Rotifer Population Dynamics in Two Coupled Habitats: Invasion of Chaos

We study the role of interactions between habitats in rotifer dynamics. We use a simple discrete-time model to simulate the interactions between neighboring habitats with different intrinsic dynamics. Being uncoupled, one habitat shows periodical oscillations of the rotifer biomass while the other one demonstrates chaotic oscillations. As a result of the exchange of rotifer biomass, chaos replaces regular oscillations. As a result, the rotifer dynamics becomes chaotic in both habitats. We show that the invasion of chaos is followed by the synchronization of the chaotic regimes of both habitats, and this synchronization increases as coupling between the habitats is increased. We also demonstrate that the biological invasion of the rotifer species, which show chaotic dynamics, to a neighboring habitat with intrinsically regular plankton dynamics leads to the invasion of chaos and the synchronization of chaotic oscillations of the plankton biomass in both the habitats.     

Nonlinear population dynamics: complication in the age structure influences transition-to-chaos scenarios

The work continues a series of studies on the evolution of a natural population of explicitly seasonal organisms. Model analyses have revealed relationships between the duration of ontogenesis and the pattern of temporal dynamics in size of an isolated population (i.e., the structure and dimensionality of the chaotic attractors). For nonlinear models of age-structured population dynamics (under long-lasting ontogenesis), increase in the reproductive potential is shown to result in the chaotic attractors whose structure and dimensionality changes in response to variations in the model parameters. When the ontogenesis becomes longer and more complicated, it does not, "on the average", augment the level of chaos in the attractors observed. There are wide enough regions in the space of the birth and death parameter values that provide for windows in the chaotic dynamics where the total or partial regularization occurs.     

马尾松毛虫种群动态的时间序列分析及复杂性动态研究

自从May(1974)指出即使是简单的种群模型也能揭示混沌动态以来,自然种群是否存在混沌一直具有争论,如何检测自然种群的混沌行为也成为种群动态研究的一个难点,通过时间序列分析和反应面模型建模的8方法分析了马尾松毛虫的复杂性动态,用自相关函数对马尾松毛虫发生的时间动态分析的结果认为动态是平衡的,其周期性不显著,而具有一定的复杂性,这种类型可以是减幅波动,有限周期或弱混沌,波动主要由系统内因引起,进一步采用反应面模型估计全局李雅普若夫指数和局域李雅普若夫指数结果均为负,显示马尾松毛虫种群动态不存在混沌现象,但是在增加一个小的噪音以后,局域李雅普若夫指数变为在0以上的波动,说明系统对噪音非常敏感,噪音对松毛虫种群动态具有很大的影响,可以将其从非混沌状态变为混沌,研究结果认为全局郴雅普若夫指数λ是一定时间内两个变动轨迹的总平均偏差,而随着种群动态的波动,指数也是波动的,所以对于检测自然种群的混沌来说不是一个好的指标,局域李雅普若夫指数λM能更好地表示自然种群混沌的存在和产生混沌的条件,对害虫管理来说对种群暴发初期的预测是尤其重要的,而此时又最难于预测,所以对种群动态的监测就尤为重要,由于马尾松毛虫的代间种群动态为第一级密度相关,前一代的虫口密度与下一代的虫口密度相关性最强,所以前一代预测下一代是最可靠的。     

Novel tracking function of moving target using chaotic dynamics in a recurrent neural network model

Chaotic dynamics introduced in a recurrent neural network model is applied to controlling an object to track a moving target in two-dimensional space, which is set as an ill-posed problem. The motion increments of the object are determined by a group of motion functions calculated in real time with firing states of the neurons in the network. Several cyclic memory attractors that correspond to several simple motions of the object in two-dimensional space are embedded. Chaotic dynamics introduced in the network causes corresponding complex motions of the object in two-dimensional space. Adaptively real-time switching of control parameter results in constrained chaos (chaotic itinerancy) in the state space of the network and enables the object to track a moving target along a certain trajectory successfully. The performance of tracking is evaluated by calculating the success rate over 100 trials with respect to nine kinds of trajectories along which the target moves respectively. Computer experiments show that chaotic dynamics is useful to track a moving target. To understand the relations between these cases and chaotic dynamics, dynamical structure of chaotic dynamics is investigated from dynamical viewpoint.     

