Cyclicity and variability in prey dynamics strengthens predator numerical response: the effects of vole fluctuations on white stork productivity

Theory predicts that optimality of life-long investment in reproduction is, among other factors, driven by the variability and predictability of the resources. Similarly, during the breeding season, single resource pulses characterized by short periods and high amplitudes enable strong numerical responses in their consumers. However, it is less well established how spatio-temporal dynamics in resource supplies influence the spatio-temporal variation of consumer reproduction. We used the common vole (Microtus arvalis)—white stork (Ciconia ciconia) resource—consumer model system to test the effect of increased temporal variation and periodicity of vole population dynamics on the strength of the local numerical response of storks. We estimated variability, cycle amplitude, and periodicity (by means of direct and delayed density dependence) in 13 Czech and Polish vole populations. Cross-correlation between annual stork productivity and vole abundance, characterizing the strength of the local numerical response of storks, increased when the vole population fluctuated more and population cycles were shorter. We further show that the onset of incubation of storks was delayed during the years of higher vole abundance. We demonstrate that high reproductive flexibility of a generalist consumer in tracking the temporal dynamics of its resource is driven by the properties of the local resource dynamics and we discuss possible mechanisms behind these patterns.     

Effects of competition and season on survival and maturation of young bank vole females

In territorial microtines intra-specific density dependent processes can limit the maturation of individuals during the summer of their birth. This may have demographic consequences by affecting the number and the age distribution of breeding individuals in the population. Little is known about this process on a community level, though populations of many northern microtine species fluctuate in synchrony and are known to interfere socially with each other. We experimentally studied the influence of the field vole Microtus agrestis on maturation, breeding, space use and survival of weanling bank voles, Clethrionomys glareolus. Two additive competition experiments on bank vole populations were conducted in large outdoor enclosures, half of them additionally housing a field vole population. In a mid-summer experiment low population density and absence of older breeding females minimised intra-specific competition. Survival was not affected by the presence of field voles. Season had a significant effect on both the probability of maturation and breeding of the weanlings. Competition with field voles significantly delayed breeding, and coupled with seasonal effects decreased the probability of breeding. In a late-summer experiment breeding and survival of bank vole weanlings were studied for three weeks as part of a high density breeding bank vole population. Weanlings did not mature at all nor were their space use and survival affected by the presence of field voles. Our results show that competition with other species can also have an impact on breeding of immatures. In an extreme seasonal environment, even a short delay of breeding may decrease survival chances of offspring. Seasonal and competition effects together may thus limit the contribution of year born females to reproductive output of the population. Other studies have shown that adult breeding bank voles suffer lower survival in the presence of field voles, but this study showed no survival effects on the weanlings. Thus it might be beneficial for weanlings to stay immature especially in the end of the breeding season and postpone reproduction to the next breeding season if densities of competing species are high.     

Changes in population structure and reproduction during a 3-yr population cycle of voles

Cyclic changes in population growth rate are caused by changes in survival and/or reproductive rate. To find out whether cyclic changes in reproduction are an important part of the mechanism causing cyclic fluctuations in small mammal populations, we studied changes in the population structure and reproduction of field voles ( Microtus agrestis ), sibling voles ( M. rossiaemeridionalis ), bank voles ( Clethrionomys glareolus ), and common shrews ( Sorex araneus ) in western Finland during 1984–1992, in an area with 3-yr vole cycles. We also modelled the population growth of voles using parameter values from this study. The animals studied were collected by snap trapping in April, May, June, August, September, and, during 1986–1990, also in October. We found several phase-related differences in the population structure (age structure, sex ratio, proportion of mature individuals) and reproduction (litter size, length of the breeding season) of voles. In non-cyclic common shrews, the only significant phase-related difference was a lower proportion of overwintered individuals in the increase phase. According to the analyses and the vole model, phase-related changes in litter size had only a minor impact on population growth rate. The same was true for winter breeding in the increase phase. The length and intensity of the summer breeding season had an effect on yearly population growth but this impact was relatively weak compared to the effect of cyclic changes in survival. The population increase rates of Microtus were delayed dependent on density (8–12-month time lag). Our results indicate that cyclic changes in reproduction are not an important part of the mechanism driving cyclic fluctuations in vole populations. Low survival of young individuals appeared to play an important role in the shift from the peak to the decline phase in late summer and early autumn.     

