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1.
OBJECTIVE--To determine the characteristics of cyclists and vehicles involved in fatal cycling accidents. DESIGN--Analysis of data routinely collected by police for each accident from January 1985 to December 1992 and held in a national master file (Stats 19) by the Department of Transport. SETTING--Greater London, which comprises inner London (12 boroughs and the City of London) and outer London (20 boroughs). SUBJECTS--178 cyclists who died (78 in inner London and 100 in outer London; age range 3-88). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Associations between characteristics of cyclists, type of vehicle involved, and place of accident. RESULTS--Motor vehicles were involved in 173 deaths. Heavy goods vehicles were involved in 75 deaths (30/100 (30%) in outer London and 45/78 (58%) in inner London); cars in 74 (54/100) (54%) in outer London and 20/78 (26%) in inner London); light goods vehicles in 12/178 (7%); and buses in 6/178 (3%). Thirty five of the people who died were children aged < or = 16. Female cyclists were especially at risk from heavy goods vehicles in inner London (22 deaths), while male cyclists were especially at risk from cars in outer London (50 deaths). DISCUSSION--Cyclists who died in urban areas are more likely to be adults than children. In inner London, in relation to their traffic volume, heavy goods vehicles are estimated to cause 30 times as many cyclists'' deaths as cars and five times as many as buses. Until the factors leading to this excess risk are understood, a ban on heavy goods vehicles in urban areas should be considered.  相似文献   

2.
Over 20 years 42 of 138 patients with systemic lupus erythematosus "died"--that is, suffered actual death or went into terminal renal failure, or both; data from 41 were available for analysis. In most patients the causes of death were multiple. Twenty seven patients went into terminal renal failure, of whom 25 were offered dialysis treatment. Three regained renal function later, 12 survived on dialysis or with functioning kidney allografts--almost all with inactive lupus--but 13 died after starting dialysis, most within a few weeks or months. The principal causes were active lupus or infection. In those patients with renal failure after rapid deterioration in renal function (n = 14) there were nine deaths, while of 10 patients with a slow evolution into renal failure, only four died. Four patients with impaired and 10 with normal renal function died, again most often from complications of lupus or from infection. Vascular disease was a major cause of death in seven patients, all but two of whom were young; of 15 postmortem examinations, eight showed severe coronary artery atheroma, and three surviving patients required coronary bypass operations. Analysis of the timing of death or entry into renal failure showed that in 12 out of 13 patients who died within two years of onset the lupus was judged to be active, while this was true in only eight out of 19 patients who died later. Six of the seven vascular deaths occurred later than two years from onset, while only nine of 26 renal "deaths" occurred before two years; deaths from infections (n = 13) were distributed equally. Despite this and aggressive treatment of active disease, the principal cause of actual death was uncontrolled lupus.  相似文献   

3.
Of 109 patients admitted to the renal failure programme of the Royal Free Hospital 80·7% were surviving after six years. For patients on home dialysis the four-year rate was 86·2%, more deaths occurring in women than in men. The short-term survival rate of all patients was high—namely, 96·3% at six months and 94·4% at 12 months. Hence large increases in the rate of acceptance of patients as well as successful transplantation are necessary to balance acceptance and loss from this programme.  相似文献   

4.
Two hundred and twenty nine consecutive patients (129 men, mean age 45) were reviewed 12 to 65 months after starting treatment with continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) from January 1979 to December 1983. They received CAPD for a mean of 19.8 (range 0.5-62) months. Actuarial patient survival was 79% at 24 months and 72% at 36 months. Half of the 46 deaths were related to cardiovascular disease, while eight patients died of abdominal complications, including three patients with peritonitis. Peritonitis occurred at a rate of one episode per 35 patient weeks, and 88% of episodes were cleared by one or more courses of antibiotics. This still left peritonitis as the commonest cause of failure of CAPD, leading to a permanent change of treatment in 44 patients and temporary interruption in a further 25. CAPD remains a reasonable medium term treatment in chronic renal failure. Despite the persisting problem of peritonitis the results are comparable with those achieved by haemodialysis, and CAPD has become the treatment of first choice for end stage renal failure in Newcastle. In younger patients judged unsuitable for transplantation and facing long term dialysis, however, haemodialysis is preferred.  相似文献   

