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1.
人类观测误差是植被测量中不可避免的一个问题。我们量化了与高草草原植被长期监测相关的观测者间误差的四个组成部分:忽略误 差、误识别误差、谨慎误差和估计误差。由于观察者会产生误差,我们还评估了地块大小与伪周转率的关系,以及对比了物种组成和丰度的伪变化与四年间植被变化之间的关系。这项研究是在美国堪萨斯州的高草草原国家保护区进行的。监测点包括10个地块,每个地块由一系列的四个嵌套框架(0.01, 0.1, 1和10 m2)组成。在每个嵌套框架中记录了所有的草本物种,并且在10 m2的空间尺度下,视觉估计了7个覆盖类别内的叶面覆盖。总共调查了300个地块(30个地点),并随机选择28个地块重新进行测量以评估观测者的误差。所有的调查由四名观测者分两组完成。研究结果表明,在10 m2空间尺度上,由忽略误差引起的伪周转率平均为18.6%,而由误识别误差和谨慎误差引起的伪周转率平均值分别为1.4%和0.6%。尽管由重新定位引起的误差可能也起一定的作用,由忽略误差导致的伪周转率随样地面积的减小而增 加。物种组成在四年期间的变化(排除潜在的误识别误差和谨慎误差)为30.7%,其中包括由忽略误差和实际变化引起的伪周转率。18.6%的忽略误差表明四年期间的实际变化只有12.1%。对于估计误差,26.2%会记录为不同的覆盖等级。在四年的时间内,46.9%的记录显示了不同的覆盖等级,这表明两个时间段间覆盖率变化的56%是由于观测者误差造成的。 相似文献
2.
J. P. O'SULLIVAN S. M. ISMAIL W. S. F. BARNES A. R. S. DEERY E. GRADWELL J. A. HARVEY O. A. N. HUSAIN G. KOCJAN G. McKEE R. OLAFSDOTTIR N. A. RATCLIFFE & R. G. NEWCOMBE 《Cytopathology》1996,7(2):78-89
One hundred and ten cervical smears were circulated to five specialist consultant cytopathologists and five consultant histopathologists. Of these smears, 100 were randomized and re‐circulated. The cytopathologists reported endocervical cells and wart virus infection more frequently than the histopathologists, although neither group showed good inter‐observer agreement for either assessment. Apart from smear adequacy and the presence of endocervical cells, both groups showed good intra‐observer agreement in all the parameters measured. This suggests that overall individuals were applying their own personal criteria with consistency over time, although a previous study had shown considerable lack of inter‐observer agreement among the histopathologists on the grade of dyskaryosis and the management recommendation. The results indicate that specialist cytopathologists bring a different viewpoint to the reporting of cervical smears than histopathologists. They also show a lack of standardization in the reporting of smears despite the guidelines issued by the British Society for Clinical Cytology. 相似文献
3.
Rocio Lozano Stephen M. Howell 《Computer methods in biomechanics and biomedical engineering》2013,16(14):1144-1152
AbstractBackground: Closely approximating the functional flexion-extension (FE) axis of the tibiofemoral joint in 3D models of the femur is important when computing joint motions which are physiologic. The objectives were to 1) develop methods to approximate the functional FE axis based on fitting circles, a tapered cylinder, and spheres to the posterior condyles, 2) determine the repeatability and reproducibility of each method, and 3) determine limits of agreement between pairs of axes.Methods: For each method, the respective axis was determined in forty 3D bone models of the distal femur. Varus-valgus angles and internal-external axial angles were computed relative to standard planes.Results: Repeatability and reproducibility were comparable for the tapered cylinder-based and sphere-based methods and better than that for the circle-based method. Limits of agreement were tightest when comparing the sphere-based and tapered cylinder-based axes. However, limits of agreement for the internal-external axial angle were wide at +3.6° to ?3.9° whereas limits of agreement were tighter at +1.4° to ?0.7° for the varus-valgus angle.Conclusion: The tapered cylinder-based and sphere-based methods offer advantages of better repeatability and reproducibility over the circle-based method. However, the sphere-based and tapered cylinder-based axes are not interchangeable owing to wide limits of agreement for the internal-external axial angle. The tapered cylinder-based axis is preferred intuitively over the sphere-based axis because the spheres require fitting in both the sagittal and coronal planes whereas the tapered cylinder requires fitting in the sagittal plane only which is the plane of motion in flexion-extension. 相似文献
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Objective
The aim of this project was to assess the interobserver and intraobserver variability when identifying cytological criteria, which were found to have a statistically significant association with C3 within a workplace environment.Methods
Sixty C3 cases with known endpoints of malignant, benign proliferative or benign non‐proliferative diagnoses were blindly and independently screened by seven experienced cytologists to identify previously reported statistically significant criteria associated with the C3 category. The criteria included the presence of myoepithelial cells or bare bipolar nuclei, cohesiveness, cystic background, papillary fragments with fibrovascular cores and tubular structures. Kappa statistics were used to measure interobserver variability. Two cytologists repeated the process 6 months later to obtain intraobserver data.Results
