A hybrid risk-based approach for maritime applications: The case of ballast tank maintenance

Risk assessment is vital for cost-effective ship management in maritime industry since numerous maritime activities pose potential hazards according to the human causalities. Therefore, safety practitioners attempt to offer proactive approaches to mitigate risk as much as possible. In this context, this article presents a hybrid risk-based approach for maritime industry by adopting Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) with fuzzy VIKOR (FVIKOR) methods under Fine-Kinney approach. To illustrate the hybrid risk-based approach, ballast tank maintenance process is handled since there are various hazards causing fatalities, severe injuries, and illness during ballast tank maintenance procedure than any other type of shipboard work. An extensive risk analysis is performed to enhance environment safety and operational reliability in maritime industry. Besides its theoretical contribution, the outcomes of the paper contribute to improve overall safety level of ship by considering potential hazards in risk management.     

The Role of Human Error Analysis in Occupational and Environmental Risk Assessment: A Serbian Experience

Human error analysis is certainly a challenge today for all involved in safety and environmental risk assessment. The risk assessment process should not ignore the role of humans in accidental events and the consequences that may derive from human error. This article presents a case study of the Success Likelihood Index Method (SLIM) applied to the Electric Power Company of Serbia (EPCS), with the aim to disclose the importance of human error analysis in risk assessment. A database on work-related injuries, accidents, and critical interventions that occurred over a 10-year period in the EPCS provided the basis for this study. The research comprised analysis of 1074 workplaces, with a total of 3997 employees. A detailed analysis identified 10 typical human errors, performance shaping factors (PSFs), and estimated human error probability (HEP). Based on the obtained research results one can conclude that PSF control remains crucial for human error reduction, and thus prevention of occupational injuries and fatalities (the number of injuries decreased from 58 in 2012 to 44 in 2013, no fatalities recorded). Furthermore, the case study performed at the EPCS confirmed that the SLIM is highly applicable for quantification of human errors, comprehensive, and easy to perform.     

Assessment of occupational hazards and associated risks in fuzzy environment: A case study of a university chemical laboratory

University laboratories involve various occupational hazards during the research and course activities, which might affect health and safety of both researchers and students, including chemical, physical, electrical, mechanical, as well as ergonomic and psychosocial risk factors. There are many aspects open to improvements in Occupational Health and Safety management of laboratories, and it is required to deal with risks, reduce them in an acceptable level, and implement control measures. In this study, a risk assessment approach is proposed for the university laboratory operations. The proposed approach incorporates 5S methodology, failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA), interval type-two fuzzy sets (IT2FSs), analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR). AHP is injected into IT2FSs in the phase of evaluation and weighting of severity (S), occurrence (O), and detectability (D) parameters of FMEA. By applying IT2FVIKOR, it is aimed at prioritizing the emerged hazards in the chemical laboratory of the observed university. The proposed approach reveals the important hazards and suggests control measures for managing them. The study methodologically contributes to risk assessment in the knowledge, while a case study in a chemical laboratory of a newly established university offers an insight into education industry in safety improvement.     

A fuzzy-based risk assessment model for evaluations of hazards with a real-case study

Abstract

The effectiveness of the traditional risk analysis approach is enhanced by the integration of the fuzzy logic and Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) methods. In fact, human decisions are ambiguous and blurred and do not fit to express with absolute numerical values. For this reason, it is more realistic to use verbal variables in modeling human decisions. In this paper, a new fuzzy based hazard evaluation approach is proposed to deal with the risk assessment process. The proposed methodology consists on MCDM with a fuzzy system which includes a hybrid structure consists the Pythagorean Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (PFAHP) method with cosine similarity, and also Neutrosophic Analytic Hierarchy Process (NFAHP) to support facing of uncertainty in the risk assessment process for asphalt production, laying and coating services which are important and should be examined in terms of occupational health and safety. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to propose facing uncertainty in the hazard evaluations and risk assessment for asphalt production, laying, and coating services. As an outcome of the analysis by the proposed method, according to PFAHP and NFAHP methodologies the criterions “manometer size” and “calibration” are found to be most critical factors, respectively.     

