The effect of fungicidal treatments on sporulating capacity in relation to the control of coffee berry disease

The capacity of the maturing wood of the branches of Coffea arabica to produce conidia of Colletotrichum coffeanum Noack, the causal agent of coffee berry disease, is profoundly affected by fungicidal treatments. The effect differs according to the epidemiology of the disease. When the main source of inoculum is from the wood, the reduction in the sporulating capacity persists throughout the crop-season, and good control of the disease results. When the main source of inoculum is from diseased berries, reinfection of the branches takes place, the sporulating capacity of sprayed branches rises above that of unsprayed ones, and there is indifferent or no control. Evidence from field trials suggests that the correct timing of early season spray schedules may be related to the part of the annual rhythm of sporulating capacity at which they are applied. As this rhythm is determined by rainfall, and varies from year to year and from place to place, the correct time for the start of a schedule should be predictable from meteorological data.     

The sensitivity of annual grassland carbon cycling to the quantity and timing of rainfall

Global climate models predict significant changes to the rainfall regimes of the grassland biome, where C cycling is particularly sensitive to the amount and timing of precipitation. We explored the effects of both natural interannual rainfall variability and experimental rainfall additions on net C storage and loss in annual grasslands. Soil respiration and net primary productivity (NPP) were measured in treatment and control plots over four growing seasons (water years, or WYs) that varied in wet‐season length and the quantity of rainfall. In treatment plots, we increased total rainfall by 50% above ambient levels and simulated one early‐ and one late‐season storm. The early‐ and late‐season rain events significantly increased soil respiration for 2–4 weeks after wetting, while augmentation of wet‐season rainfall had no significant effect. Interannual variability in precipitation had large and significant effects on C cycling. We observed a significant positive relationship between annual rainfall and aboveground NPP across the study (P=0.01, r²=0.69). Changes in the seasonal timing of rainfall significantly affected soil respiration. Abundant rainfall late in the wet season in WY 2004, a year with average total rainfall, led to greater net ecosystem C losses due to a ～50% increase in soil respiration relative to other years. Our results suggest that C cycling in annual grasslands will be less sensitive to changes in rainfall quantity and more affected by altered seasonal timing of rainfall, with a longer or later wet season resulting in significant C losses from annual grasslands.     

Continental-scale climatic drivers of growth ring variability in an Australian conifer

Callitris is Australia’s most successful and drought tolerant conifer genus. Callitris species are distributed across a huge geographical range from rainforest to arid zones, and hence they provide a rare opportunity to view plant growth trends across the continent. Here, we make a continental-scale examination of how climate influences basal diameter growth in Callitris. We sampled a total of five species but focused effort (23 of 28 samples) on the most widespread species, C. columellaris. Cores from a total of 23 trees were sampled from 15 sites that spanned a gradient in mean annual rainfall from 225 to 2117 mm and mean annual temperature from 11.5 to 28.2°C. Ring production is not annual across much of the distribution of the genus, so ¹⁴C-AMS dating was used to establish the frequency of ring production for each core. Ring width, tracheid lumen diameter and number of tracheids per ring were also measured on each core. Ring production was close to annual at mesic sites with reliable alternation of rainfall or temperature regimes but was more erratic elsewhere. For C. columellaris, ring width significantly increased with mean annual rainfall (r ² = 0.49) as a result of wider and more tracheids per ring. For this species tracheid lumen diameter was correlated with annual rainfall (r ² = 0.61), with a threefold increase from the driest to the wettest sites, lending support to the hypothesis that conifers growing at drier sites will have narrow lumen diameters to maximise mechanical strength of the xylem.     

