Strong evidence for changing fish reproductive phenology under climate warming on the Tibetan Plateau

Phenological responses to climate change have been widely observed and have profound and lasting effects on ecosystems and biodiversity. However, compared to terrestrial ecosystems, the long‐term effects of climate change on species’ phenology are poorly understood in aquatic ecosystems. Understanding the long‐term changes in fish reproductive phenology is essential for predicting population dynamics and for informing management strategies, but is currently hampered by the requirement for intensive field observations and larval identification. In this study, a very low‐frequency sampling of juveniles and adults combined with otolith measurements (long axis length of the first annulus; LAFA) of an endemic Tibetan Plateau fish (Gymnocypris selincuoensis) was used to examine changes in reproductive phenology associated with climate changes from the 1970s to 2000s. Assigning individual fish to their appropriate calendar year class was assisted by dendrochronological methods (crossdating). The results demonstrated that LAFA was significantly and positively associated with temperature and growing season length. To separate the effects of temperature and the growing season length on LAFA growth, measurements of larval otoliths from different sites were conducted and revealed that daily increment additions were the main contributor (46.3%), while temperature contributed less (12.0%). Using constructed water‐air temperature relationships and historical air temperature records, we found that the reproductive phenology of G. selincuoensis was strongly advanced in the spring during the 1970s and 1990s, while the increased growing season length in the 2000s was mainly due to a delayed onset of winter. The reproductive phenology of G. selincuoensis advanced 2.9 days per decade on average from the 1970s to 2000s, and may have effects on recruitment success and population dynamics of this species and other biota in the ecosystem via the food web. The methods used in this study are applicable for studying reproductive phenological changes across a wide range of species and ecosystems.     

Phenological responses of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Ulmus pumila</Emphasis> (Siberian Elm) to climate change in the temperate zone of China

Using Ulmus pumila (Siberian Elm) leaf unfolding and leaf fall phenological data from 46 stations in the temperate zone of China for the period 1986–2005, we detected linear trends in both start and end dates and length of the growing season. Moreover, we defined the optimum length period during which daily mean temperature affects the growing season start and end dates most markedly at each station in order to more precisely and rationally identify responses of the growing season to temperature. On average, the growing season start date advanced significantly at a rate of −4.0 days per decade, whereas the growing season end date was delayed significantly at a rate of 2.2 days per decade and the growing season length was prolonged significantly at a rate of 6.5 days per decade across the temperate zone of China. Thus, the growing season extension was induced mainly by the advancement of the start date. At individual stations, linear trends of the start date correlate negatively with linear trends of spring temperature during the optimum length period, namely, the quicker the spring temperature increased at a station, the quicker the start date advanced. With respect to growing season response to interannual temperature variation, a 1°C increase in spring temperature during the optimum length period may induce an advancement of 2.8 days in the start date of the growing season, whereas a 1°C increase in autumn temperature during the optimum length period may cause a delay of 2.1 days in the end date of the growing season, and a 1°C increase in annual mean temperature may result in a lengthening of the growing season of 9 days across the temperate zone of China. Therefore, the response of the start date to temperature is more sensitive than the response of the end date. At individual stations, the sensitivity of growing season response to temperature depends obviously on local thermal conditions, namely, either the negative response of the start date or the positive response of the end date and growing season length to temperature was stronger at warmer locations than at colder locations. Thus, future regional climate warming may enhance the sensitivity of plant phenological response to temperature, especially in colder regions.     