Fractional Fuzzy Simulation–Based Health Risk Assessment for Toluene Contaminated Aquifers

This article integrates a fractional fuzzy health risk approach with multi-objective analysis in consideration of multiple exposure pathways in order to assess human health risk in petroleum hydrocarbon (PH)–contaminated aquifers. A PH-contaminated groundwater aquifer located in the Pinggu District of Beijing, China, is then studied for demonstrating the applicability of the proposed approach. The results show that with more fuzzy parameters considered in the risk assessment procedure, the multi-parameter fuzzy (MPF) result is more accurate than that from the single-parameter fuzzy (SPF) model. The comparison results also indicate the advantage of the proposed fractional fuzzy approach in assessing parameter uncertainty. The non-carcinogenic risk assessment results imply that the contaminated groundwater in the study area is in the medium risk level, and remediation plans for soil and groundwater should be considered to ensure safe groundwater utilization.     

Health risk from ionizing radiation and other harmful sources: assessment methods and practical application

The modern health risk assessment (HRA) methodology allows the development of the general HRA method applicable to any harmful source (ionizing radiation, harmful chemicals, nanomaterials and others). Specific methods and their simplified versions are developed on the basis of the general method. The main items of this approach to developing HRA methodology (risk indices and calculation formulas, exposure-response dependences, single and extended exposure to a harmful source, risk competition, etc.) are shortly described. The most suitable risk index for elaborating health safety standards (HSSs) and risk comparison on the unique methodological basis in different areas of the human activity are proposed. The approach to the risk standardization (establishment of HSSs and other safety levels) is described. HSSs and other safety levels are sequentially established in this approach according to the scheme: united main universal HSSs --> main branch HSSs --> derivative (secondary) HSSs with practically suitable indices. This approach allows resolution of the actual problem of harmonizing HSSs in different areas of human activity as well as in different countries. The principal role of HRA results in the development and justification of HSSs is shown on the example of developing radiological HSSs.     

Mini-review: Assessing the drivers of ship biofouling management – aligning industry and biosecurity goals

Biofouling exerts a frictional and cost penalty on ships and is a direct cause of invasion by marine species. These negative consequences provide a unifying purpose for the maritime industry and biosecurity managers to prevent biofouling accumulation and transfer, but important gaps exist between these sectors. This mini-review examines the approach to assessments of ship biofouling among sectors (industry, biosecurity and marine science) and the implications for existing and emerging management of biofouling. The primary distinctions between industry and biosecurity in assessment of vessels biofouling revolve around the resolution of biological information collected and the specific wetted surface areas of primary concern to each sector. The morphological characteristics of biofouling and their effects on propulsion dynamics are of primary concern to industry, with an almost exclusive focus on the vertical sides and flat bottom of hulls and an emphasis on antifouling and operational performance. In contrast, the identity, biogeography, and ecology of translocated organisms is of highest concern to invasion researchers and biosecurity managers and policymakers, especially as it relates to species with known histories of invasion elsewhere. Current management practices often provide adequate, although not complete, provision for hull surfaces, but niche areas are well known to enhance biosecurity risk. As regulations to prevent invasions emerge in this arena, there is a growing opportunity for industry, biosecurity and academic stakeholders to collaborate and harmonize efforts to assess and manage biofouling of ships that should lead to more comprehensive biofouling solutions that promote industry goals while reducing biosecurity risk and greenhouse gas emissions.     

铝的生态与健康风险研究进展

人为原因加快了铝进入环境的速度,也加剧了铝对生命组分的毒害作用与危害。本文从毒理生态学、分子生态学等不同角度分析了铝对环境的生态风险和对人类的健康风险,概述了有关铝生态风险与健康风险两个方面的最新研究进展,对控制、消除环境中铝毒的发生提出了展望。     

Bayesian meta-experimental design: evaluating cardiovascular risk in new antidiabetic therapies to treat type 2 diabetes

Recent guidance from the Food and Drug Administration for the evaluation of new therapies in the treatment of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) calls for a program-wide meta-analysis of cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. In this context, we develop a new Bayesian meta-analysis approach using survival regression models to assess whether the size of a clinical development program is adequate to evaluate a particular safety endpoint. We propose a Bayesian sample size determination methodology for meta-analysis clinical trial design with a focus on controlling the type I error and power. We also propose the partial borrowing power prior to incorporate the historical survival meta data into the statistical design. Various properties of the proposed methodology are examined and an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithm is developed to sample from the posterior distributions. In addition, we develop a simulation-based algorithm for computing various quantities, such as the power and the type I error in the Bayesian meta-analysis trial design. The proposed methodology is applied to the design of a phase 2/3 development program including a noninferiority clinical trial for CV risk assessment in T2DM studies.     

