Canadian fertility trends in perspective

This paper examines the broad movements of Canadian period and cohort fertility over the past 100 years, and compares them with corresponding trends in the US and other industrialized countries. The main movement in Canada was a decline in fertility extending from the 19th century to the present, interrupted in the 1940s and 1950s by a baby boom. Between 1871 and 1937 the total fertility rate (TFR) fell at about an average of 1.4% annually. The rate of fall in the US was similar, with the result that in the late 1930s the Canadian TFR was about 20% that of the US. The fertility boom that followed was steeper in the US than in Canada, and in the downswing that later followed, the rate of decline was similar in the 2 countries (3.4-4% annual average). But, the decline continued longer-- indeed still continues--in Canada, whereas the TFR in the US reached its lowest point in 1976. Moreover, the recent decline in fertility has been more severe in Canada than in almost any other industrialized country. The TFR relates to fertility in a single year and is highly sensitive to short-term changes in the timing of births. For the purposes of understanding and explaining long-term trends in fertility, the completed fertility rate (CFR) is a better index because it measures the ultimate family size of cohorts. Cohort fertility can be seen to fluctuate much less than does period fertility. In both the US and Canada, the peak cohorts, born in the early 1930s, had roughly the same completed fertility, and later cohorts continued to remain closely in step as the CFR fell sharply. In Canada the fall continues, though at a reduced rate, in the latest cohorts for which there is information. Apart from differences in amplitude, the dates of turning points and the shapes of the TFR and CFR curves of Canadian fertility are fairly similar. The long decline in cohort fertility is largely explained by the decrease in the proportions of families of 6 or more children. During the baby boom, for Catholics and non-Catholics alike, the proportion of ever-married women remaining childless fell by about 40%, the proportion having 2 children changed little, and the proportions having 3,4 and 5 children tended to increase substantially. The crucial difference between the 2 groups was in the proportions of women having 6 or more children. For non-Catholics, the proportion fell by over 4% from a high level. For non-Catholics, on the other hand, the proportion rose somewhat, though even after the rise, it was barely more than 1/2 the level to which the Catholic proportion had declined. Among Catholics, the effect of the massive decline in the proportion of women having 6 or more children was to swamp the effects of the increase in the proportions of women having 3, 4 and 5 children. The net effect was that fertility declined. Among non-Catholics, however, the comparable increases in the proportions of families of 3, 4 and 5 children, were not offset by any fall in the proportion of larger families, with the result that a baby boom occurred.     

Family configuration and family size

In a sample of 61,829 US families, the probability of having an additional child is higher in those families with all the children the same sex as compared to those families with children of both sexes. Data are from families of American high school students who took the National Merit Scholarship Qualifying test in 1965. All families with 3 or 4 children were selected. Families with only boys were more likely to have an additional child than families with all girls. Less than 1% of the variance in family size is explained by family configuration. Although the sample size makes these results unequivocal for the population involved, the population is clearly biased in favor of white middle class families.     

Predictors of drop-out in a multi-centre longitudinal study of participation and quality of life of children with cerebral palsy

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: SPARCLE is a study across nine European regions which examines the predictors of participation and quality of life of children with cerebral palsy. Children and their families were initially interviewed in 2004/2005 when the children were aged 8-12 years (SPARCLE1); they were approached again in 2009/2010 at age 13-17 years (SPARCLE2). The objective of this report is to assess potential for bias due to family non-response in SPARCLE2. Logistic regression was used to assess whether socio-demographic factors, parental stress and child impairment were related to non-response, both overall and by category (failure to trace families, death of child, traced families declining to participate). RESULTS: Of the 818 families who participated in SPARCLE1, 224/818 (27%) did not participate in SPARCLE2. 51/818 (6%) were not traced. Among the 767 traced families, 32/767 (4%) children with cerebral palsy had died, seven children had been incorrectly diagnosed as having cerebral palsy, thirteen families had moved out of the region and one family had language problems. Of the remaining 714 families, 120/714 (17%) declined to participate. Drop-out between SPARCLE1 and SPARCLE2 varied significantly between regions; families were more difficult to trace and more likely to decline to participate if the parents' educational qualifications, as recorded in SPARCLE1, were lower; they were also more likely to decline to participate if SPARCLE1 recorded that they were more stressed or if they had not completed a SPARCLE1 stress questionnaire. CONCLUSIONS: To reduce the risk of bias, all SPARCLE2 analyses should allow for factors (region and walking ability) which determined the sampling strategy, either by adjusting for these factors or by using sampling weights. Further analyses should be performed, adjusting for additional factors that were associated with non-response: parents' educational qualifications, family structure and parental stress. To allow for differential non-response in studies which sample from population registers, such registers should routinely record socio-demographic information.     

