Possible impacts of climate change on hydrologic cycle in Slovakia and results of observations in 1951–2007

The hydrologic cycle in Slovakia is determined mainly by three basic components: precipitation (P), evapotranspiration (E) and runoff (R). The mean annual P total was 747 mm, E sum 476 mm and the mean R was 271 mm in Slovakia in 1951–1980 (E ≈ 0.65P and R ≈ 0.35P). T increase in 1.6°C and annual P decrease in 24 mm (3.1%) were detected in the 1881–2007 period. Regimes of potential and actual evapotranspiration, soil moisture and R have been changed mainly in the southern Slovakia. A physical model for the estimation of the energy balance equation components (total radiation balance and its components, potential and actual evapotranspiration, sensible heat flux) has been developed. Input data are the air temperature and humidity, cloudiness, the number of days with snow cover and precipitation, all measured in the network of 31 meteorological stations in Slovakia since 1951. The 20-year period 1988–2007 was by 0.9°C warmer than the normal period mean. The observed increase is at the upper limit of all climate change scenarios projected for Slovakia in 1991–2001. Annual P totals have not changed significantly, but substantial changes have been found in the P regime. The scenarios show significant changes in the hydrological cycle not only at river basins balance but also in case of soil water balance, mainly in the southern Slovakia.     

Interrelations between respiration and dormancy in buds of three hardwood species with different chilling requirements for dormancy release

 Respiration in vegetative buds of mature Betula pendula, Alnus glutinosa and Prunus padus trees was measured monthly at 15°C from mid-October 1996 to natural outdoor budburst in April 1997. In B. pendula the effect of bud water content on respiration was also estimated (December–April) by artificial imbibition of buds for 24 h prior to measurement of respiration. For estimation of corresponding bud dormancy status, batches of twigs were forced at identical monthly intervals at 15°C in long days (24 h), and budburst recorded. In all species dormancy was deepest when the leaves were shed in October, and dormancy was first alleviated in P. padus followed by B. pendula and A. glutinosa. However, bud respiration capacity was not related to dormancy release as it decreased in all species from October to November and displayed no notable increase until February in P. padus, March in B. pendula and April in A. glutinosa, after completion of dormancy release. Rather, increase in respiration coincided with growth resumption prior to budburst. Artificial imbibition of B. pendula buds increased the water content by approximately 10% (FW) and induced a doubling of the respiration rate (December–February). Moreover, the seasonal variation in bud water content (October–April) explained 94% of the variation in respiration in B. pendula and P. padus, and 84% in A. glutinosa. These observations suggest an important role of water content for respiration. During a cold period from mid-December to mid-January with mean temperature of –9.7°C dormancy release was arrested in P. padus, and to some degree in A. glutinosa, whereas dormancy release progressed normally in B. pendula. This indicates species differences in lower critical temperatures for dormancy release. Received: 30 June 1997 / Acceped: 1 October 1997     

Interannual growth response of Norway spruce to climate along an altitudinal gradient in the Tatra Mountains, Poland

Ring-width chronologies of Picea abies (L.) Karst. from ten sites in the Tatra Mountains, Poland, were developed to explore growth/climate responses in stands along an altitudinal gradient ranging from 839 to 1468 m a.s.l. There were positive relationships between current-year radial growth and mean monthly temperatures in March, April, June and July, but with increasing elevation, the strength of this correlation declined for March–April and increased for June–July temperatures. The mean monthly temperature in October of the previous year positively influenced radial growth of trees at all sites. Lower mean temperatures in January negatively affected growth of trees at the high-elevation sites. Trees at the low-elevation sites responded positively to a warm early spring, whereas trees at the high-elevation sites showed positive growth responses to higher summer temperatures. Growth of trees at the high-elevation sites was better explained by the temperature regime than was growth at the lower-elevation sites. Therefore, it is likely that these sites may be particularly sensitive to potential effects of temperature change.     

