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1.
OBJECTIVES: The incidence of prostate cancer is increasing, as is the number of diagnostic and therapeutic interventions to manage this disease. We developed a Markov state-transition model--the Montreal Prostate Cancer Model--for improved forecasting of the health care requirements and outcomes associated with prostate cancer. We then validated the model by comparing its forecasted outcomes with published observations for various cohorts of men. METHODS: We combined aggregate data on the age-specific incidence of prostate cancer, the distribution of diagnosed tumours according to patient age, clinical stage and tumour grade, initial treatment, treatment complications, and progression rates to metastatic disease and death. Five treatments were considered: prostatectomy, radiation therapy, hormonal therapies, combination therapies and watchful waiting. The resulting model was used to calculate age-, stage-, grade- and treatment-specific clinical outcomes such as expected age at prostate cancer diagnosis and death, and metastasis-free, disease-specific and overall survival. RESULTS: We compared the model''s forecasts with available cohort data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program, based on over 59,000 cases of localized prostate cancer. Among the SEER cases, the 10-year disease-specific survival rates following prostatectomy for tumour grades 1, 2 and 3 were 98%, 91% and 76% respectively, as compared with the model''s estimates of 96%, 92% and 84%. We also compared the model''s forecasts with the grade-specific survival among patients from the Connecticut Tumor Registry (CTR). The 10-year disease-specific survival among the CTR cases for grades 1, 2 and 3 were 91%, 76% and 54%, as compared with the model''s estimates of 91%, 73% and 37%. INTERPRETATION: The Montreal Prostate Cancer Model can be used to support health policy decision-making for the management of prostate cancer. The model can also be used to forecast clinical outcomes for individual men who have prostate cancer or are at risk of the disease.  相似文献   

2.
PurposeThe population of adolescent and young adult (AYA, ages 15–39 years) diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) survivors is growing, however long-term overall survival patterns and disparities are largely unknown.MethodsThe current study utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry to assess the impact of race/ethnicity, sex, socioeconomic status, and rurality on long-term survival in 5-year DLBCL survivors using an accelerated failure time model.ResultsIncluded were 4767 5-year survivors of AYA DLBCL diagnosed between the years 1980 and 2009 with a median follow-up time of 13.4 years. Non-Hispanic Black survivors had significantly worse long-term survival than non-Hispanic White survivors (Survival Time Ratio (STR): 0.53, p < 0.0001). Male sex (STR: 0.57, p < 0.0001) and older age at diagnosis were also associated with reduced long-term survival. There was no evidence that survival disparities improved over time.ConclusionsRacial disparities persist well into survivorship among AYA DLBCL survivors. Studies investigating specific factors associated with survival disparities are urgently needed to better address these disparities.  相似文献   

3.
BackgroundOver the past 20 years, many novel agents and treatment regimens have been developed to treat mantle cell lymphoma (MCL). This study aimed to determine the impact of these new regimens on the survival of MCL patients from 1995 to 2013.MethodsAll newly diagnosed adult MCL patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and Texas Cancer Registry (TCR) databases were included. Patients were grouped into 4 calendar periods based on the time when new novel agents became available: chemotherapy-only (1995–1998, P1), rituximab + chemotherapy (1999–2004, P2), bortezomib and HyperCVAD (2005–2008, P3), bendamustine and Nordic regimen (2009–2013, P4). Associations between these time periods and survival outcomes were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regressions.ResultsA total of 7,555 SEER patients and 2,055 TCR patients were identified. All-cause mortality rates decreased significantly from 1995 to 2013 (SEER, P < 0.001; TCR, P = 0.03). Multivariable analysis of SEER data showed that the risk of MCL-specific death decreased significantly over the study period with hazard ratios of 0.82 (P2 vs. P1), 0.66 (P3 vs. P1), and 0.58 (P4 vs. P1) (P < 0.0001). Similar results were observed for TCR data (P < 0.0001). In an analysis stratified by tumor stage, only patients with advanced- stage tumors showed a significantly decreased risk of death in both SEER (P < 0.0001) and TCR (P = 0.002) datasets.ConclusionSurvival outcome for MCL patients improved from 1995 to 2013, especially for patients with advanced-stage tumors, potentially reflecting the impact of the introduction of novel agents and new therapeutic regimens.  相似文献   

