《生物多样性公约》海洋生物多样性议题的 谈判焦点、影响及我国对策

海洋和沿海生物多样性保护和可持续利用等问题是《生物多样性公约》谈判的重要领域。本文梳理了历次缔约方大会的谈判进程, 认为主要焦点议题包括: (1)应对人类活动和全球气候变化对海洋和沿海生物多样性的影响; (2)海洋和沿海生物多样性保护和可持续利用的工具; (3)海洋保护区及具有重要生态或生物学意义的海域。这些议题的讨论将影响包括全球海洋保护区建设在内的海洋生物多样性保护进程, 也将影响全球海洋生物多样性保护国际制度的建设, 以及沿海国家的社会经济。我国应加强履约谈判的技术支持, 加快涉海相关问题研究, 积极参与相关国际谈判, 并大力宣传我国经验。     

海洋生态系统受海洋病毒影响的研究

该文对一个海洋病毒感染模型进行研究,分析其动力学行为,发现系统的动力性受病毒复制因素的影响较大,找到病毒复制因素的阈值,研究系统平衡点的存在性,稳定性,系统持久性及分支的产生.这对海洋生态研究具有一定意义.     

临界退偿系统的捕获优化问题

本文研究具有临界退偿特性生物种群的动力系统平衡点的稳定性,导出了获得最大持续产出的条件．阐述了临界退偿系统生物种群的脆弱性和保护措施及其投入产出关系．     

甘油生物歧化非线性动力系统的平衡点及其稳定性分析

针对甘油生物歧化为1,3-丙二醇过程的酶催化动力系统,利用符号化实根隔离法求解系统的平衡点,验证了系统的多稳态现象,利用微分方程稳定性理论,分析了平衡点的稳定性,并结合数值结果讨论了系统的多态现象．本文的结果可为微生物发酵甘油生产1,3-丙二醇的实验优化参数设计提供参考．     

一类离散Leslic捕食-食饵系统的捕获策略

应用生物数学理论研究生态平衡与可持续发展是生态系统的一个热门课题.在海洋渔业的捕捞过程中,既要保证生态平衡,又要使捕捞收益最大更是海洋渔业关注的重要课题.目前对离散系统的捕捞研究较少.运用离散差分方程的稳定性理论,讨论一类具有捕获的离散Leslic捕食-食饵种群的系统,获取正平衡点的局部渐近稳定的充分条件.通过构造适当的Liapunov函数,利用二元函数的泰勒展开式讨论正平衡点存在必全局稳定性的结果.利用函数的极值判定法讨论在维持稳定捕获前提下的最优捕获策略,来获取最优经济效益.最后,通过一个适当的例子及数值模拟的说明主要结果是合理的.给实际生产提供了理论依据,具有一定的指导意义.     

用保护区挽救海洋生物多样性

划设海洋保护区并落实管理,是挽救渔业资源枯竭及海洋生物多样性的最简单、最有效、最经济的方法。为了积极推动全球海洋保护区的建立,历次生物多样性公约缔约方会议、地球峰会、国际海洋保护区大会等重要国际会议纷纷根据专家的建议,研订了不同的规划目标及策略;到2020年,全球海洋应有10%的水域被纳入海洋保护区的范围。"     

