A simple regression method for mapping quantitative trait loci in line crosses using flanking markers

The use of flanking marker methods has proved to be a powerful tool for the mapping of quantitative trait loci (QTL) in the segregating generations derived from crosses between inbred lines. Methods to analyse these data, based on maximum-likelihood, have been developed and provide good estimates of QTL effects in some situations. Maximum-likelihood methods are, however, relatively complex and can be computationally slow. In this paper we develop methods for mapping QTL based on multiple regression which can be applied using any general statistical package. We use the example of mapping in an F(2) population and show that these regression methods produce very similar results to those obtained using maximum likelihood. The relative simplicity of the regression methods means that models with more than a single QTL can be explored and we give examples of two lined loci and of two interacting loci. Other models, for example with more than two QTL, with environmental fixed effects, with between family variance or for threshold traits, could be fitted in a similar way. The ease, speed of application and generality of regression methods for flanking marker analysis, and the good estimates they obtain, suggest that they should provide the method of choice for the analysis of QTL mapping data from inbred line crosses.     

Derivation of single-locus relationship coefficients conditional on marker information

The coefficient of relationship is defined as the correlation between the additive genetic values of two individuals. This coefficient can be defined specifically for a single quantitative trait locus (QTL) and may deviate considerably from the overall expectation if it is taken conditional on information from linked marker loci. Conditional halfsib correlations are derived under a simple genetic model with a biallelic QTL linked to a biallelic marker locus. The conditional relationship coefficients are shown to depend on the recombination rate between the marker and the QTL and the population frequency of the marker alleles, but not on parameters of the QTL, i.e. number and frequency of QTL alleles, degree of dominance etc., nor on the (usually unknown) QTL genotype of the sire. Extensions to less simplified cases (multiple alleles at the marker locus and the QTL, two marker loci flanking the QTL) are given. For arbitrary pedigrees, conditional relationship coefficients can also be derived from the conditional gametic covariance matrix suggested by Fernando and Grossman (1989). The connection of these two approaches is discussed. The conditional relationship coefficient can be used for marker-assisted genetic evaluation as well as for the detection of QTL and the estimation of their effects.     

Bayesian methods for quantitative trait loci mapping based on model selection: approximate analysis using the Bayesian information criterion.

We describe an approximate method for the analysis of quantitative trait loci (QTL) based on model selection from multiple regression models with trait values regressed on marker genotypes, using a modification of the easily calculated Bayesian information criterion to estimate the posterior probability of models with various subsets of markers as variables. The BIC-delta criterion, with the parameter delta increasing the penalty for additional variables in a model, is further modified to incorporate prior information, and missing values are handled by multiple imputation. Marginal probabilities for model sizes are calculated, and the posterior probability of nonzero model size is interpreted as the posterior probability of existence of a QTL linked to one or more markers. The method is demonstrated on analysis of associations between wood density and markers on two linkage groups in Pinus radiata. Selection bias, which is the bias that results from using the same data to both select the variables in a model and estimate the coefficients, is shown to be a problem for commonly used non-Bayesian methods for QTL mapping, which do not average over alternative possible models that are consistent with the data.     

Marker pair selection for mapping quantitative trait loci

Mapping of quantitative trait loci (QTL) for backcross and F(2) populations may be set up as a multiple linear regression problem, where marker types are the regressor variables. It has been shown previously that flanking markers absorb all information on isolated QTL. Therefore, selection of pairs of markers flanking QTL is useful as a direct approach to QTL detection. Alternatively, selected pairs of flanking markers can be used as cofactors in composite interval mapping (CIM). Overfitting is a serious problem, especially if the number of regressor variables is large. We suggest a procedure denoted as marker pair selection (MPS) that uses model selection criteria for multiple linear regression. Markers enter the model in pairs, which reduces the number of models to be considered, thus alleviating the problem of overfitting and increasing the chances of detecting QTL. MPS entails an exhaustive search per chromosome to maximize the chance of finding the best-fitting models. A simulation study is conducted to study the merits of different model selection criteria for MPS. On the basis of our results, we recommend the Schwarz Bayesian criterion (SBC) for use in practice.     

