Serum C-peptide levels and risk of death among adults without diabetes mellitus

Background:

Connecting peptide (C-peptide) plays a role in early atherogenesis in patients with diabetes mellitus and may be a marker for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in patients without diabetes. We investigated whether serum C-peptide levels are associated with all-cause, cardiovascular-related and coronary artery disease–related mortality in adults without diabetes.

Methods:

We used data from the Third Nutrition and Health Examination Survey (NHANES III) and the NHANES III Linked Mortality File in the United States. We analyzed mortality data for 5902 participants aged 40 years and older with no history of diabetes and who had available serum C-peptide levels from the baseline examination. We grouped the participants by C-peptide quartile, and we performed Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The primary outcome was all-cause, cardiovascular-related and coronary artery disease–related mortality.

Results:

The mean serum C-peptide level in the study sample was 0.78 (± standard deviation 0.47) nmol/L. The adjusted hazards ratio comparing the highest quartile with the lowest quartile was 1.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.33–2.43) for all-cause mortality, 3.20 (95% CI 2.07–4.93) for cardiovascular-related mortality, and 2.73 (95% CI 1.55–4.82) for coronary artery disease–related mortality. Higher C-peptide levels were associated with increased mortality among strata of glycated hemoglobin and fasting serum glucose.

Interpretation:

We found an association between serum C-peptide levels and all-cause and cause-specific mortality among adults without diabetes at baseline. Our finding suggests that elevated C-peptide levels may be a predictor of death.Connecting peptide (C-peptide), a cleavage product of proinsulin, is secreted by pancreatic β cells in equimolar amounts along with insulin.¹ Although a considerable amount of insulin is extracted by the liver, C-peptide is subjected to negligible first-pass metabolism by the liver, thereby serving as a surrogate marker for endogenous insulin secretion.² C-peptide has been considered an inert by-product of insulin synthesis and has also been of great value in the understanding of the pathophysiology of type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus.^2,3 However, C-peptide has recently been re-evaluated as a bioactive peptide in its own right. The administration of C-peptide to patients and animals with type 1 diabetes has been reported to have a beneficial effect on diabetes-induced abnormalities of the peripheral nerves and renal and microvascular function.^4,5 C-peptide deposition occurs in the atherosclerotic lesions of patients with diabetes.⁶ Recent studies have suggested that C-peptide may be a valuable predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality (all-cause and cardiovascular-related mortality).^6–12In this study, we investigated the association between serum C-peptide level and all-cause, cardiovascular-related and coronary artery disease–related mortality among patients without diabetes. We also estimated mortality as C-peptide increased across glycated hemoglobin and fasting blood glucose quartiles.     

Comparison of black–white disparities in preterm birth between Canada and the United States

Background:

A higher risk of preterm birth among black women than among white women is well established in the United States. We compared differences in preterm birth between non-Hispanic black and white women in Canada and the US, hypothesizing that disparities would be less extreme in Canada given the different historical experiences of black populations and Canada’s universal health care system.

Methods:

Using data on singleton live births in Canada and the US for 2004–2006, we estimated crude and adjusted risk ratios and risk differences in preterm birth (< 37 wk) and very preterm birth (< 32 wk) among non-Hispanic black versus non-Hispanic white women in each country. Adjusted models for the US were standardized to the covariate distribution of the Canadian cohort.

Results:

In Canada, 8.9% and 5.9% of infants born to black and white mothers, respectively, were preterm; the corresponding figures in the US were 12.7% and 8.0%. Crude risk ratios for preterm birth among black women relative to white women were 1.49 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32 to 1.66) in Canada and 1.57 (95% CI 1.56 to 1.58) in the US (p value for heterogeneity [p_H] = 0.3). The crude risk differences for preterm birth were 2.94 (95% CI 1.91 to 3.96) in Canada and 4.63 (95% CI 4.56 to 4.70) in the US (p_H = 0.003). Adjusted risk ratios for preterm birth (p_H = 0.1) were slightly higher in Canada than in the US, whereas adjusted risk differences were similar in both countries. Similar patterns were observed for racial disparities in very preterm birth.

Interpretation:

Relative disparities in preterm birth and very preterm birth between non-Hispanic black and white women were similar in magnitude in Canada and the US. Absolute disparities were smaller in Canada, which reflects a lower overall risk of preterm birth in Canada than in the US in both black and white populations.In the United States, a higher risk of preterm birth among black women than among white women is well established.^1–3 This racial disparity is of great concern because preterm birth is a leading cause of perinatal mortality and is predictive of developmental problems and adverse health outcomes later in life.⁴ The underlying causes of the racial disparity in preterm birth in the US are not well understood, although research has suggested contributing roles for a wide range of factors, including socioeconomic disadvantage,⁵ poor neighbourhood conditions (e.g., poverty, crime),^5,6 lack of access to health care,⁷ psychosocial stress,⁸ racial discrimination⁹ and adverse health behaviours.¹⁰Rates of preterm birth have consistently been lower in Canada than in the US.^11,12 However, in contrast to the US, little is known about differences in rates by race or ethnicity in Canada. There is evidence that African-born and Caribbean-born women in the provinces of Quebec and Ontario have higher rates of preterm birth than Canadian-born women.^13–15 Although the magnitude of these differences is smaller than the disparity in preterm births between black and white women in the US,¹⁶ foreign-born black women in the US have been found to be at lower risk of preterm birth than US-born black women.^17,18In both Canada and the US, socioeconomic conditions at both individual and neighbourhood levels are important predictors of preterm birth.^19–21 Although the income gap between black and white people is markedly smaller in Canada than in the US,²² black populations in both countries have lower education levels, higher unemployment rates and a greater likelihood of living in low-quality neighbourhoods compared with white populations.²³ Canada and the US share similar social and economic influences, yet the historical experiences of black populations and the social welfare systems (e.g., universal health care) are quite different in the 2 countries. Black people constitute about 13% of the total US population, but only about 3% of the Canadian population.^24,25 The overwhelming majority of Canada’s black population are immigrants who entered the country after 1960 and their descendants, whereas more than 85% of black Americans can trace their ancestry 3 or more generations in the US, with most being descendants of slaves.²²The objectives of our study are twofold. First, using data from a new cohort linking birth registrations with information from the 2006 Canadian long-form census, we present Canada-wide estimates of differences in preterm birth rates between black and white populations. Second, we use comparable methodology to compare racial differences in preterm birth rates between Canada and the US. Given different historical experiences of black populations in the 2 countries, as well as Canada’s commitment to universal health care and its general perception as a more egalitarian society than the US,²² we hypothesized that we would observe smaller racial disparities in the rates in Canada than in the US.     

