Medical home care services for the housebound elderly.

In our health jurisdiction the proportion of elderly people is more than double the national average, and there is a severe shortage of both home care services and long-term care beds. To help the many elderly housebound people without primary medical care we initiated a medical services home care program. The goals were patient identification, clinical assessment, medical and social stabilization, matching of the housebound patient with a nearby family physician willing and able to provide home care and provision of a backup service to the physician for consultation and help in arranging admission to hospital if necessary. In the program''s first 2 years 105 patients were enrolled; the average age was 78.9 years. More than 50% were widowed, single, separated or divorced, over 25% lived alone, and more than 40% had no children living in the city. In almost one-third of the cases there had never been a primary care physician, and in another third the physician refused to do home visits. Before becoming housebound 15% had been seeing only specialists. Each patient had an average of 3.2 active medical problems and was functionally quite dependent. Thirty-five of the patients were surveyed after 1 year: 24 (69%) were still at home, and only 1 (3%) was in a long-term care institution; 83% were satisfied with the care provided, and 79% felt secure that their health needs were being met. One-third of the patients or their families said that it was not easy to reach the physician when necessary. We recommend that programs similar to ours be set up in health jurisdictions with a high proportion of elderly people. To recruit and retain cooperative physicians hospital geriatric services must be willing to provide educational, consultative and administrative support.     

Avoiding hospital admission through provision of hospital care at home: a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data

Background

Avoidance of admission through provision of hospital care at home is a scheme whereby health care professionals provide active treatment in the patient''s home for a condition that would otherwise require inpatient treatment in an acute care hospital. We sought to compare the effectiveness of this method of caring for patients with that type of in-hospital care.

Methods

We searched the MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL and EconLit databases and the Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care Group register from the earliest date in each database until January 2008. We included randomized controlled trials that evaluated a service providing an alternative to admission to an acute care hospital. We excluded trials in which the program did not offer a substitute for inpatient care. We performed meta-analyses for trials for which the study populations had similar characteristics and for which common outcomes had been measured.

Results

We included 10 randomized trials (with a total of 1327 patients) in our systematic review. Seven of these trials (with a total of 969 patients) were deemed eligible for meta-analysis of individual patient data, but we were able to obtain data for only 5 of these trials (with a total of 844 patients [87%]). There was no significant difference in mortality at 3 months for patients who received hospital care at home (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.54–1.09, p = 0.15). However, at 6 months, mortality was significantly lower for these patients (adjusted HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.45–0.87, p = 0.005). Admissions to hospital were greater, but not significantly so, for patients receiving hospital care at home (adjusted HR 1.49, 95% CI 0.96–2.33, p = 0.08). Patients receiving hospital care at home reported greater satisfaction than those receiving inpatient care. These programs were less expensive than admission to an acute care hospital ward when the analysis was restricted to treatment actually received and when the costs of informal care were excluded.

Interpretation

For selected patients, avoiding admission through provision of hospital care at home yielded similar outcomes to inpatient care, at a similar or lower cost.In many countries, programs in which hospital care is provided in the patient''s own home continue to be a popular response to the increasing demand for acute care hospital beds. Patients who received care through such programs, after assessment in the community by their primary care physician or in the emergency department, may avoid admission to an acute care ward. Alternatively, patients may be discharged early from hospital to receive hospital care at home. We have conducted a parallel systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data related to hospital care at home for patients who have received early discharge, which we will report separately. Recently, the emphasis has been on avoiding admission to hospital, which reflects the relatively limited gain from discharging patients early after a stay in hospital, given the universal trend for shorter lengths of stay in hospital.The types of patients receiving hospital care at home differ among schemes, as does the use of technology. Some schemes are designed to care for patients with specific conditions, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or to provide specific skills, such as parenteral nutrition. However, many schemes for the provision of hospital care at home lack such clear functions and have an “open door” policy covering a wide range of conditions. These schemes may build on existing community resources, or they may operate as hospital outreach services, with hospital staff making home visits. In particular, “hospital-at-home” programs are defined by the provision, in patients'' own homes and for a limited period, of a specific service that requires active participation by health care professionals. The care tends to be multidisciplinary and may include technical services, such as intravenous services.Cutting costs by avoiding admission to hospital altogether is the central goal of such schemes. Other perceived benefits include reducing the risk of adverse events associated with time in hospital¹ and the potential benefit of receiving rehabilitation in the home environment. However, it is not known if patients covered by a policy of avoiding admission through the provision of hospital care at home have health outcomes better than or equivalent to those of patients who receive inpatient hospital care. Furthermore, it is not known if the provision of hospital care at home results in a reduction or an increase in costs to the health service. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis, using individual patient data and published data, to determine the effectiveness and cost of managing care of patients through the provision of hospital care at home relative to inpatient hospital care. The meta-analysis of individual patient data allowed us to investigate whether the strategies were associated with key events happening after different periods of time, rather than simply whether or not those events occurred.     

