Determinants of soil organic carbon sequestration and its contribution to ecosystem carbon sinks of planted forests

The area of forest established through afforestation/reforestation has been increasing on a global scale, which is particularly important as these planted forests attenuate climate change by sequestering carbon. However, the determinants of soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration and their contribution to the ecosystem carbon sink of planted forests remain uncertain. By using globally distributed data extracted from 154 peer‐reviewed publications and a total of 355 sampling points, we investigated above‐ground biomass carbon (ABC) sequestration and SOC sequestration across three different climatic zones (tropical, warm temperate, and cold temperate) through correlation analysis, regression models, and structural equation modeling (SEM). We found that the proportion of SOC sequestration in the ecosystem C sequestration averaged 14.1% globally, being the highest (27.0%) in the warm temperate and the lowest (10.7%) in the tropical climatic zones. The proportion was mainly affected by latitude. The sink rate of ABC (R_ABC) in tropical climates (2.48 Mg C ha^?1 year^?1) and the sink rate of SOC (R_SOC) in warm temperate climates (0.96 Mg C ha^?1 year^?1) were higher than other climatic zones. The main determinants of R_SOC were the number of frost‐free days, latitude, mean annual precipitation (MAP), and SOC density (SOCD) at the initial observation; however, these variables depended on the climatic zone. According to the SEM, frost‐free period, mean annual temperature (MAT) and MAP are the dominant driving factors affecting R_SOC in Chinese plantations. MAT has a positive effect on R_SOC, and global warming may increase R_SOC of temperate plantations in China. Our findings highlight the determinants of SOC sequestration and quantitatively reveal the substantial global contribution of SOC sequestration to ecosystem carbon sink provided by planted forests. Our results help managers identify and control key factors to increase carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems.     

中国县域碳汇时空格局及影响因素

以全国1300个县级行政单位作为研究对象,利用全国县域尺度土地利用数据和社会经济数据,核算了1990—2015年间中国县域碳汇总量,并结合标准差椭圆、空间自相关、冷热点分析和地理加权回归分析方法,探析中国县域碳汇的时空分异特征及影响因素,旨在为优化国土空间开发格局,实施差异化减排路径及推动生态文明建设提供参考。研究表明:(1)时空变化上,1990—2015年中国碳汇总量呈波动下降趋势,由13307.79×10⁴t下降至13198.27×10⁴t;林地为主要碳汇类型,其余碳汇类型比例结构基本不变;在空间分布上,中国县域碳汇呈现"西部>东北>南部>中部"的"西高东低"格局。(2)在空间分异和聚集上,碳汇空间分布中心向西南移动,分布范围呈收缩态势,西南地区对整体碳汇空间格局影响作用加强;1990—2015年中国县域碳汇总量的冷热点集聚程度呈现波动稳定特征,空间集聚程度呈现高值与低值聚集,高-低区域零星分布的特征。(3)从影响因素分析来看,2015年经济发展、产业结构、土地利用程度对碳汇产生影响并存在空间异质性。建议通过合理规划县域...     

碳中和目标下中国森林固碳量跨期分配及成本

我国实现碳中和路线图的“碳排放达峰”、“快速降低碳排放”、“深度脱碳实现碳中和”3阶段具有复杂且差异的减排形势。森林固碳作为我国实现碳中和目标的重要手段,其跨期分配是平衡产业减排与森林固碳关系、降低我国实现碳中和的成本代价、以最优成本分步实现碳中和目标的重要途径。本研究从成本优化分配理论出发,引入森林边际固碳成本理论,结合国内现有产业边际减排理论,对我国实现碳中和3个阶段的成本变化过程进行模拟。结果表明: 我国在“碳排放达峰”、“快速降低碳排放”、“深度脱碳实现碳中和”3个阶段,实现成本最优的森林年固碳量分别为0.20、7.75、19.82亿t,分别占当期总减排量的1.8%、17.5%、37.6%。相较于仅依赖产业减排,在成本最优设计下发挥森林固碳成本优势,使得碳中和3个阶段的总成本分别降低0.48、791.36、9092.53亿美元。在“碳排放达峰”阶段,森林固碳的成本优势十分有限,应当主要依靠产业减排;在“快速降低碳排放”阶段,森林固碳的成本优势逐渐凸显;在“深度脱碳实现碳中和”阶段,应当充分发挥森林固碳的成本优势实现“零碳”目标,否则将会面临十分高昂的成本代价,尤其对于脱碳成本十分高昂或永远无法完全脱碳的产业。最优成本设计下森林固碳可以节约9884.37亿美元的碳中和成本。     

