Comparability of segmented line regression models

Segmented line regression models, which are composed of continuous linear phases, have been applied to describe changes in rate trend patterns. In this article, we propose a procedure to compare two segmented line regression functions, specifically to test (i) whether the two segmented line regression functions are identical or (ii) whether the two mean functions are parallel allowing different intercepts. A general form of the test statistic is described and then the permutation procedure is proposed to estimate the p-value of the test. The permutation test is compared to an approximate F-test in terms of the p-value estimation and the performance of the permutation test is studied via simulations. The tests are applied to compare female lung cancer mortality rates between two registry areas and also to compare female breast cancer mortality rates between two states.     

Accelerated hazards regression model and its adequacy for censored survival data

The accelerated hazards regression model is introduced to study the relationship between survival times and covariates through a scale change between hazard functions. The model is also compared with several other popular classes of regression models for censored survival data in statistical literature. Test statistics are proposed and studied to assess the model's adequacy. Actual data from a randomized clinical trial of biodegradable carmustine polymer for treatment of brain cancer are analyzed to demonstrate the potential application of the regression model and the proposed test statistics.     

Nonparametric analysis of recurrent events and death

This article is concerned with the analysis of recurrent events in the presence of a terminal event such as death. We consider the mean frequency function, defined as the marginal mean of the cumulative number of recurrent events over time. A simple nonparametric estimator for this quantity is presented. It is shown that the estimator, properly normalized, converges weakly to a zero-mean Gaussian process with an easily estimable covariance function. Nonparametric statistics for comparing two mean frequency functions and for combining data on recurrent events and death are also developed. The asymptotic null distributions of these statistics, together with consistent variance estimators, are derived. The small-sample properties of the proposed estimators and test statistics are examined through simulation studies. An application to a cancer clinical trial is provided.     

A New Statistical Goodness-of-Fit Test Based on Graphical Representation

A statistical goodness-of-fit test, based on representing the sample observations by linked vectors, is developed. The direction and the length of the linked vectors are defined as functions of the expected values of the order statistics and sample order statistics, respectively. The underlying method can be used to test distributional assumptions for any location-scale family. A test statistic Q_n is introduced and some of its properties are studied. It is shown that the proposed test can be generalized to test if two or more independent samples come from the same distribution. The test procedure provides a graphical method of identifying the true distribution when the null hypothesis is rejected.     

Nonparametric Location Tests Based on the Empirical Distribution

We present a unified approach to the nonparametric comparison of locations in the one- and two sample case using the empirical distribution functions. This approach reveals how to define a simple test statistic for this comparison in the case of large sample sizes which is equivalent to the known Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney statistics and is based on the grouping of the data. In the particular case of equal group sizes we find an extremely simple form for this location test.     

Testing the non-unity of rate ratio under inverse sampling

Inverse sampling is considered to be a more appropriate sampling scheme than the usual binomial sampling scheme when subjects arrive sequentially, when the underlying response of interest is acute, and when maximum likelihood estimators of some epidemiologic indices are undefined. In this article, we study various statistics for testing non-unity rate ratios in case-control studies under inverse sampling. These include the Wald, unconditional score, likelihood ratio and conditional score statistics. Three methods (the asymptotic, conditional exact, and Mid-P methods) are adopted for P-value calculation. We evaluate the performance of different combinations of test statistics and P-value calculation methods in terms of their empirical sizes and powers via Monte Carlo simulation. In general, asymptotic score and conditional score tests are preferable for their actual type I error rates are well controlled around the pre-chosen nominal level, and their powers are comparatively the largest. The exact version of Wald test is recommended if one wants to control the actual type I error rate at or below the pre-chosen nominal level. If larger power is expected and fluctuation of sizes around the pre-chosen nominal level are allowed, then the Mid-P version of Wald test is a desirable alternative. We illustrate the methodologies with a real example from a heart disease study.     

