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Mechanisms influencing initiation of harmful algal blooms (HABs) are diverse, and are not likely to be mutually exclusive. Rather, initiation of HABs is a result of interactions between processes, which result in biological, physical, and chemical conditions optimal for a bloom. Due to the complexity of some bloom initiation processes, bloom-preventative management may be possible. Results from a modeling exercise and a laboratory experiment indicated that a phytoplankton bloom could be circumvented through manipulation of the nutrient-loading mode, i.e., pulsed vs. continuous loading. These findings, should they prove consistent in more robust field experiments, may provide insights for the development of new management approaches for some HABs. Optimal bloom conditions, however, vary between HAB species. Consequently, it is unlikely that a single management solution will exist. Preventative management efforts will require early warning of HAB initiation, perhaps even before the appearance of an HAB species. An indicator based on the dynamic nature of phytoplankton succession events and phytoplankton species diversity may prove useful for this purpose. Applying this index to an existing plankton data set showed that Microcystis blooms might have been predicted months before the start of the bloom.  相似文献   

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全球气候变化对沈阳地区春玉米生长的可能影响   总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11  
利用玉米(Zea mays L.)生长生理生态学模拟模型(MPESM),分别模拟了未来气候变化的12种气候条件下(CO2浓度倍增,平均气温上升1.5℃、3.0℃和4.5℃,降水量增加20%、减少20%、减少40%和降水量不变),沈阳地区土壤湿度、玉米发育和玉米生长的变化,并与当前条件下进行了比较,以评价玉米生长对各气候因子变化的敏感性和全球气候变化下沈阳地区春玉米的生长趋势。研究表明:土壤湿度对降  相似文献   

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全球气候变化对沈阳地区春玉米生长的可能影响   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
Physiological ecology simulation modelling of maize growth (MPESM) was used to simulate the variation of soil moisture, maize development and maize growth under twelve prescribed climate scenarios, which include doubling CO2, raising mean temperature by 1.5 ℃, 3.0 ℃ and 4.5 ℃, and changing precipitation by 0, +20%, -20%, and -40%. The simulated results were compared with that of the present climate, to assess the sensitivity of maize to climatic change. The analysis indicated that soil moisture is sensitive to reduced precipitation, maize development is sensitive to the rise of temperature, and maize growth is affected greatly by temperature elevation and precipitation variation, which cancel out the positive effects of CO2 elevation. It was found that with the severe change of climate, the leaf biomass, the female fringe biomass, and the leaf area index would decline greatly, and the biomass of stem and root would increase greatly. The average yield of maize will decline between 5% and 30%.  相似文献   

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Comparisons among ecosystem models or ecosystem dynamics along environmental gradients commonly rely on metrics that integrate different processes into a useful diagnostic. Terms such as age, turnover, residence, and transit times are often used for this purpose; however, these terms are variably defined in the literature and in many cases, calculations ignore assumptions implicit in their formulas. The aim of this opinion piece was i) to make evident these discrepancies and the incorrect use of formulas, ii) highlight recent results that simplify calculations and may help to avoid confusion, and iii) propose the adoption of simple and less ambiguous terms.  相似文献   

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《Cell》2022,185(4):690-711.e45
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Water footprints traditionally estimate water lost as a result of evapotranspiration (or otherwise unavailable for downstream uses) associated with producing a certain good, and the same embodied in trade across regions is used to estimate regional and national water footprints. These footprints, however, do not address risk posed to city energy supplies characterized by insufficient streamflow to support energy production, such as cooling water intake (e.g., withdrawals) at thermoelectric power plants. Water withdrawal intensity factors for producing goods and services are being developed at the national scale, but lack sufficient spatial resolution to address these types of water‐energy challenges facing cities. To address this need, this article presents a water withdrawal footprint for energy supply (WWFES) to cities and places it in the context of other water footprints defined in the literature. Analysis of electricity use versus electricity generation in 43 U.S. cities highlights the need for developing WWFES to estimate risks to transboundary city energy supplies resulting from water constraints. The magnitude of the WWFES is computed for Denver, Colorado, and compared to the city's direct use of water to offer perspective. The baseline WWFES for Denver is found to be 66% as large as all direct water uses in the city combined (mean estimate). Minimum, mean, and maximum estimates are computed to demonstrate sensitivity of the WWFES to selection of water withdrawal intensity factors. Finally, scenario analysis explores the effect of energy technology and energy policy choices in shaping the future water footprint of cities.  相似文献   