4.
ObjectiveUpdate information on racial disparities in ovarian cancer survival from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program.MethodsData on women with epithelial ovarian cancer from the SEER Program between 1995–2015 were collected including; patient ID, age at diagnosis, year of diagnosis, surgery, chemotherapy, radiation, insurance status, region of registry, tumor grade, tumor histology, tumor summary stage, survival months, race/ethnicity, and vital status. Multivariable analyses were performed to examine overall survival, differences in survival by age at diagnosis, by year of diagnosis, risk of not receiving surgery, and risk of 12-month death across racial/ethnic groups.ResultsNon-Hispanic black women (n = 4261) had an increased risk of overall mortality (HR = 1.28, CI: 1.23–1.33) when compared to non-Hispanic white women (n = 47,475), which appears more pronounced among women diagnosed under age 50. Hispanic women (n = 7052) had no difference in survival when compared to non-Hispanic white women (HR = 1.03, CI: 0.99–1.07). Non-Hispanic Asian/PI women (n = 5008) exhibited slightly reduced risk (HR = 0.95, CI: 0.91–0.99) when compared to non-Hispanic white women. Risk of not receiving surgical intervention remains high among non-Hispanic black women and Hispanic women, when compared to non-Hispanic white women. Non-Hispanic black women, non-Hispanic Asian/PI women, and Hispanic women were all at significantly greater risk of dying within the first 12 months of cancer diagnosis when compared to non-Hispanic white women.ConclusionDisparities in survival remain across various racial/ethnic groups, when compared to non-Hispanic white women with ovarian cancer. These disparities should continue to be examined in an effort to decrease such gaps.  相似文献   

5.
Summary This article develops semiparametric approaches for estimation of propensity scores and causal survival functions from prevalent survival data. The analytical problem arises when the prevalent sampling is adopted for collecting failure times and, as a result, the covariates are incompletely observed due to their association with failure time. The proposed procedure for estimating propensity scores shares interesting features similar to the likelihood formulation in case‐control study, but in our case it requires additional consideration in the intercept term. The result shows that the corrected propensity scores in logistic regression setting can be obtained through standard estimation procedure with specific adjustments on the intercept term. For causal estimation, two different types of missing sources are encountered in our model: one can be explained by potential outcome framework; the other is caused by the prevalent sampling scheme. Statistical analysis without adjusting bias from both sources of missingness will lead to biased results in causal inference. The proposed methods were partly motivated by and applied to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)‐Medicare linked data for women diagnosed with breast cancer.  相似文献   

6.

Background

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) has been demonstrated to carry poor prognosis, but whether or not there exists any age-related variation in TNBC outcomes has yet to be elucidated. The current population-based study investigated the early survival pattern of elderly women with TNBC and identified outcome-correlated factors.

Patients and Methods

We searched the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and enrolled female primary non-metastatic TNBC cases. The patients were subdivided into elderly (≥70 years) and young groups (<70 years). The survival status of elderly patients was compared to that of the younger women. The primary and secondary endpoints were cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) respectively.

Results

9908 female TNBC patients diagnosed from 2010 to 2011 were included in the current study (20.4% elderly). Elderly patients with relatively advanced diseases exhibited distinctly worse cancer-specific (log-rank, p<0.001) and overall survival (log-rank, p<0.001) than their young counterparts. Advanced age at diagnosis (≥70 years) was significantly predictive of poor outcome in terms of CSS (hazard ratio (HR), 2.125; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.664 to 2.713; p<0.001) and OS (HR, 3.042; 95%CI, 2.474 to 3.740; p<0.001). Underuse of curative treatment especially radiotherapy was more prevalent in elderly women with stage II or III diseases than in younger patients.

Conclusion

Elderly patients with TNBC displayed elevated early mortality within the first two years of diagnosis compared to the younger individuals. The observed lower rate of loco-regional treatment might be associated with worse cancer-specific outcome for these patients.  相似文献   

7.
《Endocrine practice》2013,19(6):995-997
ObjectiveAge greater than 45 years old is a prognostic marker in well-differentiated papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) using the American Joint Cancer Committee/Union Internationale Contre le Cancer Tumor Nodes Metastasis (AJCC/UICC TNM) staging system. Our clinical observation has been that patients aged 45 to 64 years have similar outcomes when compared to patients younger than 45 years, and we questioned the origin and accuracy of this prognostic variable.MethodsUsing SEERstat software, we analyzed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database for PTC using the following International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O) codes: 8050, 8260, 8340, 8341, 8342, 8243, and 8344. Data were stratified in 5-year categories by age at diagnosis from 20 to 84 years old, with patients 85 years old and above categorized together. Survival is reported as cause specific.ResultsA total of 53,581 patients were identified. The 5-year survival rate decreased with each increasing age category with no inflection point at age 45 in the survival curve. While the prognosis was less favorable in each advancing age group, survival remained above 90% for all age groups under 65 years.ConclusionA review of the literature reveals a lack of data supporting the use of age 45 as a prognostic variable. Our SEER database review revealed a continuum of disease-specific mortality for each incremental 5-year time period above age 45. We conclude that the current use of age 45 as a single prognostic age marker does not accurately reflect the progressive mortality risk that is apparent with each 5-year increment in age. (Endocr Pract. 2013; 19:995-997)  相似文献   