Testing equality of survival functions of quality-adjusted lifetime

We present a method for comparing the survival functions of quality-adjusted lifetime from two treatments. This test statistic becomes the ordinary log-rank test when quality-adjusted lifetime is the same as the survival time. Simulation experiments are conducted to examine the behavior of our proposed test statistic under both null and alternative hypotheses. In addition, we apply our method to a breast cancer trial for comparing the distribution of quality-adjusted lifetime between two treatment regimes.     

The use of score tests for inference on variance components

Whenever inference for variance components is required, the choice between one-sided and two-sided tests is crucial. This choice is usually driven by whether or not negative variance components are permitted. For two-sided tests, classical inferential procedures can be followed, based on likelihood ratios, score statistics, or Wald statistics. For one-sided tests, however, one-sided test statistics need to be developed, and their null distribution derived. While this has received considerable attention in the context of the likelihood ratio test, there appears to be much confusion about the related problem for the score test. The aim of this paper is to illustrate that classical (two-sided) score test statistics, frequently advocated in practice, cannot be used in this context, but that well-chosen one-sided counterparts could be used instead. The relation with likelihood ratio tests will be established, and all results are illustrated in an analysis of continuous longitudinal data using linear mixed models.     

A semi-parametric approach for comparing the estimated spectra of two stationary point processes

In this paper, we provide a semi-parametric test for the hypothesis that the spectra of two stationary point processes (SPPs) are the same. The estimates of the second-order spectral density functions of the SPPs are obtained by using two different approaches: (a) by smoothing the modified periodogram statistics using a moving average weighting scheme, (b) by employing the Welch's method on the modified periodogram statistics. The test is based on the likelihood ratio function under two alternative hypotheses. The first alternative hypothesis suggests that the ratio of the spectra is a constant (there is a shift to the power) while the second one adopts a quadratic model for the logarithmic ratio of the spectra. A comparison with a log-linear model indicates coincidence in the results. This is explained by using an illustrative example from the field of neurophysiology. It is shown that the information transferred to the spinal cord by the sensory axons, closely related with the complex physiological system called muscle spindle, under the influence of two different stimuli can be separated in two parts. The first part corresponds to the range of frequencies 0-19 Hz while the second to the range of frequencies 19-100 Hz. However, the dependence on the frequency in both parts is of a quadratic form.     

FDR control by the BH procedure for two-sided correlated tests with implications to gene expression data analysis

The multiple testing problem attributed to gene expression analysis is challenging not only by its size, but also by possible dependence between the expression levels of different genes resulting from coregulations of the genes. Furthermore, the measurement errors of these expression levels may be dependent as well since they are subjected to several technical factors. Multiple testing of such data faces the challenge of correlated test statistics. In such a case, the control of the False Discovery Rate (FDR) is not straightforward, and thus demands new approaches and solutions that will address multiplicity while accounting for this dependency. This paper investigates the effects of dependency between bormal test statistics on FDR control in two-sided testing, using the linear step-up procedure (BH) of Benjamini and Hochberg (1995). The case of two multiple hypotheses is examined first. A simulation study offers primary insight into the behavior of the FDR subjected to different levels of correlation and distance between null and alternative means. A theoretical analysis follows in order to obtain explicit upper bounds to the FDR. These results are then extended to more than two multiple tests, thereby offering a better perspective on the effect of the proportion of false null hypotheses, as well as the structure of the test statistics correlation matrix. An example from gene expression data analysis is presented.     

On the finite sample distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis

In meta-analysis, hypothesis testing is one of the commonly used approaches for assessing whether heterogeneity exists in effects between studies. The literature concluded that the Q-statistic is clearly the best choice and criticized the performance of the likelihood ratio test in terms of the type I error control and power. However, all the criticism for the likelihood ratio test is based on the use of a mixture of two chi-square distributions with 0 and 1 degrees of freedom, which is justified only asymptotically. In this study, we develop a novel method to derive the finite sample distribution of the likelihood ratio test and restricted likelihood ratio test statistics for testing the zero variance component in the random effects model for meta-analysis. We also extend this result to the heterogeneity test when metaregression is applied. A numerical study shows that the proposed statistics have superior performance to the Q-statistic, especially when the number of studies collected for meta-analysis is small to moderate.     