Epidemiological characterisation of acute and chronic hepatitis B in Uzbekistan

The epidemiological survey of 126 foci with patients having acute hepatitis B (AHB) and 120 foci with patients having chronic hepatitis B (CHB) was conducted. The observation of the susceptible members of the family showed that a significantly higher level of infection was found in persons having contacts with CHB patients (44.4 +/- 2.3%) in comparison with the members of the families of AHB patients (33.2 +/- 2.3%). The study revealed that children under 14 years were actively involved into the epidemic process; in these children the highest levels of infection were observed in the families of AHB patients (40.2 +/- 3.7%) and CHB patients (57.1 +/- 3.5%). High detection rate of HbsAg were noted in brothers and sisters in the foci of AHB (42.3 +/- 6.4%) and the foci of CHB (52.3 +/- 5.4%), also in parents: 32.4 +/- 5.2% and 46.5 +/- 4.2%, in children: 28.8 +/- 3.4% and 35.6 +/- 3.6% respectively.     

Reproductive measures, fitness, and migrating Mennonites: an evolutionary analysis

Given the same reproductive span, more children with shorter interbirth intervals and less parental attention per child should not do as well. There should be intermediate optima in family sizes, but only two studies have demonstrated optima. The goal here is to determine whether the relationship between fitness and fertility is linear and whether this relationship masks underlying variation in reproductive behaviors in a Mennonite congregation that lived in two disease settings, Prussia/Russia vs. Kansas. The relationships between children born and fitness were determined by calculating linear and quadratic regressions for total, Prussia/Russia vs. Kansas, and families with deaths vs. families with no deaths for total, Prussia/Russia, and Kansas. Variation was examined in terms of measures of reproductive success and reproductive span. Comparisons were made by t tests with Bonferroni correction. Regressions demonstrate equally well that the more children women bear, the higher the reproductive success, whether in the harsher disease ecology of rural Prussia/Russia or in less challenging rural Kansas and whether the women experience deaths or not. Prussian/Russian mothers bore significantly more children (6.5+/-0.3) than Kansan mothers (5.6+/-0.2) over longer reproductive spans but did not significantly increase the number of surviving children (4.9+/-0.2 vs. 4.7+/-0.2, respectively). Families experiencing deaths vs. no deaths exhibit significantly longer reproductive spans, reflecting a significantly earlier start at childbearing and a later finish, and produce significantly more children (5.4+/-0.2 vs. 4.2+/-0.2). Cox regressions were run, and the most significant covariates to negatively affect survivorship to 15 years were death in the family and length of the previous interbirth intervals. There was variation in families, but perhaps most had adequate nutrition, which may explain the lack of optima in fitness.     

Founder BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations in Ashkenazi Jews in Israel: frequency and differential penetrance in ovarian cancer and in breast-ovarian cancer families.

Germ-line BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations account for most of familial breast-ovarian cancer. In Ashkenazi Jews, there is a high population frequency (approximately 2%) of three founder mutations: BRCA1 185delAG, BRCA1 5382insC, and BRCA2 6174delT. This study examined the frequency of these mutations in a series of Ashkenazi women with ovarian cancer unselected for family history, compared with the frequency of these mutations in families ascertained on the basis of family history of at least two affected women. Penetrance was compared, both according to the method of family ascertainment (i.e., on the basis of an unselected ovarian cancer proband vs. on the basis of family history) and for the BRCA1 founder mutations compared with the BRCA2 6174delT mutation. There was a high frequency (10/22; [45%]) of germ-line mutations in Ashkenazi women with ovarian cancer, even in those with minimal or no family history (7/18 [39%]). In high-risk Ashkenazi families, a founder mutation was found in 59% (25/42). Families with any case of ovarian cancer were significantly more likely to segregate a founder mutation than were families with site-specific breast cancer. Penetrance was higher in families ascertained on the basis of family history than in families ascertained on the basis of an unselected proband, but this difference was not significant. Penetrance of BRCA1 185delAG and BRCA1 5382insC was significantly higher than penetrance of BRCA2 6174delT (hazard ratio 2.1 [95% CI 1.2-3.8]; two-tailed P = .01). Thus, the high rate of germ-line BRCA1/BRCA2 mutations in Ashkenazi women and families with ovarian cancer is coupled with penetrance that is lower than previously estimated. This has been shown specifically for the BRCA2 6174delT mutation, but, because of ascertainment bias, it also may be true for BRCA1 mutations.     