基于树干液流及涡动相关技术的葡萄冠层蒸腾及蒸散发特征研究

针对西北干旱区绿洲经济作物葡萄树冠层蒸腾及蒸散发特征的相关问题,在甘肃省敦煌市南湖绿洲开展无核白葡萄树液流速率及蒸散发观测试验,采用基于热平衡原理的包裹式茎流计,详细分析了典型生长季7—9月份葡萄树蒸腾耗水规律,使用"单位叶面积上的平均液流速率SF×叶面积指数LAI"的方法,实现了从单株到林分冠层蒸腾的尺度扩展,并通过与涡动相关技术所测蒸散发数据对比,详细研究了葡萄地冠层蒸腾及蒸散发规律。结果表明:典型生长季中葡萄树液流速率日变化为单峰型曲线,日均耗水量从2.76 kg到10 kg不等,胸径越大的葡萄树日均耗水量越大;冠层蒸腾及蒸散发日变化曲线亦为单峰型,白天8:00—12:00与17:00—20:00期间,葡萄冠层蒸腾与蒸散发曲线均比较吻合,该时间段葡萄地蒸散发绝大部分来源于葡萄冠层蒸腾,而12:00—17:00之间由于午后太阳辐射强烈土壤蒸发量增加,葡萄蒸散发大于冠层蒸腾;典型生长季3个月中,葡萄冠层蒸腾量的变化范围在1.88—8.12 mm/d之间,日均冠层蒸腾量为6.12 mm/d,蒸散发在1.74 mm/d至10.78 mm/d之间,日均蒸散发量为7.13 mm/d;日均土壤蒸发量约为1.01 mm/d,只占总蒸散发量的14.2%,日均冠层蒸腾占日均蒸散发的比重达到85.8%,说明该生长阶段冠层蒸散发以作物蒸腾为主。     

宁夏陆地生态系统水分利用效率特征及其影响因子

生态系统水分利用效率(Water Use Efficiency, WUE)是表征生态系统碳水耦合程度的重要指标,能反映生态系统碳水循环规律及其相互作用关系。基于MODIS数据以及宁夏生态系统类型数据,分析2000—2017年宁夏不同生态系统WUE的变化特征,探讨了NPP和ET两种因子对WUE年际与年内变化的影响。结果表明:(1)全区陆地生态系统的年均WUE为1.03 g·C/kg·H_2O,值域在0.55—2.98 g·C/kg·H_2O之间,总体上呈现南北高、中部低的特征。(2)不同生态系统的WUE差异较大,由高到低为水体及湿地、森林、农田、草地、聚落、荒漠和其他生态系统,在同类生态系统中,植被生物量和盖度越高的亚类生态系统,其WUE也越高。(3)宁夏陆地生态系统WUE存在着每年0.0141 g·C/kg·H_2O的下降趋势,年内WUE呈典型的单峰形态,变化范围在0.02—2.16 g·C/kg·H_2O之间。(4)年际尺度上,宁夏陆地生态系统WUE与年蒸散(Evapotranspiration,ET)有极显著负相关性(P0.01),而与净初级生产力(Net Primary Production,NPP)没有相关性;年内尺度上,WUE变化与ET呈显著正相关(P0.05),与NPP呈极显著正相关(P0.01),这与植被的年内季节性生长过程有关。(5)根据ET强弱和WUE高低,可将宁夏陆地生态系统水分利用效率特征划分为4类,即低ET低WUE区、低ET高WUE区、高ET低WUE区和高ET高WUE区。宁夏的生态恢复工程在增强植被生产力的同时,也增强了区域水分消耗,致使陆地生态系统整体水分利用效率下降,这为宁夏未来水资源调控和生态重建提供了科学依据。     

