Application and interpretation of transmission/disequilibrium tests: transmission of HLA-DQ haplotypes to unaffected siblings in 526 families with type 1 diabetes

It is widely believed that, if a genetic marker shows a transmission distortion in patients by the transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT), then a transmission distortion in healthy siblings would be seen in the opposite direction. This is also the case in a complex disease. Furthermore, it has been suggested that replacing the McNemar statistics of the TDT with a test of heterogeneity between transmissions to affected and unaffected children could increase the power to detect disease association. To test these two hypotheses empirically, we analyzed the transmission of HLA-DQA1-DQB1 haplotypes in 526 Norwegian families with type 1 diabetic children and healthy siblings, since some DQA1-DQB1 haplotypes represent major genetic risk factors for type 1 diabetes. Despite the strong positive and negative disease associations with particular DQ haplotypes, we observed no significant deviation from 50% for transmission to healthy siblings. This could be explained by the low penetrance of susceptibility alleles, together with the fact that IDDM loci also harbor strongly protective alleles that can override the risk contributed by other loci. Our results suggest that, in genetically complex diseases, detectable distortion in transmission to healthy siblings should not be expected. Furthermore, the original TDT seems more powerful than a heterogeneity test.     

Transmission/disequilibrium test meets measured haplotype analysis: family-based association analysis guided by evolution of haplotypes

Family data teamed with the transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT), which simultaneously evaluates linkage and association, is a powerful means of detecting disease-liability alleles. To increase the information provided by the test, various researchers have proposed TDT-based methods for haplotype transmission. Haplotypes indeed produce more-definitive transmissions than do the alleles comprising them, and this tends to increase power. However, the larger number of haplotypes, relative to alleles at individual loci, tends to decrease power, because of the additional degrees of freedom required for the test. An optimal strategy would focus the test on particular haplotypes or groups of haplotypes. In this report we develop such an approach by combining the theory of TDT with that of measured haplotype analysis (MHA). MHA uses the evolutionary relationships among haplotypes to produce a limited set of hypothesis tests and to increase the interpretability of these tests. The theory of our approach, called the "evolutionary tree" (ET)-TDT, is developed for two cases: when haplotype transmission is certain and when it is not. Simulations show the ET-TDT can be more powerful than other proposed methods under reasonable conditions. More importantly, our results show that, when multiple polymorphisms are found within the gene, the ET-TDT can be useful for determining which polymorphisms affect liability.     

X-APL: an improved family-based test of association in the presence of linkage for the X chromosome

Family-based association methods have been developed primarily for autosomal markers. The X-linked sibling transmission/disequilibrium test (XS-TDT) and the reconstruction-combined TDT for X-chromosome markers (XRC-TDT) are the first association-based methods for testing markers on the X chromosome in family data sets. These are valid tests of association in family triads or discordant sib pairs but are not theoretically valid in multiplex families when linkage is present. Recently, XPDT and XMCPDT, modified versions of the pedigree disequilibrium test (PDT), were proposed. Like the PDT, XPDT compares genotype transmissions from parents to affected offspring or genotypes of discordant siblings; however, the XPDT can have low power if there are many missing parental genotypes. XMCPDT uses a Monte Carlo sampling approach to infer missing parental genotypes on the basis of true or estimated population allele frequencies. Although the XMCPDT was shown to be more powerful than the XPDT, variability in the statistic due to the use of an estimate of allele frequency is not properly accounted for. Here, we present a novel family-based test of association, X-APL, a modification of the test for association in the presence of linkage (APL) test. Like the APL, X-APL can use singleton or multiplex families and properly infers missing parental genotypes in linkage regions by considering identity-by-descent parameters for affected siblings. Sampling variability of parameter estimates is accounted for through a bootstrap procedure. X-APL can test individual marker loci or X-chromosome haplotypes. To allow for different penetrances in males and females, separate sex-specific tests are provided. Using simulated data, we demonstrated validity and showed that the X-APL is more powerful than alternative tests. To show its utility and to discuss interpretation in real-data analysis, we also applied the X-APL to candidate-gene data in a sample of families with Parkinson disease.     

