Prognosis and prediction of response in breast cancer: the current role of the main biological markers

Abstract. In the medical literature there are frequently conflicting reports on the utility of biological tumour markers available in the clinical management of breast cancer. In this review we analyse current information on the relationships between the most widely investigated breast cancer biological markers including oestrogen and progesterone receptors, p53, Bcl-2, c-erbB-2 , cyclin expression, proliferative activity, DNA ploidy and the urokinase plasminogen activation system, as well as their relevance to prognosis and response to clinical treatment. By biological prognostic indicator, we mean a marker that correlates with survival and disease-free survival; the term predictor marker indicates a marker that is capable of predicting tumour sensitivity or resistance to various therapies. Similarly to other authors' experiences, our analysis suggests that oestrogen receptors are weak prognostic indicators and good predictors of response to endocrine therapy. Furthermore, there are consistent data suggesting that proliferation indices are good indicators of prognosis, and that they are directly related to response to chemotherapy and closely related to response to hormonotherapy. On the contrary, there is no evidence or conflicting data for all of the other biological markers. These should be considered in the context of randomized trials in order to precisely define their prognostic and predictive roles. p53 and c-erbB-2 seem to be the most promising factors, but their use in routine practice still needs validation.     

Prognostic value of mutations in TP53 and RAS genes in breast cancer

The identification of molecular indicators of higher risk for specific subgroups of cancer patients may allow to develop more aggressive therapeutic strategies aimed at cases with the highest likelihood of response. This would avoid unnecessary toxicity to patients and alleviate the burden of cancer care for healthcare systems. Activated oncogenes and mutated tumor suppressor genes are causal determinants of the appearance and progression of tumors in man. They therefore represent potential indicators of prognosis and/or response to therapy. However, even in cases of well-studied oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes such as TP53 and RAS, their attributed prognostic and predictive value is often based on studies of insufficient statistical power that often lead to conflicting conclusions. Findings in favor or against the use of TP53 and RAS as prognostic and predictive indicators in breast cancer are reviewed and discussed here.     

Prognostic factors affecting disease-free survival rate following surgical resection of primary breast cancer.

In order to identify the prognostic factors that significantly influence the disease-free survival rate after surgical resection of primary breast cancers, we determined tumour and lymph node grades, and immunohistochemical staining for estrogen and progesterone receptors (ER and PR), c-erbB-2, p53, bcl-2, bax and PCNA in 76 patients. Univariate analysis showed that increased grade of tumour and lymph nodes, negative immunostaining for ER, positive immunostaining for c-erbB-2, and a high PCNA index (> or = 30%) negatively influenced the disease-free survival rate, but PR, p53, bcl-2 and bax had no predictive value. Although p53 was not an independent prognostic factor by itself, the combination of p53, bcl-2, and bax proved to correlate with the disease-free survival, with the best prognosis noted in tumours negative for p53 and positive for both bcl-2 and bax, intermediate prognosis in tumours negative for p53 and positive for either bcl-2 or bax and worst prognosis in tumors negative for p53 as well as bcl-2 and bax. Tumour grade correlated positively with PCNA index, while positive staining for ER correlated negatively with tumour grade as well as with PCNA index, although this was statistically insignificant. Immunostaining of breast cancers for bcl-2 correlated negatively with tumour grade and PCNA index. Immunostaining for c-erbB-2 correlated positively with PCNA but not with tumour grade. Immunostaining for p53 tended to correlate positively with PCNA, but not with tumour grade. Immunostaining for PR and bax did not correlate with tumour grade and PCNA index. These results suggest that in addition to tumour size and lymph node involvement, immunostaining for ER, c-erbB-2, and a high PCNA index are important prognostic factors in human breast cancer. Wild-type p53 with preserved bcl-2 and bax gene products is also a favorable prognostic factor indicating breast cancer at an early stage of cancer progression.     

Prognostic factors in human primary breast cancer: comparison of c-myc and HER2/neu amplification.

Amplification of oncogenes in primary tumours may have prognostic and/or therapeutic significance for patients with breast cancer. We have studied HER2/neu and c-myc amplification together with steroid receptors in human primary breast tumours and related the outcome with (relapse-free) survival. A strong inverse correlation was found between HER2/neu amplification and the presence of oestrogen and progesterone receptors. Actuarial 5-years survival showed that breast cancer patients with c-myc amplification in their primary tumours experience a shorter relapse-free survival, especially in node-negative and in receptor-positive tumours, whereas HER2/neu amplification may be of prognostic value for overall survival in receptor-negative tumours. Overall, in our hands, c-myc amplification appeared to be a more potent prognosticator than HER2/neu amplification in human primary breast cancer.     