基于改进SW模型的千烟洲人工林蒸散组分拆分及其特征

蒸散组分拆分是准确评估陆地生态系统生产力以及估算水分利用效率的重要基础。利用改进后的Shuttleworth-Wallace模型,将蒸散拆分为植被蒸腾、土壤蒸发和冠层截留蒸发,并采用Monte Carlo随机参数化方案对模型参数进行优化。将模型与千烟洲亚热带人工针叶林站点的2011年涡度相关及小气候观测资料结合,对千烟洲人工林蒸散及其组分进行模拟。研究结果表明:半小时尺度上蒸散量模拟值与实测值的一致性在晴天和雨天都较高。半小时尺度上全年蒸散模拟值与实测值的决定系数、均方根误差和平均偏差为0.73、1.55 mmol m~(-2)s~(-1)和0.21 mmol m~(-2)s~(-1)。蒸散是该生态系统水分输出的最主要贡献项,占全年降水的80%。在蒸散中,植被蒸腾约占总蒸散量的85%,可推测2011年千烟洲人工林生态系统有较高的水分利用效率。该生态系统的蒸腾量季节变化明显,主要受饱和水汽压差和气温两种环境因素以及植被的叶面积指数影响且与三者均呈正相关;土壤蒸发约占总蒸散量的5%,季节变化平缓;模拟的冠层截留蒸发量约占总蒸散量的10%,季节变化大,与降水量呈正相关,与暴雨频次呈负相关,说明冠层无法有效截留强降水。该模型参数较少、时间分辨率高且可以有效模拟蒸散及其组分特征,是陆地生态系统水分循环过程研究有力的模型工具。     

Estimating mean monthly incident solar radiation on horizontal and inclined slopes from mean monthly temperatures extremes

Although satellite-borne sensors are now available to estimate cloud cover and incoming short-wave radiation across the Earth’s surface, the study of climatic variation and its impact on terrestrial and marine ecosystems involves historical analyses of data from networks of weather stations that only record extremes in temperatures and precipitation on a daily basis. Similarly, when projections are made with global atmospheric circulation models, the spatial resolution of predicted radiation is too coarse to incorporate the effects of heterogeneous topography. In this paper, we review the development and set forth a set of general equations that allow both diffuse and direct solar radiation to be estimated for each month on the basis of mean daily maximum and minimum temperatures, latitude, elevation, slope, and aspect. Adjustments for differences in slope, aspect, and elevation are made by varying the fraction of diffuse and direct solar beam radiation. To test the equations on various slopes and under different climatic conditions, we drew on high-quality radiation data recorded at a number of sites on three continents. On horizontal surfaces the set of equations predicted both direct and diffuse components of solar radiation within 1%–7% of recorded values. On slopes, estimates of monthly mean solar radiation were with 13% of observed values with a mean error of less than 2 MJ m^–2day^–1 over any given month. Received: 22 October 1999 / Revised: 14 May 2000 / Accepted: 5 June 2000     

A new model estimating stonefly species production in the West Carpathian torrents

Samples of stoneflies were collected from 15 streams of Slovakia during 1976–2000. The model of growth rate is based on 219 data of 50 stonefly species. The non-linear relationship among growth rate (G) of stoneflies and monthly mean water temperature (T) and body mass (W) is described by equation: G = 0.014W ^−0.19 T ^0.25. The model estimates the species production of the families Taeniopterygidae, Nemouridae, Capniidae, Leuctridae and Perlodidae. This model is combined with Morin’s & Dumont’s (1994) model for Perlidae and Chloroperlidae. There is positive evidence that the total stonefly production of mountain and submountain streams increases with discharge. On the other hand, increasing altitude has a negative influence on production.     