Quantitative relationships between infection by the hop downy mildew pathogen, Pseudoperonospora hutnuli, and weather and inoculum factors

Experiments are described in which successive groups of healthy, susceptible, potted hop-plants were exposed, each 24 h, to the weather and to sources of Pseudoperonospora kumuli inoculum in an unsprayed hop garden for 48 h periods during May and June in 1969, 1970 and 1971. The infection which arose after standardized incubation in isolation was measured and then related, both by inspection and by multiple regression analysis, to the conditions during exposure. Severe infection could be associated with certain sequences of events in which rain contributed substantially to plant wetness; relatively light or no infection developed when dew provided the wetness of a period. Infection was markedly correlated with the occurrence of infection periods, as defined from earlier growth-room studies, especially when dew-wetness was omitted. The regression analysis showed that, in all years, infection was highly correlated with variables reflecting wet conditions. It was inconsistently correlated with vapour pressure deficit (VPD) and with sunshine, not at all with temperature, and with airborne spore concentration only in the combined years. The spore catches of a funnel trap, used in 1971, which depended upon rain varied closely with infection. R² values for multiple regression equations indicated that, in the years separately and together, well over 70% of the variation in infection could be explained by the environmental variables and, in 1971, almost 90%. Variables (temperature, VPD, airborne spores) which singly were poorly correlated with infection often significantly improved regression equations which were based on variables expressing wetness. When prediction of each year's infection levels was attempted using selected regression equations calculated from data of the other 2 years there was, in general, very good agreement between measured and estimated values. The best predictions were given by an equation utilizing rain-wetness duration, rainfall amount and airborne spore concentration while an equation based solely on relative humidity and rainfall was only slightly inferior. The results are discussed in relation to the possible value of the regression models for short-term forecasting of hop downy mildew.     

Rainfall and rats: Climatically-driven dynamics of a tropical rodent population

A five-year mark–recapture study of dusky rats (Rattus colletti) on the Adelaide River floodplain, within the Australian wet–dry tropics, revealed substantial spatial and temporal variation in demographic characteristics (abundance, condition, and rates of survival, growth, and reproduction) of the rats. Our data suggest that annual variation in the intensity and timing of monsoonal rainfall during the ‘wet-season’ is the main factor driving the demography of the rats. When total rainfall figures are modified to reflect the magnitude and duration of inundation of the floodplain each year, a link is evident between rainfall patterns and the rat population dynamics. Minor spatial variations in elevation (and hence, in the duration of inundation) across the floodplain engender large differences in rat growth rates, condition factors, survival rates, and the duration of reproductive activity each year. Because these rats have very high reproductive rates, small rain-induced differences in the duration of their reproductive season (i.e. number of litters per year) can cause massive differences in subsequent rat abundances. Hence, rat numbers can be predicted from rainfall patterns during the preceding wet-season. Similar links between rainfall, the duration of breeding, and fluctuations in abundance may typify many rodent populations in tropical and arid regions of the world.     

Seasonal patterns of persistence and infectivity of Metarhizium anisopliae var. acridum in grasshopper cadavers in the Sahel

Field-based experiments were conducted to evaluate the fate and infectivity of the entomopathogenic fungus Metarhizium anisopliae var. acridum (Deuteromycotina: Hyphomycetes) in grasshopper cadavers in the Sahel. Unlike uninfected cadavers, which were rapidly scavenged, those infected with the fungus persisted in the environment for a number of weeks. The environmental factor most associated with cadaver disappearance was rainfall. The high environmental humidity associated with rainfall was also required for sporulation of the fungus on host cadavers, although the likelihood of sporulation differed between microsites. Characteristics of the infection profile from infective cadavers were investigated by the sequential exposure of uninfected hosts to sporulating cadavers in field cages. This experiment revealed that cadavers remained infective for > 30 days, with the net infectivity changing through time. The most likely explanation for these changes is climatic influences on both the fungus and host. High humidity was not required for infection. A measurement of the transmission coefficient between healthy hosts and sporulating cadavers in the field was obtained at a realistic density of infectious cadavers. This revealed a figure of 0.45 m² day^–1. Overall, these experiments show that following host death, M. anisopliae var. acridum can be persistent in the environment, sporulate on host cadavers and reinfect new hosts at a realistically low field density, although at least in arid or semi-arid areas, rainfall may be critical to the horizontal transmission of this pathogen.     

Does soil moisture availability explain liana seedling distribution across a tropical rainfall gradient?

