具有三个年龄阶段的单种群自食模型

建立并研究了两个具有三个年龄阶段的单种群自食模型．这篇文章的主要目的是研究时滞对种群生长的作用,对于没有时滞的的模型,我们利用Liapunov函数,得到了系统平衡点全局渐近稳定的充分条件;而具有时滞的的模型,我们得到,随着时滞T增加,当系数满足一定条件时,正平衡点的稳定性可以改变有限次,最后变成不稳定;否则,时滞模型的正平衡点的稳定性不改变。     

Modeling and analysis of a predator-prey model with disease in the prey

A system of retarded functional differential equations is proposed as a predator-prey model with disease in the prey. Mathematical analyses of the model equations with regard to invariance of non-negativity, boundedness of solutions, nature of equilibria, permanence and global stability are analyzed. If the coefficient in conversing prey into predator k=k(0) is constant (independent of delay tau;, gestation period), we show that positive equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when time delay tau; is suitable small, while a loss of stability by a Hopf bifurcation can occur as the delay increases. If k=k(0)e(-dtau;) (d is the death rate of predator), numerical simulation suggests that time delay has both destabilizing and stabilizing effects, that is, positive equilibrium, if it exists, will become stable again for large time delay. A concluding discussion is then presented.     

一类含分布时滞的流行病模型的研究

提出了一类含分布时滞的流行病模型,利用构造李亚普诺夫泛函的方法,得到了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点全局稳定性的结论,揭示了平均时滞对各类平衡点稳定性的影响。     

Role of gestation delay in a plankton-fish model under stochastic fluctuations

The present paper studies a minimal prey-predator model in the context of marine plankton interaction together with predation by planktivorous fish. The time lag required for gestation of the predator is incorporated and the resulting delayed model is analyzed for stability and bifurcation phenomena. A stochastic extension of the model is considered by perturbing the growth process of phytoplankton using colored noise process known to be more appropriate for the marine environment. The stochastic models with and without gestation delay are analyzed for stability aspects and a threshold value of gestation delay is obtained; this threshold is then compared with that of the deterministic model.     

一个具有时滞的媒介传播流行病模型中的Hopt分支（英文）

文章研究的是一个具有时滞的媒介传播流行病模型.假定长期的发病率是双线性大规模行动的方式,确定了疾病是否流行的阈值R_0.当R_0≤1时,得到无病平衡点是全局稳定的,即疾病消失;当R_0〉1时,得到地方病平衡点.在具有时滞的微分模型中,时滞与载体转变成传染源的孵化期有关。我们研究了时滞对平衡点稳定性的影响,研究表明,在从寄生源到载体的传播过程中,时滞可以破坏动力系统并且得到了Hopt分支的周期解.     

Global Hopf bifurcation analysis of an susceptible-infective-removed epidemic model incorporating media coverage with time delay

An susceptible-infective-removed epidemic model incorporating media coverage with time delay is proposed. The stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is studied. And then, the conditions which guarantee the existence of local Hopf bifurcation are given. Furthermore, we show that the local Hopf bifurcation implies the global Hopf bifurcation after the second critical value of delay. The obtained results show that the time delay in media coverage can not affect the stability of the disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction number is less than unity. However, the time delay affects the stability of the endemic equilibrium and produces limit cycle oscillations while the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. Finally, some examples for numerical simulations are included to support the theoretical prediction.     

一类具有时滞和阶段结构的SIS传染病模型的稳定性与持久性

研究一类具有时滞和阶段结构的SIS传染病模型.通过分析特征方程,讨论了系统平衡点的局部稳定性,根据比较定理讨论了无病平衡点的全局稳定性,并证明了当地方病平衡点存在时系统是一致持续生存的.     

Analysis of tumour-immune evasion with chemo-immuno therapeutic treatment with quadratic optimal control

A simple mathematical model for the growth of tumour with discrete time delay in the immune system is considered. The dynamical behaviour of our system by analysing the existence and stability of our system at various equilibria is discussed elaborately. We set up an optimal control problem relative to the model so as to minimize the number of tumour cells and the chemo-immunotherapeutic drug administration. Sensitivity analysis of tumour model reveals that parameter value has a major impact on the model dynamics. We numerically illustrate how does these delay can change the stability region of the immune-control equilibrium and display the different impacts to the control of tumour. Finally, epidemiological implications of our analytical findings are addressed critically.     