Carrier testing of children for two X-linked diseases: a retrospective evaluation of experience and satisfaction of subjects and their mothers

Carrier testing of children for inherited disease that will not affect the health of the children themselves but of their future children is generally regarded as problematic. In this retrospective study, we determined how young women had experienced genetic carrier testing when they were children. The families of 66 young females who had been tested for carriership during childhood between 1984 and 1988, were approached. Of them, 23 young females in families affected by Duchenne muscular dystrophy, and 23 young females in families affected by hemophilia A, and their mothers, participated in our study. We used a questionnaire including multiple-choice and open-ended questions. We recorded general attitudes to testing, satisfaction with testing, degree of trust in test results, making decisions regarding testing, privacy, and opinions about age at testing. Thirty-five out of 46 of the young women tested (76%) were satisfied with carrier testing in childhood. However, the young women in whom the test results had been uncertain were statistically more often unsatisfied with the testing than those who had been found or not found to be carriers (p = 0.002). In each group, the opinions of mothers were parallel to those of their daughters. Seventy-eight percent of daughters regarded carrier testing as a family matter in which parents can make a decision. About half of those tested recalled that they had been allowed to participate in decision-making in a satisfying way. Thirty-nine out of 46 (85%) of the young women tested, and 33/46 (72%) of the mothers, suggested that carrier testing should be performed in childhood or during teenage years.     

Child spacing and two child policy in practice in rural Vietnam: cross sectional survey.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the reproductive pattern of women in rural Vietnam in relation to the existing family planning policies and laws. DESIGN: Cross sectional survey with question-naires on reproductive history. SETTING: Tien Hai, a district in Red River Delta area, where the population density is one of the highest in Vietnam. SUBJECTS: 1132 women who had at least one child under 5 years of age in April 1992. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Birth spacing and probability of having a third child. RESULTS: The mean age at first birth was 22.2 years. The average spacing between the first and the second child was 2.6 years. Mothers with a lower educational level, farmers, and women belonging to the Catholic religion had shorter spacing between the first and second child and also a higher probability of having a third child. In addition, women who had no sons or who had lost a previous child were more likely to have a third child. CONCLUSION: Most families do not adhere to the official family planning policy, which was introduced in 1988, stipulating that each couple should have a maximum of two children with 3-5 years'' spacing in between. More consideration should be given to family planning needs and perceptions of the population, supporting the woman to be in control of her fertility. This may imply improved contraceptive services and better consideration of sex issues and cultural differences as well as improved social support for elderly people.     

Implications of the age range in a population-based BRCA1 testing program with eligibility based on family history of breast and ovarian cancer

The current options available to BRCA1 mutation carriers can be classified as either cancer risk reduction or increased disease surveillance. Risk reduction might be preferable to young women. Increased surveillance might be more attractive to women when their cancer risk is highest. The aim of this report is to estimate the sensitivity, specificity and ability to detect carriers for a population-based BRCA1 testing program with eligibility based on family history of cancer, and examine the effect of age on the program's performance. A computer model was used to simulate the incidence of breast and ovarian cancer in a woman's family, based on her BRCA1 mutation carrier status. Age-specific estimates of the sensitivity and specificity for family history as an indicator of mutation status were applied to local population figures. Sensitivity of the program increased with the age of the proband and the size of her family. Sensitivity ranged from 0.33 for 20-year-olds with small families, to 0.98 for 60-year-olds with large families. Specificity was greater than 0.95, regardless of a woman's age or family size. If 0.12% of people carry a BRCA1 mutation, a province-wide testing program for people aged 20-69 with referrals based only on family history would have a sensitivity of 0.55. Only 2% of the genetic test results would be positive. The acceptability of a genetic testing program depends on its sensitivity and specificity, and on the options available to women who are found to carry a mutation. Compared with variation due to family size, the program sensitivity and specificity does not differ substantially amongst the various age groups.     