Landscape controls on the timing of spring,autumn, and growing season length in mid‐Atlantic forests

The timing of spring leaf development, trajectories of summer leaf area, and the timing of autumn senescence have profound impacts to the water, carbon, and energy balance of ecosystems, and are likely influenced by global climate change. Limited field‐based and remote‐sensing observations have suggested complex spatial patterns related to geographic features that influence climate. However, much of this variability occurs at spatial scales that inhibit a detailed understanding of even the dominant drivers. Recognizing these limitations, we used nonlinear inverse modeling of medium‐resolution remote sensing data, organized by day of year, to explore the influence of climate‐related landscape factors on the timing of spring and autumn leaf‐area trajectories in mid‐Atlantic, USA forests. We also examined the extent to which declining summer greenness (greendown) degrades the precision and accuracy of observations of autumn offset of greenness. Of the dominant drivers of landscape phenology, elevation was the strongest, explaining up to 70% of the spatial variation in the onset of greenness. Urban land cover was second in importance, influencing spring onset and autumn offset to a distance of 32 km from large cities. Distance to tidal water also influenced phenological timing, but only within ~5 km of shorelines. Additionally, we observed that (i) growing season length unexpectedly increases with increasing elevation at elevations below 275 m; (ii) along gradients in urban land cover, timing of autumn offset has a stronger effect on growing season length than does timing of spring onset; and (iii) summer greendown introduces bias and uncertainty into observations of the autumn offset of greenness. These results demonstrate the power of medium grain analyses of landscape‐scale phenology for understanding environmental controls on growing season length, and predicting how these might be affected by climate change.     

Seasonal growth differences of larval Hyporhamphus picarti (Hemiramphidae) in the Sine Saloum estuary,Senegal

The African halfbeak Hyporhamphus picarti (Hemiramphidae) is one of the most abundant species within the ichthyoplankton community of the Sine Saloum estuary (Senegal). A year‐round occurrence of larvae suggests that the Sine Saloum is an important spawning habitat for this species. Annual fluctuations in water temperature, however, can have severe impacts on the survival probabilities of marine fish larvae. To determine whether temperature has an effect on the growth of H. picarti during its larval development, larval age at length and somatic growth rates were investigated for two contrasting spawning seasons in 2014: February (cold season, 20.8°C) and June (warm season, 26.4°C). In both months H. picarti larvae were sampled at the mouth of the Saloum River using neuston nets. Sagittal otoliths’ increments were counted to estimate the larva age at a given standard length (SL). The age of larvae ranged between 2 and 22 days, with SL of 3.86–21.68 mm, respectively. In order to describe larval age at length during the contrasting spawning seasons, two distinctive Gompertz functions were applied. Accordingly, specimens sampled in June (0.94 ± 0.17 mm per day) exhibited significantly higher somatic growth rates than those sampled in February (0.60 ± 0.06 mm per day). These findings suggest that water temperature is an important factor influencing larval growth in H. picarti. Information concerning the early life stages of H. picarti are scarce and the results of the present study may contribute to a better understanding of the species’ biology and ecology.     

Peak season plant activity shift towards spring is reflected by increasing carbon uptake by extratropical ecosystems

Climate change is lengthening the growing season of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical terrestrial ecosystems, but little is known regarding the timing and dynamics of the peak season of plant activity. Here, we use 34‐year satellite normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) observations and atmospheric CO₂ concentration and δ¹³C isotope measurements at Point Barrow (Alaska, USA, 71°N) to study the dynamics of the peak of season (POS) of plant activity. Averaged across extratropical (>23°N) non‐evergreen‐dominated pixels, NDVI data show that the POS has advanced by 1.2 ± 0.6 days per decade in response to the spring‐ward shifts of the start (1.0 ± 0.8 days per decade) and end (1.5 ± 1.0 days per decade) of peak activity, and the earlier onset of the start of growing season (1.4 ± 0.8 days per decade), while POS maximum NDVI value increased by 7.8 ± 1.8% for 1982–2015. Similarly, the peak day of carbon uptake, based on calculations from atmospheric CO₂ concentration and δ¹³C data, is advancing by 2.5 ± 2.6 and 4.3 ± 2.9 days per decade, respectively. POS maximum NDVI value shows strong negative relationships (p < .01) with the earlier onset of the start of growing season and POS days. Given that the maximum solar irradiance and day length occur before the average POS day, the earlier occurrence of peak plant activity results in increased plant productivity. Both the advancing POS day and increasing POS vegetation greenness are consistent with the shifting peak productivity towards spring and the increasing annual maximum values of gross and net ecosystem productivity simulated by coupled Earth system models. Our results further indicate that the decline in autumn NDVI is contributing the most to the overall browning of the northern high latitudes (>50°N) since 2011. The spring‐ward shift of peak season plant activity is expected to disrupt the synchrony of biotic interaction and exert strong biophysical feedbacks on climate by modifying the surface albedo and energy budget.     

