The cultural ecology of dietary change accompanying changing activity patterns among the shipibo

Shipibo Indians, who formed a village to establish a school and health clinic, are gradually depleting local fish and game resources. Men, recently adopting rice as a cash crop, tend to fish and hunt less than other men working only their subsistence gardens. Sale of fish and game in the village is becoming common, and pigs, once raised exclusively for sale to non-Shipibo, are now more regularly eaten and used for attracting agricultural labor. Other research has indicated that cash cropping often competes for workers' time in subsistence and so dietary change usually accompanies changing activity patterns. This paper explores the latter possibility by examining the relationship between cash cropping, wild meat procurement, and diet among the Shipibo. Time allocation and food consumption data are analyzed statistically to test a mathematical theory and model which relates indigenous work patterns to diet.     

Requirements for plant coexistence through pollination niche partitioning

Plant–pollinator interactions are often thought to have been a decisive factor in the diversification of flowering plants, but to be of little or no importance for the maintenance of existing plant diversity. In a recent opinion paper, Pauw (2013 Trends Ecol. Evol. 28, 30–37. (doi:10.1016/j.tree.2012.07.019)) challenged this view by proposing a mechanism of diversity maintenance based on pollination niche partitioning. In this article, I investigate under which conditions the mechanism suggested by Pauw can promote plant coexistence, using a mathematical model of plant and pollinator population dynamics. Numerical simulations show that this mechanism is most effective when the costs of searching for flowers are low, pollinator populations are strongly limited by resources other than pollen and nectar, and plant–pollinator interactions are sufficiently specialized. I review the empirical literature on these three requirements, discuss additional factors that may be important for diversity maintenance through pollination niche partitioning, and provide recommendations on how to detect this coexistence mechanism in natural plant communities.     

Risk perception–based post-seismic relief supply allocation in the Longmen Shan fault area: Case study of the 2013 Lushan earthquake

Post-seismic relief supply allocation based on psychological risk perception is an important yet understudied area in emergency management. This article develops a systematic approach to assist in post-seismic relief supply allocation in the Longmen Shan fault (LSF) area where many destructive earthquakes have occurred. First, to analyze the relief supply allocation system, a system dynamics (SD) model is built for the LSF area, which we then verify in a simulation of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. This simulation of an actual earthquake in the area allows for the verification of direct relief supply allocation information. Then, by applying the SD model to the 2013 Lushan earthquake, a decision tree focusing on the selection of appropriate decision-makers is proposed. In summary, the combination of the SD model and the decision tree can then be used to assist the government in carrying out post-seismic relief supply allocation when coping with the actual relief environment. Further, this systematic approach will be improved using other detailed factors from subsequent research on post-seismic relief supply allocation.     

Selection on female remating interval is influenced by male sperm competition strategies and ejaculate characteristics

Female remating rate dictates the level of sperm competition in a population, and extensive research has focused on how sperm competition generates selection on male ejaculate allocation. Yet the way ejaculate allocation strategies in turn generate selection on female remating rates, which ultimately influence levels of sperm competition, has received much less consideration despite increasing evidence that both mating itself and ejaculate traits affect multiple components of female fitness. Here, we develop theory to examine how the effects of mating on female fertility, fecundity and mortality interact to generate selection on female remating rate. When males produce more fertile ejaculates, females are selected to mate less frequently, thus decreasing levels of sperm competition. This could in turn favour decreased male ejaculate allocation, which could subsequently lead to higher female remating. When remating simultaneously increases female fecundity and mortality, females are selected to mate more frequently, thus exacerbating sperm competition and favouring male traits that convey a competitive advantage even when harmful to female survival. While intuitive when considered separately, these predictions demonstrate the potential for complex coevolutionary dynamics between male ejaculate expenditure and female remating rate, and the correlated evolution of multiple male and female reproductive traits affecting mating, fertility and fecundity.     