Kinetics of sickle hemoglobin polymerization. II. A double nucleation mechanism

A double nucleation mechanism for the polymerization of sickle hemoglobin is described. The mechanism accounts for all of the major kinetic observations: the appearance of a delay, the high concentration dependence of the delay time, and the stochastic behavior of slowly polymerizing samples in small volumes. The mechanism postulates that there are two pathways for polymer formation: polymerization is initiated by homogeneous nucleation in the solution phase, followed by nucleation of additional polymers on the surface of existing ones. This second pathway is called heterogeneous nucleation. Since the surface of polymers is continuously increasing with time, heterogeneous nucleation provides a mechanism for the extreme autocatalysis that is manifested as an apparent delay in the kinetic progress curves. In this mechanism, each spherulitic domain of polymers is considered to be initiated by a single homogeneous nucleation event. The mechanism explains the irreproducibility of the delay time for single domain formation as arising from stochastic fluctuations in the time at which the homogeneous nucleus for the first polymer is formed. Integration of the linearized rate equations that describe this model results in a simple kinetic form: A[cosh(Bt)-1] (Bishop & Ferrone, 1984). In the accompanying paper (Ferrone et al., 1985) it was shown that the initial 10 to 15% of progress curves, with delay times varying from a few milliseconds to over 10(5) seconds, is well fit by this equation. In this paper, we present an approximate statistical thermodynamic treatment of the equilibrium nucleation processes that shows how the nucleus sizes and nucleation equilibrium constants depend on monomer concentration. The equilibrium model results in expressions for B and B2A as a function of monomer concentration in terms of five adjustable parameters: the bimolecular addition rate of a monomer to the growing aggregate, the fraction of polymerized monomers that serve as heterogeneous nucleation sites, the free energy of intermolecular bonding within the polymer, and two parameters that describe the free energy change as a function of size for the bonding of the heterogeneous nucleus to a polymer surface. This model provides an excellent fit to the data for B and B2A as a function of concentration using physically reasonable parameters. The model also correctly predicts the time regime in which stochastic behavior is observed for polymerization in small volumes.     

Dynamical analysis of a diffusion plant-wrack model with delay

In this paper, in view of the senescence of plant and the decay of wrack, time delays are introduced into the plant-wrack model. The effects of wrack decay and time delay on the dynamical behaviors of the diffusive plant-wrack model are studied analytically and numerically. When the delay is zero, the wrack decay will induce the change of stability of the unique equilibrium point, further lead to the occurrence of the Hopf bifurcation and the Turing instability. When the delay is present, the conditions for the occurrence of the Hopf bifurcation are established. By comparing the results of the model without and with delay, it is found that the increases of delay may induce no stability switches, a single stability switch or multiple stability switches, when the value of wrack decay can stabilize model with zero delay. When the value of wrack decay can destabilize model with zero delay, numerical simulations show that the small delay may cause homogeneous distributions of vegetation, while the larger delay may cause the emergence of periodic oscillation of vegetation. The obtained results provide a basis for understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of such a plant-wrack model with delay.     

Absolute stability in predator-prey models

An equilibrium of a time-lagged population model is said to be absolutely stable if it remains locally stable regardless of the length of the time delay, and it is argued that the criteria for absolute stability provide a valuable guide to the behavior of population models. For example, it is sometimes assumed that time delays have a limited impact until they exceed the natural time scale of a system; here it is stressed that under some conditions very short time delays can have a marked (and often maximal) destabilizing effect. Consequently it is important that our understanding of population dynamics is robust to the inclusion of the short time delays present in all biological systems. The absolute stability criteria are ideally suited for this role. Another important reason for using the criteria for absolute stability rather than using criteria which depend upon the details of a time delay is that biological time delays are unlikely to be constant. For example, a time delay due to maturation inevitably varies between individuals and the mean may itself vary over time. Here it is shown that the criteria for absolute stability are generally robust in the presence of distributed delays and of varying delays. The analysis presented is based upon a general predator-prey model and it is shown that absolute stability can be expected under a broad range of parameter values whenever the time delay is due to the maturation time of either the predator or the prey or of both. This stability occurs because of the interaction between delayed and undelayed dynamic features of the model. A time-delayed process, when viewed across all possible delays, always reduces stability and this effect occurs regardless of whether the process would act to stabilize or destabilize an undelayed system. Opposing the destabilization due to a time delay and making absolute stability a possibility are a number of processes which act without delay. Some of these processes can be identified as stabilizing from the analysis of undelayed models (for example, the type 3 functional response) but other cannot (for example, the nonreproductive numerical response of predators).     