8.
We analyzed the prognostic significance of tumor histology, location, treatment, and selected clinical features at presentation in 91 consecutive patients with malignant gliomas diagnosed by stereotactic biopsy. In 64 patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) the following factors were associated with longer survival: lobar tumor location, adequate radiation therapy (RT) tumor dose 5,000-6,000 cGy, Karnofsky performance rating (KPR) at presentation greater than or equal to 70, and a normal level of consciousness before biopsy. In 27 patients with anaplastic astrocytoma, factors associated with longer survival were lobar tumor location, adequate RT, age less than 40 years at presentation, and a history of seizures. Delayed cytoreductive surgery in lobar GBM extended median survival but did not improve long-term survival. For patients with deep or midline malignant gliomas and for selected patients with lobar tumors, stereotactic biopsy followed by RT may be the most reasonable initial treatment strategy.  相似文献   

9.

Objective

To compare the pathological features and survival outcomes at different age subgroups of young patients with colon cancer.

Methods

Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) population-based data, we identified 2,861 young patients with colon cancer diagnosed between 1988 and 2005 treated with surgery. Patients were divided into four groups: group 1 (below 25 years), group 2 (26–30 years), group 3 (31–35 years) and group 4 (36–40 years). Five-year cancer specific survival data were obtained. Kaplan-Meier methods were adopted and multivariable Cox regression models were built for the analysis of long-term survival outcomes and risk factors.

Results

There were significant different among four groups in pathological grading, histological type, AJCC stage, current standard (≥12 lymph nodes retrieval), mean number of lymph nodes examined and positive lymph nodes (p<0.001). The 5-year cause specific survival was 71.0% in group 1, 75.1% in group 2, 80.6% in group 3 and 82.5% in group 4, which had significant difference in both univariate (P = 0.002) and multivariate analysis (P = 0.041).

Conclusions

Young patients with colon cancer at age 18–40 years are essentially a heterogeneous group. Patients at age 31–35, 36–40 subgroups have more favorable clinicopathologic characteristics and better cancer specific survival than below 30 years.  相似文献   

10.
Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a malignant neoplasm arising from the mucosal epithelium of the nasopharynx. Different races can have different etiology, presentation, and progression patterns. Methods: Data were analyzed on NPC patients in the United States reported to the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database between 1973 and 2009. Racial groups studied included non-Hispanic whites, Hispanic whites, blacks, Asians, and others. Patient characteristics, age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates, treatment, and five-year relative survival rates were compared across races. Stratification by stage at diagnosis and histologic type was considered. Multivariate regression was conducted to evaluate the significance of racial differences. Results: Patient characteristics that were significantly different across races included age at diagnosis, histologic type, in situ/malignant tumors in lifetime, stage, grade, and regional nodes positive. Incidence and mortality rates were significantly different across races, with Asians having the highest rates overall and stratified by age and/or histologic type. Asians also had the highest rate of receiving radiation only. The racial differences in treatment were significant in the multivariate stratified analysis. When stratified by stage and histologic type, Asians had the best five-year survival rates. The survival experience of other races depended on stage and type. In the multivariate analysis, the racial differences were significant. Conclusions: Analysis of the SEER data shows that racial differences exist among NPC patients in the U.S. This result can be informative to cancer epidemiologists and clinicians.  相似文献   

11.
In this study, we developed a method for modeling the progression and detection of lung cancer based on the smoking behavior at an individual level. The model allows obtaining the characteristics of lung cancer in a population at the time of diagnosis. Lung cancer data from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database collected between 2004 and 2008 were used to fit the lung cancer progression and detection model. The fitted model combined with a smoking based carcinogenesis model was used to predict the distribution of age, gender, tumor size, disease stage and smoking status at diagnosis and the results were validated against independent data from the SEER database collected from 1988 to 1999. The model accurately predicted the gender distribution and median age of LC patients of diagnosis, and reasonably predicted the joint tumor size and disease stage distribution.  相似文献   

