Sensitivity of mean annual primary production to precipitation

In many terrestrial ecosystems, variation in aboveground net primary production (ANPP) is positively correlated with variation in interannual precipitation. Global climate change will alter both the mean and the variance of annual precipitation, but the relative impact of these changes in precipitation on mean ANPP remains uncertain. At any given site, the slope of the precipitation‐ANPP relationship determines the sensitivity of mean ANPP to changes in mean precipitation, whereas the curvature of the precipitation‐ANPP relationship determines the sensitivity of ANPP to changes in precipitation variability. We used 58 existing long‐term data sets to characterize precipitation‐ANPP relationships in terrestrial ecosystems and to quantify the sensitivity of mean ANPP to the mean and variance of annual precipitation. We found that most study sites have a nonlinear, saturating relationship between precipitation and ANPP, but these nonlinearities were not strong. As a result of these weak nonlinearities, ANPP was nearly 40 times more sensitive to precipitation mean than variance. A 1% increase in mean precipitation caused a ?0.2% to 1.8% change in mean ANPP, with a 0.64% increase on average. Sensitivities to precipitation mean peaked at sites with a mean annual precipitation near 500 mm. Changes in species composition and increased intra‐annual precipitation variability could lead to larger ANPP responses to altered precipitation regimes than predicted by our analysis.     

基于VGPM模型和MODIS数据估算梅梁湾浮游植物初级生产力

基于MODIS影像数据反演的2009年2月份至12月份太湖梅梁湾水域表面叶绿素a、悬浮物浓度以及水温数据,结合初级生产力垂向归纳模型(Vertically Generalized Production Model:VGPM)估算获得梅梁湾2009年逐月平均日初级生产力时空分布。结果表明,梅梁湾2009年年平均日初级生产力及逐月平均日初级生产力空间分布差异显著,呈现从湾内向湾口逐渐递减的趋势。时间序列分析显示,梅梁湾初级生产力季节差异显著,夏季>秋季>春季>冬季,全年初级生产力主要集中在夏季,占47.4%。通过分析VGPM模型中几个输入参数对初级生产力的影响,发现悬浮物浓度与标准化初级生产力存在显著负冥函数关系,反映沉积物再悬浮引起的悬浮物浓度增加能降低水体初级生产力。温度对初级生产力也有一定的调控与制约,与初级生产力呈现正相关趋势,在低于21℃的温度范围内与最大光合作用速率呈现正相关。     

内蒙古羊草草原植物群落地上初级生产力时间动态对降水变化的响应

植被生产力对水热因子的反应是气候 -植被关系研究的焦点之一。利用 1981～ 1994年的固定围栏样地植物群落调查数据及同期降水资料 ,分析了羊草草原群落地上初级生产力和降水的年际变化特征及植物群落地上初级生产力的时间动态与降水年际变化的相互关系。结果表明 ,羊草草原年降水以及月降水的年际波动明显 ;年内降水分配不均匀 ,降水集中分布于 6～ 8月份。月均降水以 7月份最高 ,基本呈对称分布。群落地上初级生产力年际间变化介于年降水与月降水的年际变化之间。影响群落地上初级生产力时间动态最显著的因子是植物生长周期内前一年 10月至当年 8月的累积降水 ,而与年降水和月降水无显著相关。群落地上初级生产力时间动态对累积降水波动的反应呈显著的二次曲线关系 ,与空间尺度上地上初级生产力与年降水呈线性相关关系不同。因此 ,降水波动对羊草草原地上初级生产力的影响是一个累积效应 ,确定对植物生长产生影响的有效降水时间对建立羊草草原生产力模型关系具有十分重要的意义。     

Effect of precipitation variability on net primary production and soil respiration in a Chihuahuan Desert grassland