5.
Injuries are a growing public health concern in China, accounting for more than 30% of all Person Years of Life Lost (PYLL) due to premature mortality. This study analyzes the trend and disease burden of injury deaths in Chinese population from 2004 to 2010, using data from the National Disease Surveillance Points (DSPs) system, as injury deaths are classified based on the International Classification of Disease-10th Revision (ICD-10). We observed that injury death accounted for nearly 10% of all deaths in China throughout the period 2004–2010, and the injury mortality rates were higher in males than those in females, and higher in rural areas than in urban areas. Traffic crashes (33.79–38.47% of all injury deaths) and suicides (16.20–22.01%) were the two leading causes of injury deaths. Alarmingly, suicide surpassed traffic crashes as the leading cause of injury mortality in rural females, yet adults aged 65 and older suffered the greatest number of fatal falls (20,701 deaths, 2004–2010). The burden of injury among men (72.11%) was about three times more than that of women''s (28.89%). This study provides indispensible evidence that China Authority needs to improve the surveillance and deterrence of three major types of injuries: Traffic-related injury deaths should be targeted for injury prevention activities in all population, people aged 65+ should be encouraged to take individual fall precautions, and prevention of suicidal behavior in rural females should be another key priority for the government of China.  相似文献   

6.
A multi-centre controlled trial of steroid treatment of the nephrotic syndrome was carried out on 125 patients. Of these, 64 were controls and 61 received prednisone in a recommended dose range of 20-30 mg./24 hours. The actual initial dose averaged 29 mg./24 hours. Treatment was continued for a variable period, but not less than six months. More than 10 mg./24 hours was given on average for 12 months to all patients, and for longer periods to some. Patients were classified, on the basis of biopsy specimens, into three groups: A, minimal change; B, membranous nephropathy; and C, proliferative glomerulonephritis. In groups B and C prednisone did not have any strikingly favourable effect on proteinuria or on renal function as compared with the control group. In group A, however, prednisone reduced proteinuria to a striking and statistically significant extent. It had little if any effect on long-term renal function in any group. The death rate was higher in the combined prednisone groups (17/61) than in the control groups (12/64). This difference was not statistically significant, but there was a significantly higher number of deaths from cardiovascular disease in the prednisone group, whereas the numbers of deaths from renal failure were not significantly different in the two groups.  相似文献   

7.
In the absence of reliable systems for registering rare types of vital events large surveys are required to measure changes in their rates. However some events such as maternal deaths are widely known about in the community. This study examined the utility of asking respondents about events in their neighbourhood as an efficient method for measuring relative rates of rare health events such as maternal and infant deaths. A survey was conducted in the health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS) in Matlab, Bangladesh, which includes two areas with different health care regimes. Adult women were asked about any maternal deaths; multiple births; infant deaths, live births and some other events they knew of in a small specified area around their home. Agreement between HDSS records and survey responses was moderate or better (kappa≥0.44) for all the events and greatest for maternal deaths (kappa = 0.77) with 84% being reported. Most events were more likely to be reported if they were recent (p<0.05). Infant mortality rate in one area was 0.56 times that in the other which was well reflected by the ratio of survey results (0.53). Simulations were used to study the ability of the method to detect differences in maternal mortality ratio. These suggested that a sample size around 5000 would give 80% power to detect a 50% decrease from a baseline of 183 which compared well with an estimated sample size around 10 times larger using the direct sisterhood method. The findings suggest that the Neighbourhood Method has potential for monitoring relative differences between areas or changes over time in the rates of rare demographic events, requiring considerably smaller sample sizes than traditional methods. This raises the possibility for interventions to demonstrate real effects on outcomes such as maternal deaths where previously this was only feasible by indirect methods.  相似文献   