Intérêt des marqueurs tumoraux : quelle place pour l’ACE et le CA 15-3 ?

This paper defines, from the current literature, the characteristics of various tumour markers in breast cancer and the potential role of these markers in the management of patients with this malignancy: CA 15-3 and ACE are the serum tumour markers most often used in breast cancer; all analyses for each patient must be performed in the same laboratory, using the same technique; CA 15-3 should not be used for screening or diagnosis; the level of CA 15-3 before treatment is a recognized prognostic factor, the independent value of which has not been proven; if the initial value of CA 15-3 in greater than 50 kU/L, disseminated disease should be actively sought before any treatment decisions are made; an initial elevation of CA 15-3 that does not return to normal reflects a lack of response to treatment and is a strong adverse prognostic factor; the accuracy of tumour markers as early indicators of metastatic disease is well recognized but the clinical benefit has not been established; there is a correlation between tumour markers and clinical response in the treatment of metastatic disease; the level of CA 15-3 in metastatic disease does not predict response to treatment.     

p53 protein expression and oestrogen and progesterone receptor status in invasive ductal breast carcinomas

p53 protein expression and oestrogen and progesterone receptor status in invasive ductal breast carcinomas The p53 protein expression and oestrogen and progesterone receptors status was investigated in correlation to the grade of malignancy of primary breast carcinomas. Our material constituted imprints from surgical biopsies of 75 invasive ductal breast cancer cases. The p53 protein expression was investigated immunocytologically using the monoclonal antibody p53 DO-7 (DAKO). A biochemical DCC method was applied for the detection of oestrogen and progesterone receptors for all tumours. Fifty-one percent of breast cancer cases were p53 protein positive. A statistically significant association of p53 protein expression and high tumour grade was found (chi2=23.72, d.f.=2, P < 0.001). A statistically significant association was also found between oestrogen and progesterone receptor positive cases and the grade of malignancy (P < 0.001). A negative association between p53 protein expression and oestrogen (ER) and progesterone receptors (PgR) positivity was found. From our results it appears that it is possible to distinguish from grade II tumours two subgroups of cases, one with low malignancy potential and p53 (-), ER (+), PgR (+), and another subgroup with high malignancy potential and phenotype p53 (+), ER (-), PgR (-). The last subset of patients could actually benefit from adjuvant therapy.     

An integrated view of aromatase and its inhibition

Aromatase inhibition has become a major treatment strategy for postmenopausal women with oestrogen-dependent breast cancer. Its optimal application is, however, dependent upon (i) the accurate identification of cancers which are ultimately dependent upon the activity of the aromatase enzyme, (ii) the use of the best method/inhibitor by which to blockade aromatase activity.

The single best predictor of response to aromatase inhibitors is the presence of tumour oestrogen receptors; receptor-negative cancers rarely respond whereas those with high levels seem particularly likely to benefit. However, there is a need for additional discriminatory markers. The use of microarray technology coupled with neoadjuvant therapy is likely to yield promising candidate genes. The finding that, amongst peripheral tissues, the tumour itself may have high activity has led to the suggestion that the tumour aromatase measurements may be predictive; however, in situ studies and the lack of robust assays for tumour aromatase suggest that tumour aromatase may not be an influential marker.

Whilst drugs such as anastrozole, exemestane, formestane and letrozole are all effective and specific inhibitors of aromatase, they differ in structure, potency and mechanism of action. Thus, differential sensitivity of tissues/tumours and non-cross resistance mean inhibitors are not equivalent and individual agents may have differing roles according to the setting in which they will be used. Aromatase inhibitors have evolved as key endocrine agents in the treatment of breast cancer. They offer the promise of rational treatment management based on the accurate identification of individual cohorts of tumours responsive to specific drugs.     

Tumor markers in breast cancer--evaluation of their clinical usefulness

Breast cancer is the most common neoplasm affecting women in the Western world. Many studies are still conducted with the purpose of finding markers that could be used for early diagnosis and/or serve as possible reliable prognostic or predictive parameters, but with conflicting results. At present, no markers are available for an early diagnosis of breast cancer For surveillance of patients with diagnosed breast cancer the most widely used serum markers are CA 15-3 and CEA which, in combination with other clinical parameters, could have clinical significance. The most useful and clinically important tissue-based markers in breast cancer are estrogen and progesterone receptors, used as a basis for hormonal therapy, and HER-2 receptors, essential in selecting patients for the treatment with Herceptin. New or potentially new markers for breast cancer include BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes for selecting patients at high risk of developing hereditary breast cancer, as well as urokinase plasminogen activator and inhibitor for assessing prognosis in lymph node-negative patients. Results of tumor and patient genetic analyses including their clinical evaluation will enable application of more individualized and personalized approach in diagnosis and therapy of breast cancer patients.     