Accounting for linkage in family-based tests of association with missing parental genotypes

In studies of complex diseases, a common paradigm is to conduct association analysis at markers in regions identified by linkage analysis, to attempt to narrow the region of interest. Family-based tests for association based on parental transmissions to affected offspring are often used in fine-mapping studies. However, for diseases with late onset, parental genotypes are often missing. Without parental genotypes, family-based tests either compare allele frequencies in affected individuals with those in their unaffected siblings or use siblings to infer missing parental genotypes. An example of the latter approach is the score test implemented in the computer program TRANSMIT. The inference of missing parental genotypes in TRANSMIT assumes that transmissions from parents to affected siblings are independent, which is appropriate when there is no linkage. However, using computer simulations, we show that, when the marker and disease locus are linked and the data set consists of families with multiple affected siblings, this assumption leads to a bias in the score statistic under the null hypothesis of no association between the marker and disease alleles. This bias leads to an inflated type I error rate for the score test in regions of linkage. We present a novel test for association in the presence of linkage (APL) that correctly infers missing parental genotypes in regions of linkage by estimating identity-by-descent parameters, to adjust for correlation between parental transmissions to affected siblings. In simulated data, we demonstrate the validity of the APL test under the null hypothesis of no association and show that the test can be more powerful than the pedigree disequilibrium test and family-based association test. As an example, we compare the performance of the tests in a candidate-gene study in families with Parkinson disease.     

Exploiting excess sharing: a more powerful test of linkage for affected sib pairs than the transmission/disequilibrium test

The transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT) is a popular, simple, and powerful test of linkage, which can be used to analyze data consisting of transmissions to the affected members of families with any kind pedigree structure, including affected sib pairs (ASPs). Although it is based on the preferential transmission of a particular marker allele across families, it is not a valid test of association for ASPs. Martin et al. devised a similar statistic for ASPs, Tsp, which is also based on preferential transmission of a marker allele but which is a valid test of both linkage and association for ASPs. It is, however, less powerful than the TDT as a test of linkage for ASPs. What I show is that the differences between the TDT and Tsp are due to the fact that, although both statistics are based on preferential transmission of a marker allele, the TDT also exploits excess sharing in identity-by-descent transmissions to ASPs. Furthermore, I show that both of these statistics are members of a family of "TDT-like" statistics for ASPs. The statistics in this family are based on preferential transmission but also, to varying extents, exploit excess sharing. From this family of statistics, we see that, although the TDT exploits excess sharing to some extent, it is possible to do so to a greater extent-and thus produce a more powerful test of linkage, for ASPs, than is provided by the TDT. Power simulations conducted under a number of disease models are used to verify that the most powerful member of this family of TDT-like statistics is more powerful than the TDT for ASPs.     

Association of genetic traits to estimated haplotypes from SNP genotypes using EM algorithm and Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques

In order to find association of genetic traits to some haplotypes from closely spaced multilocus phase-unknown genotypes we use a three-stage approach. Haplotype frequencies and the most likely haplotype pair for each individual are estimated from random samples of individual or small (nuclear) family genotypes via an EM algorithm. If the most likely haplotype pair configuration of the whole sample outweighs the less likely ones, we may consider the estimated haplotypes as alleles of a multi-allelic marker and carry out the conventional statistics, TDT or ANOVA for quantitative traits. If the most likely haplotype pair configuration and the less likely ones do not differ much in their weight, we sample the TDT or ANOVA statistic over all haplotype pair configurations using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Applications of our method to simulated data as well as real data are given.     