8.
Summary 363 samples of different tissues were taken for cultivation from 118 antepartum deaths, 85 intrapartum deaths and 112 newborn dying during the first days after delivery. Successful growth of culture was noticed in 48.2% (15.4%) of antepartum deaths; 71.8% of intrapartum deaths and 68.1% of newborn dying during the first days of life. Among the 22 antepartum deaths 3 (13.6%) infants were found to have anomalies of karyotype; among 61 intrapartum deaths 3 (4.9%) infants were found to have karyotype anomalies; and among 92 early neonatal deaths 6 ones (6.5%) had karyotype anomalies. The total frequency of chromosome anomalies among the infants dying during the perinatal period was 6.9%.The final result of cytogenetic investigation of 607 premature infants was that chromosome anomalies were found among 2.5%, that is 3.5 times as much, as in the general newborn population. Among the types of chromosome anomalies the main defects were anomalies in the system of sex chromosomes and trisomy-21, and that is the proof of the fact, that other types of anomalies, found in newborn populations lead to earlier lethality.  相似文献   

9.
Diabetic nephropathy is a progressive and generalized vasculopathic condition associated with abnormal angiogenesis. We aim to determine whether changes in renal microvascular (MV) density correlate with and play a role in the progressive deterioration of renal function in diabetes. We hypothesize that MV changes represent the early steps of renal injury that worsen as diabetes progresses, initiating a vicious circle that leads to irreversible renal injury. Male nondiabetic (ND) or streptozotocin-induced diabetic (D) Sprague-Dawley rats were followed for 4 or 12 wk. Renal blood flow and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) were measured by PAH and (125)I-[iothalamate], respectively. Renal MV density was quantified ex vivo using three-dimensional micro computed tomography and JG-12 immunoreactivity. Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) levels (ELISA) and expression of VEGF receptors and factors involved in MV remodeling were quantified in renal tissue by Western blotting. Finally, renal morphology was investigated by histology. Four weeks of diabetes was associated with increased GFR, accompanied by a 34% reduction in renal MV density and augmented renal VEGF levels. However, at 12 wk, while GFR remained similarly elevated, reduction of MV density was more pronounced (75%) and associated with increased MV remodeling, renal fibrosis, but unchanged renal VEGF compared with ND at 12 wk. The damage, loss, and subsequent remodeling of the renal MV architecture in the diabetic kidney may represent the initiating events of progressive renal injury. This study suggests a novel concept of MV disease as an early instigator of diabetic kidney disease that may precede and likely promote the decline in renal function.  相似文献   

10.
The exercise tolerance of the survivors of a consecutive group of 100 patients in a renal dialysis and transplant programme was compared with the prevalence of cardiac abnormalities detected by exercise testing, echocardiography, and radionuclide angiography. Fifty four patients attended for investigation 27 (SD 7) months after starting renal replacement therapy. Forty three of them (80%) were receiving antihypertensive treatment. Their performance on a bicycle ergometer exercise test was compared with that of 62 normal subjects and the patients divided into five groups of decreasing ability. The exercise tolerance of the patients was very poor, only 17 performing within the normal range. Impairment in exercise capacity was not explained by the type or quality of renal replacement therapy. Fourteen patients developed ischaemic electrocardiographic changes on exercise. Left ventricular ejection fraction was assessed by gated blood pool scanning in 37 patients; all nine of the patients with an abnormally low radionuclide ejection fraction also had abnormal exercise tolerance. Satisfactory M mode echocardiograms were obtained from 45 of the patients, and only two were normal. Left ventricular hypertrophy was detected in 25 (56%) of the echocardiograms, and abnormalities indicating impaired left ventricular function were common and widespread. Grouping all the abnormal cardiac features together for the patients in each exercise group showed a striking linear trend of increasing proportion of cardiac abnormalities with worsening exercise tolerance among the five exercise groups (p less than 0.001). The proportion of patients becoming unemployed within one year of starting renal replacement therapy similarly increased, from nil to 60% from the best exercise group to the most incapacitated. Twenty nine of the original cohort of 100 patients subsequently died, cardiovascular disease accounting for 12 (41%) of these deaths. Diminished exercise tolerance in patients receiving renal replacement therapy is strongly associated with cardiac abnormalities and reduced employment prospects.  相似文献   

