LIFE OF THE CROWNED HORNBILL. Lophoceros suehelicus australis. Territorialism,Family Life and Breeding

Duffy, D. C. 1987. Ecological implications of intercolony size-Variation in Jackass Penguins. Ostrich 58: 54–57.

The culmen length of courting adult male Jackass Penguins Spheniscus demersus varied between colonies, with the largest culmens in southern Namibia and east of Cape Point, South Africa. Taxonomic distance, a single measure combining several morphological characters, was significantly and positively correlated with geographic distance between colonies.

Population changes between 1956 and 1978 were not significantly correlated with male mandible or flipper length, suggesting that adult size cannot be used as an index of population changes at individual colonies. Possible dispersal may complicate attempts to use changes at individual colonies as indices of changes in fish stocks of surrounding waters.     

ESTABLISHMENT,GROWTH AND CONSERVATION OF A MAINLAND COLONY OF JACKASS PENGUINS SPHENISCUS DEMERSUS AT STONY POINT,BETTY'S BAY,SOUTH AFRICA

Whittington, P.A., Hofmeyr, J.H. & Cooper, J. 1996. Establishment, growth and conservation of a mainland colony of Jackass Penguins Spheniscus demersus at Stony Point, Betty's Bay, South Africa. Ostrich 67: 144–150.

Following the discovery of a single pair of Jackass Penguins Spheniscus demersus nesting on the mainland at Stony Point, Western Cape Province, South Africa (34 22S 18 53E) in 1982, a colony developed and has since been regularly monitored. Numbers of nests increased to 35 in 1986, until a leopard Panthera pardus severely reduced the size of the colony. Numbers subsequently rose again to a total of 139 nests in 1990, but fell to 57 in 1993. This decrease was probably due to predation by mammals. Following the use of a trap and translocation of the animals caught, the colony increased again in 1995 and 1996. Productivity of the colony was insufficient for it to be self-sustaining, and it therefore presently represents a population sink.     

Seasonality in diet and breeding success of the Jackass PenguinSpheniscus demersus

Summary Jackass Penguins breed throughout the year but show seasonal preferences. I examined the hypothesis that most birds breed at a time when reproductive potential is most fully realised. By using the numbers of Jackass Penguins returning to the island per 24 hour period as an index of the number of birds breeding, I found that most penguins on the island bred when chick growth was maximal and chick mortality was minimal. The diet of Jackass Penguins was determined by stomach pumping 556 birds. More than 95% of their diet, by weight, consisted of pelagic schooling fish. The local abundance of these fish seemed to determine the breeding success of the Jackass Penguin.

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Jahreszeitliche Unterschiede in Nahrung und Bruterfolg des BrillenpinguinsSpheniscus demersus

Zusammenfassung Brillenpinguine brüten zwar das ganze Jahr hindurch, zeigen aber jahreszeitliche Präferenzen. Ich prüfte die Hypothese, daß die meisten Vögel zu der Zeit nisten, wenn der höchste Bruterfolg realisiert werden kann. Die Anzahl pro 24-h-Perioden auf die Insel rückkehrender Pinguine wurde als Index für den Brutbestand betrachtet. Tatsächlich brüteten am meisten Vögel dann, als Wachstum maximal und Kükensterblichkeit minimal waren. Die Nahrung wurde durch Magenspülungen bei 556 Individuen ermittelt. Pelagische Schwarmfische machten mehr als 95 Gewichtsprozente aus. Anscheinend bestimmte die lokale Häufigkeit dieser Fische den Bruterfolg.

     

Finding your mate in a seabird colony: contrasting strategies of the Guillemot Uria aalge and King Penguin Aptenodytes patagonicus

Capsule King Penguins recognize their mates by voice, but Guillemots do not need acoustic cues even though their calls show individual variation.

Aims To determine whether the structure of Guillemot calls could allow individual recognition, as with King Penguin, and whether acoustic cues are used to locate mates among a dense mass of conspecifics at a colony.

Methods Observations were made on breeding Guillemots and King Penguins. Calls made by birds returning to their mates were recorded, the signals digitized and the calls analysed. Calls were later played back to the mates of the birds concerned and the effects noted on both them and their neighbours.

