The Prevalence and Endemic Nature of Dengue Infections in Guangdong,South China: An Epidemiological,Serological, and Etiological Study from 2005–2011

Objectives

Frequent outbreaks of dengue are considered to be associated with an increased risk for endemicity of the disease. The occurrence of a large number of indigenous dengue cases in consecutive years indicates the possibility of a changing dengue epidemic pattern in Guangdong, China.

Methods

To have a clear understanding of the current dengue epidemic, a retrospective study of epidemiological profile, serological response, and virological features of dengue infections from 2005–2011 was conducted. Case data were collected from the National Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting Network. Serum samples were collected and prepared for serological verification and etiological confirmation. Incidence, temporal and spatial distribution, and the clinical manifestation of dengue infections were analyzed. Pearson''s Chi-Square test was used to compare incidences between different age groups. A seroprevalence survey was implemented in local healthy inhabitants to obtain the overall positive rate for the specific immunoglobulin (Ig) G antibody against dengue virus (DENV).

Results

The overall annual incidence rate was 1.87/100000. A significant difference was found in age-specific incidence (Pearson''s Chi-Square value 498.008, P<0.001). Children under 5 years of age had the lowest incidence of 0.28/100000. The vast majority of cases presented with a mild manifestation typical to dengue fever. The overall seroprevalence of dengue IgG antibody in local populations was 2.43% (range 0.28%–5.42%). DENV-1 was the predominant serotype in circulation through the years, while all 4 serotypes were identified in indigenous patients from different outbreak localities since 2009.

Conclusions

A gradual change in the epidemic pattern of dengue infection has been observed in recent years in Guangdong. With the endemic nature of dengue infections, the transition from a monotypic to a multitypic circulation of dengue virus in the last several years will have an important bearing on the prevention and control of dengue in the province and in the neighboring districts.     

Heterogeneity in antibody range and the antigenic drift of influenza A viruses

In this paper we explore the consequences of a heterogeneous immune response in individuals on the evolution of a rapidly mutating virus. We show that several features of the incidence and phylogenetic patterns typical of influenza A may be understood in this framework. In our model, limited diversity and rapid drift of the circulating viral strains result from the interplay of two interacting subpopulations with different types of immune response, narrow or broad, upon infection. The subpopulation with the narrow immune response acts as a reservoir where consecutive mutations escape immunity and can persist. Strains with a number of accumulated mutations escape immunity in the other subpopulation as well, causing larger epidemic peaks in the whole population, and reducing strain diversity. Overall, our model produces a modulation of epidemic peak heights and patterns of antigenic drift consistent with reported observations, suggesting an underlying mechanism for the evolutionary epidemiology of influenza, in particular, and other infectious diseases, more generally.     

Assessment of aneuploidy in the human female by using cytogenetics of IVF failures

The karyotype was determined for 201 unfertilized human oocytes recovered from 87 women participating in an in vitro fertilization program. Their mean age was 30.6 years (range 22-40 years). Thirteen oocytes did not exhibit the first polar body and were found to be in the first-metaphase stage. The remaining 188 eggs were assessed as mature and classified into two groups according to the supposed origin of fertilization failure. The overall incidence of aneuploidy was 18.6%. This rate was higher in the group of unexplained fertilization failure (22.5%) than in the group of fertilization failure due to sperm deficiency (10.2%). This may reflect a relationship between the genomic constitution of the oocyte and its fertilizability. On the other hand, no increase of aneuploidy was observed with maternal aging.     

Total aneuploidy and age-related sex chromosome aneuploidy in cultured lymphocytes of normal men and women

Summary In PHA-cultured lymphocytes, about 8% of metaphases from 32 women were aneuploid compared to 4% of metaphases from 35 men. A significant part of this aneuploidy was characterized by sex chromosome involvement: in women, the loss or gain of X chromosomes; in men, the gain of X chromosomes and the loss or gain of Y chromosomes. The incidence of this aneuploidy was positively age-related for both sexes. Premature division of the X-chromosome centromere was closely associated with X-chromosome aneuploidy in women and men, and appeared to be the mechanism of nondisjunction causing this aneuploidy. Premature centromere division (PCD) indicated a dysfunction of the X-chromosome centromere with aging, and this dysfunction was the basic cause of age-related aneuploidy. A similar mechanism of nondisjunction may operate for the Y chromosome of men, but could not be clearly demonstrated because of the low incidence of Y-chromosome aneuploidy.The balance of the aneuploidy was characterized by chromosome loss and the involvement of all chromosome groups. It was consistent with chromosome loss from metaphase cells damaged during preparation for cytogenetic examination.     