11.
A retrospective study of 250 cadaver kidney transplants was carried out to determine the effects of the agonal period, the warm and cold ischaemic times, and the use of kidneys with vascular anomalies on the primary success and failure and the subsequent level of function of the transplants. Kidneys with vascular anomalies or from non-ventilated donors had a primary failure rate of over 30%, whereas those with normal vasculature or from ventilated donors had a rate of 17%. An initial warm ischaemic time of more than 60 minutes was associated with a primary failure rate of 57% and a cold ischaemic time of over 550 minutes with a primary failure rate of 47%. The interrelationship between the warm and cold ischaemic times in the primary success or failure of the transplants was examined and criteria defined for selecting potentially viable cadaver kidneys for transplantation, as follows: (1) The donor should be (a) ventilated, (b) aged 6-50 years, and (c) have normal ante-mortem renal function and have secreted more than 1-5 1 of urine in the 24 hours before death (or an equivalent volume if the urinary output was recorded for less than 24 hours before death); (2) the kidney should have normal renal vasculature enabling single arterial and venous anastomoses to be performed; (3) kidneys with I.W.I.T.s of longer than 60 minutes should not be used; (4) for kidneys with I.W.I.T.s of less than 20 minutes the C.I.T. is not critical but should not exceed 12 hours; (5) for kidneys with I.W.I.T.s of 20-60 minutes the C.I.T. should not exceed 450 minutes.  相似文献   

12.
Cardiac deaths are more likely to be unanticipated than cancer deaths by patients, their families, and their physicians. We hypothesized that differing physician attitudes toward dying patients may affect the degree of expectation of death. To evaluate differences in attitudes and behaviors among subspecialists, we surveyed a randomly selected population of California subspecialists; 44 of 136 (32%) of cardiologists and 91 of 167 (55%) of oncologists responded. Oncologists experienced three times as many deaths as cardiologists and reported having discussed code status more often with patients who died. Cardiologists'' patients'' deaths were more often unexpected and occurred more frequently in intensive care units. In addition, their patients were more likely to be given cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Oncologists reported being more comfortable dealing with dying patients and having less desire to avoid them. When presented with patient scenarios, however, cardiologists'' and oncologists'' responses were similar when discussing and estimating prognosis and likelihood of successful therapy.  相似文献   

13.
The objective was to evaluate the hypothesis that growth-differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is an independent marker of the long-term risk for both cardiovascular disease and cancer morbidity beyond clinical and biochemical risk factors. Plasma obtained at age 71 was available from 940 subjects in the Uppsala Longitudinal Study of Adult Men (ULSAM) cohort. Complete mortality and morbidity data were obtained from public registries. At baseline there were independent associations between GDF-15 and current smoking, diabetes mellitus, biomarkers of cardiac (high-sensitivity troponin-T, NT-proBNP) and renal dysfunction (cystatin-C) and inflammatory activity (C-reactive protein), and previous cardiovascular disease (CVD). During 10 years follow-up there occurred 265 and 131 deaths, 115 and 46 cardiovascular deaths, and 185 and 86 events with coronary heart disease mortality or morbidity in the respective total cohort (n=940) and non-CVD (n=561) cohort. After adjustment for conventional cardiovascular risk factors, one SD increase in log GDF-15 were, in the respective total and non-CVD populations, associated with 48% (95%CI 26 to 73%, p<0.001) and 67% (95%CI 28 to 217%, p<0.001) incremental risk of cardiovascular mortality, 48% (95%CI 33 to 67%, p<0.001) and 61% (95%CI 38 to 89%, p<0.001) of total mortality and 36% (95%CI 19 to 56%, p<0.001) and 44% (95%CI 17 to 76%, p<0.001) of coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality. The corresponding incremental increase for cancer mortality in the respective total and non-cancer disease (n=882) population was 46% (95%CI 21 to 77%, p<0.001) and 38% (95%CI 12 to 70%, p<0.001) and for cancer morbidity and mortality in patients without previous cancer disease 30% (95%CI 12 to 51%, p<0.001). In conclusion, in elderly men, GDF-15 improves prognostication of both cardiovascular, cancer mortality and morbidity beyond established risk factors and biomarkers of cardiac, renal dysfunction and inflammation.  相似文献   