Airborne pine (Pinus spp.) pollen in the atmosphere of Perugia (Central Italy): Behaviour of pollination in the two last decades

The phenology of many species, which grow intemperate climate, is principally regulated bythe temperature and the plants respond withvariations in the beginning, in the durationand in the intensity of the various phenophasestowards every climate change. We have analysedthe data of Pinus pollination in Perugia,Central Italy, during last 2 decades(1982–2001), in a period during which theannual mean temperature significantly increasedby about 0.8 °C.The pine pollination started, on average,between the end of March and mid-April andended in the last days of June, with a meanduration of 65 days. The start dates showed asignificant negative correlation with theaverage air temperature in March andsignificant trends towards an earlier beginningof pollination by 18 days (–0.9 day/year) and ashorter duration of the pollen season by 10days (–0.6 day/year) were found over thestudied period. Moreover, the trend of thedaily pollen counts showed, on average, analmost normal distribution, but the analysis ofeach yearly trend revealed significantdifferences correlated with the meantemperature during the pollen season. Theseobserved trends in pine pollination suggest theuse of aerobiological monitoring of thisairborne pollen as indicator of temperaturechange in Central Italy over a relatively longperiod.     

Has an extending growing season any effect on the radial growth of Smith fir at the timberline on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau?

The growing season of high-elevation forests will presumably lengthen in response to warming. However, little is known about long-term effects of an extended growing season, particularly on the Tibetan Plateau. Based on a strong correlation between the daily mean temperatures at an automatic weather station at timberline (4,390 m a.s.l.) in the Sygera Mts., recorded since 2007, and at the meteorological station at Nyingchi (3,000 m a.s.l.), recorded since 1960, we modeled the variation in daily mean temperature at the timberline back to 1960. The onset and end of the growing season at the timberline were determined by the first and the last day within a year when the mean daily air temperature equals or exceeds, respectively falls below, +5 °C for at least 5 days. From 1960 to 2010, the estimated length of the growing season at the timberline has significantly extended by 21.2 days, resulting mainly from a significant delay of its end (by 14.6 days) rather than from an earlier onset (by 6.6 days). Nevertheless, the variation of the length of the growing season did not exhibit any significant effect on the radial growth of Smith fir at the timberlines. Thus, tree-ring width is still a reliable proxy for summer temperature.     

Single and dual annual growing seasons in the tellinid bivalve Macoma balthica (L.)

Seasonal patterns of changes in length and weight during their second year of life were studied in two intertidal populations of the tellinid bivalve Macoma balthica (L.), viz. in The Netherlands (Wadden Sea) and in France (Seine estuary). The Wadden Sea population showed a single and short annual period of growth in spring (March through June), followed by a long annual period of nearly stagnant length growth and loss of weight of the soft parts. The Seine population started to grow earlier in the year (February), likewise retarded growth in summer, but restarted in autumn, thus showing a dual annual growing season with periods of rapid gain of length and weight both during spring and in October.The timing and the presence and absence of a second annual growing season are discussed in relation to temperature and feeding conditions in the various habitats.     

Age‐mediation of tree‐growth responses to experimental warming in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau

