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1.
OBJECTIVE: To determine (a) the advantages and disadvantages of treatment options for the eradication of Helicobacter pylori and (b) whether eradication of H. pylori is indicated in patients with duodenal ulcer, nonucler dyspepsia and gastric cancer. DATA SOURCES: A MEDLINE search for articles published in English between January 1983 and December 1992 with the use of MeSH terms Helicobacter pylori (called Campylobacter pylori before 1990) and duodenal ulcer, gastric cancer, dyspepsia and clinical trial. Six journals and Current Contents were searched manually for pertinent articles published in that time frame. STUDY SELECTION: For duodenal ulcer the search was limited to studies involving adults, studies of H. pylori eradication and randomized clinical trials comparing anti-H. pylori therapy with conventional ulcer treatment. For nonulcer dyspepsia with H. pylori infection the search was limited to placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials. DATA EXTRACTION: The quality of each study was rated independently on a four-point scale by each author. For the studies of duodenal ulcer the outcome measures assessed were acute ulcer healing and time required for healing, H. pylori eradication and ulcer relapse. For the studies of nonulcer dyspepsia with H. pylori infection the authors assessed H. pylori eradication, the symptoms used as outcome measures and whether validated outcome measures had been used. DATA SYNTHESIS: Eight trials involving duodenal ulcer met our inclusion criteria: five were considered high quality, two were of reasonable quality, and one was weak. Six trials involving nonulcer dyspepsia met the criteria, but all were rated as weak. Among treatment options triple therapy with a bismuth compound, metronidazole and either amoxicillin or tetracycline achieved the highest eradication rates (73% to 94%). Results concerning treatment indications for duodenal ulcer were consistent among all of the studies: when anti-H. pylori therapy was added to conventional ulcer treatment acute ulcers healed more rapidly. Ulcer relapse rates were dramatically reduced after H. pylori eradication. All of the studies involving nonulcer dyspepsia assessed clearance rather than eradication of H. pylori. No study used validated outcome measures. A consistent decrease in symptom severity was no more prevalent in patients in whom the organism had been cleared than in those taking a placebo. Of the studies concerning gastric cancer none investigated the effect of eradication of H. pylori on subsequent risk of gastric cancer. CONCLUSIONS: There is sufficient evidence to support the use of anti-H. pylori therapy in patients with duodenal ulcers who have H. pylori infection, triple therapy achieving the best results. There is no current evidence to support such therapy for nonulcer dyspepsia in patients with H. pylori infection. Much more attention must be paid to the design of nonulcer dyspepsia studies. Also, studies are needed to determine whether H. pylori eradication in patients with gastritis will prevent gastric cancer.  相似文献   

2.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate current evidence for a causal relation between Helicobacter pylori infection and gastritis, duodenal ulcer, gastric cancer and nonulcer dyspepsia. DATA SOURCES: A MEDLINE search for articles published in English between January 1983 and December 1992 with the use of MeSH terms Helicobacter pylori, gastritis, duodenal ulcer, gastric cancer, dyspepsia and clinical trial; abstracts were excluded. Six journals and Current Contents were searched manually for pertinent articles published in that time frame. STUDY SELECTION: Original studies with at least 25 patients, case reports and reviews that examined the relation between H. pylori and the four gastrointestinal disorders; 350 articles were on gastritis, 122 on duodenal ulcer, 44 on gastric cancer and 96 on nonulcer dyspepsia. DATA EXTRACTION: The quality of the studies was rated independently on a four-point scale. The strength of the evidence was assessed using a six-point scale for each of the eight established guidelines for determining a causal relation. DATA SYNTHESIS: There was conclusive evidence of a causal relation between H. pylori infection and histologic gastritis. Koch''s postulates for the identification of a microorganism as the causative agent of a disease were fulfilled for H. pylori as a causative agent of gastritis. There was strong evidence that H. pylori is the main cause of duodenal ulcers not induced by nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, but all of Koch''s postulates were not fulfilled. There was moderate epidemiologic evidence of an association between chronic H. pylori infection and gastric cancer. There was a lack of convincing evidence of a causal association between H. pylori and nonulcer dyspepsia. CONCLUSIONS: The evidence supports a strong causal relation between H. pylori infection and gastritis and duodenal ulcer and a moderate relation between such infection and gastric cancer. Further studies are needed to clarify the role of H. pylori in these disorders. Thus far, there is no evidence of a causal relation between H. pylori and nonulcer dyspepsia.  相似文献   