Results Both Guillemots and King Penguins emitted calls on return to the breeding site which contained individual signatures and were therefore potentially usable for mate recognition. In King Penguins, auditory recognition was essential for finding a mate, whereas in Guillemots most of the arriving birds located their mate in a dense crowd of conspecifics without the help of acoustic signals. Guillemots could differentiate neighbours from strangers without auditory cues.

Conclusion Calls are essential for the successful identification of mates by King Penguins but not by Guillemots.     

ESTIMATING POPULATION SIZE IN ASYNCHRONOUS AGGREGATIONS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH AND TEST WITH ELEPHANT SEAL CENSUSES

Many organisms reproduce in temporary aggregations where estimates of colony size can be made by direct counts. When individuals are not synchronous, however, early breeders depart before the last arrive, so counts underestimate the total breeding population. We present a model describing a colony's census as a function of arrival, breeding tenure, and the correlation between them, and we use it to illustrate how variance in arrival and tenure affect the census. Counts of breeding female northern elephant seals ( Mirounga angustirostris ) from 1975 to 2007 were used to test the model. Four of the model's parameters—population size, mean and variance of arrival date, and the correlation between arrival date and breeding tenure—could be estimated from census data using a Bayesian approach; prior estimates of two other parameters—mean tenure and its variance—had to be used to avoid overparameterization. The model's predictions fit observed censuses well and produced reliable estimates of population size and arrival behavior, showing that the maximum census was 8%–16% below the total number of breeding females. This method could be used for estimating abundance in any asynchronous aggregation, given independent information on one of the defining distributions: arrival, tenure, or departure.     

When and where to count? Implications of migratory connectivity and nonbreeding distribution to population censuses in a migratory bird population

Migratory connectivity is a metric of the co-occurrence of migratory animals originating from different breeding sites, and like their spatial dispersion, can vary substantially during the annual cycle. Together, both these properties affect the optimal times and sites of population censusing. We tracked taiga bean geese (Anser fabalis fabalis) during 2014–2021 to study their migratory connectivity and nonbreeding movements and determine optimal periods to assess the size of their main flyway population. We also compared available census data with tracking data, to examine how well two existing censuses covered the population. Daily Mantel's correlation between breeding and nonbreeding sites lay between 0 and 0.5 during most of the nonbreeding season, implying birds from different breeding areas were not strongly separated at other times in the annual cycle. However, the connectivity was higher among birds from the westernmost breeding areas compared to the birds breeding elsewhere. Daily Minimum Convex Polygons showed tracked birds were highly aggregated at census times, confirming their utility. The number of tracked birds absent at count sites during the censuses however exceeded numbers double-counted at several sites, indicating that censuses might have underestimated the true population size. Our results show that connectivity can vary in different times during the nonbreeding period, and should be studied throughout the annual cycle. Our results also confirm previous studies, which have found that estimates using marked individuals usually produce higher population size estimates than total counts. This should be considered when using total counts to assess population sizes in the future.     

5. Memorandum on Bird Protection

Randall, R. M. &; Randall, B. M. 1980. Status and distribution of the Roseate Tern in South Africa. Ostrich 51:14-20.

The Roseate Tern Sterna dougallii population in Algoa Bay is the largest, and now possibly the only breeding population in southern Africa. The two mainland breeding sites at Cape Recife and Kommetjie have been deserted, and in recent years the last remaining breeding site outside Algoa Bay may have been abandoned. Consequently the present estimate of between 70 and 80 breeding pairs in Algoa Bay may represent the entire southern African population. The decline in numbers from hundreds in 1937 is ascribed to human interference. Although the species is rare and endangered in southern Africa, it has a world wide distribution and is in no immediate danger of extinction.     

PREY OF NORTHERN ROCKHOPPER PENGUINS AT GOUGH ISLAND,SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN

Klages, N. T., Brooke, M. de L. & Watkins, B. P. 1988. Prey of Northern Rockhopper Penguins at Gough Island, south Atlantic Ocean. Ostrich 59:162-165.