Mediterranean diets and metabolic syndrome status in the PREDIMED randomized trial

Background:

Little evidence exists on the effect of an energy-unrestricted healthy diet on metabolic syndrome. We evaluated the long-term effect of Mediterranean diets ad libitum on the incidence or reversion of metabolic syndrome.

Methods:

We performed a secondary analysis of the PREDIMED trial — a multicentre, randomized trial done between October 2003 and December 2010 that involved men and women (age 55–80 yr) at high risk for cardiovascular disease. Participants were randomly assigned to 1 of 3 dietary interventions: a Mediterranean diet supplemented with extra-virgin olive oil, a Mediterranean diet supplemented with nuts or advice on following a low-fat diet (the control group). The interventions did not include increased physical activity or weight loss as a goal. We analyzed available data from 5801 participants. We determined the effect of diet on incidence and reversion of metabolic syndrome using Cox regression analysis to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results:

Over 4.8 years of follow-up, metabolic syndrome developed in 960 (50.0%) of the 1919 participants who did not have the condition at baseline. The risk of developing metabolic syndrome did not differ between participants assigned to the control diet and those assigned to either of the Mediterranean diets (control v. olive oil HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.94–1.30, p = 0.231; control v. nuts HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.92–1.27, p = 0.3). Reversion occurred in 958 (28.2%) of the 3392 participants who had metabolic syndrome at baseline. Compared with the control group, participants on either Mediterranean diet were more likely to undergo reversion (control v. olive oil HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.15–1.58, p < 0.001; control v. nuts HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.08–1.51, p < 0.001). Participants in the group receiving olive oil supplementation showed significant decreases in both central obesity and high fasting glucose (p = 0.02); participants in the group supplemented with nuts showed a significant decrease in central obesity.

Interpretation:

A Mediterranean diet supplemented with either extra virgin olive oil or nuts is not associated with the onset of metabolic syndrome, but such diets are more likely to cause reversion of the condition. An energy-unrestricted Mediterranean diet may be useful in reducing the risks of central obesity and hyperglycemia in people at high risk of cardiovascular disease. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, no. ISRCTN35739639.Metabolic syndrome is a cluster of 3 or more related cardiometabolic risk factors: central obesity (determined by waist circumference), hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, low plasma high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol levels and hyperglycemia. Having the syndrome increases a person’s risk for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.^1,2 In addition, the condition is associated with increased morbidity and all-cause mortality.^1,3–5 The worldwide prevalence of metabolic syndrome in adults approaches 25%^6–8 and increases with age,⁷ especially among women,^8,9 making it an important public health issue.Several studies have shown that lifestyle modifications,¹⁰ such as increased physical activity,¹¹ adherence to a healthy diet^12,13 or weight loss,^14–16 are associated with reversion of the metabolic syndrome and its components. However, little information exists as to whether changes in the overall dietary pattern without weight loss might also be effective in preventing and managing the condition.The Mediterranean diet is recognized as one of the healthiest dietary patterns. It has shown benefits in patients with cardiovascular disease^17,18 and in the prevention and treatment of related conditions, such as diabetes,^19–21 hypertension^22,23 and metabolic syndrome.²⁴Several cross-sectional^25–29 and prospective^30–32 epidemiologic studies have suggested an inverse association between adherence to the Mediterranean diet and the prevalence or incidence of metabolic syndrome. Evidence from clinical trials has shown that an energy-restricted Mediterranean diet³³ or adopting a Mediterranean diet after weight loss³⁴ has a beneficial effect on metabolic syndrome. However, these studies did not determine whether the effect could be attributed to the weight loss or to the diets themselves.Seminal data from the PREDIMED (PREvención con DIeta MEDiterránea) study suggested that adherence to a Mediterranean diet supplemented with nuts reversed metabolic syndrome more so than advice to follow a low-fat diet.³⁵ However, the report was based on data from only 1224 participants followed for 1 year. We have analyzed the data from the final PREDIMED cohort after a median follow-up of 4.8 years to determine the long-term effects of a Mediterranean diet on metabolic syndrome.     

Involving patients in cardiovascular risk management with nurse-led clinics: a cluster randomized controlled trial

Background

Preventive guidelines on cardiovascular risk management recommend lifestyle changes. Support for lifestyle changes may be a useful task for practice nurses, but the effect of such interventions in primary prevention is not clear. We examined the effect of involving patients in nurse-led cardiovascular risk management on lifestyle adherence and cardiovascular risk.

Methods

We performed a cluster randomized controlled trial in 25 practices that included 615 patients. The intervention consisted of nurse-led cardiovascular risk management, including risk assessment, risk communication, a decision aid and adapted motivational interviewing. The control group received a minimal nurse-led intervention. The self-reported outcome measures at one year were smoking, alcohol use, diet and physical activity. Nurses assessed 10-year cardiovascular mortality risk after one year.

Results

There were no significant differences between the intervention groups. The effect of the intervention on the consumption of vegetables and physical activity was small, and some differences were only significant for subgroups. The effects of the intervention on the intake of fat, fruit and alcohol and smoking were not significant. We found no effect between the groups for cardiovascular 10-year risk.

Interpretation

Nurse-led risk communication, use of a decision aid and adapted motivational interviewing did not lead to relevant differences between the groups in terms of lifestyle changes or cardiovascular risk, despite significant within-group differences.It is not clear if programs for lifestyle change are effective in the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases. Some studies have shown lifestyle improvements with cardiovascular rehabilitation programs,^1–3 and studies in primary prevention have suggested small, but potentially important, reductions in the risk of cardiovascular disease. However, these studies have had limitations and have recommended further research.^4,5 According to national and international guidelines for cardiovascular risk management, measures to prevent cardiovascular disease, such as patient education and support for lifestyle change, can be delegated to practice nurses in primary care.^6–8 However, we do not know whether the delivery of primary prevention programs by practice nurses is effective. We also do no know the effect of nurse-led prevention, including shared decision-making and risk communication, on cardiovascular risk.Because an unhealthy lifestyle plays an important role in the development of cardiovascular disease,^9,10 preventive guidelines on cardiovascular disease and diabetes recommend education and counselling about smoking, diet, physical exercise and alcohol consumption for patients with moderately and highly increased risk.^6,11 These patients are usually monitored in primary care practices. The adherence to lifestyle advice ranges from 20% to 90%,^12–15 and improving adherence requires effective interventions, comprising cognitive, behavioural and affective components (strategies to influence adherence to lifestyle advice via feelings and emotions or social relationships and social supports).¹⁶ Shared treatment decisions are highly preferred. Informed and shared decision-making requires that all information about the cardiovascular risk and the pros and cons of the risk-reduction options be shared with the patient, and that the patients’ individual values, personal resources and capacity for self-determination be respected.^17–19 In our cardiovascular risk reduction study,²⁰ we developed an innovative implementation strategy that included a central role for practice nurses. Key elements of our intervention included risk assessment, risk communication, use of a decision aid and adapted motivational interviewing (Box 1).^19,21,22