The interobserver agreement was poor for all criteria except tubules which performed badly. The intraobserver variability for the two cytologists showed that one cytologist achieved moderate intraobserver agreement for all the criteria except cohesion which was poor, whilst the second cytologist showed poor agreement for all criteria. The reasons for the variability are multifactorial and include threshold effects where criteria lack good definition or error in identifying the criteria.Conclusion
Interobserver and intraobserver variability remains a significant challenge for cytologists. Despite attempts to define significant criteria associated with C3, good reproducibility could not be achieved. The C3 category is imprecise and highlights the inadequacy of the current classification reporting categories for breast FNA. The impending review of reporting breast cytology by the International Academy of Cytology is timely and appropriate. 相似文献6.
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Pedro Monterroso Raquel Godinho Teresa Oliveira Pablo Ferreras Marcella J. Kelly Dana J. Morin Lisette P. Waits Paulo C. Alves L. Scott Mills 《Mammal Review》2019,49(2):97-112
- Accurate analyses of the diets of predators are key to understand trophic interactions and defining conservation strategies. Diets are commonly assessed through analysis of non‐invasively collected scats, and the use of faecal DNA (fDNA) analysis can reduce the species misidentifications that could lead to biased ecological inference.
- We review the scientific literature since publication of the first paper on amplifying fDNA, in order to assess trends in the use of genetic non‐invasive sampling (gNIS) for predator species identification in scat‐based diet studies of North American and European terrestrial mammalian carnivores (Carnivora). We quantify error rates in morphology‐based predator species identification. We then provide an overview of how applying gNIS would improve research on trophic interactions and other areas of carnivore ecology.
- We found that carnivore species identity was verified by using gNIS in only 8% of 400 studies of carnivore diets based on scats. The median percentage of false positives (i.e. samples wrongly identified as belonging to the target species) in morphology‐based studies was 18%, and was consistent regardless of species’ body size. We did not find an increasing trend in the use of gNIS over time, despite the existing technical capability to identify almost all carnivore species.
- New directions for fDNA studies include employing high‐throughput sequencing (HTS) and DNA metabarcoding to identify the predator species, the individual predator, the entire assemblage of consumed items, and the microbiome of the predator and pathogens. We conclude that HTS protocols and metagenomic approaches hold great promise for elevating gNIS as a fundamental cornerstone for future research in ecology and conservation biology of mammals.
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VICKY J. MERETSKY VIRGIL BRACK JR. TIMOTHY C. CARTER RICHARD CLAWSON ROBERT R. CURRIE TRACI A. HEMBERGER CARL J. HERZOG ALAN C. HICKS JOSEPH A. KATH JOHN R. MACGREGOR R. ANDREW KING DAVID H. GOOD 《The Journal of wildlife management》2010,74(1):166-173
ABSTRACT The size and distribution of measurement errors associated with major techniques for estimating numbers of hibernating bats are unstudied, although this is the principle method of enumerating several endangered bat species. However, decisions concerning the listing status of a species under the Endangered Species Act require consistent and accurate estimation of population size and trends. Recent advances in digital photography have improved the ability to produce a quantitative record of the numbers of bats in hibernacula. We surveyed clusters of Indiana bats in a hibernaculum and compared results from counts of digital photographs of clusters to results from 4 variations of visual estimation. We counted bats in photographs using Geographic Information System digitization over the photograph. Total counts from 2 sets of photographs varied by <1.5%. Nonphotographic estimation techniques varied from 76% to 142% of counts from photographs for clusters for which estimation (rather than counting) was used. Where feasible, photography can improve status and trend information for species of concern, permitting more timely and specific management actions. 相似文献
9.