Precipitation regimes are predicted to become more variable with more extreme rainfall events punctuated by longer intervening dry periods. Water‐limited ecosystems are likely to be highly responsive to altered precipitation regimes. The bucket model predicts that increased precipitation variability will reduce soil moisture stress and increase primary productivity and soil respiration in aridland ecosystems. To test this hypothesis, we experimentally altered the size and frequency of precipitation events during the summer monsoon (July through September) in 2007 and 2008 in a northern Chihuahuan Desert grassland in central New Mexico, USA. Treatments included (1) ambient rain, (2) ambient rain plus one 20 mm rain event each month, and (3) ambient rain plus four 5 mm rain events each month. Throughout two monsoon seasons, we measured soil temperature, soil moisture content (θ), soil respiration (R_s), along with leaf‐level photosynthesis (A_net), predawn leaf water potential (Ψ_pd), and seasonal aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) of the dominant C₄ grass, Bouteloua eriopoda. Treatment plots receiving a single large rainfall event each month maintained significantly higher seasonal soil θ which corresponded with a significant increase in R_s and ANPP of B. eriopoda when compared with plots receiving multiple small events. Because the strength of these patterns differed between years, we propose a modification of the bucket model in which both the mean and variance of soil water change as a consequence of interannual variability from 1 year to the next. Our results demonstrate that aridland ecosystems are highly sensitive to increased precipitation variability, and that more extreme precipitation events will likely have a positive impact on some aridland ecosystem processes important for the carbon cycle.     

不同数据集的1982—2017年中国总初级生产力的时空动态

了解陆地生态系统总初级生产力(GPP)时空变化及其与气候因子的关系,可以为植被恢复及保护提供重要依据。基于气象数据和3套公开的GPP数据集(EC-LUE GPP、GLASS GPP和NIRv GPP),本研究系统分析了中国1982—2017年GPP的时空变化特征及其对气候变化的响应。结果表明: 3套GPP数据均表明,1982—2017年,中国年和季节的GPP呈逐年上升趋势,1998和2002年明显高于研究期间的平均水平,1989和1992年明显低于多年平均GPP。1982—2017年,中国大部分地区GPP呈显著上升趋势,3套GPP数据显著增加的区域分别占整个研究区的75.7%、73.0%和69.6%。年GPP与降水和温度均存在显著正相关关系,但空间异质性较强。其中GPP与温度呈正相关的区域主要分布在西北和华中地区,GPP与降水呈正相关的区域主要分布在华北地区。不同季节的GPP受气温、降水影响的区域存在明显的时空异质性。温度是春、秋和冬季GPP的限制因子,而夏季GPP主要受降水影响。     

基于信息熵的新疆降水时空变异特征研究

基于信息熵理论对新疆降水序列的时空变异性进行研究。利用边际熵研究不同时间尺度降水序列的变化特征。利用分配熵和强度熵分别研究降水量和降水天数年内和年代际(10a)分配情况。利用改进的Mann-Kendall趋势检验法分析新疆降水过程不确定性变化趋势。研究表明:(1)新疆降水量与降水天数年内分配不均匀性主要表现为由南向北减小的空间分布特征;(2)新疆不同尺度的降水序列不确定性具有明显空间特征;(3)越降水越稀少的地区,降水量与降水天数变异性就越大。本研究对该区域降水时空变异研究与水资源规划具有重要意义。     

1951—2018年中国年降水量及气象干旱的时空变异

探求降水量及干旱时空变化特征及规律是当前水文学研究的重要课题。基于中国619个气象站1951—2018年的降水量数据,采用距平百分率法和Morlet小波分析等方法,揭示年降水量及干旱的时空变异。结果表明: 研究期间,中国年降水量空间上呈东南至西北阶梯递减的特征,多年降水量变化剧烈程度反之;地势二、三阶梯分界线左右区域降水量呈下降趋势,且多于20世纪60—70年代发生突变,其余地区呈上升趋势,大多数突变发生于20世纪90年代;温带大陆和温带季风气候区降水量主周期小。20世纪60年代至21世纪10年代,中国干旱区面积减少,半干旱区面积增加,特别是近10年干旱和半干旱区面积减小,半湿润区面积增大。在30°—40° N之间发现一条干旱南北差异分界线,分界线以北干旱次数远多于以南;干旱的主体区域在年代际的转移方向为西北中部→华北南部→华北北部,发生次数及分布范围逐渐减小。     