A simulation study on the accuracy of position and effect estimates of linked QTL and their asymptotic standard deviations using multiple interval mapping in an F2 scheme

Approaches like multiple interval mapping using a multiple-QTL model for simultaneously mapping QTL can aid the identification of multiple QTL, improve the precision of estimating QTL positions and effects, and are able to identify patterns and individual elements of QTL epistasis. Because of the statistical problems in analytically deriving the standard errors and the distributional form of the estimates and because the use of resampling techniques is not feasible for several linked QTL, there is the need to perform large-scale simulation studies in order to evaluate the accuracy of multiple interval mapping for linked QTL and to assess confidence intervals based on the standard statistical theory. From our simulation study it can be concluded that in comparison with a monogenetic background a reliable and accurate estimation of QTL positions and QTL effects of multiple QTL in a linkage group requires much more information from the data. The reduction of the marker interval size from 10 cM to 5 cM led to a higher power in QTL detection and to a remarkable improvement of the QTL position as well as the QTL effect estimates. This is different from the findings for (single) interval mapping. The empirical standard deviations of the genetic effect estimates were generally large and they were the largest for the epistatic effects. These of the dominance effects were larger than those of the additive effects. The asymptotic standard deviation of the position estimates was not a good criterion for the accuracy of the position estimates and confidence intervals based on the standard statistical theory had a clearly smaller empirical coverage probability as compared to the nominal probability. Furthermore the asymptotic standard deviation of the additive, dominance and epistatic effects did not reflect the empirical standard deviations of the estimates very well, when the relative QTL variance was smaller/equal to 0.5. The implications of the above findings are discussed.     

On the differences between maximum likelihood and regression interval mapping in the analysis of quantitative trait loci

The differences between maximum-likelihood (ML) and regression (REG) interval mapping in the analysis of quantitative trait loci (QTL) are investigated analytically and numerically by simulation. The analytical investigation is based on the comparison of the solution sets of the ML and REG methods in the estimation of QTL parameters. Their differences are found to relate to the similarity between the conditional posterior and conditional probabilities of QTL genotypes and depend on several factors, such as the proportion of variance explained by QTL, relative QTL position in an interval, interval size, difference between the sizes of QTL, epistasis, and linkage between QTL. The differences in mean squared error (MSE) of the estimates, likelihood-ratio test (LRT) statistics in testing parameters, and power of QTL detection between the two methods become larger as (1) the proportion of variance explained by QTL becomes higher, (2) the QTL locations are positioned toward the middle of intervals, (3) the QTL are located in wider marker intervals, (4) epistasis between QTL is stronger, (5) the difference between QTL effects becomes larger, and (6) the positions of QTL get closer in QTL mapping. The REG method is biased in the estimation of the proportion of variance explained by QTL, and it may have a serious problem in detecting closely linked QTL when compared to the ML method. In general, the differences between the two methods may be minor, but can be significant when QTL interact or are closely linked. The ML method tends to be more powerful and to give estimates with smaller MSEs and larger LRT statistics. This implies that ML interval mapping can be more accurate, precise, and powerful than REG interval mapping. The REG method is faster in computation, especially when the number of QTL considered in the model is large. Recognizing the factors affecting the differences between REG and ML interval mapping can help an efficient strategy, using both methods in QTL mapping to be outlined.     

A comparison of interval mapping procedures including the QTL-cluster mapping

Using the deterministic sampling, patterns of the log-likelihood surfaces expected in some interval mapping procedures for estimating the position of, and the effect for, QTL(s) were investigated for the situations where a single QTL or closely linked QTLs are contained in a chromosome segment bracketed with two markers. The mapping procedures compared were the conventional, likelihood-based interval mapping (IM), the regression interval mapping (RIM), and the QTL-cluster mapping (CM) in which the conditional probabilities of transmission of the whole segment marked by the flanking markers were taken into consideration. The half-sib design was used here, and several cases of the true genetic model were considered, differing in the number of QTLs contained in the marker interval, the linkage phase for the sire, and the magnitude of the QTL(s) effect. For the true genetic models where a single QTL or closely linked QTLs being in coupling phase are contained in the interval, with (R)IM, clear global maxima of the log-likelihood were observed within the range of the marker interval. It was shown that the estimates of the QTL(s) effect at the marked segment level are expected to be unbiased. On the other hand, in a setting where the linkage phase for the linked QTLs located in the interval was different from coupling and repulsion, there was found a ridge along the interval for the log-likelihood surface with (R)IM, indicating the dependency between the estimates of the position of, and the effect for, the putative QTL. For this case, it was found that the position of the putative QTL could be estimated as that of one of the flanking markers, and the estimate of the QTL effect be biased. In contrast, it was revealed that CM is expected to provide the unbiased estimate of the QTL(s)-effect at the segment level for any case of the true genetic models considered here. If the aim is for marker-assisted selection rather than mapping closely linked QTLs individually, then the CM approach is considered to be useful.     

