Elephants caught in the middle: impacts of war, fences and people on elephant distribution and abundance in the Caprivi Strip, Namibia

We conducted wet [26 March–4 April 2003 (Apr03)] and dry [1–8 November 2005 (Nov05)] season aerial surveys of African elephants ( Loxodonta africana Blumenbach) in the Caprivi Strip, Namibia to provide an updated status report on elephant numbers and distribution and assist with a historical analysis of elephant distribution and abundance in the Caprivi Strip. During the wet season when water was available in seasonal pans, elephants were widely distributed throughout the survey area. In contrast, during the dry season, a majority of elephant herds occurred within 30 km of the perennial Kwando, Linyanti and Okavango rivers and few herds occurred within the West Caprivi Game Reserve where water in the seasonal pans was limited. We estimated 5318 elephants for the 7731-km² survey area (0.71 elephants km⁻²) for the Apr03 wet season survey and 6474 elephants for the 8597-km² survey area (0.75 elephants km⁻²) for the Nov05 dry season survey. Based on our aerial surveys and reports of elephant numbers and distribution from historical aerial surveys and telemetry studies, civil war, veterinary fences and human activities appear to have effected changes in African elephant abundance, distribution and movements in the Caprivi Strip, Namibia since 1988 when the first comprehensive aerial surveys were conducted.     

Comparison of sample and total counts of elephant and buffalo in Masai Mara, Kenya

Both aerial transect sample counts and total counts of elephant and buffalo were conducted in the study area during the wet season. The results from the two counting methods were tested for significant difference. The test showed that the results were not significantly different for both the elephant ( P > 0.05) and buffalo ( P > 0.05).     

Population status and habitat preference of Soemmerring’s gazelle in Alledeghi Wildlife Reserve,Eastern Ethiopia

This study was undertaken to determine the current population size, structure and habitat preference of Soemmerring's gazelle [Nanger soemmerringii (Cretzschmar 1828)] in the Alledeghi Wildlife Reserve, NE Ethiopia. Animals were counted, both during dry and wet seasons, along 12 line transects each in three habitat types (grassland, tree‐scattered grassland and bushland) in 2015/16. Habitat type had nonsignificant effect on mean population density of Soemmerring's gazelle, but wet season mean density was significantly higher than dry season mean density. Estimated weighted mean (±95% CI) population density of the species in the reserve was 1.90 (±0.17) and 5.99 (±0.370) individuals/km² during the dry and wet seasons, respectively. Total population size of the species in the Alledeghi Wildlife Reserve was estimated at 826 ± 77 and 2,562 ± 158 individuals during the dry and wet seasons, respectively. Over half of the total population of Soemmerring's gazelle was represented by adult females during both seasons. Seasonal habitat preference of Soemmerring's gazelle was statistically significant, with greater preference for grassland habitat during wet season and for bushland habitat during dry season. In conclusion, this study has provided valuable data that will be used as a baseline for future population monitoring.     

Distribution of savannah elephants (Loxodonta africana africana Blumenbach 1797) within Nazinga game ranch,Southern Burkina Faso

We tested the hypothesis that elephant distribution inside the Nazinga Game Ranch (Southern Burkina Faso) during the wet season is influenced by villages outside, while in the dry season elephants are restricted only by water. Occupancy was evaluated by recording elephant dung‐piles on 54 line transects in each of three seasons: wet 2006, dry 2007 and dry 2008. We measured the distance of each transect from nearest villages, nearest permanent water sources, nearest guard posts and tourist camps. The results were unexpected: elephant occupancy in the wet season was independent of villages but influenced by poaching, while their occupancy in both dry seasons was determined by the proximity of villages as well as water. In the dry season, elephants were attracted to villages by grain stores and fruiting trees. There has been a dramatic shift in the dry season distribution of elephants, and consequently in browsing pressure, over the last two decades. We suggest that this change is a consequence of the expansion of human activities outside the ranch. This study shows that the effects of growing human disturbance on elephant populations in small protected areas are not predictable. Correcting for spatial autocorrelation had a negligible effect upon the models.     

