Covariance between relatives in multibreed populations: additive model

Covariance between relatives in a multibreed population was derived for an additive model with multiple unlinked loci. An efficient algorithm to compute the inverse of the additive genetic covariance matrix is given. For an additive model, the variance for a crossbred individual is a function of the additive variances for the pure breeds, the covariance between parents, and segregation variances. Provided that the variance of a crossbred individual is computed as presented here, the covariance between crossbred relatives can be computed using formulae for purebred populations. For additive traits the inverse of the genotypic covariance matrix given here can be used both to obtain genetic evaluations by best linear unbiased prediction and to estimate genetic parameters by maximum likelihood in multibreed populations. For nonadditive traits, the procedure currently used to analyze multibreed data can be improved using the theory presented here to compute additive covariances together with a suitable approximation for nonadditive covariances.Supported in part by the Illinois Agricultural Experiment Station, Hatch Projects 35-0345 (RLF) and 35-0367 (MG)     

Use of Multiple Genetic Markers in Prediction of Breeding Values

Genotypes at a marker locus give information on transmission of genes from parents to offspring and that information can be used in predicting the individuals' additive genetic value at a linked quantitative trait locus (MQTL). In this paper a recursive method is presented to build the gametic relationship matrix for an autosomal MQTL which requires knowledge on recombination rate between the marker locus and the MQTL linked to it. A method is also presented to obtain the inverse of the gametic relationship matrix. This information can be used in a mixed linear model for simultaneous evaluation of fixed effects, gametic effects at the MQTL and additive genetic effects due to quantitative trait loci unlinked to the marker locus (polygenes). An equivalent model can be written at the animal level using the numerator relationship matrix for the MQTL and a method for obtaining the inverse of this matrix is presented. Information on several unlinked marker loci, each of them linked to a different locus affecting the trait of interest, can be used by including an effect for each MQTL. The number of equations per animal in this case is 2m + 1 where m is the number of MQTL. A method is presented to reduce the number of equations per animal to one by combining information on all MQTL and polygenes into one numerator relationship matrix. It is illustrated how the method can accommodate individuals with partial or no marker information. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the methods presented. Opportunities to use the presented model in constructing genetic maps are discussed.     

The effect of using approximate gametic variance covariance matrices on marker assisted selection by BLUP

Under additive inheritance, the Henderson mixed model equations (HMME) provide an efficient approach to obtaining genetic evaluations by marker assisted best linear unbiased prediction (MABLUP) given pedigree relationships, trait and marker data. For large pedigrees with many missing markers, however, it is not feasible to calculate the exact gametic variance covariance matrix required to construct HMME. The objective of this study was to investigate the consequences of using approximate gametic variance covariance matrices on response to selection by MABLUP. Two methods were used to generate approximate variance covariance matrices. The first method (Method A) completely discards the marker information for individuals with an unknown linkage phase between two flanking markers. The second method (Method B) makes use of the marker information at only the most polymorphic marker locus for individuals with an unknown linkage phase. Data sets were simulated with and without missing marker data for flanking markers with 2, 4, 6, 8 or 12 alleles. Several missing marker data patterns were considered. The genetic variability explained by marked quantitative trait loci (MQTL) was modeled with one or two MQTL of equal effect. Response to selection by MABLUP using Method A or Method B were compared with that obtained by MABLUP using the exact genetic variance covariance matrix, which was estimated using 15 000 samples from the conditional distribution of genotypic values given the observed marker data. For the simulated conditions, the superiority of MABLUP over BLUP based only on pedigree relationships and trait data varied between 0.1% and 13.5% for Method A, between 1.7% and 23.8% for Method B, and between 7.6% and 28.9% for the exact method. The relative performance of the methods under investigation was not affected by the number of MQTL in the model.     