Mads Fristrup Schou 《Fly》2013,7(1):44-46
When obtaining samples for population genetic studies, it is essential that the sampling is random. For Drosophila, one of the crucial steps in sampling experimental flies is the collection of eggs. Here an egg collection method is presented, which randomizes the eggs in a water column and diminishes environmental variance. This method was compared with a traditional egg collection method where eggs are collected directly from the medium. Within each method the observed and expected standard deviations of egg-to-adult viability were compared, whereby the difference in the randomness of the samples between the two methods was assessed. The method presented here was superior to the traditional method. Only 14% of the samples had a standard deviation higher than expected, as compared with 58% in the traditional method. To reduce bias in the estimation of the variance and the mean of a trait and to obtain a representative collection of genotypes, the method presented here is strongly recommended when collecting eggs from Drosophila. 相似文献
10.
Improved sampling designs are needed to detect, monitor, and predict plant migrations and plant diversity changes caused by climate change and other human activities. We propose a methodology based on multi-scale vegetation plots established across forest ecotones which provide baseline data on patterns of plant diversity, invasions of exotic plant species, and plant migrations at landscape scales in Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado, USA. We established forty two 1000-m2 plots in relatively homogeneous forest types and the ecotones between them on 14 vegetation transects. We found that 64% of the variance in understory species distributions at landscape scales were described generally by gradients of elevation and under-canopy solar radiation. Superimposed on broad-scale climatic gradients are small-scale gradients characterized by patches of light, pockets of fertile soil, and zones of high soil moisture. Eighteen of the 42 plots contained at least one exotic species; monitoring exotic plant invasions provides a means to assess changes in native plant diversity and plant migrations. Plant species showed weak affinities to overstory vegetation types, with 43% of the plant species found in three or more vegetation types. Replicate transects along several environmental gradients may provide the means to monitor plant diversity and species migrations at landscape scales because: (1) ecotones may play crucial roles in expanding the geophysiological ranges of many plant species; (2) low affinities of understory species to overstory forest types may predispose vegetation types to be resilient to rapid environmental change; and (3) ecotones may help buffer plant species from extirpation and extinction. 相似文献
11.
Kayla L. Davis Emily D. Silverman Allison L. Sussman R. Randy Wilson Elise F. Zipkin 《Ecology and evolution》2022,12(3)
Accurate estimates of animal abundance are essential for guiding effective management, and poor survey data can produce misleading inferences. Aerial surveys are an efficient survey platform, capable of collecting wildlife data across large spatial extents in short timeframes. However, these surveys can yield unreliable data if not carefully executed. Despite a long history of aerial survey use in ecological research, problems common to aerial surveys have not yet been adequately resolved. Through an extensive review of the aerial survey literature over the last 50 years, we evaluated how common problems encountered in the data (including nondetection, counting error, and species misidentification) can manifest, the potential difficulties conferred, and the history of how these challenges have been addressed. Additionally, we used a double‐observer case study focused on waterbird data collected via aerial surveys and an online group (flock) counting quiz to explore the potential extent of each challenge and possible resolutions. We found that nearly three quarters of the aerial survey methodology literature focused on accounting for nondetection errors, while issues of counting error and misidentification were less commonly addressed. Through our case study, we demonstrated how these challenges can prove problematic by detailing the extent and magnitude of potential errors. Using our online quiz, we showed that aerial observers typically undercount group size and that the magnitude of counting errors increases with group size. Our results illustrate how each issue can act to bias inferences, highlighting the importance of considering individual methods for mitigating potential problems separately during survey design and analysis. We synthesized the information gained from our analyses to evaluate strategies for overcoming the challenges of using aerial survey data to estimate wildlife abundance, such as digital data collection methods, pooling species records by family, and ordinal modeling using binned data. Recognizing conditions that can lead to data collection errors and having reasonable solutions for addressing errors can allow researchers to allocate resources effectively to mitigate the most significant challenges for obtaining reliable aerial survey data. 相似文献
12.