Transpiration and whole-tree conductance in ponderosa pine trees of different heights

Changes in leaf physiology with tree age and size could alter forest growth, water yield, and carbon fluxes. We measured tree water flux (Q) for 14 ponderosa pine trees in two size classes (12 m tall and ∼40 years old, and 36 m tall and ∼ 290 years old) to determine if transpiration (E) and whole-tree conductance (g _t) differed between the two sizes of trees. For both size classes, E was approximately equal to Q measured 2 m above the ground: Q was most highly correlated with current, not lagged, water vapor pressure deficit, and night Q was <12% of total daily flux. E for days 165–195 and 240–260 averaged 0.97 mmol m^–2 (leaf area, projected) s^–1 for the 12-m trees and 0.57 mmol m^–2 (leaf area) s^–1 for the 36-m trees. When photosynthetically active radiation (I _P) exceeded the light saturation for photosynthesis in ponderosa pine (900 μmol m^–2 (ground) s^–1), differences in E were more pronounced: 2.4 mmol m^–2 (leaf area) s^–1 for the 12-m trees and 1.2 mmol m^–2 s^–1 for the 36-m trees, yielding g _t of 140 mmol m^–2 (leaf area) s^–1 for the 12-m trees and 72 mmol m^–2 s^–1 for the 36-m trees. Extrapolated to forests with leaf area index =1, the 36-m trees would transpire 117 mm between 1 June and 31 August compared to 170 mm for the 12-m trees, a difference of 15% of average annual precipitation. Lower g _t in the taller trees also likely lowers photosynthesis during the growing season. Received: 19 April 1999 / Accepted: 23 March 2000     

Effects of elevated CO2 and vascular plants on evapotranspiration in bog vegetation

We determined evapotranspiration in three experiments designed to study the effects of elevated CO₂ and increased N deposition on ombrotrophic bog vegetation. Two experiments used peat monoliths with intact bog vegetation in containers, with one experiment outdoors and the other in a greenhouse. A third experiment involved monocultures and mixtures of Sphagnum magellanicum and Eriophorum angustifolium in containers in the same greenhouse. To determine water use of the bog vegetation in July–August for each experiment and each year we measured water inputs and outputs from the containers. We studied the effects of elevated CO₂ and N supply on evapotranspiration in relation to vascular plant biomass and exposure of the moss surface (measured as height of the moss surface relative to the container edge). Elevated CO₂ reduced water use of the bog vegetation in all three experiments, but the CO₂ effect on evapotranspiration interacted with vascular plant biomass and exposure of the moss surface. Evapotranspiration in the outdoor experiment was largely determined by evaporation from the Sphagnum moss surface (as affected by exposure to wind) and less so by vascular plant transpiration. Nevertheless, elevated CO₂ significantly reduced evapotranspiration by 9–10% in the outdoor experiment. Vascular plants reduced evapotranspiration in the outdoor experiment, but increased water use in the greenhouse experiments. The relation between vascular plant abundance and evapotranspiration appears to depend on wind conditions; suggesting that vascular plants reduce water losses mainly by reducing wind speed at the moss surface. Sphagnum growth is very sensitive to changes in water level; low water availability can have deleterious effects. As a consequence, reduced evapotranspiration in summer, whether caused by elevated CO₂ or by small increases in vascular plant cover, is expected to favour Sphagnum growth in ombrotrophic bog vegetation.     

Interactive effect of CO2 enrichment and temperature on the photosynthesis of field-grown hinoki cypress (Chamaecyparis obtusa) branches