Interval mapping of quantitative trait loci in autotetraploid species.

This article presents a method for QTL interval mapping in autotetraploid species for a full-sib family derived by crossing two parents. For each offspring, the marker information on each chromosome is used to identify possible configurations of chromosomes inherited from the two parents and the locations of crossovers on these chromosomes. A branch and bound algorithm is used to identify configurations with the minimum number of crossovers. From these configurations, the conditional probability of each possible QTL genotype for a series of positions along the chromosome can be estimated. An iterative weighted regression is then used to relate the trait values to the QTL genotype probabilities. A simulation study is performed to assess this approach and to investigate the effects of the proportion of codominant to dominant markers, the heritability, and the population size. We conclude that the method successfully locates QTL and estimates their parameters accurately, and we discuss different modes of action of the QTL that may be modeled.     

Maximum Likelihood Mapping of Quantitative Trait Loci Using Full-Sib Families

A maximum likelihood method is presented for the detection of quantitative trait loci (QTL) using flanking markers in full-sib families. This method incorporates a random component for common family effects due to additional QTL or the environment. Simulated data have been used to investigate this method. With a fixed total number of full sibs power of detection decreased substantially with decreasing family size. Increasing the number of alleles at the marker loci (i.e., polymorphism information content) and decreasing the interval size about the QTL increased power. Flanking markers were more powerful than single markers. In testing for a linked QTL the test must be made against a model which allows for between family variation (i.e., including an unlinked QTL or a between family variance component) or the test statistic may be grossly inflated. Mean parameter estimates were close to the simulated values in all situations when fitting the full model (including a linked QTL and common family effect). If the common family component was omitted the QTL effect was overestimated in data in which additional genetic variance was simulated and when compared with an unlinked QTL model there was reduced power. The test statistic curves, reflecting the likelihood of the QTL at each position along the chromosome, have discontinuities at the markers caused by adjacent pairs of markers providing different amounts of information. This must be accounted for when using flanking markers to search for a QTL in an outbred population.     

A Comparison of Methods for Estimating Northern Bobwhite Covey Detection Probabilities

Abstract: We compared the time-of-detection and logistic regression methods of estimating probability of detection for northern bobwhite (Colinus virginianus) coveys. Both methods are unusual in that they allow estimation of the total probability of detection (i.e., the product of the probability that a covey is available for detection [i.e., that a covey vocalizes] and detection given availability). The logistic regression method produced an average detection probability of 0.596 (SE = 0.020) and the time-of-detection method produced a detection probability estimate of 0.540 (SE = 0.086), and the 2 estimates were not significantly different. This is the first evaluation of the time-of-detection method with empirical field data. Although the time-of-detection and logistic regression method each have advantages, both can be used under appropriate conditions to improve estimates of bobwhite abundance by allowing for the estimation of detection probabilities. Improved estimates of bobwhite abundance will allow land managers to make more informed management decisions.     

Grouped generalized estimating equations for longitudinal data analysis

Generalized estimating equation (GEE) is widely adopted for regression modeling for longitudinal data, taking account of potential correlations within the same subjects. Although the standard GEE assumes common regression coefficients among all the subjects, such an assumption may not be realistic when there is potential heterogeneity in regression coefficients among subjects. In this paper, we develop a flexible and interpretable approach, called grouped GEE analysis, to modeling longitudinal data with allowing heterogeneity in regression coefficients. The proposed method assumes that the subjects are divided into a finite number of groups and subjects within the same group share the same regression coefficient. We provide a simple algorithm for grouping subjects and estimating the regression coefficients simultaneously, and show the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. The number of groups can be determined by the cross validation with averaging method. We demonstrate the proposed method through simulation studies and an application to a real data set.     

Detection and localization of a single binary trait locus in experimental populations

The advancements made in molecular technology coupled with statistical methodology have led to the successful detection and location of genomic regions (quantitative trait loci; QTL) associated with quantitative traits. Binary traits (e.g. susceptibility/resistance), while not quantitative in nature, are equally important for the purpose of detecting and locating significant associations with genomic regions. Existing interval regression methods used in binary trait analysis are adapted from quantitative trait analysis and the tests for regression coefficients are tests of effect, not detection. Additionally, estimates of recombination that fail to take into account varying penetrance perform poorly when penetrance is incomplete. In this work a complete probability model for binary trait data is developed allowing for unbiased estimation of both penetrance and recombination between a genetic marker locus and a binary trait locus for backcross and F2 experimental designs. The regression model is reparameterized allowing for tests of detection. Extensive simulations were conducted to assess the performance of estimation and testing in the proposed parameterization. The proposed parameterization was compared with interval regression via simulation. The results indicate that our parameterization shows equivalent estimation capabilities, requires less computational effort and works well with only a single marker.     

