一类具有免疫丧失时滞和垂直传染的传染病模型(英文)

基于接种免疫的暂时性,本文研究了一类具有垂直传染的传染病模型.证明了系统平衡点的存在性并得到了一个局部渐进稳定的疾病灭绝平衡点.     

一类具有垂直传染的SIR传染病模型

讨论了一类具有垂直传染的SIR传染病模型：(dS)/(dt)=6(1-m)(S R) (1- m)pb′I-βSI,(dI)/(dt)=βSI qb′I-d′I-rI,(dR)/(dt)=rI mb(S R) mpb′I-dR获得了无病平衡点与地方病平衡点的全局稳定性．     

一类带有脉冲出生和垂直传染的时滞SEIS传染病模型

建立并分析了一个带有脉冲出生、垂直传染和时滞的SEIS传染病模型.利用频闪映射得到了无病周期解的存在性,并得到了两个临界值R~*和R_*,当R~*<1时,无病周期解全局吸引,疾病消失;当R_*>1时,疾病持续.     

单资源中带有化感作用的两种浮游植物的动力学行为（英文）

讨论了带有化感作用机制的两种浮游植物的营养竞争模型,获得系统平衡点的存在性和稳定性条件.     

一类具有隔离干预的非线性传染率的传染病模型的全局稳定性分析(英文)

研究一类具有隔离干预的非线性传染率的SIQR传染病模型的全局稳定性,得到了阈值R及无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的存在的条件,并利用构造李雅普诺夫函数证明无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的全局稳定性.     

一类潜伏期和染病期均传染且具非线性传染率的流行病模型

研究了一类潜伏期和染病期都传染的具非线性传染率的SEIS流行病模型,确定了各类平衡点存在的条件阈值,讨论了各平衡点的稳定性,揭示了潜伏期传染和染病期传染对流行病发展趋势的共同影响．     

具有非单调传染率的SIQR传染病模型的稳定性分析

该文研究了一类具有非单调传染率的SIQR传染病模型,讨论了平衡点的存在性,运用特征值法、Hurwit判据和极限方程理论证明了当阈值R_01时无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;当R_01时,无病平衡点是不稳定的.并采用Lipunov函数法和Lasalle不变性原理证明了地方性平衡点是全局渐近稳定的.最后进行了数值模拟,验证了理论结果的有效性.     

具有时变接触率与接种率的脉冲传染病模型研究

讨论了时变接触率和时变接种率的传染病模型,模型中考虑对易感者和染病者同时接种.通过计算得到了判别疾病流行与否的阈值.证明了当基本再生数小于1时,疾病是流行的;当基本再生数大于1时,疾病将成为地方病.     

一类具有垂直传染和预防接种的传染病模型的稳定性

考虑了垂直传染和预防接种因素对传染病流行影响的SEIRS模型,主要研究了系统的平衡点及其稳定性,得出当预防接种水平超过某一个阈值时疾病可以根除,若接种水平低于阈值时疾病将流行.     

一类带有肝炎B病毒感染的数学模型的全局稳定性分析（英文）

本文主要分析了一类具有肝炎B病毒感染且带有治愈率的典型的数学模型（HBV）.通过稳定性分析,得到了该模型的无病平衡点与地方病平衡点全局稳定的充分条件,并且证明了当基本再生数R0〈1, HBV感染消失;当R0〉1,HBV感染持续.     

中国对虾球状病毒垂直传播的初步研究

应用透射电镜技术在越冬中国对虾雌性亲虾体内检测出一种球状病毒,直径为80nm左右。人工感染实验证实该病毒颗粒具有感染性。对带毒亲虾在室内隔离条件下进行了暂养催产,并对其所产的卵子、幼虫和的虾进行了隔离培育。带毒亲虾的卵子孵化率、幼虫成活率和幼虾生长速度均明显低于不带毒亲虾的子代。电镜观察发现．在带毒亲虾卵巢、各期幼虫和幼虾的细胞内存在球状病毒颗粒,在刚产的卵子的卵黄颗粒中可看到一种似球状病毒颗粒。研究表明：带球状病毒的对虾呈隐性感染,在胁迫条件下带毒幼虾可暴发病害,带毒亲虾可正常发育产卵,病毒可能通过卵巢、卵子进行垂直传播。     