Dengue hemorrhagic fever epidemiology in Thailand: description and forecasting of epidemics

Despite the use of a variety of control strategies, dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) control is a major and permanent challenge for public health services in Thailand and in Southeast Asia. In order to improve the efficiency of DHF control in Thailand, these activities have to concentrate on areas and populations at higher risk, which implies early identification of higher incidence periods. A retrospective study of spatial and temporal variations of DHF incidence in all 73 provinces of Thailand (1983-1995) allowed discrimination between seasonal (endemic) transmission dependent on climatic variations and vector density and non-seasonal (epidemic) transmission, mainly due to the occurrence of a new virus serotype in a population with low immunity. To identify epidemic months, which appear significantly clustered, a significant deviation from the monthly average incidence was defined. The occurrence of two consecutive epidemic months in a given area has a high probability (P = 0.66) of being followed by a cluster of 2-18 epidemic months (average: 7.7 months). This observation is proposed as a warning of epidemic outbreak enabling an early launch of control activities. As an example, when this method is retrospectively applied to the studied period, 11,388 province months (73 provinces x 156 months), 579 epidemic outbreaks (5.1% of the total) are identified. Control activities can thus be improved through early management and prevention of the 308,636 supplementary cases occurring during epidemics (37.0% of the total recorded).     

Effect of maternal parity on aneuploidy in early mouse embryos.

An attempt to evaluate the incidence of chromosomal aneuploidy in mouse blastocysts recovered from females of various ages and parity levels revealed an insignificant regression coefficient for aneuploidy on age of the female and its square, and an insignificant correlation coefficient for aneuploidy with the number of previous offspring born to the dam. However, significant regression coefficients were obtained for aneuploidy on parity of the dam and its square. These results indicate that not only does aneuploidy increase with parity level, but the rate of increase accelerates as parity level increases. Possible explanations for the increase in aneuploidy and its detrimental effect on reproductive efficiency were discussed.     

Mechanisms and chemical induction of aneuploidy in rodent germ cells

The objective of this review is to suggest that the advances being made in our understanding of the molecular events surrounding chromosome segregation in non-mammalian and somatic cell models be considered when designing experiments for studying aneuploidy in mammalian germ cells. Accurate chromosome segregation requires the temporal control and unique interactions among a vast array of proteins and cellular organelles. Abnormal function and temporal disarray among these, and others to be identified, biochemical reactions and cellular organelles have the potential for predisposing cells to aneuploidy. Although numerous studies have demonstrated that certain chemicals (mainly those that alter microtubule function) can induce aneuploidy in mammalian germ cells, it seems relevant to point out that such data can be influenced by gender, meiotic stage, and time of cell-fixation post-treatment. Additionally, a consensus has not been reached regarding which of several germ cell aneuploidy assays most accurately reflects the human condition. More recent studies have shown that certain kinase, phosphatase, proteasome, and topoisomerase inhibitors can also induce aneuploidy in rodent germ cells. We suggest that molecular approaches be prudently incorporated into mammalian germ cell aneuploidy research in order to eventually understand the causes and mechanisms of human aneuploidy. Such an enormous undertaking would benefit from collaboration among scientists representing several disciplines.     

A mechanism of x chromosome aneuploidy in lymphocytes of aging women.

One and sometimes both X chromosomes in cultured lyphocytes of women donors showed division of the centromere when the centromeres of other chromosomes were entire. This premature centromere division (PCD) was associated with evidence of non-disjunction of the X chromosome. On average, 2% of metaphases from 32 women donors showed PCD, but the incidence was 4 times greater in women over 59 years of age than in women under 40 years. Increased X chromosome aneuploidy was associated with the higher frequency of PCD in cultured lymphocytes from older women. PCD of the X chromosome is considered to be the mechanism of non-disjunction causing the previously described aneuploidy in cultured lymphocytes of aging women.     