Numerically evaluated functional equivalence between chaotic dynamics in neural networks and cellular automata under totalistic rules

Chaotic dynamics in a recurrent neural network model and in two-dimensional cellular automata, where both have finite but large degrees of freedom, are investigated from the viewpoint of harnessing chaos and are applied to motion control to indicate that both have potential capabilities for complex function control by simple rule(s). An important point is that chaotic dynamics generated in these two systems give us autonomous complex pattern dynamics itinerating through intermediate state points between embedded patterns (attractors) in high-dimensional state space. An application of these chaotic dynamics to complex controlling is proposed based on an idea that with the use of simple adaptive switching between a weakly chaotic regime and a strongly chaotic regime, complex problems can be solved. As an actual example, a two-dimensional maze, where it should be noted that the spatial structure of the maze is one of typical ill-posed problems, is solved with the use of chaos in both systems. Our computer simulations show that the success rate over 300 trials is much better, at least, than that of a random number generator. Our functional simulations indicate that both systems are almost equivalent from the viewpoint of functional aspects based on our idea, harnessing of chaos.     

Chaotic neural network applied to two-dimensional motion control

Chaotic dynamics generated in a chaotic neural network model are applied to 2-dimensional (2-D) motion control. The change of position of a moving object in each control time step is determined by a motion function which is calculated from the firing activity of the chaotic neural network. Prototype attractors which correspond to simple motions of the object toward four directions in 2-D space are embedded in the neural network model by designing synaptic connection strengths. Chaotic dynamics introduced by changing system parameters sample intermediate points in the high-dimensional state space between the embedded attractors, resulting in motion in various directions. By means of adaptive switching of the system parameters between a chaotic regime and an attractor regime, the object is able to reach a target in a 2-D maze. In computer experiments, the success rate of this method over many trials not only shows better performance than that of stochastic random pattern generators but also shows that chaotic dynamics can be useful for realizing robust, adaptive and complex control function with simple rules.     

Bifurcations and Intrinsic Chaotic and 1/f Dynamics in an Isolated Perfused Rat Heart

The application of the theory of chaotic dynamical systems has gradually evolved from computer simulations to assessment of erratic behavior of physical, chemical, and biological systems. Whereas physical and chemical systems lend themselves to fairly good experimental control, biologic systems, because of their inherent complexity, are limited in this respect. This has not, however, prevented a number of investigators from attempting to understand many biologic periodicities. This has been especially true regarding cardiac dynamics: the spontaneous beating of coupled and non-coupled cardiac pacemakers provides a convenient comparison to the dynamics of oscillating systems of the physical sciences. One potentially important hypothesis regarding cardiac dynamics put forth by Goldberger and colleagues, is that normal heart beat fluctuations are chaotic, and are characterized by a 1/f-like power spectrum. To evaluate these conjectures, we studied the heart beat intervals (R wave toR wave of the electocardiogram) of isolated, perfused rat hearts and their response to a variety of external perturbations. The results indicate bifurcations between complex patterns, states with positive dynamical entropies, and low values of fractal dimensions frequently seen in physical, chemical and cellular systems, as well as power law scaling of the spectrum. Additionally, these dynamics can be modeled by a simple, discrete map, which has been used to describe the dynamics of the Belousov-Zhabotinsky reaction.     

Chaotic attractor in two-prey one-predator system originates from interplay of limit cycles

We investigate the appearance of chaos in a microbial 3-species model motivated by a potentially chaotic real world system (as characterized by positive Lyapunov exponents (Becks et al., Nature 435, 2005). This is the first quantitative model that simulates characteristic population dynamics in the system. A striking feature of the experiment was three consecutive regimes of limit cycles, chaotic dynamics and a fixed point. Our model reproduces this pattern. Numerical simulations of the system reveal the presence of a chaotic attractor in the intermediate parameter window between two regimes of periodic coexistence (stable limit cycles). In particular, this intermediate structure can be explained by competition between the two distinct periodic dynamics. It provides the basis for stable coexistence of all three species: environmental perturbations may result in huge fluctuations in species abundances, however, the system at large tolerates those perturbations in the sense that the population abundances quickly fall back onto the chaotic attractor manifold and the system remains. This mechanism explains how chaos helps the system to persist and stabilize against migration. In discrete populations, fluctuations can push the system towards extinction of one or more species. The chaotic attractor protects the system and extinction times scale exponentially with system size in the same way as with limit cycles or in a stable situation.     