3.
Background:  Clinical effectiveness of Helicobacter pylori eradication in gastric cancer survivors after endoscopic resection of early gastric cancer (EGC) was recently established in a randomized controlled trial. We aimed to establish long-term cost-effectiveness in gastric cancer survivors after endoscopic resection of EGC.
Materials and Methods:  A Markov model was constructed to compare the costs and outcomes of the two intervention strategies: (1) eradicate H. pylori after complete resection of EGC by endoscopy (2) do not eradicate. Estimates for variables in the model were obtained by extensive review of published reports. Analyses were made from the Korean public healthcare provider's perspective.
Results:  Base-case analysis indicated H. pylori eradication costs less (US$ 29,780 vs. US$ 30,594) than no eradication, and save more lives (mean life expectancy from eradication: 13.60 years vs. 13.55 years). One-way and three-way sensitivity analyses showed the robustness of the cost-effectiveness results.
Conclusion:  In this selective population with very high risk of developing gastric cancer, H. pylori eradication should be considered for reimbursement with priority to prevent subsequent cancer and also reduce health care cost.  相似文献   

4.
It is clear that non-ulcer (or functional) dyspepsia is a heterogeneous syndrome that includes a subset of patients with unrecognized gastroesophageal reflux. Patient heterogeneity combined with inadequate study methodology has led to enormous confusion in interpreting the relationship between Helicobacter pylori and non-ulcer dyspepsia. The possibility that H. pylori is associated with gastroesophageal reflux disease may explain, in part, the difficulty in establishing a link between non-ulcer dyspepsia and H. pylori infection. It is unclear whether the prevalence of H. pylori is increased in non-ulcer dyspepsia over and above the background population. H. pylori does not appear to be linked to heartburn or other specific upper gastrointestinal tract symptoms. The results of eradication trials in H. pylori-infected patients with non-ulcer dyspepsia have been equivocal and generally flawed. There is no doubt that H. pylori is not a sufficient cause of non-ulcer dyspepsia, because it is well documented in the literature that dyspepsia can occur in the absence of infection and infection can occur in the absence of symptoms. At this stage, there is insufficient evidence to support the hypothesis that H. pylori is etiologically linked to non-ulcer dyspepsia, but data from well designed large randomized controlled trials of eradication therapy, are awaited with great interest.  相似文献   

5.
Background. Strains of Helicobacter pylori that express the CagA protein are associated with a threefold increased gastric cancer risk as compared to H. pylori strains that do not express CagA. Screening and treatment only for CagA antibodies should target those individuals at highest gastric cancer risk while reducing the number of patients requiring antibiotics. We compared the costs and benefits of screening asymptomatic 50-year-old individuals for CagA, screening for all H. pylori strains, and no screening, both in the United States and abroad.
Materials and Methods. We employed Markov cost-effectiveness analysis using data from randomized, case-control, and cohort studies.
Results. In the United States, CagA screening would result in 1.5 million fewer antibiotic treatments but would prevent 1,400 fewer gastric cancers than would screening for all H. pylori. The incremental cost-effectiveness of CagA screening is $23,900 per life-year gained; for H. pylori screening, it is $25,100. Screening in countries with epidemiological characteristics similar to those of Colombia, Finland, and Japan costs less than $5,000 per life-year gained, and the difference between CagA and H. pylori screening is smaller than that in the United States.
Conclusions. Screening only for CagA-positive H. pylori is not substantially better than is screening for all H. pylori , either in the United States nor abroad. Screening is substantially more cost-effective outside the United States. Whether population screening is justified, however, is uncertain pending conclusive data regarding the reduction in gastric cancer risk from antibiotics.  相似文献   

6.
Although H. pylori infection has been recognized as a major etiological agent for the development of chronic active gastritis, duodenal ulcer and benign non-NSAID related gastric ulcer, its role in the development of symptoms in patients with dyspepsia remains uncertain. Results from population-based epidemiological studies have been conflicting regarding a causal link between H. pylori infection and dyspepsia. Abnormalities in gastric acid secretion may exist in some dyspeptic patients. Whether disordered gastric motility seen in dyspeptic patients is related to the infection is not clear based on the results in the literature. Numerous clinical trials have been undertaken to eradicate H. pylori infection and improve the symptoms in dyspeptic patients; however, the results have been discrepant between studies. Many published studies suffer from methodological problems that have made interpretation difficult. Large, well-conducted, randomized, placebo-controlled, clinical trials with long-term follow-up are needed to justify the beneficial effect of H. pylori eradication treatment in dyspeptic patients seen in some small studies. H. pylori eradication therapy is cost-effective in H. pylori-infected dyspeptic patients although this benefit may take a long time to accrue, especially in younger patients.  相似文献   

