城市三维空间结构对碳排放影响的尺度效应

城市是碳排放最集中的区域,全面厘清城市空间结构对碳排放的影响对碳减排规划具有重要意义。以往研究主要关注城市二维结构与碳排放的关系,表明城市扩张是碳排放剧增的主要原因。虽然城市三维空间结构也会显著影响碳排放,然而其影响的尺度效应依然缺少深入分析。为此以广州市为例,结合相关性分析、随机森林探究三维空间结构与碳排放的关系,并揭示三维空间结构影响的尺度效应。研究结果表明：（1）（高层）建筑物密度、建筑覆盖率、容积率与人口密度是碳排放的关键影响因素,主要通过直接增加人类活动或加剧热岛效应使得能源消耗和碳排放增多;（2）三维空间结构对碳排放的影响具有明显的尺度效应。随着分析尺度的变化,碳排放受三维空间结构的不同方面主导;（3）广州作为紧凑型城市的代表,如果片面追求城市三维空间的紧凑布局将不利于低碳城市的发展。因此,相关部门应重视宏观尺度下的三维空间结构的合理布局,合理开发城市边缘地区,降低城市中心建筑物的紧凑布局,构建多中心的城市格局,以有效降低碳排放水平,促进低碳城市的构建与可持续发展。研究所得成果可为城市建筑三维空间布局的合理优化提供参考依据,助力"双碳"目标的实现。     

The relationship between trade and sustainable transport: A quantitative assessment with indicators of the importance of environmental performance and agglomeration externalities

This paper analyses the effect of international trade, environmental performance and agglomeration externalities on CO₂ emissions arising from goods transport. It is an indicator that could be used for monitoring progress on the integration of the principles of sustainable transport into national policies. Firstly, we calculate a global transport emissions indicator using existing CO₂ emission data. Secondly, given that sea transport is on average less polluting than terrestrial and air transport with regards to greenhouse gas emissions, we calculate a trade-weighted distance indicator that allows for the relative growth of maritime exports. Thirdly, we analyse the relationship between trade and global transport emissions based on existing environmental performance levels by examining both a narrow and a broad environmental performance indicator. Lastly, we examine the role of agglomeration externalities. Comparing different regions within Spain and their trading partners over the period 2000–2008, we are able to plot two different shapes to represent the relationship between trade and global transport emissions, one of which is an inverted-U shape that represents trade with trading partners with a lower environmental performance. Our results show that environmental performance reduces trade-related global transport emissions. Negative externalities for the environment derived from transport facilities agglomeration co-exist too, although these might be partially offset by national regulations that ensure commitment towards a clean environment.     

Life-cycle assessment and cost analysis of residential buildings in South East of Turkey: part 2—a case study

Purpose

Residential buildings play an important role in consumption of energy resources. About 40 % of all primary energy is used in buildings all over the world. This paper is the second part of the study on the life-cycle energy (LCEA), emissions (LCCO₂A) and cost (LCCA) assessment of two residential buildings constructed in urban and rural areas.

Methods

In the first part, the methodology, formulations and procedure for such a comprehensive analysis are provided, while this paper provides an application of the methodology that considers two actual buildings located in Gaziantep, Turkey. The proposed model focused on building construction, operation and demolition phases to estimate energy use, carbon emissions and costs per square meter over a 50-year lifespan. The optimum thickness of insulation used to reduce energy consumption and emissions per square meter is determined.

Results and discussion

It is found that the operating phase is dominant in both urban and rural residential buildings and contributes 87–85 % of the primary energy requirements and 88–82 % of CO₂ emissions, respectively. Life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions were 5.8 and 3.9 tons CO₂ eqv. for BT1 and BT2, respectively. It is calculated that the life-cycle energy consumption and CO₂ emissions of the residential buildings can be reduced by up to 22.8 and 23.4 %, respectively, by using a proper insulation material for the external walls. The life-cycle cost, consisting of mortgage, energy, maintenance, service and demolition payments are calculated to be 7.28 and 1.72 million USD for BT1 and BT2, respectively.