Liana density tends to increase with decreasing rainfall and increasing seasonality. However, the pattern of liana distribution may be due to differences in soil water retention capacity, not rainfall and seasonality per se. We tested the effect of rainfall and soil substrate with respect to the distribution of liana seedlings in six sites across a rainfall gradient from the wet Atlantic to the dry Pacific in central Panama. Soils were either limestone, with low water‐holding capacity, or laterite, with higher water‐holding capacity. We sampled liana seedlings at each site using three 1 × 100 m transect. We found that relative liana seedling density was higher on limestone soils compared to laterite soils regardless of the amount of rainfall. Furthermore, liana community composition on limestone soils was more similar to dry forest sites than to adjacent wet and moist forest sites. Liana seedling species diversity relative to trees was significantly higher in a low‐fertility dry forest site compared to a high‐fertility forest, but did not differ from the other sites. Thus, liana seedling density and community structure may be driven more by soil type and thus by soil moisture availability than strictly by mean annual rainfall and the seasonality of rainfall.     

Relationship between small-scale structural variability and simulated vegetation productivity across a regional moisture gradient in southern Africa

The observed variability in vegetation structure within landscapes was used as the basis for model estimates of the range of annual productivity of landscape patches at four sites along a moisture gradient in southern Africa ranging from 879 to 365 mm mean annual rainfall. Principal components of patch‐scale variability in leaf area, woody biomass and vertical leaf profiles were derived from intensive characterization of the small‐scale spatial structure of woody vegetation at each site. For each site, the mean and extremes of the principal component distribution parameterized an ecophysiology model of vegetation productivity. Vegetation was most heterogeneous at intermediate locations along the rainfall gradient. Variability in vegetation structure led to a range of annual productivity within one site (600 mm) that accounted for 68% of the total range in mean productivity across all sites. Patch‐scale estimates of tree productivity were found to be primarily correlated to annual rainfall (r²=0.66, P=0.001) and not woody leaf area (r²=0.01, P=0.75), while grass productivity was found to be related to values of woody leaf area (r²=0.77, P<0.001) and not annual rainfall (r²=0.11, P=0.29). This result indicates that life‐form interactions have a significant role in controlling vegetation productivity across the rainfall gradient. The findings of this study emphasize the importance of considering heterogeneity rather than mean structure when modeling productivity, particularly when considering dynamic vegetation structure, where differences between landscape patches may not be well represented in the mean structure.     

Inoculum sources for coffee berry disease*

Isolates of Colletotrichum spp. from coffee berries and bark in Kenya fell into four categories, distinguishable by their cultural characteristics on agar. Three of these proved non-pathogenic; the fourth invariably infected both wounded and unwounded berries and caused coffee berry disease. The sporulating capacity on bark of the various Colletotrichum strains showed peaks in the periods before both the long and the short rains. The pathogenic strain made up only a very small proportion of the whole Colletotrichum complex on the bark and its sporulating capacity never exceeded twenty spores/cm²/h. By contrast, a green berry with an active coffee berry disease lesion produced 5×10⁴conidia/h and an infected ripe berry twice as many. It is concluded that in any year, regardless of cropping pattern, diseased berries are likely to play an important role in the development of coffee berry disease.     

Patterns of airborne conidia of Stemphylium vesicarium, the causal agent of brown spot disease of pears, in relation to weather conditions

Seven-day volumetric spore samplers were installed in pear orchards of northern Italy, in the years between 1993 and 2002, and operated continuously during the development of brown spot epidemics (mid-April–mid-August), caused by Stemphylium vesicarium. Aerial concentration of conidia was recorded at 2 h intervals to study their diurnal and seasonal patterns and the influence of weather conditions. The diurnal periodicity of aerial conidia showed a peak around midday and low counts in the dark. The increase in spore concentration was significantly correlated with the reduction of relative humidity and wetness in early morning, and the increase of wind in late morning and afternoon. Conidia of S. vesicarium became easily airborne to form a regular component of the air-spora in pear orchards, while ascospores were caught only sporadically. Differences between years concerned total spore counts and numbers of peaks (defined as days with more than 30 conidia/m³ air per day). Periods with highest spore counts occurred in late-May to early-June (in 2 years), mid to end of June (5 years), or after mid-July (3 years). There was a significant correlation between spore peaks and days with favourable weather conditions, defined as days with air temperature between 15 and 25°C and high humidity, particularly a wet period longer than 10 h. Occurrence of one or more consecutive days with favourable weather conditions determined an increase in the airborne concentration of conidia, which usually lasted some days and then decreased.     