Effect of interannual precipitation variability on dryland productivity: A global synthesis

Climate‐change assessments project increasing precipitation variability through increased frequency of extreme events. However, the effects of interannual precipitation variance per se on ecosystem functioning have been largely understudied. Here, we report on the effects of interannual precipitation variability on the primary production of global drylands, which include deserts, steppes, shrublands, grasslands, and prairies and cover about 40% of the terrestrial earth surface. We used a global database that has 43 datasets, which are uniformly distributed in parameter space and each has at least 10 years of data. We found (a) that at the global scale, precipitation variability has a negative effect on aboveground net primary production. (b) Expected increases in interannual precipitation variability for the year 2,100 may result in a decrease of up to 12% of the global terrestrial carbon sink. (c) The effect of precipitation interannual variability on dryland productivity changes from positive to negative along a precipitation gradient. Arid sites with mean precipitation under 300 mm/year responded positively to increases in precipitation variability, whereas sites with mean precipitation over 300 mm/year responded negatively. We propose three complementary mechanisms to explain this result: (a) concave‐up and concave‐down precipitation–production relationships in arid vs. humid systems, (b) shift in the distribution of water in the soil profile, and (c) altered frequency of positive and negative legacies. Our results demonstrated that enhanced precipitation variability will have direct impacts on global drylands that can potentially affect the future terrestrial carbon sink.     

东北地区近50年来极端降水和干燥事件时空演变特征

利用东北地区93个国家常规气象观测站1951~2002年逐日降水资料,分析了东北地区的暴雨、严重干燥事件等极端降水事件的时空演变特征,从极端降水事件发生频率和强度变化的角度解释旱涝灾害加剧的原因。结果表明,近52年来,小雨事件发生频次显著减少;暴雨发生频次变化不大,但强度增强;严重干燥事件显著增加;严重湿润事件显著下降。因此,在东北地区降水总量具有减少趋势的背景下,降水事件还有向极端化发展的倾向,降水分布变得更不均匀,从而可能引起更多、更强的旱涝灾害,尤其是旱灾,从而对东北地区的生态环境,尤其是农业生产带来不利的影响,这应引起重视。     

珊瑚礁生态系统初级生产力研究进展

珊瑚礁生态系统由珊瑚礁生物群落及其周围的海洋环境共同组成。该生态系统具有很高的生产力和生物多样性而引起科学家的重视 ,特别是高初级生产力。初级生产力的贡献者包括底栖植物、浮游植物、共生藻和自养细菌等。初级生产力的测定方法较多 ,各有利弊 ,通常采用 1 4C同位素法。在初级生产力中 ,新生产力更引起科学界关注。对于新生产力的测定 ,主要应用 1 5N示踪法 ,采用“f”比或 Redfield比值来估算。为了减少误差 ,一般同时使用几种方法。光是影响初级生产力的主要因素 ,而对新生产力构成限制的主要因素是氮源。珊瑚礁生态系统初级生产力研究较多 ,但新生产力却很少。未来科学界研究重点在于珊瑚礁生态系统初级生产力和新生产力的动力学效应     