种群竞争模型的稳定性分析

运用微分方程稳定性理论,对两种群的竞争生物数学模型平衡点的稳定性给出了定性分析,并从生物学角度给出了相应的解释．     

基于条件价值法评估三亚海域生态系统多样性及物种多样性的维持服务价值

基于条件价值法(CVM)开展了三亚海域海洋保护区生态系统多样性和重要海洋物种多样性的维持服务价值评估。于2014年12月通过面对面调研的形式对三亚当地城镇居民进行问卷调查,建立了支付意愿(WTP)多元线性回归方程,再将此回归模型推广到海南全省城镇居民,从而评估了三亚海域海洋保护区生态系统多样性和重要海洋物种多样性的维持服务价值;同时也对CVM研究中的相关问题如问卷设计、偏差分析和CVM的可靠性与有效性等进行了验证和探讨。研究结果表明:(1)2014年三亚海域海洋保护区生态系统多样性及重要海洋物种多样性的维持服务总价值分别为3.734亿元和4.442亿元。(2)受教育程度和家庭人均年收入等社会经济信息变量对支付意愿具有显著的影响水平,符合经济学理论。(3) CVM作为陈述偏好性价值评估方法,评估结果受偏差的影响较大。为了尽可能减小偏差,需要从问卷的设计、调查员筛选培训、调查方式和被调查者等诸多方面严格把关。(4) CVM问卷支付数额的设计较好地界定了支付意愿的范围和分布形态,支付意愿具有较高的统计效率,CVM的可靠性得到较好的验证,显示了CVM评估法在估算生态系统服务非使用价值的有效性。鉴于居民的学历和收入在短时间内很难得到提升,建议相关海洋管理部门加强对三亚海域海洋保护区和海洋生物多样性的宣传教育,增强居民对三亚海洋保护区和海洋珍稀濒危生物的认知及保护意识。     

自然保护区生态安全设计的方法研究

由于生态破坏和自然栖息地的丧失,造成野生动植物种群的破碎化．自然保护区已成为孤立的生境岛屿,目前以单个、孤立保护区为主的生物多样性保护模式是远远不够的,应在广泛的时空尺度上保护生态过程和生物多样性各组成成份,建立一个整体的保护网络．根据国内外生物多样性保护的要求和发展趋势,提出了自然保护区生态安全设计的概念,它是综合考虑了生态、社会、经济的一种协调设计战略,首先从区域层次研究保护区网络的优化设计;其次,在网络的每个节点(保护区),研究保护区的面积、形状和内部功能分区;最后,研究网络与节点的连接(廊道)．自然保护区网络设计应维持生态系统的地域完整性和生态过程完整性,采用迭代法、整数规划方法和地理途径方法,为一个或多个保护目标勾画出多种保护规划蓝图。     

海洋保护区管理与保护成效评估的方法与进展

全球物种多样性的持续下降使得生物多样性保护面临巨大挑战, 海洋生物多样性的保护任务尤其艰巨。海洋保护区是保护生物多样性的有效方式之一, 如何对其成效进行评估是当前研究热点。然而, 目前针对海洋保护区的评估体系较少, 而且评估指标多侧重于管理成效。近年来随着全球生物多样性监测网络和数据库的建立, 以及多种新技术(如遥感、声呐系统、卫星追踪、基因组学等)在海洋生物多样性监测中的应用, 使得从生态系统到基因水平的多层次连续监测成为可能。基于此, 建议未来我国海洋保护区成效评估应在充分利用新技术方法的基础上, 加强长期科学监测, 建立并完善生物多样性监测数据库和信息共享机制, 发展跨学科的综合保护成效评估体系, 加强基于生物多样性监测的保护成效评估。     

An ecological perspective on marine reserves in prey–predator dynamics

This paper describes a prey–predator type fishery model with prey dispersal in a two-patch environment, one of which is a free fishing zone and other is a protected zone. The existence of possible steady states, along with their local stability, is discussed. A geometric approach is used to derive the sufficient conditions for global stability of the system at the positive equilibrium. Relative size of the reserve is considered as control in order to study optimal sustainable yield policy. Subsequently, the optimal system is derived and then solved numerically using an iterative method with Runge–Kutta fourth-order scheme. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the importance of marine reserve in fisheries management. It is noted that the marine protected area enables us to protect and restore multi-species ecosystem. The results illustrate that dynamics of the system is extremely interesting if simultaneous effects of a regulatory mechanism like marine reserve is coupled with harvesting effort. It is observed that the migration of the resource, from protected area to unprotected area and vice versa, is playing an important role towards the standing stock assessment in both the areas which ultimately control the harvesting efficiency and enhance the fishing stock up to some extent.     

