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Summary In medical studies of time‐to‐event data, nonproportional hazards and dependent censoring are very common issues when estimating the treatment effect. A traditional method for dealing with time‐dependent treatment effects is to model the time‐dependence parametrically. Limitations of this approach include the difficulty to verify the correctness of the specified functional form and the fact that, in the presence of a treatment effect that varies over time, investigators are usually interested in the cumulative as opposed to instantaneous treatment effect. In many applications, censoring time is not independent of event time. Therefore, we propose methods for estimating the cumulative treatment effect in the presence of nonproportional hazards and dependent censoring. Three measures are proposed, including the ratio of cumulative hazards, relative risk, and difference in restricted mean lifetime. For each measure, we propose a double inverse‐weighted estimator, constructed by first using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to balance the treatment‐specific covariate distributions, then using inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) to overcome the dependent censoring. The proposed estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. We study their finite‐sample properties through simulation. The proposed methods are used to compare kidney wait‐list mortality by race.  相似文献   

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On semiparametric inference for modulated renewal processes   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
CUI  DAVID OAKES  LU 《Biometrika》1994,81(1):83-90
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Matsui S 《Biometrics》2004,60(4):965-976
This article develops randomization-based methods for times to repeated events in two-arm randomized trials with noncompliance and dependent censoring. Structural accelerated failure time models are assumed to capture causal effects on repeated event times and dependent censoring time, but the dependence structure among repeated event times and dependent censoring time is unspecified. Artificial censoring techniques to accommodate nonrandom noncompliance and dependent censoring are proposed. Estimation of the acceleration parameters are based on rank-based estimating functions. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the developed methods. An illustration of the methods using data from an acute myeloid leukemia trial is provided.  相似文献   

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This article considers three nonparametric estimators of the joint distribution function for a survival time and a continuous mark variable when the survival time is interval censored and the mark variable may be missing for interval-censored observations. Finite and large sample properties are described for the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) as well as estimators based on midpoint imputation (MIDMLE) and coarsening the mark variable (CMLE). The estimators are compared using data from a simulation study and a recent phase III HIV vaccine efficacy trial where the survival time is the time from enrollment to infection and the mark variable is the genetic distance from the infecting HIV sequence to the HIV sequence in the vaccine. Theoretical and empirical evidence are presented indicating the NPMLE and MIDMLE are inconsistent. Conversely, the CMLE is shown to be consistent in general and thus is preferred.  相似文献   

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Chen YQ  Jewell NP  Lei X  Cheng SC 《Biometrics》2005,61(1):170-178
A mean residual life function is the average remaining life of a surviving subject, as it varies with time. The proportional mean residual life model was proposed by Oakes and Dasu (1990, Biometrika77, 409-410) in regression analysis to study its association with related covariates in absence of censoring. In this article, we develop some semiparametric estimation procedures to take censoring into account. The proposed methodology is evaluated via simulation studies, and further applied to a clinical trial of chemotherapy in postoperative radiotherapy of lung cancer patients.  相似文献   

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Calculating the required sample size for a desired power at a given type I error level, we often assume that we know the exact time of all subject responses whenever they occur during our study period. It is very common, however, in practice that we only monitor subjects periodically and, therefore, we know only whether responses occur or not during an interval. This paper includes a quantitative discussion of the effect resulting from data grouping or interval censoring on the required sample size when we have two treatment groups. Furthermore, with the goal of exploring the optimum in the number of subjects, the number of examinations per subject for test responses, and the total length of a study time period, this paper also provides a general guideline about how to determine these to minimize the total cost of a study for a desired power at a given α-level. A specified linear cost function that incorporates the costs of obtaining subjects, periodic examinations for test responses of subjects, and the total length of a study period, is assumed, primarily for illustrative purpose.  相似文献   

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In this note, we express, in a general setting, the Fisher information matrix under Type II censoring in terms of the hazard function and then obtain the Fisher information matrix under Type II censoring as a single integral for the exponentiated exponential family, which can be easily evaluated. The Fisher information under Type II censoring can also be used to characterize the exponential distribution among the exponentiated exponential family.  相似文献   

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Ming Wang  Qi Long 《Biometrics》2016,72(3):897-906
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Frydman H  Szarek M 《Biometrics》2009,65(1):143-151
Summary .  In many clinical trials patients are intermittently assessed for the transition to an intermediate state, such as occurrence of a disease-related nonfatal event, and death. Estimation of the distribution of nonfatal event free survival time, that is, the time to the first occurrence of the nonfatal event or death, is the primary focus of the data analysis. The difficulty with this estimation is that the intermittent assessment of patients results in two forms of incompleteness: the times of occurrence of nonfatal events are interval censored and, when a nonfatal event does not occur by the time of the last assessment, a patient's nonfatal event status is not known from the time of the last assessment until the end of follow-up for death. We consider both forms of incompleteness within the framework of an \"illness–death\" model. We develop nonparametric maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in an \"illness–death\" model from interval-censored observations with missing status of intermediate transition. We show that the ML estimators are self-consistent and propose an algorithm for obtaining them. This work thus provides new methodology for the analysis of incomplete data that arise from clinical trials. We apply this methodology to the data from a recently reported cancer clinical trial ( Bonner et al., 2006 , New England Journal of Medicine 354, 567–578) and compare our estimation results with those obtained using a Food and Drug Administration recommended convention.  相似文献   

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In this article, we present a method for estimating and comparing the treatment-specific distributions of a discrete time-to-event variable from right-censored data. Our method allows for (1) adjustment for informative censoring due to measured prognostic factors for time to event and censoring and (2) quantification of the sensitivity of the inference to residual dependence between time to event and censoring due to unmeasured factors. We develop our approach in the context of a randomized trial for the treatment of chronic schizophrenia. We perform a simulation study to assess the practical performance of our methodology.  相似文献   

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Cheung YK  Thall PF 《Biometrics》2002,58(1):89-97
In many phase II clinical trials, interim monitoring is based on the probability of a binary event, response, defined in terms of one or more time-to-event variables within a time period of fixed length. Such outcome-adaptive methods may require repeated interim suspension of accrual in order to follow each patient for the time period required to evaluate response. This may increase trial duration, and eligible patients arriving during such delays either must wait for accrual to reopen or be treated outside the trial. Alternatively, monitoring may be done continuously by ignoring censored data each time the stopping rule is applied, which wastes information. We propose an adaptive Bayesian method that eliminates these problems. At each patient's accrual time, an approximate posterior for the response probability based on all of the event-time data is used to compute an early stopping criterion. Application to a leukemia trial with a composite event shows that the method can reduce trial duration substantially while maintaining the reliability of interim decisions.  相似文献   

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