中国省域旅游业碳中和时空分异与模拟

旅游业碳中和的实现对于旅游业的绿色高质量发展和可持续发展至关重要。基于全国尺度以30个省份为分析单元,在承接团队前期关于旅游业碳达峰研究成果的基础上,借助土地利用数据、碳吸收系数和灰色预测模型分别测算与模拟了近20年和未来40年各省旅游业碳汇,通过旅游业碳中和指数反映旅游业碳排放和旅游业碳汇之间的动态变化,并利用空间自相关探索旅游业碳中和指数的时空差异。结果表明：（1）未来40年,我国省域旅游业碳汇总体呈现出"南北高,中间低"的空间分布特征,大多数省份的旅游业碳汇不断增长。东北部地区和长江流域以南各地区的旅游业碳汇较为富余,华东地区的山东、江苏和上海等省份的旅游业碳汇则相对匮乏。（2）不同情景中,低碳情景下的旅游业碳中和实现情况最好,有云南、四川和青海等7个省份在2060年之前实现了旅游业碳中和,而中等情景和基准情景下均仅有黑龙江和云南2个省份能够如期或提前实现。其中,西部和北部沿边省份的旅游业碳中和实现情况都要优于其它地区。（3）各省旅游业碳中和指数在未来40年的等级分区大致呈现出从Ⅰ级区逐步向Ⅴ级区转变的趋势,我国总体旅游业碳赤字率由2030年的96.67%逐渐降至2060年的76.67%。（4）未来40年,我国省域旅游业碳中和指数在空间上总体处于集聚态势,热点和冷点的空间分布特征较为明显,且演化趋势较为稳定。其中,热点区和次热点区主要分布在西北、西南、华南和东北地区,冷点区和次冷点区集中分布在华北、华中和华东地区。研究有效探讨了旅游业碳中和研究的理论与范式,并为中国旅游业碳中和的实现提供了一定的现实参考。     

世界自然遗产地陆生藻类物种多样性比较研究

藻类是真核生物进化、植物起源与进化、生物地理学研究的良好材料,研究藻类物种多样性对理解生命起源与早期进化,探明地球地质地貌演化有着非常重要的意义。以两世界自然遗产地施秉云台山白云岩喀斯特、赤水丹霞的陆生藻类为研究对象,通过G-F多样性指数、Jaccard相似性系数、Bray-Curtis矩阵比较分析了不同地质地貌的两世界自然遗产地陆生藻类的物种多样性及种组特征,结果如下：（1）两地陆生藻类丰富,均以蓝藻为优势,共有优势科为色球藻科Chroococcaceae、颤藻科Oscillatoriaceae,施秉云台山还具伪枝藻科Scytonemataceae、念珠藻科Nostocaceae优势,优势属为粘球藻属Gloeocapsa、色球藻属Chroococcus,赤水丹霞仅以粘球藻属Gloeocapsa为优势。（2）施秉云台山G-F多样性指数高于赤水丹霞。（3）两地陆生藻类泛热带成分明显,施秉云台山中国特有成分较赤水丹霞丰富;两地科、属、种相似性系数依次为：56.25%、44.05%、37.62%,科的相似性达到中度水平,与同纬度范围其它地区的Bray-Curtis矩阵聚类结果显示不同地质地貌的两地首先聚为一类。从陆生藻类多样性组成上,初步反映两世界自然遗产地的地质历史、地层岩性及地理位置的异同。     