Nonparametric testing for DNA copy number induced differential mRNA gene expression

Summary .  The central dogma of molecular biology relates DNA with mRNA. Array CGH measures DNA copy number and gene expression microarrays measure the amount of mRNA. Methods that integrate data from these two platforms may uncover meaningful biological relationships that further our understanding of cancer. We develop nonparametric tests for the detection of copy number induced differential gene expression. The tests incorporate the uncertainty of the calling of genomic aberrations. The test is preceded by a "tuning algorithm" that discards certain genes to improve the overall power of the false discovery rate selection procedure. Moreover, the test statistics are "shrunken" to borrow information across neighboring genes that share the same array CGH signature. For each gene we also estimate its effect, its amount of differential expression due to copy number changes, and calculate the coefficient of determination. The method is illustrated on breast cancer data, in which it confirms previously reported findings, now with a more profound statistical underpinning.     

Testing against umbrella or tree orderings for binomial proportions with an adaptation of an insect resistance case

Alternative hypotheses for order restrictions, such as umbrella or inverse umbrella (a.k.a tree) orderings, have been studied extensively in the literature, although less so when the studied response for each individual is the presence or absence of the event of interest. Two families of test statistics for solving the problem of testing against an umbrella or a tree ordering when the responses are binomial proportions are studied in this work and their asymptotic distributions are derived. A simulation study is conducted to compare the empirical power of some members of the derived families of test statistics with competing approaches. The methodology developed here was driven by an applied problem arising in stored products research where despite universal mortality in the case of doses of 1000 ppm of the insecticide phosphine, unexpected survival was noted at higher doses.     

Weighted Logrank Testing Procedures for the Simple Tree Alternatives

Weighted logrank testing procedures for comparing r treatments with a control when some of the data are randomly censored are discussed. Four kinds of test statistics for the simple tree alternatives are considered. The weighted logrank statistics based on pairwise ranking scheme is proposed and the covariances of the test statistics are explicitly obtained. This class of test statistics can be viewed as the general statistics of constructing the test procedures for various order restricted alternatives by modifying weights. Four kinds of weighted logrank tests are illustrated with an example. Simulation studies are performed to compare the sizes and the powers of the considered tests with the other.     

A Note on Combining Dependent Tests of Significance

In combining several tests of significance the individual test statistics are allowed to be stochastically dependent. By choosing the weighted inverse normal method for the combination, the dependency of the original test statistics is then characterized by a correlation of the transformed statistics. For this correlation a confidence region, an unbiased estimator and an unbiased estimate of its variance are derived. The combined test statistic is extended to include the case of possibly dependent original test statistics. Simulation studies show the performance of the actual significance level.     

Hochberg's Step-Up Method: Cutting Corners Off Holm's Step-Down Method

Holm's method and Hochberg's method for multiple testing canbe viewed as step-down and step-up versions of the Bonferronitest. We show that both are special cases of partition testing.The difference is that, while Holm's method tests each partitionhypothesis using the largest order statistic, setting a criticalvalue based on the Bonferroni inequality, Hochberg's methodtests each partition hypothesis using all the order statistics,setting a series of critical values based on Simes' inequality.Geometrically, Hochberg's step-up method ‘cuts corners’off the acceptance regions of Holm's step-down method by makingassumptions on the joint distribution of the test statistics.As can be expected, partition testing making use of the jointdistribution of the test statistics is more powerful than partitiontesting using probabilistic inequalities. Thus, if the jointdistribution of the test statistics is available, through modellingfor example, we recommend partition step-down testing, settingexact critical values based on the joint distribution.     