Population dynamics with a refuge: fractal basins and the suppression of chaos

We consider the effect of coupling an otherwise chaotic population to a refuge. A rich set of dynamical phenomena is uncovered. We consider two forms of density dependence in the active population: logistic and exponential. In the former case, the basin of attraction for stable population growth becomes fractal, and the bifurcation diagrams for the active and refuge populations are chaotic over a wide range of parameter space. In the case of exponential density dependence, the dynamics are unconditionally stable (in that the population size is always positive and finite), and chaotic behavior is completely eradicated for modest amounts of dispersal. We argue that the use of exponential density dependence is more appropriate, theoretically as well as empirically, in a model of refuge dynamics.     

Can noise induce chaos?

An important component of the mathematical definition of chaos is sensitivity to initial conditions. Sensitivity to initial conditions is usually measured in a deterministic model by the dominant Lyapunov exponent (LE), with chaos indicated by a positive LE. The sensitivity measure has been extended to stochastic models; however, it is possible for the stochastic Lyapunov exponent (SLE) to be positive when the LE of the underlying deterministic model is negative, and vice versa. This occurs because the LE is a long-term average over the deterministic attractor while the SLE is the long-term average over the stationary probability distribution. The property of sensitivity to initial conditions, uniquely associated with chaotic dynamics in deterministic systems, is widespread in stochastic systems because of time spent near repelling invariant sets (such as unstable equilibria and unstable cycles). Such sensitivity is due to a mechanism fundamentally different from deterministic chaos. Positive SLE's should therefore not be viewed as a hallmark of chaos. We develop examples of ecological population models in which contradictory LE and SLE values lead to confusion about whether or not the population fluctuations are primarily the result of chaotic dynamics. We suggest that "chaos" should retain its deterministic definition in light of the origins and spirit of the topic in ecology. While a stochastic system cannot then strictly be chaotic, chaotic dynamics can be revealed in stochastic systems through the strong influence of underlying deterministic chaotic invariant sets.     

Food web complexity and chaotic population dynamics

In mathematical models, very simple communities consisting of three or more species frequently display chaotic dynamics which implies that long‐term predictions of the population trajectories in time are impossible. Communities in the wild tend to be more complex, but evidence for chaotic dynamics from such communities is scarce. We used supercomputing power to test the hypothesis that chaotic dynamics become less frequent in model ecosystems when their complexity increases. We determined the dynamical stability of a universe of mathematical, nonlinear food web models with varying degrees of organizational complexity. We found that the frequency of unpredictable, chaotic dynamics increases with the number of trophic levels in a food web but decreases with the degree of complexity. Our results suggest that natural food webs possess architectural properties that may intrinsically lower the likelihood of chaotic community dynamics.     

Chaos and order in plankton dynamics. Complex behavior of a simple model

The role of the diffusive interaction between fish-populated and fish-free habitats in a patchy environment in plankton pattern formation is studied by means of a minimal reaction-diffusion model of the nutrient-plankton-fish food chain. It is shown that such interaction can give rise to spatio-temporal plankton patterns. The fractal dimension of the patterns is shown dependent on the fish predation rate. The spatially averaged plankton dynamics depending on both fish predation rate and distance between fish-populated habitats can exhibit chaotic and regular behavior. The chaotic plankton dynamics is characteristic of a wide parameter range.     

Nonlinear transient computation as a potential "kernel trick" in cortical processing

Evidence has been found for the presence of chaotic dynamics at all levels of the mammalian brain. This has led to some searching questions about the potential role that nonlinear dynamics may have in neural information processing. We propose that chaos equips the brain with the equivalent of a kernel trick for solving hard nonlinear problems. The approach presented, which is described as nonlinear transient computation, uses the dynamics of a well known chaotic attractor. The paper provides experimental results to show that this approach can be used to solve some challenging pattern recognition tasks. The paper also offers evidence to suggest that the efficacy of nonlinear transient computation for nonlinear pattern classification is dependent only on the generic properties of chaotic attractors and is not sensitive to the particular dynamics of specific sub-regions of chaotic phase space. If, as this work suggests, nonlinear transient computation is independent of the particulars of any given chaotic attractor, then it could be offered as a possible explanation of how the chaotic dynamics that have been observed in brain structures contribute to neural information processing tasks.     