中国陆地生态系统碳源/汇整合分析

国家尺度陆地生态系统碳收支及其循环过程的研究对于提升地球系统科学与全球变化科学的科技创新能力、提高我国参与应对全球气候变化国际行动和维护国家利益的话语权、保障国家生态安全和改进生态系统管理都具有重要意义。近年来,我国已经在气候变化与陆地生态系统碳循环领域开展了大量的研究工作,主要包括国家清查、生态系统模型模拟、大气反演等手段。然而,由于大尺度陆地生态系统碳源/汇的估算存在很大的不确定性,目前尚未形成国家尺度的陆地生态系统碳源/汇的整合分析。通过搜集已发表的关于中国陆地生态系统及其组分碳源/汇的59篇文献,整合国家清查、生态系统模型模拟、大气反演3种研究手段,分析中国陆地生态系统碳源/汇大小以及时间尺度上的动态变化。结果表明,在1960s-2010s期间中国陆地生态系统碳汇整体呈上升趋势,平均为（0.213±0.030）Pg C/a,其中森林、草地、农田和灌木生态系统碳汇分别为（0.101±0.023）Pg C/a、（0.032±0.007）Pg C/a、（0.043±0.010）Pg C/a和（0.028±0.010）Pg C/a。森林生态系统中的植被碳汇远大于土壤碳汇,然而这种格局在草地和农田生态系统却相反,而且1960s-2010s期间中国主要植被类型的生态系统碳汇总体上随时间呈增加趋势。融合多源数据（地面观测、激光雷达、卫星遥感等）、多尺度数据（样地尺度、站点尺度、区域尺度）以及多手段数据（联网观测、森林清查、模型模拟）,有助于全面准确地评估中国陆地生态系统碳源/汇及其对气候变化的响应。     

A contribution to the world selenium map

Atomic absorption spectrophotometric method was used to determine the serum selenium levels of 86 healthy individuals. Variations in age, sex, and geographically different urban regions of Yugoslavia were investigated. A group of 63 healthy children, ages 8–15 yr, were examined. Mean±standard deviation of the serum selenium concentration was 57±9 μg/L; age and geographic area had no effect on the Se status of children, but the difference between boys and girls was significant (P<0.05). A group of 23 men from Zagreb, ages 22–37 yr, were examined. The group was divided into three age subgroups and no difference was found among these groups. The mean Se concentration was 69±18 μg/L, and a statistically significant difference was found only between the group of adults and the group of children (P<0.05).     

陆地生态系统碳汇评估方法研究进展

“碳中和”是我国作出的一项重大的国家战略决策,陆地生态系统碳汇作为碳增汇的重要组成部分,在碳中和目标实现的过程中发挥着重要的作用。但当前基于不同观测数据和方法的陆地碳汇计算仍有很大的不确定性,为了全面了解陆地生态系统碳汇分布特征,提高陆地生态系统碳汇评估的准确性,梳理了近年来关于陆地生态系统碳汇评估的国内外研究进展,从“自下而上”和“自上而下”两类途径阐述了陆地生态系统碳汇评估的主要方法(样地清查法、涡度相关法、模型模拟法和碳同化反演法)的主要原理和特征,优势和缺陷,及在不同尺度碳汇研究中的应用,并从土地利用/覆盖变化、气候因素(大气CO₂浓度、氮沉降)、环境因素(太阳辐射、温度、降水)等因素阐述了陆地系统碳汇主要驱动因子;分析了我国陆地生态系统碳汇的主要特征及时空变化趋势,并从人类活动(生态工程)和环境因素阐述了中国陆地生态系统碳汇的驱动因素;最后,展望了新的监测手段和评估方法在提升陆地生态系统碳汇评估精度中的作用,从而更好的服务于我国“碳中和”的长远目标。     

服务双碳目标的中国人工林生态系统碳增汇途径

中国在相对较低的经济发展水平条件下提出了"碳达峰、碳中和"目标,在全球气候治理中起着关键作用。中国是全球人工林面积最多的国家,中国森林生态系统碳储量增加的主要贡献者是人工林,是中国陆地碳汇的主要来源,具有较高的碳汇增长潜力,加强人工林碳增汇方案研究对中国实现"碳达峰、碳中和"目标具有非常重要的作用。研究梳理了中国人工林生态系统碳汇能力提升的主要因子和环节,分别从增加碳汇强度型增汇、保护修复型增汇、减少碳排放型增汇、技术提高型增汇和市场引领型增汇5个方面提出了12条人工林碳增汇途径,以期为中国实现"碳达峰、碳中和"目标作出更大贡献。     

