Hopf bifurcation in three-species food chain models with group defense.

Three-species food-chain models, in which the prey population exhibits group defense, are considered. Using the carrying capacity of the environment as the bifurcation parameter, it is shown that the model without delay undergoes a sequence of Hopf bifurcations. In the model with delay it is shown that using a delay as a bifurcation parameter, a Hopf bifurcation can also occur in this case. These occurrences may be interpreted as showing that a region of local stability (survival) may exist even though the positive steady states are unstable. A computer code BIFDD is used to determine the stability of the bifurcation solutions of a delay model.     

一具有非线性发生率传染病模型的稳定性和霍普夫分支

在这篇文章中,我们研究了一具有非线性发生率的传染病模型．该模型经历了鞍结点分支和霍普夫分支．我们对模型的霍普夫分支进行了详细的分析,得知该霍普夫分支是超临界的．此外,我们给出了支持理论分析的数值模拟．     

Periodicity in an epidemic model with a generalized non-linear incidence

We develop and analyze a simple SIV epidemic model including susceptible, infected and perfectly vaccinated classes, with a generalized non-linear incidence rate subject only to a few general conditions. These conditions are satisfied by many models appearing in the literature. The detailed dynamics analysis of the model, using the Poincaré index theory, shows that non-linearity of the incidence rate leads to vital dynamics, such as bistability and periodicity, without seasonal forcing or being cyclic. Furthermore, it is shown that the basic reproductive number is independent of the functional form of the non-linear incidence rate. Under certain, well-defined conditions, the model undergoes a Hopf bifurcation. Using the normal form of the model, the first Lyapunov coefficient is computed to determine the various types of Hopf bifurcation the model undergoes. These general results are applied to two examples: unbounded and saturated contact rates; in both cases, forward or backward Hopf bifurcations occur for two distinct values of the contact parameter. It is also shown that the model may undergo a subcritical Hopf bifurcation leading to the appearance of two concentric limit cycles. The results are illustrated by numerical simulations with realistic model parameters estimated for some infectious diseases of childhood.     

Stability of periodic solutions for a model of genetic repression with delays

A technique is discussed for locating the Hopf bifurcation of an n-dimensional system of delay differential equations which arises from a model for control of protein biosynthesis. Certain parameter values are shown to allow a Hopf bifurcation to periodic orbits. At the Hopf bifurcation the periodic orbits are shown to be stable either analytically or numerically depending on the parameter values.On leave from North Carolina State University.Supported in part by N.S.F. Grant # MCS 81-02828     

Stable long-period cycling and complex dynamics in a single-locus fertility model with genomic imprinting

Although long-period population size cycles and chaotic fluctuations in abundance are common in ecological models, such dynamics are uncommon in simple population-genetic models where convergence to a fixed equilibrium is most typical. When genotype-frequency cycling does occur, it is most often due to frequency-dependent selection that results from individual or species interactions. In this paper, we demonstrate that fertility selection and genomic imprinting are sufficient to generate a Hopf bifurcation and complex genotype-frequency cycling in a single-locus population-genetic model. Previous studies have shown that on its own, fertility selection can yield stable two-cycles but not long-period cycling characteristic of a Hopf bifurcation. Genomic imprinting, a molecular mechanism by which the expression of an allele depends on the sex of the donating parent, allows fitness matrices to be nonsymmetric, and this additional flexibility is crucial to the complex dynamics we observe in this fertility selection model. Additionally, we find under certain conditions that stable oscillations and a stable equilibrium point can coexist. These dynamics are characteristic of a Chenciner (generalized Hopf) bifurcation. We believe this model to be the simplest population-genetic model with such dynamics.     

Resilience and local stability in a nutrient-limited resource-consumer system

The “paradox of enrichment” predicts that increasing the growth rate of the resource in a resource-consumer dynamic system, by nutrient enrichment, for example, can lead to local instability of the system—that is, to a Hopf bifurcation. The approach to the Hopf bifurcation is accompanied by a decrease in resilience (rate of return to equilibrium). On the other hand, studies of nutrient cycling in food webs indicate that an increase in the nutrient input rate usually results in increased resilience. Here these two apparently conflicting theoretical results are reconciled with a model of a nutrient-limited resource-consumer system in which the tightly recycled limiting nutrient is explicitly modelled. It is shown that increasing nutrient input may at first lead to increased resilience and that resilience decreases sharply only immediately before the Hopf bifurcation is reached.     

Persistence and periodic orbits of a three-competitor model with refuges.

We consider a model composed of four patches. One patch has three competing species forming a heteroclinic cycle within the patch. The remaining patches are refuges for the three competitors, and each species can diffuse between the competitive patch and its refuge. It is proved that the model can be made persistent by the introduction of the refuges for the competitors even if the isolated competitive patch has an attracting heteroclinic cycle. Further it is shown that Hopf bifurcation is possible when we change the value of the diffusion constant and periodic orbits may exist in a specific case.     