Two branches of a field-grown Chamaecy-paris obtusa tree were enclosed in chambers of an open gas exchange system for continuous CO₂ exchange measurements. One branch was subjected to ambient air (CO₂, 370 μmol mol^–1) and the other was subjected to CO₂-enriched air (800 μmol mol^–1). The CO₂ exchange rate of the branches, air temperature and photosynthetic photon flux density were recorded every 4 min by a computer during the two experimental periods of July 1994 to June 1995 (experiment 1) and April 1996 to August 1997 (experiment 2). The response of CO₂ gas exchange rate to light changed with the seasonal temperature. The highest saturated rate of net photosynthesis on a leaf area basis was observed in May and October in both CO₂ treatments when the mean daytime temperature was about 18–19°C. This temperature was almost equal to the yearly mean daytime temperature. Above and below this temperature, the saturated net photosynthesis rate decreased. The net photosynthesis rate was usually higher in the elevated CO₂ treatment. The ratio of monthly net photosynthesis rate in elevated CO₂ to that in ambient CO₂ was linearly related to the monthly mean daytime temperature. This ratio increased by 3.3% for each 1°C increase in the monthly mean daytime temperature; the highest ratio of 1.8 occurred in August. When the ratio was 1.0, the temperature was about 5–6°C, which was close to the mean daytime temperature of the coldest month. Elevated CO₂ increased per unit area net photosynthesis by 38.5% and 43.7% in experiments 1 and 2, respectively. Received: 29 March 1999 / Accepted: 22 October 1999     

The effects of temperature, altitude and latitude on the arrival and departure dates of the swallow Hirundo rustica in the Slovak Republic

The (barn) swallow Hirundo rustica is a traditional harbinger of spring in many countries of the Northern Hemisphere. This paper uses information on the arrival and departure dates of the swallow in the Slovak Republic for the 30 years 1961–1985 and 1996–2000. Records were taken at 19 locations throughout the Republic representing an altitude range from 105 m to 760 m. Monthly temperature data were constructed from six meteorological stations. With the use of regression techniques, trends towards later arrival, earlier departure and the effects of latitude, altitude and temperature are all apparent. Received: 25 October 2000 / Revised: 23 April 2001 / Accepted: 23 April 2001     

Stomatal response to humidity and CO2 implicated in recent decline in US evaporation

Evapotranspiration, defined as the total flux of water from the land surface to the atmosphere, is a major component of the hydrologic cycle and surface energy balance. Although evapotranspiration is expected to intensify with increasing temperatures, long‐term, regional trends in evapotranspiration remain uncertain due to spatially and temporally limited direct measurements. In this study, we utilize an emergent relation between the land surface and atmospheric boundary layer to infer daily evapotranspiration from historical meteorological data collected at 236 weather stations across the United States. Our results suggest a statistically significant (α = 0.05) decrease in evapotranspiration of approximately 6% from 1961 to 2014, with a significant (α = 0.05) sharp decline of 13% from 1998 to 2014. We attribute the decrease in evapotranspiration mostly to declines in surface conductance, but also to offsetting changes in longwave radiation, wind speed, and incoming solar radiation. Using an established stomatal conductance model, we explain the changes in inferred surface conductance as a response to increases in carbon dioxide and, more recently, to an abrupt decrease in atmospheric humidity.     

基于Penman-Monteith方程模拟青海云杉生长季日蒸腾过程

青海云杉（Picea crassifolia）作为我国黄土高原与青藏高原地区的主要造林树种,对其林分蒸腾耗水特征的研究,能够更合理的指导该地区植被重建与林分调控,以加强林分的稳定性,提高水分利用效率。为了揭示青海云杉在生长季内的冠层蒸腾规律以及冠层整体气孔阻力与环境因子的响应,评价Penman-Monteith方程在青海云杉冠层尺度上的适用性,采用探针式热扩散茎流计（TDP）进行测定,同步长期监测了环境数据,利用反推法建立冠层整体气孔阻力（r_sT）与环境因子之间的回归模型,结合Penman-Monteith方程模拟出青海云杉生长季的日蒸腾量,采用均方根误差、平均绝对误差和平均相对误差对蒸腾量的实测值与模拟值进行误差分析,以验证模型的准确性。得出的主要结论有：（1）生长季内青海云杉日蒸腾量随月份变化呈先增高后降低的趋势;各月蒸腾量占潜在蒸散量的比例为7月（79.68%） > 8月（72.71%） > 6月（72.53%） > 5月（67.08%） > 9月（66.48%） > 10月（64.29%）;（2）树干液流对气象因子的滞后时间为0.5 h;（3）不同月份云杉冠层整体气孔阻力（r_sT）与空气相对湿度（RH）呈正相关关系,与大气温度（T）、饱和水汽压差（VPD）呈负相关关系;（4）应用所建立的多因素回归模型结合Penman-Monteith方程对青海云杉蒸腾量进行模拟验证,累计平均相对误差为14.381%,平均绝对误差为0.160 mm,均方根误差为0.2。综上所述,Penman-Monteith方程在林分冠层尺度上有较好适用性根据所建立的多因素回归模型并结合Penman-Monteith方程,可以利用饱和水汽压差、温度和空气相对湿度三个气象因子较好地模拟日蒸腾过程。     