12.
Longstanding concern exists regarding the potential for women with breast implants to experience delayed detection of breast cancer. Furthermore, survival among cosmetic breast implant patients who subsequently develop breast cancer is a concern. Since 1976, this institution has monitored cancer incidence in a cohort of 3182 women who underwent cosmetic breast augmentation between 1959 and 1981. The distributions of stage at diagnosis and survival of the 37 women who subsequently developed in situ or invasive breast cancer were compared with the observed population distributions. The distribution of stage at diagnosis for cosmetic breast implant patients who subsequently developed breast cancer was virtually identical to that of all breast cancer patients in Los Angeles County who were of the same age and race, and were diagnosed during the same time period. Furthermore, the 5-year survival rate of the 37 patients did not differ from that which would be expected based on rates established by the U.S. National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. These results suggest that cosmetic breast implant patients are not at increased risk of delayed detection of breast cancer, nor do they suffer a poorer prognosis when breast cancer does occur. Although the number of breast cancer patients in this study is small, the results are highly consistent with the existing epidemiologic evidence related to breast cancer detection and survival among breast implant patients. Although breast implant patients should continue appropriate breast cancer screening behavior, there seems to be no cause for alarm.  相似文献   

13.
目的:回顾性分析首发癌为食管鳞癌的多原发癌(ESCCFPM)患者的肿瘤临床特点以及生存预后等临床信息,更好的了解食管鳞癌与其他癌症之间的联系,为指导临床诊治提供相应依据.方法:收集美国国立癌症研究所监测、流行病学和结果数据库(SEER) 2004年1月1日至2016年12月31日ESCCFPM患者临床资料,Kaplan...  相似文献   

14.

Objective

To compare the long-term survival of colorectal cancer (CRC) in young patients with elderly ones.

Methods

Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) population-based data, we identified 69,835 patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer diagnosed between January 1, 1988 and December 31, 2003 treated with surgery. Patients were divided into young (40 years and under) and elderly groups (over 40 years of age). Five-year cancer specific survival data were obtained. Kaplan-Meier methods were adopted and multivariable Cox regression models were built for the analysis of long-term survival outcomes and risk factors.

Results

Young patients showed significantly higher pathological grading (p<0.001), more cases of mucinous and signet-ring histological type (p<0.001), later AJCC stage (p<0.001), more lymph nodes (≥12 nodes) dissected (p<0.001) and higher metastatic lymph node ratio (p<0.001). The 5-year colorectal cancer specific survival rates were 78.6% in young group and 75.3% in elderly group, which had significant difference in both univariate and multivariate analysis (P<0.001). Further analysis showed this significant difference only existed in stage II and III patients.

Conclusions

Compared with elderly patients, young patients with colorectal cancer treated with surgery appear to have unique characteristics and a higher cancer specific survival rate although they presented with higher proportions of unfavorable biological behavior as well as advanced stage disease.  相似文献   

15.
《Endocrine practice》2013,19(6):998-1006
ObjectiveThe incidence of thyroid cancer has been steadily increasing. Several studies have identified gender and racial/ethnic differences in the incidence and prognosis of thyroid cancer. In this study, we sought to determine if the stage of presentation and survival rate of patients with thyroid cancer in the United States is affected by geographic region.MethodsUsing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we identified 100,404 patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer from 1973 through 2009. We assessed historical stage of diagnosis and cancer-free survival rate according to geographic region. To compare stages of diagnosis, we used multinomial logistic regression. To compare survival rates, we used Cox proportional hazards regression. Models were adjusted for age, year of diagnosis, cancer type, registry site, race/ethnicity, and stage.ResultsOf 100,404 patients, 52,902 (52.7%) were from the West, 17,915 (17.8%) from the East, 15,302 (15.2%) from the South, and 14,285 (14.2%) from the Midwest. Overall, most patients presented with localized disease. Those from the West had a higher risk of presenting with regional and distant metastases. When we double-stratified by cancer subtype and racial group, we found no significant associations between geographic region and cancer-free survival rate.ConclusionThe presentation stage and survival rate of patients with thyroid cancer differs by geographic region, but not within separate racial/ethnic groups. (Endocr Pract. 2013;19:998-1006)  相似文献   