The diet of Northern Rockhopper Penguins Eudyptes chrysocome moseleyi breeding on Gough Island, south Atlantic Ocean was studied, during November 1984, 1985 and 1986 by stomach content analysis. Rockhopper Penguins fed chiefly on the euphausiids Thysanoessa gregaria, Euphausia lucens and E. similis. Fish and squid were of minor importance by mass but constituted the largest individual prey items.     

Commonness of not-so-common birds: the need for baseline knowledge of actual population size for the validation of population size predictions

Capsule The hypothesized regional population size of a common species in Spain was found to be unreliable when compared with a complete and simultaneous single-species direct census.

Aims To provide a regional census of Eurasian Jackdaws Corvus monedula as an example to highlight the crucial importance of baseline knowledge of actual population size of common species for validation and calibration of population size predictions derived from extrapolation.

Methods Population size was measured by means of simultaneous counts of winter communal roosts after determining the best census date and other relevant information on flock routines, foraging areas and potential sources of count variability.

Results A large discrepancy between hypothesized (～330?000 individuals) and directly censused population size (～15?000 individuals) was recorded.

Conclusion Programmes aimed at establishing population size of wildlife by statistical inference should attempt to explicitly test their predictions by comparison with directly censused population sizes of particular species in control areas.     

Breeding populations of Little Ringed Plover Charadrius dubius and Ringed Plover Charadrius hiaticula in the United Kingdom in 2007

Capsule: The 2007 national survey of the UK breeding population of Little Ringed Plovers shows a further spread into Scotland and Wales since the previous survey in 1984. In contrast, there has been a significant decrease in the Ringed Plover breeding population.

Aims: To provide new breeding population estimates in the UK and Great Britain for Little Ringed Plover Charadrius dubius and Ringed Plover Charadrius hiaticula in 2007 and investigate changes in breeding distribution and habitat use since 1984.

Methods: Breeding population estimates were made by combining counts of pairs from ‘key sites’ (2?×?2?km tetrads known to be occupied in/since 1984) and estimates of the numbers of pairs away from these sites based on stratified sampling. Survey periods for Little Ringed Plover: 15 April to 15 July, three visits; Ringed Plover: 15 April to 30 June, two visits.

Results: Population estimates, for 2007, of 1239 (95% confidence intervals: 1175–1311) pairs of Little Ringed Plover and 5291 (5106–5478) pairs of Ringed Plovers were calculated for Great Britain, with 5438 (5257–5622) pairs of Ringed Plover estimated in the UK. Counts of Ringed Plover at inland and coastal sites, covered in both 1984 and 2007, decreased by 83% and 53%, respectively. The Little Ringed Plover population has expanded in range northward and westward since 1984. Main habitats used in 2007 by Little Ringed Plover were inland gravel and sand (25.9%) and river shingle (17.8%); and, for Ringed Plover, coastal shingle and sand (38.5% and 13.7%, respectively) and machair plus associated habitats (23.8%) in the Outer Hebrides.

Conclusions: Between 1984 and 2007, the Little Ringed Plover breeding population in the UK increased considerably, expanding northward and westward, with increased use of river shingle habitats. During the same period Ringed Plover breeding numbers in the UK declined considerably in both coast and inland habitats, likely to be due to human disturbance and habitat change, respectively.     

THE BREEDING STATUS OF THE CAPE VULTURE IN THE TRANSVAAL DURING 1980—1985

Benson, P. C., Tarboton, W. R., Allan, D. G. & Dobbs, J. C. 1990. The breeding status of the Cape Vulture in the Transvaal during 1980–1985. Ostrich 61: 134–142.

Ten of the 11 extant Cape Vulture Gyps coprotheres colonies in the Transvaal were censused using aerial and/or ground census techniques in the 1980–1985 breeding seasons. Minimum counts were obtained and best estimates of total numbers of “active nests” were determined using correction factors to compensate for incomplete photocoverage in the aerial technique and nest failures prior to the census dates. In 1985, the year when the most complete data were available, a minimum of 2741 and a best estimate of 2987 active nests were determined to be present in the Transvaal. At the large colonies, which were intensively monitored, breeding numbers did not fluctuate greatly from year to year, and it is thus estimated that about 3000 pairs of birds bred yearly in the Transvaal during the study period. Although the data indicate that the total numbers are greater than previously thought this is due to improved census techniques, rather than an increase in the population. Ninety-eight percent of breeding occurred at six colonies and 82% at three (Kransberg, Blouberg and Manutsa). The large colonies are associated with communal grazing (homelands) Private cattle and game farming and nature conservation areas, where the use of poison for predator control is minimal. The vulnerable status afforded the Cape Vulture in the South African Red Data Book—Birds (Brooke 1984) is justified because of the bird's disappearance from some breeding colonies, reduction in numbers at others and its vulnerability to poisoning.     