Nutrient dynamics on a precipitation gradient in Hawai'i

We evaluated soil and foliar nutrients in five native forests in Hawai'i with annual rainfall ranging from 500 mm to 5500 mm. All of the sites were at the same elevation and of the same substrate age; all were native-dominated forests containing Metrosiderospolymorpha Gaud. Soil concentrations of extractable NO₃-N and PO₄-P, as well as major cations (Ca, Mg, and K), decreased with increasing annual precipitation, and δ¹⁵N values became more depleted in both soils and vegetation. For M.polymorpha leaves, leaf mass per area (LMA) and lignin concentrations increased significantly, while δ¹³C values became more depleted with increasing precipitation. Foliar phosphorus, and major cation (Ca, Mg, and K) concentrations for M.polymorpha all decreased significantly with increasing precipitation. For other native forest species, patterns of LMA, δ¹³C, and δ¹⁵N generally mirrored the pattern observed for M. polymorpha. Decreasing concentrations of available rock-derived nutrients in soil suggest that the effect of increased rainfall on leaching outweighs the effect of increasing precipitation on weathering. The pattern of decreased foliar nutrient concentrations per unit leaf area and of increased lignin indicates a shift from relatively high nutrient availability to relatively high carbon gain by producers as annual precipitation increases. For nitrogen cycling, the pattern of higher inorganic soil nitrogen concentrations in the drier sites, together with the progressively depleted δ¹⁵N signature in both soils and vegetation, suggests that nitrogen cycling is more open at the drier sites, with smaller losses relative to turnover as annual precipitation increases. Received: 24 March 1997 / Accepted: 19 September 1997     

Spatial variation in breeding phenology at small spatial scales: A stochastic effect of population size

Spatial variation in phenology can occur at small spatial scales over which individuals can disperse or forage within one generation. Previous studies have assumed that variations in phenological peaks are caused by differences in abiotic environmental characteristics. However, environments should generally be similar among local habitats over small spatial scales. When the local population size is small, the phenological peak of the local population should be strongly affected by the variation in timing expressed by individuals. If a regional population consists of small local subpopulations (e.g., a metapopulation), the stochastic processes regulated by population sizes may explain the spatial variation in phenology. In this study, we quantitatively evaluated the extent of the spatial and annual variations in the breeding phenology of the forest green tree frog, Rhacophorus arboreus habiting a small area (<10 km²). The spatial variation in phenological peaks among 25 breeding sites was large over 6 years. This spatial variation was not explained by differences in air temperature or water depth. Randomization tests revealed that a large portion of the spatial variation could be explained by differences in population size, without considering site-specific factors. Annual variations in phenological peaks tended to be greater for smaller populations. These results imply that the stochastic process might have caused the spatial and annual variations in the phenological peaks of R. arboreus observed in the study region. Understanding spatiotemporal variation in phenology determined by stochastic process would be important to better predict interspecific interactions and (meta)population dynamics at small spatial scales.     

Summer Rains and Dry Seasons in the Upper Blue Nile Basin: The Predictability of Half a Century of Past and Future Spatiotemporal Patterns

During the last 100 years the Ethiopian upper Blue Nile Basin (BNB) has undergone major changes in land use, and is now potentially facing changes in climate. Rainfall over BNB supplies over two-thirds of the water to the Nile and supports a large local population living mainly on subsistence agriculture. Regional food security is sensitive to both the amount and timing of rain and is already an important political challenge that will be further complicated if scenarios of climate change are realized. In this study a simple spatial model of the timing and duration of summer rains (Kiremt) and dry season (Bega), and annual rain over the upper BNB was established from observed data between 1952 and 2004. The model was used to explore potential impacts of climate change on these rains, using a down-scaled ECHAM5/MP1-OM scenario between 2050 and 2100. Over the observed period the amount, onset and duration of Kiremt rains and rain-free Bega days have exhibited a consistent spatial pattern. The spatially averaged annual rainfall was 1490 mm of which 93% was Kiremt rain. The average Kiremt rain and number of rainy days was higher in the southwest (322 days) and decreased towards the north (136 days). Under the 2050–2100 scenario, the annual mean rainfall is predicted to increase by 6% and maintain the same spatial pattern as in the past. A larger change in annual rainfall is expected in the southwest (ca. +130 mm) with a gradually smaller change towards the north (ca. +70 mm). Results highlight the need to account for the characteristic spatiotemporal zonation when planning water management and climate adaptation within the upper BNB. The presented simple spatial resolved models of the presence of Kiremt and annual total rainfall could be used as a baseline for such long-term planning.     