Box 1.?Key features of the nurse-led intervention

• Risk assessment (intervention and control): The absolute 10-year mortality risk from cardiovascular diseases was assessed with use of a risk table from the Dutch guidelines (for patients without diabetes) or the UK Prospective Diabetes Study risk engine (for patients with diabetes).^6,23 Nurses in the control group continued to provide usual care after this step.
• Risk communication (intervention only): Nurses informed the patients of their absolute 10-year cardiovascular mortality risk using a risk communication tool developed for this study.^24–37
• Decision support (intervention only): Nurses provied support to the patients using an updated decision aid.²⁸ This tool facilitated the nurses’ interaction with the patients to arrive at informed, value-based choices for risk reduction. The tool provided information about the options and their associated relevant outcomes.
• Adapted motivational interviewing (intervention only): Nurses discussed the options for risk reduction. The patient’s personal values were elicited using adapted motivational interviewing.

In the present study, we investigated whether a nurse-led intervention in primary care had a positive effect on lifestyle and 10-year cardiovascular risk. We hypothesized that involving patients in decision-making would increase adherence to lifestyle changes and decrease the absolute risk of 10-year cardiovascular mortality.     

Likelihood of coronary angiography among First Nations patients with acute myocardial infarction

Background:

Morbidity due to cardiovascular disease is high among First Nations people. The extent to which this may be related to the likelihood of coronary angiography is unclear. We examined the likelihood of coronary angiography after acute myocardial infarction (MI) among First Nations and non–First Nations patients.

Methods:

Our study included adults with incident acute MI between 1997 and 2008 in Alberta. We determined the likelihood of angiography among First Nations and non–First Nations patients, adjusted for important confounders, using the Alberta Provincial Project for Outcome Assessment in Coronary Heart Disease (APPROACH) database.

Results:

Of the 46 764 people with acute MI, 1043 (2.2%) were First Nations. First Nations patients were less likely to receive angiography within 1 day after acute MI (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62–0.87). Among First Nations and non–First Nations patients who underwent angiography (64.9%), there was no difference in the likelihood of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.92, 95% CI 0.83–1.02) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (adjusted HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.85–1.25). First Nations people had worse survival if they received medical management alone (adjusted HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.07–1.77) or if they underwent PCI (adjusted HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.06–1.80), whereas survival was similar among First Nations and non–First Nations patients who received CABG.

Interpretation:

First Nations people were less likely to undergo angiography after acute MI and experienced worse long-term survival compared with non–First Nations people. Efforts to improve access to angiography for First Nations people may improve outcomes.Although cardiovascular disease has been decreasing in Canada,¹ First Nations people have a disproportionate burden of the disease. First Nations people in Canada have a 2.5-fold higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease than non–First Nations people,² with hospital admissions for cardiovascular-related events also increasing.³The prevalence of cardiovascular disease in First Nations populations is presumed to be reflective of the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors.^4–7 However, the disproportionate increase in rates of hospital admission suggests that suboptimal management of cardiovascular disease or its risk factors may also influence patient outcomes.^2,3 Racial disparities in the quality of cardiovascular care resulting in adverse outcomes have been documented, although most studies have focused on African-American, Hispanic and Asian populations.^8,9 As a result, it is unclear whether suboptimal delivery of guideline-recommended treatment contributes to increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among First Nations people.^10–12We undertook a population-based study involving adults with incident acute myocardial infarction (MI) to examine the receipt of guideline-recommended coronary angiography among First Nations and non–First Nations patients.^10–12 Among patients who underwent angiography, we sought to determine whether there were differences between First Nations and non–First Nations patients in the likelihood of revascularization and long-term survival.     

Determinants of variations in initial treatment strategies for stable ischemic heart disease

Background:

The ratio of revascularization to medical therapy (referred to herein as the revascularization ratio) for the initial treatment of stable ischemic heart disease varies considerably across hospitals. We conducted a comprehensive study to identify patient, physician and hospital factors associated with variations in the revascularization ratio across 18 cardiac centres in the province of Ontario. We also explored whether clinical outcomes differed between hospitals with high, medium and low ratios.

Methods:

We identified all patients in Ontario who had stable ischemic heart disease documented by index angiography performed between Oct. 1, 2008, and Sept. 30, 2011, at any of the 18 cardiac centres in the province. We classified patients by initial treatment strategy (medical therapy or revascularization). Hospitals were classified into equal tertiles based on their revascularization ratio. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Patient follow-up was until Dec. 31, 2012. Hierarchical logistic regression models identified predictors of revascularization. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, with a time-varying covariate for actual treatment received, were used to evaluate the impact of the revascularization ratio on clinical outcomes.

Results:

Variation in revascularization ratios was twofold across the hospitals. Patient factors accounted for 67.4% of the variation in revascularization ratios. Physician and hospital factors were not significantly associated with the variation. Significant patient-level predictors of revascularization were history of smoking, multivessel disease, high-risk findings on noninvasive stress testing and more severe symptoms of angina (v. no symptoms). Treatment at hospitals with a high revascularization ratio was associated with increased mortality compared with treatment at hospitals with a low ratio (hazard ratio 1.12, 95% confidence interval 1.03–1.21).

Interpretation:

Most of the variation in revascularization ratios across hospitals was warranted, in that it was driven by patient factors. Nonetheless, the variation was associated with potentially important differences in mortality.Stable ischemic heart disease is a common manifestation of cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of death in the world.^1,2 The treatment strategies for stable ischemic heart disease include medical therapy alone or in combination with revascularization by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).A tremendous amount of research has examined the best initial treatment strategy for stable ischemic heart disease.^3–5 Randomized controlled trials have not shown a difference in major adverse events between optimal medical therapy and revascularization.⁶ Some argue that revascularization should be reserved only for symptom relief.^5,7,8 Criteria for the appropriate use of revascularization have been developed to aid in clinical decision-making; however, a substantial proportion of revascularization procedures for stable ischemic heart disease are performed under clinical circumstances deemed as “uncertain.”^9,10 Reflecting this uncertainty, there is wide regional variation in the rate of coronary revascularization,^11–13 which suggests different thresholds for invasive therapy for stable ischemic heart disease.Studies have predominantly examined the determinants of variations in the type of revascularization modality used.^13,14 There is a paucity of data exploring the determinants of variations in the earlier decision to treat with medical therapy alone or with revascularization. A study published nearly a decade ago did not examine outcomes.⁷ Accordingly, our primary research objective was to determine whether the variations in initial treatment strategies for stable ischemic heart disease are warranted. We conducted a comprehensive population-based study to identify patient, physician and hospital factors associated with variations in treatment strategies within 90 days after angiography. We also explored whether clinical outcomes differed between hospitals with high, medium and low ratios of revascularization to medical therapy (hereafter referred to as the revascularization ratio).     