The numbers and distribution of large mammals in Ruaha National Park,Tanzania*

Two aerial sample counts were carried out in Ruaha National Park, Tanzania, in the dry season of 1972 and the wet season of 1973. Population estimates of elephant, buffalo and other large mammals were made, and trend surface analysis was used to identify the basic gradients and contours of density, diversity and biomass within the Park. A cluster analysis, based on similarities between principal component scores, and validated by a multiple discriminant analysis, produced a classification of the Park into three Regions which differed significantly in densities, diversity and biomass. Ruaha Park carries year round a high density of elephants (1–7 km^-8). Seasonal movements into and out of the Park were not found, although movements within and between Regions could be detected.     

Seasonal habitat use by Elephants (Loxodonta africana) in the Mole National Park of Ghana

To avoid unnecessary waste of limited resources and to help prioritize areas for conservation efforts, this study aimed to provide information on habitat use by elephants between the wet and dry seasons in the Mole National Park (MNP) of Ghana. We compiled coordinates of 516 locations of elephants’ encounters, 256 for dry season and 260 for wet season. Using nine predictor variables, we modeled the probability of elephant's distribution in MNP. We threshold the models to “suitable” and “nonsuitable” regions of habitat use using the equal training sensitivity and specificity values of 0.177 and 0.181 for the dry and wet seasons, respectively. Accuracy assessment of our models revealed a sensitivity score of 0.909 and 0.974, and a specificity of 0.579 and 0.753 for the dry and wet seasons, respectively. A TSS of 0.488 was also recorded for the dry season and 0.727 for the wet season indicating a good model agreement. Our model predicts habitat use to be confined to the southern portion of MNP due to elevation difference and a relatively steep slope that separates the northern regions of the park from the south. Regions of habitat use for the wet season were 856 km² and reduced significantly to 547.68 km² in the dry season. We observed significant overlap (327.24 km²) in habitat use regions between the wet and dry seasons (Schoener's D = 0.922 and Hellinger's‐based I = 0.991). DEM, proximity to waterholes, and saltlicks were identified as the key variables that contributed to the prediction. We recommend construction of temporal camps in regions of habitat use that are far from the headquarters area for effective management of elephants. Also, an increase in water point's density around the headquarters areas and selected dry areas of the park will further decrease elephant's range and hence a relatively less resource use in monitoring and patrols.     

The ranging patterns of elephants in Marsabit protected area,Kenya: the use of satellite‐linked GPS collars

We investigated the ranging patterns of elephants in the Marsabit protected area, north eastern Kenya, to ascertain the range of bachelor and female family herds in different seasons, and to identify corridor and noncorridor areas. Data were acquired for five bachelor and four female family herds equipped with satellite‐linked geographical positioning system collars, and monitored from December 2005 to December 2007. Distinct dry (about 260 km²) and wet seasons (about 910 km²) ranges were observed, with connecting corridors (north‐eastern corridor: about 90 km long, about 2‐7 km wide; southern corridors: about 10‐20 km long, about 2‐3 km wide). The dry season range corresponded with Marsabit evergreen forest, while the wet season range matched with dry deciduous lowland shrubs. The ranging elephants moved at speed of about 0.2‐20 kmh^?1. Bachelor herds moved faster than female family herds. Elephants moved fast during the intermediate and wet seasons than during the dry season. The speed of ranging elephants was over 1 kmh^?1 in the corridor areas and about 0.2 to less than 1 kmh^?1 in the non‐corridor areas. Expansion of settlements towards corridor areas needs to be controlled to avoid future blocking of connectivity between wet and dry season elephant ranges.     

Relationship between group dynamics and spatial distribution of African elephants in a semi‐arid environment

Group dynamics related to distribution of African elephants in the semi‐arid environment of Tsavo East National Park, Kenya was studied between 2007 and 2010. I examined the seasonal distribution of lone bulls, bull groups, family units and mixed groups and group size. Lone bulls were widely distributed in the dry season and localized in the wet season, whereas bull groups were localized in both seasons. On average bull group size did not differ with seasons or areas, but larger groups were observed in preferred areas in the dry season. Family units were widely distributed in the dry season and localized in the wet season, whereas mixed groups were localized in both seasons. Although family units and mixed groups tended to be large in all areas in the wet season, large groups were also observed in the dry season. Large family units were widely distributed, whereas large mixed groups were localized. The relationship between group dynamics and distribution was attributed to the combination of social, ecological and poaching factors. This study provided insight into distribution patterns that can be applied to the security of the Tsavo elephant population.     