Likelihood-based estimation of microsatellite mutation rates

Microsatellites are widely used in genetic analyses, many of which require reliable estimates of microsatellite mutation rates, yet the factors determining mutation rates are uncertain. The most straightforward and conclusive method by which to study mutation is direct observation of allele transmissions in parent-child pairs, and studies of this type suggest a positive, possibly exponential, relationship between mutation rate and allele size, together with a bias toward length increase. Except for microsatellites on the Y chromosome, however, previous analyses have not made full use of available data and may have introduced bias: mutations have been identified only where child genotypes could not be generated by transmission from parents' genotypes, so that the probability that a mutation is detected depends on the distribution of allele lengths and varies with allele length. We introduce a likelihood-based approach that has two key advantages over existing methods. First, we can make formal comparisons between competing models of microsatellite evolution; second, we obtain asymptotically unbiased and efficient parameter estimates. Application to data composed of 118,866 parent-offspring transmissions of AC microsatellites supports the hypothesis that mutation rate increases exponentially with microsatellite length, with a suggestion that contractions become more likely than expansions as length increases. This would lead to a stationary distribution for allele length maintained by mutational balance. There is no evidence that contractions and expansions differ in their step size distributions.     

Tests for linkage and association in nuclear families.

The transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT) originally was introduced to test for linkage between a genetic marker and a disease-susceptibility locus, in the presence of association. Recently, the TDT has been used to test for association in the presence of linkage. The motivation for this is that linkage analysis typically identifies large candidate regions, and further refinement is necessary before a search for the disease gene is begun, on the molecular level. Evidence of association and linkage may indicate which markers in the region are closest to a disease locus. As a test of linkage, transmissions from heterozygous parents to all of their affected children can be included in the TDT; however, the TDT is a valid chi2 test of association only if transmissions to unrelated affected children are used in the analysis. If the sample contains independent nuclear families with multiple affected children, then one procedure that has been used to test for association is to select randomly a single affected child from each sibship and to apply the TDT to those data. As an alternative, we propose two statistics that use data from all of the affected children. The statistics give valid chi2 tests of the null hypothesis of no association or no linkage and generally are more powerful than the TDT with a single, randomly chosen, affected child from each family.     

Pooling robustness in distance sampling: Avoiding bias when there is unmodelled heterogeneity

The pooling robustness property of distance sampling results in unbiased abundance estimation even when sources of variation in detection probability are not modeled. However, this property cannot be relied upon to produce unbiased subpopulation abundance estimates when using a single pooled detection function that ignores subpopulations. We investigate by simulation the effect of differences in subpopulation detectability upon bias in subpopulation abundance estimates. We contrast subpopulation abundance estimates using a pooled detection function with estimates derived using a detection function model employing a subpopulation covariate. Using point transect survey data from a multispecies songbird study, species-specific abundance estimates are compared using pooled detection functions with and without a small number of adjustment terms, and a detection function with species as a covariate. With simulation, we demonstrate the bias of subpopulation abundance estimates when a pooled detection function is employed. The magnitude of the bias is positively related to the magnitude of disparity between the subpopulation detection functions. However, the abundance estimate for the entire population remains unbiased except when there is extreme heterogeneity in detection functions. Inclusion of a detection function model with a subpopulation covariate essentially removes the bias of the subpopulation abundance estimates. The analysis of the songbird point count surveys shows some bias in species-specific abundance estimates when a pooled detection function is used. Pooling robustness is a unique property of distance sampling, producing unbiased abundance estimates at the level of the study area even in the presence of large differences in detectability between subpopulations. In situations where subpopulation abundance estimates are required for data-poor subpopulations and where the subpopulations can be identified, we recommend the use of subpopulation as a covariate to reduce bias induced in subpopulation abundance estimates.     

Evaluating the evidence for transmission distortion in human pedigrees

Children of a heterozygous parent are expected to carry either allele with equal probability. Exceptions can occur, however, due to meiotic drive, competition among gametes, or viability selection, which we collectively term "transmission distortion" (TD). Although there are several well-characterized examples of these phenomena, their existence in humans remains unknown. We therefore performed a genome-wide scan for TD by applying the transmission disequilibrium test (TDT) genome-wide to three large sets of human pedigrees of European descent: the Framingham Heart Study (FHS), a founder population of European origin (HUTT), and a subset of the Autism Genetic Resource Exchange (AGRE). Genotyping error is an important confounder in this type of analysis. In FHS and HUTT, despite extensive quality control, we did not find sufficient evidence to exclude genotyping error in the strongest signals. In AGRE, however, many signals extended across multiple SNPs, a pattern highly unlikely to arise from genotyping error. We identified several candidate regions in this data set, notably a locus in 10q26.13 displaying a genome-wide significant TDT in combined female and male transmissions and a signature of recent positive selection, as well as a paternal TD signal in 6p21.1, the same region in which a significant TD signal was previously observed in 30 European males. Neither region replicated in FHS, however, and the paternal signal was not visible in sperm competition assays or as allelic imbalance in sperm. In maternal transmissions, we detected no strong signals near centromeres or telomeres, the regions predicted to be most susceptible to female-specific meiotic drive, but we found a significant enrichment of top signals among genes involved in cell junctions. These results illustrate both the potential benefits and the challenges of using the TDT to study transmission distortion and provide candidates for investigation in future studies.     