The role of sexual and vegetative reproduction in the population maintenance of a monocarpic perennial herb,Cardiocrinum cordatum var. glehnii

Because monocarpic perennial plants have only one reproductive opportunity in their entire life, they need to ensure offspring production. Some plants reproduce both sexually and vegetatively, and vegetative reproduction could possibly compensate for seed production. Therefore, the role and significance of these reproductive modes is likely to differ between monocarps and polycarps, which can reproduce many times. Cardiocrinum cordatum var. glehnii is a monocarpic perennial that reproduces both sexually and vegetatively (bulblet formation). Here, we investigated the characteristics and contribution to population maintenance of sexual and vegetative reproduction to reveal the significance of these two reproductive modes in this species. First, we found that bulblet formation occurred in plants after the three‐leaved rosette stage. Second, resource allocation experiments revealed that although resources were mainly invested in fruit maturation after the flowering season, resource allocation was switched from sexual reproduction to vegetative reproduction if seed production was insufficient. Third, the outcrossing rate in this species varied greatly according to the environment surrounding the population. However, reproductive assurance by selfing kept seed production stable even if flowers did not receive sufficient pollen for full seed set via outcross pollination, and moreover, there was no intensive inbreeding depression. Finally, genotypic identification of ramets suggested that daughter ramets derived from vegetative reproduction received the space that the mother flowering ramet had occupied until the previous year.     

田鼠种群波动的原因和时间

本文总结了橙腹田鼠（Microtus ochrogaster）和草原田鼠（M．permsylvanicus）25年的种群统计学研究结果和结论。探讨了田鼠种群波动周期性、诱发种群波动以及导致波动期间峰值变异的因素。并对种群存活值和繁殖活动的作用进行了分析和评价。根据两种田鼠种群波动周期性、波动峰值出现的时间以及特定年份峰值的高度等特征,证明两物种波动均具有不稳定性。两种田鼠存活值的变化是由特定年份是否发生波动以及波动峰值出现的时间决定。增加初始阶段的种群密度及时间长度是造成两种动物种群波动峰值不同的主要原因。橙腹田鼠种群停止增长的原因是存活值降低,而草原田鼠则是繁殖活动减少。据推测,与种群波动初始密度相关的种群死亡率的差异是由捕食者的净效应（Net effect）决定的,调控两种群密度的因素均为非密度的其它生态学因子。由于特定年份田鼠种群捕食压力的不确定性,导致了橙腹田鼠和草原田鼠种群波动的不稳定性。     

Experimental manipulation of the timing of reproduction in the California vole

Summary The potential role of food and water in determining 1) the timing of the normal breeding season in the California vole, and 2) two frequently occurring exceptions to this normal pattern, are explored by using experimentally manipulated enclosed populations. Hypotheses derived from field observations were tested in the enclosed populations by the manipulation of green food, dry food, water, and vole density. The results of three experiments involving five populations are reported. In all populations densities were maintained at near-normal levels (475 to 1750 per ha). In all three experiments, it was shown that breeding was possible in the summer if sufficient food and water were available, although perhaps with reduced litter sizes and rates of growth and reproductive maturation of young. In two cases, severe weight losses and high mortality were induced by insufficient water. When water was provided, survivors recovered weight and reproductive competency in between five weeks and eight months. In three populations, starvation induced weight losses and mortality. In these cases recovery of the voles took only one month or less. In two of these last, the inadequate food situation was produced during the normally wet season by outbreaks of a European slug. It is concluded that available moisture is the most important factor in triggering both the end and beginning of the normal breeding season. Of course, inadequately fed mice do not breed at any season. Summer (dry season) breeding can occur when food and water conditions are adequate due to locally favorable conditions or very low population densities. Prolonged delays in growth and reproduction following the return of favorable conditions are most likely the consequence of chronic and severe water deprivation.     