Lartillot N Philippe H 《Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences》2008,363(1496):1463-1472
Inferring the relationships among Bilateria has been an active and controversial research area since Haeckel. The lack of a sufficient number of phylogenetically reliable characters was the main limitation of traditional phylogenies based on morphology. With the advent of molecular data, this problem has been replaced by another one, statistical inconsistency, which stems from an erroneous interpretation of convergences induced by multiple changes. The analysis of alignments rich in both genes and species, combined with a probabilistic method (maximum likelihood or Bayesian) using sophisticated models of sequence evolution, should alleviate these two major limitations. We applied this approach to a dataset of 94 genes and 79 species using CAT, a previously developed model accounting for site-specific amino acid replacement patterns. The resulting tree is in good agreement with current knowledge: the monophyly of most major groups (e.g. Chordata, Arthropoda, Lophotrochozoa, Ecdysozoa, Protostomia) was recovered with high support. Two results are surprising and are discussed in an evo-devo framework: the sister-group relationship of Platyhelminthes and Annelida to the exclusion of Mollusca, contradicting the Neotrochozoa hypothesis, and, with a lower statistical support, the paraphyly of Deuterostomia. These results, in particular the status of deuterostomes, need further confirmation, both through increased taxonomic sampling, and future improvements of probabilistic models. 相似文献
13.
Marques TA 《Biometrics》2004,60(3):757-763
Line transect sampling is one of the most widely used methods for animal abundance assessment. Standard estimation methods assume certain detection on the transect, no animal movement, and no measurement errors. Failure of the assumptions can cause substantial bias. In this work, the effect of error measurement on line transect estimators is investigated. Based on considerations of the process generating the errors, a multiplicative error model is presented and a simple way of correcting estimates based on knowledge of the error distribution is proposed. Using beta models for the error distribution, the effect of errors and of the proposed correction is assessed by simulation. Adequate confidence intervals for the corrected estimates are obtained using a bootstrap variance estimate for the correction and the delta method. As noted by Chen (1998, Biometrics 54, 899-908), even unbiased estimators of the distances might lead to biased density estimators, depending on the actual error distribution. In contrast with the findings of Chen, who used an additive model, unbiased estimation of distances, given a multiplicative model, lead to overestimation of density. Some error distributions result in observed distance distributions that make efficient estimation impossible, by removing the shoulder present in the original detection function. This indicates the need to improve field methods to reduce measurement error. An application of the new methods to a real data set is presented. 相似文献
14.
We developed a nested vegetation sampling protocol to sample the plant diversity on south-facing cliffs and cliff bases in
Jefferson County, Colorado. The multi-scale plots included three nested spatial scales, 1 m2, 20 m2, and 40 m2. We compared plant species richness and species diversity among large cliffs, medium cliffs, small cliffs, and non-cliff
sites using Hill's diversity numbers (N
0, N
1, and N
2) for the 1-m2 quadrats. Species richness (N
0) was calculated for the 20-m2 and 40-m2 plots. Our results indicate that plant species diversity on the cliff faces did not increase with increasing cliff area.
This pattern was consistent at all three sampling scales. A model selection was run to determine if plant species diversity
values on the cliff faces were associated with cliff variables. None of the cliff variables measured were good predictors
of diversity at the 1-m2 scale. However, at the 20-m2 scale, canyon differences and a positive relationship with increasing cliff surface roughness explained 70% of the variability
in species richness. Although most plant species sampled on the cliff faces were also found in the base plots, 13 species
were sampled only on the cliff faces. Additionally, dry south facing cliffs support a mix of xeric and mesic plants indicating
that cliffs may provide unique microenvironments for plant establishment.
This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
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Matthew J. Baumann Spencer C. Galen Nicholas D. Pederson Christopher C. Witt 《Journal of Field Ornithology》2014,85(4):391-396
Flycatchers of the genus Empidonax are readily misidentified in the field, in the hand, and even in museum collections. We describe a novel plumage feature that can be used to distinguish Yellow‐bellied Flycatchers (E. flaviventris) from the two species that comprise the Western Flycatcher complex, Cordilleran Flycatchers (E. occidentalis) and Pacific‐slope Flycatchers (E. difficilis). The length of the buffy fringing on the anterior edge of each secondary feather, visible on the folded wing, is significantly shorter in Yellow‐bellied Flycatchers than in Western flycatchers, with minimal overlap. A definitive identification can be made using a simple formula that includes measurements of wing chord and the length of the buffy fringing along the outer edge of the first secondary (S1). This method provides definitive in‐hand identification, and the difference in length of the buffy fringing on the secondaries is also a useful field mark for visual identification. Testing our method with 113 museum specimens that had been identified a priori based on locality, we correctly identified 112 specimens. The exception was a specimen from Illinois that had been assumed to be a Yellow‐bellied Flycatcher. However, based on our formula, it was a Western flycatcher and analysis of its mtDNA sequence confirmed this result, proving the utility of our method. 相似文献
17.