Time allocation of the parasitoidAphidius colemani (Hymenoptera: Aphidiidae) foraging forAphis gossypii (Homoptera: Aphidae) on cucumber leaves

The time allocation of individualAphidius colemani female parasitoids foraging forAphis gossypii nymphs on cucumber leaves has been investigated. Apart from experiences on the current leaf (such as density of hosts on the current leaf, density of hosts on a neighboring leaf and encounters with hosts on the current leaf), the effect of previous leaf visits on the time allocation was studied. Behavioral records were analyzed by means of the proportional hazards model, to determine the tendency of leaving the current leaf. The leaving tendency decreased only on leaves with a high host density (100 aphids), thus increasing the giving up time since the latest encounter. Rejection of aphids had no influence on the leaving tendency. To assess the effect of the number of hosts encountered on the leaving tendency, we considered three classes: 0–30 encounters, 31–100 encounters, and 100 or more encounters with hosts. The effect of the number of hosts encountered differed at different aphid densities. When fewer than 10 aphids were present the leaving tendency was much greater after 30 encounters than beforehand. At a density of 100 aphids the leaving tendency was lower than at the other aphid densities and increased only after 100 encounters. The density of hosts on a neighboring leaf, ranging from 0 to 100 hosts, had a negligible effect on the leaving tendency. Repeated visits to leaves with 10 unparasitized aphids resulted in an increase in the leaving tendency after 10 visits. It is argued that the parasitoids have some innate expectancy of host availability and that they concentrate on high-density patches.     

Simple network motifs can capture key characteristics of the floral transition in Arabidopsis

The floral transition is a key decision during plant development. While different species have evolved diverse pathways to respond to different environmental cues to flower in the correct season, key properties such as irreversibility and robustness to fluctuating signals appear to be conserved. We have used mathematical modeling to demonstrate how minimal regulatory networks of core components are sufficient to capture these behaviors. Simplified models inevitably miss finer details of the biological system, yet they provide a tractable route to understanding the overall system behavior. We combined models with experimental data to qualitatively reproduce characteristics of the floral transition and to quantitatively scale the network to fit with available leaf numbers. Our study highlights the value of pursuing an iterative approach combining modeling with experimental work to capture key features of complex systems.     

城市生活垃圾综合管理决策研究进展

城市生活垃圾综合管理主要是指选择合适的方案、政策手段等来实现特定的管理目标。选择适宜的研究方法是开展城市生活垃圾管理科学决策的重要基础和保障。综述了近年来该领域常用的相关研究方法和研究进展,总结分析了以统计分析、多准则决策分析、全生命周期分析、费用效益分析等为代表的传统数学模型方法和以系统动力学、基于Agent的建模等为代表的复杂系统模拟方法两大类方法的适用场景、优缺点和研究进展,分析了未来该领域研究的趋势和需重点关注的方向。研究发现：传统的数学模型方法被广泛应用于生活垃圾管理决策领域,成为支撑决策的重要研究工具,但这类方法通常大多以单一主体为研究对象,难以解释各种因素对其它主体及整个生活垃圾管理系统的作用,且大多为静态的或对某个或某几个时间点进行分析,容易忽略系统性和系统中各主体间的非线性关系、行为的交互作用及随时空的动态变化等。未来研究需充分关注城市生活垃圾管理系统的复杂性和系统不同主体间的行为交互作用,加强系统模拟模型开发,开展系统性政策评估分析等,为城市生活垃圾精细化管理决策提供科学支撑。     

Dispersal network structure and infection mechanism shape diversity in a coevolutionary bacteria-phage system