14.
A search of the Home Office index of notified drug addicts identified 1499 deaths during 1967-81, of which 226 (15%) were of therapeutic addicts--that is, patients who had become addicted during medical treatment with a notifiable drug--and 1273 (85%) were of non-therapeutic addicts. The crude mortality fell from 23.5/1000/year for the period 1968-70 to 18.4/1000/year for 1978-80. Altogether 416 addicts aged under 50 at notification died after 1972, which was 16 times the number of deaths expected in a population with a similar age and sex composition. A more detailed examination of the cohorts of addicts notified each year showed little variation between them in the first two years of follow up. Nineteen addicts (1.6%) had died by 31 December of the year of their notification and 39 (3.3%) one year later. These figures may be an indication of the clinical course of addiction. Most deaths of non-therapeutic addicts in which a drug was implicated (939 cases (74%] were due to medically prescribed drugs--barbiturates at first and later opiates such as dipipanone hydrochloride and dextromoramide. Heroin was implicated in only 65 (7%) of these deaths. The Home Office index is a valuable source for identifying drugs of abuse and serious problems of addiction. The fact that prescribed drugs are causing the death of so many addicts demands a response from the medical profession.  相似文献   

15.
Five hundred and fifty one children aged between 3 months and 3 years were followed up at home for 12 months after treatment of diarrhoea in a rural treatment centre of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh. During follow up the children were found to have a significantly higher mortality than generally observed in the community. The first three months after discharge appeared to be crucial, some 70% of the deaths occurring in that period. Severely malnourished children (nutritional state below 56% of the American National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) standard of weight for age ratio) had a risk of death 14 times that of their well nourished counterparts (nutritional state 66% or more of the NCHS standard). The highest mortality occurred in 2 year olds, one in three of the severely malnourished children dying compared with one in 10 of the moderately malnourished. This pattern was not seen in children aged under 2 years. Immediate priority should be given to providing nutritional rehabilitation for malnourished children who contract diarrhoea.  相似文献   

16.
G. Manlan  K. E. Scott 《CMAJ》1978,118(4):365-368
A survey of factors associated with perinatal mortality in 511 twins and fetal growth retardation and its reversal in 262 twins is presented. The incidence of stillbirth was almost 50% higher in twins than in singletons and the neonatal mortality was six times as high. Eighty percent of the neonatal deaths occurred in infants born prior to or at 30 weeks of gestation; 93% of the deaths were in infants weighing less than 1500 g and 75% occurred within 48 hours of birth. Fetal malnutrition was the main cause of stillbirth, and respiratory distress syndrome and asphyxia neonatorum were the main causes of neonatal death. One quarter of the twins had fetal growth retardation, a prevalence 10 times that in singletons. In almost all, the growth retardation was reversed by high-energy feedings. Although twins represented only 1% of all pregnancies and 2% of live births, they composed 12% of infants with early neonatal death and 17% of growth-retarded infants. A program is suggested for reduction of twin mortality and morbidity.  相似文献   

17.

Background

Previous estimates of mortality in Iraq attributable to the 2003 invasion have been heterogeneous and controversial, and none were produced after 2006. The purpose of this research was to estimate direct and indirect deaths attributable to the war in Iraq between 2003 and 2011.