Inter-Group Social Behavior,Contact Patterns and Risk for Pathogen Transmission in Cape Buffalo Populations

In social species, the transmission and maintenance of infectious diseases depends on the contact patterns between individuals within groups and on the interactions between groups. In southern Africa, the Cape buffalo (Syncerus caffer caffer) is a vector for many pathogens that can infect sympatric livestock. Although intra-group contact patterns of Cape buffalo have been relatively well described, how groups interact with each other and risks for pathogen transmission remain poorly understood. We identified and compared spatial behavior and contact patterns between neighboring groups of Cape buffalo under contrasting environments: within the seasonally flooded environment of the Okavango Delta in Botswana and the semi-arid environment of northern Kruger National Park in South Africa. We used telemetry data collected between 2007 and 2015 from 10 distinct groups. We estimated seasonal overlap and proximity between home ranges of pairwise neighboring groups, and we quantified seasonal contact patterns between these groups. We defined contact patterns within variable spatiotemporal windows compatible with the transmission of diseases carried by the Cape buffalo: bovine tuberculosis, brucellosis, and Rift Valley fever (mosquito-borne transmission). We examined the effects of habitat and distance to water on contact location. In both study populations, neighboring buffalo groups were highly spatially segregated in the dry and rainy seasons. Inter-group contact patterns were characterized by very few direct and short-term indirect (within 0–2 days) contacts, lasting on average 1 hour and 2 hours, respectively. Contact patterns were generally consistent across populations and seasons, suggesting species-specific behavior. In the drier study site, the probability of indirect and vector-borne contacts generally decreased during the dry season with increasing distance to water. In the seasonally flooded area, only the probability of vector-borne contact decreased with increasing distance to water. Our results highlight the importance of dry season water availability in influencing the dynamics of indirectly transmitted Cape buffalo pathogens but only in areas with low water availability. The results from this study have important implications for future modeling of pathogen dynamics in a single host, and the ecology and management of Cape buffalo at the landscape level. © 2021 The Authors. The Journal of Wildlife Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of The Wildlife Society.     

鸭肝炎病毒感染和垂直传播的研究

用α-~(32)P-dATP-DHBV DNA探针做斑点杂交试验、检测了不同鸭种血清中携带DHBV情况。其中北京鸭与樱桃谷鸭的杂交种鸭杂交阳性率为5.1％;而不同鸭龄不同饲养条件的高邮麻鸭血清阳性率32.7—58.8％,经EM检测均在血清中找到病毒颗粒。将DHBV DNA不同的亲代配对所组成的四个组分群饲养,观察产卵后再孵化出的雏鸭DHBVDNA阳性率。第一组(♀-(?)-)为0％,第二组(♀ (?) )为100％,第三组(♀-(?) )28％,第四组(♀ (?)-)100％。然而亲代雌雄鸭均为DHBV DNA阴性的雌鸭所产卵在孵化到第9天时,经尿囊腔注射1×10~9病毒颗粒/m110μl的血清,孵出雏鸭时DHBV DNA阳性率达83.3％。     

一类具有垂直传播的SEIRS捕食传染病模型的全局分析

通过假设捕食系统中疾病只在食饵种群中传播,被传染的易惑者经过一段潜伏期后才具有传染性,潜伏者与染病者均具有垂直传播能力,染病者恢复后对该病不具有终身免疫力,建立了一类具有垂直传播的SEIRS捕食传染病模型,运用极限系统理论,分两种情形讨论了系统平衡点的存在性及局部稳定性,利用Lyapunov函数和二次复合矩阵等方法,得到了平衡点全局渐近稳定的条件.     

具垂直传播的林龄结构病虫害模型平衡态的稳定性

讨论连续使用杀虫剂和具有垂直传播的林龄结构病虫害模型,对模型的动力学性态进行了分析,得到模型的基本再生数,讨论了模型无病平衡态的稳定性和病虫害平衡态的不稳定性,分析了病虫害的机理参数对病害流行的影响.     