The breeding status of the Ring Ouzel Turdus torquatus in the UK in 1999

Capsule The first co-ordinated census of breeding Ring Ouzels across the UK reports a minimum of 6157 (95% CI, 3586–9372) and a maximum of 7549 (95% CI, 4459–11197) territories.

Aims To set a baseline for the future monitoring of breeding Ring Ouzels and to provide a systematically based estimate of the population size.

Methods A random sample of tetrads (2 × 2 km squares) was surveyed from the known breeding range (as defined from the two national breeding bird atlases of 1968–72 and 1988–91). The survey method used tape playback and observation and involved walking four parallel transects in each tetrad.

Results Tape playback accounted for one-third of the territories located. Of the tetrads surveyed that were known to be occupied during the 1988–91 breeding bird atlas, 39–43% were unoccupied in 1999.

Conclusion The survey highlights a continuing contraction in range.     

Population size,breeding performance and territory quality of Bonelli's Eagle Hieraaetus fasciatus in eastern Spain

Capsule A five-year monitoring study is described of overall population stability and differential reproductive success in relation to habitat heterogeneity.

Aims To assess the effect of the altitude and orientation on laying date and breeding performance, and analyse the effect of territory quality as a likely factor that could be regulating the population.

Methods We monitored a population of 28–33 pairs, from 2002 to 2006, counting a total of 131 breeding attempts.

Results Territories located at lower altitude showed higher mean fecundity than those located at higher altitude. The mean laying date was February 18 ± 16 days. Laying date was positively correlated with nest altitude, the coastal pairs laying earlier than those in mountainous regions. Pairs located at lower altitudes showed higher mean fecundity than those located at higher altitudes. There was no preference in mean orientation either in breeding performance or in relationship to nest altitude. We did not find a difference in breeding performance between territories classed as being at high density and those classed as being at low density.

Conclusion The population has remained stable since the first national census was conducted 17 years ago. Our results could be explained in the light of the Habitat Heterogeneity Hypothesis. We suggest a differential reproductive success in relation to habitat heterogeneity.     

Effects of re‐breeding rates on population size estimation of biennial breeders: results from a model based on albatrosses

Estimating total breeding populations (I) for species that exhibit biennial breeding is generally done from counts of individuals that breed in each year (N), but can be complicated by the fact that the proportion of individuals breeding varies from year to year. Partly, this reflects the proportion of individuals that re‐breed in successive years (re‐breeding rate, p), which is largely, although not exclusively, governed by reproductive failure. Here we show that variation in counts of breeding individuals not only reflects changes in total breeding population but can be sensitive to and powerfully driven by variation in p. A simulation of annual field counts of a bird exhibiting biennial breeding was constructed to explore the effect of re‐breeding attempts on estimations of the total breeding population. The model was used to simulate the consequences of adult mortality and different annual patterns of nesting failures on total breeding population estimates, and to explore the consequences of variation in p on N, when total breeding population remains constant. N is shown to be very sensitive to variations in p, so that even short‐term fluctuations in p can cause changes in N that oscillate for many years ahead. We compare our modelled results with real data for Grey‐headed Albatrosses Thalassarche chrysostoma and demonstrate that, when I is held constant in the model, actual counts may be simulated by variations in p only. Normally, I is unknown and is extrapolated from N on the assumption that N mirrors changes in the size of the total population. Consequently, applying average values of p can result in misleading estimates of total breeding population. We recommend that annual counts of breeding individuals are supplemented with annual estimates of p. Field protocols that aim to estimate annual breeding population size from counts of breeding individuals should be complemented by independent measures of rates of re‐breeding and nest failure.     