Conclusions

Building envelope developments, such as better wall insulation, provide noteworthy potential energy savings and contribute to the reductions from cooling and space heating. Therefore, primary strategies and technologies needed for efficient buildings include optimal insulation of external walls. The economic insulation thickness of the residential buildings in Gaziantep is determined to be 80 mm by using a life-cycle cost analysis. The results show that because of the differences in building structures and living standards, life-cycle energy intensity and CO₂ emissions in urban residential buildings are 29 and 25 % higher than in rural conditions.

     

Life cycle energy consumption and CO2 emission of an office building in China

Purpose  

Building is one of the main factors of energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. Reducing energy consumption and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emission from building is urgent for environmental protection and sustainable development. The objective of this study is to develop a life cycle assessment (LCA) model for an office building in China to assess its energy consumption and CO₂ emission, determine the whole life cycle phases, and the significant environmental aspects that contribute most to the impact.     

Alternatives for natural‐gas‐based heating systems: A quantitative GIS‐based analysis of climate impacts and financial feasibility

The heating of buildings currently produces 6% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable heating technologies can reduce heating‐related CO₂ emissions by up to 90%. We present a Python‐based GIS model to analyze the environmental and financial impact of strategies to reduce heating‐related CO₂ emissions of residential buildings. The city‐wide implementation of three alternatives to natural gas are evaluated: high‐temperature heating networks, low‐temperature heating networks, and heat pumps. We find that both lowering the demand for heat and providing more sustainable sources of heat will be necessary to achieve significant CO₂‐emission reductions. Of the studied alternatives, only low‐temperature heating networks and heat pumps have the potential to reduce CO₂ emissions by 90%. A CO₂ tax and an increase in tax on the use of natural gas are potent policy tools to accelerate the adoption of low‐carbon heating technologies.     

LCA of concrete and steel building frames

The effects on the external environment of seven concrete and steel building frames representative of present-day building technology in Sweden were analysed using LCA methodology. Objects of the study included frame construction and supplementary materials. Several-storey offices and dwellings were studied. The functional unit was defined as one average m² of floor area during the lifetime of the building. Inventory data were elaborated for concrete and steel production, the building site, service life, demolition and final disposal. Parameters included were raw material use, energy use, emissions to air, emissions to water and waste generation. The inventory results were presented and evaluated as such, in addition to an interpretation by using three quantitative impact assessment methods. Parameters that weighed heavily were use of fossil fuels, CO₂, electricity, SO_x ² NO_x ² alloy materials and waste, depending on what assessment method was used. Over the life cycle, building production from cradle to gate accounted for about the same contribution to total environmental loads as maintenance and replacement of heat losses through external walls during service life, whereas demolition and final disposal accounted for a considerably lower contribution.     

The role of electricity mix and production efficiency improvements on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of building components and future refurbishment measures

Purpose

An estimation of the environmental impact of buildings by means of a life cycle assessment (LCA) raises uncertainty related to the parameters that are subject to major changes over longer time spans. The main aim of the present study is to evaluate the influence of modifications in the electricity mix and the production efficiency in the chosen reference year on the embodied impacts (i.e., greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions) of building materials and components and the possible impact of this on future refurbishment measures.

Methods

A new LCA methodological approach was developed and implemented that can have a significant impact on the way in which existing buildings are assessed at the end of their service lives. The electricity mixes of different reference years were collected and assessed, and the main datasets and sub-datasets were modified according to the predefined substitution criteria. The influence of the electricity-mix modification and production efficiency were illustrated on a selected existing reference building, built in 1970. The relative contribution of the electricity mix to the embodied impact of the production phase was calculated for four different electricity mixes, with this comprising the electricity mix from 1970, the current electricity mix and two possible future electricity-mix scenarios for 2050. The residual value of the building was also estimated.

Results and discussion

In the case presented, the relative share of the electricity mix GHG emission towards the total value was as high as 20% for separate building components. If this electricity mix is replaced with an electricity mix having greater environmental emissions, the relative contribution of the electricity mix to the total emissions can be even higher. When, by contrast, the modified electricity mix is almost decarbonized, the relative contribution to the total emissions may well be reduced to a point where it becomes negligible. The modification of the electricity mix can also influence the residual value of a building. In the observed case, the differences due to different electricity mixes were in the range of 10%.