7.
胃癌(gastric cancer)是我国常见恶性肿瘤之一,有着较高的发病率和死亡率。胃癌的发生是一个相对缓慢、多步骤、复杂的过程,可能与幽门螺杆菌(Helicobacter pylori,H.pylori)感染、环境、基因、吸烟等因素相关。随着高通量测序技术和宏基因组学等技术的发展和运用,大量研究表明胃肠道微生物与消化道系统疾病息息相关,其中胃微生物中H.pylori已被明确列为I类致癌因子。除了H.pylori,胃内其他共生菌与胃癌的发生也有密切的联系。本文将通过胃癌与H.pylori感染、胃癌与H.pylori根除、H.pylori与胃微生态、胃癌与胃微生态四个方面综述胃癌与胃微生物的关系,为日后胃癌的研究提供参考。  相似文献   

8.
The incidence of peptic ulcer disease has declined over the last few decades, particularly in Western populations, most likely as a result of the decrease in Helicobacter pylori infection and the widespread use of proton-pump inhibitors (PPI) in patients with dyspepsia. The hospital admission rate for uncomplicated duodenal and gastric ulcers has significantly decreased worldwide. In contrast, admissions for complicated ulcer disease, such as bleeding peptic ulcers and perforation, remained relatively stable. Prophylactic H.?pylori eradication was found to be associated with a reduced risk of both gastric and duodenal ulcers and their complications, including bleeding in chronic users of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. The recent Helicobacter Eradication Relief of Dyspeptic Symptoms trial presented important data relating to symptoms and quality of life of H.?pylori-positive patients with functional dyspepsia (FD) and also demonstrated significant benefits from eradication compared with the control group. The new Asian consensus report on FD recommended that dyspepsia accompanied by H.?pylori infection should be considered a separate disease entity from FD and that H.?pylori infection should be eradicated before diagnosing FD. The association of H.?pylori with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is still controversial. Treatment for H.?pylori does not seem to increase GERD symptoms or reflux esophagitis. However, documented eradication of H.?pylori appears to significantly improve GERD symptoms. Additional long-term intervention studies are needed to provide more information on which to base clinical decisions.  相似文献   

9.
The role of Helicobacter pylori infection in nonulcer dyspepsia remains controversial. To date studies exploring the effect of H. pylori eradication on symptoms have reported conflicting results. Randomised control trials employing validated outcome measures have also been difficult to interpret because of several important issues such as the large placebo response seen in patients with nonulcer dyspepsia and both the natural variability in symptoms and symptom severity with time. The association of symptom improvement with resolution of gastritis has meant that the length of follow up employed in most studies has been insufficient. We report the findings of a randomised placebo controlled trial (n = 100), using a validated symptom questionnaire and 5 year follow up to determine the effect of H. pylori eradication on symptoms in nonulcer dyspepsia. In all 64 that were reviewed at 5 years there was a significant difference between patients who were H. pylori negative and those who remained positive with regard to complete symptom resolution, consumption of relevant medications and peptic ulcer disease development, in favour of active treatment. There was a trend for gradual symptom improvement over time irrespective of H. pylori status, which may reflect the natural history of this condition. For those who remained symptomatic at 5 years, there was no difference in symptom severity based on H. pylori status. The findings of this study support the use of H. pylori eradication in symptomatic patients with nonulcer dyspepsia both to induce symptom resolution and to prevent disease progression.  相似文献   