One third of a million days of care at home, 1959 to 1975.

Although articles on studies of organized home care programs are numerous, reports of long-term effectiveness of these programs are scanty. While government spokesmen appear to advocate more widespread use of alternatives to hospitalization, there has been serious criticism of the efficiency and accomplishments of home care services. A medically oriented home care program in Saskatoon (population, less than 150 000) has grown steadily over a 16-year period and is now serving a daily average of 200 individuals. All patients have required "hospital-like care" at home and most have not ordinarily been sufficiently mobile during their time in the program to attend hospital outpatient services. Many have required "concentrated care" through daily visits of professional health personnel. The program is designed for the physically ill and disabled and is administered by the major teaching hospital in the city, although it provides services to the whole community. Over one third of the patients referred in recent years had been at home. Almost one half of the patients have undergone satisfactory rehabilitation at home. The program has also proven to be an acceptable alternative to long-term institutional care for the permanently seriously disabled, a large number of whom are elderly. The program has been able to operate at considerably less cost to the public than inpatient (hospital or institutional) services would have entailed.     

Home care for patients with suspected myocardial infarction: use made by general practitioners of a hospital team for initial management.

Two hundred and sixty three general practitioners were offered the use of a hospital based service consisting of a medical senior house officer, a nurse attached to a coronary care unit, and a specially equipped ambulance estate car to help with the initial management of patients with suspected myocardial infarction who might be suitable for home care. One hundred and sixty nine general practitioners registered as potential users of this service; during 22 months they called the hospital team to see 271 patients, 235 of whom the team suspected had indeed suffered a myocardial infarction. During the same period, however, these general practitioners also admitted 317 patients with suspected myocardial infarction directly to hospital. Other general practitioners admitted 323 patients and deputising doctors 258. A further 529 patients with suspected infarction were admitted without the intervention of a general practitioner. Of the patients seen by the team, 54 required immediate admission to hospital; 17 of the remaining patients who initially appeared suitable for home care later required admission to hospital. In a large city such as Nottingham the provision of hospital based facilities to help general practitioners with home management is unlikely to make an appreciable impact on the overall pattern of care of patients with suspected myocardial infarction.     

Current concepts in trauma: 2. The Sunnybrook Medical Centre trauma program: the first 11 years.

Sunnybrook Medical Centre is a tertiary care teaching hospital situated in metropolitan Toronto. Its trauma unit, opened in June 1976, serves the inhabitants of metropolitan Toronto and the surrounding area (approximately 5 million). More than 3200 patients were admitted to the unit between 1976 and 1987. The criteria for admission were age at least 14 years and an Injury Severity Score (ISS) of 16 or greater, two or more significant injuries at anatomically discrete sites when the score on the Abbreviated Injury Scale was 3 or greater, or grade IV shock (systolic blood pressure of 80 mm Hg or less). The number of patients admitted annually to the unit increased over the study period. The survival rate also increased, from 76% in 1976 to 88% in 1987, although the average age and ISS of the patients remained unchanged. Less than 2% of the patients required long-term rehabilitative or chronic care. The patient profile is similar to that seen in other trauma centres in North America. The success of this program is largely the result of expeditious stabilization and transfer from referring hospitals coupled with early definitive surgical intervention.     

First year of an inner city general practitioner community hospital.

The first inner city general practitioner community hospital opened on 4 January 1982. This paper describes the operation of the hospital over the first 12 months. There were 316 admissions, with an average length of stay of 13 days. The average age of the patients was 73 and the most common reason for admission was disease of the respiratory system. Thirty five per cent of patients were admitted because of an acute illness and 37% were admitted on the same day as the request for admission. The policies of intermittent or phased care allowed for the admission of patients at regular intervals to relieve carers, and the assessment of the home circumstances of all patients allowed for planning the patient''s return home.     

Health problems and health care for adolescents in residential facilities in Quebec.