Conclusions

It was found that those parameters that are subject to a major change during the reference service period of the building should be treated dynamically in order to obtain reliable results. Future research is foreseen to provide additional knowledge concerning the influence of dynamic parameters on both the use phase and the end-of-life phase of buildings, and these findings will also be important when planning future refurbishment measures.

     

Characterization of CO2 emissions during construction of reservoir embankment elevation in South Korea

Purpose

The environmentally friendly construction of agricultural infrastructure is much needed for sustainable development because construction is recognized as a cause of environmental degradation. The objective of this study was to estimate and characterize carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions during construction of agricultural reservoir embankments for the quantitative environmental assessment and management of CO₂ emissions using life cycle assessment method.

Methods

Two reservoirs with different foundation treatment and construction components were selected in this study and their characteristics in CO₂ emissions were compared. And CO₂ emissions were calculated separately for each of the following major components: construction materials, equipment, and transport. The basic unit of CO₂ emissions for construction materials was calculated using the 2009 input–output tables in Korea and the basic unit of CO₂ emissions for equipment of transport and construction was also calculated based on the amount of fuel used in a unit time.

Results and discussion

According to the study results, the construction of a water supply process appeared to generate the most emissions among all processes for the two sites. Emissions due to equipment were the highest in site A, while materials generated the most emissions in site B. Differences in emissions are due to differences in the construction process. While the operation time of the equipment in site A increased due to the cofferdam process and a large amount of cement was used in the foundation process in site B.

Conclusions

Characteristic of CO₂ emissions differs with different construction processes and thus construction processes need to be optimized for environmental friendly development of agricultural infrastructure through estimation and characterization of CO₂ emissions.     

Environmental assessment of German electricity generation from coal-fired power plants with amine-based carbon capture

Background, aim, and scope  

One of the most important sources of global carbon dioxide emissions is the combustion of fossil fuels for power generation. Power plants contribute more than 40% of the worldwide anthropogenic CO₂ emissions. Therefore, the increased requirements for climate protection are a great challenge for the power producers. In this context a significant increase in power plant efficiency will contribute to reduce specific CO₂ emissions. Additionally, CO₂ capture and storage (CCS) is receiving considerable attention as a greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation option. CCS allows continued use of fossil fuels with no or little CO₂ emissions given to the atmosphere. This could approve a moderate transition to a low-carbon energy generation over the next decades. Currently, R&D activities in the field of CCS are mainly concentrated on the development of capture techniques, the geological assessment of CO₂ storage reservoirs, and on economic aspects. Although first studies on material and energy flows caused by CCS are available, a broader environmental analysis is necessary to show the overall environmental impacts of CCS. The objectives in this paper are coal-based power plants with and without CO₂ capture via mono-ethanolamine (MEA) and the comparison of their environmental effects based on life cycle assessment methodology (LCA).     

Interactions between Financial and Environmental Networks in OECD Countries

We analysed a multiplex of financial and environmental networks between OECD countries from 2002 to 2010. Foreign direct investments and portfolio investment showing the flows in equity securities, short-term, long-term and total debt, these securities represent the financial layers; emissions of NO _x, PM10, SO ₂, CO ₂ equivalent and the water footprint associated with international trade represent the environmental layers. We present a new measure of cross-layer correlations between flows in different layers based on reciprocity. For the assessment of results, we implement a null model for this measure based on the exponential random graph theory. We find that short-term financial flows are more correlated with environmental flows than long-term investments. Moreover, the correlations between reverse financial and environmental flows (i.e. the flows of different layers going in opposite directions) are generally stronger than correlations between synergic flows (flows going in the same direction). This suggests a trade-off between financial and environmental layers, where, more financialised countries display higher correlations between outgoing financial flows and incoming environmental flows than from lower financialised countries. Five countries are identified as hubs in this finance-environment multiplex: The United States, France, Germany, Belgium-Luxembourg and United Kingdom.     

