Bifurcations in a white-blood-cell production model

We study the dynamics of a model of white-blood-cell (WBC) production. The model consists of two compartmental differential equations with two discrete delays. We show that from normal to pathological parameter values, the system undergoes supercritical Hopf bifurcations and saddle-node bifurcations of limit cycles. We characterize the steady states of the system and perform a bifurcation analysis. Our results indicate that an increase in apoptosis rate of either hematopoietic stem cells or WBC precursors induces a Hopf bifurcation and an oscillatory regime takes place. These oscillations are seen in some hematological diseases.     

Stochastic models for circadian rhythms: effect of molecular noise on periodic and chaotic behaviour

Circadian rhythms are endogenous oscillations that occur with a period close to 24 h in nearly all living organisms. These rhythms originate from the negative autoregulation of gene expression. Deterministic models based on such genetic regulatory processes account for the occurrence of circadian rhythms in constant environmental conditions (e.g., constant darkness), for entrainment of these rhythms by light-dark cycles, and for their phase-shifting by light pulses. When the numbers of protein and mRNA molecules involved in the oscillations are small, as may occur in cellular conditions, it becomes necessary to resort to stochastic simulations to assess the influence of molecular noise on circadian oscillations. We address the effect of molecular noise by considering the stochastic version of a deterministic model previously proposed for circadian oscillations of the PER and TIM proteins and their mRNAs in Drosophila. The model is based on repression of the per and tim genes by a complex between the PER and TIM proteins. Numerical simulations of the stochastic version of the model are performed by means of the Gillespie method. The predictions of the stochastic approach compare well with those of the deterministic model with respect both to sustained oscillations of the limit cycle type and to the influence of the proximity from a bifurcation point beyond which the system evolves to stable steady state. Stochastic simulations indicate that robust circadian oscillations can emerge at the cellular level even when the maximum numbers of mRNA and protein molecules involved in the oscillations are of the order of only a few tens or hundreds. The stochastic model also reproduces the evolution to a strange attractor in conditions where the deterministic PER-TIM model admits chaotic behaviour. The difference between periodic oscillations of the limit cycle type and aperiodic oscillations (i.e. chaos) persists in the presence of molecular noise, as shown by means of Poincaré sections. The progressive obliteration of periodicity observed as the number of molecules decreases can thus be distinguished from the aperiodicity originating from chaotic dynamics. As long as the numbers of molecules involved in the oscillations remain sufficiently large (of the order of a few tens or hundreds, or more), stochastic models therefore provide good agreement with the predictions of the deterministic model for circadian rhythms.     

Stochastic Simulation of Delay-Induced Circadian Rhythms in Drosophila

Circadian rhythms are ubiquitous in all eukaryotes and some prokaryotes. Several computational models with or without time delays have been developed for circadian rhythms. Exact stochastic simulations have been carried out for several models without time delays, but no exact stochastic simulation has been done for models with delays. In this paper, we proposed a detailed and a reduced stochastic model with delays for circadian rhythms in Drosophila based on two deterministic models of Smolen et al. and employed exact stochastic simulation to simulate circadian oscillations. Our simulations showed that both models can produce sustained oscillations and that the oscillation is robust to noise in the sense that there is very little variability in oscillation period although there are significant random fluctuations in oscillation peeks. Moreover, although average time delays are essential to simulation of oscillation, random changes in time delays within certain range around fixed average time delay cause little variability in the oscillation period. Our simulation results also showed that both models are robust to parameter variations and that oscillation can be entrained by light/dark circles. Our simulations further demonstrated that within a reasonable range around the experimental result, the rates that dclock and per promoters switch back and forth between activated and repressed sites have little impact on oscillation period.     