The health problems of 160 adolescents in four residential facilities of the Quebec social welfare court were studied. At the time of admission 44% had at least one problem requiring consultation with a specialist and 80% had an average of two problems requiring primary care. The medical records of 106 youngsters in two re-education centres were also reviewed and similar results were noted. The health services available, particularly physical examination and laboratory testing at the time of admission and arrangements for referral and follow-up were judged to be insufficient in most centres. Although society has taken custody of these adolescents, no one is responsible for their health care. Since February 1976 the social welfare court residential facilities and the network involved in the care of socially disturbed youngsters have been undergoing reorganization. Health programs and services ought to be part of this reorganization, and private physicians, hospitals and government each should have a role in the establishment and functioning of these programs.     

"Hospital at home" versus hospital care in patients with exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: prospective randomised controlled trial

ObjectivesTo compare “hospital at home” and hospital care as an inpatient in acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.DesignProspective randomised controlled trial with three months'' follow up.SettingUniversity teaching hospital offering secondary care service to 350 000 patients.PatientsSelected patients with an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease where hospital admission had been recommended after medical assessment.InterventionsNurse administered home care was provided as an alternative to inpatient admission.Results583 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease referred for admission were assessed. 192 met the criteria for home care, and 42 refused to enter the trial. 100 were randomised to home care and 50 to hospital care. On admission, FEV₁ after use of a bronchodilator was 36.1% (95% confidence interval 2.4% to 69.8%) predicted in home care and 35.1% (6.3% to 63.9%) predicted in hospital care. No significant difference was found in FEV₁ after use of a bronchodilator at two weeks (42.6%, 3.4% to 81.8% versus 42.1%, 5.1% to 79.1%) or three months (41.5%, 8.2% to 74.8% versus 41.9%, 6.2% to 77.6%) between the groups. 37% of patients receiving home care and 34% receiving hospital care were readmitted at three months. No significant difference was found in mortality between the groups at three months (9% versus 8%).ConclusionsHospital at home care is a practical alternative to emergency admission in selected patients with exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.     

The health and cost effects of substituting home care for inpatient acute care: a review of the evidence

BACKGROUND: There is much interest in reducing hospital stays by providing some health care services in patients'' homes. The authors review the evidence regarding the effects of this acute care at home (acute home care) on the health of patients and caregivers and on the social costs (public and private costs) of managing the patients'' health conditions. METHODS: MEDLINE and HEALTHSTAR databases were searched for articles using the key term "home care." Bibliographies of articles read were checked for additional references. Fourteen studies met the selection criteria (publication between 1975 and early 1998, evaluation of an acute home care program for adults, and use of a control group to evaluate the program). Of the 14, only 4 also satisfied 6 internal validity criteria (patients were eligible for home care, comparable patients in home care group and hospital care group, adequate patient sample size, appropriate analytical techniques, appropriate health measures and appropriate costing methods). RESULTS: The 4 studies with internal validity evaluated home care for 5 specific health conditions (hip fracture, hip replacement, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], hysterectomy and knee replacement); 2 of the studies also evaluated home care for various medical and surgical conditions combined. Compared with hospital care, home care had no notable effects on patients'' or caregivers'' health. Social costs were not reported for hip fracture. They were unaffected for hip and knee replacement, and higher for COPD and hysterectomy; in the 2 studies of various conditions combined, social costs were higher in one and lower in the other. Effects on health system costs were mixed, with overall cost savings for hip fracture and higher costs for hip and knee replacement. INTERPRETATION: The limited existing evidence indicates that, compared with hospital care, acute home care produces no notable difference in health outcomes. The effects on social and health system costs appear to vary with condition. More well-designed evaluations are needed to determine the appropriate use of acute home care.     

Predicting improvement in stroke patients referred for inpatient rehabilitation.

An historical prospective study of prediction of improvement and final disposition of 105 patients with a stroke was carried out over a 2-year period in the rehabilitation service of a hospital providing long-term care. Patients were referred a mean of 37.8 days after the stroke, and were evaluated for total function and for mental status, perception, communication and motor ability at the time of admission and every 2 to 3 weeks thereafter. At the time of admission 26% of the patients were able to care for themselves; at the time of discharge 59% were able to do so, but 44% of these could not return home, primarily because of unfavourable social and environmental circumstances. In contrast, 35% of the patients unable to care for themselves went home because their families were willing to provide extra care. Neither the total function score nor the neurologic subtest scores at the time of admission predicted improvement. The presence of sphincter control and a lower age were the only significant predictors of improvement.     