北部湾近岸海域浮游动物群落结构特征及季节变化

2017年3月(枯水期)、7月(丰水期)和10月(平水期)分别对北部湾近岸海域44个站位的浮游动物进行了调查。结果共检出浮游动物251种和浮游幼体24类,其中枯水期138种(类),丰水期134种(类),平水期191种(类),分属河口低盐、近岸暖温、近岸暖水和外海暖水4个生态类群。优势种9种,其中枯水期以原生动物占绝对优势,丰水期以枝角类、桡足类和浮游幼体类占优势,平水期以十足类和浮游幼体类占优势。浮游动物丰度年均值为789.95个/m~3,呈现出枯水期(1540.19个/m~3)明显高于平水期(457.58个/m~3)和丰水期(372.08个/m~3)的季节变化特征;浮游动物生物量年均值为252.40 mg/m~3,生物量的季节变化与丰度变化不一致,平水期生物量(385.01 mg/m~3)明显高于枯水期(221.41 mg/m~3)和丰水期(150.78 mg/m~3)。多样性指数平水期最高(3.16),丰水期(2.35)次之,枯水期(2.22)最低。枯水期和丰水期北部湾近岸海域浮游动物生物量和丰度水平分布特征基本呈现自河口近岸海域向外海递增的趋势,平水期浮游动物生物量与丰度的空间分布较为均匀。浮游动物的种类组成结构以及优势种的演替对浮游动物的生物量和丰度季节变化有着重要的决定作用。径流导致的悬浮物、营养盐等的变化可能是决定北部湾近岸海域浮游动物生物量和丰度空间分布的主要因素。研究还表明与其他海湾相比,北部湾近岸海域浮游动物群落结构趋于小型化,需加大关注。     

Current population estimate and distribution of the African buffalo in Chebera Churchura National Park,Ethiopia

An investigation into the population status and distribution of the African buffalo (Syncerus caffer Sparrman, 1779) in Chebera Churchura National Park, Ethiopia, was carried out during the wet and dry seasons of 2012–2015. This study tested the hypothesis that buffalo would demonstrate seasonal habitat preferences and changes in population density. Sample counts were carried out in an area of 1215 km². The estimated buffalo population was 5193 individuals, with the population density of 4.3/km². The population showed an increase from 2617 to 5194 individuals during 2006–2015. Males comprised 42.6%, while females 46.7% of the population. Age structure was dominated by adults, which constituted 52.5% of the total population. Subadults comprised 24.3% and young 12.4% of the population. Larger herds of up to 30 individuals were observed during the wet season, and smaller herds of a minimum of four individuals were seen during the dry season. The mean herd sizes during the wet and dry seasons were 29.59 and 16.95, respectively. They were observed more in the riverine vegetation types during the dry season. Of the total, 57.6% utilized riverine habitat during the dry season, whereas 39.8% used this habitat during the wet season. Relative abundance of food sources, green vegetation cover and availability of water were the major factors governing their distribution in the present study area.     

Population status and structure of mountain nyala in the Bale Mountains National Park, Ethiopia

The study on the population status and structure of mountain nyala (Tragelaphus buxtoni) was carried out in the Bale Mountains National Park, Ethiopia during the wet and dry seasons of 2000/2001. Total counts were carried out in an area of 13.1 km². The count ranged between 682 and 732 individuals. Females comprised 62.9% while males 27.4%. The calf ratio was 9.7%. The group structure of the animals varied with season. Large herds were frequently observed during the wet season and smaller groups during the dry season. Group size changed seasonally. In both seasons, 7–12 individuals were the frequent group size formation. The maximum group (62) was observed during the wet season. The population trend of the animal from 1975 to 1990 indicated a recovery and increase. But between 1990 and 1995 the population showed a continuous and steep decline. However, between 1995 and 2000 the population trend showed a better condition when compared with the previous years.     

