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Point counts are the most commonly used technique for surveying passerines during the breeding season. Several methods for estimating probabilities of detection during point count surveys have been developed. These methods have focused primarily on accounting for the influence of environmental factors (e.g., weather and noise) on detectability, however, the probability that birds are available for detection (e.g., sings or moves) during point counts has received less attention. We used sequential point counts to determine the effect of playback of the mobbing calls of Black‐capped Chickadees (Poecile atricapillus) and the flight calls of Red‐tailed Hawks (Buteo jamaicensis) on availability for detection (e.g., singing or moving) during point‐count surveys. We conducted 180 point counts over a 2‐yr period in central – east central Minnesota to evaluate the possible effect of playbacks on observed density, overall species richness, minute of first detection, and distance of first detection. We also used removal models to quantify the magnitude of changes in detectability and direction of response to playbacks for 10 focal species. Playback of the mobbing calls of Black‐capped Chickadees increased observed density and decreased the average distance of detection and time of first detection, whereas playback of the flight calls of a Red‐tailed Hawk resulted in a decrease in observed density and species richness, and an increased time of first detection. Playback treatment was a covariate in all best performing models for the 10 species analyzed, but the magnitude and direction of response to playbacks were species specific. The importance of playback type in detectability models indicates that the calls of heterospecifics can influence species availability for detection. As such, researchers using playback methods should seek to quantify species‐specific responses in detection probability and consider how component detection probabilities could influence survey outcomes.  相似文献   

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ABSTRACT The validity of treating counts as indices to abundance is based on the assumption that the expected detection probability, E(p), is constant over time or comparison groups or, more realistically, that variation in p is small relative to variation in population size that investigators seek to detect. Unfortunately, reliable estimates of E(p) and var(p) are lacking for most index methods. As a case study, we applied the time‐of‐detection method to temporally replicated (within season) aural counts of crowing male Ring‐necked Pheasants (Phasianus colchicus) at 18 sites in southern Minnesota in 2007 to evaluate the detectability assumptions. More specifically, we used the time‐of‐detection method to estimate E(p) and var(p), and then used these estimates in a Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate bias‐variance tradeoffs associated with adjusting count indices for imperfect detection. The estimated mean detection probability in our case study was 0.533 (SE = 0.030) and estimated spatial variation in E(p) was 0.081 (95% CI: 0.057–0.126). On average, both adjusted (for) and unadjusted counts of crowing males qualitatively described the simulated relationship between pheasant abundance and grassland abundance, but the bias‐variance tradeoff was smaller for adjusted counts (MSE = 0.003 vs. 0.045, respectively). Our case study supports the general recommendation to use, whenever feasible, formal population‐estimation procedures (e.g., mark‐recapture, distance sampling, double sampling) to account for imperfect detection. However, we caution that interpreting estimates of absolute abundance can be complicated, even if formal estimation methods are used. For example, the time‐of‐detection method was useful for evaluating detectability assumptions in our case study and the method could be used to adjust aural count indices for imperfect detection. Conversely, using the time‐of‐detection method to estimate absolute abundances in our case study was problematic because the biological populations and sampling coverage could not be clearly delineated. These estimation and inference challenges may also be important in other avian surveys that involve mobile species (whose home ranges may overlap several sampling sites), temporally replicated counts, and inexact sampling coverage.  相似文献   

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Monitoring the abundance of cryptic species inevitably relies on the use of index methods. Unfortunately, detectability is often confounded by unidentified covariates. One such species is the critically endangered Australasian Bittern Botaurus poiciloptilus. Current monitoring relies upon the ability to count males based on the conspicuous breeding calls of males. However, as in many vocal species, calling rates vary spatially and temporally, making it necessary to account for this when using call counts to index abundance. We undertook 461 15‐min call counts of Australasian Bitterns, in a range of conditions, during two breeding seasons at Whangamarino wetland, New Zealand. We fitted a range of generalized linear mixed models to these data to determine which factors were the best predictors of calling rate per individual Bittern (CRPI), allowing us to make recommendations regarding the optimum time and conditions for monitoring. Bittern CRPI was predictable in terms of time of day, month, cloud cover, rainfall and certain moon parameters, but some spatial and temporal variation remained unexplained. Results showed that the best time to detect Australasian Bitterns was 1 h before sunrise, in September (austral spring), on a moonlit night with no cloud or rain. Such models are useful for identifying times and conditions when counts are the highest and least variable, and could be applied to any species or cue count monitoring method where detection depends on counting calling individuals. Results can be used to standardize index counts, or sensibly to adjust and compare counts from different times. Standardizing monitoring in this way can lead to the development of monitoring methods that have a greater power to show population changes across shorter time periods. Moreover, the use of modelling processes to estimate effect sizes creates potential for such methods to be applied in circumstances where monitoring conditions are rarely optimum and standardization creates logistical trade‐offs, something that is particularly common in studies of cryptic species.  相似文献   

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Aim: To determine the stability and variability in concentration of spore suspensions of Bacillus anthracis (BA) spore suspensions by comparing different methods of enumeration and to detect changes, if any, under different storage conditions. Methods and Results: Plate and microscope counts were compared to measuring the genomic equivalents based on DNA content BA spore suspensions. We developed chemical methods to extract spore DNA and extra-spore (ES) DNA. DNA mass was determined by gel electrophoresis and QPCR assays were developed using the markers on the chromosome (rpoB) and the pXO1 plasmid (pag). The plate counts and microscope counts were very stable (for up to 900 days). The effect of freezing and the presence of additives in samples were tested for up to 300 days, and the results indicated that the additives tested and freezing did not decrease the viability or microscope counts. Conclusions: Bacillus anthracis spore suspensions can be stored for long periods of time without significant loss of viability or clumping. The content of ES DNA was variable and changed with time. Significant and Impact of the Study: The study shows that BA spore suspensions can be developed for reference materials providing a uniform basis for comparing detection equipment and results from different laboratories.  相似文献   