On the Optimal Size of Marine Reserves

The excessive and unsustainable exploitation of our marine resources has led to the promotion of marine reserves as a fisheries management tool. Marine reserves, areas in which fishing is restricted or prohibited, can offer opportunities for the recovery of exploited stock and fishery enhancement. This study examines the impact of the creation of marine protected areas, from both economic and biological perspectives. The consequences of reserve establishment on the long-run equilibrium fish biomass and fishery catch levels are evaluated. We include reserve size as control variable to maximize catch at equilibrium. A continuous time model is used to simulate the effects of reserve size on fishing catch. Fish movements between the sites is assumed to take place at a faster time scale than the variation of the stock and the change of the fleet size. We take advantage of these two time scales to derive a reduced model governing the dynamics of the total fish stock and the fishing effort. Simulation results suggest that the establishment of a protected marine reserve will always lead to an increase in total fish biomass, an optimal size of a marine reserve can achieve to maximize the catch at equilibrium.     

Modelling the Impact of Marine Reserves on a Population with Depensatory Dynamics

In this study, we use a spatially implicit, stage-structured model to evaluate marine reserve effectiveness for a fish population exhibiting depensatory (strong Allee) effects in its dynamics. We examine the stability and sensitivity of the equilibria of the modelled system with regards to key system parameters and find that for a reasonable set of parameters, populations can be protected from a collapse if a small percentage of the total area is set aside in reserves. Furthermore, the overall abundance of the population is predicted to achieve a maximum at a certain ratio \(A\) of reserve area to fished area, which depends heavily on the other system parameters such as the net export rate of fish from the marine reserves to the fished areas. This finding runs contrary to the contested “equivalence at best” result when comparing fishery management through traditional catch or effort control and management through marine reserves. Lastly, we analyse the problem from a bioeconomics perspective by computing the optimal harvesting policy using Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle, which suggests that the value for \(A\) which maximizes the optimal equilibrium fishery yield also maximizes population abundance when the cost per unit harvest is constant, but can increase substantially when the cost per unit harvest increases with the area being harvested.     

Stock estimation, environmental monitoring and equilibrium control of a fish population with reserve area

For sustainable exploitation of renewable resources, the separation of a reserve area is a natural idea. In particular, in fishery management of such systems, dynamic modelling, monitoring and control has gained major attention in recent years. In this paper, based on the known dynamic model of a fish population with reserve area, the methodology of mathematical systems theory and optimal control is applied. In most cases, the control variable is fishing effort in the unreserved area. Working with illustrative data, first a deterministic stock estimation is proposed using an observer design method. A similar approach is also applied to the estimation of the effect of an unknown environmental change. Then it is shown how the system can be steered to equilibrium in given time, using fishing effort as an open-loop control. Furthermore, a corresponding optimal control problem is also solved, maximizing the harvested biomass while controlling the system into equilibrium. Finally, a closed-loop control model is applied to asymptotically control the system into a desired equilibrium, intervening this time in the reserve area.     

Shortcomings of current fish transfer functions and a proposal for a new transfer function

One important component of almost all theoretical models in fishery is a fish transfer function. However, most of the current fish transfer functions have significant shortcomings. This paper contributes to the literature on fishery management by (1) showing some of shortcomings of commonly used fish transfer functions and proposing a new fish transfer function that is more appropriate to model net amount of fish transfer from one marine area to another; and (2) applying the proposed transfer function in an optimal harvest problem to assess the economic payoff from a switching reserve versus a fixed marine reserve. The findings indicate that a switching marine reserve appears to provide fishers with higher economic benefits than a fixed marine reserve. The payoff gain from a switching reserve appears to increase when the fish move less because of bio-ecological and territorial factors that impede the fish dispersal between marine areas.     