Towards Productive Cities: Environmental Assessment of the Food‐Energy‐Water Nexus of the Urban Roof Mosaic

Cities are rapidly growing and need to look for ways to optimize resource consumption. Metropolises are especially vulnerable in three main systems, often referred to as the FEW (i.e., food, energy, and water) nexus. In this context, urban rooftops are underutilized areas that might be used for the production of these resources. We developed the Roof Mosaic approach, which combines life cycle assessment with two rooftop guidelines, to analyze the technical feasibility and environmental implications of producing food and energy, and harvesting rainwater on rooftops through different combinations at different scales. To illustrate, we apply the Roof Mosaic approach to a densely populated neighborhood in a Mediterranean city. The building‐scale results show that integrating rainwater harvesting and food production would avoid relatively insignificant emissions (13.9–18.6 kg CO₂ eq/inhabitant/year) in the use stage, but their construction would have low environmental impacts. In contrast, the application of energy systems (photovoltaic or solar thermal systems) combined with rainwater harvesting could potentially avoid higher CO₂ eq emissions (177–196 kg CO₂ eq/inhabitant/year) but generate higher environmental burdens in the construction phase. When applied at the neighborhood scale, the approach can be optimized to meet between 7% and 50% of FEW demands and avoid up to 157 tons CO₂ eq/year. This approach is a useful guide to optimize the FEW nexus providing a range of options for the exploitation of rooftops at the local scale, which can aid cities in becoming self‐sufficient, optimizing resources, and reducing CO₂ eq emissions.     

Microbial populations regulate greenhouse gas emissions in Sundarban mangrove ecosystem,India

Mangrove ecosystems are significant sources of greenhouse gases (GHG) that is attributed to microbial activity. However, it is still unknown how the sediment microbial populations affect GHG emissions in mangrove ecosystem. Since little is known about microbial populations of mangroves, the present study was aimed to understand the structure and function of microbial communities in the Indian part of the Sundarban mangrove ecosystem in relation to environmental variables and variation of GHG emissions during three seasons: pre-monsoon (March–June), monsoon (July–October) and post-monsoon (November–February).Seasonal variations of carbon dioxide (CO₂), methane (CH₄) and nitrous oxide (N₂O) gas samples were taken from the mangrove bed. Culture methods were used to detect twelve different types of microbes such as heterotrophic (Htp), N₂ fixing (Nfix), nitrifying (Ntfn), sulfur oxidizing (Soxd), Gram-negative (GMn), Gram-positive (GMp), spore forming (Sfor), denitrifying (DNtfn), anaerobic (Anrb), phosphate solubilizing (Psol), cellulose degrading (Cdeg) bacteria and actinomycetes (Actm). In the monsoon, populations of the Htp, Anrb, Psol, and Cdeg bacteria were more prevalent, whereas populations of the GMn, GMp, Ntfn, DNtfn bacteria, and Actm bacteria were more prevalent in the post-monsoon. Monsoonal CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes were larger than pre-monsoon and post-monsoon, resulting in increased microbial soil respiration and breakdown of soil organic carbon. Because of higher denitrification and soil temperature, N₂O flux was higher in the pre-monsoon period, followed by monsoon and post-monsoon periods. A univariate statistical correlation was employed to assess the relationships between environmental variables and different microbial populations. An ANN (artificial neural network) model was proposed to evaluate the relevance of microbial population contribution to GHG emissions, and it indicated that the Htp, Anrb, and Dntfn microbial populations were most relevant for CO₂, CH₄, and N₂O emissions. The suggested model would be used to assess the drivers behind GHG emission in the mangroves located at different parts of the world.     