16.
17.
Background: Marital status has been associated with outcomes in several cancer sites including breast cancer in the literature, but little is known about colon cancer, the fourth most common cancer in the US. Methods: A total of 127,753 patients with colon cancer were identified who were diagnosed between 1992 and 2006 in the US Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program. Marital status consisted of married, single, separated/divorced and widowed. Chi-square tests were used to examine the association between marital status and other variables. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to estimate survival curves. Cox proportional hazards models were fit to estimate the effect of marital status on survival. Results: Married patients were more likely to be diagnosed at an earlier stage (and for men also at an older age) compared with single and separated/divorced patients, and more likely to receive surgical treatment than all other marital groups (all p < 0.0001). The five-year survival rate for the single was six percentage points lower than the married for both men and women. After controlling for age, race, cancer stage and surgery receipt, married patients had a significantly lower risk of death from cancer (for men, HR: 0.86, CI: 0.82–0.90; for women, HR: 0.87, CI: 0.83–0.91) compared with the single. Within the same cancer stage, the survival differences between the single and the married were strongest for localized and regional stages, which had overall middle-range survival rates compared to in situ or distant stage so that support from marriage could make a big difference. Conclusions: Marriage was associated with better outcomes of colon cancer for both men and women, and being single was associated with lower survival rate from colon cancer.  相似文献   

18.
Kaposi Sarcoma (KS) is a Human Herpes Virus-8 (HHV-8) associated angio-proliferative disorder commonly seen in patients with HIV. It most commonly involves the skin as classic purple lesions but occasionally involves the gastrointestinal (GI) tract. To date, published data is scarce on primary GI KS. Using a national database, this study analyzes the incidence, demographics, and survival of primary GI KS. We conducted a retrospective analysis (1975–2019) on biopsy-proven primary GI KS cases from 17 registries from the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A total of 685 patients with GI KS were identified. Female gender, Non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander (NHAPI), married marital status, and large bowel site-specific primary KS to have better overall survival. Luminal gastrointestinal KS was more frequent (84.96%) than solid organ involvement (3.07% of all cases). This study is the most extensive population-based study about the epidemiological and survival data of patients with primary GI KS, revealing GI KS to be a young male disease with best outcomes in the large bowel and anal canal KS while inferior outcomes in extraintestinal GI KS.  相似文献   

19.
BACKGROUND: The objective of current study was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs). METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for patients with PNETs between 2004 and 2015. Patients were randomly separated into the training set and the validation set. Cox regression model was used in training set to obtain independent prognostic factors to develop a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS). The discrimination and calibration plots were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 3142 patients with PNETs were collected from the SEER database. Sex, age, marital status, primary site, TNM stage, tumor grade, and therapy were associated with OS in the multivariate models. A nomogram was constructed based on these variables. The nomogram for predicting OS displayed better discrimination power than the Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage systems 7th edition in the training set and validation set. The calibration curve indicated that the nomogram was able to accurately predict 3- and 5-year OS. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram which could predict 3- and 5-year OS were established in this study. Our nomogram showed a good performance, suggesting that it could be served as an effective tool for prognostic evaluation of patients with PNETs.  相似文献   

20.
《Endocrine practice》2015,21(5):461-467
Objective: Patients with multiple primary malignancies may exhibit unique clinical characteristics that suggest a common predisposition or lead to different disease management. Given the association of primary thyroid (TC) and renal cell carcinoma (RCC), we characterized the clinicopathologic features of patients treated for both malignancies (TC/RCC).Methods: TC/RCC patients were identified through the institutional tumor registry and using data compiled by retrospective chart review. To compare with broader institutional and national cohorts, we examined patients admitted with TC or RCC institution-wide and reviewed the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program for these cancers.Results: Overall, 51% of patients developed TC before RCC, 27% developed RCC before TC, and 22% were diagnosed within 1 year of each other. The mean age at TC diagnosis was 52 ± 15 (18–77), which was significantly older than institutional TC patients (45 ± 16.5 years, P≤.0001), and the mean age at RCC diagnosis was 59 ± 12 (32–79). The TC/RCC cohort had a balanced sex distribution (51% female) compared with the institutional TC group (67% female, P = .0003) and the institutional RCC group (31% female, P<.0001). Similar age and sex ratio differences were seen when compared with SEER cohorts. In the TC/RCC cohort, 43% of patients developed other cancers (52% of females, 33% of males; P = .04); among the females, 45% developed breast cancer.Conclusion: Individuals who develop both TC and RCC may represent a unique subset of cancer patients. Further prospective research is warranted to explore the unanticipated association with breast cancer in female patients and to investigate a possible common pathogenesis underlying these malignancies.Abbreviations: RCC = renal cell carcinoma SEER = Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SPC = second primary cancer SPTC = subsequent primary thyroid cancer TC = thyroid cancer VHL = von Hippel-Lindau  相似文献   

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