Global asymptotic stability of a class of dynamical neural networks

The dynamics of cortical cognitive maps developed by self-organization must include the aspects of long and short-term memory. The behavior of the network is such characterized by an equation of neural activity as a fast phenomenon and an equation of synaptic modification as a slow part of the neural biologically relevant system. We present new stability conditions for analyzing the dynamics of a biological relevant system with different time scales based on the theory of flow invariance. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium, and give a quadratic-type Lyapunov function for the flow of a competitive neural system with fast and slow dynamic variables and thus prove the global stability of the equilibrium point.     

Connectivity within and among a network of temperate marine reserves

Networks of marine reserves are increasingly being promoted as a means of conserving marine biodiversity. One consideration in designing systems of marine reserves is the maintenance of connectivity to ensure the long-term persistence and resilience of populations. Knowledge of connectivity, however, is frequently lacking during marine reserve design and establishment. We characterise patterns of genetic connectivity of 3 key species of habitat-forming macroalgae across an established network of temperate marine reserves on the east coast of Australia and the implications for adaptive management and marine reserve design. Connectivity varied greatly among species. Connectivity was high for the subtidal macroalgae Ecklonia radiata and Phyllospora comosa and neither species showed any clear patterns of genetic structuring with geographic distance within or among marine parks. In contrast, connectivity was low for the intertidal, Hormosira banksii, and there was a strong pattern of isolation by distance. Coastal topography and latitude influenced small scale patterns of genetic structure. These results suggest that some species are well served by the current system of marine reserves in place along this temperate coast but it may be warranted to revisit protection of intertidal habitats to ensure the long-term persistence of important habitat-forming macroalgae. Adaptively managing marine reserve design to maintain connectivity may ensure the long-term persistence and resilience of marine habitats and the biodiversity they support.     

鸭绿江口及邻近海域生物群落的胁迫响应

利用ABC曲线法结合粒径谱理论对鸭绿江口近岸海域的生物群落特征、优势种演替、多样性水平、稳定性状况等进行了分析,并尝试构建了鸭绿江口近岸海域生物群落稳定性的评估模型.研究结果表明,鸭绿江口滨海湿地生物群落结构相对简单,优势种演替明显,受外界干扰较大.春、夏季浮游植物以r-对策者为主,群落数量偏离平衡点;秋季以r-对策者为主的微小型浮游植物逐渐被中大型k-对策者演替,群落完成反馈调节,恢复到平衡点.浮游动物由于较高的能量供应其幼体全年一直处于较高优势水平,但生态效率转换相对较慢.潮间带底栖生物群落结构相对简单,优势种演替明显,系统具有低多样性低密度的特点,群落在夏季受外界扰动较大.游泳生物群落主要以小型个体为主,已处于极不稳定状态.构建的群落稳定性评估模型测算结果与上述结论基本一致,这也验证了该评估模型具有一定的有效性与实用性.综合以上分析结果,说明鸭绿江口近岸海域生物群落稳定性较差,受外界干扰比较严重.     

Effects of marine reserve characteristics on the protection of fish populations: a meta-analysis

Meta-analyses of published data for 19 marine reserves reveal that marine protected areas enhance species richness consistently, but their effect on fish abundance is more variable. Overall, there was a slight (11%) but significant increase in fish species number inside marine reserves, with all reserves sharing a common effect. There was a substantial but non-significant increase in overall fish abundance inside marine reserves compared to adjacent, non-reserve areas. When only species that are the target of fisheries were considered, fish abundance was significantly higher (by 28%) within reserve boundaries. Marine reserves vary significantly in the extent and direction of their response. This variability in relative abundance was not attributable to differences in survey methodology among studies, nor correlated with reserve characteristics such as reserve area, years since protection, latitude nor species diversity. The effectiveness of marine reserves in enhancing fish abundance may be largely related to the intensity of exploitation outside reserve boundaries and to the composition of the fish community within boundaries. It is recommended that studies of marine reserve effectiveness should routinely report fishing intensity, effectiveness of enforcement and habitat characteristics.