The trajectory of tree‐growth response to climate warming may be related to attributes like tree age. However, age‐mediation of temperature sensitivity of tree growth has received little attention. This study aimed to determine how age affects tree growth in a future warmer world. In a 2‐year ecosystem warming experiment in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau of China, we explored the response of Qinghai spruce saplings at two life stages to two warming levels. Our results indicated a significant interaction between warming and age for sapling growth of Qinghai spruce. In high‐level warming scenario, the experiment increased growing season air temperatures by approximately 1.0°C and annual growing degree‐days by 38%. In response, warmed saplings lengthened the growing season by 10 days on average and increased the final shoot length to a maximum of 104% compared to control groups. Comparison of age classes revealed that old saplings exhibited significantly higher temperature sensitivity than young saplings. This performance may be caused by the differences in adaptive strategy to the asymmetric warming occurring during the whole day. Increased daytime temperature was expected to significantly enhance leaf photosynthesis, whereas lack of obvious nighttime warming would effectively restrict autotrophic respiration, thus resulting in the higher growth rate of old saplings compared with young saplings. Moreover, lack of nighttime warming rendered young saplings to be still in high stresses of freezing injury at low temperatures. These findings highlight the need for additional research on the effects of further climate anomalies on tree species during their ontogenetic processes.     

Patterns of growth in the early life history of the round herring Etrumeus teres

Early life history traits of young‐of‐the‐year (YOY) round herring Etrumeus teres, caught in Tosa Bay (south‐western Japan), were studied using otolith microstructure analysis for the 2000–2003 year classes. Hatch dates ranged from October to March, and were restricted to either autumn or winter within each year class. YOY ranged from 50 to 123 mm total length (L_T) and from 57 to 192 days in age. The relationship of L_T to otolith radius was linear. Individual growth rates (G_I) were backcalculated between the 70th and 150th days (the size range of most YOY caught) using the biological intercept method. G_I ranged from 0·3 to 1·4 mm day^?1 and decreased in most cases as season progressed irrespective of year class, although G_I in winter cohorts were significantly higher than in autumn cohorts. Otolith growth rates (G_O) ranged from 2·13 to 12·25 μm day^?1 for autumn spawned YOY and from 3·12 to 12·41 μm day^?1 for YOY spawned in winter. The G_O trajectories followed three consistent patterns: (1) an increase in increment widths after first feeding through the second week of larval life, then (2) a plateau in increment spacing before increment widths increased again until reaching the maximum growth rate, followed by (3) a gradual decrease in increment widths until the end of the fifth month. The three stages occurred irrespective of spawning season, although YOY spawned in October and December had higher G_O during stages (1) and (2) than YOY spawned in February and March, whereas higher G_O was observed for late‐winter cohorts in stage (3). Otolith growth from YOY spawned in December and January showed an intermediate pattern between YOY hatched in the early autumn (October to December) and late winter (February to March). The G_O trajectories were cross‐matched to the calendar date to estimate time series of otolith growth rates (G_OTS) for each year. A parabolic trend was found with maximum G_OTS in autumn and spring and minimum values in winter. This trend was significantly correlated to daily sea surface temperature variations. The differences in otolith growth trajectories suggest that the otolith microstructure of E. teres may be used as a natural tag for identifying autumn and winter spawned cohorts.     

Grape harvest and yield responses to inter-annual changes in temperature and precipitation in an area of north-east Spain with a Mediterranean climate

This study presents an analysis of temperature and precipitation trends and their impact on grape harvests in the Penedès region (NE Spain). It includes analyses of maximum, minimum and mean daily temperatures (for both the growing and ripening seasons) and daily rainfall (for the hydrological year, the growing season and each phenological stage) for three observatories in the immediate area. We analysed a series of factors: beginning and end harvest dates; the day on which a given potential alcoholic degree was reached; and yield for several varieties of grape grown in the area in relation to climatic variables. Maximum temperatures increased at all the observatories, with greater values being recorded in recent years (1996–2009) than in previous decades (1960s–2000s): we observed increases in average growing season temperatures of 0.11°C per year for the period 1996–2009 vs 0.04°C per year for the period 1960–2009 at Vilafranca del Penedès. These temperature changes were due mainly to increases in maximum temperatures and an increase in the incidence of extreme heat (number of days with T > 30°C). Crop evapotranspiration also increased significantly during the same period. The Winkler index also increased, so the study area would correspond to region IV according to that climatic classification. There were no significant trends in annual rainfall but rainfall recorded between bloom and veraison decreased significantly at the three observatories, with the greatest decrease corresponding to the period 1996–2009. The dates on which harvests started and ended showed a continuous advance (of between −0.7 and −1.1 days per year, depending on the variety), which was significantly correlated with the average mean and maximum daily growing season temperatures (up to −7.68 days for 1°C increase). Winegrape yield was influenced by the estimated water deficit (crop evapotranspiration minus precipitation) in the bloom-veraison period; this value increased due to a reduction in precipitation and an increase in evapotranspiration. Yield may have been reduced by up to 30 kg/ha for each millimetre increase in the estimated water deficit. Under these conditions, new strategies need to be followed in this area in order to maintain grape quality and yield.     