Estimating brocket deer (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Mazama gouazoubira</Emphasis> and <Emphasis Type="Italic">M. americana</Emphasis>) abundance by dung pellet counts and other indices in seasonal Chiquitano forest habitats of Santa Cruz,Bolivia

We assessed dung and track counts for indexing brocket deer abundance in seasonal habitats on a ranch where hunting is not practiced in the Bolivian lowlands. Surveys were replicated along four 10-km trails (totaling 180 km in the wet season and 90 km in the dry season) through four semideciduous forest habitats. Dung pellets and tracks were identified as belonging to Mazama gouazoubira or M. americana by size and shape. Pellet groups lasted more than 1 month during the dry season, but decayed within 1–2 weeks in the wet season. Mean density estimates based on dung counts varied widely between seasons for gray brockets (from 6.77±4.0 to 30.57±23.5 ind/km²; mean±SD) but not for reds (from 3.52±4.6 to 6.98±7.2 ind/km²). These values were probably too high due to underestimation of daily deposition rate, and were reduced during the wet season because of dung decay. We found consistently more dung in the dry season and more tracks in the wet season. Sightings of red brockets were too few for line-transect analysis (n=6), but those of gray brockets (n=42) produced an overall estimate of 5.6 ind/km² (95% CI=3.5–9.0 ind/km²). Different estimates indicated that gray brockets were more abundant than reds in all situations, except perhaps in the riverine forest. Environmental factors affected these indices of abundance differently, and while we recommend the use of dung counts in dry-season scenarios, we think that index reliability should be assessed locally before conducting population comparisons.     

Comparison of water level and eutrophication indicators during the wet and dry period in a eutrophic urban lake

Eutrophication modifies lakes' ecological balances and threatens its viability. To date, eutrophication management strategies have been related to nutrient reduction in the lakes' water column. However, nutrient reduction strategies are complicated by the variations of the lake's water level, nutrient concentration, and eutrophication symptom, which are primarily known to be influenced by the local rainfall patterns. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the variability of water level, total phosphorus, and total chlorophyll-a concentrations in Slim River Lake during wet and dry seasons. In this study, water sampling and depth measurements were carried out from six sampling points for 1 year. Water samples were used to quantify total phosphorus and total chlorophyll-a. Our results showed that mean water levels in the studied lake ranged from 1.36 m to 5.46 m in the wet season and from 1.31 m to 5.41 m in the dry season, which implicated no significant difference (p > .05) between seasons in most sampling points. Total phosphorus present at concentrations exceeding 10 mg/L and showed small variations between wet and dry seasons. Mean total phosphorus concentrations varied from 10.55 mg/L to 26.66 mg/L in the wet season and 10.77 mg/L to 21.76 mg/L in the dry season and showed no significant difference between seasons. In addition, mean chlorophyll-a concentrations ranged from 14.35 mg/m³ to 180.13 mg/m³ and from 14.15 mg/m³ to 39.27 mg/m³ in wet and dry seasons, respectively. Chlorophyll-a concentrations showed significant differences (p < .05) between seasons in the deepest sampling points in the lake. The observed seasonal variations in total chlorophyll-a suggest the importance of algae monitoring during the wet season even when no apparent surge of phosphorus concentration is detected.     

Marsh Deer (Blastocerus dichotomus) Distribution as a Function of Floods in the Pantanal Wetland,Brazil

The marsh deer (Blastocerus dichotomus, Cervidae) inhabits floodplains and marshlands of South America and is threatened with extinction. We conducted two aerial surveys in the central southern region of the Pantanal to evaluate population distribution at the end of the dry season and the peak of the flooding season. Our results show an aggregated distribution during the dry season and a relatively diffused distribution in the flooding season. Population density estimates are 0.382 ± 0.362 deer/km2 in the dry season, and 0.395 ± 0.144 deer/km2 in the flooding season. Population size remained essentially unchanged between the seasons. In the study area, the marsh deer moved up to 20 km between the dry and flooding seasons. The design of protected areas should consider migration distances to offer enough area to protect marsh deer populations throughout the year.     