Small Sample Properties of Rank Tests for Incomplete Unbalanced Designs

A rank test is presented for analysis of incomplete unbalanced designs, i.e. for designs that may have been originally planned to be either balanced or unbalanced and where some observations may be missing at random. This test is a modification of the procedure of Benard and van El-teren (1953) based on a generalization of block weights proposed by Prentice (1979). It is compared with the tests of Haux, Schumacher, and Weckesser (1984) and Rai (1987). For incomplete or unbalanced designs with more than two treatments the quadratic forms proposed by these authors are proven to be invalid for small sample sizes, except for special cases. A necessary condition is given for test statistics to be valid also for small samples.     

Unconditional Exact Tests for Equivalence or Noninferiority for Paired Binary Endpoints

Problems of establishing equivalence or noninferiority between two medical diagnostic procedures involve comparisons of the response rates between correlated proportions. When the sample size is small, the asymptotic tests may not be reliable. This article proposes an unconditional exact test procedure to assess equivalence or noninferiority. Two statistics, a sample-based test statistic and a restricted maximum likelihood estimation (RMLE)-based test statistic, to define the rejection region of the exact test are considered. We show the p-value of the proposed unconditional exact tests can be attained at the boundary point of the null hypothesis. Assessment of equivalence is often based on a comparison of the confidence limits with the equivalence limits. We also derive the unconditional exact confidence intervals on the difference of the two proportion means for the two test statistics. A typical data set of comparing two diagnostic procedures is analyzed using the proposed unconditional exact and asymptotic methods. The p-value from the unconditional exact tests is generally larger than the p-value from the asymptotic tests. In other words, an exact confidence interval is generally wider than the confidence interval obtained from an asymptotic test.     

Non-linear tests for identifying differentially expressed genes or genetic networks

MOTIVATION: One of the recently developed statistics for identifying differentially expressed genetic networks is Hotelling T2 statistic, which is a quadratic form of difference in linear functions of means of gene expressions between two types of tissue samples, and so their power is limited. RESULTS: To improve the power of test statistics, a general statistical framework for construction of non-linear tests is presented, and two specific non-linear test statistics that use non-linear transformations of means are developed. Asymptotical distributions of the non-linear test statistics under the null and alternative hypothesis are derived. It has been proved that under some conditions the power of the non-linear test statistics is higher than that of the T2 statistic. Besides theory, to evaluate in practice the performance of the non-linear test statistics, they are applied to two real datasets. The preliminary results demonstrate that the P-values of the non-linear statistics for testing differential expressions of the genetic networks are much smaller than those of the T2 statistic. And furthermore simulations show the Type I errors of the non-linear statistics agree with the threshold used and the statistics fit the chi2 distribution. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available on Bioinformatics online.     

Tests for multivariate recurrent events in the presence of a terminal event

In studies involving diseases associated with high rates of mortality, trials are frequently conducted to evaluate the effects of therapeutic interventions on recurrent event processes terminated by death. In this setting, cumulative mean functions form a natural basis for inference for questions of a health economic nature, and Ghosh and Lin (2000) recently proposed a relevant class of test statistics. Trials of patients with cancer metastatic to bone, however, involve multiple types of skeletal complications, each of which may be repeatedly experienced by patients over their lifetime. Traditionally the distinction between the various types of events is ignored and univariate analyses are conducted based on a composite recurrent event. However, when the events have different impacts on patients' quality of life, or when they incur different costs, it can be important to gain insight into the relative frequency of the specific types of events and treatment effects thereon. This may be achieved by conducting separate marginal analyses with each analysis focusing on one type of recurrent event. Global inferences regarding treatment benefit can then be achieved by carrying out multiplicity adjusted marginal tests, more formal multiple testing procedures, or by constructing global test statistics. We describe methods for testing for differences in mean functions between treatment groups which accommodate the fact that each particular event process is ultimately terminated by death. The methods are illustrated by application to a motivating study designed to examine the effect of bisphosphonate therapy on the incidence of skeletal complications among patients with breast cancer metastatic to bone. We find that there is a consistent trend towards a reduction in the cumulative mean for all four types of skeletal complications with bisphosphonate therapy; there is a significant reduction in the need for radiation therapy for the treatment of bone. The global test suggests that bisphosphonate therapy significantly reduces the overall number of skeletal complications.