中国西北地区降水量及极端干旱气候变化特征

采用1960—2011年西北地区111个观测站逐日气象资料,利用FAO Penman-Monteith模型,计算出各气象站的潜在蒸散量,由此计算出各站的湿润指数,并对其进行标准化,统计极端干旱发生频率。对西北全区和不同自然区的降水量及极端干旱发生频率的时空变化特征进行了探讨分析。结果表明:近52年来西北全区年降水量变化倾向率表现出微弱的上升趋势,平均每年上升0.17 mm。由该区年降水量变化的空间差异,可将研究区划分为3个部分:明显增加区、轻度增加区、减少区。西北全区极端干旱发生频率的平均值为3.8月/a,气候变化倾向率总体上表现出明显的下降趋势,平均每年下降0.011月。根据西北地区极端干旱发生频率变化的空间差异,也可将研究区划分为3个部分:明显减少区、轻度减少区、增加区。极端干旱发生频率与降水量和平均气温表现为显著的负相关性,与无雨总日数呈现出显著的正相关性。     

海草生物量和初级生产力研究进展

海草床是近岸重要的湿地生态系统,具有较高生物量和生产力。海草的生物量和生产力变化除了受到光照、无机碳源、营养盐、温度、盐度、水动力条件、铁限制和污染物等非生物因素制约外,还受到附生藻类和动物摄食等生物因素影响。非生物因素一般有最适合海草生长的范围,生物因素的影响具有两面性。海草生物量和生产力研究基本处于由定性向定量过渡阶段,准确便捷的方法、现场多因子围隔实验、更大时空尺度上的对比研究是今后研究的重点。     

基于SPEI指数的淮河流域干旱时空演变特征及影响研究

运用淮河流域149个气象站1962—2016年逐日气温、降水资料以及历史旱情资料,基于SPEI、EOF和M-K等方法分析淮河流域的干旱时空特征,研究干旱的时空演变规律并揭示其对农业生产的影响。结果表明:(1)基于SPEI得到的干旱频次与受灾、成灾面积的相关性通过了0.1的显著性水平检验,表明SPEI在淮河流域具有较好的适用性;(2)淮河流域干旱发生时间差异明显,干旱次数呈现波动变化,发生重旱和特旱次数占总干旱的比重是20.0%,其中重旱和特旱在1960s比重最大(24.8%),其次是2010s(15.8%),在1980s比重最低(10.0%);(3)干旱的空间分布差异大,淮河流域干旱频率在27.76%—36.04%之间,西北部和东南部发生干旱强度较西南部、东北部及中部低;(4)淮河流域总体呈干旱化的趋势,从中部到四周呈现由高到低递减的趋势变化,且空间模态表现为全区一致型、南北相反型和东西相反型。     

2000-2020年青海湖流域植被降水利用效率时空变化

植被降水利用效率(PUE)是评价植被生产力对降水量时空动态响应特征的重要指标。以年净初级生产力(NPP)数据、年降水量数据为基础,利用地理信息系统(GIS)和遥感(RS)技术,计算并研究了2000-2020年青海湖流域植被降水利用效率时空分布格局及其地形效应,结合年均气温、年均地表温湿度、年生长季光合有效辐射吸收系数和年植被覆盖度等数据,探讨了PUE与各因子间的相关关系。结果表明:(1)青海湖流域单位像元(1 km²)PUE平均值在0.4-0.7 gC m^-2 mm^-1间变化,平均为0.54 gC m^-2 mm^-1,且在年际间无显著变化趋势(R²=0.05, P≥0.05)。在空间上,青海湖流域多年PUE平均值环湖呈现不均匀分布,除青海湖东岸外,PUE值随湖面距离增大呈减小趋势;其高值区主要集中分布在青海湖西岸和南岸的半环区;年PUE变化趋势的斜率值为-0.05-0.04 gC m^-2 mm^-1 a^-1,其中显著变化的区域占流域面积的29.63%。(2)青海湖流域多年PUE平均值在海拔效应和坡度坡向两种不同微地形效应下表现出明显的差异。海拔每升高50 m,PUE值将减少0.02 gC m^-2 mm^-1;随坡度增加,PUE值呈降低趋势,平坡至险坡(>45°)的变化范围为0.3-0.61 gC m^-2 mm^-1;不同坡向PUE值表现为由东北坡向西南坡递减,范围为0.52-0.56 gC m^-2 mm^-1。(3)在空间上,青海湖流域PUE值与地表温度、光合有效辐射吸收系数、植被覆盖度和叶面积指数相关性较为明显。沿海拔梯度,空气温度和地表温度与PUE呈极显著正相关(R²=0.94, P<0.01; R²=0.98, P<0.01),光合有效辐射吸收系数、植被覆盖度和叶面积指数与PUE显著正相关(R²=0.89, P<0.05; R²=0.90, P<0.05; R²=0.86, P<0.05),地表土壤湿度与PUE无显著相关性(R²=0.16, P≥0.05)。评估了青海湖流域植被降水利用效率的特征及其与各因子间的相关关系,明确了植被对降水的利用能力及其耗水特性,可为青海湖流域植被保护和国家公园建设提供理论参考。     

