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Current international prognostic index is widely questioned on the risk stratification of peripheral T-cell lymphoma and does not accurately predict the outcome for patients. We postulated that multiple mRNAs could combine into a model to improve risk stratification and helping clinicians make treatment decisions. In this study, the gene expression profiles were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) was used to screening genes in selected module which most closely related to PTCLs, and then built a mRNA signature using a LASSO Cox regression model and validated the prognostic accuracy of it. Finally, a nomogram was constructed and the performance was assessed. A total of 799 WGCNA-selected mRNAs in black module were identified, and a mRNA signature which based on DOCK2, GSTM1, H2AFY, KCNAB2, LAPTM5 and SYK for PTCLs was developed. Significantly statistical difference can be seen in overall survival of PTCLs between low-risk group and high-risk group (training set:hazard ratio [HR] 4.3, 95% CI 2.4-7.4, P < .0001; internal testing set:hazard ratio [HR] 2.4, 95% CI 1.2-4.8, P < .01; external testing set:hazard ratio [HR] 2.3, 95% CI 1.10-4.7, P = .02). Furthermore, multivariate regression demonstrated that the signature was an independently prognostic factor. Moreover, the nomogram which combined the mRNA signature and multiple clinical factors suggesting that predicted survival probability agreed well with the actual survival probability. The signature is a reliable prognostic tool for patients with PTCLs, and it has the potential for clinicians to implement personalized therapeutic regimen for patients with PTCLs.  相似文献   

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In this study, we purpose to investigate a novel five-gene signature for predicting the prognosis of patients with laryngeal cancer. The laryngeal cancer datasets were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was applied to screening for prognostic differential expressed genes (DEGs), and a novel gene signature was obtained. The performance of this Cox regression model was tested by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC). Further survival analysis for each of the five genes was carried out through the Kaplan-Meier curve and Log-rank test. Totally, 622 DEGs were screened from the TCGA datasets in this study. We construct a five-gene signature through Cox survival analysis. Patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups depending on the median risk score, and a significant difference of the 5-year overall survival was found between these two groups (P < .05). ROC curves verified that this five-gene signature had good performance to predict the prognosis of laryngeal cancer (AUC = 0.862, P < .05). In conclusion, the five-gene signature consist of EMP1, HOXB9, DPY19L2P1, MMP1, and KLHDC7B might be applied as an independent prognosis predictor of laryngeal cancer.  相似文献   

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Nowadays, an increasing number of studies illustrated that bladder urothelial cancer (BLCA) may act as the most common subtype of urological malignancies with a high rate of recurrence and metastasis. In this study, we attempted to establish a prognostic model and identify the possible pathway crosstalk. Long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) and mRNA expression and corresponding clinical information of patients with BLCA were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The differentially expressed genes analysis, univariate Cox analysis, the least absolute shrinkage, and selection operator Cox (LASSO Cox) regression model were then applied to identify five crucial lncRNAs (AC092725.1, AC104071.1, AL023584.1, AL132642.1, and AL137804.1). The multivariate cox analysis was utilized to calculate the regression coefficients (βi). The risk-score model was subsequently constructed as follows: (0.13541AC092725.1) + (0.20968AC104071.1) + (0.1525AL023584.1) − (0.14768AL132642.1) + (0.14387AL137804.1). Nomogram and assessment of overall survival (OS) prediction were verificated by the receiver operating characteristic curve in the testing group. As to 3-, 5-year OS prediction, the area under curve (AUC) for the nomogram of training data set was 0.83 and 0.86. Besides, the AUC (0.883 and 0.879) presented excellent predictive power in the testing group. In addition, the calibration plots validated the predictive performance of the nomogram. Weighted correlation network analysis (WGCNA) coupled with functional enrichment analysis contributed to explore the potential pathways, including PI3K-Akt, HIF-1, and Jak-STAT signaling pathways. Construction of the risk-score model and data analysis were both derived from multiple packages on the basis of the R platform chiefly.  相似文献   