How do homozygous parents affect TDT as a test for association?

The traditional transmission disequilibrium test (TDT) (Spielman et al., 1993) is a powerful test for association only in the presence of linkage. Since allele transmissions from homozygous parents do not carry any information on linkage, the TDT statistic uses data only on heterozygous parents. However, homozygous parents carry information on association between alleles at a marker locus and a disease locus. In this article, we explore whether inclusion of homozygous parents increases the power to detect association. The resultant test statistic follows a chi(2) distribution with 2 degrees of freedom. Monte-Carlo simulations are included to compare the performance of this test with the traditional TDT under different disease models.     

The future is now - will the real disease gene please stand up?

The transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT) [Spielman et al.: Am J Hum Genet 1993;52:506-516] has been postulated as the future of gene mapping for complex diseases, provided one is able to genotype a dense enough map of markers across the genome. Risch and Merikangas [Science 1996;273:1516-1517] suggested a million-marker screen in affected sibpair (ASP) families, demonstrating that the TDT is a more powerful test of linkage than traditional linkage tests based on allele-sharing when there is also association between marker and disease alleles. While the future of genotyping has arrived, successes in family-based association studies have been modest. This is often attributed to excessive false positives in candidate gene studies. This problem is only exacerbated by the increasing numbers of whole genome association (WGA) screens. When applied in ASPs, the TDT statistic, which assumes transmissions to siblings are independent, is not expected to have a constant variance in the presence of variable linkage. This results in generally more extreme statistics, hence will further aggravate the problem of having a large number of positive results to sort through. So an important question is how many positive TDT results will show up on a chromosome containing a disease gene due only to linkage, and will they obfuscate the true disease gene location. To answer this question we combined theory and computer simulations. These studies show that in ASPs the normal version of the TDT statistic has a mean of 0 and a variance of 1 in unlinked regions, but has a variance larger than 1 in linked regions. In contrast, the pedigree disequilibrium test (PDT) statistic adjusts for correlation between siblings due to linkage and maintains a constant variance of 1 at unassociated markers irrespective of linkage. The TDT statistic is generally larger than the PDT statistic across linked regions. This is true for unassociated as well as associated markers. To compare the two tests we ranked both statistics at the disease locus, or an associated marker, among statistics at all other markers. The TDT did better job than PDT placing the score of the associated marker near the top. Though, strictly speaking, the TDT in ASPs should be interpreted as a test of linkage and not a test of association, there is a good chance that if a marker stands out, the marker is associated as well as linked. In conclusion, our results suggest that TDT is an effective screening tool for WGA studies, especially in multiplex families.     

Transmission/disequilibrium test based on haplotype sharing for tightly linked markers

Studies using haplotypes of multiple tightly linked markers are more informative than those using a single marker. However, studies based on multimarker haplotypes have some difficulties. First, if we consider each haplotype as an allele and use the conventional single-marker transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT), then the rapid increase in the degrees of freedom with an increasing number of markers means that the statistical power of the conventional tests will be low. Second, the parental haplotypes cannot always be unambiguously reconstructed. In the present article, we propose a haplotype-sharing TDT (HS-TDT) for linkage or association between a disease-susceptibility locus and a chromosome region in which several tightly linked markers have been typed. This method is applicable to both quantitative traits and qualitative traits. It is applicable to any size of nuclear family, with or without ambiguous phase information, and it is applicable to any number of alleles at each of the markers. The degrees of freedom (in a broad sense) of the test increase linearly as the number of markers considered increases but do not increase as the number of alleles at the markers increases. Our simulation results show that the HS-TDT has the correct type I error rate in structured populations and that, in most cases, the power of HS-TDT is higher than the power of the existing single-marker TDTs and haplotype-based TDTs.     