Diagnosed hypertension in Canada: incidence, prevalence and associated mortality

Background:

Hypertension is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. Our objectives were to examine the prevalence and incidence of diagnosed hypertension in Canada and compare mortality among people with and without diagnosed hypertension.

Methods:

We obtained data from linked health administrative databases from each province and territory for adults aged 20 years and older. We used a validated case definition to identify people with hypertension diagnosed between 1998/99 and 2007/08. We excluded pregnant women from the analysis.

Results:

This retrospective population-based study included more than 26 million people. In 2007/08, about 6 million adults (23.0%) were living with diagnosed hypertension and about 418 000 had a new diagnosis. The age-standardized prevalence increased significantly from 12.5% in 1998/99 to 19.6% in 2007/08, and the incidence decreased from 2.7 to 2.4 per 100. Among people aged 60 years and older, the prevalence was higher among women than among men, as was the incidence among people aged 75 years and older. The prevalence and incidence were highest in the Atlantic region. For all age groups, all-cause mortality was higher among adults with diagnosed hypertension than among those without diagnosed hypertension.

Interpretation:

The overall prevalence of diagnosed hypertension in Canada from 1998 to 2008 was high and increasing, whereas the incidence declined during the same period. These findings highlight the need to continue monitoring the effectiveness of efforts for managing hypertension and to enhance public health programs aimed at preventing hypertension.Globally, raised blood pressure is the leading risk factor for death, accounting for about 13% of all deaths,^1,2 and it is the strongest risk factor for lost years of healthy life.¹ Left untreated, hypertension can increase the risk of stroke, coronary artery disease, dementia, heart and kidney failure, and other chronic diseases.^3–6 Managing hypertension through lifestyle modification or the use of antihypertensive medications, or both, can help mitigate these outcomes.⁷ Over the past decades in Canada, mortality associated with cardiovascular diseases has decreased,⁸ partly because of increased awareness and diagnosis of hypertension and better control of blood pressure.^9,10 However, the prevalence of hypertension remains high, and currently there are no mechanisms to track new cases at the national level.To date, information about hypertension in Canada has been mainly obtained by health surveys conducted at the provincial or national levels. Such surveys typically provide prevalence (not incidence) data and include limited data about trends over time.^11–15 National health surveys in Canada are resource intensive, do not include information about people who live in remote areas or institutions, and may underestimate hypertension prevalence because of recall bias and non-response.¹⁶ The use of administrative data that is population-based and routinely collected, such as physician claims and hospital discharge data, allows for a more comprehensive picture of this condition. Other important advantages of using administrative data include the readiness of the data to be analyzed, cost-efficiency, wide geographic coverage and the relatively complete capture of patient contact with the health care system (i.e., less prone to selection bias).Several recent studies in Canada and the United States have established valid methods for using administrative data to identify cases of hypertension.^16–23 In a study conducted in Ontario involving women and men aged 20 years and older, Tu and colleagues found that the prevalence and incidence of diagnosed hypertension were 24.5% in 2005 and 3.2% in 2004, respectively.²⁴ We used the same validated case definition to examine the prevalence and incidence of diagnosed hypertension in Canada from 1998/99 to 2007/08 by age and by province and territory. We also compared all-cause mortality by age and sex among those with and without diagnosed hypertension.     

Left atrial size and risk for all-cause mortality and ischemic stroke

Background:

Limited data are available on the relation between left atrial size and outcome among patients referred for clinically indicated echocardiograms. Our aim was to assess the association of left atrial size with all-cause mortality and ischemic stroke in a large cohort of patients referred for echocardiography.

Methods:

Left atrial diameter was measured in 52 639 patients aged 18 years or older (mean age 61.8 [standard deviation (SD) 16.3] years; 52.9% men) who underwent a first transthoracic echocardiogram for clinical reasons at our institution between April 1990 and March 2008. The outcomes were all-cause mortality and nonfatal ischemic stroke.

Results:

Based on the criteria of the American Society of Echocardiography, 50.4% of the patients had no left atrial enlargement, whereas 24.5% had mild, 13.3% had moderate and 11.7% had severe left atrial enlargement. Over a mean follow-up period of 5.5 (SD 4.1) years, 12 527 patients died, and 2314 patients had a nonfatal ischemic stroke. Cumulative 10-year survival was 73.7% among patients with normal left atrial size, 62.5% among those with mild enlargement, 54.8% among those with moderate enlargement and 45% among those with severe enlargement (p < 0.001). After adjustment in multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, left atrial diameter remained a predictor of all-cause mortality in both sexes (hazard ratio [HR] per 1-cm increment in left atrial size 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12–1.22, p < 0.001 in women, and HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05–1.13, p < 0.001 in men) and of ischemic stroke in women (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.14–1.37, p < 0.001).

Interpretation:

Left atrial diameter has a graded and independent association with all-cause mortality in both sexes and with ischemic stroke in women.The left atrium plays a major role in cardiac physiology by collecting blood during systole and modulating left ventricular filling during diastole.¹ Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction or mitral valve disease may lead to left atrial pressure or volume overload which, if chronically maintained, may result in left atrial remodeling and enlargement.² As a marker of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction³ or increased filling volumes, left atrial size may provide important prognostic information. In this regard, left atrial enlargement has been related to higher risk of atrial fibrillation^4–7 and cardiovascular events.^8–13 Our aim was to assess the association of left atrial size with all-cause mortality and ischemic stroke in a large cohort of patients referred for echocardiography.     

Alcohol consumption and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation among people with cardiovascular disease

Background:

Moderate alcohol consumption may reduce cardiovascular events, but little is known about its effect on atrial fibrillation in people at high risk of such events. We examined the association between moderate alcohol consumption and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation among older adults with existing cardiovascular disease or diabetes.

Methods:

We analyzed data for 30 433 adults who participated in 2 large antihypertensive drug treatment trials and who had no atrial fibrillation at baseline. The patients were 55 years or older and had a history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes with end-organ damage. We classified levels of alcohol consumption according to median cut-off values for low, moderate and high intake based on guidelines used in various countries, and we defined binge drinking as more than 5 drinks a day. The primary outcome measure was incident atrial fibrillation.