Sexual dysfunction among middle aged women in the community

In a community survey of women aged 35-59 sexual functioning was studied in the 436 women with partners. One third of these women had operationally defined sexual dysfunction: impaired sexual interest was identified in 17% of women (68/406), vaginal dryness in 17% (73/434), infrequency of orgasm in 16% (60/379), and dyspareunia in 8% (30/379). Sexual dysfunctions were statistically significantly associated with increasing age and also with psychiatric disorder, neuroticism, and marital disharmony. One in 10 women regarded themselves as having a sexual problem. These women were no older than women with sexual dysfunction who did not regard themselves as having a sexual problem. Nevertheless, they differed from the rest of the sample in having more psychiatric disorder, neuroticism, marital disharmony, and (in women still menstruating) psychological symptoms of the premenstrual syndrome. In the whole sample 16 women (4%) said that they would like help for a sexual problem.The prevalence of sexual dysfunction in this series of women suggests that general practitioners should increase their alertness to the problem in their patients.     

Development of Overweight in Children in Relation to Parental Weight and Socioeconomic Status

The purpose of the study was to test the hypothesis that socioeconomic status (SES) moderates the association between parental weight and changes in BMI from childhood to early adolescence. Participants included 428 twin children from 100 families with obese parents (“obese families”) and 114 sociodemographically matched families with normal‐weight parents (“lean families”) who were assessed in their homes (age = 4.4). Follow‐up study was conducted 7 years later (age = 11.2) on 346 children (81%). Complete data were available for 333 children. Family SES was indexed with maternal education. Children's weights and heights were measured to calculate BMI s.d. scores based on 1990 British norms. Overweight was defined as >91st BMI centile. In children with obese parents, BMI s.d. scores increased from 0.51 at age 4 to 1.06 at age 11. In children with lean parents, BMI s.d. scores decreased from 0.11 to 0.05. Prevalence of overweight remained stable from age 4 to 11 in children with lean parents (8% to 9%), but it more than doubled in children with obese parents (17% to 45%). There was a significant interaction between parental weight and family SES (P < 0.01), so that in children with lean parents there was no SES difference in the BMI status from age 4 to 11; however, in children with obese parents, the increase in adiposity was significantly greater in lower SES families. These results suggest that parental leanness confers significant protection against development of overweight in children regardless of family SES, while parental obesity is an adverse prognostic sign, especially in lower SES families.     

Familial pericentric and paracentric inversions of chromosome 1

Summary We investigated 33 individuals (21 carriers) from one family with a pericentric inversion involving a large part of chromosome 1 (1p36.11q32). In addition, we investigated 15 individuals (10 carriers) from another family with a paracentric inversion of a small part of chromosome 1(1p321p36.1). In each family, the index patient was ascertained because three miscarriages had occurred. Each carrier of these inversions was phenotypically normal. If the miscarriages of the index patients are excluded, the frequency of recognized miscarriages among the carriers of childbearing age was 9% (4 of 46) for the family with pericentric inversion and 17% (4 of 23) for the family with paracentric inversion. One of the pericentric inv(1) carriers had had a stillborn daughter. The carriers of the pericentric inversion who were of childbearing age had 41 children; carriers of the paracentric inversion who were of childbearing age had 19 children. No live-born children with birth defects were observed in either family. This evidence, together with the low frequency of miscarriages, suggests that crossover within the inversion loop occurs much less frequently than might be expected from the large size of this inversion. Our investigation suggests that the risk of recognized miscarriages, stillbirths, and live-born children with recombinant chromosomes who have birth defects may be much lower for inv(1) carriers than previously reported. The risk of having a malformed child because of a recombinant chromosome is probably less than 3% for carriers of the pericentric inversion and less than 6% for the carriers of the paracentric inversion.     

Population Trends Among Present-Day Omaha Indians

Abstract

Data collected in 1972 from three communities in Nebraska, through intensive interviewing of women of childbearing age, are summarized. Rural-urban contrasts in variables related to population growth indicate that Omaha women are having many wanted children (4.5 by age 34). City residents have (and want) families at least as large as those had (and wanted) by reservation residents. Large families are not explained by (a) religious factors; (b) greater desire for children of one sex, i.e. boys, (c) ignorance or disapproval of birth control or (d) rural residence. Explanation appears to lie partly in large-family values derived from an Omaha past laced with disastrous epidemics which struck six times in the 19th century, killing from 50 to 1500 persons or from 5% to 75% of the tribe.     