A model for marker-assisted selection among single crosses with multiple genetic markers

 Trait means of marker genotypes are often inconsistent across experiments, thereby hindering the use of regression techniques in marker-assisted selection. Best linear unbiased prediction based on trait and marker data (TM-BLUP) does not require prior information on the mean effects associated with specific marker genotypes and, consequently, may be useful in applied breeding programs. The objective of this paper is to present a flanking-marker, TM-BLUP model that is applicable to interpopulation single crosses that characterize maize (Zea mays L.) breeding programs. The performance of a single cross is modeled as the sum of testcross additive and dominance effects at unmarked quantitative trait loci (QTL) and at marked QTL (MQTL). The TM-BLUP model requires information on the recombination frequencies between flanking markers and the MQTL and on MQTL variances. A tabular method is presented for calculating the conditional probability that MQTL alleles in two inbreds are identical by descent given the observed marker genotypes (G ^k _obs) at the kth MQTL. Information on identity by descent of MQTL alleles can then be used to calculate the conditional covariance of MQTL effects between single crosses given G ^k _obs. The inverse of the covariance matrix for dominance effects at unmarked QTL and MQTL can be written directly from the inverse of the covariance matrices of the corresponding testcross additive effects. In practice, the computations required in TM-BLUP may be prohibitive. The computational requirements may be reduced with simplified TM-BLUP models wherein dominance effects at MQTL are excluded, only the single crosses that have been tested are included, or information is pooled across several MQTL. Received: 22 June 1997 / Accepted: 25 February 1998     

Estimating linkage disequilibrium between a polymorphic marker locus and a trait locus in natural populations.

Positional cloning of gene(s) underlying a complex trait requires a high-resolution linkage map between the trait locus and genetic marker loci. Recent research has shown that this may be achieved through appropriately modeling and screening linkage disequilibrium between the candidate marker locus and the major trait locus. A quantitative genetics model was developed in the present study to estimate the coefficient of linkage disequilibrium between a polymorphic genetic marker locus and a locus underlying a quantitative trait as well as the relevant genetic parameters using the sample from randomly mating populations. Asymptotic covariances of the maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters were formulated. Convergence of the EM-based statistical algorithm for calculating the maximum-likelihood estimates was confirmed and its utility to analyze practical data was exploited by use of extensive Monte-Carlo simulations. Appropriateness of calculating the asymptotic covariance matrix in the present model was investigated for three different approaches. Numerical analyses based on simulation data indicated that accurate estimation of the genetic parameters may be achieved if a sample size of 500 is used and if segregation at the trait locus explains not less than a quarter of phenotypic variation of the trait, but the study reveals difficulties in predicting the asymptotic variances of these maximum-likelihood estimates. A comparison was made between the statistical powers of the maximum-likelihood analysis and the previously proposed regression analysis for detecting the disequilibrium.     

The Contribution of Quantitative Trait Loci and Neutral Marker Loci to the Genetic Variances and Covariances among Quantitative Traits in Random Mating Populations

Using Cockerham's approach of orthogonal scales, we develop genetic models for the effect of an arbitrary number of multiallelic quantitative trait loci (QTLs) or neutral marker loci (NMLs) upon any number of quantitative traits. These models allow the unbiased estimation of the contributions of a set of marker loci to the additive and dominance variances and covariances among traits in a random mating population. The method has been applied to an analysis of allozyme and quantitative data from the European oyster. The contribution of a set of marker loci may either be real, when the markers are actually QTLs, or apparent, when they are NMLs that are in linkage disequilibrium with hidden QTLs. Our results show that the additive and dominance variances contributed by a set of NMLs are always minimum estimates of the corresponding variances contributed by the associated QTLs. In contrast, the apparent contribution of the NMLs to the additive and dominance covariances between two traits may be larger than, equal to or lower than the actual contributions of the QTLs. We also derive an expression for the expected variance explained by the correlation between a quantitative trait and multilocus heterozygosity. This correlation explains only a part of the genetic variance contributed by the markers, i.e., in general, a combination of additive and dominance variances and, thus, provides only very limited information relative to the method supplied here.     

Simulation of marker-assisted selection utilizing linkage disequilibrium: the effects of several additional factors

Use was made of our published model and methods to investigate the effects of several additional factors on marker-assisted selection (MAS) utilizing linkage disequilibrium. The additional factors were: size of the sample used to estimate the marker quantitative trait locus (MQTL) association effects, the method used to estimate the MQTL effects, use of the average of the top MQTL estimates in selection rather than individual estimates, size of the selection population, and the crossing of duplicate selection lines to generate further linkage disequilibrium and further selection response. The average map distance between the quantitative trait loci (QTLs) and their nearest marker was 0.15 Morgans. Use of estimates of MQTL effects derived by least squares yielded smaller selection responses than estimates derived by mixed-model methods. Selection responses were also reduced by using a smaller sample for estimating the associations because MQTL effects were less well estimated. This applied to selection on the MQTL effects themselves and to selection combining the MQTL with phenotypic information. Thus, poorly estimated MQTL effects added noise to the system and reduced selection response in combined selection. Using the average of the top MQTL estimates, rather than individual estimates, also reduced selection response. New linkage disequilibrium, generated by crossing two lines selected from the same population, did not lead to additional selection response in the cross line. These results show limitations to MAS using linkage disequilibrium until close linkages of markers and QTLs are available.     