Prey Selection,Vertical Migrations and the Impacts of Harvesting Upon the Population Dynamics of a Predator-Prey System

A model is developed to describe the interaction between a predator and two prey types located in different regions. Conditions for stability and persistence are analysed. The effects of harvesting the predators are investigated by making the predator mortality rate habitat dependent. Results demonstrate that for any given set of parameter values there is a value of the intrinsic preference of the predator for each prey type at which the system undergoes a Hopf bifurcation. Above this critical value the system evolves towards a stable equilibrium, whereas below it, stable limit cycles arise by Hopf bifurcations. Simulations demonstrate that the presence of demographic stochasticity may destabilise oscillatory populations, thereby causing population extinctions. An application of the model to the foraging behaviour of North Sea cod is described. It is shown that if the preferred prey is more productive, it is likely that the equilibrium will be stable, whereas if the less preferred prey is more productive, populations are likely to display cycles and in the stochastic case become extinct. As cod fishing mortality is increased, the point of bifurcation and region of parameter space for which the system is unstable decreases. An increased understanding of how cod behave may enable fish stocks to be managed more successfully, for example by indicating where marine reserves should be placed.     

Hopf and torus bifurcations,torus destruction and chaos in population biology

One of the simplest population biological models displaying a Hopf bifurcation is the Rosenzweig–MacArthur model with Holling type II response function as essential ingredient. In seasonally forced versions the fixed point on one side of the Hopf bifurcation becomes a limit cycle and the Hopf limit cycle on the other hand becomes a torus, hence the Hopf bifurcation becomes a torus bifurcation, and via torus destruction by further increasing relevant parameters can follow deterministic chaos. We investigate this route to chaos also in view of stochastic versions, since in real world systems only such stochastic processes would be observed.However, the Holling type II response function is not directly related to a transition from one to another population class which would allow a stochastic version straight away. Instead, a time scale separation argument leads from a more complex model to the simple 2 dimensional Rosenzweig–MacArthur model, via additional classes of food handling and predators searching for prey. This extended model allows a stochastic generalization with the stochastic version of a Hopf bifurcation, and ultimately also with additional seasonality allowing a torus bifurcation under stochasticity.Our study shows that the torus destruction into chaos with positive Lyapunov exponents can occur in parameter regions where also the time scale separation and hence stochastic versions of the model are possible. The chaotic motion is observed inside Arnol’d tongues of rational ratio of the forcing frequency and the eigenfrequency of the unforced Hopf limit cycle.Such torus bifurcations and torus destruction into chaos are also observed in other population biological systems, and were for example found in extended multi-strain epidemiological models on dengue fever. To understand such dynamical scenarios better also under noise the present low dimensional system can serve as a good study case.     

Relating damped oscillations to sustained limit cycles describing real and ideal batch fermentation processes

A batch fermentation model is presented in which the specific growth rate and yield functions are chosen such that sustained oscillations in both the cell and substrate concentration occur. This phenomenon is shown to be a Hopf bifurcation in the underlying system of non-linear ordinary differential equations which comprises the model. It is shown that for oscillations in the substrate concentration to occur it is necessary for the yield term to depend on both the cell and substrate levels.     

慢变刺激下神经元的阵发放电

通过对H－H方程Hopf分叉的数值计算以及神经元放电的仿真研究,从理论和仿真实验两方面都证明了慢变刺激可以引起神经元的阵发放电。结果提示,足够大的突触慢反应可以引起神经元的阵发放电或／或超常兴奋,这或许正是某些疾病（如癫痫）突发的原因。     

Material recycling in a closed aquatic ecosystem. I. Nitrogen transformation cycle and preferential utilization of ammonium to nitrate by phytoplankton as an optimal control problem

A mathematical model of the nitrogen transformation cycle in an aquatic environment is studied. Using Pontryagin's maximum principle, a preferential utilization of ammonium to nitrate by phytoplankton is explained and verified by experimental data. A multiparameter bifurcation is given. The model was found to have four types of equilibrium sets. It is shown that a Hopf bifurcation may occur.     

The discrete Rosenzweig model

Discrete time versions of the Rosenweig predator-prey model are studied by analytic and numerical methods. The interaction of the Hopf bifurcation leading to periodic orbits and the period-doubling bifurcation is investigated. It is shown that for certain choices of the parameters there is stable coexistence of both species together with a local attractor at which the prey is absent.     

Analysis of a predator-prey system with predator switching

In this paper, we consider an interaction of prey and predator species where prey species have the ability of group defence. Thresholds, equilibria and stabilities are determined for the system of ordinary differential equations. Taking carrying capacity as a bifurcation parameter, it is shown that a Hopf bifurcation can occur implying that if the carrying capacity is made sufficiently large by enrichment of the environment, the model predicts the eventual extinction of the predator providing strong support for the so-called ‘paradox of enrichment’.     