Terminal cancer care and patients' preference for place of death: a prospective study.

OBJECTIVE--To assess the preference of terminally ill patients with cancer for their place of final care. DESIGN--Prospective study of randomly selected patients with cancer from hospital and the community who were expected to die within a year. Patients expected to live less than two months were interviewed at two week intervals; otherwise patients were interviewed monthly. Their main carer was interviewed three months after the patient''s death. SETTING--District general hospital, hospices, and patients'' homes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Stated preferred place of final care; actual place of death; reason for final hospital admission for those in hospital; community care provision required for home care. RESULTS--Of 98 patients approached, 84 (86%) agreed to be interviewed, of whom 70 (83%) died during the study and 59 (84%) stated a preferred place of final care: 34 (58%) wished to die at home given existing circumstances, 12 (20%) in hospital, 12 (20%) in a hospice, and one (2%) elsewhere. Their own home was the preferred place of care for 17 (94%) of the patients who died there, whereas of the 32 patients who died in hospital 22 (69%) had stated a preference to die elsewhere. Had circumstances been more favourable 67% (41) of patients would have preferred to die at home, 16% (10) in hospital, and 15% (9) in hospice. CONCLUSION--With a limited increase in community care 50% more patients with cancer could be supported to die at home, as they and their carers would prefer.     

Primary care physicians' refusal to care for patients infected with the human immunodeficiency virus.

We conducted a telephone survey of a random sample of office-based primary care physicians in Los Angeles County to determine their practice experiences with patients infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Telephone interviews included questions related to the physicians'' experiences evaluating patients for HIV infection during the past 6 months and the presence of HIV-infected patients in their practices. Those without HIV-infected patients were asked if this was because they had not encountered such patients, because those patients had died, or because the physicians had chosen to refer these patients elsewhere or the patients had gone elsewhere for care. Of physicians who participated in the survey, 78% had evaluated a patient for HIV infection in the past 6 months; 34% were currently providing primary care for infected patients; and 36% had elected to refer HIV-infected patients elsewhere, or their patients had elected to find other physicians. In all, 48% of physicians in the sample had elected not to care for, or said they would not provide care for, patients with HIV infection. Among Los Angeles County primary care physicians, 36% have refused to provide continuing care for HIV-infected patients and another 12% indicated their unwillingness to do so should such patients present themselves for care. As of 1991, the reservoir of primary care physicians in Los Angeles not yet involved with but willing to care for HIV-infected patients is relatively small (15%).     

Hospital care for patients with AIDS at "Lazzaro Spallanzani" Institute in the last decade.

We reviewed data on hospital care of HIV/AIDS patients at Lazzaro Spallazani Institute between 1991 and 1999. The number of newly diagnosed AIDS cases increased until 1995 and decreased constantly thereafter. The proportion of AIDS cases diagnosed at our institution over the total number of cases reported in our region and in our country increased from 31.2 to 59.8% and from 3.9 to 8.7% respectively (p<0.001). In the entire study period, 10044 out of 18,434 (54.5%) of patients admitted to acute care wards were diagnosed with HIV related pathologies. The number of admission of HIV/AIDS patients to acute-care wards increased until 1995 and remained constant thereafter. Our data suggest that a consistent need for inpatient hospital care remains even in the era of HAART.     

Comparison of long-term care in an acute care institution and in a long-term care institution

