Estimation of adult skeletal age‐at‐death using the Sugeno fuzzy integral

Age‐at‐death estimation of an individual skeleton is important to forensic and biological anthropologists for identification and demographic analysis, but it has been shown that the current aging methods are often unreliable because of skeletal variation and taphonomic factors. Multifactorial methods have been shown to produce better results when determining age‐at‐death than single indicator methods. However, multifactorial methods are difficult to apply to single or poorly preserved skeletons, and they rarely provide the investigator with information about the reliability of the estimate. The goal of this research is to examine the validity of the Sugeno fuzzy integral as a multifactorial method for modeling age‐at‐death of an individual skeleton. This approach is novel because it produces an informed decision of age‐at‐death utilizing multiple age indicators while also taking into consideration the accuracies of the methods and the condition of the bone being examined. Additionally, the Sugeno fuzzy integral does not require the use of a population and it qualitatively produces easily interpreted graphical results. Examples are presented applying three commonly used aging methods on a known‐age skeletal sample from the Terry Anatomical Collection. This method produces results that are more accurate and with smaller intervals than single indicator methods. Am J Phys Anthropol 2010. © 2009 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.     

Enthesopathy formation in the humerus: Data from known age‐at‐death and known occupation skeletal collections

Enthesopathies, in the guise of musculoskeletal skeletal stress markers (MSM), have been widely used to reconstruct activity levels in human skeletal populations. In general, studies have focused on their presence in the upper limb, which is used in the majority of daily activities. The aim of this study was to use some of the attachment sites on the humerus to explore the relationship between enthesopathy formation, activity, and the ageing process. The skeletal sample used in this study comprised male adult skeletons with known age‐at‐death and known occupations from the late‐19th and early‐20th century cemeteries in Portugal. The enthesopathies were recorded as either present or absent. Statistical analysis using Fishers exact tests and logistic regression was undertaken to determine whether associations could be found between specific activities or socioeconomic status (manual or nonmanual workers), and age and enthesopathy presence. Left and right sides were analyzed separately. Fisher's exact tests were used to determine the relationship between activity and enthesopathy, and they demonstrated no association between activity and enthesopathies (P > 0.01). The results of the logistic regression established that age was the single most significant factor in enthesopathy formation (P > 0.05). This study found that, in these samples, age‐at‐death, and therefore age‐related degeneration rather than degeneration caused by activities, was the primary cause of enthesopathy formation. Considering the difficulties of reliably ageing adult human skeletal remains, this is a major issue for studies of activity using enthesopathies. Am J Phys Anthropol, 2010. © 2009 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.     

Technical note: False catastrophic age‐at‐death profiles in commingled bone deposits

Age‐at‐death profiles obtained using the minimum number of individuals (MNI) for mass deposits of commingled human remains may be biased by over‐representation of subadult individuals. A computer simulation designed in the R environment has shown that this effect may lead to misinterpretation of such samples even in cases where the completeness rate is relatively high. The simulation demonstrates that the use of the Most Likely Number of Individuals (MLNI) substantially reduces this bias. Am J Phys Anthropol 152:554–557, 2013. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Effects of age‐based movement on the estimation of growth assuming random‐at‐age or random‐at‐length data

Simulation methods were used to generate paired data from a simulated population that included the age‐based process of movement and the length‐based process of gear selection. The age‐based process caused bias in the estimates of growth parameters assuming random at length, even when relatively few age classes were affected. Methods that assumed random at age were biased by the subsequent inclusion of the length‐based process of gear selection. Additional knowledge of the age structure of the sampled area is needed to ensure an unbiased estimate of the growth parameters when using the length‐conditional approach in the presence of age‐based movement. Estimates of the variability in the length‐at‐age relationship were better estimated with the length‐conditional than the traditional method even when the assumptions of random at length were violated. Inclusion of paired observations of length and associated age inside the population dynamics model may be the most appropriate way of estimating growth.     

Stature estimation in ancient Egyptians: a new technique based on anatomical reconstruction of stature