Clinical significance of blood-based miRNAs as diagnostic and prognostic nucleic acid markers in breast cancer: Comparative to conventional tumor markers

microRNAs (miRNAs) are implicated in carcinogenesis and their expression in biological fluids offer great potential as nucleic acid markers for cancer detection and progression. Authors investigated the expression level of miRNAs (miRNA-21, miRNA-126, and miRNA-155) to evaluate their role as diagnostic and prognostic markers for breast cancer compared with other commonly used protein-based markers (CEA and CA15-3). Serum samples from patients with breast cancer (n = 96), patients with benign breast lesion (n = 47), and healthy individuals (n = 39) were enrolled for detection of miRNA expression levels and protein-based tumor markers using fluorescent real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, respectively. Correlation among investigated markers with clinicopathological factors and clinical outcomes were determined. Expression of miRNA-21 and miRNA-155 revealed significant increases in patients with breast cancer compared with both benign and control groups, the same result was reported for tumor markers; on the other hand, miRNA-126 was significantly decreased in breast cancer group as compared with the other two groups. miRNA frequencies were significantly related to clinical staging and histological grading as compared with tumor markers. Patients with breast cancer with increased miRNA-21 and miRNA-155 and decreased miRNA-126 expressions had significantly worse disease-free survival, while only miRNA-21 and miRNA-126 showed poor OS (P< 0.005). In conclusion, investigated miRNAs were superior over tumor markers for the early stage of breast cancer especially those with high-risk factor and their assessment in blood facilitates their role as a potential prognostic molecular marker.     

Relationship between tumour aromatase activity, tumour characteristics and response to therapy

Aromatase activity has been measured in human breast cancers by incubating tumour minces with [7-³H]testosterone and characterizing purified oestradiol (E₂) fractions by chemical derivative formation. Of 247 primary tumours, 178 showed evidence of oestrogen biosynthesis, levels varying between 0.5 and 12.5 fmol E₂ produced/h/g tissue. These values were quantitatively small but at least comparable with those in other peripheral tissues. There was no correlation between presence or level of aromatase activity and the histopathology of the tumours although oestrogen biosynthesis was more likely to be present in more cellular tumours. Aromatase activity was also unrelated to age, menopausal status, lymph node status and T stage of the patient from which the tumour was derived. In a subgroup of patients presenting without clinical evidence of distant metastatic disease, no significant relation was detected between tumour aromatase and disease-free interval, but tumours without aromatase activity were associated with increased survival at 36 months after primary treatment. A statistically significant correlation was also detected between the presence of tumour aromatase and oestrogen receptors. Furthermore, in small subgroups of patients with “advanced” breast cancer tumour aromatase was related to response to aminoglutethimide but not tamoxifen therapy. Whilst these results do not conclusively define a role for local synthesis of oestrogen in the progression of breast cancer, this possibility still exists and further studies on tumour aromatase are warranted.     

Predictors of response to aromatase inhibitors

Aromatase inhibitors are now considered to be part of the endocrine treatment for most hormone receptor-positive breast cancer in post-menopausal women for both early and advanced disease. Despite the impressive efficacy of these agents, up to 50% of treated patients exhibit de novo or intrinsic resistance to aromatase inhibitors and hence identification of response predictors is essential to allow treatment to be directed towards responsive populations and for alternative or additional therapies to be offered to resistant patients. Emerging data seem to suggest a role for the conventional tumour markers of oestrogen receptor and progesterone receptor as possible predictors of response but, particularly in the adjuvant setting, the extent to which these are useful has not been fully elucidated. Data from both the neo-adjuvant and advanced disease settings suggest that response to aromatase inhibitors does not appear to be adversely affected by HER-2 overexpression. Within neo-adjuvant aromatase inhibitor studies, the proliferation marker Ki67 has shown a significant correlation with relapse-free survival, suggesting a role in prediction for measurement of Ki67 and other dynamic markers of response. Analysis of multiple gene expression changes over a short treatment period may also have potential clinical utility for prediction of response.     

Expression of cyclooxygenase-2 in invasive breast carcinomas and its prognostic impact

Representative tumour sections from 468 patients with invasive breast cancer were immunostained for cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) and evaluated. The relationships between COX-2 expression, clinical outcome and various clinicopathological variables, including tumour vascularity and disseminated tumour cells (DTC) in the bone marrow were examined. COX-2 expression in invasive breast carcinoma cells was positively associated with oestrogen receptor and/or progesterone receptor positivity (p<0.001). Triple-negative tumours showed no/low COX-2 expression more frequently than other tumour types (p<0.001). Expression of COX-2 was not associated with breast cancer-specific survival (p=0.49, log-rank) or distant disease-free survival (p=0.67, log-rank) for all patients, including lymph node-negative, untreated patients (p>0.14, log-rank). There was also no significant association between COX-2 expression and histological grade, tumour size, nodal status, DTC in bone marrow, p53, HER2, or tumour vascularity. In conclusion, COX-2 expression in this series was associated with the presence of hormone receptors. Low COX-2 expression was observed in triple-negative breast carcinomas.     