BACKGROUND: Acute care hospitals in Quebec are required to reserve 10% of their beds for patients receiving long-term care while awaiting transfer to a long-term care facility. It is widely believed that this is inefficient because it is more costly to provide long-term care in an acute care hospital than in one dedicated to long-term care. The purpose of this study was to compare the quality and cost of long-term care in an acute care hospital and in a long-term care facility. METHODS: A concurrent cross-sectional study was conducted of 101 patients at the acute care hospital and 102 patients at the long-term care hospital. The 2 groups were closely matched in terms of age, sex, nursing care requirements and major diagnoses. Several indicators were used to assess the quality of care: the number of medical specialist consultations, drugs, biochemical tests and radiographic examinations; the number of adverse events (reportable incidents, nosocomial infections and pressure ulcers); and anthropometric and biochemical indicators of nutritional status. Costs were determined for nursing personnel, drugs and biochemical tests. A longitudinal study was conducted of 45 patients who had been receiving long-term care at the acute care hospital for at least 5 months and were then transferred to the long-term care facility where they remained for at least 6 months. For each patient, the number of adverse events, the number of medical specialist consultations and the changes in activities of daily living status were assessed at the 2 institutions. RESULTS: In the concurrent study, no differences in the number of adverse events were observed; however, patients at the acute care hospital received more drugs (5.9 v. 4.7 for each patient, p < 0.01) and underwent more tests (299 v. 79 laboratory units/year for each patient, p < 0.001) and radiographic examinations (64 v. 46 per 1000 patient-weeks, p < 0.05). At both institutions, 36% of the patients showed anthropometric and biochemical evidence of protein-calorie undernutrition; 28% at the acute care hospital and 27% at the long-term care hospital had low serum iron and low transferrin saturation, compatible with iron deficiency. The longitudinal study showed that there were more consultations (61 v. 37 per 1000 patient-weeks, p < 0.02) and fewer pressure ulcers (18 v. 34 per 1000 patient-weeks, p < 0.05) at the acute care hospital than at the long-term care facility; other measures did not differ. The cost per patient-year was $7580 higher at the acute care hospital, attributable to the higher cost of drugs ($42), the greater use of laboratory tests ($189) and, primarily, the higher cost of nursing ($7349). For patients requiring 3.00 nursing hours/day, the acute care hospital provided more hours than the long-term care facility (3.59 v. 3.03 hours), with a higher percentage of hours from professional nurses rather than auxiliary nurses or nursing aides (62% v. 28%). The nurse staffing pattern at the acute care hospital was characteristic of university-affiliated acute care hospitals. INTERPRETATION: The long-term care provided in the acute care hospital involved a more interventionist medical approach and greater use of professional nurses (at a significantly higher cost) but without any overall difference in the quality of care.     

Randomised controlled trial and economic evaluation of a chest pain observation unit compared with routine care

Objectives To measure the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of providing care in a chest pain observation unit compared with routine care for patients with acute, undifferentiated chest pain.Design Cluster randomised controlled trial, with 442 days randomised to the chest pain observation unit or routine care, and cost effectiveness analysis from a health service costing perspective.Setting The emergency department at the Northern General Hospital, Sheffield, United Kingdom.Participants 972 patients with acute, undifferentiated chest pain (479 attending on days when care was delivered in the chest pain observation unit, 493 on days of routine care) followed up until six months after initial attendance.Main outcome measures The proportion of participants admitted to hospital, the proportion with acute coronary syndrome sent home inappropriately, major adverse cardiac events over six months, health utility, hospital reattendance and readmission, and costs per patient to the health service.Results Use of a chest pain observation unit reduced the proportion of patients admitted from 54% to 37% (difference 17%, odds ratio 0.50, 95% confidence interval 0.39 to 0.65, P < 0.001) and the proportion discharged with acute coronary syndrome from 14% to 6% (8%, -7% to 23%, P = 0.264). Rates of cardiac event were unchanged. Care in the chest pain observation unit was associated with improved health utility during follow up (0.0137 quality adjusted life years gained, 95% confidence interval 0.0030 to 0.0254, P = 0.022) and a saving of £78 per patient (-£56 to £210, P = 0.252).Conclusions Care in a chest pain observation unit can improve outcomes and may reduce costs to the health service. It seems to be more effective and more cost effective than routine care.     

Facilitating care of patients with HIV infection by hospital and primary care teams.

To complement the role of primary care teams working with patients with HIV disease and AIDS within greater London and to ease the load on the special hospital units a home support team was developed. It comprises six specialist nurses, a general practitioner trained medical officer, and a receptionist and is funded from regional and district sources and charities. A nurse is available for out of hours and emergency weekend calls, with support from the patient''s general practitioner or the attached medical officer. During the first 18 months 249 patients were seen; the mean duration of care was five months. Nearly a third (18/50, 30%) of patients who were terminally ill died at home. The team''s activities included practical nursing care, emotional support for carers and patients, and advice and guidance to primary care teams. Problems in providing care in patients'' homes included issues relating to confidentiality and 24 hour cover. With the increasing incidence of HIV infection the home support team may be a useful model for care of large numbers of patients with symptomatic HIV disease, especially in large urban areas.     