Trotter and Gleser's (Trotter and Gleser: Am J Phys Anthropol 10 (1952) 469-514; Trotter and Gleser: Am J Phys Anthropol 16 (1958) 79-123) long bone formulae for US Blacks or derivations thereof (Robins and Shute: Hum Evol 1 (1986) 313-324) have been previously used to estimate the stature of ancient Egyptians. However, limb length to stature proportions differ between human populations; consequently, the most accurate mathematical stature estimates will be obtained when the population being examined is as similar as possible in proportions to the population used to create the equations. The purpose of this study was to create new stature regression formulae based on direct reconstructions of stature in ancient Egyptians and assess their accuracy in comparison to other stature estimation methods. We also compare Egyptian body proportions to those of modern American Blacks and Whites. Living stature estimates were derived using a revised Fully anatomical method (Raxter et al.: Am J Phys Anthropol 130 (2006) 374-384). Long bone stature regression equations were then derived for each sex. Our results confirm that, although ancient Egyptians are closer in body proportion to modern American Blacks than they are to American Whites, proportions in Blacks and Egyptians are not identical. The newly generated Egyptian-based stature regression formulae have standard errors of estimate of 1.9-4.2 cm. All mean directional differences are less than 0.4% compared to anatomically estimated stature, while results using previous formulae are more variable, with mean directional biases varying between 0.2% and 1.1%, tibial and radial estimates being the most biased. There is no evidence for significant variation in proportions among temporal or social groupings; thus, the new formulae may be broadly applicable to ancient Egyptian remains.     

Growth response of Egyptian children with idiopathic short stature during four years of growth hormone therapy

BACKGROUND:

Multiple factors affect the growth response to recombinant human growth hormone (rhGH) in children with idiopathic short stature (ISS).

AIM:

To evaluate the growth responses of children with ISS treated with rhGH, aiming to identify the predictors of growth response.

MATERIALS AND METHODS:

We studied 120 cases, 90 males (75%), with a mean age of 13.8±2.7 years and 30 females (25%), with a mean age of 12.3±2.5 years. All patients received rhGH with a standard dose of 20 IU/m²/week. The calculated dose per week was divided into six days and given subcutaneous at night.

RESULTS:

A significant positive trend was detected in the delta changes of all anthropometric data. For the first year, the growth response was positively correlated to CA and BA delay and negatively correlated to height, weight and IGF-1 SDSs. For the second year, the growth response was correlated positively to first year growth velocity, BA, triceps skin fold thickness SDS and deviation from target height, and negatively correlated to weight, IGFBP3 SDS and target height SDS. For the third year, the growth response was positively correlated to five variables namely target height, 2^nd year growth velocity, IGF-1 SDS, weight SDS and triceps skin fold thickness SDS. For the fourth year, growth response was positively correlated to 2^nd and 3^rd year growth velocity, BA, deviation from target height and weight/ height SDS.

CONCLUSION:

Our study showed multiplicity of predictors that is responsible for response in ISS children treated with rhGH, and BA was an important predictor.     

Paleodemographic age‐at‐death distributions of two Mexican skeletal collections: A comparison of transition analysis and traditional aging methods

Traditional methods of aging adult skeletons suffer from the problem of age mimicry of the reference collection, as described by Bocquet‐Appel and Masset (1982). Transition analysis (Boldsen et al., 2002) is a method of aging adult skeletons that addresses the problem of age mimicry of the reference collection by allowing users to select an appropriate prior probability. In order to evaluate whether transition analysis results in significantly different age estimates for adults, the method was applied to skeletal collections from Postclassic Cholula and Contact‐Period Xochimilco. The resulting age‐at‐death distributions were then compared with age‐at‐death distributions for the two populations constructed using traditional aging methods. Although the traditional aging methods result in age‐at‐death distributions with high young adult mortality and few individuals living past the age of 50, the age‐at‐death distributions constructed using transition analysis indicate that most individuals who lived into adulthood lived past the age of 50. Am J Phys Anthropol 152:67–78, 2013. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Daily growth patterns and age‐at‐recruitment of the anchoveta Engraulis ringens as indicated by a multi‐annual analysis of otolith microstructure across developmental stages

The anchoveta (Engraulis ringens ) plays a key role in the ecology of the Humboldt Current System and is of major economic importance; however, many aspects of its early life history are still poorly understood. In this study, an analysis of daily age and length patterns was carried out using the sagittal otoliths from wild larvae (0–0.2 cm standard length, L _S), pre‐recruits (3–6 cm total length, L _T), recruits (7–12 cm L _T) and young adults (12–15 cm L _T). Additionally, variability in growth and age at recruitment (A _R) were evaluated for recruits caught in northern Chile in 1973, 1982, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. The age–length relationship showed four allometric patterns that were well described by Laird‐Gompertz models. The absolute growth rates at the inflexion point (G _AR) were 0.56, 0.75, 1.22 and 1.16 mm d^?1 for larvae, pre‐recruits, recruits and young adults, respectively. At the interannual scale, G _AR values were always >1 mm d^?1 (mean ± S.D . 1.37 ± 0.21 mm d^?1; range 1.12–1.64 mm d^?1), irrespective of the season of hatching (i.e. winter v. spring); additionally, in most cases, G _AR values were reached before the second month of life (mean ± S.D . 50.47 ± 9.73 days) at c. 4 cm L _T (mean ± S.D . 4.22 ± 0.29 cm). Mean A _R was < 150 days (112 ± 29 days; range 75–149 days); in contrast, estimates of A _R were higher and growth rates were lower in 1973, 1983 and 2000. These results demonstrate very fast growth and early A _R of anchoveta in northern Chile, suggesting most fish are removed by the fisheries at very early ages. An evaluation of the implications of these results on stock assessment and management of this species is highly recommended.     