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Contact Rates in Female White-Tailed Deer

Abstract: White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) are important game mammals and potential reservoirs of diseases of domestic livestock; thus, diseases of deer are of great concern to wildlife managers. Contact, either direct or indirect, is necessary for disease transmission, but we know little about the ecological contexts that promote intrasexual contact among deer. Using pair-wise direct contacts estimated from Global Positioning System collar locations and joint utilization distributions (JUDs), we assessed habitats in which contacts occur to test whether direct contact rates among female white-tailed deer in different social groups differs among land-cover types. We also tested whether contact rates differed among seasons, lunar phases, and times of day. We obtained locations from 27 female deer for periods of 0.5–17 months during 2002–2006. We designated any simultaneous pair of locations for 2 deer <25 m apart as a direct contact. For each season, we used compositional analysis to compare land-cover types where 2 deer had contact to available land-cover weighted by their JUD. We used mixed-model logistic regression to test for effects of season, lunar phase, and time of day on contact rates. Contact rates during the gestation season were greater than expected from random use in forest and grassland cover, whereas contact rates during the fawning period were greater in agricultural fields than in other land-cover types. Contact rates were greatest during the rut and lowest in summer. Diel patterns of contact rates varied with season, and contact rates were elevated during full moon compared to other lunar periods. Both spatial and temporal analyses suggest that contact between female deer in different social groups occurs mainly during feeding, which highlights the potential impact of food distribution and habitat on contact rates among deer. By using methods to associate contacts and land-cover, we have created beneficial tools for more elaborate and detailed studies of disease transmission. Our methods can offer information necessary to develop spatially realistic models of disease transmission in deer.     

Effects of Joint Space Use and Group Membership on Contact Rates Among White-Tailed Deer

Abstract: Establishment and spread of infectious diseases are controlled by the frequency of contacts among hosts. Although managers can estimate transmission coefficients from the relationship between disease prevalence and age or time, they may wish to quantify or compare contact rates before a disease is established or while it is at very low prevalence. Our objectives were to quantify direct and indirect contacts rates among white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) and to compare these measures of contact rate with simpler measures of joint space use. We deployed Global Positioning System (GPS) collars on 23 deer near Carbondale, Illinois, USA, from 2002 to 2005. We used location data from the GPS collars to measure pairwise rates of direct and indirect contact, based on a range of proximity criteria and time lags, as well as volume of intersection (VI) of kernel utilization distributions. We analyzed contact rates at a given distance criterion and time lag using mixed-model logistic regression. Direct contact rates increased with increasing VI and were higher in autumn—spring than in summer. After accounting for VI, the estimated odds of direct contact during autumn—spring periods were 5.0–22.1-fold greater (depending on the proximity criterion) for pairs of deer in the same social group than for between-group pairs, but for direct contacts during summer the within:between-group odds ratio did not differ significantly from 1. Indirect contact rates also increased with VI, but the effects of both season and pair-type were much smaller than for direct contacts and differed little as the time lag increased from 1–30 days. These results indicate that simple measures of joint space use are insufficient indices of direct contact because group membership can substantially increase contacts at a given level of joint space use. With indirect transmission, however, group membership had a much smaller influence after accounting for VI. Relationships between contact rates and season, VI, and pair-type were generally robust to changes in the proximity criterion defining a contact, and patterns of indirect contacts were affected little by the choice of time lag from 1–30 days. The use of GPS collars provides a framework for testing hypotheses about the form of contact networks among large mammals and comparing potential direct and indirect contact rates across gradients of ecological factors, such as population density or landscape configuration.     

Transmission as a predictor of ecological host specificity with a focus on vertical transmission of microsporidia

Consideration of vertical transmission is particularly important for understanding the life cycles of entomopathogens that are naturally occurring in invertebrate populations, are a problem in beneficial insect colonies, or are under consideration as classical biological control agents. Empirical studies generally corroborate the evolutionary hypothesis that virulence should be relatively low for pathogen species that utilize vertical transmission as one mechanism for maintenance in the host population. Nevertheless, many entomopathogens with significant effects on host populations are vertically as well as horizontally transmitted. In addition to gaining a better understanding of pathogen-host interactions and population dynamics, studies of the host range and specificity of putative biological control agents can benefit by using transmission studies to better predict ecological host specificity from physiological data. Horizontal transmission requires a tightly organized host-pathogen relationship to succeed, but still involves, albeit restricted by host behavior and pathogen dosage, the physiological susceptibility of the nontarget host. Vertical transmission studies can provide increased stringency for determining the ecological host specificity of a species and may be one very accurate predictor of the ability of a pathogen to successfully host-switch when introduced into a na?ve population.