Deterministic Versus Stochastic Models for Circadian Rhythms

Circadian rhythms which occur with a period close to 24 h in nearly all living organisms originate from the negative autoregulation of gene expression.Deterministic models based on genetic regulatory processes account for theoccurrence of circadian rhythms in constant environmental conditions (e.g.constant darkness), for entrainment of these rhythms by light-dark cycles, and for their phase-shifting by light pulses. At low numbers of protein and mRNA molecules, it becomes necessary to resort to stochastic simulations to assess the influence of molecular noise on circadian oscillations. We address the effect of molecular noise by considering two stochastic versions of a core model for circadian rhythms. The deterministic version of this core modelwas previously proposed for circadian oscillations of the PER protein in Drosophila and of the FRQ protein in Neurospora. In the first, non-developed version of the stochastic model, we introduce molecular noise without decomposing the deterministic mechanism into detailed reaction steps while in the second, developed version we carry out such a detailed decomposition. Numerical simulations of the two stochastic versions of the model are performed by means of the Gillespie method. We compare the predictions of the deterministic approach with those of the two stochastic models, with respect both to sustained oscillations of the limit cycle type and to the influence of the proximity of a bifurcation point beyond which the system evolves to a stable steady state. The results indicate that robust circadian oscillations can occur even when the numbers of mRNA and nuclear protein involved in the oscillatory mechanism are reduced to a few tens orhundreds, respectively. The non-developed and developed versions of the stochastic model yield largely similar results and provide good agreement with the predictions of the deterministic model for circadian rhythms.     

Unmasking Chaotic Attributes in Time Series of Living Cell Populations

Background

Long-range oscillations of the mammalian cell proliferation rate are commonly observed both in vivo and in vitro. Such complicated dynamics are generally the result of a combination of stochastic events and deterministic regulation. Assessing the role, if any, of chaotic regulation is difficult. However, unmasking chaotic dynamics is essential for analysis of cellular processes related to proliferation rate, including metabolic activity, telomere homeostasis, gene expression, and tumor growth.

Methodology/Principal Findings

Using a simple, original, nonlinear method based on return maps, we previously found a geometrical deterministic structure coordinating such fluctuations in populations of various cell types. However, nonlinearity and determinism are only necessary conditions for chaos; they do not by themselves constitute a proof of chaotic dynamics. Therefore, we used the same analytical method to analyze the oscillations of four well-known, low-dimensional, chaotic oscillators, originally designed in diverse settings and all possibly well-adapted to model the fluctuations of cell populations: the Lorenz, Rössler, Verhulst and Duffing oscillators. All four systems also display this geometrical structure, coordinating the oscillations of one or two variables of the oscillator. No such structure could be observed in periodic or stochastic fluctuations.

Conclusion/Significance

Theoretical models predict various cell population dynamics, from stable through periodically oscillating to a chaotic regime. Periodic and stochastic fluctuations were first described long ago in various mammalian cells, but by contrast, chaotic regulation had not previously been evidenced. The findings with our nonlinear geometrical approach are entirely consistent with the notion that fluctuations of cell populations can be chaotically controlled.     

Stable long-period cycling and complex dynamics in a single-locus fertility model with genomic imprinting

Although long-period population size cycles and chaotic fluctuations in abundance are common in ecological models, such dynamics are uncommon in simple population-genetic models where convergence to a fixed equilibrium is most typical. When genotype-frequency cycling does occur, it is most often due to frequency-dependent selection that results from individual or species interactions. In this paper, we demonstrate that fertility selection and genomic imprinting are sufficient to generate a Hopf bifurcation and complex genotype-frequency cycling in a single-locus population-genetic model. Previous studies have shown that on its own, fertility selection can yield stable two-cycles but not long-period cycling characteristic of a Hopf bifurcation. Genomic imprinting, a molecular mechanism by which the expression of an allele depends on the sex of the donating parent, allows fitness matrices to be nonsymmetric, and this additional flexibility is crucial to the complex dynamics we observe in this fertility selection model. Additionally, we find under certain conditions that stable oscillations and a stable equilibrium point can coexist. These dynamics are characteristic of a Chenciner (generalized Hopf) bifurcation. We believe this model to be the simplest population-genetic model with such dynamics.     