Alien plant assemblages near roads in arid and semi-arid South Africa

Herbaceous and woody alien plants visible from a moving vehicle were recorded along 1 km roadside transects at 5 km intervals over a distance of 5869 km in the semi-arid and arid Fynbos, Succulent Karoo, Nama Karoo and Arid Savanna (Kalahari) biomes in South Africa. Each 1 km transect was classified by biome and vegetation type, mean annual rainfall, rainfall seasonality, soil surface type and landuse adjoining the roadside. Although travelling speed affected the range and frequency of plant species observed, the method was repeatable at a speed of 100 km h^?1. Alien plants occurred in 98% of 119 Fynbos, 81% of 204 Succulent Karoo, 72% of 661 Nama Karoo, 47% of 171 Arid Savanna and 100% of seventeen Grassland transects. Alien species richness per site was correlated with mean annual rainfall, but in all regions, sites adjacent to cultivation had significantly more alien species than sites adjoining rangeland. The alien plant assemblage of the arid winter-rainfall Succulent Karoo included species from mesic winter-rainfall lowland Fynbos and the arid Nama Karoo receives unseasonal rainfall. The frequencies of Prosopis spp., Atriplex spp. and Opuntia ficus-indica were not significantly greater near cultivation, and these perennial plants, all of which are dispersed by indigenous and domestic animals, can invade natural rangeland in arid and semi-arid southern Africa.     

Litterfall from two eucalypt woodlands in central Queensland

The mean annual litterfall at two dry woodland sites in central Queensland was 1129 kg ha^–1 for an open E. populnea F. Muell. woodland (n = 2 years), and 2318 kg ha^–1 for a woodland dominated by E. cambageana Maiden (n = 1 year). Leaves formed the largest component of total litterfall, which varied seasonally with a spring–summer maximum. Annual litterfall at these sites conformed with a pattern of decreasing litter production with declining annual rainfall, consistent with a range of eucalypt-dominated communities.     

THE COMPARATIVE DEMOGRAPHY OF RECIPROCALLY SOWN POPULATIONS OF PHLOX DRUMMONDII HOOK. I. SURVIVORSHIPS,FECUNDITIES, AND FINITE RATES OF INCREASE

Comparative demography of reciprocally sown populations for all stages of the life cycle of the winter annual, Phlox drummondii, was recorded for two seasons in natural sites. The sites investigated covered the natural range of the species and were separated by linear distances ranging from 10 to over 500 kilometers. Interpopulational variation was observed in all stages of the life cycle. Prereproductive survivorship ranged from 0 to 92 percent. Fecundity per plant ranged from 0 to 81 seeds. Finite rates of increase ranged from 0 to 34.1 yr^?1. The experimental populations with low values were growing in sites that received little rainfall or had experienced an insect or fungal infestation. The populations with high growth rates occurred in the northern sites which received greater rainfall. The relative fitness of individuals from the alien populations was compared to the local populations for all stages of the life cycle. The alien relative fitness for survivorship averaged 0.72. The average relative fitness of aliens for fecundity was 0.71 and that for finite rate of increase was 0.57. The life history parameters found in Phlox populations differ from one part of the range to another so that aliens have lower relative fitnesses than individuals indigenous to the site.     

Rainfall in prior breeding seasons influences population size of a small marsupial