A mixed model method to predict QTL-cluster effects using trait and marker information in a multi-group population.

In this study, a mixed model method using trait phenotype and marker information was developed for genetic evaluation of animals in a crossbred population originated from several founder genetic groups. The situation in which a cluster of QTLs is located in a particular chromosome region and is marked by two flanking markers is considered. With this method, the conditional expectation of the identity-by-descent proportion for the QTL-cluster marked and the genetic variances and covariances, given genetic group and marker information, are properly taken into account. The structure of segregation variance used in this method is different from that in the case of a single QTL marked. The current method provides best linear unbiased estimation of the relevant fixed effects and best linear unbiased prediction of the additive effects for the QTL-cluster marked and of the additive effects of the remaining polygenes. A small numerical example is given to illustrate the current prediction procedure.     

On selection criteria and estimation of parameters when the variance is heterogeneous

Summary Procedures for ranking candidates for selection and for estimating genetic and environmental parameters when variances are heterogeneous are discussed. The best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) accounts automatically for heterogeneous variance provided that the covariance structure is known and that the assumptions of the model hold. Under multivariate normality BLUP allowing for heterogeneous variance maximizes expected genetic progress. Examples of application of BLUP to selection when residual or genetic variances are heterogeneous are given. Restricted maximum likelihood estimation of heterogeneous variances and covariances via the expectation-maximization algorithm is presented.     

Marker assisted selection for the improvement of two antagonistic traits under mixed inheritance

A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the potential of Marker Assisted Selection (MAS) in a multiple-trait situation. Only additive effects were considered. The base population was assumed to be in linkage equilibrium and, next, the population was managed over 15 discrete generations, 10 males and 50 females were chosen out of the 100 candidates of each sex. Performance for two traits was simulated with an overall heritability of a given trait equal to 0.25 or 0.10 and the overall genetic correlation between traits was generally equal to -0.4 except in one case where it was equal to 0. The model involved one biallelic QTL, accounting for 10 or 20% of the genetic variance of a given trait, plus polygenes. Initial allelic frequencies at the QTL were generally equal to 0.5 but in one case were equal to 0.1 and 0.9. A marker with 120 different alleles in the 60 founder parents was simulated in the vicinity of the QTL. Two values of the recombination rate between these two loci were considered, 0.10 and 0.02. The genetic evaluation was based on a multiple-trait BLUP animal model, accounting (MAS) or not (conventional BLUP) for marker information. Two sets of simulations were run: (1) a "missing data"case, with males having no record for one of the traits, and (2) a "secondary trait"case, with one trait having a weight in the aggregate genotype 4 times less than the other trait and the QTL acting only on this secondary trait. In the first set, evaluation methods were found to mainly affect the accuracy of overall genetic values prediction for the trait with missing data. In comparison with BLUP, MAS led to an extra overall genetic response for the trait with missing data, which was strongly penalised under the conventional BLUP, and to a deficit in response for the other trait. This more balanced evolution of the two traits was obtained, however, at the expense of the long-term overall cumulated response for the aggregate genotype, which was 1 to 2.5% lower than the one obtained under the conventional BLUP. In the second set of simulation, in the case of low initial frequency (0.1) of the QTL allele favourable to the secondary trait, MAS was found to be substantially more efficient to avoid losing this allele than BLUP only when the QTL had a large effect and the marker was close. More benefits should be expected from MAS with more specific applications, such as early selection of animals, or by applying dynamic procedures i.e. letting the respective weights to QTL and polygenic values in the selection criterion vary across generation.     