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Breast cancer (BC) prognosis and therapeutic sensitivity could not be predicted efficiently. Previous evidence have shown the vital roles of CDKN1C in BC. Therefore, we aimed to construct a CDKN1C-based model to accurately predicting overall survival (OS) and treatment responses in BC patients. In this study, 995 BC patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas database were selected. Kaplan-Meier curve, Gene set enrichment and immune infiltrates analyses were executed. We developed a novel CDKN1C-based nomogram to predict the OS, verified by the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve and decision curve. Therapeutic response prediction was followed based on the low- and high-nomogram score groups. Our results indicated that low-CDKN1C expression was associated with shorter OS and lower proportion of naïve B cells, CD8 T cells, activated NK cells. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram for 5-year OS was superior to the tumour-node-metastasis stage (area under the curve: 0.746 vs. 0.634, p < 0.001). The nomogram exhibited excellent predictive performance, calibration ability and clinical utility. Moreover, low-risk patients were identified with stronger sensitivity to therapeutic agents. This tool can improve BC prognosis and therapeutic responses prediction, thus guiding individualized treatment decisions.  相似文献   

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Accumulating evidence revealed that autophagy played vital roles in breast cancer (BC) progression. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of autophagy‐related genes (ARGs) and develop a ARG‐based model to evaluate 5‐year overall survival (OS) in BC patients. We acquired ARG expression profiling in a large BC cohort (N = 1007) from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The correlation between ARGs and OS was confirmed by the LASSO and Cox regression analyses. A predictive model was established based on independent prognostic variables. Thus, time‐dependent receiver operating curve (ROC), calibration plot, decision curve and subgroup analysis were conducted to determine the predictive performance of ARG‐based model. Four ARGs (ATG4A, IFNG, NRG1 and SERPINA1) were identified using the LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A ARG‐based model was constructed based on the four ARGs and two clinicopathological risk factors (age and TNM stage), dividing patients into high‐risk and low‐risk groups. The 5‐year OS of patients in the low‐risk group was higher than that in the high‐risk group (P < 0.0001). Time‐dependent ROC at 5 years indicated that the four ARG–based tool had better prognostic accuracy than TNM stage in the training cohort (AUC: 0.731 vs 0.640, P < 0.01) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.804 vs 0.671, P < 0.01). The mutation frequencies of the four ARGs (ATG4A, IFNG, NRG1 and SERPINA1) were 0.9%, 2.8%, 8% and 1.3%, respectively. We built and verified a novel four ARG–based nomogram, a credible approach to predict 5‐year OS in BC, which can assist oncologists in determining effective therapeutic strategies.  相似文献   

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Ferroptosis is a newly discovered form of programmed cell death, which has unique biological effects on metabolism and redox biology. In this study, the prognostic value of ferroptosis-related genes was investigated in lower-grade gliomas (LGG). We downloaded the ferroptosis-related genes from the FerrDb dataset. Univariate Cox and LASSO regression analyses were applied to identify genes correlated with overall survival (OS). Subsequently, 12 ferroptosis-related genes were screened to establish the prognostic signature using stepwise multivariate Cox regression. According to the median value of risk scores, patients were divided into low- and high-risk subgroups. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed the high-risk group had a lower OS. The predictive power of the risk model was validated using the CGGA. Functional analysis revealed that the terms associated with plasma membrane receptor complex, immune response and glutamate metabolic process were primarily related to the risk model. Moreover, we established a nomogram that had a strong forecasting ability for the 1-, 3- and 5-year OS. In addition, we compared the risk scores between different clinical features. We also detected infiltration of macrophages and monocytes in different subgroups. Overall, our study identified the prognostic signature of 12 ferroptosis-related genes, which has the potential to predict the prognosis of LGG.  相似文献   

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Background and aimTransarterial chemoembolization combined with hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (TACE-HAIC) has shown encouraging efficacy in the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to develop a novel nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) of patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE-HAIC.MethodsA total of 591 patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE-HAIC between May 2009 and September 2020 were enrolled. These patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. The independent prognostic factors were identified with Cox proportional hazards model. The model's discriminative ability and accuracy were validated using concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analyses (DCAs).ResultsThe median OS was 15.6 months. A nomogram was established based on these factors, including tumor size, vein invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, tumor number, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), to predict OS for patients with unresectable HCC treated with TACE-HAIC. The C-index of the nomogram were 0.717 in the training cohort and 0.724 in validation cohort. The calibration plots demonstrated good agreement between the predicted outcomes and the actual observations. The AUC values were better than those of three conventional staging systems. The results of DCA indicated that the nomogram may have clinical usefulness. The patients in the low-risk group had a longer OS than those in intermediate-risk and high-risk groups (P<0.001).ConclusionA prognostic nomogram was developed and validated to assist clinicians in accurately predicting the OS of patients with unresectable HCC after TACE-HAIC.  相似文献   