Green house gas emissions due to concrete manufacture

Background, Aim and Scope The issues of environmental impacts of concrete have become important since many major infrastructure owners are now requiring environmentally sustainable design (ESD). The carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions are often used as a rating tool to compare the environmental impact of different construction materials in ESD. Currently, the designers are forced to make estimates of CO₂ emissions for concrete in ESD based on conjecture rather than data. The aim of this study was to provide hard data collected from a number of quarries and concrete manufacturing plants so that accurate estimates can be made for concretes in ESD. Materials and Methods This paper presents the results of a research project aimed to quantify the CO₂ emissions associated with the manufacture and placement of concrete. The life cycle inventory data was collected from two coarse aggregates quarries, one fine aggregates quarry, six concrete batching plants and several other sources. The results are presented in terms of equivalent CO₂ emissions. The potential of fly ash and ground granulated blast furnace slag (GGBFS) to reduce the emissions due to concrete was investigated. A case study of a building is also presented. Results Portland cement was found to be the primary source of CO₂ emissions generated by typical commercially produced concrete mixes, being responsible for 74% to 81% of total CO₂ emissions. The next major source of CO₂ emissions in concrete was found to be coarse aggregates, being responsible for 13% to 20% of total CO₂ emissions. The majority contribution of CO₂ emissions in coarse aggregates production was found to from electricity, typically about 80%. Blasting, excavation, hauling and transport comprise less than 25%. While the explosives had very high emission factors per unit mass, they contribute very small amounts (<0.25%) to coarse aggregate production, since only small quantities are used. Production of a tonne of fine aggregates was found to generate 30% to 40% of the emissions generated by the production of a tonne of coarse aggregates. Fine aggregates generate less equivalent CO₂ since they are only graded, not crushed. Diesel and electricity were found to contribute almost equally to the CO₂ emissions due to fine aggregates production. Emission contributions due to admixtures were found to be negligible. Concrete batching, transport and placement activities were all found to contribute very small amounts of CO₂ to total concrete emissions. Discussion The CO₂ emissions generated by typical normal strength concrete mixes using Portland cement as the only binder were found to range between 0.29 and 0.32 t CO₂-e/m³. GGBFS was found to be capable of reducing concrete CO₂ emissions by 22% in typical concrete mixes. Fly ash was found to be capable of reducing concrete CO₂ emissions by 13% to 15% in typical concrete mixes. Conclusions The results presented are based on typical concrete manufacturing and placement methods in Australia. The data presented in this paper can be utilized to compare green house gas emissions due to concrete with those associated with alternative construction materials. Recommendations and Perspectives The various rating schemes used to compare alternative construction materials should use models such as the one presented in this paper, based on hard data so that reliable comparisons can be made. A case study is presented in this paper demonstrating how the results may be utilized. ESS-Submission Editor: Dr. Stefanie Hellweg (stefanie.hellweg@ifu.baug.ethz.ch)     

Decoupling environmental pressure from economic growth on city level: The Case Study of Chongqing in China

As cities represent the microcosms of global environmental change, it is very important for the global sustainable development by decoupling environmental pressure from economic growth on city level. In this paper, the municipality of Chongqing in China is employed as a case to show whether the decoupling of environmental pressures from economic growth has occurred in cities undergoing rapid economic growth; what is the level of decoupling; and what causes the observed degree of decoupling. Results show the following. (1) During the period of 1999–2010, decoupling from economic growth has been absolute for the emissions of SO₂, soot, and waste water, while it has been relative for total energy consumption, emissions of CO₂ and solid waste. (2) Compared with the period 2000–2005, decoupling level improved for all the six environmental pressures in the period 2005–2010. (3) Compared with China and other three municipalities of China, the overall decoupling level of Chongqing is above China’s average while below those of Beijing and Shanghai. (4) During the period 1999–2000, technological change was the dominate factor for decoupling Chongqing’s environmental pressure from economic growth, as it contributed 131.4%, 134.6%, 99.9%, 97.7%, 104.5% and 54.9% to the decoupling of total energy consumption, emissions of CO₂, SO₂, soot, waste water and solid waste, respectively; while economic structural change had very tiny effect to the decoupling of emissions of soot and SO₂, and it even had negative effect to that of total energy consumption, and emissions of CO₂ and waste water. Based on the above observations, we explain the difference in decoupling levels for different environmental pressures and suggest approaches for policy-makers on further promoting decoupling environmental pressure from economic growth.     

Effects of available surface on gaseous emissions from group-housed gestating sows kept on deep litter