Temporally-explicit models of fire and forest

Pollen and charcoal data from varved sediments of Lake Ahvenainen, southern Finland, were examined through ordination analyses to determine temporal groupings of vegetation. The ordination `continually' changed throughout the pollen profile, indicating nonequilibrium system dynamics. However, temporal associations that were stationary existed during the history of vegetation change at Lake Ahvenainen, and these temporal associations were nested in a hierarchy. Weighted averaging regression and calibration were used to model the relationship between fire and vegetation within each temporal association. Fire was significantly related to the vegetation for nearly all temporal associations. Community dynamics within temporal associations were examined with cross-correlation analysis. Taxa were correlated with fire occurrence (charcoal fragments) within the temporal associations and classic successional recovery was confirmed. In addition, two temporal associations showed evidence of chaotic behavior. The long-term pollen-charcoal analysis supported three theories of system dynamics: (1) nonequilibrium long-term dynamics, (2) hierarchical structuring of temporally stationary associations, and (3) chaotic dynamics in stationary associations. These theories are not necessarily contradictory, but are scale dependent.     

Interdependence of plankton spatial distribution and plancton biomass temporal oscillations: mathematical simulation

The dynamics of aquatic biological communities in a patchy environment is of great interest in respect to interrelations between phenomena at various spatial and time scales. To study the complex plankton dynamics in relation to variations of such a biologically essential parameter as the fish predation rate, we use a simple reaction-diffusion model of trophic interactions between phytoplankton, zooplankton, and fish. We suggest that plankton is distributed between two habitats one of which is fish-free due to hydrological inhomogeneity, while the other is fish-populated. We show that temporal variations in the fish predation rate do not violate the strong correspondence between the character of spatial distribution of plankton and changes of plankton biomass in time: regular temporal oscillations of plankton biomass correspond to large-scale plankton patches, while chaotic oscillations correspond to small-scale plankton patterns. As in the case of the constant fish predation rate, the chaotic plankton dynamics is characterized by coexistence of the chaotic attractor and limit cycle.     

Application of chaotic dynamics in a recurrent neural network to control: hardware implementation into a novel autonomous roving robot

Originating from a viewpoint that complex/chaotic dynamics would play an important role in biological system including brains, chaotic dynamics introduced in a recurrent neural network was applied to control. The results of computer experiment was successfully implemented into a novel autonomous roving robot, which can only catch rough target information with uncertainty by a few sensors. It was employed to solve practical two-dimensional mazes using adaptive neural dynamics generated by the recurrent neural network in which four prototype simple motions are embedded. Adaptive switching of a system parameter in the neural network results in stationary motion or chaotic motion depending on dynamical situations. The results of hardware implementation and practical experiment using it show that, in given two-dimensional mazes, the robot can successfully avoid obstacles and reach the target. Therefore, we believe that chaotic dynamics has novel potential capability in controlling, and could be utilized to practical engineering application.     

Deterministic chaоs and the problem of predictability in population dynamics

The studies of the processes that can significantly influence the predictability in population dynamics are reviewed and the results of mathematical simulations of population dynamics are compared to the time series obtained in field observations. Considerable attention is given to the chaotic changes in population abundance. Some methods of numerical analysis of chaoticity and predictability of the time series are considered. The importance of comparing the results of mathematical simulation and observation data is tightly linked to problems in detecting chaos in the dynamics of natural populations and estimating the prevalence of chaotic regimes in nature. Insight into these problems can allow identification of the functional role of chaotic regimes in population dynamics.     

Neural Synchronization at Tonic-to-Bursting Transitions

We studied the synchronous behavior of two electrically-coupled model neurons as a function of the coupling strength when the individual neurons are tuned to different activity patterns that ranged from tonic firing via chaotic activity to burst discharges. We observe asynchronous and various synchronous states such as out-of-phase, in-phase and almost in-phase chaotic synchronization. The highest variety of synchronous states occurs at the transition from tonic firing to chaos where the highest coupling strength is also needed for in-phase synchronization which is, essentially, facilitated towards the bursting range. This demonstrates that tuning of the neuron’s internal dynamics can have significant impact on the synchronous states especially at the physiologically relevant tonic-to-bursting transitions.     

Mortality can produce predictable dynamics in chaotic populations

Recent theoretical studies have pointed out that a relatively small degree of dispersion between chaotic subpopulations produces predictable, simple dynamics and severely reduces the frequency of the occurrene of chaos. In this paper, we show that the introduction of mortality to models which are initially chaotic, alone or combined with dispersal, can produce similar effects.