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An microRNA (miRNA) signature to predict the clinical outcome of pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) is still lacking. In the current study, we aimed at identifying and evaluating a prognostic miRNA signature for patients with PAAD. The miRNA expression profile and the clinical information regarding patients with PAAD were recruited from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Differentially expressed miRNAs were identified between normal and tumor samples. By means of survival analysis, a 4-miRNA signature for predicting patients' with PAAD overall survival (OS) was constructed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was applied to determine the efficiency of survival prediction. Furthermore, the biological function of the predicted miRNAs was evaluated using a bioinformatics approach. Four (hsa-mir-126, hsa-mir-3613, hsa-mir-424, and hsa-mir-4772) out of 17 differentially expressed miRNAs were associated to the OS of patients with PAAD. Moreover, the area under the curve (AUC) of the constructed 4-miRNA signature associated to patients' with PAAD 2-year survival was 0.789. The multivariate Cox's proportional hazards regression model suggested that this 4-miRNA signature was an independent prognostic factor of other clinical parameters in patients with PAAD. Further pathway enrichment analyses revealed that the miRNAs in the 4-miRNA signature might regulate genes that affect focal adhesion, Wnt signaling pathway, and PI3K-Akt signaling pathway. Thus, these findings indicated that the 4-miRNA signature might be an effective independent prognostic biomarker in the prediction of PAAD patients' survival.  相似文献   

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BackgroundIntravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) plays an important role in predicting treatment responses in patient with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The goal of this study was to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on IVIM parametric maps and clinical data for the prediction of treatment responses in NPC patients.MethodsEighty patients with biopsy-proven NPC were enrolled in this study. Sixty-two patients had complete responses and 18 patients had incomplete responses to treatment. Each patient received a multiple b-value diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) examination before treatment. Radiomics features were extracted from IVIM parametric maps derived from DWI image. Feature selection was performed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. Radiomics signature was generated by support vector machine based on the selected features. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the ROC curve (AUC) values were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of radiomics signature. A radiomics nomogram was established by integrating the radiomics signature and clinical data.ResultsThe radiomics signature showed good prognostic performance to predict treatment response in both training (AUC = 0.906, P<0.001) and testing (AUC = 0.850, P<0.001) cohorts. The radiomic nomogram established by integrating the radiomic signature with clinical data significantly outperformed clinical data alone (C-index, 0.929 vs 0.724; P<0.0001).ConclusionsThe IVIM-based radiomics nomogram provided high prognostic ability to treatment responses in patients with NPC. The IVIM-based radiomics signature has the potential to be a new biomarker in prediction of the treatment responses and may affect treatment strategies in patients with NPC.  相似文献   

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Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent and lethal cancers worldwide. Neovascularization is closely related to the malignancy of tumors. We constructed a signature of angiogenesis-related long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) to predict the prognosis of patients with HCC. The lncRNA expression matrix of 424 HCC patients was downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). First, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to distinguish the differentially expressed genes of the angiogenesis genes in liver cancer and adjacent tissues. Next, a signature of angiogenesis-related lncRNAs was constructed using univariate and multivariate analyses, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the accuracy. The signature and relevant clinical information were used to construct the nomogram. A 5-lncRNA signature was highly correlated with overall survival (OS) in HCC patients and performed well in evaluations using the C-index, areas under the curve, and calibration curves. In summary, the 5-lncRNA model can serve as an accurate signature to predict the prognosis of patients with liver cancer, but its mechanism of action must be further elucidated by experiments.  相似文献   

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Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is a devastating brain tumour without effective treatment. Recent studies have shown that autophagy is a promising therapeutic strategy for GBM. Therefore, it is necessary to identify novel biomarkers associated with autophagy in GBM. In this study, we downloaded autophagy-related genes from Human Autophagy Database (HADb) and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) website. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate Cox regression analysis were performed to identify genes for constructing a risk signature. A nomogram was developed by integrating the risk signature with clinicopathological factors. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot were used to evaluate the efficiency of the prognostic model. Finally, four autophagy-related genes (DIRAS3, LGALS8, MAPK8 and STAM) were identified and were used for constructing a risk signature, which proved to be an independent risk factor for GBM patients. Furthermore, a nomogram was developed based on the risk signature and clinicopathological factors (IDH1 status, age and history of radiotherapy or chemotherapy). ROC curve and calibration plot suggested the nomogram could accurately predict 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rate of GBM patients. For function analysis, the risk signature was associated with apoptosis, necrosis, immunity, inflammation response and MAPK signalling pathway. In conclusion, the risk signature with 4 autophagy-related genes could serve as an independent prognostic factor for GBM patients. Moreover, we developed a nomogram based on the risk signature and clinical traits which was validated to perform better for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rate of GBM.  相似文献   