Results:

A total of 2093 patients had incident atrial fibrillation. The age- and sex-standardized incidence rate per 1000 person-years was 14.5 among those with a low level of alcohol consumption, 17.3 among those with a moderate level and 20.8 among those with a high level. Compared with participants who had a low level of consumption, those with higher levels had an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–1.26, for moderate consumption; 1.32, 95% CI 0.97–1.80, for high consumption). Results were similar after we excluded binge drinkers. Among those with moderate alcohol consumption, binge drinkers had an increased risk of atrial fibrillation compared with non–binge drinkers (adjusted HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.02–1.62).

Interpretation:

Moderate to high alcohol intake was associated with an increased incidence of atrial fibrillation among people aged 55 or older with cardiovascular disease or diabetes. Among moderate drinkers, the effect of binge drinking on the risk of atrial fibrillation was similar to that of habitual heavy drinking.A trial fibrillation is associated with an increased risk of stroke and a related high burden of mortality and morbidity, both in the general public and among patients with existing cardiovascular disease.^1,2 The prevalence of atrial fibrillation increases steadily with age, as do the associated risks, and atrial fibrillation accounts for up to 23.5% of all strokes among elderly people.³Moderate alcohol consumption has been reported to be associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause death,^1,2 whereas heavy alcohol intake and binge drinking have been associated with an increased risk of stroke,⁴ cardiovascular disease and all-cause death.^5,6 Similarly, heavy drinking and binge drinking are associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation in the general population.⁷ However, the association between moderate drinking and incident atrial fibrillation is less consistent and not well understood among older people with existing cardiovascular disease.In this analysis, we examined whether drinking moderate quantities of alcohol, and binge drinking, would be associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation in a large cohort of people with existing cardiovascular disease or diabetes with end-organ damage who had been followed prospectively in 2 long-term antihypertensive drug treatment trials.     

Income-related differences in mortality among people with diabetes mellitus

Background

Mortality has declined substantially among people with diabetes mellitus over the last decade. Whether all income groups have benefited equally, however, is unclear. We examined the impact of income on mortality trends among people with diabetes.

Methods

In this population-based, retrospective cohort study, we compared changes in mortality from Apr. 1, 1994, to Mar. 31, 2005, by neighbourhood income strata among people with diabetes aged 30 years or more in the province of Ontario, Canada.

Results

Overall, the annual age- and sex-adjusted mortality declined, from 4.05% in 1994/95 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.98%–4.11%) to 2.69% in 2005/06 (95% CI 2.66%–2.73%). The decrease was significantly greater in the highest income group (by 36%) than in the lowest income group (by 31%; p < 0.001). This trend was most pronounced in the younger group (age 30–64 years): the mortality rate ratio widened by more than 40% between the lowest and highest income groups, from 1.12 to 1.59 among women and from 1.14 to 1.60 among men. Income had a much smaller effect on mortality trends in the older group, whose drug costs are subsidized: the income-related difference rose by only 0.9% over the study period.

Interpretation

Mortality declined overall among people with diabetes from 1994 to 2005; however, the decrease was substantially greater in the highest income group than in the lowest, particularly among those aged 30–64 years. These findings illustrate the increasing impact of income on the health of people with diabetes even in a publicly funded health care setting. Further studies are needed to explore factors responsible for these income-related differences in mortality.The number of people with diabetes mellitus has increased dramatically over the last 20 years^1,2 and is estimated to double to about 366 million by 2030.³ Diabetes is associated with a 2-fold increase in mortality, with the majority of deaths attributed to cardiovascular causes.⁴ However, survival among people with diabetes has improved substantially over the last decade,^1,5,6 in part because of better diabetes care and a reduction in cardiovascular events.⁶Income is a well-known predictor of survival.^7,8 Even in Canada, where much of health care is universally funded, income-based inequities in health and access to care remain.^9–12 Although income-related differences in all-cause mortality have decreased since the advent of provincially subsidized health care in Canada,^8,9 the income gap may be increasing for certain causes of death, including those related to diabetes.⁸ The shift to more complex medical care involving a greater number of drug therapies has resulted in improved diabetes-related outcomes overall.¹³ However, patients in lower-income groups may not have benefited from advances in diabetes care as much as more affluent patients have because of the financial burden of out-of-pocket expenses for such medications and diabetes supplies.We conducted a population-based study to examine income-related differences in mortality from 1994 to 2005 among people with diabetes.     

Risk of vascular events in patients with polymyalgia rheumatica

Background:

Polymyalgia rheumatica is one of the most common inflammatory rheumatologic conditions in older adults. Other inflammatory rheumatologic disorders are associated with an excess risk of vascular disease. We investigated whether polymyalgia rheumatica is associated with an increased risk of vascular events.

Methods:

We used the General Practice Research Database to identify patients with a diagnosis of incident polymyalgia rheumatica between Jan. 1, 1987, and Dec. 31, 1999. Patients were matched by age, sex and practice with up to 5 patients without polymyalgia rheumatica. Patients were followed until their first vascular event (cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, peripheral vascular) or the end of available records (May 2011). All participants were free of vascular disease before the diagnosis of polymyalgia rheumatica (or matched date). We used Cox regression models to compare time to first vascular event in patients with and without polymyalgia rheumatica.

Results:

A total of 3249 patients with polymyalgia rheumatica and 12 735 patients without were included in the final sample. Over a median follow-up period of 7.8 (interquartile range 3.3–12.4) years, the rate of vascular events was higher among patients with polymyalgia rheumatica than among those without (36.1 v. 12.2 per 1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio 2.6, 95% confidence interval 2.4–2.9). The increased risk of a vascular event was similar for each vascular disease end point. The magnitude of risk was higher in early disease and in patients younger than 60 years at diagnosis.