Effects of sap velocity on the daytime increase of stem CO2 efflux from stems of Schima superba trees

Stem CO₂ efflux (E _s) has been estimated from a temperature-related equation, but sap flux often affects measurements of E _s, which leads to misunderstanding real stem respiration. In order to observe the relationship between E _s and stem temperature and to analyze the effect of sap velocity on E _s, stem temperature, E _s and sap flux were measured from a subtropical Schima superba plantation in South China on three trees for consecutive 3 days in July and October 2009. Stem temperature, E _s and sap velocity were significantly higher in July than in October. Stem temperature could explain 17–41 and 54–75% variations of E _s in July and October, respectively. A negative relationship between E _s and stem temperature was found during 1800–2300 hours in July. The daytime E _s was 9.2, 4.3 and 2.4% higher than the predicted for three trees in July, and this occurred only on Tree 1 in October. Sap velocity was positively correlated with E _s for three trees in July, and the increase of E _s with the increase of sap velocity was only observed on Tree 1 in October. These results demonstrated that the occurrence of sap flux could account for the increase of daytime E _s, and the effect of sap velocity on E _s varied with the seasons from the S. superba stem.     

基于SEBAL模型的西北农牧交错带生长季蒸散发估算及变化特征分析

蒸散发是土壤-植被-大气系统中水循环和能量交换的主要组成部分,准确估算区域蒸散发对农业用水调度与水资源的管理至关重要。利用MODIS数据产品结合地面气象站的观测资料,基于能量平衡原理建立的SEBAL(Surface Energy Balance Algorithms for Land)模型对西北农牧交错带2015年生长季(4—10月)的地表蒸散发量进行反演研究,并用Penman-Monteith(P-M)公式结合作物系数对模型的估算结果进行对比,结果表明:SEBAL模型估算结果与P-M公式之间的平均绝对误差为0.79mm/d,均方根误差为0.94mm/d,R²=0.76,整体反演值偏高,但基本能满足本地区的研究需求。生长季区域日均蒸散发的变化范围为0.12—10.66mm/d,日蒸散量均值为4.31mm/d,呈东北、西南部较高,西部偏低的空间分布特征。将蒸散发估算值与地表特征参数统计分析发现蒸散发与NDVI和地表净辐射之间呈正相关,与地表温度和地表反照率之间呈负相关;不同土地利用/覆被类型的日蒸散发量由大到小依次为:耕地、林地、未利用地与草地。     

Dynamics of adhesive rupture between fibroblasts and fibronectin: microplate manipulations and deterministic model

To characterize the dynamics of cell-substrate adhesive rupture, we used a novel micromanipulation technique, in which individual fibroblasts seized on a rigid microplate were placed into contact with a fibronectin-coated flexible microplate, then pulled away. The fibronectin density (0–3000 molecules/μm²) and the pulling rate (1–10 μm/s) were controlled. The extent of the contact zone decreased to zero at a time threshold corresponding to adhesive rupture. The uniaxial force at the interface, computed from the deflection of the microplate, increased linearly with time and reached a maximum before dropping to zero. A deterministic model, focusing on the mean number of bonds between fibronectin and its membrane receptor on the cell surface, shows rapid rupture when the force reaches a critical value, in agreement with experimental observations. Increasing the ligand density and the rate of load raises the maximal force (30–200 nN), in reasonably good agreement with the model predictions. Minimization of error between experimental and simulated forces allowed identification of two physicochemical properties of the bond, i.e. its association rate constant (k ^2D _on=3 × 10⁻⁴ μm²/s) and structural length (d=3 nm). These results may help understand better fibroblast locomotion and interaction with the extracellular matrix. Received: 2 November 1999 / Revised version: 23 March 2000 / Accepted: 19 April 2000     