14.
BackgroundOsteosarcoma (OS), most commonly occurring in long bone, is a group of malignant tumors with high incidence in adolescents. No individualized model has been developed to predict the prognosis of primary long bone osteosarcoma (PLBOS) and the current AJCC TNM staging system lacks accuracy in prognosis prediction. We aimed to develop a nomogram based on the clinicopathological factors affecting the prognosis of PLBOS patients to help clinicians predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of PLBOS patients.MethodWe studied 1199 PLBOS patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2015 and randomly divided the dataset into training and validation cohorts at a proportion of 7:3. Independent prognostic factors determined by stepwise multivariate Cox analysis were included in the nomogram and risk-stratification system. C-index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to verify the performance of the nomogram.ResultsAge, Histological type, Surgery of primary site, Tumor size, Local extension, Regional lymph node (LN) invasion, and Distant metastasis were identified as independent prognostic factors. C-indexes, calibration curves and DCAs of the nomogram indicating that the nomogram had good discrimination and validity. The risk-stratification system based on the nomogram showed significant differences (P < 0.05) in CSS among different risk groups.ConclusionWe established a nomogram with risk-stratification system to predict CSS in PLBOS patients and demonstrated that the nomogram had good performance. This model can help clinicians evaluate prognoses, identify high-risk individuals, and give individualized treatment recommendation of PLBOS patients.  相似文献   

15.
Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) represents one of the most common head and neck cancer that with dire prognosis due partly to the lack of reliable prognostic biomarker. Here, we aimed to develop a CpG site–based prognostic signature through which we could accurately predict overall survival (OS) of patients with OSCC. We obtained OSCC-related DNA methylation and gene expression data sets from the public accessible Gene Expression Omnibus. Correlations between methylation level of CpG sites and OS of patients with OSCC were assessed by univariate Cox regression analysis followed by robust likelihood-based survival analysis on those CpG sites with permutation P < 0.05 for further screening the optimal CpG sites for OSCC OS prediction based on the risk score formula that composed of the methylation level of optimal CpG sites weighted by their regression coefficients. Besides, differential expression genes (DEGs) and differential methylation genes (DMGs) in OSCC samples compared with normal samples were obtained and shared genes were considered as vital genes in OSCC tumorgenesis and progression. As a result, two CpG sites including cg17892178 and cg17378966 that located in NID2 and IDO1, respectively, were identified as the optimal prognostic signatures for OSCC OS. In addition, 12 overlapping genes between DEGs and DMGs that closely associated with inflammation or blood and tissue development–related biological processes were obtained. In conclusions, this study should provide valuable signatures for OSCC diagnosis and treatment.  相似文献   

16.
Aberrant RNA alternative splicing (AS) variants play critical roles in tumorigenesis and prognosis in human cancers. Here, we conducted a comprehensive profiling of aberrant AS events in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). RNA AS profile, including seven AS types, and the percent spliced in (PSI) value for each patient were generated by SpliceSeq using RNA-seq data from TCGA. Univariate followed by multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify survival-related AS events and develop the AS signatures. A nomogram was developed, and its predictive efficacy was assessed. About 27,892 AS events and 3,178 events were associated with overall survival (OS) after strict filtering. Parent genes of survival-associated AS events were mainly enriched in leukemia-associated processes including chromatin modification, autophagy, and T-cell receptor signaling pathway. The 10 AS signature based on seven types of AS events showed better efficacy in predicting OS of patients than those built on a single AS event type. The area under curve (AUC) value of the 10 AS signature for 3-year OS was 0.91. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) confirmed that these survival-related AS events contribute to AML progression. Moreover, the nomogram showed good predictive performance for patient''s prognosis. Finally, the correlation network of AS variants with splicing factor genes found potential important regulatory genes in AML. The present study presented a systematic analysis of survival-related AS events and developed AS signatures for predicting the patient’s survival. Further studies are needed to validate the signatures in independent AML cohorts and might provide a promising perspective for developing therapeutic targets.  相似文献   