Earlier and warmer springs increase cyanobacterial (Microcystis spp.) blooms in subtropical Lake Taihu,China

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Dynamics of seasonal growth in a long-lived southern hemisphere conifer are linked to early season temperature

Standard correlation approaches in dendroclimatology provide limited scope to elucidate differences between years in timing of growth initiation and cessation. In the Southern Hemisphere (SH), with relatively few long-term climate reconstructions, a clearer understanding of signals contained in ring width variation is of particular importance. In this study, we monitored growth in detail at two sites (low and high altitude) in Lagarostrobos franklinii (Huon pine) for five growing seasons. In concert, local environmental data were recorded, and cambial samples taken on several occasions. Season duration in Huon pine at low altitude lasted about six months, generally starting in September/October and ending in April. At higher altitude, season duration did not exceed about four months and generally started during November, ending in March. The shortest season and smallest rings were linked to cooler conditions compared to other years. On the other hand, an earlier growth onset in the 2011 growing season was evidently brought on by unusually warm conditions in late winter. Growth onset was linked to a running mean temperature of about 8.5 °C and 6.5 °C at the lower and higher altitude sites, respectively. While effects of limiting water on growth cessation were not universally clear, our results suggest that limiting water (during hotter, drier summers) may reduce growth rates, and precipitate earlier growth cessation.     

Growing season temperatures limit growth of loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) seedlings across a wide geographic transect

We grew potted loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) seedlings from a single provenance under well watered and fertilized conditions at four locations along a 610 km north–south transect that spanned most of the species range to examine how differences in the above-ground environment would affect growth rate, biomass partitioning and gas exchange characteristics. Across the transect there was an 8.7°C difference in average growing season temperature, and temperature proved to be the key environmental factor controlling growth rate. Biomass growth was strongly correlated with differences in mean growing season temperature (R ² = 0.97) and temperature sum (R ² = 0.92), but not with differences in mean daily photosynthetic photon flux density or mean daily vapor pressure deficit. Biomass partitioning between root and shoot was unchanged across sites. There was substantial thermal acclimation of leaf respiration, but not photosynthesis. In mid-summer, leaf respiration rates measured at 25°C ranged from 0.2 μmol m⁻² s⁻¹ in seedlings from the warmest location to 1.1 μmol m⁻² s⁻¹ in seedlings from the coolest site. The greatest biomass growth occurred near the middle of the range, indicating that temperatures were sub- and supra-optimal at the northern and southern ends on the range, respectively. However, in the middle of the range, there was an 18% decrease in biomass increment between two sites, corresponding to 1.4°C increase in mean growing season temperature. This suggests that thermal acclimation was insufficient to compensate for this relatively small increase in temperature.     

Monitoring the spatiotemporal change of Dongting Lake wetland by integrating Landsat and MODIS images,from 2001 to 2020