Maximum likelihood techniques for the mapping and analysis of quantitative trait loci with the aid of genetic markers

A method is presented to estimate the biometric parameters of a quantitative trait locus linked to a genetic marker when both loci are segregating in the F-2 generation of a cross between two inbred lines. The method, which assumes underlying normal distributions, is a combination of maximum likelihood and moments methods and uses the statistics of the genetic marker genotype samples for the quantitative trait to estimate the recombination frequency between the two loci and the means and variances of the genotypes of the quantitative trait locus. With this method, the genetic parameters of a locus affecting plant height linked to an electrophoretic marker for esterase were accurately estimated from a sample of 1596 F-2 progeny of a cross between two species of Lycopersicon (tomato). Linkage distance between the two loci was 38 map units and the effect of the quantitative trait locus was 1.6 phenotypic standard deviation units. Accurate estimates of the genetic parameters and linkage distance for populations of 2000 individuals simulated with a segregating codominant locus with an effect of 1.63 standard deviations linked to a genetic marker with .2 recombination were also derived by this method. The method is not effective in distinguishing between complete and partial linkage in samples of only 500 individuals or for quantitative loci with effects less than a phenotypic standard deviation. The method is more effective for codominant than for dominant loci.     

Developmental interactions and the constituents of quantitative variation

Development is the process by which genotypes are transformed into phenotypes. Consequently, development determines the relationship between allelic and phenotypic variation in a population and, therefore, the patterns of quantitative genetic variation and covariation of traits. Understanding the developmental basis of quantitative traits may lead to insights into the origin and evolution of quantitative genetic variation, the evolutionary fate of populations, and, more generally, the relationship between development and evolution. Herein, we assume a hierarchical, modular structure of trait development and consider how epigenetic interactions among modules during ontogeny affect patterns of phenotypic and genetic variation. We explore two developmental models, one in which the epigenetic interactions between modules result in additive effects on character expression and a second model in which these epigenetic interactions produce nonadditive effects. Using a phenotype landscape approach, we show how changes in the developmental processes underlying phenotypic expression can alter the magnitude and pattern of quantitative genetic variation. Additive epigenetic effects influence genetic variances and covariances, but allow trait means to evolve independently of the genetic variances and covariances, so that phenotypic evolution can proceed without changing the genetic covariance structure that determines future evolutionary response. Nonadditive epigenetic effects, however, can lead to evolution of genetic variances and covariances as the mean phenotype evolves. Our model suggests that an understanding of multivariate evolution can be considerably enriched by knowledge of the mechanistic basis of character development.     

Genetic correlation and response to selection in simulated populations

Summary Effects of truncation selection of a primary trait upon genetic correlation with a secondary trait were examined over 30 generations in genetic populations simulated by computer. Populations were 24 males and 24 females mated randomly with replacement; number of offspring was determined by intensity of selection. Each trait was controlled by 48 loci segregating independently, effects were equal at every locus, and gene frequency was arbitrarily set at 0.5 at each locus in the initial generation. All combinations of three genetic correlations, three intensities of selection, and three environmental variances were simulated. Gene action was additive. Genetic correlation was set by number of loci which affected both traits and was measured each generation as the product-moment correlation of genotypic values and estimated by two methods of combining phenotypic covariances between parent and offspring.Genetic correlations in each offspring generation remained consistently near initial correlations for all environmental variances when fraction of offspring saved as parents was as large as one-half. When the fraction of offspring saved was as small as one-fifth, genetic correlations decreased but most rapidly with heritability high and after the 15th generation of selection. Truncation selection caused genetic correlation to decrease in those offspring selected to become parents of the next generation. Amount of reduction depended on heritability of the selected trait rather than on degree of truncation selection. Estimates of genetic correlation from phenotypic covariances between parent and offspring fluctuated markedly from real correlations in the small populations simulated.Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station Journal Article 4836. Part of North Central Regional Project NC-2.     

Multiple regression for molecular-marker,quantitative trait data from large F2 populations