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Nowadays, gene expression profiling has been widely used in screening out prognostic biomarkers in numerous kinds of carcinoma. Our studies attempt to construct a clinical nomogram which combines risk gene signature and clinical features for individual recurrent risk assessment and offer personalized managements for clear cell renal cell carcinoma. A total of 580 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified via microarray. Functional analysis revealed that DEGs are of fundamental importance in ccRCC progression and metastasis. In our study, 338 ccRCC patients were retrospectively analysed and a risk gene signature which composed of 5 genes was obtained from a LASSO Cox regression model. Further analysis revealed that identified risk gene signature could usefully distinguish the patients with poor prognosis in training cohort (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.554, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.261‐7.472, P < .0001, n = 107). Moreover, the prognostic value of this gene‐signature was independent of clinical features (P = .002). The efficacy of risk gene signature was verified in both internal and external cohorts. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of this signature was 0.770, 0.765 and 0.774 in the training, testing and external validation cohorts, respectively. Finally, a nomogram was developed for clinicians and did well in the calibration plots. This nomogram based on risk gene signature and clinical features might provide a practical way for recurrence prediction and facilitating personalized managements of ccRCC patients after surgery.  相似文献   

18.
BACKGROUND: The objective of current study was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs). METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for patients with PNETs between 2004 and 2015. Patients were randomly separated into the training set and the validation set. Cox regression model was used in training set to obtain independent prognostic factors to develop a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS). The discrimination and calibration plots were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 3142 patients with PNETs were collected from the SEER database. Sex, age, marital status, primary site, TNM stage, tumor grade, and therapy were associated with OS in the multivariate models. A nomogram was constructed based on these variables. The nomogram for predicting OS displayed better discrimination power than the Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage systems 7th edition in the training set and validation set. The calibration curve indicated that the nomogram was able to accurately predict 3- and 5-year OS. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram which could predict 3- and 5-year OS were established in this study. Our nomogram showed a good performance, suggesting that it could be served as an effective tool for prognostic evaluation of patients with PNETs.  相似文献   

19.
DNA methylation is an important biological regulatory mechanism that changes gene expression without altering the DNA sequence. Increasing studies have revealed that DNA methylation data play a vital role in the field of oncology. However, the methylation site signature in triple‐negative breast cancer (TNBC) remains unknown. In our research, we analysed 158 TNBC samples and 98 noncancerous samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) in three phases. In the discovery phase, 86 CpGs were identified by univariate Cox proportional hazards regression (CPHR) analyses to be significantly correlated with overall survival (P < 0.01). In the training phase, these candidate CpGs were further narrowed down to a 15‐CpG‐based signature by conducting least absolute shrinkage and selector operator (LASSO) Cox regression in the training set. In the validation phase, the 15‐CpG‐based signature was verified using two different internal sets and one external validation set. Furthermore, a nomogram comprising the CpG‐based signature and TNM stage was generated to predict the 1‐, 3‐ and 5‐year overall survival in the primary set, and it showed excellent performance in the three validation sets (concordance indexes: 0.924, 0.974 and 0.637). This study showed that our nomogram has a precise predictive effect on the prognosis of TNBC and can potentially be implemented for clinical treatment and diagnosis.  相似文献   

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Nasopharyngeal cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the head and neck. Identification of promising miRNA biomarkers might benefit a lot to the detection of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. miRNA expression profile and clinical information were obtained from two microarray profiling data sets from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. miRNA signature model was constructed via univariate Cox survival analysis, multivariate Cox survival analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression analysis. Kaplan–Meier curve, area under the curve (AUC), decision curve analysis, Box plot, and nomogram were used to evaluate the prognosis of the model to patients. 67 up-regulated and 93 down-regulated miRNAs were identified from GEO microarray data sets (P < 0.05). A three-miRNA signature (has-miR-142-3p, has-miR-29c, and has-miR-30e) was obviously associated with the overall survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients (P  < 0.001). The AUCs for the signature were 0.74, 0.7 for the training set and external validation set. The AUC of disease free survival and distant metastasis-free survival were also high. The model has better clinical independence and has better clinical prediction effect when combined with clinical characteristics (P < 0.0001). Compared with the published models, our model had a higher AUC. Our results revealed that a three-miRNA signature was a potential novel prognostic biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.Impact statementNasopharyngeal cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the head and neck. Identification of promising miRNA biomarkers might benefit a lot to the detection of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. A three-miRNA signature (has-miR-142-3p, has-miR-29c, and has-miR-30e) was obviously associated with the overall survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. The model has better clinical independence and has better clinical prediction effect when combined with clinical characteristics. Our results revealed that a three-miRNA signature was a potential novel prognostic biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.  相似文献   

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