Association and linkage analysis of RGS4 polymorphisms with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder in Brazil

Linkage and association studies in five independently ascertained samples have suggested that polymorphisms of the regulator of G-protein signaling 4 (RGS4) may confer risk for schizophrenia (SCZ). Suggestive evidence for association with bipolar disorder (BD) has also been presented. However, the associated alleles and haplotypes have differed among the samples. Data from other independent samples may clarify the putative associations. Hence, we investigated an independent, ethnically diverse Brazilian population comprising patients with SCZ (n=271) or BD1 (n=306), who were contrasted with 576 community-based controls. Parents of 49 SCZ cases and 44 BD cases were available for transmission disequilibrium tests (TDTs). Four RGS4 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) 1, 4, 7 and 18 putatively associated with SCZ were investigated. In the SCZ samples, significant case-control differences were not observed for individual SNPs or haplotypes, though the TDT suggested transmission distortion similar to that observed in the initial report. For the BD sample, case-control comparisons revealed no significant differences for individual SNPs, but an omnibus test suggested differences in the overall distribution of haplotypes bearing all four SNPs (SNP-EM Omnibus likelihood ratio test; P=0.003). The TDT revealed over-transmission of allele A at SNP7 (P=0.016), as well as haplotypes incorporating this allele. However, global tests incorporating all haplotypes yielded only suggestive trends for association (P=0.19). In conclusion, association with SCZ was not detected in the present analyses. The failure to detect an association may be related to inadequate power or to confounds related to ethnic admixture. Suggestive associations with BD detected here require further investigation in a larger sample.     

Estimation of transmission probabilities in families ascertained through a proband with variable age-at-onset disease: application to the HLA A, B and DR loci in Finnish families with type 1 diabetes. The DiMe Study Group

An open problem of some interest in the study of HLA has been the possible existence of transmission distortion in the human HLA complex. In this paper, transmission probabilities are estimated and tested using data on HLA A, B and DR loci genotypes of parents and offspring ascertained from the entire population of Finland (Childhood Diabetes in Finland Study) through one or more offspring diagnosed with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) during the recruitment period from September 1986 to July 1989. First, we show how to get unbiased estimates of transmission probabilities from the family data collected in the disease registry of incident cases. This is accomplished by assuming that transmission of HLA genes to children in the general population is conditionally independent given the parents' genotypes, and the birth dates of all offspring. Based on the sampling (ascertainment) process in the study on Childhood Diabetes in Finland, younger siblings of the index child (the oldest proband) are independent of the ascertainment and therefore give rise to unbiased inference regarding allele transmission. The hypothesis of Mendelian transmission of alleles at each locus was tested using the standard chi(2) test. Goodness-of-fit of the Mendelian inheritance model to the individual locus data is calculated by maximizing the likelihood function over allele transmission intensities at each locus. The existence of a strong transmission distortion is not supported by this study at the loci considered.     

Multiple interspecies transmissions of human and simian T-cell leukemia/lymphoma virus type I sequences

Using two sets of nucleotide sequences of the human and simian T-cell leukemia/lymphoma virus type I (HTLV-I/STLV-I), one consisting of 522 bp of the env gene from 70 viral strains and the other a 140-bp segment from the pol gene of 52 viral strains, I estimated cladograms based on a statistical parsimony procedure that was developed specifically to estimate within-species gene trees. An extension of a nesting procedure is offered for sequence data that forms nested clades used in hypothesis testing. The nested clades were used to test three hypotheses relating to transmission of HTLV/STLV sequences: (1) Have cross-species transmissions occurred and, if so, how many? (2) In what direction have they occurred? (3) What are the geographic relationships of these transmission events? The analyses support a range of 11-16 cross-species transmissions throughout the history of these sequences. Additionally, outgroup weights were assigned to haplotypes using arguments from coalescence theory to infer directionality of transmission events. Conclusions on geographic origins of transmission events and particular viral strains are inconclusive due to small samples and inadequate sampling design. Finally, this approach is compared directly to results obtained from a traditional maximum parsimony approach and found to be superior at establishing relationships and identifying instances of transmission.      