Impact of child mortality and sociodemographic attributes on family size desires: some data from urban India

Using follow-up data on a sample of mothers who gave birth at a Lucknow city hospital in India, the family size ideals of the women were examined in relation to experienced and perceived levels of child mortality and socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. The fear of child mortality and their own experience tended to increase the size of family which the mothers considered to be ideal. Under the conditions of assured survival of all children born to a couple, the study mothers considered on the average 2.83 children as ideal, as compared to 3.68 under conditions of uncertain survival. The couples with a rural background thought higher numbers of children were ideal, as compared to those with an urban background. More of the females who belonged to joint families preferred fewer children compared to those in nuclear families. Within the overall mean ideal family size of 2.83, the Hindu females thought fewer children made up an ideal family than their Muslim counterparts. Further, among the Hindus, the mean number of children considered ideal varied inversely with caste status. About 44% of the illiterate females considered 4 or more children as ideal, compared to about 5% of those with education to graduate or higher levels. The educational level of the males also influenced the family size preferences of their wives which varied inversely with them. The family size ideals of the females varied significantly with their husbands' occupational status. The females who lived in relatively poor housing conditions considered higher numbers of children as ideal. The preference is for smaller families with younger mothers. The female's age at marriage is important. The females currently using birth control methods considered an average 2.72 children as ideal, in contrast to 2.98 for those who were not using any method; the difference in means is significant.     

Demographic and contraceptive patterns among women in Northern Mindanao, the Philippines

Desired family size and contraceptive behavior of 986 ever-married women aged 15-54 from Northern Mindanao, the Philippines, are described. Using the Dow and Werner typology of demographic and contraceptive patterns, it was found that a majority of the women were traditional in their demographic attitude and contraceptive behavior. A substantial proportion of the women desired medium to large families. In consistency in attitude and behavior was also manifested by women who desired small families but have never used efficient family planning methods. Sociodemographic characteristics of these women are described. A majority of the women who have never used efficient contraception also never practiced family planning. Rhythm was the primary method of birth control among demographic innovators and traditionals who have ever used inefficient methods; the pill was popular among contraceptive innovators and moderns. A considerable proportion of the demographic innovators and the traditionals were not currently using any family planning method; a lesser proportion of contraceptive innovators and moderns were also not using birth control methods. Relevance of the findings to family planning programs is pointed out. Recommendations are given. Motivation for a small family is a prerequisite for a successful family planning program. Without motivation, what family planning programs do is reduce the number of unwanted births. Family planning programs should reach out to those who are sufficiently motivated to have small families but have never used efficient family planning methods. A major finding of this research is that a majority of the women who never used efficient contraception also never used inefficient or traditional methods. Efforts should be made to change this. Additionally, efforts should be made to bring those modern and contraceptive innovators who had stopped using any family planning method to practice contraception again.     

Differences in DNA methylation by extent of breast cancer family history in unaffected women

Breast cancer clusters within families but genetic factors identified to date explain only a portion of this clustering. Lower global DNA methylation in white blood cells (WBC) has been associated with increased breast cancer risk. We examined whether WBC DNA methylation varies by extent of breast cancer family history in unaffected women from high-risk breast cancer families. We evaluated DNA methylation levels in LINE-1, Alu and Sat2 in 333 cancer-free female family members of the New York site of the Breast Cancer Family Registry, the minority of which were known BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers. We used generalized estimated equation models to test for differences in DNA methylation levels by extent of their breast cancer family history after adjusting for age. All unaffected women had at least one sister affected with breast cancer. LINE-1 and Sat2 DNA methylation levels were lower in individuals with 3 or more (3+) first-degree relatives with breast cancer relative to women with only one first-degree relative. For LINE-1, Alu, and Sat2, having 3+ affected first-degree relatives was associated with a decrease of 23.4% (95%CI = ?46.8%, 0.1%), 17.9% (95%CI = ?39.5%, 3.7%) and 11.4% (95% CI = ?20.3%, ?2.5%), respectively, relative to individuals with only one affected first-degree relative, but the results were only statistically significant for Sat2. Individuals having an affected mother had 17.9% lower LINE-1 DNA methylation levels (95% CI = ?28.8%, ?7.1%) when compared with those not having an affected mother. No associations were observed for Alu or Sat2 by maternal breast cancer status. If replicated, these results indicate that lower global WBC DNA methylation levels in families with extensive cancer histories may be one explanation for the clustering of cancers in these families. Family clustering of disease may reflect epigenetic as well as genetic and shared environmental factors.     

Food Choices and Consequences for the Nutritional Status: Insights into Nutrition Transition in an Hospital Community

Introduction

Although economic development is generally accompanied by improvements in the overall nutritional status of the country’s population the ‘nutritional transition’ often involves a shift to high energy diets and less exercise with negative consequences. This pilot study was done to examine if education of parents operates at the household level to influence dietary choices and the nutritional status of children in a small community of hospital workers.