Interpretation:

Patients with polymyalgia rheumatica have an increased risk of vascular events. This risk is greatest in the youngest age groups. As with other forms of inflammatory arthritis, patients with polymyalgia rheumatica should have their vascular risk factors identified and actively managed to reduce this excess risk.Inflammatory rheumatologic disorders such as rheumatoid arthritis,^1,2 systemic lupus erythematosus,^2,3 gout,⁴ psoriatic arthritis^2,5 and ankylosing spondylitis^2,6 are associated with an increased risk of vascular disease, especially cardiovascular disease, leading to substantial morbidity and premature death.^2–6 Recognition of this excess vascular risk has led to management guidelines advocating screening for and management of vascular risk factors.^7–9Polymyalgia rheumatica is one of the most common inflammatory rheumatologic conditions in older adults,¹⁰ with a lifetime risk of 2.4% for women and 1.7% for men.¹¹ To date, evidence regarding the risk of vascular disease in patients with polymyalgia rheumatica is unclear. There are a number of biologically plausible mechanisms between polymyalgia rheumatica and vascular disease. These include the inflammatory burden of the disease,^12,13 the association of the disease with giant cell arteritis (causing an inflammatory vasculopathy, which may lead to subclinical arteritis, stenosis or aneurysms),¹⁴ and the adverse effects of long-term corticosteroid treatment (e.g., diabetes, hypertension and dyslipidemia).^15,16 Paradoxically, however, use of corticosteroids in patients with polymyalgia rheumatica may actually decrease vascular risk by controlling inflammation.¹⁷ A recent systematic review concluded that although some evidence exists to support an association between vascular disease and polymyalgia rheumatica,¹⁸ the existing literature presents conflicting results, with some studies reporting an excess risk of vascular disease^19,20 and vascular death,^21,22 and others reporting no association.^23–26 Most current studies are limited by poor methodologic quality and small samples, and are based on secondary care cohorts, who may have more severe disease, yet most patients with polymyalgia rheumatica receive treatment exclusively in primary care.²⁷The General Practice Research Database (GPRD), based in the United Kingdom, is a large electronic system for primary care records. It has been used as a data source for previous studies,²⁸ including studies on the association of inflammatory conditions with vascular disease²⁹ and on the epidemiology of polymyalgia rheumatica in the UK.³⁰ The aim of the current study was to examine the association between polymyalgia rheumatica and vascular disease in a primary care population.     

Effect of ambient air pollution on the incidence of appendicitis

Background

The pathogenesis of appendicitis is unclear. We evaluated whether exposure to air pollution was associated with an increased incidence of appendicitis.

Methods

We identified 5191 adults who had been admitted to hospital with appendicitis between Apr. 1, 1999, and Dec. 31, 2006. The air pollutants studied were ozone, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and suspended particulate matter of less than 10 μ and less than 2.5 μ in diameter. We estimated the odds of appendicitis relative to short-term increases in concentrations of selected pollutants, alone and in combination, after controlling for temperature and relative humidity as well as the effects of age, sex and season.

Results

An increase in the interquartile range of the 5-day average of ozone was associated with appendicitis (odds ratio [OR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.25). In summer (July–August), the effects were most pronounced for ozone (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.10–1.57), sulfur dioxide (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.03–1.63), nitrogen dioxide (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.20–2.58), carbon monoxide (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.01–1.80) and particulate matter less than 10 μ in diameter (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05–1.38). We observed a significant effect of the air pollutants in the summer months among men but not among women (e.g., OR for increase in the 5-day average of nitrogen dioxide 2.05, 95% CI 1.21–3.47, among men and 1.48, 95% CI 0.85–2.59, among women). The double-pollutant model of exposure to ozone and nitrogen dioxide in the summer months was associated with attenuation of the effects of ozone (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.01–1.48) and nitrogen dioxide (OR 1.48, 95% CI 0.97–2.24).

Interpretation

Our findings suggest that some cases of appendicitis may be triggered by short-term exposure to air pollution. If these findings are confirmed, measures to improve air quality may help to decrease rates of appendicitis.Appendicitis was introduced into the medical vernacular in 1886.¹ Since then, the prevailing theory of its pathogenesis implicated an obstruction of the appendiceal orifice by a fecalith or lymphoid hyperplasia.² However, this notion does not completely account for variations in incidence observed by age,^3,4 sex,^3,4 ethnic background,^3,4 family history,⁵ temporal–spatial clustering⁶ and seasonality,^3,4 nor does it completely explain the trends in incidence of appendicitis in developed and developing nations.^3,7,8The incidence of appendicitis increased dramatically in industrialized nations in the 19th century and in the early part of the 20th century.¹ Without explanation, it decreased in the middle and latter part of the 20th century.³ The decrease coincided with legislation to improve air quality. For example, after the United States Clean Air Act was passed in 1970,⁹ the incidence of appendicitis decreased by 14.6% from 1970 to 1984.³ Likewise, a 36% drop in incidence was reported in the United Kingdom between 1975 and 1994¹⁰ after legislation was passed in 1956 and 1968 to improve air quality and in the 1970s to control industrial sources of air pollution. Furthermore, appendicitis is less common in developing nations; however, as these countries become more industrialized, the incidence of appendicitis has been increasing.⁷Air pollution is known to be a risk factor for multiple conditions, to exacerbate disease states and to increase all-cause mortality.¹¹ It has a direct effect on pulmonary diseases such as asthma¹¹ and on nonpulmonary diseases including myocardial infarction, stroke and cancer.^11–13 Inflammation induced by exposure to air pollution contributes to some adverse health effects.^14–17 Similar to the effects of air pollution, a proinflammatory response has been associated with appendicitis.^18–20We conducted a case–crossover study involving a population-based cohort of patients admitted to hospital with appendicitis to determine whether short-term increases in concentrations of selected air pollutants were associated with hospital admission because of appendicitis.     

Body mass index and all-cause mortality in a large Chinese cohort

Background

Obesity is known to be associated with an increased risk of death, but current definitions of obesity are based on data from white populations. We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and the risk of death in a large population of adult Chinese people.

Methods

We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality prospectively among 58 738 men and 65 718 women aged 20 years and older enrolled in 1998–1999 from four national health screening centres in Taiwan. We used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to estimate the relative risks of all-cause mortality for different BMI categories during a maximum follow-up of 10 years.

Results

A total of 3947 participants died during the follow-up period. The lowest risk of death was observed among men and women who had a BMI of 24.0–25.9 (mean 24.9). After adjustment for age, smoking status, alcohol intake, betel-nut chewing, level of physical activity, income level and education level, we observed a U-shaped association between BMI and all-cause mortality. Similar U-shaped associations were observed when we analyzed data by age (20–64 or ≥ 65 years), smoking (never, < 10 pack-years or ≥ 10 pack-years) and presence of a pre-existing chronic disease, and after we excluded deaths that occurred in the first three years of follow-up.