Molecular marker-quantitative trait associations are important for breeders to recognize and understand to allow application in selection. This work was done to provide simple, intuitive explanations of trait-marker regression for large samples from an F₂ and to examine the properties of the regression estimators. Beginning with a(- 1,0,1) coding of marker classes and expected frequencies in the F₂, expected values, variances, and covariances of marker variables were calculated. Simple linear regression and regression of trait values on two markers were computed. The sum of coefficient estimates for the flanking-marker regression is asymptotically unbiased for an included additive effect with complete interference, and is only slightly biased with no interference and moderately close (15 cM) marker spacing. The variance of the sum of regression coefficients is much more stable for small recombination distances than variances of individual coefficients. Multiple regression of trait variables on coded marker variables can be interpreted as the product of the inverse of the marker correlation matrix R and the vector a of simple linear regression estimators for each marker. For no interference, elements of the correlation matrix R can be written as products of correlations between adjacent markers. The inverse of R is displayed and used to illustrate the solution vector. Only markers immediately flanking trait loci are expected to have non-zero values and, with at least two marker loci between each trait locus, the solution vector is expected to be the sum of solutions for each trait locus. Results of this work should allow breeders to test for intervals in which trait loci are located and to better interpret results of the trait-marker regression.     

RESISTANCE OF GENETIC CORRELATION STRUCTURE TO DIRECTIONAL SELECTION IN DROSOPHILA MELANOGASTER

The genetic covariance and correlation matrices for five morphological traits were estimated from four populations of fruit flies, Drosophila melanogaster, to measure the extent of change in genetic covariances as a result of directional selection. Two of the populations were derived from lines that had undergone selection for large or small thorax length over the preceding 23 generations. A third population was constituted using flies from control lines that were maintained with equivalent population sizes as the selected lines. The fourth population contained flies from the original cage population from which the selected and control lines had been started. Tests of the homogeneity of covariance matrices using maximum likelihood techniques revealed significant changes in covariance structure among the selected lines. Prediction of base population trait means from selected line means under the assumption of constant genetic covariances indicated that genetic covariances for the small population differed more from the base population than did the covariances for the large population. The predicted small population means diverged farther from the expected means because the additive genetic variance associated with several traits increased in value and most of the genetic covariances associated with one trait changed in sign. These results illustrate that genetic covariances may remain nearly constant in some situations while changing markedly in others. Possible developmental reasons for the genetic changes are discussed.     

Genetic evaluation methods for populations with dominance and inbreeding

Summary The effect of inbreeding on mean and genetic covariance matrix for a quantitative trait in a population with additive and dominance effects is shown. This genetic covariance matrix is a function of five relationship matrices and five genetic parameters describing the population. Elements of the relationship matrices are functions of Gillois (1964) identity coefficients for the four genes at a locus in two individuals. The equivalence of the path coefficient method (Jacquard 1966) and the tabular method (Smith and Mäki-Tanila 1990) to compute the covariance matrix of additive and dominance effects in a population with inbreeding is shown. The tabular method is modified to compute relationship matrices rather than the covariance matrix, which is trait dependent. Finally, approximate and exact Best Linear Unbiased Predictions (BLUP) of additive and dominance effects are compared using simulated data with inbreeding but no directional selection. The trait simulated was affected by 64 unlinked biallelic loci with equal effect and complete dominance. Simulated average inbreeding levels ranged from zero in generation one to 0.35 in generation five. The approximate method only accounted for the effect of inbreeding on mean and additive genetic covariance matrix, whereas the exact accounted for all of the changes in mean and genetic covariance matrix due to inbreeding. Approximate BLUP, which is computable for large populations where exact BLUP is not feasible, yielded unbiased predictions of additive and dominance effects in each generation with only slightly reduced accuracies relative to exact BLUP.     

Best linear prediction of breeding values in a forest tree improvement program

Summary Best Linear Prediction (BLP) was used to predict breeding values for 1,396 parents from progeny test data in an operational slash pine breeding program. BLP rankings of parents were compared to rankings of averaged standard scores, a common approach in forestry. Using BLP rankings, selection of higher ranking parents tends to choose parents in a larger number of more precise progeny tests. The trend is the opposite with standard scores; higher ranking parents tend to be those in fewer, less precise tests. BLP and a related methodology, Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (BLUP), were developed by dairy cattle breeders and have not been used widely outside of animal breeding for predicting breeding values from messy progeny test data. Application of either of these techniques usually requires simplifying assumptions to keep the problem computationally tractable. The more appropriate technique for a given application depends upon which set of assumptions are better for the given problem. An assumption of homogeneous genetic and error variances and covariances, generally made by animal breeders when applying BLUP, was inappropriate for our data. We employed an approach that treated fixed effects as known and treated the same trait measured in different environments as different traits with heterogeneous variance structures. As tree improvement programs become more complex, the ease with which BLP and BLUP handle messy data and incorporate diverse sources of information should make these techniques appealing to forest tree breeders.     