The numbers and distribution of buffalo in the Ruwenzori National Park*, Uganda

The buffalo (Syncerus coffer (Sparrman)) in the Ruwenzori National Park, Uganda were censused by means of aerial survey. Details of earlier censuses of buffalo from the air are given. Herds were located by flying along flight lines 1–6 km apart at a height of 300 m above ground. Buffalo in small herds and in bachelor groups containing less than thirty animals were counted individually but most herds were photographed and the number of buffalo counted from the prints. Two full photographic counts were made in November 1968 and December 1969 and subsequently, counts of herds only were made four times a year during each wet and dry season. The total numbers of buffalo were estimated from the herd counts on the basis of the mean herd size and percentage of bachelors recorded earlier. A total of 17 835 buffalo, comprising 16 749 in 165 herds and 1086 bachelor bulls, was recorded in 1968 and 18 040 buffalo made up of 17 141 in 162 herds and 899 bachelors were counted in 1969. The mean herd size was 101-5 in 1968 and 105-8 in 1969 with bachelors representing 6-1% and 5-0% of the totals in 1968 and 1969 respectively. The mean size of the bachelor groups was 4–7 and 3-3 in 1968 and 1969 respectively. The density of the buffalo was the same each year at twelve animals per sq. km. If only the preferred habitat is considered, the density becomes thirty-eight buffalo per sq. km. The mean areas occupied by a single herd were 9-4 and 9-6 sq. km in 1968 and 1969 respectively. The mean area of preferred habitat used by one herd was 2–9 sq. km each year. It is concluded that herd counts are not a satisfactory method for assessing the total buffalo population although they have value as indices, provided the same observer is used. However, they do suggest in the present work that there is a slight but definite seasonal movement of buffalo into forested areas or towards permanent water during the dry season.     

Elephant spatial use in wet and dry savannas of southern Africa

The influence of elephants on woody vegetation cover varies from place to place. In part this may be due to the way elephants utilize space across landscapes and within their home ranges in response to the availability and distribution of food. We used location data from 18 cows at six study sites across an east to west rainfall gradient in southern Africa to test whether wet- and dry-season home-range sizes, evenness of space use within seasonal home ranges and range overlap between seasons and between years, differed between wet and dry savannas. We then tested whether the quantity, distribution and seasonal stability in vegetation productivity, a coarse measure of food for elephants, explained differences. Elephants in wet savannas had smaller wet- and dry-season home ranges and also returned to a higher proportion of previously visited grid cells between seasons and between years than elephants living in dry savannas. Wet-season home-range sizes were explained by seasonal vegetation productivity while dry-season home-range sizes were explained by heterogeneity in the distribution of vegetation productivity. The influence of the latter on dry-season home ranges differed among structural vegetation classes. Range overlap between seasons and between years was related to inter-seasonal and inter-annual stability in vegetation productivity, respectively. Evenness of elephant spatial use within home ranges did not differ between savanna types, but it was explained by seasonal vegetation productivity and heterogeneity in the distribution of vegetation productivity during the wet season. Differences in elephant spatial use patterns between wet and dry savannas according to vegetation structure and season may need to be included in the development of site-specific objectives and management approaches for African elephants.     

Population structure and ecology of the African buffalo (Syncerus caffer Sparrman, 1779) in Chebera Churchura National Park,Ethiopia

An investigation of population structure and ecology of the African buffalo (Syncerus caffer Sparrman, 1779) was carried out in the Chebera Churchura National Park, Ethiopia during the wet and dry seasons of 2005–2006. Sample counts of African buffaloes were carried out in an area of 1,215 km². The estimated population of buffalo was 2,617 individuals. Males comprised 35.0%, while females 52.8% of the population. The remaining 12% of the population was young of both sexes and of all ages of unknown sex. It was difficult to categorize the young into male and female in the field, as their primary sexual characteristics were not easily visible. Male to female sex ratio was 1.00 : 1.51. Age structure was dominated by adults, which constituted 72.06% of the total population. Subadults comprised 22.02%, and young accounted for 5.9% of the population. Larger herds of up to 27 individuals were observed during the wet season and smaller herds of eight individuals during the dry season. The mean herd size during wet and dry seasons was 24.81 and 7.77, respectively. The African buffaloes were distributed in four habitat types such as grasslands, woodlands, montane forests and riverine habitat in the study area. They were observed more in the riverine vegetation types during the dry season. Relative abundance of food resources, green vegetation cover and water availability in the area were the major factors governing their distribution in the present study area. They spent a greater proportion of the time in feeding and resting/ruminating activities. On the average, 49.7% of the daytime was spent in feeding, and 38.75% of the day on resting (lying down and standing). Morning and the late afternoon activity peaks were more pronounced during the dry season than the wet season.     