The transmission/disequilibrium test for linkage on the X chromosome

The transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT), which detects linkage between a marker and disease loci in the presence of linkage disequilibrium, was introduced by Spielman et al. The original TDT requires families in which the genotypes are known for both parents and for at least one affected offspring, and this limits its applicability to diseases with late onset. The sib-TDT, or S-TDT, which utilizes families with affected and unaffected siblings, was introduced as an alternative method, by Spielman and Ewens, and the TDT and S-TDT can be combined in an overall test (i.e., a combined-TDT, or C-TDT). The TDT statistics described so far are for autosomal chromosomes. We have extended these TDT methods to test for linkage between X-linked markers and diseases that affect either males only or both sexes. For diseases of late onset, when parental genotypes are often unavailable, the X-linkage C-TDT may allow for more power than is provided by the X-linkage TDT alone.     

Robust transmission/disequilibrium test for incomplete family genotypes

Several solutions have been proposed to extend the transmission disequilibrium test (TDT) to include cases with missing parental genotype. However, completion of the missing parental genotype may bias the test if the underlying missing data mechanism is informative. Furthermore, all these solutions resolve the problem of missing parental genotype, while offspring with missing genotypes are typically ignored. We propose here an extension to the TDT, called robust TDT (rTDT), able to handle incomplete genotypes on both parents and children and that does not rest on any assumption about the missing data mechanism. rTDT returns minimum and maximum values of TDT that are consistent with all the possible completions of the missing data. We also show that, in some situations, rTDT can achieve both greater power and greater significance than the popular TDT analysis of incomplete data. rTDT is applied to a database of markers of susceptibility to Crohn's disease and it shows that only 2 of the 11 markers originally associated with the phenotype do not depend on assumptions about the missing data mechanism.     

Methods for estimating the parameters of a linear model for ordered categorical data.

In many empirical analyses, the response of interest is categorical with an ordinal scale attached. Many investigators prefer to formulate a linear model, assigning scores to each category of the ordinal response and treating it as continuous. When the covariates are categorical, Haber (1985, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 3, 1-10) has developed a method to obtain maximum likelihood (ML) estimates of the parameters of the linear model using Lagrange multipliers. However, when the covariates are continuous, the only method we found in the literature is ordinary least squares (OLS), performed under the assumption of homogeneous variance. The OLS estimates are unbiased and consistent but, since variance homogeneity is violated, the OLS estimates of variance can be biased and may not be consistent. We discuss a variance estimate (White, 1980, Econometrica 48, 817-838) that is consistent for the true variance of the OLS parameter estimates. The possible bias encountered by using the naive OLS variance estimate is discussed. An estimated generalized least squares (EGLS) estimator is proposed and its efficiency relative to OLS is discussed. Finally, an empirical comparison of OLS, EGLS, and ML estimators is made.     

A sibship test for linkage in the presence of association: the sib transmission/disequilibrium test.

Linkage analysis with genetic markers has been successful in the localization of genes for many monogenic human diseases. In studies of complex diseases, however, tests that rely on linkage disequilibrium (the simultaneous presence of linkage and association) are often more powerful than those that rely on linkage alone. This advantage is illustrated by the transmission/disequilibrium test (TDT). The TDT requires data (marker genotypes) for affected individuals and their parents; for some diseases, however, data from parents may be difficult or impossible to obtain. In this article, we describe a method, called the "sib TDT" (or "S-TDT"), that overcomes this problem by use of marker data from unaffected sibs instead of from parents, thus allowing application of the principle of the TDT to sibships without parental data. In a single collection of families, there might be some that can be analyzed only by the TDT and others that are suitable for analysis by the S-TDT. We show how all the data may be used jointly in one overall TDT-type procedure that tests for linkage in the presence of association. These extensions of the TDT will be valuable for the study of diseases of late onset, such as non-insulin-dependent diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and other diseases associated with aging.