Long-term population declines in Danish trans-Saharan migrant birds

Capsule Long-distance migrant birds show less favourable trends than sedentary/short-distance species.

Aims To use breeding bird surveys to contrast population trends amongst common species according to their migration pattern.

Methods Changes in abundance of 62 Danish breeding sedentary, short-distance (Europe/North Africa) or long-distance (trans-Saharan) migrants were described by fitting log linear regression models to point-count census data gathered during 1976–2005.

Results Trans-Saharan migrants declined by 1.3% per annum during this period, while short-distance migrants and sedentary species increased by 1.4% and 1.0% per annum, respectively. There were no significant decadal declines amongst species using different summer breeding habitats, except for wetlands, and there was no consistent variation in trends associated with wintering regions or habitats or diet.

Conclusions More information is urgently needed on diet, feeding ecology, habitat requirements, winter distribution and intra-African movements of the commoner European summer visitors to identify causes of the declines and highlight when in the annual cycle detrimental effects occur. Studies linking individuals on their breeding, staging and wintering grounds are especially needed. Danish trends resemble those from elsewhere in Europe, confirming that restoration to favourable conservation status requires inter-continental action to meet European and global targets to reduce or halt biodiversity loss.     

Current status and recent trend of the Eurasian Woodcock Scolopax rusticola as a breeding bird in Britain

Capsule The breeding Woodcock population in Britain in 2013 was estimated at 55?241 males (95% CL: 41?806–69?004), suggesting a large-scale decline that is supported by 2 additional sources of data.

Aims To provide an updated estimate of the size of Britain's breeding Woodcock population, measure recent trends and identify spatial patterns of change.

Methods Displaying male Woodcock were surveyed at a stratified sample of 834 randomly selected sites. Population estimates were compared with a baseline survey conducted in 2003 and the trend with data from annual Woodcock counts (2003–13) and Bird Atlas 2007–11.

Results Woodcock were estimated to be present at 22% of 1?×?1?km squares containing ≥10?ha of woodland, compared to 35% in 2003. The British population estimate fell by 29% between 2003 and 2013. The Atlas suggests that presence at the 10?×?10?km scale has declined by 56% between 1970 and 2010. Both data sources suggest regional variation in the rate of decline, with losses greatest in the West and South.

Conclusion The Woodcock's population size and breeding range appear to be declining severely across Britain. Regional variation in the rate of decline might be explained by the distribution of large continuous woodlands.     

Nest and breeding population abundance of Least Terns: assessing bias and variation in survey timing and methods

Methods commonly used to estimate the number of nests and size of the breeding population at colonies of Least Terns (Sternula antillarum) and other waterbirds include walk‐through counts of nests (ground‐nest counts) and counts of incubating adults from the colony perimeter (incubating‐adult counts). The bias and variance of different methods and the comparability of repeated surveys versus once‐annual censuses are poorly understood. Our objectives were to assess (1) the potential bias and variation of the more rapid incubating‐adult counts compared to the time‐intensive, and presumably more accurate, ground‐nest counts, and (2) how accurately a once‐annual census captured peak nesting abundance. We studied nine Least Tern colonies at Cape Lookout National Seashore (CALO), North Carolina, from April to August 2010–2012. We analyzed observer and survey method agreement with concordance correlation coefficients (ρ_c). We deployed time‐lapse cameras at 156 nests and used repeated‐measures logistic regression to determine if the proportion of time spent incubating varied with colony, time of day, or time of season. We found substantial agreement in abundance estimates of Least Tern nests and incubating adults between observers and survey methods, and among different times of day and seasons (all comparisons ρ_c > 0.97). Least Terns incubated eggs 94% of the time on average during daylight hours, irrespective of colony, nesting stage, or month. Although the nesting peak at CALO occurred during the recommended census period for Least Terns, abundance estimates for surveys conducted at different times during that period varied by as much as 39%. We recommend conducting incubating‐adult counts to estimate nest and breeding population abundance of Least Terns or other waterbirds when vegetation or dunes do not obstruct views of nesting colonies. In addition, given the variation in abundance estimates for surveys conducted at different times during the recommended survey period, incubating‐adult counts should be performed at least twice during the census period, with the maximum count reported as peak nest abundance.     