Dongting Lake wetland provides critical ecological functions in the Yangtze River Basin, however its landscape pattern has changed during the past 20 years due to both climate change and the human activities such as the operation of the Three Gorges dam (TGD). Numerous studies have used remote sensing technology to monitor such changes. However, most of studies were conducted at low spatial resolutions (250–1000 m) or low temporal resolutions (few images per year), which can introduce a degree of unreliability as regards the associated conclusions. To thoroughly analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of Dongting Lake wetland, high spatiotemporal resolution images from 2001 to 2020 have been produced by a modified version of the flexible spatiotemporal data fusion method (cuFSDAF 2.0) developed in this paper. This method is able to retrieve both phenology and land-cover changes both quickly and accurately. In addition, a tailored category by category extraction mapping method (CCEMM) is proposed to reliably classify wetland cover types. The mapping results show that the water area expanded by 66.43 Km² in the wet season, and shrank by 132.86 Km² in the dry season, between and including the years, 2001 to 2020. It appeared that the water area in the dry season declined obviously from 2003 to 2010 due to the operation of the TGD and is gradually stabilized after 2010. The reed area increased by 279.59 Km² and the grass area decreased by 220.46 Km² in the dry season, from 2001 to 2020. The shrinkage of the water area in the dry season may be one of the main factors driving reeds to occupy the previous grass growth area.     

Vegetation control effects on untreated wood,crude cellulose and holocellulose δ<Superscript>13</Superscript>C of early and latewood in 3- to 5-year-old rings of Douglas-fir

The stable carbon (C) composition of tree rings expressed as δ¹³C, is a measure of intrinsic water-use efficiency and can indicate the occurrence of past water shortages for tree growth. We examined δ¹³C in 3- to 5-year-old rings of Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb) Franco) trees to elucidate if decreased water supply or uptake was a critical factor in the observed growth reduction of trees competing with understory herb and shrub vegetation compared to those growing without competition. We hypothesized that there would be no differences in δ¹³C of earlywood in trees growing in plots with competing vegetation and those in plots receiving complete vegetation control during 5 years because earlywood formed early in the growing season when soil water was ample. We also hypothesized that δ¹³C in latewood which was formed during the later half of the growing season when precipitation was low, would be greater (less negative) in trees in plots without vegetation control. We then separated early and latewood from rings for three consecutive years and analyzed their δ¹³C composition. No significant differences in earlywood δ¹³C in years 3–5 were observed for trees in the two vegetation control treatments. δ¹³C of untreated latewood separated from wood cores was greater in 4- and 5-year-old rings of trees growing with competing vegetation compared to trees growing without vegetation competition (i.e., −25.5 vs. −26.3‰ for year 4, and −26.1 vs. −26.8‰ for year 5). Results suggest that water shortages occurred in Douglas-fir trees on this coastal Washington site in the latewood-forming portion of the growing season of years 4 and 5 in the no-vegetation control treatment. We also compared δ¹³C from untreated wood, crude cellulose extracted with the Diglyme–HCl method, and holocellulose extracted with toluene–ethanol to see if the extraction method would increase the sensitivity of the analysis. δ¹³C values from the two extraction methods were highly correlated with those from untreated samples (r ² = 0.97, 0.98, respectively). Therefore, using untreated wood would be as effective as using crude cellulose or holocellulose to investigate δ¹³C patterns in young Douglas-fir.     

Responses to climate change in radial growth of Picea schrenkiana along elevations of the eastern Tianshan Mountains,northwest China

Tree growth is largely driven by climate conditions in arid and alpine areas. A strong change in climate from warm-dry to warm-wet has already been observed in northwest China. However, little is known about the impacts of regional climate variability on the radial growth of trees along elevations of the eastern Tianshan Mountains. Consequently, we developed three tree-ring width chronologies of Schrenk spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) ranging in elevation from 2159 to 2552 m above sea level (a.s.l.), which play an important role in the forestry ecosystem, agriculture, and local economy of Central Asia. In our study, the correlation analyses of growth-drought using the monthly standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at different temporal scales demonstrated that drought in growing season was the main factor limiting tree growth, regardless of elevation. The relationships between radial growth of Schrenk spruce and main climate factors were relatively stable by moving correlation function, and the trend of STD chronologies and basal area increment (BAI) also showed a synchronous decline across the three elevations in recent decades. And meanwhile, slight differences in responses to climate change in radial growth along elevations were examined. The drought stress increased as elevations decreased. Radial growth at the higher elevation depended on moisture availability due to high temperature, as indicated by the significant negative correlation with mean temperature in the late growing season of the previous year (August-September, p < 0.001). However, radial growth at the lower elevation were restricted by drought stress due to less precipitation and higher temperatures, as demonstrated by the significant negative correlation with mean temperature but positive with total precipitation in the early growing season of the current year (April-May, p < 0.05). In addition, the decline of radial growth (BAI) at the higher elevation (3.710 cm² yr⁻¹/decade, p < 0.001) was faster than that of the middle elevation (2.344 cm² yr⁻¹/decade, p < 0.001) and the lower elevation (3.005 cm² yr⁻¹/decade, p < 0.001) since 2000, indicating that the trees at higher elevation of a relatively humid environment were more susceptible to the effects of climate change due to their poor adaptability to water deficit. Therefore, the forest ecosystems would be suppressed as a result of increasing drought stress in the future, especially in the high-elevation forests of arid and semi-arid areas.     