Fuzzy rule-based Fine–Kinney risk assessment approach for rail transportation systems

Rail transportation is one of the most crucial public transportation types for big and crowded cities. In rail transportation systems, stakeholders face serious issues involved in workshops, stations, lines and their environments, and general office buildings. In order to reach an increased awareness and better occupational health and safety (OHS) management, a new risk assessment approach is proposed in this study. This approach includes a combination of Fine–Kinney method and a fuzzy rule-based expert system. It captures nonlinear causal relationships between Fine–Kinney parameters. Since there is a high level of vagueness involved in the OHS risk assessment data, the rule-based expert system is developed for probability (P), exposure (E), and consequence (C) for evaluating risk score. A case study is carried out in a rail transportation system in Istanbul/Turkey, and a comparison with the classical Fine–Kinney method is discussed. Results of the case study reveal risk clusters and corresponding control measures that should be taken into consideration. The study methodologically contributes to risk assessment in the knowledge, while case study in a real rail transportation system offers an insight into public transport industry in safety improvement.     

Risk Assessment and Safety Evaluation Using Probabilistic Fault Tree Analysis

Risk assessment is an essential prelude to the development of accident prevention strategies in any chemical or petrochemical industry. Many techniques and methodologies such as HAZOP, failure mode effect analysis, fault tree analysis, preliminary hazard analysis, quantitative risk assessment and probabilistic safety analysis are available to conduct qualitative, quantitative, and probabilistic risk assessment. However, these methodologies are limited by: extensive data requirements, the length of study, results are not directly interpretable for decision making, simulation is often difficult, and they are applicable only at the operation or late design stage. Khan et al. (2001a) recently proposed a detailed methodology for risk assessment and safety evaluation. This methodology is simple, yet it is effective in safety and design-related decision making, and it has been applied successfully to many case studies. It is named SCAP, where S stands for safety, C and A stand for credible accident respectively, and P stands for probabilistic fault tree analysis. This paper recapitulates the SCAP methodology and demonstrates its application to a petrochemical plant.     

农业生态系统健康的基本内涵及其评价指标

农业生态系统健康在国际上日益受到关注。并成为农业生态学研究的热点和前沿领域之一．农业生态系统健康是食物安全和人类健康的基础．农业生态系统健康是指具有良好的生态环境、健康的农业生物、合理的时空结构、清洁的生产方式,以及具有适度的生物多样性和持续农业生产力的一种系统状态和动态过程．农业生态系统是一类典型的人工．自然复合生态系统,其健康状况在很大程度上受人类活动的调控与影响,并往往以农产品品质、食物安全和生物安全为标准．农业生态系统健康可采用生物学、环境学、生态经济学几个方面的指标。进行综合评价．其评价方法可采用综合指数法、生态毒理学方法、生态风险评估方法等．     

Uncertainty-based dynamic multimedia human health risk assessment for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in a land oil exploitation area

With the increasing development of the petrochemical industry and the growing demand for oil, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) pollutions in the environment, especially in petroleum exploitation areas, are caused by the discharge of waste from the petroleum extraction process into an environmental system. This study aims to develop a new health risk assessment approach based on interval dynamic multimedia fugacity (IDMF) model and uncertainty analysis that could analyze the human exposure risk level for PAH contamination. The developed IDM health risk assessment (IDMHRA) approach is applied to assess previous, current, and future risks at a case study site in Daqing, Heilongjiang, China, from 1985 to 2020 for model validation. The human health risk assessment results show that 11 PAHs (NAP, ANT, FLA, PYR, BaA, CHR, BbF, BkF, BaP, IPY, and DBA) in the study site require further remediation efforts in terms of their unacceptable non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risk. The results of risk source analysis reveal that soil media is the main risk pathway as compared with other exposure pathways. It can be seen that remediation process for soil contamination in the study site is urgently demanded. The assessment results demonstrate that the developed IDMHRA approach provides an effective tool for decision-makers and environmental managers to make remediation decisions in contaminated sites.     