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重力是体位改变过程中最基本的生物力学刺激因素.血流压力是表征心血管功能状态的一个基本指标.目前,体位改变影响心血管系统的确切内部机制尚不清楚.为此,采用在流体和固体方程中分别引入体力项的方法,建立一个基于血流动力学概念的三维流固耦合数学模型,用以研究体位改变,确切量化重力对血流压力的影响.通过数值计算,得到以下结果.水平卧位条件下:a.单一血管中血流压力由无重力影响的轴对称二维分布变为重力影响下的三维不对称分布;b.随着进出口压差由小变大,重力对压力分布和极值的影响由大变小,当压差值分别达到10 665.6 Pa(80 mmHg)和2 666.4 Pa(20 mmHg)时,重力的影响就不再随进出口压差增大而变化;对三维单一流体,重力影响的总体趋势类似.对正、倒直立位,压力均为二维轴对称分布,其重力影响强度约为水平卧位的2倍以上.结果表明:基于血流动力学概念,引入体力项,建立三维流固耦合模型为研究体位改变提供了一种新思路,重力对单一血管中血流压力分布和大小的影响因体位不同而不同,并与进出口压差密切相关,提示,若血管进出口压差较小,忽略重力影响,不考虑体位改变,以二维轴对称模型来研究血管中血流状态,须谨慎解释所得结果.  相似文献   

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We present a model of the internal representation and reproduction of temporal durations, the 'dual klepsydra' model (DKM). Unlike most contemporary models operating on a 'pacemaker-counter' scheme, the DKM does not assume an oscillatory process as the internal time-base. It is based on irreversible, dissipative processes in inflow/outflow systems (leaky klepsydrae), whose states are continuously compared; if their states are equal, durations are subjectively perceived as equal. Model-based predictions fit experimental time reproduction data with good accuracy, and show qualitative features not accounted for by other models. The deterministic model is characterized by two parameters, kappa (outflow rate coefficient) and eta (ratio of inflow rates). A stochastic version of the model (SDKM) assumes randomly fluctuating inflows, involves two more parameters, and accounts for intra-individual variance of reproduced durations. Analysis of the SDKM leads to non-trivial problems in the stochastic theory, briefly sketched here. Methods of parameter estimation for both deterministic and stochastic versions are given. Applying the DKM to the subjective experience of time passage, we show how subjective measure of elapsed time is constituted. Finally, essential features of the model and its possible neurophysiological interpretation are discussed.  相似文献   

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The mechanism for passive cochlear tuning remains unsettled. Early models considered the organ of Corti complex (OCC) as a succession of spring-mass resonators. Later, traveling wave models showed that passive tuning could arise through the interaction of cochlear fluid mass and OCC stiffness without local resonators. However, including enough OCC mass to produce local resonance enhanced the tuning by slowing and thereby growing the traveling wave as it approached its resonant segment. To decide whether the OCC mass plays a role in tuning, the frequency variation of the wavenumber of the cochlear traveling wave was measured (in vivo, passive cochleae) and compared to theoretical predictions. The experimental wavenumber was found by taking the phase difference of basilar membrane motion between two longitudinally spaced locations and dividing by the distance between them. The theoretical wavenumber was a solution of the dispersion relation of a three-dimensional cochlear model with OCC mass and stiffness as the free parameters. The experimental data were only well fit by a model that included OCC mass. However, as the measurement position moved from a best-frequency place of 40 to 12 kHz, the role of mass was diminished. The notion of local resonance seems to only apply in the very high-frequency region of the cochlea.  相似文献   

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