Fine mapping of complex trait genes combining pedigree and linkage disequilibrium information: a Bayesian unified framework

We present a Bayesian method that combines linkage and linkage disequilibrium (LDL) information for quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping. This method uses jointly all marker information (haplotypes) and all available pedigree information; i.e., it is not restricted to any specific experimental design and it is not required that phases are known. Infinitesimal genetic effects or environmental noise ("fixed") effects can equally be fitted. A diallelic QTL is assumed and both additive and dominant effects can be estimated. We have implemented a combined Gibbs/Metropolis-Hastings sampling to obtain the marginal posterior distributions of the parameters of interest. We have also implemented a Bayesian variant of usual disequilibrium measures like D' and r(2) between QTL and markers. We illustrate the method with simulated data in "simple" (two-generation full-sib families) and "complex" (four-generation) pedigrees. We compared the estimates with and without using linkage disequilibrium information. In general, using LDL resulted in estimates of QTL position that were much better than linkage-only estimates when there was complete disequilibrium between the mutant QTL allele and the marker. This advantage, however, decreased when the association was only partial. In all cases, additive and dominant effects were estimated accurately either with or without disequilibrium information.     

Estimating the distribution of selection coefficients from phylogenetic data with applications to mitochondrial and viral DNA

The distribution of selection coefficients of new mutations is of key interest in population genetics. In this paper we explore how codon-based likelihood models can be used to estimate the distribution of selection coefficients of new amino acid replacement mutations from phylogenetic data. To obtain such estimates we assume that all mutations at the same site have the same selection coefficient. We first estimate the distribution of selection coefficients from two large viral data sets under the assumption that the viral population size is the same along all lineages of the phylogeny and that the selection coefficients vary among sites. We then implement several new models in which the lineages of the phylogeny may have different population sizes. We apply the new models to a data set consisting of the coding regions from eight primate mitochondrial genomes. The results suggest that there might be little power to determine the exact shape of the distribution of selection coefficient but that the normal and gamma distributions fit the data significantly better than the exponential distribution.     

Genetic models to estimate additive and non-additive effects of marker-associated QTL using multiple regression techniques

Summary The development of molecular markers has recently raised expectations for their application in selection programs. However, some questions related to quantitative trait loci (QTL) identification are still unanswered. The objectives of this paper are (1) to develop statistical genetic models for detecting and locating on the genome multi-QTL with additive, dominance and epistatic effects using multiple linear regression analysis in the backcross and F_n generations from the cross of two inbred lines; and (2) to discuss the bias caused by linked and unlinked QTL on the genetic estimates. Non-linear models were developed for different backcross and F_n generations when both epistasis and no epistasis were assumed. Generation analysis of marked progenies is suggested as a way of increasing the number of observations for the estimates without additional cost for molecular scoring. Some groups of progenies can be created in different generations from the same scored individuals. The non-linear models were transformed into approximate multivariate linear models to which combined stepwise and standard regression analysis could be applied. Expressions for the biases of the marker classes from linked QTL were obtained when no epistasis was assumed. When epistasis was assumed, these expressions increased in complexity, and the biases were caused by both linked and unlinked QTL.     

Linear and generalized linear models for the detection of QTL effects on within-subject variability

Quantitative trait loci (QTLs) may affect not only the mean of a trait but also its variability. A special aspect is the variability between multiple measured traits of genotyped animals, such as the within-litter variance of piglet birth weights. The sample variance of repeated measurements is assigned as an observation for every genotyped individual. It is shown that the conditional distribution of the non-normally distributed trait can be approximated by a gamma distribution. To detect QTL effects in the daughter design, a generalized linear model with the identity link function is applied. Suitable test statistics are constructed to test the null hypothesis H(0): No QTL with effect on the within-litter variance is segregating versus H(A): There is a QTL with effect on the variability of birth weight within litter. Furthermore, estimates of the QTL effect and the QTL position are introduced and discussed. The efficiency of the presented tests is compared with a test based on weighted regression. The error probability of the first type as well as the power of QTL detection are discussed and compared for the different tests.     