Oestrogen receptors and survival in early breast cancer.

Oestrogen receptor status was related to survival in 414 patients with primary breast cancer. Women with oestrogen receptors in their tumours survived significantly longer than those without receptors; this was true for both premenopausal and postmenopausal women and also when the patients were subdivided into those with and without axillary metastases. Patients with axillary metastases and no oestrogen receptors in their tumours had the worst prognosis, while women with axillary metastases and oestrogen receptors had a death rate similar to that of women with no axillary metastases and no receptors. Patients without oestrogen receptors and with no axillary metastases were identified as a high-risk group, and it would seem appropriate to include such patients in future trials for adjuvant therapy in early breast cancer.     

Estrogen, progesterone receptors and proliferating activity evaluated by immunocytochemistry in breast cancer.

The correlation of the most important prognostic indicators was evaluated in 75 breast cancer cases. Estrogen-progesterone receptors and proliferating activity were analyzed by immunocytochemical methods (ER-ICA, PR-ICA, Ki-67). Both steroid receptors were inversely correlated with the proliferating activity (ER-ICA vs Ki-67, p less than 0.003; PR-ICA vs. Ki-67, p less than 0.0001). No correlation was found between steroid receptors or cell kinetics and tumor size or lymph node status. These findings confirm the relevance of biochemical and kinetic parameters as independent markers in breast cancer and suggest a routine use of the simple immunocytochemical methods in assessing the biological behavior of tumors.     

The role of p53 in treatment responses of lung cancer

Resistance to radio- and chemotherapy is a major problem in treatment responses of lung cancer. In this disease, biological markers, that can be predictive of response to treatment for guiding clinical practice, still need to be validated. Radiotherapy and most chemotherapeutic agents directly target DNA and in response to such therapies, p53 functions as a coordinator of the DNA repair process, cell cycle arrest, and apoptosis. In fact, it participates in the main DNA repair systems operative in cells, including NHEJ, HRR, NER, BER, and MMR. Given the high p53 mutation frequency in lung cancer which likely impairs some of the p53-mediated functions, a role of p53 as a predictive marker for treatment responses has been suggested. In this review, we summarize the conflicting results coming from preclinical and clinical studies on the role of p53 as a predictive marker of responses to chemotherapy or radiotherapy in lung cancer.     

The Diagnosis of Breast Pre-Cancer By the Chronobra- II. The Breast Pre-Cancer Test

Contemporary screening programmes for early breast cancer based on X-rays (mammography) are very expensive and have two serious limitations in their potential to control the disease. First, soft-tissue radiology imaging is poor at resolving a tumour in the youngest third of cancer patients because of breast density; second, by the time size of a tumour enables a diagnosis to be made, there are already hundreds of thousands of malignant cells; depending on the particular biology of the tumour they may have disseminated.

For effective control of the disease there must be some understanding of breast cancer biology so that appropriate pre-cancer therapeutic strategies can be implemented. There is persuasive evidence from the growth kinetics of excised tumours; the prognosis of the breast cancer process; the protection afforded by an early first pregnancy; the age-related sensitivity to diagnostic X-rays; and, the age-correlated presence of oestrogen receptors in tumours, that the genesis of cancer is usually in the pre-menopause (the second or third decade). Breast cancer prevention programmes have to take this early genesis into their reckoning. Also, to see any progenitor or pre-cancerous lesions the histopathologist must look in the cancer mastectomy specimens of the younger patient. When this is done, such mastectomies reveal multiple benign focal hyperplasias and cysts very much more numerous than in age-matched consecutive autopsy breasts. These abnormalities may represent a failure of acinisation and an abnormal maturation pathway with a large number of uncommitted epithelial cells vulnerable to mutation since they are not fully differentiated.     

Expression of the oestrogen responsive protein pS2 in human breast cancer

The trefoil peptide pS2 was discovered in a breast cancer cell line as a result of its oestrogen responsive character. The expression of pS2 in breast tumours in vivo is also likely to be an oestrogenic effect and as such, the presence of pS2 in oestrogen receptor positive breast cancer is evidence of an intact oestrogen response pathway and an indicator of putative hormone responsiveness. Consistent with this, clinical studies of breast cancer have revealed a correlation between pS2 expression and favourable tumour characteristics as well as response to endocrine therapy.