土壤污染生态毒性效应评价研究进展

随着社会经济的高度发展,人类活动加剧,我国土壤污染问题突出,不仅威胁人体健康,同时也严重威胁动植物及微生物的安全,生态安全问题不容忽视。但是我国土壤污染风险管控目前主要关注人体健康,对生态系统的关注较少,缺乏土壤污染生态风险评估技术指南及基于生态风险的土壤环境质量基准及标准。准确评价土壤污染生态毒性效应,是制定土壤环境质量标准、实现生态风险评估及预警与管控的重要基础。针对土壤污染生态毒性效应评价问题,分别对土壤污染生态毒性效应特征、评价方法、评价终点、暴露-效应关系构建、生态毒性效应外推,以及群落水平与复合污染生态毒性效应评价等方面的关键问题展开了讨论,指出目前土壤污染生态毒性效应评价主要是基于单物种的急性毒性测试,利用个体和亚个体水平的指示物作为评价终点,缺乏针对群落及生态系统高水平评价终点的生态毒性效应评价方法,定量评价污染物尤其是复合污染物对土壤生物群落及生态系统的影响,是土壤污染生态毒性效应评价的关键问题和难点问题。建议今后重点开展以下3方面的工作1)群落及生态系统水平评价终点的筛选;2)土壤污染生态毒性效应环境影响因子识别及影响机制研究;3)土壤复合污染联合毒性效应定量评价及...     

An assessment methodology for human holistic risk in whole cycle of shale gas fracturing

In the process of shale gas fracturing, long time, high strength, and boring task could trigger psychological or physical operation fatigues, and then lead to downtime, sand blocking, or other accidents, which are the main problems in safety management. However, conventional studies either separately analyze risks without considering the interaction and relationship between humans or teams, or only form a qualitative framework for team analysis. These methods cannot be directly applied for the fracturing operators due to complex operation procedures and diversified human errors. An improved methodology, therefore, is proposed to assess human holistic risk during the whole cycle of fracturing operation. First, D-S evidence theory is introduced to obtain the individual risk, and team performance shaping factor is also presented to establish risk assessment model for fracturing teams. Second, individual and team risks are integrated to calculate the quantitative value of human holistic risk. A scatter diagram of human risk is finally designed, where the high-risk fracturing stages and human types can be clearly revealed. Results from a study of one shale gas well indicate that human holistic risk is more objective and practical, and improves accuracy of human reliability analysis.     

An historical overview of the activities in the field of exposure and risk assessment of non-ionizing radiation in Bulgaria

Abstract

The exposure and risk evaluation process in Bulgaria concerning non-ionizing radiation health and safety started in the early 1970s. Then, the first research laboratory “Electromagnetic fields in the working environment” was founded in the framework of the Centre of Hygiene, belonging to the Medical Academy, Sofia. The main activities were connected with developing legislation, new equipment for measurement of electromagnetic fields, new methods for measurement and exposure assessment, in vivo and human studies for developing methods, studying the effect of non-ionizing radiation on human body, developing exposure limits. Most of the occupations as metal industry, plastic welding, energetics, physiotherapy, broadcasting, telephone stations, computer industry, etc., have been covered by epidemiological investigations and risk evaluation. In 1986, the ANSI standard for safe use of lasers has been implemented as national legislation that gave the start for studies in the field of risk assessment concerning the use of lasers in industry and medicine. The environmental exposure studies started in 1991 following the very fast implementation of the telecommunication technologies. Now, funds for research are very insignificant, and studies in the field of risk assessment are very few. Nevertheless, Bulgaria has been an active member of the WHO International EMF Project, since 1997, and that gives good opportunity for collaboration with other Member states, and for implementation of new approach in the EMF policy for workers and people’s protection against non-ionizing radiation exposure.     