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  • 1 Different counting methods are currently used to estimate red deer populations in the open range in Scotland, but there are few data available to compare variation in estimates, or relative cost‐effectiveness.
  • 2 While it is impossible to determine the accuracy of counts (as real numbers are unknown), variation within and between different methods can be measured by repeat counts of the same area within as short a period as possible.
  • 3 This study aimed to quantify the variation observed from repeat counts using each of four methods (ground, helicopter, infrared helicopter and dung‐counting methods) at one of three study sites in late winters 2003, 2004 and 2005. Additional data from digital camera images of groups from counts in other areas of Scotland were also used to assess the accuracy of visual counts.
  • 4 Coefficients of variation (CVs) within any method of between 5% and 16% were recorded, consistent with previous comparisons for red deer open range counts in Scotland. CVs were lowest for ground and helicopter counts. The infrequency of optimal conditions was likely to limit the applicability of infrared counts in Scotland.
  • 5 In terms of cost‐effectiveness, helicopter counting was the least labour‐intensive, with costs of other techniques depending on the availability of existing manpower as an overhead cost.
  • 6 It is concluded that helicopter counts are most likely to minimize errors while maximizing cost‐efficiency. Accuracy can be improved by the use of digital photography for counting larger deer groups. Estimates are likely to be improved further by increasing the frequency of counts and using the same methods, counters and routes for repeat counts.
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A wide range of analytical methods are available for the detection and identification of biological warfare agents. These technologies are often hampered in their performance when the inactivated samples are analyzed. To work with pathogens outside of biosafety level 3 laboratories, a complete inactivation is mandatory when appropriate protection equipment is unavailable. When methods of inactivation are used, the detection of bacteria becomes more difficult. In contrast to measuring viable organisms, inactivation steps can have a massive impact on the intrinsic cellular information. This study examined the effects of autoclaving and chemical inactivation methods on Bacillus spores using biological warfare detection setups like real‐time PCR and MALDI‐TOF‐MS. Here, the inactivation of Bacillus atrophaeus spores with formaldehyde, which is a suggested model for biological warfare spore agents, was compared with other inactivation reagents like Wofasteril®E400, a commercially available decontaminant based on peroxyacetic acid. With Wofasteril®E400 the critical factor of inactivation time was reduced to about 15 min and a limit of detection of 8500 spores by PCR was still measurable using five‐times‐washed spores. It has also been shown that MALDI‐TOF‐MS peak information can be hampered by inactivation methods.  相似文献   

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Effective monitoring of native bee populations requires accurate estimates of population size and relative abundance among habitats. Current bee survey methods, such as netting or pan trapping, may be adequate for a variety of study objectives but are limited by a failure to account for imperfect detection. Biases due to imperfect detection could result in inaccurate abundance estimates or erroneous insights about the response of bees to different environments. To gauge the potential biases of currently employed survey methods, we compared abundance estimates of bumblebees (Bombus spp.) derived from hierarchical distance sampling models (HDS) to bumblebee counts collected from fixed‐area net surveys (“net counts”) and fixed‐width transect counts (“transect counts”) at 47 early‐successional forest patches in Pennsylvania. Our HDS models indicated that detection probabilities of Bombus spp. were imperfect and varied with survey‐ and site‐covariates. Despite being conspicuous, Bombus spp. were not reliably detected beyond 5 m. Habitat associations of Bombus spp. density were similar across methods, but the strength of association with shrub cover differed between HDS and net counts. Additionally, net counts suggested sites with more grass hosted higher Bombus spp. densities whereas HDS suggested that grass cover was associated with higher detection probability but not Bombus spp. density. Density estimates generated from net counts and transect counts were 80%–89% lower than estimates generated from distance sampling. Our findings suggest that distance modelling provides a reliable method to assess Bombus spp. density and habitat associations, while accounting for imperfect detection caused by distance from observer, vegetation structure, and survey covariates. However, detection/non‐detection data collected via point‐counts, line‐transects and distance sampling for Bombus spp. are unlikely to yield species‐specific density estimates unless individuals can be identified by sight, without capture. Our results will be useful for informing the design of monitoring programs for Bombus spp. and other pollinators.  相似文献   

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Oxygen plays a key role in stem cell biology as a signaling molecule and as an indicator of cell energy metabolism. Quantification of cellular oxygen kinetics, i.e. the determination of specific oxygen uptake rates (sOURs), is routinely used to understand metabolic shifts. However current methods to determine sOUR in adherent cell cultures rely on cell sampling, which impacts on cellular phenotype. We present real‐time monitoring of cell growth from phase contrast microscopy images, and of respiration using optical sensors for dissolved oxygen. Time‐course data for bulk and peri‐cellular oxygen concentrations obtained for Chinese hamster ovary (CHO) and mouse embryonic stem cell (mESCs) cultures successfully demonstrated this non‐invasive and label‐free approach. Additionally, we confirmed non‐invasive detection of cellular responses to rapidly changing culture conditions by exposing the cells to mitochondrial inhibiting and uncoupling agents. For the CHO and mESCs, sOUR values between 8 and 60 amol cell?1 s?1, and 5 and 35 amol cell?1 s?1 were obtained, respectively. These values compare favorably with literature data. The capability to monitor oxygen tensions, cell growth, and sOUR, of adherent stem cell cultures, non‐invasively and in real time, will be of significant benefit for future studies in stem cell biology and stem cell‐based therapies.  相似文献   

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