Methods and Findings

We conducted a survey of 2,000 randomly selected households throughout Iraq, using a two-stage cluster sampling method to ensure the sample of households was nationally representative. We asked every household head about births and deaths since 2001, and all household adults about mortality among their siblings. We used secondary data sources to correct for out-migration. From March 1, 2003, to June 30, 2011, the crude death rate in Iraq was 4.55 per 1,000 person-years (95% uncertainty interval 3.74–5.27), more than 0.5 times higher than the death rate during the 26-mo period preceding the war, resulting in approximately 405,000 (95% uncertainty interval 48,000–751,000) excess deaths attributable to the conflict. Among adults, the risk of death rose 0.7 times higher for women and 2.9 times higher for men between the pre-war period (January 1, 2001, to February 28, 2003) and the peak of the war (2005–2006). We estimate that more than 60% of excess deaths were directly attributable to violence, with the rest associated with the collapse of infrastructure and other indirect, but war-related, causes. We used secondary sources to estimate rates of death among emigrants. Those estimates suggest we missed at least 55,000 deaths that would have been reported by households had the households remained behind in Iraq, but which instead had migrated away. Only 24 households refused to participate in the study. An additional five households were not interviewed because of hostile or threatening behavior, for a 98.55% response rate. The reliance on outdated census data and the long recall period required of participants are limitations of our study.

Conclusions

Beyond expected rates, most mortality increases in Iraq can be attributed to direct violence, but about a third are attributable to indirect causes (such as from failures of health, sanitation, transportation, communication, and other systems). Approximately a half million deaths in Iraq could be attributable to the war. Please see later in the article for the Editors'' Summary  相似文献   

18.
R M Booze  C F Mactutus 《Teratology》1985,31(2):187-191
Few studies have investigated the potential developmental differences resulting from treating neonatal rat pups in either split-litter or whole-litter (nested) experimental designs. We directly compared rat pups dosed with triethyl lead (TEL) via both split-litter (representing all dosage groups within a single litter) and nested (all pups randomly assigned to a single litter receive the same dose) designs. The nested design was chosen to produce a uniform behavioral pattern across pups within each litter, whereas the split-litter design was chosen to promote pup competition and differential maternal care. On postpartum day 5, pups were administered either 12, 13, 14, or 15 mg/kg TEL, with each design represented by 12 litters. Although the LD50 values for the two designs were not significantly different, there were significantly more deaths in the 12 mg/kg dosage group within the split-litter design than in the nested design group. Preweaning survival times for split-litter dosed animals were also decreased. In addition, significant growth reduction (7-16%) was observed in the split-litter group, relative to the nested design animals during the preweaning period. These results suggest that neonatal toxicity is not independent from experimental design considerations, and that the factors of littermate competition and/or pup-induced maternal care deserve further study.  相似文献   

19.
20.
OBJECTIVE--To determine the clinical course of diabetes mellitus in tropical Africa. DESIGN--Continuing care and follow up until 31 March 1989 of all newly diagnosed diabetic patients registered at one hospital between 1 June 1981 and 31 May 1987. SETTING--Muhimbili Medical Centre, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. SUBJECTS--1250 Newly diagnosed diabetic patients seen over a six year period. 272 (21.8%) Had diabetes requiring insulin, 825 (66.0%) diabetes not requiring insulin, and 153 (12.2%) diabetes of uncertain type. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Survival rates during each year of follow up. RESULTS--205 (16.4%) Patients were known to have died, 126 (61.5%) in hospital and 79 (38.5%) in the community. At least a further 71 patients were likely to have died. The five year survival rates (95% confidence intervals) for patients with diabetes requiring and not requiring insulin were 71% (62% to 80%) and 84% (80% to 89%) respectively for known deaths and 60% (51% to 69%) and 82% (77% to 86%) respectively for known plus probable deaths. 49 (3.9%) Patients died at the time of presentation. Severe diabetic ketoacidosis and infection were responsible for most deaths in patients with diabetes requiring insulin. Infection was responsible for 24% of deaths in patients with diabetes not requiring insulin and was the main cause of death in the group with uncertain type of diabetes. Cardiovascular and renal causes were responsible for 24% of hospital deaths of patients with diabetes not requiring insulin. Diabetes requiring insulin, young age, and ketonuria at presentation were associated with a significantly worse five year survival on multivariate analysis. On univariate analysis underweight, female sex, low educational background, and manual occupations were additional factors with a worse prognosis. CONCLUSION--Diabetes in sub-Saharan Africa is, in many patients, a serious disease with a poor prognosis. Most deaths, however, are due to preventable causes. More effort is therefore required to increase public awareness of diabetes and to improve patient detection, management, and follow up.  相似文献   

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