Mammalian in vivo assays for aneuploidy in female germ cells

This paper presents an evaluation of and offers recommendations for assays to detect chemically induced aneuploidy in mammalian female germ cells. 72 papers on female germ cell aneuploidy, published from 1970 to 1984, were reviewed. 28 papers were selected for critical evaluation; the other 44 papers were rejected according to pre-established criteria. Salient points emerging from the information reviewed allow an assessment of the current status of mammalian female germ cell tests for aneuploidy. The majority of data have been obtained by analyzing metaphase II mouse oocyte chromosomes following superovulation. Various classes of chemicals were administered usually around the time of ovulation. Dose-response relationships have not been obtained for the majority of chemicals evaluated. The method of data reporting and analysis usually was not conducive to comparisons among different studies. Few of the 16 chemicals studied can be regarded as negative for their ability to induce aneuploidy, whereas an even smaller number should be considered as positive. Certainly, a need exists to identify the chemicals and the dosages that could increase the incidence of aneuploidy in mammalian female germ cells. Obtaining such data definitely is feasible in cytogenetic laboratories. However, the mammalian female germ cell aneuploid assay should not be perceived as a rapid, inexpensive, routine procedure. The assay is capable of detecting aneuploidy following anaphase I when metaphase II oocytes are studied and following anaphases I and II when first-cleavage zygotes are studied.     

Whole-chromosome aneuploidy analysis in human oocytes: focus on comparative genomic hybridization

The study of aneuploidy in human oocytes, discarded from IVF cycles, has provided a better understanding of the incidence of aneuploidy of female origin and the responsible mechanisms. Comparative genomic hybridization (CGH) is an established technique that allows for the detection of aneuploidy in all chromosomes avoiding artifactual chromosome losses. In this review, results obtained using CGH in single cells (1PB and/or MII oocytes) are included. The results of oocyte aneuploidy rates obtained by CGH from discarded oocytes of IVF patients and of oocyte donors are summarized. Moreover, the mechanisms involved in the aneuploid events, e.g. whether alterations occurred due to first meiotic errors or germ-line mitotic errors are also discussed. Finally, the incidence of aneuploid oocyte production due to first meiotic errors and germ-line mitotic errors observed in oocytes coming from IVF patients and IVF oocyte donors was assessed.     

Epidemiologic Clues to the Cause of Melanoma

An intensive search found that 146 cases of cutaneous or ocular melanoma had occurred among residents of Lane County, Oregon, from 1958 through 1972. Of these cases, 35 led to death. Countywide, increasing incidence rates were corroborated by increasing death rates for both sexes. Risk of disease was highest in a moist, flat residential area near the intersection of two rivers in the county''s urban portion and in its agricultural area. The incidence pattern strongly suggested local cycles in subcounty units. Although overall melanoma risk was higher in urban areas, an apparent widespread rural epidemic was identified, beginning abruptly in 1965 and lasting several years. If similar geographic and temporal characteristics can be identified in other localities, the search for an etiologic agent could focus on a smaller range of possibilities.     

Sperm and blastomere aneuploidy detection in reproductive genetics and medicine.

The use of multiple probes in fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) permits the simultaneous analysis of several chromosomes in both blastomeres and spermatozoa. Preimplantation genetic diagnosis (PGD) for aneuploidy provides information on embryonic chromosomal status, enabling the selection of embryos carrying aneuploid condition. This strategy directly affects implantation, as documented for patients with a poor prognosis for pregnancy, who have the tendency to generate high proportions of chromosomally abnormal embryos. PGD for aneuploidy also has contributed information on early phases in human embryology by clarifying the molecular basis in some cases of irregular development. Multicolor FISH has also been used to study chromosomes on spermatozoa. Experimental strategies and modifications enabled the analysis of samples with a very low number of sperm cells, including samples retrieved from the genital tract or directly from the testicular tissue. The results confirmed that the incidence of aneuploidy increases proportionally with the severity of the male-factor condition. This observation suggests that, in selected cases, the paternal contribution to aneuploidy in the developing conceptus could be more relevant than expected from general data from aborted fetuses and live births.     