植物源VOCs及其对陆地生态系统碳循环的贡献

综述了近20a来国内外关于植物源VOCs的研究进展。分析了植物源VOCs主要组成成分、生理-生态基础,以及影响植物VOCs释放速率的主要因素。重点探讨了植物源VOCs对陆地生态系统碳循环的潜在重要性,提出一些值得关注的问题。     

Terrestrial ecosystems and the carbon cycle

The terrestrial biosphere plays an important role in the global carbon cycle. In the 1994 Intergovernmental Panel Assessment on Climate Change (IPCC), an effort was made to improve the quantification of terrestrial exchanges and potential feedbacks from climate, changing CO₂, and other factors; this paper presents the key results from that assessment, together with expanded discussion. The carbon cycle is the fluxes of carbon among four main reservoirs: fossil carbon, the atmosphere, the oceans, and the terrestrial biosphere. Emissions of fossil carbon during the 1980s averaged 5.5 Gt y^?1. During the same period, the atmosphere gained 3.2 Gt C y^?1 and the oceans are believed to have absorbed 2.0 Gt C y^?1. The regrowing forests of the Northern Hemisphere may have absorbed 0.5 Gt C y^?1 during this period. Meanwhile, tropical deforestation is thought to have released an average 1.6 Gt C y^?1 over the 1980s. While the fluxes among the four pools should balance, the average 198Ds values lead to a ‘missing sink’ of 1.4 Gt C y^?1 Several processes, including forest regrowth, CO₂ fertilization of plant growth (c. 1.0 Gt C y^?1), N deposition (c. 0.6 Gt C y^?1), and their interactions, may account for the budget imbalance. However, it remains difficult to quantify the influences of these separate but interactive processes. Uncertainties in the individual numbers are large, and are themselves poorly quantified. This paper presents detail beyond the IPCC assessment on procedures used to approximate the flux uncertainties. Lack of knowledge about positive and negative feedbacks from the biosphere is a major limiting factor to credible simulations of future atmospheric CO₂ concentrations. Analyses of the atmospheric gradients of CO₂ and ¹³ CO₂ concentrations provide increasingly strong evidence for terrestrial sinks, potentially distributed between Northern Hemisphere and tropical regions, but conclusive detection in direct biomass and soil measurements remains elusive. Current regional-to-global terrestrial ecosystem models with coupled carbon and nitrogen cycles represent the effects of CO₂ fertilization differently, but all suggest longterm responses to CO₂ that are substantially smaller than potential leaf- or laboratory whole plant-level responses. Analyses of emissions and biogeochemical fluxes consistent with eventual stabilization of atmospheric CO₂ concentrations are sensitive to the way in which biospheric feedbacks are modeled by c. 15%. Decisions about land use can have effects of 100s of Gt C over the next few centuries, with similarly significant effects on the atmosphere. Critical areas for future research are continued measurements and analyses of atmospheric data (CO₂ and ¹³CO₂) to serve as large-scale constraints, process studies of the scaling from the photosynthetic response to CO₂ to whole-ecosystem carbon storage, and rigorous quantification of the effects of changing land use on carbon storage.     