Effect of various parameter combinations on genetic gain in computer simulated two-character selection

Summary In a simulation study, the effect of various parameter combinations such as linkage, dominance, heritability, and economic weights on the individual trait means was investigated using additive genetic, genotypic and the phenotypic index of Elston (1963). The characters responded differently to these indices under various parameter combinations, indicating favourable and unfavourable effects of the mentioned parameters. Linkage was found to reduce the rate of progress through selection. Depression of genetic gain was greater where the genes governing a character showed dominance and/or heritability coefficients were low. It was, however, noticed that depression of genetic gain due to low heritability of a character could be avoided by assigning higher economic weight to that character. This suggests that desirable changes in the means of characters available for selection can be manipulated by choosing appropriate economic weights. The additive genetic index, where only the additive genetic variances and covariances go into its construction, does not seem to be affected by intra-allelic interactions since they add to variances and covariances due to dominance deviations and these have nothing to do with the additive genetic variances and covariances. It seems that from such studies, if conducted extensively incorporating still more parameters, conclusions may be drawn on the most suitable selection model for simultaneous selection under a given set of parameters available in real biological systems.     

Epistatic pleiotropy and the genetic architecture of covariation within early and late-developing skull trait complexes in mice

The role of epistasis as a source of trait variation is well established, but its role as a source of covariation among traits (i.e., as a source of "epistatic pleiotropy") is rarely considered. In this study we examine the relative importance of epistatic pleiotropy in producing covariation within early and late-developing skull trait complexes in a population of mice derived from an intercross of the Large and Small inbred strains. Significant epistasis was found for several pairwise combinations of the 21 quantitative trait loci (QTL) affecting early developing traits and among the 20 QTL affecting late-developing traits. The majority of the epistatic effects were restricted to single traits but epistatic pleiotropy still contributed significantly to covariances. Because of their proportionally larger effects on variances than on covariances, epistatic effects tended to reduce within-group correlations of traits and reduce their overall degree of integration. The expected contributions of single-locus and two-locus epistatic pleiotropic QTL effects to the genetic covariance between traits were analyzed using a two-locus population genetic model. The model demonstrates that, for single-locus or epistatic pleiotropy to contribute to trait covariances in the study population, both traits must show the same pattern of single-locus or epistatic effects. As a result, a large number of the cases where loci show pleiotropic effects do not contribute to the covariance between traits in this population because the loci show a different pattern of effect on the different traits. In general, covariance patterns produced by single-locus and epistatic pleiotropy predicted by the model agreed well with actual values calculated from the QTL analysis. Nearly all single-locus and epistatic pleiotropic effects contributed positive components to covariances between traits, suggesting that genetic integration in the skull is achieved by a complex combination of pleiotropic effects.     

Factors Affecting Accuracy From Genomic Selection in Populations Derived From Multiple Inbred Lines: A Barley Case Study

We compared the accuracies of four genomic-selection prediction methods as affected by marker density, level of linkage disequilibrium (LD), quantitative trait locus (QTL) number, sample size, and level of replication in populations generated from multiple inbred lines. Marker data on 42 two-row spring barley inbred lines were used to simulate high and low LD populations from multiple inbred line crosses: the first included many small full-sib families and the second was derived from five generations of random mating. True breeding values (TBV) were simulated on the basis of 20 or 80 additive QTL. Methods used to derive genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV) were random regression best linear unbiased prediction (RR–BLUP), Bayes-B, a Bayesian shrinkage regression method, and BLUP from a mixed model analysis using a relationship matrix calculated from marker data. Using the best methods, accuracies of GEBV were comparable to accuracies from phenotype for predicting TBV without requiring the time and expense of field evaluation. We identified a trade-off between a method's ability to capture marker-QTL LD vs. marker-based relatedness of individuals. The Bayesian shrinkage regression method primarily captured LD, the BLUP methods captured relationships, while Bayes-B captured both. Under most of the study scenarios, mixed-model analysis using a marker-derived relationship matrix (BLUP) was more accurate than methods that directly estimated marker effects, suggesting that relationship information was more valuable than LD information. When markers were in strong LD with large-effect QTL, or when predictions were made on individuals several generations removed from the training data set, however, the ranking of method performance was reversed and BLUP had the lowest accuracy.