10.
Asaka M  Kato M  Graham DY 《Helicobacter》2010,15(6):486-490
A study conducted by the Japan Gast Study Group showed that eradication of Helicobacter pylori reduced the risk of gastric cancer by about one-third. However, it did not completely prevent the onset of latent gastric cancer among those at high risk (i.e., with atrophic gastritis). To prevent deaths from gastric cancer, it is necessary to eradicate H. pylori infection. We propose a program of risk stratification based on the presence of H. pylori infection with or without atrophic gastritis followed by targeted interventions. Those at no risk for gastric cancer (no H. pylori, no atrophic gastritis) need no therapy or follow-up. Those at low risk (H. pylori infected, nonatrophic gastritis) need only H. pylori eradication therapy. The smaller groups at high or very high risk need eradication and cancer surveillance. We estimated the costs and the benefits of this strategy. Gastric cancer screening by simultaneous measurement of serum pepsinogen and H. pylori antibody combined with eradication of H. pylori in all individuals at risk would initially increase national healthcare expenditure, but this would be offset by markedly reducing the cost of treating gastric cancer. The proposed strategy should prevent about 150,000 deaths from gastric cancer during the 5 years after its adoption. If the loss caused by these deaths is also taken into account, the economic effect of this strategy becomes enormous. It would probably reduce the incidence of gastric cancer by more than 80-90% within 10 years. The Japanese government should take the initiative to implement this strategy as soon as possible.  相似文献   

11.
The clinical outcome of Helicobacter pylori infection has been particularly associated with virulence genotypes. These genotypes are useful as molecular markers in the identification of patients that are infected and at high risk for developing more severe gastric pathologies. Our main objective was to determine the prevalence of virulence genotypes cagA, vacA, iceA and babA2 of H. pylori, in patients with functional dyspepsia who are infected with the bacteria. H. pylori genotypes babA2 and cagA as well as vacA and iceA allelic variants were identified by PCR in 122 isolates resulting from 79 patients with functional dyspepsia. A high prevalence of genes cagA+ (71%), vacAs1am1 (34%), babA2 (57%) and iceA1 (87%) was found. The most frequent combined genotype found were cagA+/vacAs1am1/babA2+/iceA1 and cagA-/vacAs1am1/babA2+/iceA1, regardless of any family history of gastric cancer or MALT lymphoma. The very virulent genotype cagA+/vacAs1am1/babA2+/iceA1 prevailed in the studied patients with functional dyspepsia. Our results provide information about the prevalence of four of the more important virulent factors and constitute new evidence on the prevalence of the most virulent H. pylori genotype in patients with functional dyspepsia.  相似文献   

12.
R E Tarone  J J Gart 《Biometrics》1989,45(3):883-890
The goal of a cancer screening program is to reduce cancer mortality by detecting tumors at earlier stages of their development. For some types of cancer, screening tests may allow the preclinical detection of benign precursors of a tumor, and thus a screening program could result in reductions in both cancer incidence and mortality. For other types of cancer, a screening program will not reduce cancer incidence, and thus the expected outcome in a randomized cancer screening trial would be equal cancer incidence rates in control and study groups, but reduced cancer mortality in the study group. For the latter situation, we employ a variety of Poisson models for cancer incidence and mortality to derive optimal tests for equality of cancer mortality rates in a cancer screening trial, and we compare the asymptotic relative efficiencies of the test statistics under various alternatives. We demonstrate that testing equality of case mortality rates using Fisher's exact test or its Pearson chi-square approximation is nearly optimal when cancer incidence rates are equal and is fully efficient when cancer incidence rates are unequal. When valid, this comparison of case mortality rates in the study and control groups can be considerably more powerful than the standard comparison of population mortality rates. We illustrate the results using data from a clinical trial of a breast cancer screening program.  相似文献   

13.
It is well known that Helicobacter pylori infection is associated with many nonmalignant disorders such as gastritis, peptic ulcer, gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), gastric polyp, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID)/aspirin-induced gastric injury, and functional dyspepsia. In 2008, interesting articles on the association of H. pylori infection with these disorders were presented, some of which intended to reveal the mechanisms of inter-individual differences in response to H. pylori infection, and have demonstrated that genetic differences in host and bacterial factors as well as environmental factors account for these differences. A decline in the occurrence of peptic ulcer related to H. pylori was confirmed. An inverse relationship between H. pylori infection and GERD was also confirmed but the impact of gastric atrophy on the prevention of GERD remained debatable. For NSAID-induced gastric injury, eradication of H. pylori infection has been recommended. During this year, eradication of H. pylori infection was recommended for patients treated with antiplatelet therapy as well as aspirin and NSAID. It was also reported that for patients with functional dyspepsia, eradication of H. pylori offers a modest but significant benefit.  相似文献   