Mapping quantitative trait loci underlying triploid endosperm traits

Endosperm, which is derived from two polar nuclei fusing with one sperm, is a triploid tissue in cereals. Endosperm tissue determines the grain quality of cereals. Improving grain quality is one of the important breeding objectives in cereals. However, current statistical methods for mapping quantitative trait loci (QTL) under diploid genetic control have not been effective for dealing with endosperm traits because of the complexity of their triploid inheritance. In this paper, we derive for the first time the conditional probabilities of F(3) endosperm QTL genotypes given different flanking marker genotypes in F(2) plants. Using these probabilities, we develop a multiple linear regression method implemented via the iteratively reweighted least-squares (IRWLS) algorithm and a maximum likelihood method (ML) implemented via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm to map QTL underlying endosperm traits. We use the mean value of endosperm traits of F(3) seeds as the dependent variable and the expectations of genotypic indicators for additive and dominance effect of a putative QTL flanked by a pair of markers as independent variables for IRWLS mapping. However, if an endosperm trait is measured quantitatively using a single endosperm sample, the ML mapping method can be used to separate the two dominance effects. Efficiency of the methods is verified through extensive Monte Carlo simulation studies. Results of simulation show that the proposed methods provide accurate estimates of both the QTL effects and locations with very high statistical power. With these methods, we are now ready to map endosperm traits, as we can for regular quantitative trait under diploid control.     

The fitness and functionality of culturally evolved communication systems

This paper assesses whether human communication systems undergo the same progressive adaptation seen in animal communication systems and concrete artefacts. Four experiments compared the fitness of ad hoc sign systems created under different conditions when participants play a graphical communication task. Experiment 1 demonstrated that when participants are organized into interacting communities, a series of signs evolve that enhance individual learning and promote efficient decoding. No such benefits are found for signs that result from the local interactions of isolated pairs of interlocutors. Experiments 2 and 3 showed that the decoding benefits associated with community evolved signs cannot be attributed to superior sign encoding or detection. Experiment 4 revealed that naive overseers were better able to identify the meaning of community evolved signs when compared with isolated pair developed signs. Hence, the decoding benefits for community evolved signs arise from their greater residual iconicity. We argue that community evolved sign systems undergo a process of communicative selection and adaptation that promotes optimized sign systems. This results from the interplay between sign diversity and a global alignment constraint; pairwise interaction introduces a range of competing signs and the need to globally align on a single sign-meaning mapping for each referent applies selection pressure.     

胚乳性状数量基因的定位方法

将三倍体胚乳性状的数量遗传模型和二倍体性状数量基因（QTL）图构建方法相结合,导出双侧标记基因型下有关胚乳性状QTL的遗传组成、平均数和遗传方差分量,据之提出以某一区间双侧标记基因型胚乳性状的平均值为依变数,以该区间内任一点假定存在的QTL的加性效应d、显性效应h1和／或h2的系数为自变数,进行有重复观察值的多元线性回归分析,根据多元线性回归的显著性测验该点是否存在QTL,并估计出QTL的遗传效应。给定区间内任一点,皆可以此进行分析,从而可在整条染色体上作图,并以之确定QTL的数目和最可能位置,同时,在检测某一区间时,利用多元线性回归方法将该区间外可能存在的QTL的干扰进行统计控制,以提高QTL检测的精度。此外,还讨论了如何将之推广应用于其他类型的DNA不对应资料以及具复杂遗传模型的胚乳性状资料。     

Inclusive composite interval mapping (ICIM) for digenic epistasis of quantitative traits in biparental populations

It has long been recognized that epistasis or interactions between non-allelic genes plays an important role in the genetic control and evolution of quantitative traits. However, the detection of epistasis and estimation of epistatic effects are difficult due to the complexity of epistatic patterns, insufficient sample size of mapping populations and lack of efficient statistical methods. Under the assumption of additivity of QTL effects on the phenotype of a trait in interest, the additive effect of a QTL can be completely absorbed by the flanking marker variables, and the epistatic effect between two QTL can be completely absorbed by the four marker-pair multiplication variables between the two pairs of flanking markers. Based on this property, we proposed an inclusive composite interval mapping (ICIM) by simultaneously considering marker variables and marker-pair multiplications in a linear model. Stepwise regression was applied to identify the most significant markers and marker-pair multiplications. Then a two-dimensional scanning (or interval mapping) was conducted to identify QTL with significant digenic epistasis using adjusted phenotypic values based on the best multiple regression model. The adjusted values retain the information of QTL on the two current mapping intervals but exclude the influence of QTL on other intervals and chromosomes. Epistatic QTL can be identified by ICIM, no matter whether the two interacting QTL have any additive effects. Simulated populations and one barley doubled haploids (DH) population were used to demonstrate the efficiency of ICIM in mapping both additive QTL and digenic interactions.