In the European Union, the group-housed pregnant sows have to have a minimal legal available area of 2.25 m²/sow. However, it has been observed that an increased space allowance reduces agonistic behaviour and consecutive wounds and thus induces better welfare conditions. But, what about the environmental impacts of this greater available area? Therefore, the aim of this study was to quantify pollutant gases emissions (nitrous oxide, N₂O, methane, CH₄, carbon dioxide, CO₂ and ammonia, NH₃), according to the space allowance in the raising of gestating sows group-housed on a straw-based deep litter. Four successive batches of 10 gestating sows were each divided into two homogeneous groups and randomly allocated to a treatment: 2.5 v. 3.0 m²/sow. The groups were separately kept in two identical rooms. A restricted conventional cereals based diet was provided once a day in individual feeding stalls available only during the feeding time. Rooms were automatically ventilated. The gas emissions were measured by infra red photoacoustic detection during six consecutive days at the 6th, 9th and 12th weeks of gestation. Sows performance (body weight gain, backfat thickness, number and weight of piglets) was not significantly different according to the space allowance. In the room with 3.0 m²/sow and compared with the room with 2.5 m²/sow, gaseous emissions were significantly greater for NH₃ (6.29 v. 5.37 g NH₃-N/day per sow; P < 0.01) and significantly lower for N₂O (1.78 v. 2.48 g N₂O-N/day per sow; P < 0.01), CH₄ (10.15 v. 15.21 g/day per sow; P < 0.001), CO₂ equivalents (1.11 v. 1.55 kg/day per sow; P < 0.001), CO₂ (2.12 v. 2.41 kg/day per sow; P < 0.001) and H₂O (3.10 v. 3.68 kg/day per sow; P < 0.001). In conclusion, an increase of the available area for group-housed gestating sow kept on straw-based deep litter seems to be ambiguous on an environmental impacts point of view. Compared with a conventional and legal available area, it favoured NH₃ emissions, probably due to an increased emitting surface. However, about greenhouse gases, it decreased N₂O, CH₄ and CO₂ emissions, probably due to reduced anaerobic conditions required for their synthesis, and led to a reduction of CO₂ equivalents emissions.     

Life cycle assessment and cost analysis of residential buildings in south east of Turkey: part 1—review and methodology

Purpose

Buildings are responsible for more than 40 % of global energy used, and as much as 30 % of global greenhouse gas emissions. In order to quantify the energy and material inputs and environmental releases associated with each stage of construction sector, life cycle energy, greenhouse gas emissions, and cost analysis of contemporary residential buildings have been conducted within two parts.

Methods

This paper is the first part of the study which includes the literature review and methodology used for such a comprehensive analysis. It was determined that there are three basic methods used in life cycle analysis: process analysis, input–output (I–O) analysis, and hybrid analysis. In this study, Inventory of Carbon and Energy (ICE) is used for the calculation of primary energy requirements and greenhouse gas emissions. The second part of this study is about the application of the methodology which considers two actual buildings constructed in Gaziantep, Turkey.

Results and discussion

The proposed research focused on building construction, operating, and demolition phases. Energy efficiency, emission parameters, and costs are defined for the building per square meter basis. It is seen that the primary energy use and emissions of residential buildings around the world falls in the range of about 10 to 40 GJ/m² and 1–10 t CO₂/m² respectively.

Conclusions

The literature survey demonstrates that there are limited number of studies about life cycle cost assessment (LCCA) of residential buildings in the world. It was decided to use the ICE database as it is one of the most comprehensive databases for building materials, globally. The results of the study show that minimizing energy, material, and land use by considering potential impacts to the environment on a life cycle basis are the basic steps in designing an energy-efficient and environmental-friendly building.

     

Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction From Rigid Thermal Insulation Use in Buildings

Thermal insulation is a strategic product for reducing energy consumption and related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the building sector. This study examines from a life cycle perspective the changes in GHG emissions resulting from the use of two rigid thermal insulation products manufactured and installed from 1971 to 2025. GHG emissions related to insulation production and fugitive releases of blowing agents are modeled and compared with GHG savings from reduced heating loads in North America, Europe, and Asia. Implementation of alternative blowing agents has greatly improved the carbon dioxide 100‐year equivalent (CO₂‐eq) emission performance of thermal insulation. The net average CO₂‐eq savings to emissions ratio for current extruded polystyrene (XPS) and polyisocyanurate (PIR) insulation studied was 48:1, with a broad range from 3 to 1,800. Older insulation products manufactured with chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) can result in net cumulative GHG emissions. Reduction of CO₂‐eq emissions from buildings is governed by complex interactions between insulation thickness and placement, climate, fuel type, and heating system efficiencies. A series of charts mapping both emissions payback and net savings demonstrate the interactions between these factors and provide a basis for specific policy recommendations to guide effective insulation investments and placement.     