Occupational health and safety risk assessment in hospitals: A case study using two-stage fuzzy multi-criteria approach

Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) is a basis to reduce occupational accidents in an acceptable level, and it covers employee health, safety, and welfare in the workplaces. Hospitals as the largest employer group in healthcare industry in Turkey face major hazards categorized as chemical, biological, physical, ergonomic, and psychosocial risks. Although Turkey demonstrates rapid economic growth, OHS practices have not been fully put into practice, and necessary attention has not been paid to the health industry. For this reason, this paper aims to assess risks for health staff, contribute for planning of health services, and enhance regulations. A case study was carried out in a leading hospital in Turkey using a two-stage fuzzy multi-criteria approach, which provides more consistency in decision-making process and gives an appropriate final rank of hazard types. Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) is used in weighing five risk parameters, which are severity, occurrence, undetectability, sensitivity to maintenance non-execution, and sensitivity to personal protective equipment (PPE) non-utilization. The fuzzy VIKOR (FVIKOR) approach is then applied for prioritization of hazard types in each department of the hospital. On conclusion of the hazard control hierarchy, measures are overtaken for the hazards, and areas open for improvement are presented.     

生态风险评价研究进展

20多年来,生态风险评价研究经历了从环境风险到生态风险到区域生态风险评价的发展历程,风险源由单一风险源扩展到多风险源,风险受体由单一受体发展到多受体,评价范围由局地扩展到区域景观水平.区域生态风险评价就是大尺度上研究复杂环境背景下包含多风险源、多风险受体的综合风险研究.目前,区域生态风险评价的理论框架已经搭建起来,统计方法多采用相对评价法.区域生态风险评价未来的发展方向为继续加强实验和野外调查,进一步减小不确定性,逐步解决尺度推移问题.区域生态风险评价必须与经济、社会、文化相结合,才能充分发挥它在管理决策中的作用.     

A Fuzzy Logic Approach to Assess,Manage, and Communicate Carcinogenic Risk

A prospective approach to addressing carcinogen risk assessment is presented. Fuzzy reasoning is used to assess carcinogenic risk, characterize it, and control it. The approach is inspired by fuzzy control inference that deploys linguistic intelligence as input to a system described numerically through membership functions. Fuzzy-based reasoning to estimate carcinogenic risk provides several advantages as discussed here. The fuzzy reasoning approach has more capabilities than traditional models in dealing with risk agents that are probably carcinogens, possibly carcinogens, not classifiable as carcinogens, and probably not carcinogens. Input–output surfaces are presented for each hazard group to enable fast inferencing. Then, a hypothetical example is given to compare the results of traditional methods and the fuzzy-based approach to estimating the risk of a carcinogen to a human population. Results show similarity in risk characterization with less input information to the fuzzy-based approach. Fuzzy reasoning characterizes risk in more explicit and easy to grasp terms. Two outputs of the inferencing system are risk characterization and risk control or remediation.     

Talitrid and Tylid crustaceans bioecology as a tool to monitor and assess sandy beaches’ ecological quality condition

In the last decades, the sharp increase of human activities on sandy beaches has introduced several detrimental impacts on these ecosystems, highlighting the importance of developing environmental quality assessments and sustainable management and protection plans for these environments. The study of key species at the population level represents an adequate and important approach to the ecosystem's ecological quality if the impacts of environmental disturbances, namely derived from human activities, are to be assessed. Talitrid and Tylid crustaceans often form abundant populations in temperate exposed sandy beaches, and might represent the bulk of the macrofaunal communities. In the present case study, the comparison of distinct Talitrid and Tylid populations on Atlantic (Portugal) and Mediterranean (Italy and Tunisia) beaches allowed to assess the adaptation of these animals on local and macro scale scenarios and evaluate the importance of bioecological studies as auxiliary tools in environmental monitoring and in the ecological quality assessment of sandy beaches. The results revealed that Talitrid and Tylid populations have a strong plasticity over geographic gradients and to local environments, presenting a high degree of variation on population ecology, namely latitudinal clines on several life history traits. Also, since the studies were performed on sandy beaches with similar degrees of exposure to wave action and low degrees of human disturbance, the present work may play a relevant role as reference knowledge in environmental monitoring studies and as an ecological quality assessment tool that might be used to evaluate the impacts of environmental disturbances on sandy beach ecosystems, namely from human origin.