantial shifts of its occurrence in the same period.