Responses of CO2, N2O and CH4 fluxes between atmosphere and forest soil to changes in multiple environmental conditions

To investigate the effects of multiple environmental conditions on greenhouse gas (CO₂, N₂O, CH₄) fluxes, we transferred three soil monoliths from Masson pine forest (PF) or coniferous and broadleaved mixed forest (MF) at Jigongshan to corresponding forest type at Dinghushan. Greenhouse gas fluxes at the in situ (Jigongshan), transported and ambient (Dinghushan) soil monoliths were measured using static chambers. When the transported soil monoliths experienced the external environmental factors (temperature, precipitation and nitrogen deposition) at Dinghushan, its annual soil CO₂ emissions were 54% in PF and 60% in MF higher than those from the respective in situ treatment. Annual soil N₂O emissions were 45% in PF and 44% in MF higher than those from the respective in situ treatment. There were no significant differences in annual soil CO₂ or N₂O emissions between the transported and ambient treatments. However, annual CH₄ uptake by the transported soil monoliths in PF or MF was not significantly different from that at the respective in situ treatment, and was significantly lower than that at the respective ambient treatment. Therefore, external environmental factors were the major drivers of soil CO₂ and N₂O emissions, while soil was the dominant controller of soil CH₄ uptake. We further tested the results by developing simple empirical models using the observed fluxes of CO₂ and N₂O from the in situ treatment and found that the empirical models can explain about 90% for CO₂ and 40% for N₂O of the observed variations at the transported treatment. Results from this study suggest that the different responses of soil CO₂, N₂O, CH₄ fluxes to changes in multiple environmental conditions need to be considered in global change study.     

Environmental regulation and CO2 emissions: Based on strategic interaction of environmental governance

In order to reduce carbon emissions and improve environmental governance, the paper discusses the interactive forms of environmental regulation based on the two-regime spatial Durbin model. The effects of environmental regulation and interactive behavior of environmental regulation on carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions are explored by using the spatial lag of X (SLX) model. It is found that there is a diversified competitive behavior in the enforcement of environmental regulation among local governments in China. And the diversified competitive behavior results in the nearby transfer of pollution, which increases local CO₂ emissions. In addition, there is an inverted "U" curve between environmental regulation and CO₂ emissions, and China is still in the "green paradox" stage. Furthermore, it is found that the environmental regulation mainly affects CO₂ emissions through industrial structure and technological progress. Also, there are differences in the spatial spillover effect of environmental regulation due to the existence of regional heterogeneity, and its impact on CO₂ is particularly significant in the western region. The findings indicate that the central government should strengthen targeted supervision and adaptive incentives for local governments to implement environmental regulation so that joint emission reduction can be promoted.     

An Integrated Assessment Model for Helping the United States Sea Scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) Fishery Plan Ahead for Ocean Acidification and Warming

Ocean acidification, the progressive change in ocean chemistry caused by uptake of atmospheric CO₂, is likely to affect some marine resources negatively, including shellfish. The Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) supports one of the most economically important single-species commercial fisheries in the United States. Careful management appears to be the most powerful short-term factor affecting scallop populations, but in the coming decades scallops will be increasingly influenced by global environmental changes such as ocean warming and ocean acidification. In this paper, we describe an integrated assessment model (IAM) that numerically simulates oceanographic, population dynamic, and socioeconomic relationships for the U.S. commercial sea scallop fishery. Our primary goal is to enrich resource management deliberations by offering both short- and long-term insight into the system and generating detailed policy-relevant information about the relative effects of ocean acidification, temperature rise, fishing pressure, and socioeconomic factors on the fishery using a simplified model system. Starting with relationships and data used now for sea scallop fishery management, the model adds socioeconomic decision making based on static economic theory and includes ocean biogeochemical change resulting from CO₂ emissions. The model skillfully reproduces scallop population dynamics, market dynamics, and seawater carbonate chemistry since 2000. It indicates sea scallop harvests could decline substantially by 2050 under RCP 8.5 CO₂ emissions and current harvest rules, assuming that ocean acidification affects P. magellanicus by decreasing recruitment and slowing growth, and that ocean warming increases growth. Future work will explore different economic and management scenarios and test how potential impacts of ocean acidification on other scallop biological parameters may influence the social-ecological system. Future empirical work on the effect of ocean acidification on sea scallops is also needed.