布氏田鼠种群生态研究

1985年5-l0月用标志重捕法对布氏田鼠(Microtus brandti)的种群年龄组成、幼鼠生长率和季节迁移等进行研究,共标志2786只,重捕576只,822只次。发现布氏田鼠种群的年龄组成有较明显的季节变化。其幼鼠体重的日平均生长率随年龄增加而减慢。布氏田鼠还有季节迁移现象。     

Age variation in a fluctuating population of the common vole

We analysed variation in age in a fluctuating population of the common vole (Microtus arvalis) in southern Moravia, Czech Republic, to test the assumption of the senescence hypothesis that the age of voles increases with increasing population density. Between 1996 and 1998, we monitored the demographic changes by snap-trapping and live-trapping in a field population passing through the increase, peak and decline phase of the population cycle. We used the eye lens mass method to determine the age of snap-trapped animals and those that died in live-traps. The average age of winter males was clearly higher after the peak phase breeding season than before it. No such phase-dependent shift in age, however, was observed in the female component. Male age continued to increase from autumn to spring over the pre-peak winter, and the highest age was in spring of the peak phase year. However, after the peak phase breeding season the highest age was achieved in winter, with the decline phase males during the next spring tending to be younger. The average age of females in spring populations was always lower than in winter populations. The average age of voles from live-traps was always higher than voles from snap-traps, particularly in winter and spring populations, suggesting the presence of senescent animals. Although the density-dependent changes in age are consistent with those observed for other voles, they provide only weak evidence that population cycles in the common vole are accompanied by pronounced shifts in individual age, particularly in female voles.Due to an error in the citation line, this revised PDF (published in December 2003) deviates from the printed version, and is the correct and authoritative version of the paper.     

Phenology and life cycle of the annual, <Emphasis Type="Italic">Chamaesyce maculata</Emphasis> (L.) Small (Euphorbiaceae), with multiple overlapping generations in Japan

The phenology of germination, vegetative growth and sexual reproduction in the annual Chamaesyce maculata (L.) Small (Euphorbiaceae) were investigated in a natural population in western Japan. Seedlings emerged from mid-June to early October, with three peaks: mid-June, late July and late August. Plants that emerged in June commenced sexual reproduction from late July, and thereafter both vegetative growth and sexual reproduction occurred together until early November, the plants showing no switching from vegetative growth to sexual reproduction. Seedlings that emerged in June and July suffered high mortality, but most seedlings that emerged from August onward survived until the reproductive stage. The minimum size for reproduction was largest for plants that emerged early in the season, and it decreased with a delay in seedling emergence. The late emergence of seedlings that resulted in low reproductive output may be to some extent compensated for by the increased probability of survival in the seedling stage. A transplant experiment clarified that C. maculata can repeat a maximum of three overlapping generations within a year. Multiple generations per year were attained by non-dormant seeds produced in the first and second generations and clearly resulted in an increased reproductive output per year. The life cycle with multiple overlapping generations may have been acquired in habitats where unpredictable disturbance results in temporally unsuitable conditions for germination, vegetative growth and sexual reproduction of annual plants, but where suitable conditions frequently continue over a period longer than the single generation time of annual plants.     

Population ecology of an afro-tropical savanna herb,Lapeirousia rivularis,in Zambia