14.
Background:  Gastric cancer remains one of the most common cancers worldwide. A strong association exists between Helicobacter pylori infection and the risk of developing noncardia gastric cancer. H. pylori eradication by antibiotic treatment is regarded as a primary chemoprevention strategy to reduce gastric cancer incidence.
Aim:  To analyze the efficacy of H. pylori eradication in preventing gastric cancer in human and animal models, and to discuss whether biochemical, genetic, and epigenetic changes associated with H. pylori infection are reversible after curing the infection.
Results:  Several intervention trials have indicated that in some patients, H. pylori eradication leads to regression and prevents the progression of precancerous lesions. The eradication therapy reduces gastric cancer incidence in patients without any precancerous lesions at the baseline and is most effective before the development of atrophic gastritis. A few recent intervention studies in Japan have demonstrated significant prophylactic effects of eradication therapy on the development of gastric cancer, suggesting the use of eradication therapy in high-risk populations as a gastric cancer reduction strategy. However, gastric cancer may still develop despite successful eradication therapy. Studies in animal models have confirmed the use of eradication therapy at an early point of infection to prevent gastric cancer development.
Conclusion:  H. pylori eradication may not completely abolish the risk of gastric cancer. However, eradication therapy may be used in high-risk populations to reduce gastric cancer incidence. It can reverse many biochemical, genetic, and epigenetic changes that H. pylori infection induces in the stomach.  相似文献   

15.
Helicobacter pylori is now considered a major pathogen of the upper gastrointestinal tract. It is seen as an important cause of peptic ulceration not associated with NSAID use. It is also increasingly linked to other diseases of the GI tract, although the relationship between the organism and conditions such as gastric cancer, non-ulcer dyspepsia and gastroesophageal reflux disease is not as clear as is the case in peptic ulcer disease. This is probably because of a lack of well-performed, statistically powerful, prospective therapeutic trials that indicate that H. pylori eradication is of benefit in these diseases. The high infection rate without overt disease seen in many populations, especially from developing countries, probably contributes to this "credibility gap." While we have excellent therapeutic regimens available at this time, rational targeting requires that the objective evidence in favor of therapeutic intervention in upper GI disease, as well as the local H. pylori epidemiology, needs to be considered.  相似文献   

16.
Considerable knowledge has recently accumulated on the mechanism by which Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) induces chronic gastritis. Although H. pylori is not an invasive bacterium, soluble surface constituents can provoke pepsinogen release from gastric chief cells or trigger local inflammation in the underlying tissue. Urease appears to be one of the prime chemoattractants for recruitment and activation of inflammatory cells. Release of cytokines, such as tumor necrosis factor alpha, interleukin 1 and 6, and oxygen radicals, leads to a further tissue inflammation accompanied by a potent systemic IgA and IgG type of immune response. Chronic inflammation and antigens on glandular epithelial cells lead to a progressive destruction with loss of the epithelial barrier function. Within the gastric mucosa, patches of intestinal metaplasia develop, which may be a risk factor for subsequent development of gastric carcinoma. Hyperacidity in duodenal ulcer patients induces gastric metaplasia in the duodenal bulb, which represents a target for H. pylori colonization and ulcer formation. H. pylori can be detected in the majority of patients with peptic ulcers and, compared to age-matched healthy people, it is also found more often in patients with dyspepsia and gastric carcinoma. Although H. pylori can be detected in healthy people, the marked reduction of the ulcer recurrence rate by eradication of H. pylori (80 percent versus 20 percent relapse within one year) suggests that H. pylori is a major risk factor for duodenal ulcer formation. The potential role of H. pylori in non-ulcer dyspepsia and carcinogenesis is under investigation. Current regimens aimed at eradicating H. pylori use a combination of several drugs that are potentially toxic. Since the risk of complications may exceed the potential benefit in most patients, eradication treatment should be limited to clinical trials and to patients with aggressive ulcer disease. New drug regimens, e.g., the combination of proton pump inhibitors with one antibiotic, may provide less toxic alternatives. Beyond ulcer treatment, effective and well-tolerated eradication regimens may have a place in prophylaxis of gastric carcinoma.  相似文献   