The closure of the grevelingen estuary: Its influence on phytoplankton primary production and nutrient content

The Grevelingen estuary was cut off from the sea in May 1971, and changed into stagnat lake Grevelingen. After the closure nitrate concentrations decreased to extremely low values (less than 2 μgat NH₃-N/1). Ammonia concentrations varied between 10–30 μgat NH₃-N/1, comparable with the situation before the closure. Phosphate concentrations fluctuated between1–2 μgat PO₄-P/1 in the estuarine phase, and increased to μgat after the closure, presumably caused by decomposition of biological material and release of phosphates from the bottom. Phytoplankton primary production was not markedly affected by the damming up, and amounted to 175 g C/m² in 1971. Communication no. 147 of the Delta Institute for Hydrobiological Research, Yerseke, The Netherlands     

Simulation and scaling of temporal variation in gross primary production for coniferous and deciduous temperate forests

Observations of ecosystem net carbon dioxide exchange obtained with eddy covariance techniques over a 4‐year period at spruce, beech and pine forest sites were used to derive time series data for gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (R_eco). A detailed canopy gas exchange model (PROXEL_NEE) was inverted at half‐hour time step to estimate seasonal changes in carboxylation capacity and light utilization efficiency of the forest canopies. The parameter estimates were then used further to develop a time‐dependent modifier of physiological activity in the daily time step gas exchange model of Chen et al. (1999) , previously used for regional simulations in BOREAS. The daily model was run under a variety of assumptions and the results emphasize the need in future analyses: (1) to focus on time‐dependent seasonal changes in canopy physiology as well as in leaf area index, (2) to compare time courses of physiological change in different habitats in terms of recognizable cardinal points in the seasonal course, and (3) to develop methods for utilizing information on seasonal changes in physiology in regional and continental carbon budget simulations. The results suggest that the daily model with appropriate seasonal adjustments for physiological process regulation should be an efficient tool for use in conjunction with remote sensing for regional evaluation of global change scenarios.     

Asymmetric responses of primary productivity to precipitation extremes: A synthesis of grassland precipitation manipulation experiments

Climatic changes are altering Earth's hydrological cycle, resulting in altered precipitation amounts, increased interannual variability of precipitation, and more frequent extreme precipitation events. These trends will likely continue into the future, having substantial impacts on net primary productivity (NPP) and associated ecosystem services such as food production and carbon sequestration. Frequently, experimental manipulations of precipitation have linked altered precipitation regimes to changes in NPP. Yet, findings have been diverse and substantial uncertainty still surrounds generalities describing patterns of ecosystem sensitivity to altered precipitation. Additionally, we do not know whether previously observed correlations between NPP and precipitation remain accurate when precipitation changes become extreme. We synthesized results from 83 case studies of experimental precipitation manipulations in grasslands worldwide. We used meta‐analytical techniques to search for generalities and asymmetries of aboveground NPP (ANPP) and belowground NPP (BNPP) responses to both the direction and magnitude of precipitation change. Sensitivity (i.e., productivity response standardized by the amount of precipitation change) of BNPP was similar under precipitation additions and reductions, but ANPP was more sensitive to precipitation additions than reductions; this was especially evident in drier ecosystems. Additionally, overall relationships between the magnitude of productivity responses and the magnitude of precipitation change were saturating in form. The saturating form of this relationship was likely driven by ANPP responses to very extreme precipitation increases, although there were limited studies imposing extreme precipitation change, and there was considerable variation among experiments. This highlights the importance of incorporating gradients of manipulations, ranging from extreme drought to extreme precipitation increases into future climate change experiments. Additionally, policy and land management decisions related to global change scenarios should consider how ANPP and BNPP responses may differ, and that ecosystem responses to extreme events might not be predicted from relationships found under moderate environmental changes.     