Detailed demographic studies of herbaceuos plants in afro-tropicalsavannas are extremely rare in published literature. I studied phenology andpopulation dynamics of a perennial herb, Lapeirousiarivularis Wanntorp, at a savanna site in Zambia over a 4-yearperiod, from 1997 to 2001, using enumeration techniques in permanent andtemporary quadrants. The age of the plants was accurately determined frompersistent annual sheaths that accumulate around the corm throughout the lifeofthe plant while the estimated survivorship of the 1998 cohort was developedfroma mathematical model based on the observed mortality of the cohort over a3-yearperiod.L. rivularis completed its annual phenological cycle in asingle rainy season. Plants sprouted from perennating corms in early December,flowered, fruited and dispersed seeds by end of January. Seeds germinatedimmediately after dispersal and seedlings produced small corms before aerialparts died early in the dry season. L. rivularis has twomorphs: a vegetative morph and a reproductive morph; the latter bears severalleaves and flower stalks. In the vegetative morph, the corm is renewed annuallywhile the corms of the reproductive morph did not appear to be renewed. Insteadcorms grew larger and produced lateral daughter corms that became independentramets the following rainy season.Most L. rivularis plants reached reproductive maturitywhen they were 6–10 years old. Reproductive success, seedlingestablishment and recruitment varied from year to year in the grassland plotperhaps because of fluctuations in weather conditions and heavy episodic insectherbivory. The survivorship curve of L. rivularis wascharacteristically concave due to high juvenile mortality (0.2–0.5) andvery low adult mortality (0.03). Although about 3% of the plants live to be upto 30–35 years, the mean age of the population in 2001 was 6.4 yearsbecause of the predominance of juvenile plants. The production of a protectivesheath at the end of the rainy season and the accumulation of old sheathsaroundthe fleshy corm are apparent adaptations against desiccation during the longdryseason drought when the topsoil remains below wilting point. The high juvenilemortality during the dry season is probably caused by inadequate protection bythe few sheaths around the corm against desiccation.Population dynamics in L. rivularis were caused byvariable annual recruitment and high juvenile mortality. Population densitydoubled in 1999 due to good fruiting success in the previous season that wasassociated with good weather conditions and negligible herbivory. Althoughcultivation had a significant negative effect on the population of L.rivularis, it increased consistency in fruiting success andproduction of fruits per plant, presumably because of improvement insoil-moisture status, reduction in plant competition and by providing temporalescape from insect herbivory through delayed flowering. The phenology and lifehistory of L. rivularis exhibit adaptations to a savannaenvironment that is characterized by disturbance and stress caused by seasonaldrought, fire, episodic herbivory and cultivation.     

Population biology and breeding cycle of the burrowing shrimp Callichirus seilacheri (Decapoda,Callianassidae) from the eastern tropical Pacific

Year-round continuous reproduction in tropical regions is an established paradigm in marine ecology. In this study, we tested this paradigm using the ghost shrimp Callichirus seilacheri from the tropical eastern Pacific as a model species. We also examined size-frequency distribution, sex ratio, and recruitment cycle to contribute to the biological knowledge of this species. To this end, a total of 456 individuals of C. seilacheri were collected during 12 months of sampling. Population structure was symmetrical for both sexes, and the overall sex ratio did not differ from evenness. Males outnumbered females in smaller size classes, though, revealing a potential sex-dependent mortality in small individuals. The breeding pattern followed the well-marked seasonal regime of the region, with ovigerous females registered during the rainy season. While natural variation in the seawater temperature had no influence on reproduction of this species, changes in water salinity possibly triggered the appearance of egg-bearing females in the population. Recruitment occurred throughout the year but was more intense during the dry season, following the appearance of ovigerous females. The adaptability of the life cycle of C. seilacheri to the seasonal climate provides further evidence that reproduction in tropical species is not always continuous.     

布氏田鼠洞群内群体结构的研究

布氏田鼠(Microtus brandti Radde)是一种以洞群为单位进行群居生活的草原害鼠,分布在我国内蒙,以及蒙古和苏联的一些干草原地区。对分布在我国境内布氏田鼠的研究,早期见Reichstein(1962)有零星记载,70年代以来,我国动物学工作者开展了较多的工作,也有不少报道(中国科学院动物研究所动物生态室1979;张洁、钟文勤,1979),但关于洞群内群体结构方面,尚未见研究报道。     

Low interannual precipitation has a greater negative effect than seedling herbivory on the population dynamics of a short‐lived shrub,Schiedea obovata