Sexual dimorphism of the bony labyrinth: A new age‐independent method

Currently in physical anthropology there is a need for reliable methods of sex estimation for immature individuals and highly fragmented remains. This study develops a sex estimation technique from discriminant function analysis of the bony labyrinth as it matures before puberty and can survive taphonomic conditions that would destroy most other skeletal material. The bony labyrinth contains the organs of hearing and balance. For this reason biologists and paleoanthropologists have undertaken research in this area to understand evolutionary changes in locomotion. Prior studies have found clear differences between species, but within‐species variation has not been satisfactorily investigated. 3D segmentations of the left and right labyrinths of 94 individuals from a Cretan collection were generated and measured. Mean measurements of height, width, size, and shape indices were analyzed for sexual dimorphism, bilateral asymmetry, and measurement error. Significant sexual dimorphism was detected for several measurements. For sex estimation, the single best variable was the radius of curvature of the posterior semicircular canal, which achieved 76% accuracy. Two multivariate functions increased accuracy to 84%. Although these equations are less accurate than equations for complete long bones and crania, they appear to be as accurate as or better than other techniques for sexing immature individuals and temporal bones. Am J Phys Anthropol 151:290–301, 2013. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

A simple and low‐cost method to estimate spatial positions of shorebirds: the Telescope‐Mounted Angulator

ABSTRACT Estimating the spatial position of birds in open habitats like intertidal mudflats is important for many studies, for example, detailed density estimates or linking predation pressure to resource availability. To date, several methods have been used to estimate the positions of birds, including density counts in predetermined plots, range finders, photography, and tracking individuals tagged with GPS‐equipped transmitters, and each method has advantages and shortcomings. Counts in premarked plots are possible over relatively long distances, but small‐scale information is lost due to within‐plot averaging. Other methods accurately determine the position of individuals, but can only be used at relatively short distances or involve capturing birds. We describe a simple and low‐cost method to estimate the spatial position of individual birds in open habitats using a telescope‐mounted instrument that measures the scope's viewing angle. Using this Telescope‐Mounted Angulator (TMA), the distance to focal birds can be calculated by simple trigonometry, requiring only the viewing angle and mounting height of the telescope. Laboratory tests revealed that the TMA was most accurate when calibrated for individual observers. Field experiments performed on a 4‐m high observation platform showed that the TMA can estimate the position of shorebirds with an accuracy of 18 to 36 m up to a distance of 500 m. By also including the direction, determined with a compass, the spatial position of birds can be reliably estimated. The TMA can be a valuable tool for estimating the spatial position of animals in various flat landscapes, providing detailed measurements in a relatively short period of time.     

Sex differences in the effects of juvenile and adult diet on age‐dependent reproductive effort

Sexual selection should cause sex differences in patterns of resource allocation. When current and future reproductive effort trade off, variation in resource acquisition might further cause sex differences in age‐dependent investment, or in sensitivity to changes in resource availability over time. However, the nature and prevalence of sex differences in age‐dependent investment remain unclear. We manipulated resource acquisition at juvenile and adult stages in decorated crickets, Gryllodes sigillatus, and assessed effects on sex‐specific allocation to age‐dependent reproductive effort (calling in males, fecundity in females) and longevity. We predicted that the resource and time demands of egg production would result in relatively consistent female strategies across treatments, whereas male investment should depend sharply on diet. Contrary to expectations, female age‐dependent reproductive effort diverged substantially across treatments, with resource‐limited females showing much lower and later investment in reproduction; the highest fecundity was associated with intermediate lifespans. In contrast, long‐lived males always signalled more than short‐lived males, and male age‐dependent reproductive effort did not depend on diet. We found consistently positive covariance between male reproductive effort and lifespan, whereas diet altered this covariance in females, revealing sex differences in the benefits of allocation to longevity. Our results support sex‐specific selection on allocation patterns, but also suggest a simpler alternative: males may use social feedback to make allocation decisions and preferentially store resources as energetic reserves in its absence. Increased calling effort with age therefore could be caused by gradual resource accumulation, heightened mortality risk over time, and a lack of feedback from available mates.