Historical ecological data are valuable for reconstructing early environmental and vegetation community conditions and examining
change to vegetation communities and disturbance regimes over decadal and longer temporal scales, but these data are not free
from error. We examine the spatial uncertainties associated with 18,000 vegetation plots in the decades-old California Vegetation
Type Mapping (VTM) dataset that has been digitized for use in modern ecological analysis. We examine the relationship between
plot location error and basemap year, basemap scale, plot elevation, plot slope, and general plot habitat type. Bivariate
plots and classification and regression tree analysis (CART) confirm that basemap scale and age are the strongest explanation
of total error. Total error in spatial location for all plots ranged from 126.9 m to 462.3 m; plots drawn on 15-min (1:62,500-scale)
basemaps had total error ranging from 126 m to 199.7 m, and plots drawn on coarser-scale basemaps (1:125,000-scale) had total
errors ranging from 241 m to 461.2 m. Relocation of individual VTM plots is considerably easier for plots originally marked
on 1:62,500-scale maps produced after 1904, and more difficult for plots originally marked on 1:125,000-scale maps produced
before 1898. Biogeographical analyses that rely less on relocating individual plots, such as environmental niche modeling
or multivariate analyses can alleviate some of these concerns, but all researchers using these kinds of data need to consider
errors in spatial location of plots. The paper also discusses ways in which the differing spatial error might be reported
and visualized by those using the dataset, and how the data might be used in modern environmental niche models. 相似文献
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Question: Static sampling designs for collecting spatial data efficiently are being readily utilized by ecologists, however, most ecological systems involve a multivariate spatial process that evolves dynamically over time. Efficient monitoring of such spatio‐temporal systems can be achieved by modeling the dynamic system and reducing the uncertainty associated with the effect of design choice at future observation times. However, can we combine traditional techniques with dynamic methods to find optimal dynamic sampling designs for monitoring the succession of a herbaceous community? Location: Lower Hamburg Bend Conservation Area, Missouri, USA (40°34′42″ lat. 95°45′38″ long.). Methods: The dynamic nature of the system under study is modeled in such a way that uncertainty in the measurements and temporal process can both be accounted for. Both fixed and roving monitoring locations were used in conjunction with a spatio‐temporal statistical model to efficiently determine optimal locations of roving monitors over time based on the reduction of uncertainty in predictions. Results: During the first 3 years of the study, roving monitors where held at fixed locations to allow for statistical parameter estimation from which to make predictions. Optimal monitoring locations for the remaining 2 years were selected based on the overall reduction in prediction uncertainty. Conclusions: The dynamic and adaptive vegetation monitoring scheme allowed for the efficient collection of data that will be utilized for many future ecological studies. By optimally placing an additional set of monitoring locations, we were able to utilize information about the system dynamics when informing the data collection process. 相似文献
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The choanoflagellates (Choanoflagellatea) comprise a major group of nanoflagellates, which are ubiquitous in the aquatic environment. Recent molecular phylogenies have shown them to be the sister group to the Metazoa. However, the phylogeny of the choanoflagellates is still far from understood. We present here a 29 taxon, multigene phylogeny that robustly places the root of the choanoflagellates. One of the original nonloricate families, Codonosigidae is shown to be a polyphyletic assemblage nested within the Salpingoecidae. We elaborate on a revised taxonomy that divides Choanoflagellatea into two orders: Craspedida and Acanthoecida. Craspedida is composed of species that possess an organic cell coating and contains the single family Salpingoecidae. Members of the predominantly marine Acanthoecida produce a siliceous lorica in addition to an organic coat and are contained in two families--the Acanthoecidae and Stephanoecidae fam. n. Previous studies of choanoflagellates have been hindered by cases of taxon misidentification as well as the limited resolution of 18S small subunit (SSU) rDNA phylogenies. Unfortunately, cases of misidentification have been heavily repeated in the literature. In an attempt to avoid further confusion, we highlight known instances of misnamed taxa. We also examine the suitability of SSU rDNA sequences alone for choanoflagellate phylogenetics and recommend the use of protein-coding genes, such as hsp90 and tubA, whenever possible. 相似文献