Climate projections forecast more extreme interannual climate variability over time, with an increase in the severity and duration of extreme drought and rainfall events. Based on bioclimatic envelope models, it is projected that changing precipitation patterns will drastically alter the spatial distributions and density of plants and be a primary driver of biodiversity loss. However, many other underlying mechanisms can impact plant vital rates (i.e., survival, growth, and reproduction) and population dynamics. In this study, we developed a size‐dependent integral projection model (IPM) to evaluate how interannual precipitation and mollusk herbivory influence the dynamics of a Hawaii endemic short‐lived shrub, Schiedea obovata (Caryophyllaceae). Assessing how wet season precipitation effects population dynamics it critical, as it is the timeframe when most of the foliar growth occurs, plants flower and fruit, and seedlings establish. Temporal variation in wet season precipitation had a greater effect than mollusk herbivory on S. obovata population growth rate , and the impact of interannual precipitation on vital rates shifted across plant ontogeny. Furthermore, wet season precipitation influenced multiple vital rates in contrasting ways and the effect of precipitation on the survival of larger vegetative and reproductively mature individuals contributed the most to variation in the population growth rate. Among all combination of wet season precipitation and herbivory intensities, the only scenario that led to a growing population was when high wet precipitation was associated with low herbivory. Our study highlights the importance of evaluating how abiotic factors and plant–consumer interactions influence an organism across its life cycle to fully understand the underpinning mechanisms that structure its spatial and temporal distribution and abundance. Our results also illustrate that for short‐lived species, like S. obovata, seedling herbivory can have less of an effect on the dynamics of plant populations than decreased interannual precipitation.     

Spatial dynamics of Microtus vole populations in continuous and fragmented agricultural landscapes

Small mammal populations often exhibit large-scale spatial synchrony, which is purportedly caused by stochastic weather-related environmental perturbations, predation or dispersal. To elucidate the relative synchronizing effects of environmental perturbations from those of dispersal movements of small mammalian prey or their predators, we investigated the spatial dynamics of Microtus vole populations in two differently structured landscapes which experience similar patterns of weather and climatic conditions. Vole and predator abundances were monitored for three years on 28 agricultural field sites arranged into two 120-km-long transect lines in western Finland. Sites on one transect were interconnected by continuous agricultural farmland (continuous landscape), while sites on the other were isolated from one another to a varying degree by mainly forests (fragmented landscape). Vole populations exhibited large-scale (>120 km) spatial synchrony in fluctuations, which did not differ in degree between the landscapes or decline with increasing distance between trapping sites. However, spatial variation in vole population growth rates was higher in the fragmented than in the continuous landscape. Although vole-eating predators were more numerous in the continuous agricultural landscape than in the fragmented, our results suggest that predators do not exert a great influence on the degree of spatial synchrony of vole population fluctuations, but they may contribute to bringing out-of-phase prey patches towards a regional density level. The spatial dynamics of vole populations were similar in both fragmented and continuous landscapes despite inter-landscape differences in both predator abundance and possibilities of vole dispersal. This implies that the primary source of synchronization lies in a common weather-related environment.     

Model of microtine cycles caused by lethal toxins in non-preferred food plants

A recent model of microtine cycles has hypothesized that plant chemical defences can drive the precipitous decline phase, through periodic lethal toxin production (PLTP) by non-preferred plant foods. Here we enumerate possible mechanisms using a previously published model of optimal foraging by one consumer (microtine rodent) of two types of food plant (1 preferred and 1 non-preferred). Rate constants for each of the model parameters were sought from the extensive literature on vole cycles. For a range of likely values of input parameters, we evaluated model fit by applying five empirically derived criteria for cyclic behaviour. These were: cycles with a period length of 2-5 yr, peak densities of 100-350 voles per ha and trough densities of 0-25 ha(-1), ratio of peak to trough densities of 10-100, and the occurrence of a catastrophic collapse in the vole population followed by a prolonged low phase. In contrast to previous models of food-induced microtine cycles, the optimal foraging model successfully reproduced the first four criteria and the prolonged low phase. The criterion of population collapse was met if the non-preferred food began producing lethal toxins at a threshold grazing intensity, as predicted by PLTP. Fewer criteria could be met in variations on the model, in which the non-preferred food was equally as nutritious as the preferred food or was continuously toxic.     