Interpretation

BMI and all-cause mortality had a U-shaped association among adult Chinese people in our study. The lowest risk of death was among adults who had a BMI of 24.0–25.9 (mean 24.9). Our findings do not support the use of a lower cutoff value for overweight and obesity in the adult Chinese population.The prevalence of obesity has dramatically increased in past decades in both developed and developing countries. The World Health Organization (WHO) reported that 1.6 billion adults are overweight and at least 400 million are obese.¹ The WHO further predicted that by the year 2015, about 2.3 billion adults will be overweight and more than 700 million will be obese.¹ In Taiwan, according to a national survey performed between 1993–1996 and 2005–2008, the prevalence of overweight and obesity (defined as body mass index [BMI] ≥ 24 kg/m²) had increased dramatically, from 33.4% to 50.8% among men and from 31.7% to 36.9% among women.²Overweight and obesity have been recognized as important and independent risk factors for many chronic diseases such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, stroke, cardiovascular diseases and malignant diseases.^3–7 Substantial epidemiologic evidence shows that obesity is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular-related and all-cause mortality.^8,9 Therefore, obesity has become a major public health problem around the world.Current definitions of obesity and overweight in adults are based on data from white populations. The WHO has proposed another definition for Asian people, but most of the data it used were from cross-sectional studies.¹⁰ One study showed that, for a given BMI, Asian people had higher body fat than white people.¹¹ Furthermore, the association between BMI and all-cause mortality has been reported to be J-shaped or U-shaped. Most of the studies involved white people, with only a few involving Asian populations. Gu and colleagues reported a U-shaped association between BMI and all-cause mortality among Chinese people.¹² However, they included only middle-aged adults over 40 years old and not all adults over 20 years.We designed a large prospective cohort study to assess the association between BMI and all-cause mortality in a nationwide representative sample of Chinese adults over 20 years old in Taiwan. We also intended to find the optimal BMI cutoff values for overweight and obesity among Chinese adults.     

Effect of dietary pulse intake on established therapeutic lipid targets for cardiovascular risk reduction: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background:

Evidence from controlled trials encourages the intake of dietary pulses (beans, chickpeas, lentils and peas) as a method of improving dyslipidemia, but heart health guidelines have stopped short of ascribing specific benefits to this type of intervention or have graded the beneficial evidence as low. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to assess the effect of dietary pulse intake on established therapeutic lipid targets for cardiovascular risk reduction.

Methods:

We searched electronic databases and bibliographies of selected trials for relevant articles published through Feb. 5, 2014. We included RCTs of at least 3 weeks’ duration that compared a diet emphasizing dietary pulse intake with an isocaloric diet that did not include dietary pulses. The lipid targets investigated were low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, apolipoprotein B and non–high-density lipoprotein (non-HDL) cholesterol. We pooled data using a random-effects model.

Results:

We identified 26 RCTs (n = 1037) that satisfied the inclusion criteria. Diets emphasizing dietary pulse intake at a median dose of 130 g/d (about 1 serving daily) significantly lowered LDL cholesterol levels compared with the control diets (mean difference −0.17 mmol/L, 95% confidence interval −0.25 to −0.09 mmol/L). Treatment effects on apolipoprotein B and non-HDL cholesterol were not observed.

Interpretation:

Our findings suggest that dietary pulse intake significantly reduces LDL cholesterol levels. Trials of longer duration and higher quality are needed to verify these results. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, no. {"type":"clinical-trial","attrs":{"text":"NCT01594567","term_id":"NCT01594567"}}NCT01594567.Abnormal blood concentrations of lipids are one of the most important modifiable risk factors for cardiovascular disease. Although statins are effective in reducing low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels, major health organizations have maintained that the initial and essential approach to the prevention and management of cardiovascular disease is to modify dietary and lifestyle patterns.^1–4Dietary non–oil-seed pulses (beans, chickpeas, lentils and peas) are foods that have received particular attention for their ability to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease. Consumption of dietary pulses was associated with a reduction in cardiovascular disease in a large observational study⁵ and with improvements in LDL cholesterol levels in small trials.^6–8 Although most guidelines on the prevention of major chronic diseases encourage the consumption of dietary pulses as part of a healthy strategy,^2,3,9–13 none has included recommendations based on the direct benefits of lowering lipid concentrations or reducing the risk of cardiovascular disease. In all cases, the evidence on which recommendations have been based was assigned a low grade,^2,3,9–13 and dyslipidemia guidelines do not address dietary pulse intake directly.^1,4To improve the evidence on which dietary guidelines are based, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of the effect of dietary pulse intake on established therapeutic lipid targets for cardiovascular risk reduction. The lipid targets were LDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein B and non–high-density lipoprotein (non-HDL) cholesterol.     

Relation between fractures and mortality: results from the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study

Background

Fractures have largely been assessed by their impact on quality of life or health care costs. We conducted this study to evaluate the relation between fractures and mortality.

Methods

A total of 7753 randomly selected people (2187 men and 5566 women) aged 50 years and older from across Canada participated in a 5-year observational cohort study. Incident fractures were identified on the basis of validated self-report and were classified by type (vertebral, pelvic, forearm or wrist, rib, hip and “other”). We subdivided fracture groups by the year in which the fracture occurred during follow-up; those occurring in the fourth and fifth years were grouped together. We examined the relation between the time of the incident fracture and death.

Results

Compared with participants who had no fracture during follow-up, those who had a vertebral fracture in the second year were at increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1–6.6); also at risk were those who had a hip fracture during the first year (adjusted HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.4–7.4). Among women, the risk of death was increased for those with a vertebral fracture during the first year (adjusted HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.1–12.8) or the second year of follow-up (adjusted HR 3.2, 95% CI 1.2–8.1). The risk of death was also increased among women with hip fracture during the first year of follow-up (adjusted HR 3.0, 95% CI 1.0–8.7).

Interpretation

Vertebral and hip fractures are associated with an increased risk of death. Interventions that reduce the incidence of these fractures need to be implemented to improve survival.Osteoporosis-related fractures are a major health concern, affecting a growing number of individuals worldwide. The burden of fracture has largely been assessed by the impact on health-related quality of life and health care costs.^1,2 Fractures can also be associated with death. However, trials that have examined the relation between fractures and mortality have had limitations that may influence their results and the generalizability of the studies, including small samples,^3,4 the examination of only 1 type of fracture,^4–10 the inclusion of only women,^8,11 the enrolment of participants from specific areas (i.e., hospitals or certain geographic regions),^{3,4,7,8,10,12} the nonrandom selection of participants^3–11 and the lack of statistical adjustment for confounding factors that may influence mortality.^3,5–7,12We evaluated the relation between incident fractures and mortality over a 5-year period in a cohort of men and women 50 years of age and older. In addition, we examined whether other characteristics of participants were risk factors for death.     

Association between hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and end-stage renal disease: a population-based study

Background:

Studies into the association between hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and end-stage renal disease are limited. We investigated the risk of end-stage renal disease after delivery among women with hypertensive disorders during pregnancy.