Effects of wet and dry seasons on the aquatic bacterial community structure of the Three Gorges Reservoir

This study investigated effects of wet and dry seasons on the bacterial community structure of the Three Gorges Reservoir by using denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis analysis of the PCR-amplified bacterial 16S rRNA gene. Bacterial diversity, as determined by the Shannon index, the Simpson’s index, and the Richness, dramatically changed in between the dry and wet seasons. The changes in the diversity and relative abundance of microbial populations among the five sites during the wet season have become more marked than those observed during the dry season. Furthermore, cluster analysis also showed these changes. The phylogenetic analysis indicated that Betaproteobacteria is the dominant population, followed by Actinobacterium, in both the wet season and dry season. The water quality parameters were quite stable at all five sites during the same season but noticeably varied from season to season. Canonical correspondence analysis also indicated that the changes in the bacterial community composition were primarily correlated with the variations in temperature, transparency, and the concentrations of NH₄ ⁺-N. Slight changes in bacterial community composition among the five sites during the dry season were correlated with different environments. However, during the wet season, major changes were correlated not only with environments, but also it may be associated with the bacterial populations from the surrounding areas and tributaries of the Three Gorges Reservoir.     

Spatiotemporal Variation and the Role of Wildlife in Seasonal Water Quality Declines in the Chobe River,Botswana

Sustainable management of dryland river systems is often complicated by extreme variability of precipitation in time and space, especially across large catchment areas. Understanding regional water quality changes in southern African dryland rivers and wetland systems is especially important because of their high subsistence value and provision of ecosystem services essential to both public and animal health. We quantified seasonal variation of Escherichia coli (E. coli) and Total Suspended Solids (TSS) in the Chobe River using spatiotemporal and geostatistical modeling of water quality time series data collected along a transect spanning a mosaic of protected, urban, and developing urban land use. We found significant relationships in the dry season between E. coli concentrations and protected land use (p = 0.0009), floodplain habitat (p = 0.016), and fecal counts from elephant (p = 0.017) and other wildlife (p = 0.001). Dry season fecal loading by both elephant (p = 0.029) and other wildlife (p = 0.006) was also an important predictor of early wet season E. coli concentrations. Locations of high E. coli concentrations likewise showed close spatial agreement with estimates of wildlife biomass derived from aerial survey data. In contrast to the dry season, wet season bacterial water quality patterns were associated only with TSS (p<0.0001), suggesting storm water and sediment runoff significantly influence E. coli loads. Our data suggest that wildlife populations, and elephants in particular, can significantly modify river water quality patterns. Loss of habitat and limitation of wildlife access to perennial rivers and floodplains in water-restricted regions may increase the impact of species on surface water resources. Our findings have important implications to land use planning in southern Africa’s dryland river ecosystems.     

Hotspot elephant‐poaching areas in the Eastern Selous Game Reserve,Tanzania

Elephant poaching is a significant problem in many parts of Africa, including Tanzania. This study identifies areas within the Eastern Selous Game Reserve (ESGR) that are at a higher risk of elephant poaching for the illegal ivory trade. We obtained data on the distribution of poached elephants and the seasons of poaching from 2008 to 2013 from the elephant mortality database of the Selous Game Reserve in the eastern and north‐eastern sectors. The incidences of poaching were higher during the wet season. The hot spots of elephant poaching were observed on the edges of the ESGR. This finding was attributed to the involvement of local people adjacent to the ESGR in poaching activities due to a lack of economic opportunities. This study will serve as a tool to guide and inform reserve managers involved in wildlife conservation in Tanzania. Recommended solutions to address the problem of elephant poaching are improved economic opportunities for local people, enhanced conservation education and research and improved governance and law enforcement.