SHORT-TERM DEMOGRAPHIC RESPONSE OF THE RED-BACKED VOLE TO SPRUCE BEETLE INFESTATIONS IN ALASKA

Abstract: How small mammals are affected by habitat changes caused by forest insect epidemics is largely unknown. Our objective was to determine the influence of spruce beetle (Dendroctonus rufipennis) epidemics on the dynamics of northern red-backed vole (Clethrionomys rutilus) populations approximately 10 years post-infestation. We conducted a mark-recapture study on northern red-backed voles for 2 field seasons in the Copper River Basin, Alaska, USA, where recent beetle infestations were widespread. Using the robust sampling design, we produced estimates of vole abundance, survival, and recruitment in 3 locations that varied in their degree of beetle-induced spruce mortality. Vole abundance inversely related to the level of spruce mortality. Vole recruitment showed a larger contribution from both immigration and in situ reproduction in the low infestation site than in the medium and heavy infestation sites. No differences in vole survival were detectable across the 3 locations with varied beetle-induced spruce mortality levels. Measured vole food resources and protective vegetative cover did not vary greatly across infestation levels. Abundance and recruitment parameters indicate a negative change induced by spruce beetle infestations. However, the effect of beetles was not large enough to cause the variation in vole survival. Spruce mortality levels may need to be over 50% before greatly influencing the habitat and the demographics of northern red-backed voles.     

Vegetative reproduction as a stabilizing feature of the population dynamics of Yucca glauca

Summary The life history of Yucca glauca in the Great Plains was the subject of a four year field study. Data were incorporated in a stage transition model (based on rosette size) to explain how populations are maintained in spite of large regional and temporal variation in sexual reproductive success. Rosette size was found to be a good predictor of flowering effort, but a poor predictor of fruit set. Large rosettes that failed to set fruit, however, exhibited an increased capacity for vegetative reproduction. Asexual reproduction contributes to population stability by reducing the variance in annual recruitment, and perhaps by damping oscillations caused by departures from a stable stage distribution.     

橙腹田鼠中延缓性密度依赖效应和种群波动

检验了延迟的密度依赖对橙腹田鼠 (Microtusochrogaster)一个波动种群的生存和生殖的影响 ,研究持续了 63个月 ,取样间隔为 3 5天。在研究期间 ,该种群的密度经历了 4次波动 ,每次波动的高峰都在 11月至次年 1月 ,种群数量在冬季下降。生存和生殖都有负面的密度依赖效应 ,最大效应具有 2个月的时滞。种群存活率增长对种群密度最大的正面效应具有 2个月的时滞 ,而对与增加生殖则有 3个月的时滞。内部因素和冬季都可能推延对生殖的密度依赖效应 ,但是本文未能检验这些内部因素的影响。季节性影响看来与对生存的延缓性密度依赖效应无关。负面的延缓性密度依赖效应对生存和生殖的净作用可能在于减少、而不是阻止橙腹田鼠种群波动的幅度     

Seasonal control over allocation to reproduction in a tussock-forming and a rhizomatous species of Eriophorum in central Alaska

Summary The evergreen tussock-forming Eriophorum vaginatum revealed consistently earlier (c. 1 moth) phenology and greater biomass per tiller than the summergreen rhizomatous E. scheuchzeri in all four components measured (vegetative and reproductive shoots and stems) under the same climatic regime in central Alaska over one growing season. Greatest allocation to vegetative shoot growth occurred in mid-summer in both species. The tussock growth form of E. vaginatum raised shoot meristems 25–30 cm above the soil surface, where temperatures were warmer, permitting shoot growth to begin earlier in spring and continue longer in autumn than in E. scheuchzeri. Consequently, E. vaginatum was able to allocate reserves to reproductive tillers primarily in autumn and early spring, times when minimal reserves were required for vegetative growth. By contrast, the rhizomatous E. scheuchzeri had a more constrained growing season, and allocation to reproduction coincided with allocation to vegetative growth. For this reason, reserves were drawn down more fully in mid-summer in E. scheuchzeri than in E. vaginatum. The more conservative use of nutrient stores in E. vaginatum may relate to its great longevity, reduced allocation to reproduction (including low seedling recruitment), and relatively stable habitats. The mid-seasonal pulse of allocation to reproduction in E. scheuchzeri appears viable only in relatively fertile disturbed sites, where the soil nutrient supply is sufficient to support simultaneous allocation to vegetative growth and reproduction.