Methods:

We used insurance claims data from 1998 to 2009 to identify 26 651 women aged 19–40 years old who experienced hypertensive disorders during pregnancy; these women had no history of hypertension, diabetes, kidney disease or lupus. We also randomly selected 213 397 women without hypertensive disorders during pregnancy as a comparison cohort; the frequency was matched by age and index year of pregnancy. We compared the incidence of end-stage renal disease in the 2 cohorts. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) after controlling for demographic and clinical factors.

Results:

Women with hypertensive disorders during pregnancy had a greater risk of chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease, with adjusted HRs of 9.38 (95% CI 7.09–12.4) and 12.4 (95% CI 8.54–18.0), respectively, after controlling for urban status, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, hyperlipidemia and abruption. The HR for end-stage renal disease was 2.72 (95% CI 1.76–4.22) after we also controlled for hypertension and diabetes. Women with preeclampsia or eclampsia had a higher risk of end-stage renal disease (adjusted HR 14.0, 95% CI 9.43–20.7) than women who had gestational hypertension only (adjusted HR 9.03, 95% CI 5.20–15.7).

Interpretation:

Women with hypertensive disorders during pregnancy were at a high risk of end-stage renal disease. The risk was much greater for women who had preeclampsia or eclampsia than those who had gestational hypertension only.Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy are major causes of maternal and fetal morbidity and mortality, affecting 5%–10% of pregnancies.^1,2 Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy include gestational hypertension and preeclampsia.³ Gestational hypertension is referred to as new-onset hypertension (blood pressure > 140/90 mm Hg) without proteinuria after 20-weeks’ gestation.³ Preeclampsia is characterized by new-onset hypertension (blood pressure > 140/90 mm Hg) with proteinuria of at least 300 mg in a 24-hour urine sample after 20-weeks’ gestation.³ Gestational hypertension progresses to preeclampsia in 10%–20% of pregnant women.⁴ The risk factors associated with preeclampsia include family history of preeclampsia, first pregnancy, multiple gestation, advanced maternal age, obesity, pre-existing hypertension, renal disease and diabetes mellitus.⁵ Women with a history of hypertensive disorders during pregnancy are at higher risk of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease in later life. Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy and cardiovascular disease share several common risk factors, such as obesity, pre-existing hypertension, renal disease and insulin resistance.^6–14 Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy also increase the risk of cardiovascular disease because of long-term metabolic and vascular changes.¹⁵Hypertensive disorders during pregnancy affect the function and morphology of the kidney.¹⁶ Previous studies have reported an increased prevalence of microalbuminuria after pregnancy in women who had a hypertensive disorder during pregnancy.^17,18 In a case–control study, there was an association between biopsy-proven renal disease and a history of preeclampsia.¹⁹ However, studies about whether hypertensive disorders during pregnancy are associated with end-stage renal disease in later life are limited.²⁰ Only 1 study, performed using birth and renal registries from Norway, has reported that women with preeclampsia during their first pregnancy had a 3.2-fold higher risk of end-stage renal disease.²⁰ In the present study, we investigated the risk of end-stage renal disease among Taiwanese women who had a hypertensive disorder during pregnancy.     

Prevalence of and risk factors for persistent postoperative nonanginal pain after cardiac surgery: a 2-year prospective multicentre study

Background:

Persistent postoperative pain continues to be an underrecognized complication. We examined the prevalence of and risk factors for this type of pain after cardiac surgery.

Methods:

We enrolled patients scheduled for coronary artery bypass grafting or valve replacement, or both, from Feb. 8, 2005, to Sept. 1, 2009. Validated measures were used to assess (a) preoperative anxiety and depression, tendency to catastrophize in the face of pain, health-related quality of life and presence of persistent pain; (b) pain intensity and interference in the first postoperative week; and (c) presence and intensity of persistent postoperative pain at 3, 6, 12 and 24 months after surgery. The primary outcome was the presence of persistent postoperative pain during 24 months of follow-up.

Results:

A total of 1247 patients completed the preoperative assessment. Follow-up retention rates at 3 and 24 months were 84% and 78%, respectively. The prevalence of persistent postoperative pain decreased significantly over time, from 40.1% at 3 months to 22.1% at 6 months, 16.5% at 12 months and 9.5% at 24 months; the pain was rated as moderate to severe in 3.6% at 24 months. Acute postoperative pain predicted both the presence and severity of persistent postoperative pain. The more intense the pain during the first week after surgery and the more it interfered with functioning, the more likely the patients were to report persistent postoperative pain. Pre-existing persistent pain and increased preoperative anxiety also predicted the presence of persistent postoperative pain.

Interpretation:

Persistent postoperative pain of nonanginal origin after cardiac surgery affected a substantial proportion of the study population. Future research is needed to determine whether interventions to modify certain risk factors, such as preoperative anxiety and the severity of pain before and immediately after surgery, may help to minimize or prevent persistent postoperative pain.Postoperative pain that persists beyond the normal time for tissue healing (> 3 mo) is increasingly recognized as an important complication after various types of surgery and can have serious consequences on patients’ daily living.^1–3 Cardiac surgeries, such as coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and valve replacement, rank among the most frequently performed interventions worldwide.⁴ They aim to improve survival and quality of life by reducing symptoms, including anginal pain. However, persistent postoperative pain of nonanginal origin has been reported in 7% to 60% of patients following these surgeries.^5–23 Such variability is common in other types of major surgery and is due mainly to differences in the definition of persistent postoperative pain, study design, data collection methods and duration of follow-up.^1–3,24Few prospective cohort studies have examined the exact time course of persistent postoperative pain after cardiac surgery, and follow-up has always been limited to a year or less.^9,14,25 Factors that put patients at risk of this type of problem are poorly understood.²⁶ Studies have reported inconsistent results regarding the contribution of age, sex, body mass index, preoperative angina, surgical technique, grafting site, postoperative complications or level of opioid consumption after surgery.^{5–7,9,13,14,16–19,21–23,25,27} Only 1 study investigated the role of chronic nonanginal pain before surgery as a contributing factor;²¹ 5 others prospectively assessed the association between persistent postoperative pain and acute pain intensity in the first postoperative week but reported conflicting results.^{13,14,21,22,25} All of the above studies were carried out in a single hospital and included relatively small samples. None of the studies examined the contribution of psychological factors such as levels of anxiety and depression before cardiac surgery, although these factors have been shown to influence acute or persistent postoperative pain in other types of surgery.^1,24,28,29We conducted a prospective multicentre cohort study (the CARD-PAIN study) to determine the prevalence of persistent postoperative pain of nonanginal origin up to 24 months after cardiac surgery and to identify risk factors for the presence and severity of the condition.