1971-2010年中国大陆潜在蒸散变化的年代际转折及其成因

潜在蒸散时间演变的年代际转折研究有助于全面认识潜在蒸散对气候变化的响应。基于修正的FAO56 Penman-Monteith公式和中国580个台站逐日气象观测资料,利用气候变化趋势转折判别模型分析了1971—2010年中国潜在蒸散变化的年代际转折特征,并探讨转折前、后的变化趋势及其主导因素。结果表明:1971—2010年中国年平均潜在蒸散在20世纪90年代初期由显著下降(-2.46 mm/a)转变为显著上升(1.57 mm/a),这与影响潜在蒸散变化的4个气象因子趋势的年代际转折密切相关。90年代之前,全国风速和日照时数普遍下降引起的负贡献超过气温上升引起的正贡献,导致潜在蒸散显著下降;90年代之后,全国大部分地区的增暖加剧和干旱化使得气温和相对湿度的正贡献明显增大,超过由于风速和日照时数下降趋势减缓甚至转折而减小的负贡献,导致潜在蒸散显著上升。潜在蒸散趋势转折现象在全国80%以上的站点普遍存在,且转折前、后主导因子的空间分布格局存在差异。90年代之前,风速和日照时数分别是北方和南方多数站点的主导因子;90年代之后,以气温和相对湿度为主导因子的站点明显增多,尤其是在西北地区、青藏高原和东南沿海部分地区。     

Surface Rheology Parameters of Source-Specific Surfactant Films as Indicators of Organic Matter Dynamics

The paper contains the results of natural film experiments carried out on inland and coastal waters in the Dead Vistula catchment area and mouth during 2000–2002, using the integrated Langmuir trough–Wilhelmy plate system. The static film parameters result from the generalized scaling procedures applied to the surface pressure–area isotherms. They appear to reflect in a quantitative and sensitive way the film composition (A_lim, M_w, E_isoth), film solubility and the miscibility of its components (via R, ΔS_c and y factors), and surface concentration (π_eq, Γ_eq). The adsorption kinetics parameters: effective diffusion coefficient D_eff/D and activation energy barrier E_a/RT are derived from dynamic surface pressure. There is a reason to suggest that certain classes of film-forming components or ‘end-members’ may dominate the static and dynamic surface properties. Variation in the surface rheological parameters of source-specific biosurfactants is postulated to reflect organic matter dynamics in natural waters and were measured for the Dead Vistula river, its tributaries and the adjacent coastal area.     

Changes in the seasonality of mortality in Germany from 1946 to 1995: the role of temperature

 Based on records from the Federal Bureau for Statistics of Germany, the seasonality of mortality was investigated for the period 1946–1995. Lowest mortality rates were found during summer (August or September) while highest values were found in winter (January through March). Non-linear regression of all monthly mortality data with the average monthly temperatures in Germany revealed a significant negative relationship (r=–0.739; n=600; P<0.0001). The fact that the differences between the long-range monthly temperatures and the individual monthly temperatures also showed a distinct relationship to the mortality rates speaks against a mere coincidence of both parameters. The amplitude of this seasonal rhythm declined steadily within the observation period. It is concluded that low temperatures cause an increase in mortality rates and that this effect has become less important during recent decades due to the increased use of central heating and because of improvements in the public health system. Received: 27 April 1998 / Revised: 10 July 1998 / Accepted: 9 September 1998