17.
Helicobacter pylori, a microaerophilic Gram-negative bacterium, is known to cause chronic gastritis, peptic ulcer and gastric cancer. Genes that are present in certain isolates may determine strain-specific traits such as disease association and drug resistance. In order to understand the pathogenic mechanisms of gastric diseases, identify molecular markers of the diseases associated with H. pylori strains and provide clues for target treatment of H. pylori-related diseases, a subtracted DNA library was constructed from a gastric cancer-associated H. pylori strain and a superficial gastritis-associated H. pylori strain by suppression subtractive hybridization. The presence of gastric cancer-specific genes was identified by dot blot hybridization, DNA sequencing and PCR-based screening. Twelve gastric cancer-specific high-copy genes and nine low-copy genes were found in gastric cancer compared with the superficial gastritis strain. These genes were confirmed by PCR analysis of H. pylori isolates. Notably, peptidyl-prolyl cis-trans isomerase (PPIase) was detected positively in 11 out of 22 (50%) gastric cancer-associated H. pylori strains. In contrast, <24% of the H. pylori strains from superficial gastritis showed positive results. Given the potential role of PPIases in cell growth, apoptosis and oncogenic transformation, our results suggest that PPIase may represent a novel marker and potential therapeutic target for gastric cancer.  相似文献   

18.
A role for Helicobacter pylori infection in the development of gastric cancer in humans is well established; however, evidence for its carcinogenicity in animals remains inadequate. Mongolian gerbils and mice are commonly used to investigate the carcinogenicity of H. pylori, yet it is unclear whether H. pylori infection per se causes gastric cancer or duodenal ulcers in these animal models. Gastric adenocarcinoma in the gerbils was reported over 10 years ago, but this species has proved an unreliable model for studying H. pylori infection-associated gastric cancer. Helicobacter pylori infection alone appears insufficient to induce gastric cancer in these animals; additional carcinogenic insult is required. The development of invasive adenocarcinoma in inbred mice is rare regardless of the mouse or bacterial strain, and many long-term studies have failed to induce gastric cancer in these animals. Helicobacter pylori infection is also an established causative factor for duodenal ulcer in humans. However, few studies have attempted to develop animal models of H. pylori infection-induced duodenal ulcer. We therefore conclude that both Mongolian gerbils and inbred mice may be inadequate models for studying H. pylori infection-associated gastric cancer and that there is no animal model of H. pylori infection-induced duodenal ulcer.  相似文献   

19.
Aims:  To evaluate the efficacy of bovine lactoferrin (BLf), recombinant human lactoferrin (rHLf) and desferrioxamine against Helicobacter pylori in vitro and in mice and also to determine whether BLf or rHLf alter gastric inflammation.
Methods and Results:  In vitro: Broth dilution susceptibility tests were performed using different concentrations of desferrioxamine, BLf and rHLf. Murine trials: In the prevention trial, C57BL/6 female mice were treated with BLf or rHLF, and then infected with the SS1 strain of H. pylori . In the treatment trial, mice were gavaged with either BLf, rHLf or desferrioxamine. In addition, gastric myeloperoxidase activity (MPO) was measured to assess gastric inflammation. Desferoxamine was found to have a direct bactericidal effect, while BLf and rHLf only partially suppressed H. pylori growth in vitro . However, in both prevention and treatment trials all three forms of treatment failed to reduce H. pylori load in mice. Gastric MPO activity and H. pylori load were noted to be higher with lactoferrin treatments.
Conclusions:  Our study does not support the use of BLf or rHLF in the treatment of human H. pylori infection. Interestingly, H. pylori growth and gastric inflammation appear to be enhanced by lactoferrin treatment.
Significance and Impact of the Study:  The mouse model is ideal for testing novel H. pylori eradicating agents.  相似文献   

20.
PurposeTo analyze breast screening randomized trials with a Monte Carlo simulation tool.MethodsA simulation tool previously developed to simulate breast screening programmes was adapted for that purpose. The history of women participating in the trials was simulated, including a model for survival after local treatment of invasive cancers. Distributions of time gained due to screening detection against symptomatic detection and the overall screening sensitivity were used as inputs. Several randomized controlled trials were simulated. Except for the age range of women involved, all simulations used the same population characteristics and this permitted to analyze their external validity. The relative risks obtained were compared to those quoted for the trials, whose internal validity was addressed by further investigating the reasons of the disagreements observed.ResultsThe Monte Carlo simulations produce results that are in good agreement with most of the randomized trials analyzed, thus indicating their methodological quality and external validity. A reduction of the breast cancer mortality around 20% appears to be a reasonable value according to the results of the trials that are methodologically correct. Discrepancies observed with Canada I and II trials may be attributed to a low mammography quality and some methodological problems. Kopparberg trial appears to show a low methodological quality.ConclusionMonte Carlo simulations are a powerful tool to investigate breast screening controlled randomized trials, helping to establish those whose results are reliable enough to be extrapolated to other populations and to design the trial strategies and, eventually, adapting them during their development.  相似文献   

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