Higher northern latitude normalized difference vegetation index and growing season trends from 1982 to 1999

Normalized difference vegetation index data from the polar-orbiting National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration meteorological satellites from 1982 to 1999 show significant variations in photosynthetic activity and growing season length at latitudes above 35°N. Two distinct periods of increasing plant growth are apparent: 1982–1991 and 1992–1999, separated by a reduction from 1991 to 1992 associated with global cooling resulting from the volcanic eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in June 1991. The average May to September normalized difference vegetation index from 45°N to 75°N increased by 9% from 1982 to 1991, decreased by 5% from 1991 to 1992, and increased by 8% from 1992 to 1999. Variations in the normalized difference vegetation index were associated with variations in the start of the growing season of –5.6, +3.9, and –1.7 days respectively, for the three time periods. Our results support surface temperature increases within the same period at higher northern latitudes where temperature limits plant growth. Received: 25 October 2000 / Revised: 20 August 2001 / Accepted: 22 August 2001     

Trends in phenological phases in Europe between 1951 and 1996

Increases in air temperature due to the anthropogenic greenhouse effect can be detected easily in the phenological data of Europe within the last four decades because spring phenological events are particularly sensitive to temperature. Our new analysis of observational data from the International Phenological Gardens in Europe for the 1959–1996 period revealed that spring events, such as leaf unfolding, have advanced on average by 6.3 days (–0.21 day/year), whereas autumn events, such as leaf colouring, have been delayed on average by 4.5 days (+0.15 day/year). Thus, the average annual growing season has lengthened on average by 10.8 days since the early 1960s. For autumn events, differences between mean trends of species could not be detected, but for spring events there were differences between species, with the higher trends for leaf unfolding and flowering of shrubs indicating that changes in events occurring in the early spring are more distinct. These observed trends in plant phenological events in the International Phenological Gardens and results of other phenological studies in Europe, summarised in this study, are consistent with AVHRR satellite measurements of the normalized difference vegetation index from 1981 to 1991 and with an analysis of long-term measurements of the annual cycle of CO₂ concentration in Hawaii and Alaska, also indicating a global lengthening of the growing season. Received: 21 October 1999 / Accepted: 2 March 2000     

Climate change alters interannual variation of grassland aboveground productivity: evidence from a 22-year measurement series in the Inner Mongolian grassland

Climate change is known to influence interannual variation in grassland aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP), or seasonal biomass, but direct, long-term ground observations are rare. We present a 22-year (1982–2003) measurement series from the Inner Mongolia grassland, China, to examine the effect of climate change on interannual variations in ANPP and monthly aboveground biomass (MAB). ANPP exhibited no increase over 1982–2003 but there was an association with previous-year precipitation. MAB in May increased by 21.8% from 47.8 g m⁻² (averaged for 1982–1984) to 58.2 g m⁻² (2001–2003), whereas there was no significant variation in June, July and August, and a decrease of 29.7% in September. The MAB increase in May was correlated with increases in precipitation and temperature in the preceding months. These findings suggest that the effects of climate change on grassland production vary throughout the growing season, with warmer and wetter springs resulting in increased biomass early in the growing season, and drier falls causing a decrease in biomass late in the growing season.