一类含分布时滞革新传播模型的稳定性

建立了一类含分布时滞的革新传播模型dU（t）/dt=-（α＋βA（t））U（t）-pU（t）＋p,dA（t）/dt=∫＋∞ 0 αE（τ）U（t-τ）dτ＋βU（t）A（t）-（p＋k）A（t）。研究了分布时滞对传播过程的影响,讨论了正平衡点的存在性和唯一性及其局部与全局的渐近稳定性,当分布时滞的核函数取δe^-δτ时,证明了正平衡点是绝对渐近稳定的。     

变时滞SIS流行病模型的稳定性分析

研究了一类时滞SIS流行病模型,分析了该模型无病平衡点和地方平衡点的存在性,得到了无病平衡点全局指数渐近稳定和地方病平衡点局部指数渐近稳定的充分条件,同时给出了地方病平衡点吸引区域的估计。     

一类具分段常数变量的捕食-食饵系统的Neimark-Sacker分支

讨论了具时滞与分段常数变量的捕食-食饵生态模型的稳定性及Neimark-Sacker分支;通过计算得到连续模型对应的差分模型,基于特征值理论和Schur-Cohn判据得到正平衡态局部渐进稳定的充分条件;以食饵的内禀增长率为分支参数,运用分支理论和中心流形定理分析了Neimark-Sacker分支的存在性与稳定性条件;通过举例和数值模拟验证了理论的正确性。     

基于比率的三种群捕食系统的持续生存

研究一类具有时滞和基于比率的三种群捕食系统,证明该系统在一定条件下是持续生存的;给出无时滞情况下非零平均点的稳定性的充分条件。     

一个带有ATL过程的HTL V-I感染的时滞模型

本文提出并分析了两个关于人体T-细胞淋巴回归Ⅰ型病毒（HTL V-I）感染并带有坏死白血病细胞（ATL）进程的数学模型,一个常微分方程模型,一个离散时滞模型.首先对常微分方程模型进行了分析,运用相应的特征方程得到一个阈值Ro（CD4⁺ T-细胞的基本再生数）.当R₀≤1时,仅有未染病平衡态存在,并且给出了其稳定性;当R₀>1时,有一个染病稳定态存在,并且此时它是稳定的.然后,我们在常微分方程模型中引入了一个离散时滞,通过对时滞模型的超越特征方程的分析,导出了与常微分方程模型中同样的稳定性条件,即时滞模型平衡态的稳定性与时滞的具体值无关.     

Stability and Bifurcations in an Epidemic Model with Varying Immunity Period

An epidemic model with distributed time delay is derived to describe the dynamics of infectious diseases with varying immunity. It is shown that solutions are always positive, and the model has at most two steady states: disease-free and endemic. It is proved that the disease-free equilibrium is locally and globally asymptotically stable. When an endemic equilibrium exists, it is possible to analytically prove its local and global stability using Lyapunov functionals. Bifurcation analysis is performed using DDE-BIFTOOL and traceDDE to investigate different dynamical regimes in the model using numerical continuation for different values of system parameters and different integral kernels.     

一类包虫病传播动力学模型的研究

研究了一类具有终宿主产卵期和中间宿主虫卵成熟期两时滞的包虫病传播动力学模型,得到了决定系统动力学行为的阈值R_0,当R_0〈1时,证明了未感染平衡点是局部渐近稳定的;当R_0〉1时,得到了感染平衡点是局部渐近稳定的充分条件。通过数值仿真验证了理论结果并探讨了时滞对系统动力学行为的影响,且发现若时滞在一定的范围内系统存在周期解.     

具免疫时滞的HIV感染模型动力学性质分析

讨论了一类具免疫时滞的HIV感染模型.分析了未感染平衡点的全局渐近稳定性,给出了感染无免疫平衡点及感染免疫平衡点局部渐近稳定的充分条件.数值模拟结果表明,当易感细胞生成率的取值使得基本再生数满足平衡存在的条件且低于某一临界值时,时滞对平衡点的稳定性没有影响;若大于该临界值,随着时滞增大,稳定性开关发生,平衡点不稳定,出现一系列Hopf分支,最终表现为周期波动模式.