Institutional and IACUC responsibilities for animal care and use education and training programs

Training and instruction of personnel are important components of animal care and use programs because they help to ensure the health and welfare of the animals and the integrity of the research or testing results. Training also helps to promote the consideration of alternatives, recognition of animal pain and distress, appropriate use of pain-relieving agents, aseptic technique, pre- and post-procedural care, and personnel health and safety. While individuals who provide the care for or conduct research or testing in laboratory animals should take personal responsibility for ensuring that they have the skills to perform their duties, the institution is ultimately responsible for ensuring their competency. The institution is also responsible for providing the training or instruction that is required by federal legislation, regulations, and policies. The institutional animal care and use committee (IACUC) is responsible for ensuring, as part of their review of research activities, that the personnel are capable of performing the procedures described. The IACUC must also assess the institution's training program as part of their semiannual animal care and use program review and make recommendations regarding training to the institutional official. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the US regulatory mandates for training and personnel qualification.     

MENTAL DISORDERS OF THE AGED—The Role of the State Hospital in the Treatment; Report of a Pilot Study

The number of patients age 65 and over at the Agnews State Hospital now constitutes over one-third of the resident population. The geriatric population is increasing in all California state hospitals.Because this is a relatively new area of concern for the psychiatric institution, the role of the state hospital in the care of the aged is not yet clearly defined.A pilot study of admissions in this age group committed from one county during a 12-month period was undertaken, with an attempt made to evaluate the suitability of the patient for commitment, as well as special problems in admission, treatment during hospitalization, and release from the hospital. The study indicated 42 per cent of persons admitted were considered unsuitable for commitment. Physical illness was found to be a major factor in precipitating admission and a predominating factor in the treatment program after admission. Almost 40 per cent of the patients died within a year after admission.     

Improved prognosis since 1969 of myocardial infarction treated in a coronary care unit: lack of relation with changes in severity.

OBJECTIVE--To study changes from 1969 to 1983 in the prognosis of patients with acute myocardial infarction treated in a coronary care unit. DESIGN--Mortality follow up of all patients with definite acute myocardial infarction. SETTING--The coronary care unit of the Royal Melbourne Hospital, a tertiary referral centre. SUBJECTS--4253 Patients (3366 men, 887 women) admitted from 1969 to 1983. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Mortality recorded at discharge from hospital and 12 months after admission. RESULTS--Details of clinical findings, history, electrocardiograms, arrhythmias, and radiological findings were recorded on admission. Mean ages were 63 for women and 57 for men, and women had haemodynamically more severe infarcts than men. In the later years patients were older and had less severe infarcts. Overall, hospital mortality in men was 16.7% in 1969-73 and 8.5% in 1979-83 and declined in all grades of the Norris and Killip infarct severity indices compared with a constant 19.2% in women. Even after adjustment for age and severity by logistic regression, hospital mortality fell in men by an average of 8% (95% confidence interval 4% to 11%) a year but remained constant in women. By 1983 male mortality was 60% that of women of similar age and comparable severity of infarction. Mortality of hospital survivors at 12 months declined by 7% (4% to 9%) a year in both sexes, even after adjustment for age and severity, with a male to female mortality ratio of about 0.8. New indices were derived to predict mortality in hospital and at 12 months. CONCLUSION--The observed declines in mortality cannot be explained by changes in severity of infarction or in prognostic characteristics of patients.     

Mortality in elderly patients admitted for respite care.

OBJECTIVE--To determine whether admitting elderly patients to hospital to give temporary relief to their carers is associated with increased mortality. DESIGN--Prospective multicentre study comparing the mortality of patients admitted on a one off or rotational basis with that experienced while they were awaiting admission. SETTING--A wide range of urban and rural district general, geriatric or long stay, and general practitioner hospitals. PATIENTS--474 Patients aged 70 or over who had 601 admissions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE--Death. RESULTS--16 (3.4%) Of the 474 patients (2.7% of all 601 admissions) died while in hospital during an average stay of 15.7 days whereas 23 (4.9%) patients died while awaiting admission (average waiting time was 34.2 days). The 16 deaths in hospital and the 23 deaths during the longer waiting period correspond to death rates of 19.9 and 12.5 per 10,000 person days respectively. The difference between these of 7.4 is not statistically significant (95% confidence interval -3.6 to 18.3). The estimated relative risk of dying in hospital is 1.59 but the 95% confidence interval is wide (0.84 to 3.01). CONCLUSION--Although the death rates are slightly higher in those admitted to hospital for relief care than in those awaiting admission, the difference was not significant, and the death rate in both groups was reassuringly small.