郑州市惠济区2005—2012年NGU疫情流行病学分析

目的通过分析郑州市惠济区2005—2012年非淋菌性尿道炎(NGU)的流行特征,提出惠济区今后对NGU的防治措施。方法采用描述流行病学方法,对惠济区NGU疫情的三间分布及传播途径进行描述。结果2005—2012年惠济区共报告NGU患者450例,疫情呈上升趋势,发病率由3.75/10万上升到30.00/10万。女性发病率明显高于男性,男女之比为1∶8,25~34岁为高发年龄段,占总病例数的80.44%。职业分布以商业服务、农民工、企业工人为主要发病人群,结论惠济区NGU疫情日趋严重,应加强对重点人群的监测和管理,强化各项干预措施,降低发病率。     

Germ-cell nondisjunction in testes biopsies of men with idiopathic infertility.

Intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) has been used in combination with testicular sperm extraction to achieve pregnancies in couples with severe male-factor infertility, yet many of the underlying genetic mechanisms remain largely unknown. To investigate nondisjunction in mitotic and meiotic germ cells, we performed three-color FISH to detect numeric chromosome aberrations in testicular tissue samples from infertile men confirmed to have impaired spermatogenesis of unknown cause. FISH was employed to determine the rate of sex-chromosome aneuploidy in germ cells. Nuclei were distinguished as haploid or diploid, respectively. The overall incidence of sex-chromosome aneuploidy in germ cells was found to be significantly higher (P<.00001) in all three abnormal histopathologic patterns (range 39.0%-43.5%) as compared with normal controls (29.1%). The relative ratio of normal to aneuploid nuclei in the diploid cells of patients with impaired spermatogenesis was approximately 1.0, a >300% decrease when compared with the 4.42 ratio detected in patients with normal spermatogenesis. These results provide direct evidence of an increased incidence of sex-chromosome aneuploidy observed in germ cells of men with severely impaired spermatogenesis who might be candidates for ICSI with sperm obtained directly from the testis. The incidence of aneuploidy was significantly greater among the diploid nuclei, which suggests that chromosome instability is a result of altered genetic control during mitotic cell division and proliferation during spermatogenesis.     

Adaptive mechanisms in pathogens: universal aneuploidy in Leishmania

Genomic stability and maintenance of the correct chromosome number are assumed to be essential for normal development in eukaryotes. Aneuploidy is usually associated with severe abnormalities and decrease of cell fitness, but some organisms appear to rely on aneuploidy for rapid adaptation to changing environments. This phenomenon is mostly described in pathogenic fungi and cancer cells. However, recent genome studies highlight the importance of Leishmania as a new model for studies on aneuploidy. Several reports revealed extensive variation in chromosome copy number, indicating that aneuploidy is a constitutive feature of this protozoan parasite genus. Aneuploidy appears to be beneficial in organisms that are primarily asexual, unicellular, and that undergo sporadic epidemic expansions, including common pathogens as well as cancer.     

小儿急性白血病细胞DNA、蛋白质含量及其临床意义

用流式细胞术（ＦＣＭ）测定了４５例不同病期急性白血病患儿和１３例非白血病患儿骨髓细胞ＤＮＡ及蛋白质含量,结果显示：１．急性白血病患儿的ＤＮＡ非整倍体检出率为４１．２％,其中ＡＬＬ为３３．３％,ＡＮＬＬ为６０％;２．ＡＬＬ组和ＡＮＬＬ组的ＤＮＡ合成期细胞百分数（Ｓ％）显著低于非白血病组,而ＣＲ组与非白血病组之间的Ｓ％差异无显著性;３．ＡＮＬＬ组的ＰｒＩ显著高于ＡＬＬ组、非白血病组及ＣＲ组,ＡＬＬ的ＰｒＩ显著低于ＣＲ组和非白血病组,而非白血病组与ＣＲ组的ＰｒＩ差异无显著性。四组之间ＬＰＣ－Ｆ差异无显著性;４．在对１１例ＣＲ病人进行的连续观察过程中,５例病人检出ＤＮＡ非整信体,其中４例于检出ＤＮＡ非整倍体后３３～７４天复发。     

Interplay between mobility,multi-seeding and lockdowns shapes COVID-19 local impact