Material and Methods

3 groups of persons with varying skill and education levels participated. Weighed food logs were used in all households to calculate ‘adult equivalent’ per-capita-consumption. Nutrients were calculated using nutrients calculator software. BMI was used to classify children as underweight, normal weight and overweight.

Results

128 individuals participated from 30 families included 47 children. 10 children (21%) were underweight, 29 (62%) were normal and 8 (17%) were overweight. Energy consumption was highest in families with overweight children 2692 +/-502 compared to 2259 +/-359 in families with normal weight and 2031+/-354 in the family of underweight children. These differences were statistically significant. 42% underweight children belonged to Class 1 at the lowest skill level and there were no overweight children in this group. Most of the overweight children belonged to Class 2. In Class 3 there were no underweight children and the majority was normal weight children.

Conclusion

Underweight children came from the poorer households. Per capita intake of the family as a whole correlated well with BMI in the children. There was increased obesity in middle income families belonging to Class 2—probably in families who move up the scale from deprivation. Nutritional status in children correlated mostly with maternal education status.     

Human sex ratios and sex distribution in sibships of size 2

We previously analyzed data from the U.S. National Health Interview Survey (NHIS, 1998 to 2002) on families with two biological children (10 years of age and younger) and found that the distribution of families with two boys, two girls, and one boy + one girl did not statistically conform to a binomial distribution regardless of the boy/girl sex ratio used. Using the best estimate of the sex ratio from the data, we found that there were significantly more families with opposite-sex siblings than families with same-sex siblings. No biological mechanism could explain these results at the time. In the present study we conducted an analysis of the first two children in sibships of size 3 from the same data source and found that there are significantly more same-sex sibships than unlike-sex sibships. Combining the two sets of data for the first two children produced observed numbers in close agreement with the expected numbers. A hypothesis of parental choice (family planning) appears to be strongly supported as an explanation for the discrepancies in the two sets of data individually. For example, parents who have a boy and a girl (either order) as their first two children are more likely to stop having children ("stopping rule") than are parents whose first two children are of the same sex.     

The one-child family: international patterns and their implications for the People's Republic of China

China's Campaign for 1-child families began in 1979 with the goal of limiting its population to 1.2 billion by the year 2000. The 1982 Census indicates that almost 1/2 the mothers between 20 and 29 had had only 1 child. The campaign has aroused considerable interest worldwide because most studies of 1-child families have been based on small samples, often in the US. This study compares the general rates of 1 child families in China and 60 other countries. Data were gathered from national censuses, UN demographic yearbooks, and some World Fertility Surveys and other sources. China's current 1-child family rate (12.5%) is relatively low compared with some developed countries, e.g. Hungary (25.0%), and the US (17.1%). 80% of countries have rates in the 10.0%-19.9% range. For less developed countries (LDCs), rates increase rapidly to age 20-24, declining slowly until age 40. Chinese rates are slightly less at most ages than the average LDC. In more developed countries, the decline begins after age group 25-29. The difference is likely to be due to the later age of marriage and longer birth intervals of women in the developed countries. The % of completed single child families (indicated by rates for women in their later reproductive years) for China are quite low compared to the other developing and developed countries. Despite publicity surrounding the China campaign, China has a considerable distance to go to approach developed nations such as Hungary and Romania.     

Population increases in obesity appear to be partly due to genetics

Studies have documented substantial increases in obesity throughout most of the industrialized world in recent decades. The majority of explanations for these increases have centred around environmental factors such as the increasing availability of high-fat, high-carbohydrate foods and sedentary lifestyles. This study sought to determine if genetic factors might be contributing to the increases in the proportions of North Americans who are obese and overweight. The body mass index (BMI) for a large sample of two generations of United States and Canadian subjects was correlated with family fertility indicators. Small but highly significant positive correlations were found between the BMIs of family members and their reproduction rates, especially in the case of women. For instance, mothers in the sample (most of whom were born in the 1940s and 50s) who were in the normal or below normal range had an average of 4.3 siblings and 3.2 children, compared with 4.8 siblings and 3.5 children for mothers who were overweight or obese. When combined with evidence from twin and adoption studies indicating that genes make substantial contributions to obesity, this study suggests that recent increases in obesity are partially the result of overweight and obese women having more children than is true for average and underweight women. It is speculated that improvements in medical treatments for conditions associated with obesity--particularly diabetes and heart disease--are making it possible for overweight women to live longer and to be more fertile than was true historically.