The imposition of the stresses of climate change (higher temperatures and in many regions lower rainfall) on existing stressors, such as habitat loss and degradation, will increase pressures on native fauna already experiencing declines. We focused on assessing how the ‘Big Dry’ (severe drought, 1997–2010) in south‐eastern Australia affected populations of a small marsupial carnivore, the yellow‐footed antechinus (Antechinus flavipes), in box‐ironbark forests, which suffer a range of anthropogenic disturbances. Trapping of the mammal was conducted on 136 (0.25 ha) sites in two box‐ironbark forests in 2004, 2005 and 2011 (46 or 64 sites per year). Capture rates of all distinct individuals, males and second‐year females with suckled teats, and the number of suckled teats were positively associated with rainfall in the previous September (time of lactation and deposition of young in nests). Despite differences between forests in capture rates of all individuals, the positive effect of rainfall was evident in both forests. Populations in one forest, Chiltern, were substantially larger than other locations surveyed in 2004 and 2005, yet crashed to small numbers in 2011. This crash was most likely due to low rainfall in the preceding years including the lowest recorded annual rainfall (2006), below‐average annual rainfall (2007, 2008 and 2009) and well‐below‐average rainfall in September (2006, 2007 and 2008). The predicted drying and warming climate in south‐eastern Australia and habitat loss and degradation pose a threat to the viability of the yellow‐footed antechinus in box‐ironbark forests. An integrated approach to small‐mammal management is necessary given that the region may be facing additional losses, especially during droughts, to those already experienced since the early 1800s. Our work emphasizes the need to identify specific effects of stressors on vital demographic characteristics of species.     

Effects of Leaf Wetness Duration and Inoculum Level on Resistance of Wheat Genotypes to Pyrenophora tritici-repentis

Percent leaf necrosis and lesion length on wheat genotypes increased markedly with increasing duration of leaf wetness (up to 24h or 48 h) following inoculation with Pyrenophora tritici-repentis. A long wetting duration favoured less disease development on resistant (Fink's'), and moderately resistant (Bon/YR/3/F3570//KAL/BB) genotypes than on susceptible Glenlea. No significant difference in per cent necrosis was detected among the upper three leaf positions within a genotype. A long wetness duration had a varying effect on the resistance of wheat genotypes, depending upon the inoculum level. Increasing the inoculum level along with the leaf wetness period increased the per cent leaf necrosis on all three wheat genotypes tested. However, the ranking of the genotype for resistance did not alter even after prolonged duration of leaf wetness (up to 96 h) and/or high inoculum level (12000 conidia/ml water). Various post-inoculation wet-periods in combination with high conidia concentrations in inoculum should be used in identifying highly resistant germplasm in breeding populations at the seedling stage of the wheats.     

Report of the Council of the Association of Applied Biologists for the year 1968

Bock (1963) showed that in the years 1956-60 early season sprays achieved good control of coffee berry disease (CBD) in East Rift areas of Kenya. In recent years, however, this spray programme has given erratic and often very poor results. In field experiments in 1966 yields of main (late) crop were increased from 151 to 652 kg/ha by early season sprays but in 1967 practically no control of the disease was achieved. Of the fungicides examined captafol was superior to copper; ‘Tuzet’, the best antisporulant, gave the poorest control. Analysis of the data indicates that this large seasonal variation depends on the very different inter-relationships between rainfall, cropping pattern and timing of sprays which obtained in the 2 years. The hypothesis that early-season sprays achieve control of CBD mainly by reducing the sporulating capacity of the maturing bark is questioned. The view is put forward that the protectant action of these sprays has been underestimated.     

The role of wetlands in wildlife migration in the Tarangire ecosystem,Tanzania

Twenty-two years of rainfall data from six sites, 5 years of animal migration data and 2 years of water quality at 13 sites were explored to quantify the role of water in the Tarangire ecosystem. Inter-annual fluctuations in rainfall were large and not predictable solely from the Southern Oscillation Index. Seasonal fluctuations of rainfall were pronounced, with marked wet and dry seasons. In the dry season, the only drinking water available for wildlife was the Tarangire River and a number of small, scattered wetland-fringed water holes. Their salinity was often high (>8 ppt) and was higher in dry years than in wet years, as well as at the start of the wet season. Water quantity and quality may control the annual migration of wildebeest, zebra, elephants and buffaloes. These animals aggregate in the dry season in areas with the least salty water. The timing of seasonal variations in rainfall is largely predictable and controls annual migration. All wildebeest and most zebras migrated out of Tarangire National Park and into the wider Tarangire ecosystem at the start of the wet season, and they returned into the park in the dry season. Some elephants and buffaloes also migrated in out of the park and a larger resident population remained, whose size may vary inter-annually depending on surface water quantity and quality. The extent of the migration zone may also vary inter-annually.This revised version wa published online in March 2005 with corrections to the issue cover date.