Dynamics of On-Off Neural Firing Patterns and Stochastic Effects near a Sub-Critical Hopf Bifurcation

On-off firing patterns, in which repetition of clusters of spikes are interspersed with epochs of subthreshold oscillations or quiescent states, have been observed in various nervous systems, but the dynamics of this event remain unclear. Here, we report that on-off firing patterns observed in three experimental models (rat sciatic nerve subject to chronic constrictive injury, rat CA1 pyramidal neuron, and rabbit blood pressure baroreceptor) appeared as an alternation between quiescent state and burst containing multiple period-1 spikes over time. Burst and quiescent state had various durations. The interspike interval (ISI) series of on-off firing pattern was suggested as stochastic using nonlinear prediction and autocorrelation function. The resting state was changed to a period-1 firing pattern via on-off firing pattern as the potassium concentration, static pressure, or depolarization current was changed. During the changing process, the burst duration of on-off firing pattern increased and the duration of the quiescent state decreased. Bistability of a limit cycle corresponding to period-1 firing and a focus corresponding to resting state was simulated near a sub-critical Hopf bifurcation point in the deterministic Morris—Lecar (ML) model. In the stochastic ML model, noise-induced transitions between the coexisting regimes formed an on-off firing pattern, which closely matched that observed in the experiment. In addition, noise-induced exponential change in the escape rate from the focus, and noise-induced coherence resonance were identified. The distinctions between the on-off firing pattern and stochastic firing patterns generated near three other types of bifurcations of equilibrium points, as well as other viewpoints on the dynamics of on-off firing pattern, are discussed. The results not only identify the on-off firing pattern as noise-induced stochastic firing pattern near a sub-critical Hopf bifurcation point, but also offer practical indicators to discriminate bifurcation types and neural excitability types.     

Estimating the Stochastic Bifurcation Structure of Cellular Networks

High throughput measurement of gene expression at single-cell resolution, combined with systematic perturbation of environmental or cellular variables, provides information that can be used to generate novel insight into the properties of gene regulatory networks by linking cellular responses to external parameters. In dynamical systems theory, this information is the subject of bifurcation analysis, which establishes how system-level behaviour changes as a function of parameter values within a given deterministic mathematical model. Since cellular networks are inherently noisy, we generalize the traditional bifurcation diagram of deterministic systems theory to stochastic dynamical systems. We demonstrate how statistical methods for density estimation, in particular, mixture density and conditional mixture density estimators, can be employed to establish empirical bifurcation diagrams describing the bistable genetic switch network controlling galactose utilization in yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae. These approaches allow us to make novel qualitative and quantitative observations about the switching behavior of the galactose network, and provide a framework that might be useful to extract information needed for the development of quantitative network models.     

Landscape and global stability of nonadiabatic and adiabatic oscillations in a gene network

We quantify the potential landscape to determine the global stability and coherence of biological oscillations. We explore a gene network motif in our experimental synthetic biology studies of two genes that mutually repress and activate each other with self-activation and self-repression. We find that in addition to intrinsic molecular number fluctuations, there is another type of fluctuation crucial for biological function: the fluctuation due to the slow binding/unbinding of protein regulators to gene promoters. We find that coherent limit cycle oscillations emerge in two regimes: an adiabatic regime with fast binding/unbinding and a nonadiabatic regime with slow binding/unbinding relative to protein synthesis/degradation. This leads to two mechanisms of producing the stable oscillations: the effective interactions from averaging the gene states in the adiabatic regime; and the time delays due to slow binding/unbinding to promoters in the nonadiabatic regime, which can be tested by forthcoming experiments. In both regimes, the landscape has a topological shape of the Mexican hat in protein concentrations that quantitatively determines the global stability of limit cycle dynamics. The oscillation coherence is shown to be correlated with the shape of the Mexican hat characterized by the height from the oscillation ring to the central top. The oscillation period can be tuned in a wide range by changing the binding/unbinding rate without changing the amplitude much, which is important for the functionality of a biological clock. A negative feedback loop with time delays due to slow binding/unbinding can also generate oscillations. Although positive feedback is not necessary for generating oscillations, it can make the oscillations more robust.