降水时间对内蒙古温带草原地上净初级生产力的影响

全球气候变化下降水时间的改变将深刻影响草原生态系统地上净初级生产力(ANPP),而草原生态系统ANPP是区域碳循环的重要过程.利用1998-2007年的SPOT-VEG NDVI数据并结合111个样点的ANPP地面样方调查数据,获得了内蒙古温带草原1998-2007年的ANPP区域数据,依此分析了中国内蒙古温带草原以及区域内的3种植被类型(荒漠草原、典型草原、草甸草原)降水时间对ANPP的影响.研究结果表明,对于整个内蒙古温带草原来说,一个水分年内(从上一年9月份到当年地上生物量达最大值时的8月份)影响ANPP较为重要的降水月份为2-7月份,其中,5-7月份降水尤为重要.具体到每个月降水的影响,研究发现,7月份降水最重要,而仍处于生长季的8月份降水相对于其他生长季降水作用最小;影响不同草地类型最重要的降水时期存在一定差异,对荒漠草原和典型草原地区来说,ANPP达最大值前3个月(5-7月份)的生长季降水最重要,而8月份降水影响较小,而草甸草原地区8月份和非生长季的3、4月份降水最重要,但各个降水时期降水对ANPP的影响都较荒漠草原和典型草原小,大部分地区降水对ANPP的影响不显著.     

Site-level evaluation of satellite-based global terrestrial gross primary production and net primary production monitoring

Operational monitoring of global terrestrial gross primary production (GPP) and net primary production (NPP) is now underway using imagery from the satellite‐borne Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor. Evaluation of MODIS GPP and NPP products will require site‐level studies across a range of biomes, with close attention to numerous scaling issues that must be addressed to link ground measurements to the satellite‐based carbon flux estimates. Here, we report results of a study aimed at evaluating MODIS NPP/GPP products at six sites varying widely in climate, land use, and vegetation physiognomy. Comparisons were made for twenty‐five 1 km² cells at each site, with 8‐day averages for GPP and an annual value for NPP. The validation data layers were made with a combination of ground measurements, relatively high resolution satellite data (Landsat Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus at ～30 m resolution), and process‐based modeling. There was strong seasonality in the MODIS GPP at all sites, and mean NPP ranged from 80 g C m^?2 yr^?1 at an arctic tundra site to 550 g C m^?2 yr^?1 at a temperate deciduous forest site. There was not a consistent over‐ or underprediction of NPP across sites relative to the validation estimates. The closest agreements in NPP and GPP were at the temperate deciduous forest, arctic tundra, and boreal forest sites. There was moderate underestimation in the MODIS products at the agricultural field site, and strong overestimation at the desert grassland and at the dry coniferous forest sites. Analyses of specific inputs to the MODIS NPP/GPP algorithm – notably the fraction of photosynthetically active radiation absorbed by the vegetation canopy, the maximum light use efficiency (LUE), and the climate data – revealed the causes of the over‐ and underestimates. Suggestions for algorithm improvement include selectively altering values for maximum LUE (based on observations at eddy covariance flux towers) and parameters regulating autotrophic respiration.