Assessing the impact of mobility on epidemic spreading is of crucial importance for understanding the effect of policies like mass quarantines and selective re-openings. While many factors affect disease incidence at a local level, making it more or less homogeneous with respect to other areas, the importance of multi-seeding has often been overlooked. Multi-seeding occurs when several independent (non-clustered) infected individuals arrive at a susceptible population. This can lead to independent outbreaks that spark from distinct areas of the local contact (social) network. Such mechanism has the potential to boost incidence, making control efforts and contact tracing less effective. Here, through a modeling approach we show that the effect produced by the number of initial infections is non-linear on the incidence peak and peak time. When case importations are carried by mobility from an already infected area, this effect is further enhanced by the local demography and underlying mixing patterns: the impact of every seed is larger in smaller populations. Finally, both in the model simulations and the analysis, we show that a multi-seeding effect combined with mobility restrictions can explain the observed spatial heterogeneities in the first wave of COVID-19 incidence and mortality in five European countries. Our results allow us for identifying what we have called epidemic epicenter: an area that shapes incidence and mortality peaks in the entire country. The present work further clarifies the nonlinear effects that mobility can have on the evolution of an epidemic and highlight their relevance for epidemic control.     

Chromosome cohesion decreases in human eggs with advanced maternal age

Aneuploidy in human eggs increases with maternal age and can result in infertility, miscarriages, and birth defects. The molecular mechanisms leading to aneuploidy, however, are largely unknown especially in the human where eggs are exceedingly rare and precious. We obtained human eggs from subjects ranging from 16.4 to 49.7 years old following in vitro maturation of oocyte‐cumulus complexes isolated directly from surgically removed ovarian tissue. A subset of these eggs was used to investigate how age‐associated aneuploidy occurs in the human. The inter‐kinetochore distance between sister chromatids increased significantly with maternal age, indicating weakened cohesion. Moreover, we observed unpaired sister chromatids from females of advanced age. We conclude that loss of cohesion with increasing maternal age likely contributes to the well‐documented increased incidence of aneuploidy.     

Effect of Measles Vaccination on Incidence of Measles in the Community

A study of the effect of measles vaccination on the incidence of the disease in eight separate areas of England and Wales was begun in 1966. It showed an inverse association between the proportion of children vaccinated and the incidence of measles in the area in the following year, but measles epidemics occurred in several of the areas in subsequent years, despite continuing vaccinations.Measles vaccination was introduced on a large scale in Britain in 1968. Analysis of the notification and vaccination statistics shows that the vaccination of about 10% of the child population (under 15 years) in 1968 sufficed to “replace” the measles epidemic which had been expected in the period October 1968 to September 1969 by a low incidence of the disease, typical of that in previous “interepidemic” years. Further, the effect of the vaccinations was to prevent the development of natural measles in susceptible unvaccinated children as well as in the vaccinated subjects. Thus the number of immune subjects in the community was increased by the vaccinations, but as a result there was a reduction in the number of subjects who acquired immunity from natural measles. These opposed results can therefore explain why vaccination may be effective in the community for only a year or two, though vaccination protects the individual for much longer.It is estimated that a continuing vaccination rate of 40 to 50% of the children born each year would be necessary to replace the regular biennial measles epidemics in Britain by a continuous endemic incidence, and might perhaps lead to the disappearance of the disease without a further major epidemic, but that a continuing vaccination rate of 80 to 90% of children born each year would then be necessary to prevent its reintroduction. The long-term control of measles by vaccination will thus probably prove more difficult than for any other infectious disease.     

Apollo, sudden death, and Homer's "Odyssey": a warning from the past that we may be unable to eradicate coronary artery disease

Over recent years there has been a gratifying decrease in the incidence of recorded deaths from coronary artery disease in the Western world. The common view is that coronary artery disease is a recent phenomenon, that we have been subject to an epidemic in the mid-20th century that is now tailing off, and that with appropriate risk modification we may eradicate this disease or make it very rare. However, this article examines the cases of sudden, nontraumatic death described in Homer's Odyssey, which dates from c. 800 BCE. The results suggest that a high incidence of death from coronary artery disease may not be a recent phenomenon. Together with other described evidence, this study casts doubt on the view that coronary artery disease is a modern epidemic that can be eradicated.