Resource availability, dispersal and infection genetics all have the potential to fundamentally alter the coevolutionary dynamics of bacteria–bacteriophage interactions. However, it remains unclear how these factors synergise to shape diversity within bacterial populations. We used a combination of laboratory experiments and mathematical modeling to test how the structure of a dispersal network affects host phenotypic diversity in a coevolving bacteria-phage system in communities of differential resource input. Unidirectional dispersal of bacteria and phage from high to low resources consistently increased host diversity compared with a no dispersal regime. Bidirectional dispersal, on the other hand, led to a marked decrease in host diversity. Our mathematical model predicted these opposing outcomes when we incorporated modified gene-for-gene infection genetics. To further test how host diversity depended on the genetic underpinnings of the bacteria-phage interaction, we expanded our mathematical model to include different infection mechanisms. We found that the direction of dispersal had very little impact on bacterial diversity when the bacteria-phage interaction was mediated by matching alleles, gene-for-gene or related infection mechanisms. Our experimental and theoretical results demonstrate that the effects of dispersal on diversity in coevolving host–parasite systems depend on an intricate interplay of the structure of the underlying dispersal network and the specifics of the host–parasite interaction.     

Male phenotypic quality influences offspring sex ratio in a polygynous ungulate

Evolutionary models of sex ratio adjustment applied to mammals have ignored that females may gain indirect genetic benefits from their mates. The differential allocation hypothesis (DAH) predicts that females bias the sex ratio of their offspring towards (more costly) males when breeding with an attractive male. We manipulated the number of available males during rut in a polygynous ungulate species, the reindeer (Rangifer tarandus), and found that a doubling of average male mass (and thus male attractiveness) in the breeding herd increased the proportion of male offspring from approximately 40 to 60%. Paternity analysis revealed indeed that males of high phenotypic quality sired more males, consistent with the DAH. This insight has consequences for proper management of large mammal populations. Our study suggests that harvesting, by generating a high proportion of young, small and unattractive mates, affects the secondary sex ratio due to differential allocation effects in females. Sustainable management needs to consider not only the direct demographic changes due to harvest mortality and selection, but also the components related to behavioural ecology and opportunities for female choice.     

A single NFκB system for both canonical and non-canonical signaling

Two distinct nuclear factor κB (NFκB) signaling pathways have been described; the canonical pathway that mediates inflammatory responses, and the non-canonical pathway that is involved in immune cell differentiation and maturation and secondary lymphoid organogenesis. The former is dependent on the IκB kinase adaptor molecule NEMO, the latter is independent of it. Here, we review the molecular mechanisms of regulation in each signaling axis and attempt to relate the apparent regulatory logic to the physiological function. Further, we review the recent evidence for extensive cross-regulation between these two signaling axes and summarize them in a wiring diagram. These observations suggest that NEMO-dependent and -independent signaling should be viewed within the context of a single NFκB signaling system, which mediates signaling from both inflammatory and organogenic stimuli in an integrated manner. As in other regulatory biological systems, a systems approach including mathematical models that include quantitative and kinetic information will be necessary to characterize the network properties that mediate physiological function, and that may break down to cause or contribute to pathology.     

Variation of apomorphic characters in stream-dwelling tadpoles of the bufonid genus Ansonia (Amphibia: Anura)

Six larval forms of the bufonid genus Ansonia from Borneo share the following synapomorphies: cup-like, ventral oral disc; an expanded post-dental portion of the lower lip, which has a papillate margin; upper keratinized jaw sheath divided; body markedly flattened ventrally; eyes set relatively far back on the body. All of these tadpoles live on the bottom in strong currents, except for larval Ansonia leptopus , which lives in drifts of dead leaves that accumulate in eddies within streams. These larval forms differ among themselves in body shape, development of inframarginal papillae on the lower lip, size of the gap between the keratinized parts of the upper jaw sheath, width of the post-dental portion of the lower lip, relative lengths of upper and lower rows of labial teeth, and arrangement of the gut coils. One form has an abdominal sucker. Changes in these characters are not correlated; the derived condition in one character is not always associated with the derived state in another. Consequently, these tadpoles cannot be arranged in a simple morphocline from least to most derived, again with the exception of A. leptopus , which is the least modified in all respects. Although tadpoles of Ansonia resemble those of the neotropical bufonid genus Atelopus in general specialization for benthic life in flowing water, they differ from that group in body form and details of the oral disc.