Terrestrial carbon balance in a drier world: the effects of water availability in southwestern North America

Global modeling efforts indicate semiarid regions dominate the increasing trend and interannual variation of net CO₂ exchange with the atmosphere, mainly driven by water availability. Many semiarid regions are expected to undergo climatic drying, but the impacts on net CO₂ exchange are poorly understood due to limited semiarid flux observations. Here we evaluated 121 site‐years of annual eddy covariance measurements of net and gross CO₂ exchange (photosynthesis and respiration), precipitation, and evapotranspiration (ET) in 21 semiarid North American ecosystems with an observed range of 100 – 1000 mm in annual precipitation and records of 4–9 years each. In addition to evaluating spatial relationships among CO₂ and water fluxes across sites, we separately quantified site‐level temporal relationships, representing sensitivity to interannual variation. Across the climatic and ecological gradient, photosynthesis showed a saturating spatial relationship to precipitation, whereas the photosynthesis–ET relationship was linear, suggesting ET was a better proxy for water available to drive CO₂ exchanges after hydrologic losses. Both photosynthesis and respiration showed similar site‐level sensitivity to interannual changes in ET among the 21 ecosystems. Furthermore, these temporal relationships were not different from the spatial relationships of long‐term mean CO₂ exchanges with climatic ET. Consequently, a hypothetical 100‐mm change in ET, whether short term or long term, was predicted to alter net ecosystem production (NEP) by 64 gCm^?2 yr^?1. Most of the unexplained NEP variability was related to persistent, site‐specific function, suggesting prioritization of research on slow‐changing controls. Common temporal and spatial sensitivity to water availability increases our confidence that site‐level responses to interannual weather can be extrapolated for prediction of CO₂ exchanges over decadal and longer timescales relevant to societal response to climate change.     

碳中和视角下秸秆处置方式对碳源汇的贡献

探明农作物秸秆在不同处置方式下的碳源汇时空变化特征,对优化我国秸秆资源利用政策、实现碳减排最大化、实现碳中和目标具有重要意义。本研究以国家统计年鉴数据为基础,对我国31个省农作物秸秆不同处置下的碳排放、碳减排、碳增汇及其价值量的变化趋势进行研究。结果表明: 2008—2019年间,我国秸秆焚烧年均碳排放量为874万t CO₂e,2014年以来碳排放年均减少率为17.3%;能源化利用年均碳减排量为3982万t CO₂e,其中,秸秆生产固体成型燃料碳减排贡献最大,约占能源化碳减排总量的98%;秸秆还田碳汇量总体呈逐年上升趋势,年均碳汇量为2.71亿t CO₂e;我国秸秆处置存在碳生态盈余,净碳减排量年均增长率为9.8%,净碳减排强度及其价值量均呈增长趋势,2019年分别高达2.62 t·hm^-2和76.19元·hm^-2。我国秸秆年均碳排放、能源碳减排、秸秆还田碳汇以及净碳减排大致呈“东高西低”的空间分布规律,且地区差异及空间聚集性是三者的最主要外部特征。     

Factors regulating carbon sinks in mangrove ecosystems

Mangroves are recognized as one of the richest carbon storage systems. However, the factors regulating carbon sinks in mangrove ecosystems are still unclear, particularly in the subtropical mangroves. The biomass, production, litterfall, detrital export and decomposition of the dominant mangrove vegetation in subtropical (Kandelia obovata) and tropical (Avicennia marina) Taiwan were quantified from October 2011 to July 2014 to construct the carbon budgets. Despite the different tree species, a principal component analysis revealed the site or environmental conditions had a greater influence than the tree species on the carbon processes. For both species, the net production (NP) rates ranged from 10.86 to 27.64 Mg C ha^?1 year^?1 and were higher than the global average rate due to the high tree density. While most of the litterfall remained on the ground, a high percentage (72%–91%) of the ground litter decomposed within 1 year and fluxed out of the mangroves. However, human activities might cause a carbon flux into the mangroves and a lower NP rate. The rates of the organic carbon export and soil heterotrophic respiration were greater than the global mean values and those at other locations. Only a small percentage (3%–12%) of the NP was stored in the sediment. The carbon burial rates were much lower than the global average rate due to their faster decomposition, indicating that decomposition played a critical role in determining the burial rate in the sediment. The summation of the organic and inorganic carbon fluxes and soil heterotrophic respiration well exceeded the amount of litter decomposition, indicating an additional source of organic carbon that was unaccounted for by decomposition in the sediment. Sediment‐stable isotope analyses further suggest that the trapping of organic matter from upstream rivers or adjacent waters contributed more to the mangrove carbon sinks than the actual production of the mangrove trees.