EEG动力学模型中混沌现象的研究

通过对脑电图（electroencephalogram,EEG）动力学模型模拟出的EEG信号的相图、分岔图、功率谱、关联维数和Lyapunov指数的对比研究,得出如下结论：1）该模型是按周期行为与混沌现象交替出现的间歇突发通向混沌的,且该间歇性与Hopf分岔、倍周期分岔和逆分岔有关;2）支持了EEG中存在混沌运动的观点。     

Multiple limit cycles in the chemostat with variable yield

The global asymptotic behavior of solutions of the variable yield model is determined. The model generalizes the classical Monod model and it assumes that the yield is an increasing function of the nutrient concentration. In contrast to the Monod model, it is demonstrated that the variable yield model exhibits sustained oscillations. Moreover, it is shown that the variable yield model may undergo a subcritical Hopf bifurcation and feature at least two distinct limit cycles. Implications for the coexistence of competing populations are discussed.     

On the Gurtin-MacCamy conjecture concerning the stability of a simple nonlinear age-dependent population model

The conjecture that an age-dependent population model, involving a survival function dependent only on the population and a fertility function dependent on population and exponentially on age, could not entail Hopf bifurcation into stable orbits is shown to be incorrect.     

Symmetry Breaking in a Model of Antigenic Variation with Immune Delay

Effects of immune delay on symmetric dynamics are investigated within a model of antigenic variation in malaria. Using isotypic decomposition of the phase space, stability problem is reduced to the analysis of a cubic transcendental equation for the eigenvalues. This allows one to identify periodic solutions with different symmetries arising at a Hopf bifurcation. In the case of small immune delay, the boundary of the Hopf bifurcation is found in a closed form in terms of system parameters. For arbitrary values of the time delay, general expressions for the critical time delay are found, which indicate bifurcation to an odd or even periodic solution. Numerical simulations of the full system are performed to illustrate different types of dynamical behaviour. The results of this analysis are quite generic and can be used to study within-host dynamics of many infectious diseases.     

Biomass and biodiversity in species-rich tritrophic communities

We consider a tritrophic system with one basal and one top species and a large number of primary consumers, and derive upper and lower bounds for the total biomass of the middle trophic level. These estimates do not depend on dynamical regime, holding for fixed point, periodic, or chaotic dynamics. We have two kinds of estimates, depending on whether the predator abundance is zero. All these results are uniform in a self-limitation parameter, which regulates prey diversity in the system. For strong self-limitation, diversity is large; for weak self-limitation, it is small. Diversity depends on the variance of species’ parameter values. The larger this variance, the lower the diversity, and vice versa. Moreover, variation in the parameters of the Holling type II functional response changes the bifurcation character, with the equilibrium state with nonzero predator abundance losing stability. If that variation is small then the bifurcation can lead to oscillations (the Hopf bifurcation). Under certain conditions, there exists a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We then find a connection between diversity and Hopf bifurcations. We also show that the system exhibits top-down regulation and a hump-shaped diversity-productivity curve.We then extend the model by allowing species to experience self-regulation. For this extended model, explicit estimates of prey diversity are obtained. We study the dynamics of this system and find the following. First, diversity and system dynamics crucially depend on variation in species parameters. We show that under certain conditions, the system undergoes a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We also establish a connection between diversity and Hopf bifurcations. For strong self-limitation, diversity is large and complex dynamics are absent. For weak self-limitation, diversity is small and the equilibrium with non-zero predator abundance is unstable.     

Impact of fear effect on the growth of prey in a predator-prey interaction model

Several field data and experiments on a terrestrial vertebrates exhibited that the fear of predators would cause a substantial variability of prey demography. Fear for predator population enhances the survival probability of prey population, and it can greatly reduce the reproduction of prey population. Based on the experimental evidence, we proposed and analyzed a prey-predator system introducing the cost of fear into prey reproduction with Holling type-II functional response. We investigate all the biologically feasible equilibrium points, and their stability is analyzed in terms of the model parameters. Our mathematical analysis exhibits that for strong anti-predator responses can stabilize the prey-predator interactions by ignoring the existence of periodic behaviors. Our model system undergoes Hopf bifurcation by considering the birth rate r₀ as a bifurcation parameter. For larger prey birth rate, we investigate the transition to a stable coexisting equilibrium state, with oscillatory approach to this equilibrium state, indicating that the greatest characteristic eigenvalues are actually a pair of imaginary eigenvalues with real part negative, which is increasing for r₀. We obtained the conditions for the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation and conditions governing the direction of Hopf bifurcation, which imply that the prey birth rate will not only influence the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation but also alter the direction of Hopf bifurcation. We identify the parameter regions associated with the extinct equilibria, predator-free equilibria and coexisting equilibria with respect to prey birth rate, predator mortality rates. Fear can stabilize the predator-prey system at an interior steady state, where all the species can exists together, or it can create the oscillatory coexistence of all the populations. We performed some numerical simulations to investigate the relationship between the effects of fear and other biologically related parameters (including growth/decay rate of prey/predator), which exhibit the impact that fear can have in prey-predator system. Our numerical illustrations also demonstrate that the prey become less sensitive to perceive the risk of predation with increasing prey growth rate or increasing predators decay rate.