The influence of survey frequency on population estimates of moorland breeding birds

Capsule A minimum of four constant‐effort‐search survey visits are required to generate reliable population estimates of breeding birds on moorland that are not subject to biases associated with varying levels of detectability through the season.

Aims To investigate the influence of the number and the combination of survey visits on the population estimates of breeding birds on moorland.

Methods Four constant‐effort‐search surveys (80–100 minutes per km² per visit) of moorland in southwest Scotland were undertaken in each of six years, 2003–2008. Using standard protocols, the numbers of apparent territories that would have been identified for each possible combination of survey visits were determined.glms were used to assess the influence of the frequency of survey visits, and different combination scenarios on the derived population estimates for Red Grouse, European Golden Plover, Common Snipe, Eurasian Curlew, Sky Lark, Winter Wren and Stonechat. Independent assessments of population density were made by transect sampling for Red Grouse and Sky Lark.

Results Robust population estimates were possible from three survey visits for European Golden Plover, Eurasian Curlew and Stonechat. However, there were differences between species in the seasonal variation of their detectability. Four survey visits would underestimate the populations of Red Grouse (probably by 67–91%), Sky Lark (probably by 31–61%) and Winter Wren (by an undetermined proportion). Common Snipe were also likely to be underestimated after four survey visits, but the value of the derived estimate as an index of population density deserves further investigation.

Conclusions If there is a need to carry out a multi‐species survey on moorland, we suggest that a minimum of four survey visits is required to ensure the derivation of reliable population estimates for a suite of the most readily detectable species. Population estimates derived from three or fewer survey visits risk biases through uneven sampling in periods of differing detectability. With evidence for changes in the breeding phenology of birds associated with changing climate or weather patterns, it arguably becomes more important to ensure that surveys sample an adequately broad period of the breeding season.     

Breeding status of the Red Kite Milvus milvus in Britain in 2000

Capsule The first co-ordinated Red Kite survey across Britain since the reintroduction programme began in 1989, yields 430 breeding pairs.

Aims To estimate the current size and extent of the British breeding population.

Methods A complete census of the populations in the East Midlands, Yorkshire, central and north Scotland was undertaken, while in Wales and the Chilterns, populations were surveyed using a stratified sample of tetrads. Breeding and territorial pairs were identified.

Results The survey indicated that there were 430 breeding pairs in Britain (95% CIs, 372–490). There were 259 breeding pairs in Wales (95% CIs, 200–318) and 109 (95% CIs, 96–124) in the Chilterns. Elsewhere, 16 breeding pairs were located in the East Midlands, three in Yorkshire, seven in central Scotland and 33 in north Scotland. An additional three pairs were recorded in southern England, away from the main population centres.

Conclusion The 2000 survey provides a baseline against which to measure future changes in Red Kite populations in Britain, using standard, repeatable methods.     

Status of breeding Dotterel Charadrius morinellus in Britain in 1999

Capsule A minimum of 220 male Dotterel nested in Britain in 1999, which after correction for missed birds led to an estimated 630 breeding males.

Aims To provide a reliable population estimate of Dotterel against which past and future estimates could be compared.

Methods Over half of the potential breeding habitat in Britain, selected randomly and to cover protected sites and former breeding sites for Dotterel, was surveyed through a single visit when Dotterel had young chicks.

Results After correcting for missed birds, 750 males were estimated to be breeding in Britain in 1999. An alternative method led to an estimated 510 males. Both methods had their drawbacks – 630 males probably represented the best estimate. Almost 93% of males bred in three regions: central, east and north Highlands. Around a third of surveyed sites were occupied by breeding birds. The national population estimate was significantly higher in 1987/88 but numbers were probably greatest in 1989 and declined in the 1990s. In 1999 Dotterel distribution had contracted to those sites with the highest densities in the late 1980s.

Conclusion It is unlikely that changes in numbers between surveys were due to changes in the British breeding grounds. They may be due to adverse influences away from the breeding grounds or, because Dotterels can move across large distances between breeding attempts, a redistribution of birds away from Scotland to breeding sites elsewhere in the Palearctic.